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Messages - ElwoodBlues1

2
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 19 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Collingwood at MCG
Surely Kemp has to be on shaky ground.  When I watch him play I am reminded of the saying "Jack of all trades and master of none".  He has been tried on the back line, the forward line and positions in between.  On a good day he breaks even with his opponent, and on most other days his performance can best be described as mediocre.

The fact he is able to retain his position in the side is a reflection of our desperate shortage of KPPs. 
McGovern has been our most productive forward imo which doesnt say much about Kemp and the rest....he is too unreliable and we have nothing in the twos. Concerning for me is the news we are in the hunt for Amartey from the Swans who I dont rate at all....
3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: VFL 2026 Rd 16: Carlton vs Box Hill at Box Hill

Im probably prepared to keep going with Ison for development, Williams is more of a spare parts backup player for me if we get injuries at either end of the ground.
Id definitely bring back Acres and think about Fogarty if the conditions were poor....

Fair comment on Fogarty.  His cards have probably been marked but, if Hewitt can't go, he might be worth a run in the midfield rotation.
Thats how I see it RR, bit of horses for courses if its wet and being able run onball as part of the rotation if Hewett is out.The game will more than likely be a grind rather than a shoot out and suit Fogarty.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: VFL 2026 Rd 16: Carlton vs Box Hill at Box Hill
Fogarty playing onball has been our best, conditions suiting along with Acres who has worked his way into the game.
The Campos have been solid contributors but nothing great that says  "pick us for the seniors" next week.
Williams has been steady down back and shown his experience in the conditions.
Moir has been more interested in pushing and shoving with his opponents more than attacking the ball after attempting a speccy early in the game.
Okeefe been handy down forward using his size but its not a day for marking players so not expecting much from him but he has provided a target.
Reidy has done some ok stuff around the ground and probably broken even in the ruck but there is nothing dominating about his play and he does get sucked in to giving away silly frees as has been suggested.


I've got Williams in for Ison next week up forward. He regularly hits the scorebaord.
Im probably prepared to keep going with Ison for development, Williams is more of a spare parts backup player for me if we get injuries at either end of the ground.
Id definitely bring back Acres and think about Fogarty if the conditions were poor....
5
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: VFL 2026 Rd 16: Carlton vs Box Hill at Box Hill
Fogarty playing onball has been our best, conditions suiting along with Acres who has worked his way into the game.
The Campos have been solid contributors but nothing great that says  "pick us for the seniors" next week.
Williams has been steady down back and shown his experience in the conditions.
Moir has been more interested in pushing and shoving with his opponents more than attacking the ball after attempting a speccy early in the game.
Okeefe been handy down forward using his size but its not a day for marking players so not expecting much from him but he has provided a target.
Reidy has done some ok stuff around the ground and probably broken even in the ruck but there is nothing dominating about his play and he does get sucked in to giving away silly frees as has been suggested.

6
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 19 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Collingwood at MCG
I wouldn't expect too much EB.  Our seconds has F all AFL-standard players as well.  Be tempted to play both the Campos for Hewitt and Hollands, but Lord is a consideration. Today's VFL game will be illuminating.
Jagga Smith might need a break as well, missing a lot of tackles/having them broken and that won't fly against the filth.
Cottrell or Acres to run with Daicos.

Prof, I wouldn't mind seeing Ben Campo get a run for Hewett .
Probably need a rotation on ND, Nth had Osullivan on him but the Pies beat up on NDs taggers and he was very sore going into the last quarter and couldn't keep up with him .Jagga wouldn't have played too many senior games in the real wet and needs a couple of more years in the gym to build up the body to stick and standup in tackles. Acres is a must have back in the team, it will probably be a grinding game and we need his size. A few of our blokes looked a bit flimsy and Cripps needs some help..
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 19 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Collingwood at MCG
I'd expect to beat Collingwood who are struggling with injury and have Frampton suspended. Nick Daicos looked cooked after winning them the game vs Nth and if you look at their VFL team it hardly has any senior players. Cripps won't play two bad ones in a row and I'd be expecting a rebound from our blokes after this weekends debacle in the wet.
Blues by 25 points..
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 18 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Tonight was a test and we failed.
We planned very poorly for the rain IMO. I stayed home because I checked my trusty metvuw charts (https://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast.php?type=rain&region=victoria&noofdays=3) and it was obvious to me it was going to be drenched.  Players trying to scoop up the cake of soap off the deck at full tilt (Wilson, Cowan, Cerra), players flying for high kicks (Kemp, H).
Welcome to Carlton interim coach Fraser.
Agree, rain was a bit of a shock for our blokes who have been trying to perfect the run and carry game and didnt really have much idea about wet weather footy. Cripps wasnt a factor and this is the problem when you rely so much on one bloke to lead the way. 
10
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 17 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Richmond
Still no explanation on the massive turn around in Cripps and Walsh's form/fitness in particular, the captain couldnt run out of sight on a dark night during last quarters under Voss and looked like the next club he would be playing for would be the Arcare or Aveo old boys.
It's been explained frequently by many of us, some are not absorbing that discussion because it contradicts their personal beliefs. Fraser is not a messiah, yet too many Carlton fans seem addicted to the concept. I'll summarise for you;

Early in the season Cripps and Walsh were cooked in last quarters because too many were sitting back letting too few do the heavy lifting, there was no load sharing. Hewett and Cerra were playing like receivers, skirting packs, waiting for cheap possessions, Voss dropped Hewett because of it and he returned renewed, that's called a wake up call.

This claimed "massive turned around" is a mirage, we've been steadily building over the whole season. The conversion of losses to wins is just a swing of a handful of points, swings that result from a handful turnovers in our favour and less errors executing the very same game plan we've played all season.

The majority of it is a consequence of sharing the load, allowing our best players to be fresher at the final siren.
Cripps was capped at 80% time on ground under Voss and has played more under Fraser 80-85% .
I actually think Voss went out of his way to look after his main man...
Bont averages about 83.8 % time on ground and Nick Daicos 87%...so Im not buying workload for such a dramatic change in form/fitness...
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 18 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Hawthorn at MCG
Good luck to young Riley, reality is the new rule changes have changed the ruck landscape and Pittonet is one of the casualties and we really need a new No 1 ruck who can at least break even with Jackson, Grundy and the other high possession, high jumping athletic types who dominate games now more than we have seen for a long while, and Riley's height should at least make it difficult for Hawthorns rucks..
13
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Iran, I ran so far away - flock of seagulls
There's also the astronomical cost of sophisticated munitions - US PAC-3 interceptors cost USD3.7M each and they're being used to counter Shahed drones that cost Iran around USD50K.

It's estimated that it will take until 2030 before the US has replenished its pre-war munitions inventory ... and that affects all nations that rely on the US for sophisticated weaponry.  At least our government is progressing local manufacture of high tech missiles and cheaper anti-drone systems but we're still too reliant on the US.
Ukraine who are the drone experts offered Trump cheap drones as well as trained operators to teach how to use them effectively but Trump refused because he said the mighty USA were the leaders in Drone technology and didnt want to feel obligated to help Zelensky back and its costing the US every day and well into the future....
14
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Iran, I ran so far away - flock of seagulls
I'm guessing that Unca Donald, his family and minions have progressed their personal wealth considerably on some of the flip flop policy decisions...not just on the 'war'.
Not just Trump, seems his staff dont want to miss out either, must be handy knowing he is going to make announcements that will swing markets a certain way and you cant lose...
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/10/politics/white-house-staff-prediction-markets
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 18 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Hawthorn at MCG
Dressing room seems a lot happier and united under Fraser and the effort factor from all players seems higher as well,
You mean they are happy when winning, and the pressure is off!

The players are out there selling their wares, the question is why did it take them to arrive at the cliff edge before they switched on?
The obvious simplistic answer is they were not happy under Voss despite the players all pledging their allegiance and praising his leadership abilities but I think it was more complex than that and some how they seemed mentally shackled to the dilemma of the coach fighting for his job and looked mentally exhausted.
Under Fraser its been zero expectations, the pressure released and freedom to enjoy the game and obviously some players are playing for their careers so have the pedal to the floor a bit more.
Maybe when Cripps ends his career he might write a book and talk about what happened but Im sure its a lot more complex than it looks...