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Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #450
I worry the collapse of Sun Cable will be just the first in a series of Green Energy failures, but to me it's inevitable simply because the promises from much of the Renewable Energy industry are just as ethereal as the promises of clean coal!

Pundits will claim the clean green energy industry has been hijacked by profiteers, but in reality it's a mirage, because clean green and renewables do not necessarily mean low carbon or sustainable, even though it's freely implied in the renewable marketing, I doubt even the brochures the investment portfolio comes printed on can be fully recycled!

That doesn't mean clean and green isn't the right thing to pursue, it just means the current version of it stinks to high heaven!
The Force Awakens!

 

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #451
Here is one of the hidden issues related to EVs, weight!
Quote
An official with the US Dept Tranport, Jennifer Homendy, raised the issue in a speech in Washington to the Transportation Research Board. She noted, by way of example, that an electric GMC Hummer weighs about 9,000 pounds (4,000 kilograms), with a battery pack that alone is 2,900 pounds (1,300 kilograms)—roughly the entire weight of a typical Honda Civic.

"I'm concerned about the increased risk of severe injury and death for all road users from heavier curb weights and increasing size, power, and performance of vehicles on our roads, including electric vehicles," Homendy said in remarks prepared for the group.

The extra weight that EVs typically carry stems from the outsize mass of their batteries. To achieve 300 or more miles (480 or more kilometers) of range per charge from an EV, batteries have to weigh thousands of pounds.
End users do not realise, but the weight of a battery required to match a tank of fuel can be as high as 10x the mass of that tank of fuel. In a typical 4-door sedan configuration an 80L tank holds about 75kg of fuel for 650km on a typical use cycle, for the same range the battery would have to weigh at least 650kg or more subject to the type of battery technology.

Yet it is one of the key reasons users report the elegant EV ride, they have more mass per cubic centimetre of car than just about anything else on the road. When you want something to move smoothly in a straight line, you can't beat inertia and kinetic energy!

It's pretty lucky those EVs have heaps of torque isn't it?
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #452
Propaganda is propaganda.

That message in the current world state of play is not for anyone interested in saving the world and clean energy.  Its a statement to show the world how much further ahead the USA is than they are.
At the same time, showing how backwards the USA is with their thinking.

When Climate change takes over the world and we all are about to die, the Americans will be sitting atop the rocky mountains with the water lapping at their feet still holding onto all their weapons ready to defend their last remaining hill against 'the enemy'. They will declare themselves the 'winners of humanity' and overlook the fact that they have also doomed humanity with their (lack of) actions at the same time.

True leaders would turn their focus to the future of the planet. Its the one thing we all have in common and the best way to defeat the enemy is to befriend them. The old the enemy of my enemy is my friend saying, with the enemy being climate change.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #453
Here is one of the hidden issues related to EVs, weight!End users do not realise, but the weight of a battery required to match a tank of fuel can be as high as 10x the mass of that tank of fuel. In a typical 4-door sedan configuration an 80L tank holds about 75kg of fuel for 650km on a typical use cycle, for the same range the battery would have to weigh at least 650kg or more subject to the type of battery technology.

Yet it is one of the key reasons users report the elegant EV ride, they have more mass per cubic centimetre of car than just about anything else on the road. When you want something to move smoothly in a straight line, you can't beat inertia and kinetic energy!

It's pretty lucky those EVs have heaps of torque isn't it?
I read if you put a EV battery config in a large dual cab ute you will be adding the weight of a Honda Civic to the Ute.
Our roads are only designed to take a certain weight with regards total car mass and given 40% of new vehicles sold are of the large Ute variety good luck dodging the dents and holes in the roads which means Vicroads will be looking to increase its earnings which means we will all be paying for those EV Utes.
And good luck with the range on those 3.5 tonne unladen full EV Utes with a Caravan or boat attached when your weekend getaway to Knobs creek finds your intrinsic value for Kilometres specified cut by plenty thanks to all that extra weight.
https://www.whichcar.com.au/reviews/2023-ldv-et60-review-electric-ute
So its not much use for towing or offroad and has sub par handling.....but it will look impressive in the primary school carpark picking up the kids at twice the price of a combustion version and you are doing your bit for cleaner air. Good luck to LDV , they are going to need it....



Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #454
I read if you put a EV battery config in a large dual cab ute you will be adding the weight of a Honda Civic to the Ute.
Our roads are only designed to take a certain weight with regards total car mass and given 40% of new vehicles sold are of the large Ute variety good luck dodging the dents and holes in the roads which means Vicroads will be looking to increase its earnings which means we will all be paying for those EV Utes.
And good luck with the range on those 3.5 tonne unladen full EV Utes with a Caravan or boat attached when your weekend getaway to Knobs creek finds your intrinsic value for Kilometres specified cut by plenty thanks to all that extra weight.
https://www.whichcar.com.au/reviews/2023-ldv-et60-review-electric-ute
So its not much use for towing or offroad and has sub par handling.....but it will look impressive in the primary school carpark picking up the kids at twice the price of a combustion version and you are doing your bit for cleaner air. Good luck to LDV , they are going to need it....




Adding to the above, if you add that much extra weight via battery to these utes, you have to limit the amount they can carry....which defeats the purpose!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #455
Yes, EV batteries are heavy; 625kg for a 100kw Tesla battery.  However, EVs have other weight savings; electric motors weigh around 45kg and there's no transmission as such.  Typical ICE vehicles have a 150kg engine and a 100kg transmission plus exhaust, fuel pump, fuel tank, fuel, filters, fuel lines, DPFs, oil, etc, say another 100kg. 

A Hilux has a kerb weight of 2100kg and a GVM of 3100kg.  An EV Hilux would have a kerb weight of around 2500kg and, therefore, its payload would be reduced to 600kg or four hefty chaps and a couple of eskies full of refreshments. 
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #456
Quote
Word has it that an electric version of the Toyota LandCruiser 70 Series recently broke the dynamometer at the Denso Automotive Systems’ testing facility in Clayton during testing in its state-of-the-art climatic chamber.

Kerb weight and GVM haven’t been released but the price tag is $200K 🫤
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #457
Adding to the above, if you add that much extra weight via battery to these utes, you have to limit the amount they can carry....which defeats the purpose!
This is what started the whole debate, in the US it appears much of this has slipped past the regulators, as it does technology usually moves faster than the law.

The law makers and officials are just starting to catch up which what the basis of the quote I posted earlier. To drive one of these EV Utes or 4WD equivalents with a large boat or trailer the rules around GVM and road safety are going to need revision.

Also, when you think about battery mass versus charge and range, you can see that some of the claims being made by EV makers must be bullcrap, there seems to be unavoidable physics between battery mass and capacity that put limits on what is possible.

Further more, here in Oz, the grid/network just doesn't exist to allow too many of these big capacity EVs to roam around and be rapidly recharged, they consume so much juice overnight, it's like having a small factory on wheels to set up shop in random overnight locations and suck down the kilowatts. FYI, slow charge is typically 2kW/hr to 3kW/hr, and those big batteries take 30 to 40hrs to slow charge 80% as they hold 80kW or more at full charge. So to travel any major distance for a few days with the usual overnight stays they need fast chargers that suck down 30kW/hr to 50kW/hr of juice to deliver a suitable range the next morning. For reference most peoples home will average in summer with the air-conditioning on somewhere under 6kW/hr, maybe they get to 10kW/hr average if they also have the oven, dishwasher, kettle and dryer running! But over 24hrs the average comes in under 5kW/hr, it's no coincidence that solar panel installs are typically 5kW!

The beautiful thing about EVs, is that the laws of physics for electrical engineering are well known, and motors and transformers are already very efficient. So do not be sucked into some company claiming they found a new way to improve efficiency or range outside of providing bigger batteries, any such claim is bullcrap because there isn't enough scope left in designs to gain anything significant! Work done(kilometers driven or loads towed) have to obey the basic kinetic and potential energy equations. Unfortunately, the car industry is still full of people who grew up on "our car is more efficient" or "more economical", so much of the same spin remains.
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #458
it's no coincidence that solar panel installs are typically 5kW!
I think you should revise that statement. At least if you are referring to your typical residential solar panel install.

The reason that they are about 5kw, is that is about the real estate available on your average house.

When i got mine 10-odd years ago, we got 3.3kw simply due to price, but was an upgrade on what the standard install was at the time. If we maxed out our roof space, we
The beautiful thing about EVs, is that the laws of physics for electrical engineering are well known, and motors and transformers are already very efficient. So do not be sucked into some company claiming they found a new way to improve efficiency or range outside of providing bigger batteries, any such claim is bullcrap because there isn't enough scope left in designs to gain anything significant! Work done(kilometers driven or loads towed) have to obey the basic kinetic and potential energy equations. Unfortunately, the car industry is still full of people who grew up on "our car is more efficient" or "more economical", so much of the same spin remains.
'New technology' will come in terms of KERS and the like. Recovering energy, thus using less energy by comparison.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #459
I think you should revise that statement. At least if you are referring to your typical residential solar panel install.

The reason that they are about 5kw, is that is about the real estate available on your average house.
True there is a limit to the capacity based on the available area, but that's not the reason why capacity has stalled at 6kW.

Firstly, for many years 5kW feed in was the legal cap, this was to prevent the grid being overloaded by changes in cloud cover.

Secondly, because houses typically require about 2 - 3kwh on average there is no motivation to deliver higher capacity, they are already a factor of 2 or 3 above the daily average, which over about 3/4 of the year is enough, add to that the assumption that batteries will become better and cheaper and can store the surplus, and that the energy efficiency of households will improve reducing the consumption. Hopefully, we all have liquid fuel cells on on premise hydrogen generators that can store energy during daylight hours and hand it back overnight.

When feed in tariff were higher, there was some motivation to install bigger systems, but now the feed in tariffs are much lower and the ROI exceeds the average life of the installation.

Add to that, I bet it won't be long before fridges, ovens, dishwashers, washing machines, all sorts of appliances come with built in smart battery systems, storing the energy they need during daylight hours to function overnight. This modular lower cost option seems to be the better way to approach the problem than large monolithic cells. It would also naturally adds capacity to overcome the vast majority of blackouts.

When i got mine 10-odd years ago, we got 3.3kw simply due to price, but was an upgrade on what the standard install was at the time. If we maxed out our roof space, we 'New technology' will come in terms of KERS and the like. Recovering energy, thus using less energy by comparison.
Regalrdess of KERS and other technologies, they can only work in the difference margin between 100% efficiency and real world efficiency. It's not much, the biggest potential gains are to come from thermal efficiency / management where the bulk of the loss occurs in inductive systems like motors, electromagnets and switching(mechanical or solid state). A lot of the waste energy is lost heating stuff we do not need heated, but even so it's typically less than a 10% or 15% gain to be made in older systems, and in many modern systems it's less than 5%.
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #460
Guess what is becoming the next big environmental issue, with a push to restrict / limit resource consumption to be floated at the next COP meeting?

Environmental damage from the production of batteries!

What will that mean long term for the use of EVs or Home Solar Batteries?

Functionally, we need a new battery technology and quickly, perhaps even faster than we need more renewable energy! Lithium mining is a disaster, and battery production is one of the dirtiest industries on the planet, perhaps even dirtier than the fossil fuel industries it replaces. Ignore those posters showing lab like pristine conditions with efficient machinery pumping out mass produced batteries by the metre. That lab is the con, the last shiny stage of the process at best, what they don't show you is the filthy bucket chemistry and sweat shop conditions used to refine and prepare the raw materials.

Even though lithium is abundant, naturally occurring lithium of the required quality is very rare. For example Australia is one of the worlds richest lithium sources,  but the vast bulk of the lithium mined in Australia has to be greatly enriched before it can be used, much like we have to reprocess and enrich uranium and pretty much any other materials we mine. Guess what, like our Iron Ore and Aluminium much of which is no longer refined here, we ship it offshore in bunker fuel burning antifouling coated biohazard bulk barges for refining elsewhere!

None of that you will find the Uber Green TBL investor report, just a little accounting oversight, we can put the revised numbers in later via are mailout! ;)

And those tailings, yes the evil word again which describes mining waste, can be reprocessed to produce all sorts of ancillary raw materials, but they aren't in much the same way tailings from other mining operations aren't reprocessed. Sure, they are selling the fact that they can, but what they omit from the marketing blurb is that they don't, they don't because it's expensive and inefficient to reprocess tailings when you can go somewhere else and get what you need from a rich vein. And much like refining or reprocessing uranium, the further you get through the process the bigger the problem becomes with the residual.

The stuff left behind from battery production is truly toxic as is pretty much any other form of mass industrial waste.

But luckily we've got a border policy, that waste and the toxic environment and atmosphere it creates will just have to stay in China, because we won't give it a VISA!

Best Regards,
Your Loving Nimby!
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #461
I generally agree that this seems a bit round about way to achieve greener energy for a net break even with different pollutants, but the one thing that battery and electricity and solar has over oil and petrol based technology, is the ability to power stuff in outer space.  I reckon thats the real push behind the technology going mainstream because we arent going to setup bases on the moon and mars without solar and batteries unless we go nuclear and even then you need water which isnt an abundant source.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #462
I generally agree that this seems a bit round about way to achieve greener energy for a net break even with different pollutants, but the one thing that battery and electricity and solar has over oil and petrol based technology, is the ability to power stuff in outer space.  I reckon thats the real push behind the technology going mainstream because we aren't going to setup bases on the moon and mars without solar and batteries unless we go nuclear and even then you need water which isn't an abundant source.
Actually, I had thought similar that SolarPV was the way of the future for local space.

But just last week I read that there are a whole bunch of upcoming NASA / ESA launches that are going the in the opposite direction and reverting to nuclear batteries known as Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generators(RTG). Apparently heat management (heating and cooling) is a big issue that consumes a lot of energy, which rules out SolarPV because the surface area needed exceeds the launch capability for a single vehicle on many rockets. The various Space Stations are unique because they were built in stages from multiple launches.

In the past RTGs were reserved for big projects, because they took up a lot of space, were heavily built and very expensive, but apparently the new generation of devices is lighter, smaller and cheaper and also longer lasting!

RTGs don't fail if they collect too much dust!

Some of this is being driven by the realisation that if they had been equipped with better power sources(aka Not SolarPV) many of the recent Mars missions would have lasted decades like Voyager I and II. One of the recent missions had a few failed experiments simply because the project ran out of energy budget before it had succeeded, or failed because it was consuming too much energy to get it working so they shut it down.
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #463
Actually, I had thought similar that SolarPV was the way of the future for local space.

But just last week I read that there are a whole bunch of upcoming NASA / ESA launches that are going the in the opposite direction and reverting to nuclear batteries known as Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generators(RTG). Apparently heat management (heating and cooling) is a big issue that consumes a lot of energy, which rules out SolarPV because the surface area needed exceeds the launch capability for a single vehicle on many rockets. The various Space Stations are unique because they were built in stages from multiple launches.

In the past RTGs were reserved for big projects, because they took up a lot of space, were heavily built and very expensive, but apparently the new generation of devices is lighter, smaller and cheaper and also longer lasting!

RTGs don't fail if they collect too much dust!

Some of this is being driven by the realisation that if they had been equipped with better power sources(aka Not SolarPV) many of the recent Mars missions would have lasted decades like Voyager I and II. One of the recent missions had a few failed experiments simply because the project ran out of energy budget before it had succeeded, or failed because it was consuming too much energy to get it working so they shut it down.
the mars missions all exceeded expectations and were extended.

The dust on the panel was a hindrance, but not so bad that it caused any mission to end early for the rovers.

Either way space will need a mix of tech because irrespective of what power source we go with, only the sun exists everywhere.

Even if you went nuclear initially you'd want a backup solar in case of failure.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson