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1
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Last post by DJC -
My friend and former colleague, Prof Catherine Bennett, has written an informative article about how Australia dropped the COVID ball after a very promising start:

https://www.bmj.com/content/380/bmj.p469

Catherine starts with;

“Even with its borders open and widespread infection happening for the better part of a year, Australia’s covid-19 mortality is 736 deaths per million—less than a quarter of Italy, the UK, and US, and just over half of Canada and Denmark.1 Applying the death rates of other countries on 20 February 2022 to the Australian population provides a rough indication of the lives saved through border closures and other measures to contain outbreaks in the first two years of the pandemic. If Australia had experienced the same cumulative fatality rate as Denmark, which had around 733 deaths per million people, then its death count would have been over 19 000, whereas it stood at 4901 on 20 February 2022.1 All other large western countries also fared worse, with mortality in Italy, the UK, and US exceeding 2500 per million people.1 Australia saved upwards of 60 000 lives by avoiding those very high death tolls.”

To reiterate, COVID mortality in Australia was 736 deaths per million compared to in excess of 2500 deaths per million in the USA and the UK.  The worst case scenario wasn’t happening in Australia because of the very effective measures put in place by Australian Governments.


4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Baggers -
Backs against the wall, line in the sand, facing 3 defeats in a row (to very good opposition).

We found a way to win. That's to be appreciated, respected and applauded. The Go Dees were always going to come back hard after qtr time, premium sides do that.

We owned the game for about 35 minutes, they owned the game for about 35 minutes... the rest was an even arm wrestle.

The effort from Petracca was a once in a season brilliance from one person.
5
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Lods -
It's funny.
It's a bit like sex. :D  :D  :D (If I remember correctly how that sometimes goes.)  :o

"Satisfaction" or "Dissapointment" in a performance is very much based on expectation and is time dependent.

Before the game if we were told we'd win against an in-form top side like Melbourne, even though we'd only win by a point, we'd have been elated.

At quarter time if we'd been told we'd win by a point we'd still be happy but we'd wonder where it we would go pear shape.

At the end of the game, probably the most accurate way to describe the feeling is 'relief'.

When it's all boiled down..."A win is a win" ;) ...and one you knock back is one you don't get. ;D
7
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
Last post by Lods -
We've had three tough games in a row.
Our players looked pretty stuffed (although, happily smiling) at the end of last night's game.
This fourth will be really difficult.

We need to up our pressure which still seems to be well short of last year at times.
Heeney is a worry in a similar fashion to Petracca.
Can play a few roles and be hard to match up on.



8
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Lods -
Voss seemed quite upbeat at the press conference and on reflection you can kind of see why.
There's a lot of good to highlight this week as well as there is bad in a ten minute lapse at the end.
We went too defensive and our own scoring dried up, but... for most of the night we've broke even or even beaten most of their dangerous players and prime movers...except one.

Had Petracca not got off the leash it wouldn't have been close...possibly over by half-time.
He not only had influence in his own scoring but brought other players into the game and lifted the side.
We need to find an answer when we next play them.
Kennedy went well at the start but once Petracca moved forward he switched to marking Viney.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by pinot -
Good win and still many problems - no idea why Kemp was dropped last week.
Pitto had a better rounded game - but comedy central when we needed run in the last and Pitto handballed to TDK expecting him to clear it which he did - but at that moment we needed a runner not a ruckman.
If I see Cincotta dropped for ZW there is going to be a riot.
Ollie while not perfect was productive and didn't mind his game - just wondering how many games we are going to squeeze out of Martin this year