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Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2310
Considering how few covid cases and how few covid deaths we've actually had the vaccine can't have a degree of failure that is as high as reported.

We are batting at 909 deaths off 29112 positive cases.

Off 25 million people thats tiny, so if this vaccine is even moderately dangerous then we are likely to cause more damage than we solve with it at the moment.  That could easily change but you know what I mean.
That doesn't mean the rest of the population will never get COVID, the vaccine prevents future infections the past is almost irrelevant when compared to the potential of COVID over the coming months.

Most deadly thing might be complacency!
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2311
That doesn't mean the rest of the population will never get COVID, the vaccine prevents future infections the past is almost irrelevant when compared to the potential of COVID over the coming months.

Most deadly thing might be complacency!
I did say that this could change.

You also assume that people who get covid get symptoms and get tested and are confirmed positive.

The ratios could be worse or better than advertised depending on false positives and false negatives or even people who are positive dont get sick and don't get tested.

You give 25 million people a vaccine and if its 1 in 1000 that end up with a problem you condemn 25000 people guaranteed to potentially save 1 in God knows how many positive who are also categorised as high risk and likely to kick it.

Its like driving yourself crazy trying to stop yourself from going crazy.

Might as well just let yourself go crazy and be done with it.

Note this isn't me stating we should let it rip.  I think what we are currently doing is a perfectly fine approach sans vaccine.


"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2312
Personally I'd chuck coppers in that group, they deal with all the awful things in our world for two tenths of SFA.

Absolutely. Sorry about that. Coppers, absolutely, got some really good copper buddies here on the Island. And although they might come under the general carer/medico heading... ambos - champs.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2313

You give 25 million people a vaccine and if its 1 in 1000 that end up with a problem you condemn 25000 people guaranteed to potentially save 1 in God knows how many positive who are also categorised as high risk and likely to kick it.
That's 0.1% of vaccinations if it's correct, but the global stats suggest the chance of severe reaction is even lower.

The figures just for COVID-19 deaths, not including severe illness and long term COVID-19 effects, is 2000%(20x) worse! The global death average is 2.2%, for 25 million infections that is 550,000 deaths or 2200% worse than your vaccines kill example!

Using severe reactions to the vaccine as the argument just doesn't make sense, because so far the vaccines are proving 100% effective at reducing or eliminating severe COVID-19 cases, so even if your are correct that's a 2190% improvement!

COVID-19 is a Corona virus, the same as the common cold, everybody gets it sooner or later, all 25.5 million of us! Which is why the scientists are now working hard on a generic broad spectrum vaccine that has a chance of working against any variant of coronavirus.

The "do not get the vaccine it's not safe" argument, is akin to arguing against car seat belts because they only save 98% of car accident victims.
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2314
That's 0.1% of vaccinations if it's correct, but the global stats suggest the chance of severe reaction is even lower.

The figures just for COVID-19 deaths, not including severe illness and long term COVID-19 effects, is 2000%(20x) worse! The global death average is 2.2%, for 25 million infections that is 550,000 deaths or 2200% worse than your vaccines kill example!

Using severe reactions to the vaccine as the argument just doesn't make sense, because so far the vaccines are proving 100% effective at reducing or eliminating severe COVID-19 cases, so even if your are correct that's a 2190% improvement!

COVID-19 is a Corona virus, the same as the common cold, everybody gets it sooner or later, all 25.5 million of us! Which is why the scientists are now working hard on a generic broad spectrum vaccine that has a chance of working against any variant of coronavirus.

The "do not get the vaccine it's not safe" argument, is akin to arguing against car seat belts because they only save 98% of car accident victims.

Putting on a seat belt isn't going to harm you, getting a jab with a vaccine that nine countries have pulled might.
The herd immunity theory demands that some of the herd have to be sacrificed... why not keep those sacrificial numbers lower by using the safer vaccines and not the one that is the cheapest, easiest to store and distribute. It's clear the astrazeneca is the worst of the vaccines, why are we being forced into having it when other countries have suspended or scrapped it.
Why are we not waiting for the Novavax or JJ one dose variety...because they cost more to buy and store?

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2315
The herd immunity theory demands that some of the herd have to be sacrificed... why not keep those sacrificial numbers lower by using the safer vaccines and not the one that is the cheapest, easiest to store and distribute. It's clear the astrazeneca is the worst of the vaccines, why are we being forced into having it when other countries have suspended or scrapped it.
Why are we not waiting for the Novavax or JJ one dose variety...because they cost more to buy and store?
Because they aren't necessarily better or safer, and each day that passes does take a fiscal toll.

I'm glad you pointed out that the natural herd immunity approach initially preferred by some requires a sacrifice, Viking style I suppose!

Still serious side effects or death from vaccine derived immunity would be just a fraction of the deaths or serious effects of gaining herd immunity but natural means.

@ElwoodBlues1  What is the evidence that either Novavax or J&J is safer and / or cheaper?
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2316
Putting on a seat belt isn't going to harm you, getting a jab with a vaccine that nine countries have pulled might.
Not putting a seal belt possibly kills you, and perhaps also indicates your propensity to take risks that kill others, like not getting a jab!
The Force Awakens!


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2318
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/three-people-in-norway-treated-for-unusual-symptoms-after-astrazeneca-covid-19-shots-20210314-p57aj3.html
In the UK, they seem to think some regions where politics have overtaken science are cherry-picking correlations, because the the numbers do not show more than expected.

Phil Bryan, head of the UK Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) said reports of blood clots so far didn't exceed what would have occurred naturally in the vaccinated population.

"Available evidence does not confirm that the vaccine is the cause," he said.

More than 11 million doses of AstraZeneca's vaccine have so far been administered across the UK.

As I've mentioned before, a lot of politics in all this, EU countries profit from Pfizer and Novavax as they are made for the EU within the EU, but not so much from AstraZeneca as it manufacturing is distributed globally. J&J vaccine was developed by Janssen (Netherlands) has partnered with Merck (Germany and Belgium), so again Merck make in the EU.

The alerts and reactions do not match the level of risk exposed in the stats.
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2319
LP you don't think we're playing politics considering AstraZ is what we have invested the most in?

It would be a disaster if it had to be canned.

2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2320
LP you don't think we're playing politics considering AstraZ is what we have invested the most in?

It would be a disaster if it had to be canned.
If it is blocked due to politics not due to medical and scientific evidence it'll be tragic, the UK can't hand out 11 million doses, and other countries millions and millions more, and not be seeing the same effects if they are real world effects.

btw., Norway is assessing about 30 deaths they think are associated with Pfizer as well, they claim they were from the first 42,000 Pfizer vaccinations, why aren't we seeing that reported? If that is true that is more than 10x higher than the alleged AstraZeneca vaccine death rate?
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2321
In the UK, they seem to think some regions where politics have overtaken science are cherry-picking correlations, because the the numbers do not show more than expected.

Phil Bryan, head of the UK Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) said reports of blood clots so far didn't exceed what would have occurred naturally in the vaccinated population.

"Available evidence does not confirm that the vaccine is the cause," he said.

More than 11 million doses of AstraZeneca's vaccine have so far been administered across the UK.

As I've mentioned before, a lot of politics in all this, EU countries profit from Pfizer and Novavax as they are made for the EU within the EU, but not so much from AstraZeneca as it manufacturing is distributed globally. J&J vaccine was developed by Janssen (Netherlands) has partnered with Merck (Germany and Belgium), so again Merck make in the EU.

The alerts and reactions do not match the level of risk exposed in the stats.
LP, People are getting blood clots 2-3 days after the jab and you think there is no link, just coincidence?
Sth Africa canned it because it was only 25%
effective in their trials vs their own new strain.
They went with the more expensive JJ and the govt would have lost money..

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2322
LP, People are getting blood clots 2-3 days after the jab and you think there is no link, just coincidence?
Sth Africa canned it because it was only 25%
effective in their trials vs their own new strain.
They went with the more expensive JJ and the govt would have lost money..
Firstly, I'm not in a position to postulate a link to anything, I have to listen to the experts, not the media and politicians. The experts are saying the rate of incidents is basically the same as would be expected in that number of people over that period of time. As I've said before, when you start handing out millions and millions of shots you'll get all sorts of conditions occurring coincidentally.

btw., Norway's COVID rate is accelerating, now 800 new cases per million per week. COVID-19 also causes clotting, it now listed as one of the severe conditions associated with an infection! ;)

PS; It seems a bit rich to me to now be taking vaccine advice from countries that wanted natural herd immunity to do the same job just a few months ago!

I thought J&J was supposed to be cheaper, because the media spin is the cost is similar but it is only a single dose regime? Whether it is safer is not debateable because hardly any has been issued yet, compared to Pfizer or AstraZeneca, J&J greater safety is not yet based on the same level of evidence as Pfizer of AstraZeneca!
The Force Awakens!

 

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2323
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnlamattina/2021/03/12/what-else-can-go-wrong-with-astrazenecas-covid-19-vaccine/?sh=e07a32e4b5cb

More countries cooling on it...Germany and France dont want a bar of it and the author of that article is suggesting the USA flog it to 3rd world nations to make a buck as its seen as inferior.  How many more countries do we need to can it before Scotty wakes up we can do better with the other vaccines.
If the English want to go down saluting the home grown product then good luck to them, doesnt mean we have to follow like sheep ...
Scotty has just had his second dose of Pfizer.....yet is spruking the AstraZ....how comforting...

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2324
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnlamattina/2021/03/12/what-else-can-go-wrong-with-astrazenecas-covid-19-vaccine/?sh=e07a32e4b5cb

More countries cooling on it...Germany and France dont want a bar of it and the author of that article is suggesting the USA flog it to 3rd world nations to make a buck as its seen as inferior.  How many more countries do we need to can it before Scotty wakes up we can do better with the other vaccines.
If the English want to go down saluting the home grown product then good luck to them, doesnt mean we have to follow like sheep ...
Scotty has just had his second dose of Pfizer.....yet is spruking the AstraZ....how comforting...
As I've already mentioned, there is a lot of politics in all this, I'll take my advice from medical specialist and scientists not investment advisors. He might well have a case for being worried about your AstraZeneca investments given the media coverage, but nothing much he writes has relevance to the vaccination programs.

Ironically, nobody is asking given the millions and millions of doses of Pfizer already issue how they can't be reporting the same cases at the background level, is it the miracle vaccine against all illness and disease? Perhaps though it's due to selective reporting?

Most royalites paid for mRNA vaccine to the US and Germany are derived from Pfizer, not AstraZeneca.
The Force Awakens!