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Messages - BlackRooster

1
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
Nothing wrong with what you are saying @Baggers, I'm just seeing it different for a few different factors.

1. we dont play in a vacuum.  When the opposition adjusts their game to counter ours, we have suffered a few issues preventing us from making too many changes.  i.e.  losing players before half time.  By my count, in our last two games we have lost personnell by half time, forcing an activation of the sub.  I think this is the 5th time this season its happened (zac williams accounting for this twice).  Ironically we have been closer in games where we have had to activate the sub early than in games where we have chosen to use it, which is a bigger concern IMHO, but thats another story.  In round 1, nerves to Nick Haynes probably was the difference between winning and losing.  He had as bad a game as I have seen, and Mcgovern was similar for whatever reason.  Maybe it was unfamiliarity and playing young Ollie down back too. 

2.  Players sub 40 games don't have their role nutted down perfectly and are not seasoned performers.  To quote the afl, an average of 120 games playing together is a team vying for a flag.  I don't think we have this in more than 60% of the team with the lineup we are currently trotting out, and this includes players like Durdin, Motlop, Cerra, Haynes for starters.  Some of these names have the requisite number of games, but Haynes has played 9 games with us thus far.  It doesnt help some of our more reliable players are having down years, perhaps on the back of this.

3.  The season is no where near complete yet.  We have come into this season on the back of a coughing and spluttering last season, and I think we are simply not having a good year fitness wise.  This isnt the first time for us, it happened in 2012 as well, we just couldn't get rolling.  We aren't the first team to suffer this.  Hawthorn who we all agree were a benchmark won the flag in 2008, then spent the next few years suffering with injuries to key players and missed finals completely in 2009, limped in 2010, 2011 won 18 games for the year only to stumble in the finals losing in the first week, and then making it to the prelim to lose to Collingwood by 3 points, and then went on to finish 2012 as minor premiers just to lose the grand final to Sydney before they then went on a 3 peat. Inuries played their part in preventing them doing better a few years earlier.  That and blooding a few youngsters that eventually saw them go bang.  Sure, we arent in Hawks territory now, but if 2023 where we played in a prelim was our 2008 (Hawthorn won that one ahead of schedule and were arguably better than we were in that year but the point is, they struggled for the next few years in similar circumstances coming from a similar place to where we are coming from.  We may not ever be like that hawks outfit, but the formline shouldnt be ignored.  Not many jump up there and stay up there, but plenty of flash in the pans have happened.

When it all boils down, we are a victim of our historic impatience here.  We want to be better, but for whatever reason we are not in that conversation right now, and personally I look at the sheer number of times that we have activated the sub early, and which players keep breaking down, and go, yep, hows that for just dumb luck.  You cannot beat lady luck, and we have been as luckless a footy club as I have seen over the journey and part of that is poor planning because once you start relying on luck, you will find it goes against you. 

We have talked ad nauseum about player depth and what not, but Collingwood last season are an example of what happens when the wrong players break down consistently.  They went from flag winners to not playing finals.  Sydney are the example this season.  Went from last years most consistent team of performers, barely giving players a week off and using the least amount through the year, playing in a grand final, and this season can barely string 4 quarters together. 

To me, this is what I see.  A team that can, but often cant for a variety of reasons.  A lot of the pundits talk a lot about player selection tactics, and what not.  Thing is, sports is simple.  You start having compounding issues, and you come back to the field very quickly.  Pep Guardiolas Manchester City is a team with all the resources, best coaching and what not in the world, but when you lose your marquee striker for a 3rd of the season, they went from winning a treble of trophies (no easy feat) to winning not even the league cup which is very much the bridesmaid trophy crap clubs aspire to win.

Great write up. Makes me start to think a little different
5
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 2 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Hawks certainly had the rub of the green from the umpires they got the 50/50 ones while ours were given well after 3 or 4 had already been missed.
Definitely a feel of free kick hawthorn. Of course they gave us 4-5 in the last quarter to even up those stats a bit, mostly in our D50.

What even is HTB anymore 🤷

Yes and the even upper frees were deep in our backhalf. Meaning the frees were useless
6
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 2 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
There were some flashes of good stuff but not enough and for long enough, we just don't have the list to go anywhere significant

We will never be taken seriously when we can only manage two goals in the second half of any match. Don't forget, we did the same thing last week.

Season over now ........... we are just another mid-table team who will pinch the occassional scalp along the way but that's about it.

Could not agree anymore with the above. As harsh as it may sound it is how our team is travelling. Disturbing that we have only won 2 of our last 11 games and how did we beat??

8
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
I have not read every post but i am guessing what i am thinking or want to say has been said. I have heard this comment many times from the media (not necessary about this game) but EFFORT does not require talent and in the first half thats what alot of our players lacked effort.

I am not sure we can afford to bring a big broom to sweep out players. I just hope that the people who have our club in their hands know what they plan to do.

Do we dare say maybe 2025 for a team that plays a consistent brand of football.
10
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Can someone / anyone answer the following:
1) we cant our forwards take pack marks?????
2) Why cant our backs stop forwards taking pack marks??
3) why do we continually kick the ball to a pack in the forward line.
4) why dont our forwards lead
5) why dont our small forwards crumb

why, why why and one more thing why


The above confusion and frustrate me so (swear word) much.

AND (take a breath) gutted watching that gane, trying to win in 10 mins of footy. Spare me.

11
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 18 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs
Anyone else pick up on Vossy's dig at umpires re Weiters copping knocks to the back without acknowledgement? (This was in response to a question from a journo re why Weiters was doubled up at one stage?)

Sure did. Not sure if he was referring to this and last week or just this week, but made it clear it was happening. I wonder if he gets a please explain from the AFL.
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 15 2024 Post-Game Prognostications Carlton vs Geelong
Watching the game, my wife steap in the room to watch some of the footy with me, bang the Cowman kicks a goal. Wife "why are they booing him" Me "no babe thats not a boo thats a Mooooooooooooo" AND did you know Carlton kick the most goals from free kicks. Is that because A) Other teams cannot kick straight or B) I am now convinced when BRIAN commentates he and the rest cannot say one good thing about us when we are winning, plenty when we are losing
Go BAGGERS
13
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 12 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Port Adelaide
Work rate enormous and really wanted it, haven't seen that from this side for a long time.

Better ball users coming in to the side makes us look better.

Cripps' last quarter, showing that the Hornet only runs one way, and Walsh's work rate... unbelievable.  Great effort from role players like Kemp, Cinch et al.

Negatives.  Soldo, a straight out dog. Umpires, WTF !?! And Fantasia....my blind poodle would be more use. Don't get me started on the commentary.
Proff agree about the commentary, here are the Blues playing good football smashing the power and all the channel 7 team could talk about was JHF. What the F. Disgraceful
14
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 12 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Port Adelaide
My brother kept coming to me during the game about too many easy marks in their forward line and how the flood gates were going to open against us. I pointed out that we just needed to clean up the use of our ball around the ground and going forward and then POW what a last qrt. He came back after the game and said see i told you the flood gates would open. :)  GO BLUE BAGGERS
15
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Just got home  from the game, having a JD to settle the nerves. We did panic a bit in the last quarter and lost our structure.
Take the win and the possitives from the first half and move on.


I was there and agree, we panicked in the last. I did feel when Cerra wehnt down they started to get back into the game.  Anyone 4 points in the bag, :)