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Topics - kruddler

3
Robert Heatley Stand / Kick it too.......who? Our Inside 50 top targets.
https://www.afl.com.au/news/1135156/target-acquired-who-your-club-aims-for-inside-50
From the article....
Targets inside 50 for the year.
Carlton: Charlie Curnow (95), Harry McKay (84), Tom De Koning (21)

Looking at some other stats on our big 3 forwards...
Charlie - Harry - TDK
   29   -   24   -   7   -   Goals
   18   -   12   -   8   -   Behinds
   50   -   45   -  16  -   Shots on goal
     3   -    9    -    1  -   Complete misses
 58%  - 53%  - 44% -  Goal accuracy % (from total shots on goal, including misses)

   28   -   29   -   10  -  Marks inside 50.

   49   -   43   -  73  - Targets leading to shots on goal (%)
   31   -   29   -  33  - Targets leading to goal (%)
   29   -   35   -  48  - Targets leading to marks inside 50 (%)

OK, so thats the facts. What does it all mean.

Lets make a couple observations
- Charlie is our best shot on goal. Harry has improved remarkably, but still misses completely more than he should, but even with those misses, is more likely than TDK to kick a goal once he has a shot.
- Despite being targetted less, we are more likely to get a shot at goal, an actual goal and a mark inside 50, when we target TDK. This should be common sense really. Everyone knows we go to Harry and Charlie the most, so they get the best defenders and they get the 3rd man in helping out as well. So, by default, TDK (and everyone else in the team) get lesser defenders and less attention paid to them.

So, my take home point is this.
SPREAD THE LOAD!
Our scoring will be better if we learn to target other players.

Stop directing the ball to Harry and Charlie constantly and try and use some other forwards more often.
We have been lacking a 3rd tall most of the year (remembering TDK playing #1 ruck first half of the year) and not having Jack Silvagni available....and not having Jack Martin available much either. I'd really like to see us target this area ASAP or shoehorn someone into this role ASAP - Kemp, McGovern, Marchbank is 1 too many '3rd talls' to play down back. Try one up forward??

If there is enough interest, i might do some comparisons of other forwards (teams?) and see how we compare.

6
Robert Heatley Stand / The Zuton factor - Pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure
There's a band i like, that nobody has ever heard of called The Zutons. The only song people seem to know is one that Amy Winehouse did a cover of - Valerie, but there is plenty worth listening too.

One of my favourites is called Pressure Point.

When watching Carlton play over the last 20-odd games, there is a section that comes to mind which i think would be good for backing music in a highlight reel see below. (I've started at the part of note in this instance)

https://youtu.be/mLPJy1VS27U?si=NIolldfnPwG3M0_8&t=84

So with the above in mind....

Pressure acts. A stat that doesn't get much attention, but all hell breaks loose when you are lacking in that area, not least of which is the pressure on the coach intensifies. Its been no secret that the more you pressure your opponent, the better off you will be, in terms of the contest and the overall result.

So how have we gone so far this season and who is getting the job done? Looking at last 2 weeks for a start.

A few people have suggested that Hollands has been down on form and Cunners has been underperforming as well.

Personally i've been happy with both and i was looking through some stats to see if my eyes were telling the truth. They were.


FWIW, Carlton had 296 pressure acts. Richmond had 293.

Best for carlton....
Newman (24)
Hewett (23)
Cripps (22)
Hollands (19)
Cuningham (17)

McKay (17)
Acres (16)
Cerra (15)

Last week it was Carlton 279 vs Lions 264
Last week, the best for Carlton was....
Cerra (30)
Hollands (29)
Cuningham (18)
Hewett (17)
Kennedy (16)
Fogarty (16)

So total so far....
Hollands (48)
Cerra (45)
Hewett (40)
Newman (37)
Cripps (36)
Cuningham (35)
Boyd (28)

So there it is, Thats my Zutons factor and highlighting a few boys that i think deserve some credit for their pressure.
10
Ladies Lounge / AFLW silly season - trade period starts 7/12/23
https://www.afl.com.au/aflw/news/1070840/carlton-aflw-trade-tarni-brown-collingwood-celine-moody-western-bulldogs-mua-laloifi-sydney

Seems we are linked with every (wo)man and their dog.

My request for a clone of bri moody is likely to come true with us trying to get her twin sister Celine accross from the dogs.

Pies Father/daughter Tarni Brown is another recruit likely to come over.

Duursma sister wants to come over.

Pritchard and Arehns also possibilities.

Unfortunately, Mua Laloifi is set to leave. For whatever reason her performances last season were not up to scratch. Add that to her multiple concussions and perhaps thats why the club are not offering her another contract? Will be hard seeing her in another uniform as she was universally loved.
11
Robert Heatley Stand / Pick your best 22 - 2023 Final analysis
OK, so everything you needed to know about our 'best 22' threads that we were all voting in throughout the year, all 7 of them, are presented below.

#Player80%+20-80<20%AVG%P1P2P3P4P5P6P7
1Jack Silvagni43077.3% 97%93.4%93.4%61.6%100%33.4%62.5%
2Paddy Dow01611.1% 3.1%6.7%6.7%15.4%0%40%6.3%
3Jesse Motlop52079.4% 81.9%100%46.7%84.7%68.8%86.7%87.5%
4Lochie O'Brien02513.1% 57.6%26.7%0%7.7%0%0%0%
5Adam Cerra70099.1% 100%100%100%100%100%100%93.8%
6*Zac Williams **LTI0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
7Matt Kennedy43079.6% 97%93.4%93.4%77%93.8%46.7%56.3%
8Lachie Fogarty03419.1% 0%0%0%0%56.3%40%37.5%
9Patrick Cripps700100% 100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
10Harry McKay70099.1% 100%100%100%100%100%100%93.8%
11Mitch McGovern61091.2% 97%93.4%93.4%61.6%100%93.4%100%
12Tom De Koning61088.1% 91%93.4%46.7%92.4%93.8%100%100%
13Blake Acres70096.4% 97%100%93.4%84.7%100%100%100%
14Oliver Hollands24156.9% 6.1%53.4%93.4%84.7%25%73.4%62.5%
15Sam Docherty70099.1% 100%100%100%100%93.8%100%100%
16Jack Carroll0070.4% 3.1%0%0%0%0%0%0%
17Brodie Kemp32263.3% 12.2%6.7%66.7%77%100%93.4%87.5%
18Sam Walsh70097.1% 100%80%100%100%100%100%100%
19Corey Durdin13333.7% 60.7%60%80%23.1%6.3%0%6.3%
20Lachie Plowman0073.2% 9.1%13.4%0%0%0%0%0%
21Jack Martin51169.4% 81.9%80%20%23.1%81.3%100%100%
22Caleb Marchbank03423.6% 54.6%33.4%0%7.7%0%13.4%56.3%
23Jacob Weitering700100% 100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
24Nick Newman61089.5% 54.6%93.4%100%84.7%100%100%93.8%
25Zac Fisher22340.5% 91%86.7%53.4%46.2%0%6.7%0%
26Lochie Cowan03413% 0%33.4%26.7%30.8%0%0%0%
27Marc Pittonet52078.6% 100%100%93.4%84.7%37.5%53.4%81.3%
28David Cuningham13336.6% 15.2%13.4%0%30.8%93.8%53.4%50%
29George Hewitt70094.4% 100%100%100%92.4%87.5%100%81.3%
30Charlie Curnow700100% 100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
31Harry Lemmey0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
32Jaxon Binns0072.2% 0%0%0%15.4%0%0%0%
33Lewis Young31351.2% 97%100%93.4%61.6%0%6.7%0%
34*Sam Philp **LTI0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
35Ed Curnow0167.5% 6.1%0%40%0%0%6.7%0%
36Josh Honey0071.4% 3.1%6.7%0%0%0%0%0%
37Jordan Boyd03415.8% 9.1%0%0%38.5%31.3%6.7%25%
38Sam Durdin0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
39Alex Cincotta14244.2% 0%13.4%66.7%38.5%87.5%60%43.8%
40Hudson O'Keefe0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
41Dom Akuei0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
42Adam Saad70097.5% 97%100%100%92.4%100%93.4%100%
4300070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
44Matt Owies23246.7% 36.4%6.7%0%84.7%56.3%93.4%50%
45Alex Mirkov0070% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
46Matt Cottrell33159.1% 33.4%20%26.7%84.7%75%80%93.8%
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Pick your best 22 - PART 7 - End of season
OK, so here it is, the final 'best 22' for the year.

We've seen how the side performed in finals.
We saw what worked and what didn't all throughout the year.
Using all the information we got, who is in your best 22 now.

Lets assume all players are fit (excluding Williams and Philp to be consistent)
Lets assume all players are still on our list (including delistings, retirees and potential trades)


Pick your best 22.
13
Robert Heatley Stand / Pick your best 22 - PART 6 - pre-finals bye
OK, so time for our next one of these.....and possibly the most important one of the season.

Assume all players are fit

....with the exception of Williams and Philp......yes i know he is now fit, but for consistency, ignore that.....he won't be picked anyway.

So have at it.
14
Ladies Lounge / AFLW 2023 - R1 vs Gold Coast - Sat 1:05 @ Ikon
Well round 1 is fast approaching. Most people, and rightly so, are focussed on our mens team playing finals for the first time since the AFLW comp has started.
However, week 1 will be in the pre-finals bye week. So you can get your blues fix by watching the girls run out at Ikon park against the suns.

Unfortunately, i'm not expecting big things from our girls this season. We've lost one of our most improved for another season Maddy Guerrin with her ACL carried over into this season. We've also just lost our first round pick (pick 5) Lulu Beatty for the year as well.

They will join another few players on our injury list heading into round 1 meaning all but a few fit players will play.

But hey, games haven't started yet, so who knows.
15
Robert Heatley Stand / The life of a Carlton supporter.
So its round 23, 2022.
Its 3/4 time and you need only to draw to make finals and you have a 4 goal lead and all the momentum against arch rivals Collingwood. Life couldn't be better.
No team has even been in the 8 all year except the final round and things won't change now.
 
Carlton: Hold my Beer

6 scoring shots a piece in the last quarter including a rushed behind each.
Carlton 0.5
Collingwood 5.0
We lose by a point against Collingwood.
You miss finals by a mere 0.6%
Your dream of finals is gone.

**6 months later**

A year on and a lot more optimism. We will be better for it. We have a fit-ish list, definitely in comparison to last year. Media pumping us up as top 4 potential. Finals certainties.

After R4 - Undefeated, sitting 2nd, a monty for top 4 spot. Life is good.

After R13 - Lost 8 from our last 9, including 6 in a row. Only win was against a WAFL side. Sitting 15th destined to stay in bottom 4. Talk about sacking the coach. Deja vu.

After R20 - Won 6 in a row for first time since 2000, including 5 in a row by 50+ points. Every team that has done that in the past wins the flag. Sitting 7th, 5th favourite for the flag.

After R24 - ? ? ?

Apparently our membership figures are going through the roof. I don't see how, because surely we are losing plenty of members due to stress induced heart attacks.

Who'd be a Carlton supporter?

Hopefully there is a happy ending to this season.
It would make a good movie one day.