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Messages - Baggers

3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
Yes. There's a sizeable body of work recently that suggests we won't be blown away, and we are a real chance to win every game. But the Swans are a pretty tall order at the moment IMO.

Yep. The one potent thing we're confronted with against the Fluffy Ducks is that they maintain pressure for four qtrs. We tend to have a lapse in just about every game, and that's all they will need to open up a lead... and keep it.
6
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Just to dot point what im saying.  The vaccines were garbage the lockdowns not so much.

Real life, anecdotal story.

This little black duck, fully vaccinated with one booster, has had Covid about four times. The first three times barely noticing the symptoms - day or two of mild fever, mild sore throat, mild runny nose. Then a complete recovery. Over the past nine months I've not had my boosters - silly boy. Got Covid again about three/four weeks ago. Thought things would follow the usual symptomology. Nuh. Couple of days mild fever etc... then it got progressively worse, into the chest/lungs. Ended up with bronchitis and mild pneumonia for around five to seven days. Coughing up things that should have hopped out of my lungs into the nearest pond to join the other frogs! No need for hospitalisation, never got anywhere near that bad - thank the gods for a strong immune system. Completely recovered now.

I recall me posting when I had the mild symptoms recently and then Principal LODS posting that it can develop and get worse... he was right, and I only had myself to blame. Guess who's booked in for a booster shot soon. (Ps the doc diagnosed it was Covid that I had, not another flu etc.)
7
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
For those getting stuck into hollads I'll say re watch quarter 1.


He set us up in a big way. 

Until the 'heat' arrived in the 2nd half. Those of us who are critical of Ollie are not critical of his endeavour and effort. And we're not saying he's no good, or should not be out there. Simply observations of his inexperience in tight and physical situations. He's a ripper... with things to clean up on, especially hurting the opposition with his disposal, strengthening his body to stick tackles, surety by hand and foot in pressure situations... they'll come in time. But they're real shortcomings at present.

And everyone looked amazing in our first half, until the Go Dees brought the heat, then the wheat was sorted from the chaff.
8
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Not sure about Charlie in that role - I think Newman might have been the best available option after McGovern was toasted a couple of times.  If Cincotta hadn't been so much on top of Pickett, he might have been worth a try.

Exactly what I thought. Cincotta would have been great, but then Pickett would have gotten off the leash and potentially wreaked havoc. Newman would have been the man.
9
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Backs against the wall, line in the sand, facing 3 defeats in a row (to very good opposition).

We found a way to win. That's to be appreciated, respected and applauded. The Go Dees were always going to come back hard after qtr time, premium sides do that.

We owned the game for about 35 minutes, they owned the game for about 35 minutes... the rest was an even arm wrestle.

The effort from Petracca was a once in a season brilliance from one person.
10
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Of course it is, because its makes no sense. Its not like we need a defensive minded mid to play on superstar mids that the opposition has.....
oh wait.
*facepalm*

Well, at the risk of seeming like a smarty pants, I suspected Hewett or Cerra. Balance. Plus Hewett was a little slow last week and would be a good replacement for a tired (or injured) mid when some of the early heat has gone out of the game.
11
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
The issue is that the data used to support both sets of numbers were used to paint a picture.

The adverse reactions to the vaccines under reported as coincidences.  Likewise the number of people significantly impacted by covid were over stated.

The vaccine companies (all) made wide sweeping shonky claims afmbout efficacy to go with it and you end up with a scenario where most people questioned what the best outcome was going to be. 

When you strip it all bare, covid was no walk in the park.  It isn't the killer it was made out to be either but it left the general public questioning what was the lesser of two evils and real doctors were silenced on the matter and it became politicised.

Where you sit in any of it is subjective and largely determined by personal choices but I saw some extremely autocratic behaviour which I'm hoping never gets repeated.

I think there is a fair bit of hindsight going on, 3 Leos. At the time, we just didn't know. Worst case scenario seemed plausible and frightening.
Science and pollies were all on the back foot and unsure, and most were doing their best.
I don't recall any vaccine manufacturer claiming 100% safety; they spoke of the potential -- albeit low -- risk for some people, hence staying in surgeries/pharmacies for 15 minutes after the innoculation before leaving. But as troubling as it was to know, there was a low risk for some folks, as there is with every medication/vaccine.
In hindsight some pollies overreacted and some under-reacted. Few got it right - in hindsight.



12
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
I think they can come across like that, but it's mostly a defence mechanism, particularly if they are late career scientists and engineers.

Maybe those who seem to be a touch on a spectrum, which is often more common than you might think, can have a very myopic approach being heavily focussed on one specific area, and that can leave others thinking they are dismissive or arrogant. It's more common than you might suspect, little eccentricities that annoy everyday folk.

On the issue of genuine arrogance, I find that it's very rare a good scientist is arrogant, in most cases the very good scientists doubt and question everything even their own work, which is actually the default scientific process.


I think I understand where you're coming from, Spotted One... so a point of clarification. When I use the word 'arrogant' pertaining to scientists/engineers/physicists and so on, I don't see it as a negative but rather a necessity for someone pursuing their goal provided it is often balanced with humility (but not so much you get walked over) and that humility often shows itself in questioning whatever they're doing and the way they're doing it, which you mention.

Right on the money when you bring in the 'spectrum' and how these folks may appear... their people skills are often not their strong suit. Not too many amazing scientific discoveries made by people who aren't/weren't bi-polar, Asperger... etc.
13
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
A common stress for the scientists and engineers is driven by doubt, that is the "imposter syndrome", they get bashed by the media and social media fakers and start to worry, this has a real world effect just like the PTSD you describe, and much of this doubt is seeded for profit, to sell adverting, newspapers or to beg for donations / subscriptions.

Strange, but most of the scientists and engineers I know couldn't give a fig about social media, in fact their confidence borders on arrogance... which is necessary to further their work.

I suspect you might like the work of Eric Weinstein. He dissects brilliantly the challenges facing modern day innovators/thinkers/creatives/physicists/mathematicians... He's no slouch in speaking out -- and has done for decades -- about the modern day blocks and stupidity of politicians to these invaluable folks.