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Messages - kruddler

2
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Kemp's omission is a strange one for me.
If he's not considered part of the best defensive group try him somwhere else.

17 possessions at 82% and 10 marks (our best) against Richmond

He is not even listed in the emergencies whereas young is.
If I was another club I would've picked up the phone to see what it would take to pry him out. Might not take muchbif we keep dropping him.
4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Kemp played a couple of games in the midfield as a junior, that's it.  SOS said that Kemp could play midfield when he was drafted, but he said that about Plowman, Marchbank, Stocker, and others.  Despite the 'midfield extractor' tag, Kemp has played all of his football for us as a KPP.

Kemp does get beaten by taller opponents in one on one contests - Gawn in the semi - and by stronger opponents like Balta.  He also loses contests when he attempts to mark rather than spoil.   Young is more conservative and is happy to kill the contest if there's doubt about the outcome.  Young is a better match up for Larkey and Coleman-Kones than Kemp is, and I would play both, regardless of whether Weitering is in the team.

None of the other 'midfield' players played KP, so not sure why you bring that up, i think it hurts your argument more than helps it.

Kemp gets beaten by taller opponents....and by stronger opponents......does that not clearly point to the fact that is because is not a KPP? He doesn't have the size or strength to play there and be effective. Rather, he plays there because he is the best we've got at any given time, but is largely undersized.

Young is a better matchup, because he is an actual KPP. I think the 'errors' made by Young playing that role vs the 'errors' by Kemp playing that role mean that Kemp is the better player to have in the side.....even if it means you sacrifice some ability against the taller opponents that he'll be beaten one on one with. Mostly due to the fact that Young makes some silly errors that almost directly cost us goals.

To summarise, just because a player is played in a position, doesn't mean he is right for that position. If all our 190cm players got injured, someone would still have to play as a ruck on game day.....but just because we've shoehorned someone into that position, doesn't mean he is a genuine ruck. Same with Kemp, Marchbank......as KPPs.
5
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
I don’t consider McGovern to be a KPD and the club doesn’t either.  He’s in the team for his intercept marking and ability to help the KPDs.

Kemp is a KPD but, like many of the KPDs who try to play on Harry McKay, he struggles against very tall opponents.  It’s simply a matter of selecting the KPDs best able to play on the opposition KPFs.  North have two very tall KPFs, one of whom is a very good footballer.  I’d play Weitering on Larkey and Young on Coleman-Jones.

https://central.rookieme.com/afl/player/brodie-kemp/
Quote
The word on Kemp coming into the season was that he was destined for more midfield minutes after finding a home as a high-marking intercept defender in 2018, but he would end up having an impact just about everywhere. He adapted his kick-dominant game to become a handball-happy midfield extractor, was solid in his usual defensive post for Vic Country, and eventually a game winner for them up forward. Kemp’s success up forward lends to his key strengths of impact and overhead marking. He showed his worth with a huge contested mark in the dying seconds against South Australia to snare the winning goal, while doing the same twice in the last quarter against Western Australia to almost drag his side over the line. All were really game defining moments, and while Kemp does not win crazy amounts of the ball, he has important touches. Add to that a sub-three second 20m sprint and phenomenal agility and you have a prospect that can pull off just about anything. A good size to boot, Kemp would be a top 10 lock if not for his recent injury.
One mans opinion, sure, but shared by plenty of others.

Not sure how many 'midfield extractors' are classed as KPD's a year later.

Despite the size difference and despite my own personal opinion on the matter, i'd still prefer to play Weitering and Kemp over Weitering and Young.

Only way kemp will be defeated is if our team defence fails and he's left 1-on-1 with his taller opponent with no chance to jump at the ball.

Young on the other hand could be defeated by his opponent a number of ways.
7
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: The Zuton factor - Pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure
That's a bit rough on Amy and those who appreciated her immense talent.

The thing with pressure acts is that they're nebulous.  As Matty Cottrell's comment implies, the people who matter at footy clubs value some player actions that many spectators - and commentators - may not even notice.  Some of those actions may be pressure acts, some may not.  Some pressure acts may be valued by coaches and MCs, many will not be.

Take Ollie Hollands' two spoils against Lynch, one of which resulted in clean possession to Hollands and a rebound 50.  I think I can safely assume that Vossy would be rapt with those two efforts.  He wouldn't be quite so happy with Cuners taking his opponent to the boundary line, then stopping because he thought the ball was out (it was, but the boundary umpire was unsighted).  Cuners is credited with a pressure act but his opponent gets balanced and kicks the ball downfield without any pressure.

As i stated, i'm not saying they are the perfect stat, but if you want a rough guide on what players are doing that most supporters are not taking notice of, the pressure act stat is a good example. As mentioned, a player with a lot of pressure acts is clearly applying more pressure than a player with very little. You could argue individual numbers if you wish, but thats missing the point.

re Amy Winehouse....i did say its my opinion. Others can differ and thats fine.

I find it difficult to have sympathy for someone boasting about not going to rehab....and then dying because of it.

.....and i'm a huge Nirvana fan, so i understand some similarities with Kurt Cobain.
8
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: The Zuton factor - Pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure
Amy Winehouse, what a tragedy, what a loss!

It's the most important point of this thread, because pressure acts as they are collected can be widely varied from trailing a metre or two behind the ball carrier, to getting in an eyeline of a marking contest, a failed attempt to smother, or a full blown bump.

Amy Winehouse.....thats what you take out of this?

Personally couldn't give a stuff about her and her wasted life.

However, you want to argue about pressure stats now. As usual you misunderstand the point of them. Its a guide, a reference a relative measure.
It doesn't matter how accurate they are as they are as accurate for one player as they are for another player. If one player has heaps and another player doesn't, guess who provided more pressure?
9
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
I think that our defence works better with both Kemp and McGovern in the mix, but Kemp does struggle against much taller opponents.  The problem is that all seven defenders are playing well and working well together.  Weitering has to be an automatic in but who goes out ... Boyd?

Isn't this the discussion we were having in the other thread? Kemp and McGovern are good at filling in as a KPP but are not actually KPPs.
10
The Sports Desk / Re: Formula 1
Agree.

Taken my (now) 9yo son the last couple years and he could spend the day there without ever looking at the track. Was talking to a chick from Canada who has been to the montreal Grand Prix a few times and she has said the Aussie event is so much better because there is nothing else to do at 'her' event.

Know people who have been to Silverstone. Same thing.
I was at the first Autin Grand Prix, basically the same thing.

I've been to probably 15 Melbourne Grand Prix weekends (usually on Saturdays) and its always quality.
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
FWIW, i'm not suggesting i would drop Fogarty, but nobody has even mentioned his name in terms of small forwards.

Everyone talking about the pressure he provides, and that shouldn't go unnoticed.
However, in the same breathe people are suggesting Cuningham should/could make way.....despite the fact he has had more pressure acts than Fogarty and every other small forward we have.

So if its good enough for fogarty, why not cunners?
13
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
https://au.yahoo.com/news/huge-claim-about-origins-of-covid-19-by-leading-aussie-epidemiologist-063622809.html

My personal view from the start was that it was a man made virus in a Lab but I guess this is just another opinion with only one highly unreliable country knowing the real truth.

There was a doco on (Netflix i think) that was talking about AI and specifically viruses.
I can't remember all the details, but these scientists were using it to generate sequences for vaccines etc.
Someone along the line they thought, wonder if we changed the 'virus lethality' marker from 0 to 1. (The smallest of changes in the code)
Ran it overnight, in the morning it had generated sequences for 1000's of the most deadliest viruses possible.

They debated whether they should tell anyone about it, ended up doing it and writing a paper on it. Wasn't long before they were summoned to all kinds of governments briefings including the white house.

It was so simple to do that it was scary.

So its 100% possible, now its just a matter if it actually happened in this instance. Given Chinas history and secretive nature, if it was going to happen anywhere.....
14
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
Agree on Fantasia....probably came in earlier than expected with the injury to Motlop and Owies was also injured for a period in the pre-season. It's widely acknowledged that the small forward is a difficult position to play. He's there for backup/experience and while his output has been small, his ball use for the most part has been really good. He might make way for Motlop but I wouldn't be writing him off yet.

I still like the Owies/Motlop set up. Owies is already on his 1.5 goals/game average from last year and that's hard to complain about. Martin plays a slightly different role with his marking ability....so for mine, they're the 3 first choice options.

If both Martin and Motlop come back in for the game against North, it might be Fantasia and Cunningham that go out.

Why does everyone forget about fogerty?

I'd drop him before leaving out Martin and Cuningham.
15
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: AI and creativity.
The amount of these random rants you go on that i have absolutely no idea what you are on about it remarkable.

In this instance, i couldn't care less about it because its about the royals. But if i did, i wouldn't know what you are on about.

You don't like the media? No!
I don't like the media....so i don't read it, watch it, whatever.
So maybe everyone else knows what you are on about and i'm the only one who doesn't....or maybe everyone else is on the same page as you.
Either way, maybe post a link or SOMETHING in the future.