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Messages - kruddler

2
The Sports Desk / Re: God help me - the Test Cricket thread
One needs to mediate carefully between the group and the individual. There may be a small element of truth to certain groups conforming to certain behaviors, but that needs to be measured against that fact we are individual minds, and you need to be wary of flattening or erasing any nuance or legitimate difference that exists between members of a group.

In terms of parental pushiness, my experiences were decidedly mixed, with 2 children involved in soccer, cricket, swimming, ballet, fencing, drama, choir, art classes, gymnastics. Pushy parents come in all shapes and skin colors, as do chill parents.

This is wise words.

That being said, our work has put on 2 'indian cultural days' where the goal is to help understand the differences between Indians and 'traditional' clients and how to navigate this without being offensive.

It was run by an indian woman who has been in Melbourne for almost 2 decades now.

Summarised best by explaining India is so big and varied its best thinking about it essentially as different countries. Wealth, education, language, religion, mannerisms all change depending on where you are.

However, take home message is this. As a general rule, "if you don't ask, you don't get" and "You can't say 'no' to indians" put a lot of people offside from our end. Culturally, they are 'pushy' because they need to be. There's a billion other people they are competing with. While as a group/company, we acknowledge this, but its poor form to bow down to such demands in comparison to any other client. Why should they get favouritism simply because they are pushy??

Obviously, within that individual personalities vary, just like other cultures, but they acknowledge themselves its part of theirs. This certainly does show up in sports and with pushy parents.

For those interested in movies, 'Dangal' is an indian movie based of real events of an overbearing parent going against tradition and training his daughters up to be world class wrestlers, competing at commonwealth and olympic games as a result. A great standalone movie in its own right, but gives you a look at 'the other side'.
3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: Name your team for Opening Round
Re recruits, just because we get them, didn't mean we think they are best 23 starters.

Eg look at the ruck. Tdk left, we needed someone to come in. Obviously we try and get someone with great talent but had we not been able to trade for one, we would've got one another way (draft, ssp)

So with that in mind, a ruck was coming one way or another.  So does that make Reidy a starter? I don't think so. Will he play some games? IMO absolutely.

Another way of looking at recruits is this.
What did it cost us?
What could we get with that same value elsewhere?

Eg chesser. He cost us pick 41. Could we get a ready made player with pick 41 at the draft?  Unlikely. So he was recruited as it was better than we could expect to get otherwise. Sure, he would have some desirable attributes and fills a position of need etc (debatable, but i digress).
But ultimately, it's simply about value.

That doesn't mean automatic best 23 though.
4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: Name your team for Opening Round
Every year we get sucked into included all our recruits into our best 22 (23) and every year we get disappointed.

I can't see how someone like cheeser gets a game in our side after only managing 4 in a very poor Eagles side in 2025... and not much more in years before that. Even if it's simply down to injury history.
6
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
Here is a look at the betting this time a year ago....

PointsbetTABSportsbetLadbrokes
Brisbane ($6)Brisbane ($7)Brisbane ($8)Brisbane ($7)
GWS ($8)Hawthorn ($8)Hawthorn ($8)Hawthorn ($8)
Hawthorn ($8.50)Carlton ($9)Carlton ($9)Carlton ($9)
Sydney ($10)Sydney ($9)Collingwood ($9)Sydney ($9)
Carlton ($10)GWS ($9)Geelong ($9)GWS ($9)
Collingwood ($10)Geelong ($10)GWS ($9)Collingwood ($9)
Geelong ($11)Collingwood ($10)Sydney ($10)Geelong ($10)
Western Bulldogs ($11)Fremantle ($11)Fremantle ($12)Western Bulldogs ($12)
Fremantle ($14)Western Bulldogs ($12)Western Bulldogs ($13)Fremantle ($13)
Port Adelaide ($17)Port Adelaide ($17)Port Adelaide ($15)Port Adelaide ($15)
Essendon ($26)Melbourne ($26)Melbourne ($21)Melbourne ($26)
Melbourne ($26)St Kilda ($34)Adelaide ($26)Adelaide ($29)
Adelaide ($34)Adelaide ($34)Essendon ($41)Gold Coast ($41)
St Kilda ($41)Gold Coast ($41)Gold Coast ($41)Essendon ($51)
Gold Coast ($41)Essendon ($51)St Kilda ($41)St Kilda ($51)
North Melbourne ($151)North Melbourne ($101)North Melbourne ($81)North Melbourne ($101)
West Coast ($151)West Coast ($101)West Coast ($101)West Coast ($101)
Richmond ($501)Richmond ($151)Richmond ($151)Richmond ($101)
Now whats changed in the meantime??
7
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
I note that we were rated as third most affected by injury to senior players in 2025, as just posted on afl.com.au. That in a season where we were a quantum leap better than what we were in 2024.

https://www.afl.com.au/news/1443396/essendon-bombers-horror-run-greater-western-sydney-giants-rise-which-clubs-were-unlucky-with-injuries

Now, if we can improve by the same amount in 2026, then maybe we'll have enough ammunition to argue about our list management properly. Certainly, we should play closer to our potential with a fitter list.

That is about the most backwards way i've ever seen to calculate 'injuries'.

For instance, if Cripps got injured and missed the year, he wouldn't finish in the top 5 coaches votes, thus wouldn't be included in the list. The more injured you are, the less games you play, the less chance of getting you in the coaches votes meaning the less 'important' you are. Bollocks.
8
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
Hang on!
You can't have it both ways.
You can't say 2023 is SOS's team and then in the next breath say Austin has had six years.
The only one moving  goal posts around is your good self. ::)

All list managers build on their predecessors list to some extent.
Cripps and Docherty were part of that for Silvagni so was Ed Curnow
You can't just dismiss the players that Austin added for 2023.
And the real fruits of Austin's tenure are yet to hit their peak.

lol.....i'm trying to follow YOUR rules and you won't let me.

If i'm trying to follow my rules, you wont let me.

Why am i not surprised.

Current list management team is infallable. Now i see the light.  ::)  ::)  ::)
9
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat


Potentially....but our previous one...

...was long gone.

The list position we found ourselves in was a combination of the efforts of both.
You can't have one without the other.
And two injury hit and disrupted seasons later you want the one left gone.

Crash mentioned 2002 but there was another injury hit season in 2014 when many of our best players including Judd and Kreuzer missed big chunks....and Robinson and Garlett went off the rails.
The brains trust at the time decided we needed a rebuild and the incoming list manager cut the list and sent the club into oblivion.

Hang on, we can't judge the current crop for years, but we can give them kudos for piggybacking on the previous guys efforts within a couple years??

Geez these goal posts are moving so often i don't even know which way i'm kicking now!

From a previous list....these players were NOT SOS's from 2023.....

Hewett
Saad
Cerra
Acres
Docherty - Before SOS
Cripps - Before SOS

O. Hollands
Motlop
Jordan Boyd
Cincotta

From that list, 2 are not by either.
1 is already delisted
2 are on the outs (Boyd and Acres)
...and Motlop was rumoured to be on the way out to PA this past trade period (Durdin got booted instead).

So yeah, SOS's team.
10
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat


2 sides to every coin.

How well did we do with Charlie doing nothing? Imagine if we get him up to speed and added depth around him, rather than losing depth. Thats not so 'magical' now is it?

Results did worsen, but thats about the playing list rather than the coaching.
Even Docherty said as much post retirement.....thats if you don't want to take my word for it which was well documented at the time as well.

....and one last thing.
The result 'proves' we were brittle?

In case you are unaware, that team that showed how 'brittle' we were, were a goal off having a 3-peat.....and we had them 5 goals down on their home deck early.
Doesn't seem brittle to me. Seems to have been beaten by the best side in the modern game right now

So are you saying our list manager had built a side capable of winning a flag :D  :D

Potentially....but our previous one...
11
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat


I would argue that as a prelim side, drastic measures were not required, but rather staying the course wouldve yielded better results.

And I would argue that as a preliminary final side in '23, we were brittle as evidenced by the result. How did Charles perform in that finals series? The cracks were there to the objective observer. In terms of the coaching group (leadership)... we did stay the course and the results for 2024/5 worsened each year.

To assume that because you make a preliminary final you'll just naturally, even magically, improve the next year is naive at best... hubris at worst.

2 sides to every coin.

How well did we do with Charlie doing nothing? Imagine if we get him up to speed and added depth around him, rather than losing depth. Thats not so 'magical' now is it?

Results did worsen, but thats about the playing list rather than the coaching.
Even Docherty said as much post retirement.....thats if you don't want to take my word for it which was well documented at the time as well.

....and one last thing.
The result 'proves' we were brittle?

In case you are unaware, that team that showed how 'brittle' we were, were a goal off having a 3-peat.....and we had them 5 goals down on their home deck early.
Doesn't seem brittle to me. Seems to have been beaten by the best side in the modern game right now
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
Thing with being average and changing the way you do things, it can also leave you further behind the rest as a result
Sure, it's a risk, but doing the same thing over and over again,,............... well we know what that means!

I would argue that as a prelim side, drastic measures were not required, but rather staying the course wouldve yielded better results.
13
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
I don't think anyone would question the time and effort Kruddler puts into his analysis of list management and other discussion points.  However, there's plenty to question about his methodology, assumptions and conclusions, and that's what helps make this place tick.

Again, I don't think anyone here would be unhappy if we were to draft the next Jonathan Brown, but there's a much greater chance that any club hoping for a Jonathan Brown will end up with a Jonathon Patton.  Bringing in another Stephen Kernahan via trade or free agency would be far more likely to be successful.

The scuttlebutt is that we were interested in Louis Emmett but the Bulldogs snapped him up.  Would the "draft a KPF" crew been happy with that?  What about if the rest of the scuttlebutt is correct and he's going to be developed as a KPD?

What annoys me about the criticism of our list management team's work at the draft is not so much the bleating about not picking a KPF, no matter how banged up or unready for AFL he might have been.  It's the downplaying of the fact that we snared the best KPP in the draft.  All I read is 'he can't play on 200cm KPFs', 'we only got him because he's a father-son pick', 'he won't be ready for AFL', he's too short', 'he won't be as good as Jack', 'we've put all our eggs in one basket', 'we should have drafted a KPF instead of a KPD', why didn't we draft a State league KPP?', 'we could have taken [insert any delisted rookie KPP]' ...

Drafting Harry Dean (and Jack Ison) was a masterclass in NGA player development and astute list management.  That is probably why both Fox and ESPN rate our work at the draft as equal third best ... but what would they know?  And they're probably following an agenda.

1. Forget about any outside ratings. It's based on one years work and 1 year only.
2. Nobody is complaining about Harry Dean. I made 1 comment about a perceived weakness and that was confirmed. That doesn't mean we delist him now. Everyone had weaknesses. Move on.
3. Why do you give kudos to the list managers for drafting people we've had developing for years? That is shooting fish in a barrel. Kudos to the club for developing an academy that is starting to pay off. Not rocket science to take them.

What is it about my methodology that needs questioning?
Any assumptions and conclusions can be argued as is the nature of assumptions and conclusions.

As for emmett, you miss the point again. "Oh he is no good because he will be a defender?"  Maybe.
Remember where the name came from... the club.... albeit indirectly.
I don't care if it was him or whoever. That's not the point. The point is the club failed to fill a need, and one they highlighted... and it was really easy to change that.... but they didn't.

Perhaps you should be questioning why the club wanted him at all if he is a defender?! Or is that not possible because they are not to be questioned or spoken bad about.

I sunset how happy you'll be after another poor year
14
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
The bar isn't set low.
It's set unrealistically high by ignoring all that occurred with the club during the season just gone.

All any supporter can ask for is continued improvement each year.
But that path is rarely a straight line and there will be peaks and troughs which usually occur around the availability of players.

He gets a pass because we had injuries?
Its not the injuries that killed us, it was the lack of talent behind our starters that killed us.

Now who would be responsible for that?
Perhaps if we didn't have 13 small forwards on the list we could've coped with injuries better?

The lack of a balanced most was exposed by injuries and he still gets a free pass out of it?

Its all tied together.
15
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat
Folks are living in the past?
You can't judge the current crop for years.

Geez how do i get a gig where there is no possible way to be judged?

I've said previously, what had the current team done to be given a free pass by everyone?

I could save the club millions simply by drafting off phantom lists. No accountability required