Carlton Supporters Club

And we'll pass the 6 million mark of global deaths by Saturday ... if we haven't already.

There was a epidemiologist on the BBC last week who stated most experts already accept the official reported figure is likely to be only 40% of the real world figure, because some regions notoriously only report figures from major population cities but on the ground authorities know the regional areas are suffering worse outcomes because of the lack of resources! Apparently there are some regions that for either political or resource reasons still do not report Sars-CoV-2 deaths at all, the figures we read are just statistical modelling.

I think that Dr Campbell in his vlog had a rant about this a few weeks back, and why we need to be careful about official figures. Of course sceptics straight away cried out misrepresenting his warning as being about "exaggeration of deaths", when in fact the point he made was the exact opposite and about under-reporting in 3rd world locations, we cannot extrapolate what happens in London or Melbourne as typical for 3rd world locations, the models based on western cities that bristle with health clinics and hospitals are not valid.

First, not all countries have the infrastructure and capacity to register and report all deaths. In richer countries with high-quality mortality reporting systems, nearly 100% of deaths are registered. But in many low- and middle-income countries, undercounting of mortality is a serious issue. The UN estimates that, in “normal” times, only two-thirds of countries register at least 90% of all deaths that occur, and some countries register less than 50% — or even under 10% — of deaths. During the pandemic the actual coverage might be even lower.

A point from an article on excess mortality:

I understand that the "6 million mark" is based on reported deaths so it's got to be a gross under-estimate of actual COVID deaths ... and we still have COVID-deniers 

Covid is effectively over.  Any concerns over it are well and truly masked by goings on in the ukraine, and the sooner we get rid of masks and get on with it the better.

Covid is effectively over.  Any concerns over it are well and truly masked by goings on in the ukraine, and the sooner we get rid of masks and get on with it the better.

Maybe in a macro sense, Thry.  Not so for those who are still catching it and having to isolate.  While it generally seems to knock people around for a few days,  the family isolation part is really hard for many. (Often followed by glad we've had it now).

Plenty of elderly are being cautious.

Maybe in a macro sense, Thry.  Not so for those who are still catching it and having to isolate.  While it generally seems to knock people around for a few days,  the family isolation part is really hard for many. (Often followed by glad we've had it now).

Plenty of elderly are being cautious.

I got an outbreak of hives (Urticaria) when it seemed to have gone, but Zyrtec got rid of them after a few days. I suspect the 'Covid fat lady' hasn't tuned up her vocal cords just yet.