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Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #900
MBB, you know that Comey has already cleared her over the emails on the Weiner laptop, don't you?  What a clusterfork that was. 

It certainly was when Loretta Lynch has a secret meeting with Bill Clinton on his private jet in the days leading up to it.
2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #901
Geez I think Hilary will still win, but..... She has to take Virginia  or Florida. Now predictions that Michigan is a good chance of going Trump. This could be compared to Brexit or to Victoria turfing Kennett in that people are just so pissed of they are voting with anger.

I think in the next hour or two it should be much clearer who is going to get this.
Goals for 2017
=============
Play the most anti-social football in the AFL


Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #902
gold has surged in the last 30 minutes - up 3% - this suggests a Trump win.
Finals, then 4 in a row!

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #903
It keeps going Trump, geez, he would have to be very close to the favorite now and a few areas are calling it as going to Trump
Goals for 2017
=============
Play the most anti-social football in the AFL


Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #904
gold has surged in the last 30 minutes - up 3% - this suggests a Trump win.

I said to be thinking  Gold last week...if Trump gets up plenty of share traders will be delighted....not so good for the rest of the ASX though...

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #905
Betfair now has trump at 1.25 and Clinton at $5
Goals for 2017
=============
Play the most anti-social football in the AFL


Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #906
Counting proceeds as the sun sets so that is pretty good odds to be offering against Clinton given the Seaboard East/Western US states are normally Democrat while Middle America is normally GOP.

To me this looks very close at this stage!
The Force Awakens!

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #907
Betfair now has trump at 1.25 and Clinton at $5

Wow!

There was a guy on SEN phone-in earlier, an Aussie, who has traveled widely in the US in the past few years. He was tipping a Trump win based on the huge levels of deprivation and dissatisfaction he claimed to have witnessed. Maybe he has got it right?
Reality always wins in the end.

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #908
Counting proceeds as the sun sets so that is pretty good odds to be offering against Clinton given the Seaboard East/Western US states are normally Democrat while Middle America is normally GOP.

To me this looks very close at this stage!
The fact that the western seaboard is Dem is already factored in, though.  The problem is that Trump is leading in many battleground states on the other side of the country such as Florida and Ohio and seems poised to win the Democratic states of Michigan and Wisconsin.  He can now win without winning Pennsylvania.  If he holds onto Florida as well as adding Michigan and Wisconsin, he is the favourite to win.

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #909
Wow!

There was a guy on SEN phone-in earlier, an Aussie, who has traveled widely in the US in the past few years. He was tipping a Trump win based on the huge levels of deprivation and dissatisfaction he claimed to have witnessed. Maybe he has got it right?

Both of which will only worsen under Trump.

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #910
it's over essentially.

trump179, killary 131.

abc precidting trump 286.
Finals, then 4 in a row!

 

Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #911
Wow!

There was a guy on SEN phone-in earlier, an Aussie, who has traveled widely in the US in the past few years. He was tipping a Trump win based on the huge levels of deprivation and dissatisfaction he claimed to have witnessed. Maybe he has got it right?

There is an old saying Cookie..." a drowning man will cling onto a Serpent"...seems like a few more Americans than expected are clinging onto Trump.....


Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #913
As Mav has stated Cookie, the odds are based on Michigan, Florida etc, not on the states already won.
Caifornia etc are almost irrelvant to any odds because they are already marked Blue, if there was a chance they went red it would be al l over.

Has anyone here traveled through rural America?


When you drive through towns they have lost their identity and they are fully corporate. There is no small business in these towns and they consist largely of 2-3 food chains (Wendy's, Taco Bell etc) maybe a Hi-Vee supermarket, a few gas chains and a CVS. if a bit bigger it will have a Wal-Mart. It means a very high percentage of people are working at these chains and living on minimum wage with food stamps and no real way for most to improve their station.

Clinton could win this, but this election is showing that those people are extremely unhappy at present.
The thing is though it smells like a protest vote rather than a vote for anything positive he actually offers.

I am perplexed by this whole election
Goals for 2017
=============
Play the most anti-social football in the AFL


Re: US Presidential Election 2016

Reply #914
it's over essentially.

trump179, killary 131.

abc precidting trump 286.

Only Ohio is big news in that though at present
She has picked up Virginia, which was considered a safe state

-----
As if on cue...
Clinton now has 209 to 172, but it doesn't change anything
Goals for 2017
=============
Play the most anti-social football in the AFL