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Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #675
Yep, for me it looks like we want to be selective with our learnings from recent history, we've completely discounted the farce that is the EU Energy grid and we are barrelling head long into crazy high energy prices.

The last time I was in the EU, I had a trip covering towns in France, Belgium, Germany and Austria. There were places where you could stand in one town and stare across a valley at another town paying 1800% more for it's energy.

I think when the subsidies go, the real subsidies not the ones called a subsidy, things are really going to hit the fan.

Climate change is real, but there is no need to cut your own legs off to make things better!
China pulled the subsidies on EV's and now they have paddocks of dumped worthless EV's as the public, taxi companies etc dumped cars that were only viable with Government assistance.
You could argue that some EU countries have a developed Nuclear system/grid but it hasnt led to utopia on the energy front and that the frameworks of the economy in those countries have more affect on prices than the cost of power generation.
Bit like a football team.....no use the forward line kicking goals if you are leaking more in the backline.....

 

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #676
You want the public to be in favour of Nuclear, simply limit the power we are currently supplying.
A few rolling brown outs sold us 'we cant keep up with demands' and people will jump ship pretty quickly.

Unless it directly effects people, its too easy for them to turn a bline eye.

Force it into the publics face and miracles will happen.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #677
Force it into the publics face and miracles will happen.
This is exactly what happened in places like Germany and Japan, but why must we repeat the same mistakes, can't we learn without experiencing the pain?

Worse still, the pain gave rise to a new generation of political radicals, the toll from that will potentially end up costing far more than any thing we can debate about energy! There is a rising level of apathy and anarchy in these countries, with more and more of the population under fiscal duress, the disaffected are going to be the next generation of politicians.
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #678
This is exactly what happened in places like Germany and Japan, but why must we repeat the same mistakes, can't we learn without experiencing the pain?

Worse still, the pain gave rise to a new generation of political radicals, the toll from that will potentially end up costing far more than any thing we can debate about energy! There is a rising level of apathy and anarchy in these countries, with more and more of the population under fiscal duress, the disaffected are going to be the next generation of politicians.

Its human nature.....but more so, its aussie culture.

'She'll be right'.......until its not.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #679
Its human nature.....but more so, its aussie culture.

'She'll be right'.......until its not.
Because they are struggling to make ends meet people are already making choices between food, heating, cooling, medical and socialising. If we get a heatwave and rolling blackouts it's a huge threat, especially if it's unpredicted and not managed, like a severe storm at just the wrong time.

Too many of the elderly already sit in front of electric fans without air conditioners or heaters, the power goes the fans stop, but the money they didn't have to spend on energy is lost anyway because the fridge and the freezer stop as well, the consequences are catastrophic to those who can least afford it.

The do-gooders will have you believe the price of renewables is just an inconvenience for a hot day or two, but far from it, it's not a price we have to pay and we don't have to punish societies most vulnerable for the sins or ignorance of the past. We can reduce CO2, and we do not have to do it through renewables.

As NSW and Vic shutdown the coal and gas, will residents there turn off the lights to keep SA safe and cool?

I read articles recently that pumped up SA and Tas as landmark examples of energy production, 90% of "SA produced energy" was from renewables, Tas was at 71% of it's "produced energy" being renewable, the problem is over the analysis period they consumed about 250% of what they produced, the balance to keep the lights on came via Vic or NSW from gas(And I assume some coal but I'm sure there is creative accounting!), there are stats and then there are stats!

Finally, the world doesn't care about us, we only become an example when they want us to be, we are a blip on the ocean, barely registering. Yet security wise the USA and UK know exactly what is at stake. Outside of China, Australia is the game for long term resources for energy and rare earths, unless of course we allow Brazil to scrape the Amazon bare of life. China in the meantime is playing dirty, we apparently use child indigenous labour to dig up our rare earths, and pollute and destroy the Great Barrier Reef with the tailings. Of course nobody in power believes it, but that doesn't matter because it is what voters believe that counts. Before long, there be more deals like Dan's Belt and Road, you can see it coming!
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #680
Read this today:
An example of ‘net zero’ madness
This is a Tesla battery. It takes up all of the space under the passenger compartment of the car.
To manufacture it you need:
--12 tons of rock for Lithium
-- 5 tons of Cobalt minerals
-- 3 tons of mineral for nickel
-- 12 tons of copper ore
You must move 250 tons of soil to obtain:
-- 12 kg of Lithium
-- 30 pounds of nickel
-- 22 kg of manganese
-- 15 pounds of Cobalt
To manufacture the battery requires:
-- 100 Kg of RAM chips
-- 200 kg of aluminum, steel and/or plastic
The Caterpillar 994A is used for the earthmoving to obtain the essential minerals. It consumes 264 gallons of diesel in 12 hours.
Finally you get a “zero emissions” car.
2017-16th
2018-Wooden Spoon
2019-16th
2020-dare to dream? 11th is better than last I suppose
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #681
Jeremy Clarkson has been banging on about that for over a decade.

None of that takes into account the emmisions from shipping it from all parts of the world as well.
Lithium mines to manufacturing to production to end user.

All to make people feel better about themselves.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #682
Jeremy Clarkson has been banging on about that for over a decade.

None of that takes into account the emmisions from shipping it from all parts of the world as well.
Lithium mines to manufacturing to production to end user.

All to make people feel better about themselves.
And to top it off, it's relatively wealthy types buying Tesla's, and they are scrapping relatively new cars made from tonnes of recently mined resources that could have run for another decade or two more. Many of the same people update their car every 3 to 5 years, while the break-even figures assume you buy the Tesla and drive it to destruction.

I've even had someone arrogantly argue the aged Teslas will be passed down the economic chain benefitting those who can't initially afford them, but doesn't that mean the new car buyer never breaks even? I suspect unless they end with decades of invalid care they probably pass in deficit!

That's the feel good green for you, perhaps it's pseudogreen!
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #683
Jeremy Clarkson has been banging on about that for over a decade.

None of that takes into account the emmisions from shipping it from all parts of the world as well.
Lithium mines to manufacturing to production to end user.

All to make people feel better about themselves.

Now come on, K, tell me you didn't write this with a wry grin, tongue in cheek and a wink of the eye. Quoting Clarkson, a self-confessed boofhead, as an environmental guru is a stretch.

And I don't think you can blanket everyone who goes EV in their vehicle choice as wanting to feel better about themselves. There are a variety of motives, some altruistic, some egocentric, some just wanting to check it out and some wanting to appease some deep seated, unconscious guilt... etc.

The moment huge bucks from big hitting individuals and businesses started being invested in alternative energy sources, it ceased to be about environmentalism and started being about making copious amounts of loot; discovering a new healthy revenue source. Economics/loot rule.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #684
Now come on, K, tell me you didn't write this with a wry grin, tongue in cheek and a wink of the eye. Quoting Clarkson, a self-confessed boofhead, as an environmental guru is a stretch.
In fairness to Clarkson, he might well be a boofhead, but he isn't a fool either. What he mostly rallies against is the public being conned by the very economic forces you discuss, and personally it aligns with much of my own perspective. What we here call green is somebody else's choking mess.

Our Australian version of green is very NIMBY, we offload the filthy aspects to China, Taiwan, India, Malyasia or Vietnam, etc, etc.. Then we sit here watching the 6 O'Clock news tut tutting at the smog and pollution in Asian cities, on our sparkling dazzling freshly solar powered big screen TV's while our EV gets a load of juice, all from the solar panels, extrusions, controllers, inverters and cabling delivered to us via the smog inducing mills in the very same countries we wag our finger at.

As for the geopolitical situation, we buy Subs to keep "the enemy" at bay, in the meantime we sell them cheap coal by the ship load to keep them running (making solar panels and TVs for us to buy) while they build nuclear power stations to set them free of that market dependency, while our own politicians count the short term cash and do nothing for the future.

You would think if the place that makes the bulk of the solar panels, and can by definition install them cheaper than any other location in the world, would find them to be so cost effective that building trillion$ of nuclear power stations would be redundant, ...................... and yet! Because here, solar is "So cost effective" that nothing can compete, apparently we have billionaires here preparing to clad the top end with SolarPV and power SE Asia, yet there were they make the stuff they build nuclear, .............. something seems NQR!
The Force Awakens!

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #685
And to top it off, it's relatively wealthy types buying Tesla's, and they are scrapping relatively new cars made from tonnes of recently mined resources that could have run for another decade or two more. Many of the same people update their car every 3 to 5 years, while the break-even figures assume you buy the Tesla and drive it to destruction.

I've even had someone arrogantly argue the aged Teslas will be passed down the economic chain benefitting those who can't initially afford them, but doesn't that mean the new car buyer never breaks even? I suspect unless they end with decades of invalid care they probably pass in deficit!

That's the feel good green for you, perhaps it's pseudogreen!
Most people buying Tesla's will be using the generous Government subsidies and obtaining(not buying) them on novated leases through employers. Not sure on how passing EV's down the food chain will work either as I cant see how the second hand market will work with a lot of those EV's being in need or close to needing new batteries which are not cheap plus who will want to fork out for an EV with old technology with less range than the new variety.
I can also see EV's being a lot cheaper at the bottom end of the market with the Chinese auto companies like BYD, MG, GWM, Chery controlling the market and being able to knock out cheaper cars given they also have investments in the battery technology in many cases ie BYD provide Tesla with batteries and cars at that end of the market of the Chinese variety plummet in resale value.
We may have a lot of worthless EV's and recycling/disposing of batteries etc may become another issue and cost.
In China as soon as the Government subsidies stopped EV's were just dumped on mass like I have said before....
https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2023-china-ev-graveyards/#:~:text=China's%20Abandoned%2C%20Obsolete%20Electric%20Cars,with%20unwanted%20battery%2Dpowered%20vehicles.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #686
With all that being said, (and I am no EV booster, just pointing out the logical fallousies that exist) does manufacturing ICE cars, and pulling oil out of the ground not require similar amounts of effort and the odd disaster from an oil slick cause similar issues?

Is it possible that the manufacturing processes and cost are as probelematic and costly as each other, and ergo, the running of an EV vs an ICE car, actually yield some ecological benefit?

That being said, im not convinced either way, but many of these arguments are one sided which makes it really difficult.  Its possible that once manufactured, the ecological impact of the EV decrease to a point to offset any issues in manufacturing and you need good data for that, including how the electricity is produced to power the EV.  If you charge off solar, and then run it for 10 years, vs a petrol powered car, you have additional ongoing environmental impacts in the car industry to also consider even if the manufacturing process is initially in deficit. 

I think there is likely a better solution out there, but we will find out in due course.


"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #687
With all that being said, (and I am no EV booster, just pointing out the logical fallousies that exist) does manufacturing ICE cars, and pulling oil out of the ground not require similar amounts of effort and the odd disaster from an oil slick cause similar issues?

Is it possible that the manufacturing processes and cost are as probelematic and costly as each other, and ergo, the running of an EV vs an ICE car, actually yield some ecological benefit?

That being said, im not convinced either way, but many of these arguments are one sided which makes it really difficult.  Its possible that once manufactured, the ecological impact of the EV decrease to a point to offset any issues in manufacturing and you need good data for that, including how the electricity is produced to power the EV.  If you charge off solar, and then run it for 10 years, vs a petrol powered car, you have additional ongoing environmental impacts in the car industry to also consider even if the manufacturing process is initially in deficit. 

I think there is likely a better solution out there, but we will find out in due course.

A Facebook post is probably a tad less one-sided than anything that comes out of Jeremy Clarkson's mouth  ::)

A fairly independent appraisal of some of the myths about EVs can be found here: https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/electric-vehicle-myths

For example:

FACT: The greenhouse gas emissions associated with an electric vehicle over its lifetime are typically lower than those from an average gasoline-powered vehicle, even when accounting for manufacturing.

Some studies have shown that making a typical EV can create more carbon pollution than making a gasoline car. This is because of the additional energy required to manufacture an EV’s battery. Still, over the lifetime of the vehicle, total GHG emissions associated with manufacturing, charging, and driving an EV are typically lower than the total GHGs associated with a gasoline car. That’s because EVs have zero tailpipe emissions and are typically responsible for significantly fewer GHGs during operation (see Myth 1 above).

For example, researchers at Argonne National Laboratory estimated emissions for both a gasoline car and an EV with a 300-mile electric range. In their estimates, while GHG emissions from EV manufacturing and end-of-life are higher, total GHGs for the EV are still lower than those for the gasoline car.


That's pretty close to your logic Thry.

It's claimed that 98% of each EV is now being recycled, but I haven't verified that.  I imagine that a similar percentage would apply to ICE vehicles, but then there's the energy required to recycle both.

I'm still not convinced that EVs, in their current form, are the future but I have no doubt that they are preferable to ICE vehicles in terms of GHG emissions.
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #688
Now come on, K, tell me you didn't write this with a wry grin, tongue in cheek and a wink of the eye. Quoting Clarkson, a self-confessed boofhead, as an environmental guru is a stretch.

And I don't think you can blanket everyone who goes EV in their vehicle choice as wanting to feel better about themselves. There are a variety of motives, some altruistic, some egocentric, some just wanting to check it out and some wanting to appease some deep seated, unconscious guilt... etc.

The moment huge bucks from big hitting individuals and businesses started being invested in alternative energy sources, it ceased to be about environmentalism and started being about making copious amounts of loot; discovering a new healthy revenue source. Economics/loot rule.

The point about clarkson is exactly that though.
People don't need to be part of Mensa or deep within the industry to understand when the wool is being pulled over your eyes.
If someone of his 'record' is all over it, then the fact the average punter doesn't know and/or understand this, shows the propoganda that has been pushed onto everyone is working.

As for the reasons you listed....are majority of them not based upon people wanted to feel better about themselves?

People don't buy teslas because of their performance.
People don't buy teslas because of their history
People don't buy teslas because of their looks.
People buy teslas because they are teslas and that 'means' they are conscious of what that branded represents (albeit inaccurately) that they are green and better for the environment.

There's nothing wrong with it....apart from the fact that it is 'not as advertised' when you dig into it.

Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread

Reply #689
A Facebook post is probably a tad less one-sided than anything that comes out of Jeremy Clarkson's mouth  ::)

A fairly independent appraisal of some of the myths about EVs can be found here: https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/electric-vehicle-myths

For example:

FACT: The greenhouse gas emissions associated with an electric vehicle over its lifetime are typically lower than those from an average gasoline-powered vehicle, even when accounting for manufacturing.

Some studies have shown that making a typical EV can create more carbon pollution than making a gasoline car. This is because of the additional energy required to manufacture an EV’s battery. Still, over the lifetime of the vehicle, total GHG emissions associated with manufacturing, charging, and driving an EV are typically lower than the total GHGs associated with a gasoline car. That’s because EVs have zero tailpipe emissions and are typically responsible for significantly fewer GHGs during operation (see Myth 1 above).

For example, researchers at Argonne National Laboratory estimated emissions for both a gasoline car and an EV with a 300-mile electric range. In their estimates, while GHG emissions from EV manufacturing and end-of-life are higher, total GHGs for the EV are still lower than those for the gasoline car.


That's pretty close to your logic Thry.

It's claimed that 98% of each EV is now being recycled, but I haven't verified that.  I imagine that a similar percentage would apply to ICE vehicles, but then there's the energy required to recycle both.

I'm still not convinced that EVs, in their current form, are the future but I have no doubt that they are preferable to ICE vehicles in terms of GHG emissions.

A couple of things.

I'm not sure anyone has explicitly said that EV cars are worse for the environment over their lifetime.

Plenty have said the logic that these cars are green is incorrect.
From your link, it shows that the manufacturing of these cars does actually cause more GHGs than traditional cars (which is the point being made consistently).

Its also assumed that a lot of the energy used to charge these vehicles (the fuel) comes from green sources (study is based on american power, rather here), which will have a big effect on how green they are over the lifetime of the vehicle.

It also doesn't take into account the end of life costs that would be more involved with recycling batteries etc.

I'm not against the idea, i'm against the marketing/propaganda/misdirection involved when talking about how 'green' it is.

Not sure it takes into account the costs (GHG and otherwise) of building all the charging stations that are required either.

Its far from a perfect solution.