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Topic: Trumpled (Alternative Leading) (Read 391726 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2385 –
I suppose a lot of predictions are based on historical trends and statistical averages, nothing prevents something new happening but the rate of swing is very well known on a per-vote basis, so when they have counted 70% or 80% of votes the trend rarely deviates greatly, at least without some human interference.

Also, ignoring how many have actually voted, the ratio of voting trends tend to be fixed for certain demographics, to see a change we might have to see something really weird happen like 100000 supporters of a particular candidate voted early by mail because this week they were all attending a conference that meant they couldn't be there to vote in person. Ironically, the US is possibly a more likely place for this to occur than many other countries.
The Force Awakens!

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2386 –
Thryleon, if we set the 2 Bushes aside, who were the warmongering Presidents in the post-Vietnam War era?

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2387 –
In shattering news to the nation Kanye West has conceded defeat and said that he wont be the next president of the USA....

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2388 –
Quote from: Mav on
Thryleon, if we set the 2 Bushes aside, who were the warmongering Presidents in the post-Vietnam War era?

The troops have been going that way for years.  Trump has brokered a peace deal (albeit very flimsy).

Its like comparing apples and oranges (pardon the pun).

"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2389 –
I don’t understand your post.
 

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2390 –
A demonstration is going on outside the Maricopa County Election Department in Phoenix Arizona. Protesters with long guns and semi-automatic weapons among the crowd. News crews are being kicked out of the building now. The irony is that if the Trump protestors were able to stop the count, Biden would win the state.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2391 –
Quote from: Mav on
A demonstration is going on outside the Maricopa County Election Department in Phoenix Arizona. Protesters with long guns and semi-automatic weapons among the crowd. News crews are being kicked out of the building now. The irony is that if the Trump protestors were able to stop the count, Biden would win the state.
Trump needs the count ratified before he can call for a re-count, I suppose it doesn't matter how it ends for him as long as it is sooner rather than later.

PS; Associate posted some photos of the Trump protestors, no wonder the local traders have boarded up the shop fronts, serious nutters in that crowd, they look like they are about to go postal! Bad choice of words, too soon? :o
The Force Awakens!

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2392 –
Quote from: LP on
Bad choice of words, too soon? :o

Probably not.
It only takes one who is so wound up to cause a fair degree of grief....and I suspect there will be a few in that basket.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2393 –
Quote from: LP on
Trump needs the count ratified before he can call for a re-count, I suppose it doesn't matter how it ends for him as long as it is sooner rather than later.

PS; Associate posted some photos of the Trump protestors, no wonder the local traders have boarded up the shop fronts, serious nutters in that crowd, they look like they are about to go postal! Bad choice of words, too soon? :o

Nuh... after all, where did the term, 'go postal' originate from? The Orange Rodent's supporters are already creating mayhem... good that they're being reported as 'Trump Supporters...'
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2394 –
This US election is a bit like a good test match.  One of my kids even asked me who was winning yesterday.  It was only the 2nd session on day 1 fer crying out loud...
 

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2395 –
Probably says something about Trade Week (yawn.....), but the US election is far more riveting.....
This is now the longest premiership drought in the history of the Carlton Football Club - more evidence of climate change?

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2396 –
I was just thinking that too, Tonyo. I remember listening to one of the early trade weeks covered by SEN - 3 days of rumours but nothing happened.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2397 –
I suspect most of us feel the US Electoral process is a bit of a dog's breakfast.

One of the most concerning things in terms of stability is the gap between the vote count ending and the inauguration of the incoming President.
A 'wounded' Donald Trump is President for the rest of this month, all of December and most of January.
Normally it's a time for a tidy-up and preparing briefings for the incoming administration.
This isn't a normal President.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2398 –
For those of you who want to know how this US Election situation arose, have a listen to this podcast keeping in mind it was published weeks before the election result, and produce over many months prior to election day!

https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/radiolab/articles/what-if

It's scary how predictable the US Electoral College system is, and it sort of highlights how it can be so easily manipulated by 3rd parties. I wish I had posted the link here before election day, but I suppose hindsight is everything, but keep in mind this podcast was a prediction of this particular outcome!

One of the show producers has left the organisation that made it many months ago, it shows you how far in advance this podcast made in model of behaviour. Of course, some will claim Trump and Biden are acting in knowledge of the game scenario used in the reported model, not in difference to it!

We should tip our lids to the Radiolab crew, this is what good reporting use to be like before Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and Trump!
The Force Awakens!

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2399 –
Mad as a cut snake! 😳
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball