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Early Season Games

I've been having think lately about how our early season games have impacted us over the past couple of years.
Generally Richmond is a given for round 1 (or 2 for 2014), but it's the flanking game that seems to impact us the most.

Port Adelaide:
PA finished 2013 in the 8, but were eliminated in the first week of the finals. In 2012 they were the laughing stock of the AFL.
We played them in round 1 2014 with high expectations of the win. We lose, we have a crappy year the rest is history.
PA Win and end up 5th for the season (including winning 9 of their 1st 10 games).

West Coast:
WCE finished 2014 just outside the 8 and 2013 was a fairly poor season finishing 13th.
Our rd 2 match this year was an expected win as they "didn't have a back line". We lost, we've had a crappy year, the rest will be history.
WCE win. They've now won 12 of 15 games and sit 2nd on the ladder.

So my question is, are losses to the early season "surprise packets", in games we expected to win, having an impact on the rest of our season?
Would we rather play teams from the top 4 the previous year to remove these expectations? We lose round 2 this year and then immediately after that match "we're re-building"! Would that have been mentioned had we have know what WCE were going to produce so far this year?
Let other teams work out who the surprise packets are and then we can play them in later rounds.
Thoughts?

Re: Early Season Games

Reply #1
No chance Marky. I think it takes a run of three or four games before you can really establish where you're at. Unfortunately in every season under Mick we lost our first three or four and that set the scene for the remainder of the year.
Ignorance is bliss.

ONWARDS AND UPWARDS!

Re: Early Season Games

Reply #2
We can't control the fixture anyway. We must become the surprise packets  :D

Re: Early Season Games

Reply #3
I agree with Carrots. We start off on the wrong foot with any teams early and it sets the tone for where our list is at. Under Mick we would have had troubles early no matter who we played. We need to fix the list and have a coaching group that can develop the entire senior squad. The same goes for the NB's. A very strict and cautious approach to who we bring into the side. No more Thomas, Tutt , Dick, Jones entries. Or Lucas types over a Tahlia. We also need to find a future Judd or two also. That's my tack Markncf.  ;)

I assume the last 3 letters of your title don't mean what I think it means.  ;D
This digital world is too much for us insects to understand.

Re: Early Season Games

Reply #4
New City Footscray?
Ignorance is bliss.

ONWARDS AND UPWARDS!


Re: Early Season Games

Reply #6
Don't expect any favours from the fixture next season. It's TV rights negotiation time again, so expect 2 games against Richmond, Collingwood and Essendon. Expect more Saturday night games against the Hawthorns, Norths and Geelong and Sunday games interstate against non Victorian clubs, as that swells the TV numbers.

Hawthorn, Collingwood, Richmond and Bulldogs to get the lions share of Friday night games.

I also wonder if Fox Footy will tip in as much money again? With the world wide trend being streaming and Australia changing to the NBN as well as the massive take up of Netflix, over the next 5 years I can see the main way we watch football at home is a streamed internet game.

Re: Early Season Games

Reply #7
Don't expect any favours from the fixture next season. It's TV rights negotiation time again, so expect 2 games against Richmond, Collingwood and Essendon. Expect more Saturday night games against the Hawthorns, Norths and Geelong and Sunday games interstate against non Victorian clubs, as that swells the TV numbers.

Hawthorn, Collingwood, Richmond and Bulldogs to get the lions share of Friday night games.

I also wonder if Fox Footy will tip in as much money again? With the world wide trend being streaming and Australia changing to the NBN as well as the massive take up of Netflix, over the next 5 years I can see the main way we watch football at home is a streamed internet game.

Conspiracy theory time...
The AFL 'expirimented' with the fixture last season and to a lesser extent this season (Thursdays) in order to test the market. Usually, increasing $'s is their main focus. However, given the players are asking for more and more money, and the media rights are up at the end of next year, the AFL now has a leg to stand on to knock them back for an excessive increase.

In short, the AFL don't want to pay increasing salaries to clubs, so they took a hit in the hip pocket