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Topic: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond (Read 3557 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #90
I reckon he will.

As I wrote above, Weitering's presence helps all of our defenders and Young will have the added benefit of not standing the opposition's best tall forward for most of the game.

As much as I like Kemp, it's a huge ask for him to stand the likes of Nick Larkey or Coleman-Jones.  You need gorilla minders to play on the gorillas and, on this year's form, Young is up to the task.

Young is holding the fort so to speak but I will be very relieved when Weiters returns. I agree that Young will probably play alongside Weiters and they should make a good combination against opposing key forwards.
Reality always wins in the end.

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #91
Problem with Young playing alongside Wieters is that we lose run and creativity big time.
Young’s best is dour, do you really want to drop McGovern or Kemp ?
In modern football EVERYONE must be willing and able to create and run one failure and the whole team starts to flounder.
Let’s go BIG !

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #92
I agree that Young will probably play alongside Weiters and they should make a good combination against opposing key forwards.
I can't see it happening, we are going to drop McGovern or Kemp based on form, Boyd the one under the pump, and I can't see him being dropped either.

Saad, Newman and Williams are in good form.

For me it has to be Young who steps aside.
The Force Awakens!

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #93
Marchbank (if fit), McGovern, Kemp, Weitering and Young.
Do they all fit?

Rumours should be taken with a great deal of caution.
But rumours sometimes have elements of truth, even if it's not the full story.
There were some around last year regarding the relationship in terms of the 'level of confidence' between some of our defenders.
I want to see how they all combine and work together when Weitering and Marchbank return

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #94
Semantics to a point.

If he does 1 good, athletic, eye-popping thing a game, and goes missing for the rest of it, is that because he hasn't reached his potential or he isn't consistent?
I'd say its potential.

If he has 1 solid game 1 week and a nothing game the next week, i'd say that is consistency.

He may have put together the odd solid game over his career, but he hasn't earned himself a 3 brownlow vote game in the way Nic Nat did. He is capable of it.....which is why its been frustrating.

Previously, people have seen glimpses, and extrapolate that out to a good performance.
When you break it down, the rest of the performances have usually been very much sub par. He is remembered for the 'almost' mark of the week attempts, and not for going missing for 20 minutes at a time. This is why i went to great depth to show people perceptions of what he was doing, was out of whack with what he was actually doing. Opposite was true with Pittonet/Silvagni.

NOW he is starting to find some more consistency and using his gifts we all knew he had. Taking some marks. Getting some ground balls. Sticking some tackles. Kicking some goals. This should be the norm from him, not the exception.

I said all along, i've got no issue with him, but he needed to perform, not just get a gig based on potential. He is starting to perform and we should keep it that way.

My only worry is that he is peforming now because he is fit and healthy. After getting banged up week in and week out, he may not be able to perform in the same way. Won't be able to jump as high, run as fast and pressure in the same manner due to niggles/injury. THEN it may become an issue.

I still maintain we run with 1 ruck, and he is my preference for now.
Maybe switch him out for Pittonet if he starts to carry a niggle, but don't play both.

No. He was playing better than that.  He wasn't a highlight reel player, he was just rucking well for a quarter or two and taking a strong mark every week that was eye popping. Then there is the fact that he hits the scoreboard, and genuinely creates panic when he drifts forward because he's athletic and can actually play as a forward. 
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #95
No. He was playing better than that.  He wasn't a highlight reel player, he was just rucking well for a quarter or two and taking a strong mark every week that was eye popping. Then there is the fact that he hits the scoreboard, and genuinely creates panic when he drifts forward because he's athletic and can actually play as a forward.
Yes, it seems pretty cut and dry.

Critics of TDK like to cherry-pick, when he rucks well they claim he can't hold marks, if he's hitting the scoreboard they will claim he was beaten in the ruck. Some of it is because they went early a year or two back calling him a dud and now they are happy to dig a hole just to stick to their guns, they sit quietly waiting for TDK to stumble so they can offer up the "told you so!"

FFS, how the hell can someone of TDK's stature and capability be some fans whipping boy? :o

btw., TDK's highlights aren't just as good as what opponents can do, they are often things other players his size just cannot do, stuff Grundy was previously capable of. Perhaps only a fit Draper is a current AFL equivalent.

If TDK becomes consistent in his output he'll be an object of AFL wide desire, now he is rapidly learning where to be and when, and he is also learning how to influence opponents using his positioning and presence, he is capable of getting to positions ahead of 95% of KPP opponents not just ruck opponents.

I watched last Thursday expecting the new rules to greatly benefit Nankervis, simple because they favour size and weight, but I was pleasantly surprised. TDK held his own, and when TDK found himself on the right side of the contest Nankervis couldn't go with him even if he started just an arm length away.

The Cats are still into him, they aren't going to let up, and others will join the fight to tear him away. They aren't interested in him because he's a highlight reel player. ;)
The Force Awakens!

 

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #96
Problem with Young playing alongside Wieters is that we lose run and creativity big time.
Young’s best is dour, do you really want to drop McGovern or Kemp ?
In modern football EVERYONE must be willing and able to create and run one failure and the whole team starts to flounder.

Why do we lose run and creativity with Young and Weitering playing together?

Yes, we have to lose one of our medium defenders (most likely Kemp as he is playing as the second key defender) but we still have an abundance of run and creativity with those that remain.  Weitering is the key to our defensive run and creativity.  He may not do much running but his positioning and ball use creates opportunities; his kick across the ground to Hollands in the Melbourne game is a prime example.

I think that a backline of Weitering, Young, McGovern, Newman, Saad, Williams and Kemp/Boyd has more run and creativity than a backline of Young, McGovern, Newman, Saad, Williams, Kemp and Boyd.  It would also be a stronger defence with the ability to counter two genuine key forwards.
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #97
Interesting discussion on the wireless:

A field umpire cannot use the score review process to determine whether a free kick should be paid.

The goal umpire called Charlie’s goal attempt a behind.  The reviewer determined that it was “umpire’s call”, ie a behind.  The point should stand and should be restored to our score (my conclusion).
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #98
I don't get any knocks on TDK... coming along nicely.

Still concerned with Hollands... yes, fantastic at 'pressure acts', first rate, but still seems to fumble with his offensive game. Yep, just a kid, too light and is learning, and maybe what he is doing at present is exactly what the coaches want from him, but I'd like to see him develop being dangerous with aggott in hand.

And I'm not in the pumping up Young group. Yep, doing a job, and doing it adequately. Does look better than last year but is that just feint praise? (Threw that in for you, Ye Rat O' the River  ;)  ;D  - sorry folks, its an 'in joke' between us). What One of the things that Young lacks is authority, which Weiters has in spades (yeah, yeah I know comparisons are unfair on Young... but the bottom line is that Weiters brings a great deal to our defense, and with him there, our defense is at its best which is what we want - our best).
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #99
Why do we lose run and creativity with Young and Weitering playing together?

Yes, we have to lose one of our medium defenders (most likely Kemp as he is playing as the second key defender) but we still have an abundance of run and creativity with those that remain.  Weitering is the key to our defensive run and creativity.  He may not do much running but his positioning and ball use creates opportunities; his kick across the ground to Hollands in the Melbourne game is a prime example.

I think that a backline of Weitering, Young, McGovern, Newman, Saad, Williams and Kemp/Boyd has more run and creativity than a backline of Young, McGovern, Newman, Saad, Williams, Kemp and Boyd.  It would also be a stronger defence with the ability to counter two genuine key forwards.
Any good defence must have aerial stopping power and Weiters and Young are our best available combo to get that imo, especially when we face the bigger/taller opposition forwards. Agree, that leaves plenty of scope to provide the additional run and creativity we need, depending on form and availability.
Reality always wins in the end.

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #100
No. He was playing better than that.  He wasn't a highlight reel player, he was just rucking well for a quarter or two and taking a strong mark every week that was eye popping. Then there is the fact that he hits the scoreboard, and genuinely creates panic when he drifts forward because he's athletic and can actually play as a forward.

I don't want to start this whole debate again, but you are proving my point. He 'hits the scoreboard'....Its a bit of an exageration of his efforts. He only averages a goal every 3 games.
Mitch McGovern averages almost a goal a game and he's been played in defence for half his career.
Silvagni averages 3 goals every 4 games.
Cripps averages over half a goal a game.

People remember the good things he does, but remember them happening more than they actually do. His actual output has been relatively poor considering the hype.
Thats why i come across as negative, because i point out he hasn't been as good as people say. Showing potential, absolutely. Not maximising it......yet.

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #101
I don't get any knocks on TDK... coming along nicely.

Still concerned with Hollands... yes, fantastic at 'pressure acts', first rate, but still seems to fumble with his offensive game. Yep, just a kid, too light and is learning, and maybe what he is doing at present is exactly what the coaches want from him, but I'd like to see him develop being dangerous with aggott in hand.

And I'm not in the pumping up Young group. Yep, doing a job, and doing it adequately. Does look better than last year but is that just feint praise? (Threw that in for you, Ye Rat O' the River  ;)  ;D  - sorry folks, its an 'in joke' between us). What One of the things that Young lacks is authority, which Weiters has in spades (yeah, yeah I know comparisons are unfair on Young... but the bottom line is that Weiters brings a great deal to our defense, and with him there, our defense is at its best which is what we want - our best).

I would say admirably rather than adequately.

Young has been our only tall key defender in both games.  In Round Zero, he had Daniher, Hipwood and, occasionally, McInerney to contend with.  Daniher managed 14 disposals and one goal and Hipwood had 9 disposals and one goal.  Young had 14 disposals, took 6 marks and made 7 spoils.  Of course, Young is part of a defensive unit and he relies on his fellow defenders for assistance just as he leaves his man to provide assistance when required.

Young played mostly on Lynch in Round One and, yes, you could argue that Lynch was underdone but he is still one of the premier key forwards in the game.  Lynch had 10 disposals and kicked two goals, both from soft free kicks (one against De Koning).  Young had 17 disposals (at 94%), took 10 marks and made six spoils.  Again, Young was ably supported by his teammates in defence, including our wingers.

Lynch's stats could have been a lot better if it hadn't been for Hollands covering some distance to spoil Lynch's marking attempts on at least two occasions.  On one of those occasions, Hollands got clean possession and rebounded from our defensive 50.  Yes, Ollie looks a little fumbly at times but he's in the team because of the effort he makes to get to contests and affect the outcome.

“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #102
I don't want to start this whole debate again, but you are proving my point. He 'hits the scoreboard'....Its a bit of an exageration of his efforts. He only averages a goal every 3 games.
Mitch McGovern averages almost a goal a game and he's been played in defence for half his career.
Silvagni averages 3 goals every 4 games.
Cripps averages over half a goal a game.

People remember the good things he does, but remember them happening more than they actually do. His actual output has been relatively poor considering the hype.
Thats why i come across as negative, because i point out he hasn't been as good as people say. Showing potential, absolutely. Not maximising it......yet.

Two thirds of Mitch's goals came from his three years as a forward with the Crows.  Exclude those three years and he averages less than one goal every two games and he played as a forward in at least half of those games.  That's one of the reasons he was moved to defence.  De Koning averages around one goal every three games, playing as a ruckman.  Max Gawn has to be one of the best goal kicking ruckmen and he averages around one goal every two games.  But then, Gawn doesn't have the likes of Charlie and Harry dominating the goal kicking.

The thing is that when Tom does go forward, he is a genuine scoring threat and the opposition have to send their ruckman or a key defender to him.  That makes life easier for our forwards.
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: AFL Rd 1 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond

Reply #103
Why do we lose run and creativity with Young and Weitering playing together?


Weiters for all his attributes is not a dasher, if Young stays in then one of McGovern or kemp goes out… therefore attack is reduced
Let’s go BIG !