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Messages - LP

16
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
I feel reasonably confident about Syd, I feel we mostly play well against them and have no issue with playing them up there in Syd either.
Agreed, I think it's actually an advantage to play them on the SCG. It might be harder for Charlie and Harry to find space, but I think it helps our slower midfield keep up with the play.

It will be interesting to see what Horse does regarding our ruck duo tactics, he's basically the ruck work Tactical Primo of the AFL.
17
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Agree with remarks about the Ch7 commentary last night. It scaled new heights in bias, irrelevance and statement of the blindingly obvious. BT gave a masterclass ably supported by his willing cohort.
On the question of a lack of enthusiasm in BT's calling.

In the past he use to make excuses that we were boring to watch, yet in recent weeks we've been in both high scoring shoot outs, fumbling high intensity struggles, and last night in the first half we were dominant and efficient the imposing Handbagger style. Yet his attitude calling our games remains largely the same, until the moment our opposition get on a roll and his demeanour changes! He is pretty much schtum until our opposition look threatening, and even if/when we are on a roll he spends most of his time casting seeds of doubt or talks about the weather.

His dislike of Carlton is palpable, so why bother dragging down the spectacle, just get him out of the call team on our games!

It reminds me of watching The Storm versus any NSW team, the nine crew basically turn the broadcast into a Bellyache, Big Nasty, et.al., bashing session, I feel sorry for Cam Smith and Billy Slater for having to put up with it!
18
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Personally, I don't think we had much wrong structurally or tactically, we forced turnovers and we able to stop the Dees momentum multiple times after giving them the ball via execution errors. We didn't really give away any silly frees if we ignore a couple of umpiring howlers.

Our main problem was still execution, even when we had time and space we basically delivered the footy to the Dees HB line!
19
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
I imagine that Tim Clarke and Luke Power will be working with Ollie to improve his ability to get his disposals away more quickly and without losing efficiency.
Just on this issue, I understand we try to hit targets, but last night we looked more dangerous when the ball hit the deck in our F50. I think we are missing a trick, in that trying to hit targets late left Lever and May with a smorgasbord of intercepts. We had Owies, Durdin, Martin and at times Elijah, Cottrell, Cripps, Walsh and Kennedy all inside F50, space is a target, even a grubber kick along the ground is a target.

What's wrong with getting the ball within our goal range a creating a stoppage after stoppage as opposed to delivering Lever and May easy intercepts?

If the Dees are going to rely on Petracca inside F50, then leave him there and make stoppages in our F50 without him around the footy!
20
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 In Game Angst Carlton vs Melbourne
I would have liked us to bury them in the last, but they hung on and got the win.
I think Charlie should have gone short rather than long when he took that mark down back and just killed the game.
We are panicking with the footy still, this is something the coaches have to find a way to improve.

You'd think after the first 2 or 3 run downs Ollie would learn it's not a Sunday stroll, as good as I thought he was tonight being rundown is happening multiple times every game and it's costing us dearly. We are losing turnover opportunities to score easily and it keeps our opponents in the game.

I thought Elijah was good tonight, I'm not sure why we don't give him a bit more time around the stoppages he is calm and works well in traffic.

21
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Gee, two things late in that game.

Firstly, we are still panicking with the footy and using it poorly, it's like we aren't able to stay composed and we are letting opposition back in mostly through poor ball use.

Secondly, what the feck were some of those free kicks to the Dees, and the non-free to us for virtually the same, and how the hell can those decision all of a sudden become so one sided!

I saw the behind the goals vision of Petracca throwing Hewett to the ground, and the central umpire was standing at our CHB position watching and did nothing! The Dees repeatedly take the footy and try to charge through the pack, it's play on or ball up, Cripps is the only player trying to actually pick the ball up in the middle and gets pinged!
22
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Strange, but most of the scientists and engineers I know couldn't give a fig about social media, in fact their confidence borders on arrogance... which is necessary to further their work.
I think they can come across like that, but it's mostly a defence mechanism, particularly if they are late career scientists and engineers.

Maybe those who seem to be a touch on a spectrum, which is often more common than you might think, can have a very myopic approach being heavily focussed on one specific area, and that can leave others thinking they are dismissive or arrogant. It's more common than you might suspect, little eccentricities that annoy everyday folk.

For example, among those I have worked with there is a surprisingly high level of dyslexia, even in those who can freely speak multiple languages.

The ones who are great orators are truly the exception, but the general public seems to expect that a brilliant scientific mind assumes a brilliant communicator, and that is far from the case!

On the issue of genuine arrogance, I find that it's very rare a good scientist is arrogant, in most cases the very good scientists doubt and question everything even their own work, which is actually the default scientific process. Make an assertion and then test it, a good scientist is always trying to prove an assertion is false. It's the bad ones that mask other deficiencies and ignore scientific process that are often caught using arrogance as a deflection mechanism.
23
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
The Dees are a strong list, put too much focus on any one player and you let the others off the hook.

I think last time we played them we made life too easy for May and Lever, they nearly won the game for the Dees, except if I recall one uncharacteristic stuff up. Of course I think we had McKay out last time we played. (Ignoring pre-season rubbish.)
24
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Time to get rolling like we did second half of last year. Fear no one and mow them down one by one.
I think this is basically true, but I'd have another spin on it.

Fearing opponents is OK as it is a sign of respect, a little bit of fear is OK in this regard because it promotes thoroughness. But have confidence and trust in yourself, so that you remove hesitation and doubt.

We look slow at times because we hesitate, we have to trust each other and act on trust, and if someone isn't acting on that trust and respecting the trust the team has for them that becomes a job for coaches. To me that is what Voss implies when he talks about a collective.
(SciFi nerds will know of The Borg and the concept of a Hive Mind acting as one.)
25
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
The anti-vaxxers will have an hysterical field day with the AZ information, and the shallow end of the media will feed this hysteria.
Another problem is that the fear the media and anti-vax brigade propagate have very real world effects.

Of course we accept a lot of what people see on social media is fake, but that doesn't mean it won't create anxiety and doubt, and those doubts are all stresses that everyone of us is susceptible to.

A common stress for the scientists and engineers is driven by doubt, that is the "imposter syndrome", they get bashed by the media and social media fakers and start to worry, this has a real world effect just like the PTSD you describe, and much of this doubt is seeded for profit, to sell adverting, newspapers or to beg for donations / subscriptions.

For me a good first start would be to make the giants of media and social media accountable for propagating fake news, they should be liable when the fake news leads to bad outcomes.
26
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Or the media @ElwoodBlues1

As far as I know Astrazeneca has never denied the rare side-effects of it's vaccine, it's a characteristic of any vaccine or medicine that there might be side-effects, some severe for a small number of people.

The media on the other hand claims pretty much everything is a side effect, the media leverages societies wide misunderstanding of chance, probability and correlation for profit, like a "5G allergy" and "Infasound Illness" from wind power! The spurious and alarmist claims about vaccines and medicines are no different.

btw., If these medicines and vaccines were 100% harmless, they would have no positive effects either, all medicines walk a like between help and harm. If we didn't have them people would still be dying from a scratch!

For myself, the real villains here are the likes of Pfizer and Moderna, not because in the real world those products aren't perfect that is expected, the problem is they continue to deny side-effects from their own products while pointing the finger at Astrazeneca, of course they do this for profit!

It's the denials that do the harm, not the product, if medical experts are aware of side-effects they can screen and manage them, but they need the information to act. Pfizer and Moderna have kept it closed, proprietary, and highly profitable.
27
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Yep. I wouldn't be expecting to win in the next two weeks.
We have a list that can sneak wins against good opponents, it would have been nice to sneak one extra over the last few weeks of injury outs.

But expecting wins is a bit over the top, especially when a 1/4 of the team on the day are 1st or 2nd season types, that's hard enough without carrying some older types who are out of form. The group needs contiguous football to click into shape.
28
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
That's a lot of changes on top of Martin not having played much footy in recent times, we shouldn't expect much first game back but we can hope to be surprised. For me it's the 1st step of getting things in shape for the second half of the season.

Personally, I'll be happy to see Martin and McGovern get through unscathed.
30
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 8 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Finally some are starting to see what I've been watching for weeks now, and what tipped me over the edge was that Williams got pinged for two ultra-trivial holds, holds which were almost nothing by comparison to those which Cripps or Walsh suffered all game!

If we as fans and a club do not start asking these questions, we are going to keep finding ourselves at a significant disadvantage simply because Cripps, Walsh, Kennedy, Hewett, Cerra are at their very best in contested football situations. And the holding / shepherding stuff affects more of their game style than it does for a fast break type player.