11
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
Last post by Thryleon -Effectively this is the stalemate both sides want, now they'll both declare "victory and back away leaving spot fires in Israel, Lebanon and what not to continue bubbling away and the world will return to normal with lots of economic damage.
Quote
🎯 So what’s the most likely outcome?
✅ Most likely: Controlled de-escalation (70–80%)
A messy, unofficial path to stopping:
Continued strikes for a short period (days–weeks)
Backchannel diplomacy ramps up (via Oman, Qatar, etc.)
Gradual reduction in intensity
Each side declares “victory” domestically
End state:
Iran weakened but intact
No regime change
Ongoing proxy tensions
Sanctions + hostility continue
👉 Basically: “war ends, conflict doesn’t”