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Messages - DJC

1
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
Straightforward crime scene DNA comparisons can be analysed within 12 hours LP, despite what the BBC said.
Is that correct for diffuse samples?

My understanding from the doco was that it's quite different for say a blood sample versus some perspiration left on a towel or surface.

Yes, within 12 hours is certainly achievable for DNA extracted from fingerprints or perspiration.  According to forensic scientist Kat Sato, five hours is the minimum time for a standard law enforcement lab and that can be reduced to two hours in a more advanced lab  The time consuming part is running the results through databases, but I'd put money on just a straight comparison with Robinson in this case.
2
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
Straightforward crime scene DNA comparisons can be analysed within 12 hours LP, despite what the BBC said.

While the suspect is not co-operating, there is significant corroborating evidence to link him to the shooting.  The DNA evidence will not be compelling or conclusive but will just add to the body of corroborating evidence.

The troubling aspect for me is that the US hierarchy has jumped on the DNA evidence as if it is a slam dunk.  A “Mickey Haller” lawyer would have a plethora of experts testifying about DNA transference and creating reasonable doubt in the jurors’ minds.
3
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
Perhaps I went too early with my praise of Utah Governor Spencer Cox.

What on earth was he thinking when he said, "For the last 33 hours, I had been praying that this person was from another country. That he was not one of us. But it was one of us."

Was he referring to a person like FBI Director Kash Patel, who was standing behind Cox and looking decidedly uncomfortable as Cox delivered his monologue. Of course, the FBI hasn't covered itself in glory and that may have been the cause of Patel's unease.

Robinson is the archetypal school shooter and I would have thought that Cox's thought processes would have quickly led him to the conclusion that the shooter was "one of us."
4
Ladies Lounge / Re: AFLW 2025 Rd 5: Carlton vs Gold Coast at Carlton
Glad the girls are showing the way.

Post covid they did the "if you don't want to be here you can feck off" and seem to be benefitting from it now.

Hopefully our men's team have a similar reversal of fortunes.

They certainly did move players on, and some high profile players left for what they thought were greener pastures.  That really did cause short term pain but I think that it will be to our advantage in the long term.

We seem to have put together a very competitive list that really wants to play for the club and each other.
5
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
I think if we focus on the main topic of this thread, which is essentially Trump and America post 2016, we need to be careful about equivocating and assuming some kind of both sides equivalence. The data make it pretty clear that the Trump Republicans are much worse rhetorically and practically than the Democrats.

There seems to be a level of camaraderie between former presidents, but it doesn’t extend to Taco.  That was evident at Jimmy Carter’s funeral where Biden, Bush, Obama and Clinton exchanged pleasantries but avoided Taco.  I’m not sure whether that’s due to an understandable genuine dislike of the man, an unwillingness to be associated with his politics, or a combination.

Previous Republican presidents have generally conducted themselves with dignity and in a statesmanlike manner.  Political assassinations still occurred, but not in the context of aggressive, hate-filled speech that emanates from the White House now.  The Utah governor’s firm pushback against the MAGA calls for retribution is reminiscent of the pre-MAGA GOP.
6
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
I fear Australia is going down the same track, as we become increasingly influenced by media-driven one-liners and cheap-shot journalists who no longer report news, only their agenda-laden opinions.
I'm not so pessimistic, I think the extremists are still clearly in the minority pretty much everywhere globally, it's the media representation that is unbalanced.

The problem is the inaction of the silent majority, it needs to vote with it's wallet, it is the only thing that modern media understand. Stop advertising on their platforms, stop buying what they peddle, and the executives will get the message.

I'm of a similar view LP.

I think that incidents like the Porepunkah tragedy and the attacks on synagogues, Jewish businesses, Camp Sovereignty, etc are aberrations by a tiny minority that's manipulated by bad actors.  On the whole, we're a relatively tolerant bunch who can conduct political discourse without resorting to name calling.

Peter Dutton's concession speech and the remarks he directed to Albo and Ali France are good examples of that.  And then there's the fact that Dutton and Albo are good mates, despite having opposing political views.
7
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
At this point in time, taking the sum total of information available, the only reasonable conclusion is that the shooter was politically incoherent, either because the information is unreliable (for a host of reasons) or because he was a confused young man with no clear political position.

I suspect that’s a fairly common characterisation of most school shooters.

It’s interesting that the engravings on the cartridge cases that were originally identified as pro trans, pro gay and anti-fascist are mostly video game references and, if anything, anti-gay.  The video game references suggest divorced from reality.

The degree of difficulty in pulling off a fatal hit at that range shouldn’t be underestimated, particularly when the shooter was in an elevated position relative to the victim.

Robinson is clearly a very competent marksman.  The photographs of him at ranges and with different weapons, as well as the engraved cartridge cases, suggest an unhealthy interest in firearms, at least by our standards.

Throw in his religion, video game fascination, educational experiences, and the increasingly demeaning and dehumanising political rhetoric and actions, and you have a problem.

8
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
MAGA has had to change the Charlie Kirk narrative now that it is known that the alleged shooter is not a "tranny" or lefty but is from a white Mormon MAGA family.

Tyler Robinson's personal political views aren't known but his background is eerily similar to the blokes who had a crack at Taco, most school shooters, and those responsible for the recent assassination of Minnesota Democratic Rep Melissa Hortman and her husband, the arson attack on the Pennsylvania governor’s residence, the killing of United HealthCare executive Brian Thompson, the shooting attack on the headquarters of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and many other acts of politically motivated violence.

Sadly, political violence seems to be ingrained in the US landscape.  That's not surprising when that landscape is so polarised and anger, distrust and conspiracy theories are the language of the so-called leaders.  How often does Taco refer to his political opponents as enemies of the USA? Gavin Newsom's trolling of Taco might be a bit of fun and paying him back in kind, but it's divisive and adding fuel to the fire.
9
Ladies Lounge / Re: AFLW 2025 Rd 5: Carlton vs Gold Coast at Carlton
Another great game by the girls and I think the scoreboard flattered Gold Coast.

In 2023 we finished the season in 12th spot with four wins and six losses.  Last season we finished 14th with four wins and seven losses.  We're currently fourth with four wins and one loss.
10
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
I think its working then.  The stance of the Aussie government has changed significantly since it started. 

Ultimately its always a mixed bag of why people do these things.  I think its generally OK for it to continue.  Particularly when its a peaceful protest march.  Otherwise people who feel like doing something, might do something less peaceful as an alternative.

The Australian Government’s stance is firmly in lockstep with that of most similar-minded nations. 


11
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions


According to the march organisers, the objective is to stop the Palestinian genocide by forcing the Australian Government to take action against Israel.


What action would that be ?Military, Economic, expelling their embassy staff?

Who knows?

Recognising the Palestinian state and condemning the genocide is probably as good as it will get.

Calls to cut military equipment trade probably won’t be heeded because many multinational military projects rely on input from Israeli industries.
12
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
After 98 pro-Palestine marches, would the organisers accept that their marches won’t change anyone’s mind or convince the Government to shift policy?
depends what the goal of the marches is.

If its just to continue the conversation then no.  Its achieving its goal proven by your post

According to the march organisers, the objective is to stop the Palestinian genocide by forcing the Australian Government to take action against Israel.

13
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
The Royal Children's Hospital CEO has just cancelled a Children and War seminar because it might compromise staff safety.

Two RCH doctors claimed that a body opposing antisemitism complained about the event.  A doctor who was due to speak at the event says she was told it was cancelled "because of Gaza".

14
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
After 98 pro-Palestine marches, would the organisers accept that their marches won’t change anyone’s mind or convince the Government to shift policy?