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Messages - LP

16
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
I think Boyd's kicking has let him down at the start of this season, he has been horribly inconsistent, but then retrospectively we hear that we've been on a heavy training load and that means tired legs. Saad has been similar, but he's on Ramadan, I can't recall if it affected him previously.

But in fairness as defenders they wear the heat for errors, a forward can have worse efficiency and seem OK.

Fantasia however is going at 45%, I've no idea why, Doc with one bung leg for half a game went at 60%.
18
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
No. He was playing better than that.  He wasn't a highlight reel player, he was just rucking well for a quarter or two and taking a strong mark every week that was eye popping. Then there is the fact that he hits the scoreboard, and genuinely creates panic when he drifts forward because he's athletic and can actually play as a forward.
Yes, it seems pretty cut and dry.

Critics of TDK like to cherry-pick, when he rucks well they claim he can't hold marks, if he's hitting the scoreboard they will claim he was beaten in the ruck. Some of it is because they went early a year or two back calling him a dud and now they are happy to dig a hole just to stick to their guns, they sit quietly waiting for TDK to stumble so they can offer up the "told you so!"

FFS, how the hell can someone of TDK's stature and capability be some fans whipping boy? :o

btw., TDK's highlights aren't just as good as what opponents can do, they are often things other players his size just cannot do, stuff Grundy was previously capable of. Perhaps only a fit Draper is a current AFL equivalent.

If TDK becomes consistent in his output he'll be an object of AFL wide desire, now he is rapidly learning where to be and when, and he is also learning how to influence opponents using his positioning and presence, he is capable of getting to positions ahead of 95% of KPP opponents not just ruck opponents.

I watched last Thursday expecting the new rules to greatly benefit Nankervis, simple because they favour size and weight, but I was pleasantly surprised. TDK held his own, and when TDK found himself on the right side of the contest Nankervis couldn't go with him even if he started just an arm length away.

The Cats are still into him, they aren't going to let up, and others will join the fight to tear him away. They aren't interested in him because he's a highlight reel player. ;)
19
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
I agree that Young will probably play alongside Weiters and they should make a good combination against opposing key forwards.
I can't see it happening, we are going to drop McGovern or Kemp based on form, Boyd the one under the pump, and I can't see him being dropped either.

Saad, Newman and Williams are in good form.

For me it has to be Young who steps aside.
21
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: The Zuton factor - Pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure
Yes, it's clear at the moment Hollands role has changed, as has the team emphasis on some match day tactics, I'm not sure what fans expect.

Too much of the individual player analysis is overly simplified and it leads to poor conclusions, Owies suffers the same fate, perhaps Cunningham also.

I get the fans, they have correctly identify that there are some players not racking up possessions or getting involved in chains of play like they were last season, but there is a reason for it and it doesn't mean the players aren't playing a good game. Maybe it's just a role that the fans do not expect.

Last season Hollands was a free spirit, this year, either as directed by Voss or as implemented by the opposition, he has become more accountable of his opponent.
22
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
Over the past few seasons he had become our next Casboult. 
Surely you are taking the piss!

Casboult has played 200 games and averages a goal a game, McKay averages two goals a game and has won a Coleman. Last week Casboult played 86% game time standing in F50 time next to Lukosius and King, and didn't hit the scoreboard. So I'm assuming Levi played as a decoy forward.

FWIW, I suspect we could stand Barb in F50 surrounded by Harry and Charlie and she'd hit the scoreboard by coincidence or perhaps a deflection.
23
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
I'm not sold on Fantasia again, two weeks in a row he's looked off the pace and timid, it may be because he's not yet familiar with the team-mates and that can make you hesitant.

But particularly 1/2-game for 1 tackle is not going to cut it from an AFL small forward, especially in a game which was so contested. He needs to get into the opponents as a bare minimum, learn to love the berserk, and get amongst it.
24
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
Very impressed with the number of tackles-on-the-run that players managed to stick last night.  Even Dusty was collared on multiple occasions.
True, but of the heavy lifters I thought Tarranto and Hopper had pretty good nights for them.

Father time is catching up with Dusty he can't break those tackles as easily, will he get back to full Dusty after a few games, I doubt it, but he'll still have his moments. Even so it looks like we aren't intimidated by him anymore.
25
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
Hollands seems to be less productive than last year but he is always committed to chase and tackle - an attribute that is catching on with a number of other players who were previously inclined to fade in and out of matches.
A couple of reasons.

Firstly, 2nd year blues, everybody gets it and suffering from it has nothing to do with the player himself, it's all about opposition learning your strengths and weakness and going to work on them.

Lastly, we've tweaked our game plan, at least at the moment, maybe when Walsh and Weiters return you'll find a bit more return to normal for the running types. However, I'm all for the winning ugly stuff, we are demonstrating we can now put the brakes on opposition even if a few of our running types suffer. It will be interesting to see when Martin and Motlop are available if we retain this strong defensive capability, or if the bias tilts towards attack.
26
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: Jim Park Voting 2024 AFL Rd 1 Carlton vs Richmond
Team B

5 - McGovern
4 - McKay
3 - Cripps
2 - Saad
1 - Kemp

Ugly, but make no mistake Nthmond brought some heat, which makes this win better than it looks. I thought I was doing TDK a misjustice not giving him a vote, but in hindsight I thought the rucks nullified each other. To me Kemp deserved a vote simply because he did some brave hard to do things that had an impact, as did Saad. I largely ignored the fumbles as our whole squad had the fumbles.

Cripps is special, as a leader in pressure moments he is becoming Wayne Carey-esque.
29
The Sports Desk / Re: Formula 1
I remember the GP, i remember Martin Brundle at the time saying that is a VERY UNUSUAL place for someone to crash and it doesn't make sense. He called it live.
He did, as I said, I think financial compo is the most likely outcome, simply because blokes have since confessed and a top official appears to have disclosed that they knew but did not act at the time.

I don't think Massa gets a championship, but I think he is a big chance at getting dollars such is the system.