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Messages - kruddler

2
Ladies Lounge / Re: AFLW Rd 12: Carlton vs Brisbane in Brisbane
Quote from: crashlander – on
A couple of changes this week, that don't really help us much.

B:   21 Harriet Cordner   14 Siofra O'Connell
HB:   8 Lily Baxter   36 Ciara Fitzgerald   7 Poppy Scholz
C:   11 Yasmin Duursma   4 Claudia Whitfort   17 Dayna Finn
HF:   19 Erone Fitzpatrick   55 Sophie McKay   25 Keeley Sherar
F:   35 Nell Morris-Dalton   23 Lila Keck
R:   2 Lauren Bella   10 Mimi Hill   5 Abbie McKay
Int:   1 Amelia Velardo   6 Gabriella Pound   26 Tayla McMillan   20 Lily Goss   3 Darcy Vescio
Em:   24 Brooke Vickers   13 Aisling Reidy   30 Kiara Bischa

We'll miss both Hendrie and Good, especially Good who is among the best rucks going around.
That Tara Bohanna couldn't get a game is worrying when we need a key forward.
Nice to see gab Pound back.
We don't look as balanced with 2 talls out.
Hopefully, we can still put it together, but we look vulnerable.

Not sure if we've given up on Poppy Scholz, but named in the backline.....as cover for Hendrie, sure, but thats when you bring in Bohanna. If we can't pick Tara for this game, have we seen the last of her in Navy Blue?
4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: 2027 fixture revealed.
Quick breakdown....

24 Rounds.
23 games
1 bye

17 teams including 6 double ups.

Teams we play twice....
North Melbourne - R2 + R16
Melbourne - R4 + R18
Collingwood - R5 + R21
Port Adelaide - R6 + R23
Geelong - R8 + R19
Giants - R17 + R24

Only 16 rounds (15 games) have days/times allocated so far.

From that 15 we have....
2 - Thursday night games
1 - Friday day game - (good friday vs North)
2 - Friday night games
2 - Saturday day games
2 - Saturday night games
6 - Sunday games....
     2x - 3:15
     1x - 5:40
     2x - 6:10
     1x - 7:45 - (kings birthday eve vs bombers)
    

We travel interstate 6 times....
R4 - vs Melbourne (Adelaide - gather round)
R6 - vs Port
R10 - vs Gold Coast (Darwin)
R12 - vs West Coast
R17 - vs Giants
R22 - vs Sydney

We also travel down to GMHBA (R19) for the first time since Covid in 2020.

Worst Scheduling quirk...
R4 - We are in Adelaide playing the demons on the Saturday for gather round.
R5 - We fly back to melbourne and play Pies after a 5 day break
R6 - We fly back to Adelaide to play Port on the Sunday, a 9-day break.

Surely they could've done that better??
6
Ladies Lounge / Re: AFLW Rd 12: Carlton vs Brisbane in Brisbane
There's plenty of permutations and what ifs on where we can finish on the ladder after this last round is played out.

But to cut through all the unlikelies....
We need to beat Brisbane by 1 point more than Gold Coast beat GWS.

Unfortunately, the other game is played after ours, so we have no real control over that.

We just need to win and win well, and then hope its a close game between the other 2, who play on Sunday.
7
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Quote from: Lods – on
Quote from: kruddler – on
Despite all of this, my gut feel is that one nation is a lot bigger in the northern states.

I suspect you wouldn't see a lot of difference in One Nation 'electoral' support between Victoria, and a place like Queensland.
It'd be pretty much the same around that low 20% mark.

That doesn't mean Northerners aren't more conservative/right leaning in their political views.
But those views are probably addressed by more 'right leaning' LNP and Independent candidates in the North.

Why switch to ON when you already have some who basically shares your political and social views.

The 'electoral' problem One Nation faces is that their support is patchy.
It will be particularly strong in some areas....up over 30% perhaps.
But in  others they will struggle around 10-15%
That's why the main focus in Victoria probably won't be the overall level of support for ON, but how it translates into actual seats in the parliament.

Maybe.

Its hardly statistically significant, but there are a few random different facebook groups (1000's on each) that sometimes stray into political debates. I would say 90% of the time One nation gets a push, its started from a QLDer.

Maybe its specific to this type of group(s) but thats where my gut feel comes from.
8
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Quote from: Lods – on
I've no skin in the game in terms of the upcoming election, living interstate.
I think it's going to be a fascinating watch though.

Just from afar it seems more a case of one side looking like losing-tired and worn out, past their use by date... rather than an enthusiasm for a new group to take over.
I'm curious to see the extent of the One Nation vote and how that translates to any great extent into seats.
It could be a future defining election for them.
They need to keep their current momentum because once it starts to decline, that will be the end of the road for them.

Popcorn is ready. ;)

Victoria is losing their minds and the rational outcome (whatever the collective perceive that to be) is far from guaranteed.

I'm not even sure what date the election is for, but so far i've only seem one group campaigning for votes in person, albeit on the side of the road, and that was one-nation. Complete with the professional oversized mugshots within the orange border, just like you see on election day.

I've never seen that before, from one nation, but they are getting in early and going hard.

Despite all of this, my gut feel is that one nation is a lot bigger in the northern states.
11
Ladies Lounge / Re: AFLW 2026 Rd 11 Carlton vs GWS at Carlton
Thats about the worst conditions i've seen for a game in ages.

Last quarter appears to be 'just wet' rather than 'biblical wet' like the first 3.

A couple goals in the last and it puts us 15 points up with 3 mniutes to go and you'd think thats the ball game.
12
Ladies Lounge / Re: AFLW 2026 Rd 11 Carlton vs GWS at Carlton
I think i made a comment the other week about how we are playing some people for development now, rather than simply putting our best 23 out on the park. This was in reference to Gab Pound being out of the side most weeks.
I'm not sure if i named anyone, but Tayla McMillan was the one that stood out at the time. Lila Keck would be similar in the past IMO.

On the flipside of that, last year i was critical of Duursma in the same way....not quite ready yet....and this year she has come on in leaps and bounds and looks a different player. Not A-grade by any means, but a genuine contributor.

Hopefully the trend continues.

Not many girls going backwards. The only ones you have question marks on are the older girls, Bohanna, Pound, Vescio etc.....and thats got nothing to do with development, but rather father time.
13
Ladies Lounge / Re: Changes to F/D for 2028
Quote from: crashlander – on
Like the men, male players will need to have played 100 games for their offspring to be eligible for F/S or F/D status.

Not at all what the Mother/son or daughter criterion might be.

We have a top pick available for F/D next year: Sophia Green.

Makes sense....i guess.

The tricky one will be going the other way.
How many games can a mother have played before their offspring becomes eligible.....and would it vary depending on AFLW or AFL.
Given the shorter seasons, i would like to think that 50 would be about the max games required by an AFLW player.

.....and because i like to look for loopholes and ways around things......could you combine games played if both your parents happen to have played the game? Say, your dad played 70 games, and your mum played 30 games for the same team, does that make you eligible as they combined for 100. It probably should!
15
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Quote from: shawny – on
Quote from: kruddler – on


Be careful what you wish for is all i'm saying.

I'm not saying there is a magic button to fix everything, but one way or another it will get worse before it gets better. How much worse is up for debate and time will tell.

Kruddler, theres risks in every change and of course whatever you have may not be as bad as what you can get - that's life and if that's your way of thinking stay in bed pull the covers over yourself and stay there all day.

Voting for Labour is endorsing the current state we are in and why it just cant happen and i dont think it will.

Sure there are risks.

We, as a country, are going to go on a journey.

We can choose Liberal....and it might be the old rusted commodore that you keep throwing money at in the hope to get it back to the glory days.
We can choose Labor....and it might be the 2nd hand boat your bought that constantly leaks and never runs right. Throwing money at it hand over fist.
or
We can choose One Nation....and it might be a rocket ship with ACME written on the side. We know we are in for a journey, but have no idea where it will take us, but almost guarantee its not where you are hoping, and it never ends well.

The first 2, are old and busted, but there is a proven track record, IF you can work out the kinks.
The 3rd option....is a ride nobody will want to be on once it takes off.