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Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2970
No the officials wouldn't report COVID deaths using the same spin, that is your deliberate personal choice to publish a private perspective which clouds the reporting and not a reality of the statistics. I think what you did there either by accident or design is called muddying the waters!

The numbers are clear, unambiguous and definitive, many of the published opinions of them not so much! :o

No the skeptics would, and the official reported covid deaths in analysis might be a little bit each way.

There is no harm in allowing people to point out the hypocrisy when one point is argued for or against in either circumstance.

the numbers regarding cause of death are never clear, unambiguous and definitive.

Should i retell my fathers demise due to his treatment of Chronic Lymphocytic Leukaemia and the fact that the numbers show that this cancer doesnt kill?  Or should I point to his liver failure as a result of the last cancer treatment where reactivation of Hepatitis C was listed as the official reason for his liver failure?

Without the cancer, his treatment doesnt occur, and therefore his cause of death is null and void.

I expect that the CLL figures are unchanged by that statistic. 

You know what a huge tell is?  Our case numbers are rising, we have seen a nursing home resident test positive and yet she was asymptomatic at age 90.

"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2971
No the skeptics would, and the official reported covid deaths in analysis might be a little bit each way.

There is no harm in allowing people to point out the hypocrisy when one point is argued for or against in either circumstance.

the numbers regarding cause of death are never clear, unambiguous and definitive.
There is no hypocrisy because the debate questioning the validity of the official public health plan is based on fake numbers and news stripped off FaceBook. The image above is a fraud, a lie perpetrated on the public by anti-vaxxers!

I wouldn't call millions of deaths globally, unambiguous, lacking clarity or without determinism! I also think specific investigations into a couple of hundred local deaths is quite definitive, and not something that can be trivially dismissed to suit a political perspective.

You know what a huge tell is?  Our case numbers are rising, we have seen a nursing home resident test positive and yet she was asymptomatic at age 90.
What is "the tell", can you explain what the link is between being asymptomatic and being an age? Personally, I don't see any good reason why a person cannot be asymptomatic at age 2 or age 120, it's just luck of the draw or perhaps luck of the genetics!
 
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2972
That because they are fake, a image published by anti-vaxxer on FB or Instagram as shown by the URL.

://scontent.fmel12-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.6435-9/191680922_1159971614485863_5925834372433939655_n.jpg?_nc_cat=101&ccb=1-3&_nc_sid=dbeb18&_nc_ohc=VT5pHvzOZL8AX93jIMY&_nc_ht=scontent.fmel12-1.fna&oh=1b297b2f49007a11aaec2c285704f678&oe=60DC5551
FBCDN.net = FaceBook Content Delivery Network

There are not and were not 210 deaths "Caused by getting the vaccines", no authority has published that or posted it.

The were 210 people who died sometime after getting a vaccination, but that poster is like saying there are 210 people who died after eating breakfast. It's not a causal relationship, it's correlation.
The image was on Facebook, but I went to the link on the pic and found the same numbers.

I'm not making an opinion either way, but I saw that pic, checked it out, came to this thread and you guys seems to be saying the same thing, so I linked it here.

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2973
The image was on Facebook, but I went to the link on the pic and found the same numbers.

I'm not making an opinion either way, but I saw that pic, checked it out, came to this thread and you guys seems to be saying the same thing, so I linked it here.
The official TGA link does not "seem to be saying the same thing", the official TGA website has the same numbers but says the exact opposite of what the image tries to assert.

I can't comment on what website you viewed, you may have been looking at something spoofed to support the lying image!
The Force Awakens!

 

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2974
The official TGA link does not "seem to be saying the same thing", the official TGA website has the same numbers but says the exact opposite of what the image tries to assert.

I can't comment on what website you viewed, you may have been looking at something spoofed to support the lying image!
I viewed the tga website, that's it.

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2975
I viewed the tga website, that's it.
There is nowhere on the TGA website that states there were COVID Vaccine Deaths = 210

The TGA website is neither ambiguous or misleading, the assertion it reports 210 deaths resulting from COVID vaccination is simply wrong.
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2976
There is no hypocrisy because the debate questioning the validity of the official public health plan is based on fake numbers and news stripped off FaceBook. The image above is a fraud, a lie perpetrated on the public by anti-vaxxers!

I wouldn't call millions of deaths globally, unambiguous, lacking clarity or without determinism! I also think specific investigations into a couple of hundred local deaths is quite definitive, and not something that can be trivially dismissed to suit a political perspective.
What is "the tell", can you explain what the link is between being asymptomatic and being an age? Personally, I don't see any good reason why a person cannot be asymptomatic at age 2 or age 120, it's just luck of the draw or perhaps luck of the genetics!
 

There is hypocrisies.

Anecdotally, the vaccine deaths are correlation not causation and the covid deaths are causation not correlation.

I just provided you a clear example of ambiguity that you ignored.

Think hard lp.

We have locked down for what will be 2 weeks now for what purpose?  To eliminate the spread of virus that infects people and thus far in this outbreak has minimal impact?

Now the modelling points differently but in starting to think this is all quite pointless.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2977
There is hypocrisies.

Anecdotally, the vaccine deaths are correlation not causation and the covid deaths are causation not correlation.
There are no "vaccine deaths", there is one single vaccine death, your premise is based on a lie or misdirection about a statistic!

Also, partial inversion of the logic leaves the argument non-sensical.

The fact that 210 people died is real, that they were part of 3.6 million that had been vaccinated is real, the assertion that they died as a result of vaccination is false and does not exist in the reports. In formal logic it's called a false premise, and Trump and his followers have made it an artform.
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2978
And we again get our daily dose of "settings" Sutton.  Same crap, different day.


Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2979
There is nowhere on the TGA website that states there were COVID Vaccine Deaths = 210

The TGA website is neither ambiguous or misleading, the assertion it reports 210 deaths resulting from COVID vaccination is simply wrong.
Don't shoot the messenger

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2980
Just to be perfectly clear, the following is copied from the TGA website:

Quote
The TGA uses its adverse event reporting system to closely monitor reports of death following COVID-19 vaccination. During the early stages of the vaccine rollout in Australia and many other countries, deaths were reported following vaccination in older people living in aged care as this is where the vaccine rollout started. Many of these deaths were in frail elderly people and were coincidental with vaccination. This was confirmed following review by the TGA and medicine regulators in the UK, Europe and the US which found no specific safety concerns from use of the vaccines in older people.

However, it is possible in frail older people that even relatively mild and expected adverse reactions following the vaccination may contribute to deterioration of an underlying illness. For this reason, the Product Information documents for both the Pfizer and the AstraZeneca vaccines provide advice about vaccinating frail elderly people (over 85 years old) and warn that the potential benefits of vaccination must be weighed against the potential risks for each individual person.

To 23 May 2021, 3.6 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been given in Australia. In this period, the TGA has received 210 reports of deaths following immunisation – 109 have been reported for the Pfizer vaccine, 94 for the AstraZeneca vaccine and seven where the vaccine was not specified. Most of these reports (93%) were for people 65 years of age and over, and over three quarters were 75 years of age and over. Many of the deaths relate to elderly aged-care residents.

The TGA reviews all deaths reported after vaccination and monitors for safety signals. Part of our analysis includes comparing expected natural death rates to observed death rates following immunisation. To date, the observed number of deaths reported after vaccination is actually less than the expected number of deaths.

Each year in Australia, there are about 160,000 deaths, equating to 13,300 a month or 3050 each week. In the most recent reporting year (2018)(link is external) two-thirds of these deaths were in people aged 75 years and over.

Additionally, deaths from COVID-19 disease overwhelmingly occur in the elderly. While the 20-29 age group has had the highest number of cases of COVID-19 in Australia (followed by the 30-39 age group), 94 % (852 of 910) of COVID-19 deaths in Australia(link is external) have been in those aged 70 or over.

Apart from the single Australian case in which death was linked to TTS, COVID-19 vaccines have not been found to cause death. Given the benefits of vaccination with regard to preventing severe disease, hospitalisation and death from COVID-19, particularly in older age groups, immunisation is strongly encouraged as we head into the winter months.

So, it's true that 210 people died after immunisation but 209 of those would have died anyway.  In fact, the number of people who died following immunisation is lower than would be expected from that cohort in the normal course of events.

Another story that caught my eye was Peru revising its COVID death toll from 69,000 to over 180,000 "on the advice of Peruvian and international experts."  The revised COVID death toll now correlates with Peru's excess death figures.
“Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?”  Oddball

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2981
So, it's true that 210 people died after immunisation but 209 of those would have died anyway.  In fact, the number of people who died following immunisation is lower than would be expected from that cohort in the normal course of events.
Exactly, ironically it looks like being COVID-19 vaccinated decreases the general death rate.

The reality is that it probably has no effect on the general death rate over the long term, it may change short term behaviour reducing the short term death rate.

My friend who is a retired actuary tells me it's impossible to decode the cause and effect around the general death rate. For example, he said less people driving or travelling to work means less traffic deaths, but more people stay at home and climb ladders!
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2982
There are no "vaccine deaths", there is one single vaccine death, your premise is based on a lie or misdirection about a statistic!

Also, partial inversion of the logic leaves the argument non-sensical.

The fact that 210 people died is real, that they were part of 3.6 million that had been vaccinated is real, the assertion that they died as a result of vaccination is false and does not exist in the reports. In formal logic it's called a false premise, and Trump and his followers have made it an artform.

exactly my point

If you can massage the numbers to prove a point, you can do it on either side of the fence.

Each COVID death that had co morbidity, means that COVID can be interpreted as cause of death, but they would have died anyway (assumption).

Each case would be different, ergo, the same applies to those vaccinated but dead.  Why count that number if its irrelevant?

DJC states the following:

Quote
So, it's true that 210 people died after immunisation but 209 of those would have died anyway.

If that is also true of each COVID death, is COVID the killer virus its made out to be?

Before you answer that question, ask yourself whether or not that question resonates with you in any way shape or form, and also, whether or not that is a healthy question to ask.  You will find, that its actually the most appropriate question to ask, and the answer is hidden in statistics, massaged numbers, vaccinations, and foreign counts of people.  Yet here we are in Australia, with rising case numbers, a new lockdown, and no one going to hospital with COVID.


Why??
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2983
exactly my point

If you can massage the numbers to prove a point, you can do it on either side of the fence.
Only one side of the debate is massaging numbers, the fake news vendors. That is where you go wrong trying to paint it as a level playing field of information. It isn't a level playing field, all the information is not the same quality, in just the same way all opinions are not equal.

The stats and numbers do not lie, they are not subject to human interpretation, influence or obfuscation, they are not like opinions that can be spun bent or twisted to an individuals will!

The emphasis on wanting COVID-19 deaths proven to support or refute the COVID-19 restrictions and other actions is also flawed, it's built on the premise that COVID-19 infections that aren't deadly are somehow OK! The evidence suggests the long term effects of long COVID-19 will potentially be far far costlier than the initial deaths. As abhorrent as it may read, a funeral is far far cheaper than a treatment or long term critical care!
The Force Awakens!

Re: CV and mad panic behaviour

Reply #2984
The hospitals are encouraged to not report vaccine problems and find other conditions
to use as the cause of death.
Underlying causes are being used to mask the truth with emphasis on the lying. If you want the true stats speak to the staff not the tga website or the hospital administrators.
The problem statistic for that argument is as @DJC points out, total deaths have dropped. That statistic tears the concept you are asserting a new one!
The Force Awakens!