Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Reply #2643 –
It's not what your common sense thinks it is either, you need to understand The Monty Hall problem to understand why common sense fails.
The risk isn't accumulative in a relative framework, whether you drive 1 kilometre or 1000 the chance or dying in kilometre 1 is the same as the chance of dying in kilometre 1000. And the risk in kilometre 1001 is the same as the risk in any of the previous 1000 kilometres.
Secondly, and very very importantly, when you take the vaccine jab you aren't increasing risk, you are reducing risk.
See that logic is flawed.
HOW you drive is just as important, than how far and for how long.
i.e. with your driving statistics, who's level of driving are we talking? The person who consistently speeds, and drives an older car with minimal safety features and doesnt wear a seat belt? Are we talking about an elderly or young person with better or lesser reactive skills? Are we talking a new car with all the mod cons, and safety measures driving at greater than or less than the speed limit?
IMHO, the factors surrounding how, what where and when you drive, is far more important than any fudged statisic. Some people solely drive in peak hour traffic inching along at 10ks an hour. The stats on death might profile the average driver, but dont catch all drivers behaviour, and thats where these studies really fall apart.
THATS why when people start talking about the vaccine with similar statistical analysis, and omit the key data (such as people in their 40's developing low platelet counts and bloodclots) and some flaky data on how safe and effective this vaccine is, then it already lives in assertion of grey area.
LP, think of this forum as a think tank. I see the angle you are arguing. You have taken the company line, and are actively pushing it. I am of a different philosophy. Entertain the idea, keep entertaining it, view all angles, viewpoints, perspectives, and then try and determine what the best course of action is.
This is not for one person or body to determine IMHO. I dont want to debate COVID and its ability to impact. All it takes is a mutation for that game to become seriously deadly, but then there is a different argument. If people are exposed to the virus now, they might have better immunity to a mutant version.
If the deaths that are covid related are being recorded accurate (from covid, not with covid) then it also changes things.