The F Word. - Page 6

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Re: The F Word.

Reply #75 – June 05, 2016, 08:34:05 pm

On current form and taking injuries into account, we should win this week against the Saints quite comfortably.

After that we have the bye which is always a danger game.

Then it gets really interesting :

GWS away - very tough ask, can't see a win there
Collingwood @ home - hmm, should be a win but who knows
Adelaide @ home - nah, they might be a bit good for us
WCE @ home - they don't travel well but they will be hard to beat
Sydney away - good luck, they are a damn good team
Hawthorn away - might be pinchable but more likely a loss
St. Blunda @ home - yep, should be a solid win
Brisbane away - should be another win
Melbourne @ home - depends on which Dees team turns up, should be a win
Essendon away - percentage booster

Overall, we are looking at an end of season win/loss ratio of 11/11 which should have us finish around the 11-12 spots on the ladder.

If we were offered that at the start of the season we would of welcomed it with open arms.

Barring compo picks, priority picks and any other weirdo bonuses, we will start of with draft picks #7, #25, #43, #61, #79 & #97.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #76 – June 05, 2016, 08:45:03 pm

I think it's unrealistic for us to continue our good form for the full season. I would expect us to drop one or two that others may pencil in. But then, I always err on the conservative side.

Pies might get some of their stars back by then, and Hawks will be too good. Not hopeful on either of those. Melbourne are in good form and playing good consistent footy - Roos has had a good length of time to develop them, and it's looks like it's starting to bear fruit. Anyone of Essendon, Saints or Brissie could be the upset loss.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #77 – June 05, 2016, 09:44:16 pm

I like our style of play against the Hawks. Not saying we would start favourites but we're not out of it entirely.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #78 – June 05, 2016, 10:21:15 pm

Quote from: PaulP on June 05, 2016, 08:45:03 pm

I think it's unrealistic for us to continue our good form for the full season. I would expect us to drop one or two that others may pencil in. But then, I always err on the conservative side.

Pies might get some of their stars back by then, and Hawks will be too good. Not hopeful on either of those. Melbourne are in good form and playing good consistent footy - Roos has had a good length of time to develop them, and it's looks like it's starting to bear fruit. Anyone of Essendon, Saints or Brissie could be the upset loss.

A lot will also ride on what injuries we may get. Our depth is pretty thin.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #79 – June 05, 2016, 10:31:20 pm

Quote from: cookie2 on June 05, 2016, 10:21:15 pm

A lot will also ride on what injuries we may get. Our depth is pretty thin.

Another five wins is not unrealistic, provided we have a good run with injuries. We don't have a lot of blokes in the NBs demanding games and it would be preferable to play Charlie Curnow, McKay and Silvagni when they're ready, not because we have to.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #80 – June 06, 2016, 01:05:30 am

I would have been happy with 6-8 wins at the beginning of the season, to have 6 already is amazing!

I reckon 10-12 now, which would see us just miss out on the top 8, but still a far better season than I could have imagined, especially after round 4 !!

Re: The F Word.

Reply #81 – June 06, 2016, 08:21:15 am

Quote from: Amers on June 06, 2016, 01:05:30 am

I would have been happy with 6-8 wins at the beginning of the season, to have 6 already is amazing!

I reckon 10-12 now, which would see us just miss out on the top 8, but still a far better season than I could have imagined, especially after round 4 !!

Last night on SEN, they were talking about how this year, teams may require 14 wins to make the 8. Its normally 12 but due to the evenness...

Re: The F Word.

Reply #82 – June 06, 2016, 08:47:43 am

Quote from: Gointocarlton on June 06, 2016, 08:21:15 am

Last night on SEN, they were talking about how this year, teams may require 14 wins to make the 8. Its normally 12 but due to the evenness...

All any team is keep winning week after that. Except the North game, a reality check, we've done that very well in recent times.

Beating Brisbane by that margin, with the big names, not doing much is a very good sign.

Bookies on the Saints game:

Saints 2.25
Blues 1.61

Re: The F Word.

Reply #83 – June 06, 2016, 09:12:46 am

Quote from: TheSheik on June 05, 2016, 08:34:05 pm

Barring compo picks, priority picks and any other weirdo bonuses, we will start of with draft picks #7, #25, #43, #61, #79 & #97.

Don't we also have an extra pick from Geelong due to the Henderson deal ?

Re: The F Word.

Reply #84 – June 06, 2016, 09:44:26 am

Quote from: chalkybill on June 06, 2016, 09:12:46 am

Don't we also have an extra pick from Geelong due to the Henderson deal ?

I'm pretty sure we used that in a trade

Re: The F Word.

Reply #85 – June 06, 2016, 10:10:08 am

Most people think the 8 is set.

6. GWS
7. West Coast
8. Adelaide

GWS were on fire and after I declared they would win the flag have dropped two in a row.

West Coast and Adelaide look great at home but are vulnerable on the road.

We play the Giants away in rd 14 and the other two at the G in rd 16 and 17.

If we beat the saints and pies as we should on current form and win 2 of those 3 we will be in a good position.

It works out well that we have to beat the teams we want to replace.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #86 – June 06, 2016, 10:50:20 am

Quote from: chalkybill on June 06, 2016, 09:12:46 am

Don't we also have an extra pick from Geelong due to the Henderson deal ?

We passed on the Hendo pick to GWS for pick 8 last year (McKay)

We do have the Doggies 3rd round pick for this year up our sleeve though.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #87 – June 13, 2016, 10:58:16 am

Might be an opportune time for some people to revisit their thoughts on finals.

If we can't beat St. Blunda, then we are not worthy of playing finals and certainly won't win enough games to qualify.

We are a young team on the rise albeit it a slow one. However, we are still prone to brainfades & burnout purely due to inexperience and lack of battle fitness.

Naturally we should be aiming to win every match we play but having genuine intensity and competitiveness every week is so much more important to us right now.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #88 – June 13, 2016, 11:09:08 am

Point taken Mr Sheik!

Its the debate that matters, nothing wrong with pushing the boundaries of positivism.

Re: The F Word.

Reply #89 – June 13, 2016, 12:05:04 pm

we belong in the 13/14th bracket loaded up on some more draft picks and build a real team