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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by Sexybronco -
Quote from: Professer E – on
Richards cut us to pieces
He was outstanding, impressive to watch live. Love Harry Dean,  he continues to roll on and hard to believe he is in his 1st year.
We struggled to handle the doggies pressure today, all credit to them for the way they played as they never allowed us to get the game in our terms. It will be interesting to see how we respond next week.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by laj -
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: laj – on
is it that much for 4%? Suppose that can be case this time of the year. I know you'd have done that maths so thinking you're right.

Sorry i think i was looking at an 'unupdated' ladder.

Combined margin would be closer to 80 points
YesI

I looked at the ladder predictor in the end, which I should've done the first time. Brisbane won't get beaten by more than 15pts if they were to lose, Pies might rest a few anyway, which would make Brissie good things. Think Brisbane will win anyway. In the event of a 15pts loss, Adelaide would have to win by 61pts. You're 80pt total was pretty much spot on.

That would be the worst thing that would happen to us going to the Gabba. Doubt we will be.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by crashlander -
Well, we're headed to the finals. There were times today when that looked quite unlikely. The mistakes, the fumbles, the poor decisions ... And the throws! No, I'm not going there.

[1] Pitto was the most effective ruck on the ground, but the Dogs reacted to our midfield and got on top from about midway through the 2nd quarter. That was really disappointing.
Cripps: 34 possessions, 12 clearances, 6 tackles ... if he'd held that mark it would have been a 3 vote getter. Having dropped it, Richard will probably get the 3 votes. :( Still, Cripps was amazing in the ruck as well.
Sam Walsh: 33 possessions, 4 tackles and 2 clearances.
George Hewett: 30 possessions, 8 tackles and 5 clearances.
Jagga Smith: 25 possessions, 3 tackles, 3 clearances:
All got a lot of the ball, but our inability to close the Dogs' midfielder down hurt us.

[2] Blake Acres:
Acres was very good today. 32 possessions and 10 marks. Davidson beat him early, but Acres came back ran Davidson into the dirt.
For that matter, Lord and Cerra did some good things as well. They just didn't get it 32 times.

[3] Our defence was patchy today:
The Dogs took marks they shouldn't really have, but for most of the time our defence was excellent. Harry Dean was impassable. Weitering wasn't bad, but he will be better for the game. And he won't get outmarked by Naughton next time either.
Nick Haynes had 26 possessions, 11 marks and 3 tackles to be probably our best defender on the day.

Our small defenders got a lot of ball, but made uncharacteristic errors that could have been lethal. Billy Wilson was lucky that Jones couldn't kick straight, even if he did have leather poisoning. Same goes for Ollie Florent. They need to be better next time.

[4] H was the dominant forward on the ground. When we ruled the middle, H was unstoppable. Later he was getting his kicks too far away from goal. But it was Will Hayward who made the opposition take notice. He dropped a couple of sitters, only to to take some serious hangers. His mark of the year contender was crucial.
Mind you, Patty Cripps almost managed to equal it. That he couldn't hold on almost cost us the match.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: VFL Rd 21 2026 Carlton vs Footscray at Footscray
Last post by crashlander -
Haven't seen a minute of the game yet, but I did follow the stats. I will enjoy looking at the replay more than I will looking at the seniors, that is for certain.

[1] The Dogs had the top few possession getters for most of the day, but our guys came home with a wet sail.
Lucas Camporeale: 32 possessions to get us into the finals. Not bad. 12 marks, 3 tackles and 3 clearances, which hasn't been a significant part of his game.
Ollie Hollands: 31 possessions, 7 tackles and 6 clearances. And he managed a goal. If he leaves I will be disappointed. But it sounds like it is up to him.
Darcy Tucker: 28 possessions, 4 tackles and 5 clearances. We needed leadership and someone to play inside and Tucker was there. We might not have lost as many games if he'd be fit for more of the season.
Certainly, he stood up when Darcy Hogg was unavailable.
Lachie Fogarty: 25 possessions, 7 tackles, 5 clearances. He barely touched it in the first half, but came home look a missile. Probably playing some of his best football, but our midfield and half forward line have moved past him.
I don't expect to see him with us next year, but he would be good leader for the VFL side.

[2] Reidy probably ended up ahead, even thought he had a couple of taps left. He managed 14 possessions and 7 clearances. But he took only 1 mark. Not sure what his future is either, but he needs to get stronger if he to improve.
Hudson O'Keefe kicked 3 goals from 9 possessions, and got a few taps as well. Not sure where he is headed either.

[3] Our VFL boys keep contributing.
I've already mentioned Tucker. Taj Logan popped up this week with 22 possessions and 4 clearances. Not bad. Prout, Sammartino and Warburton weren't as prolific, but they played their part. And I must mention Dane Harvey, who has held down a key defensive post for most of the season. We lack key position types badly, but Harvey has really filled in a serious gap in our list. He had an ordinary patch midseason, when we were losing, but he has been a real positive this season.
Particularly today, when we had no Lewis Young and no Matt Duffy, who has also filled in that role. Also no Sam Paea today.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by kruddler -
Quote from: laj – on
Quote from: kruddler – on



Yep, called it at the time, i thought he broke (fractured) his ankle or something equally serious.
I think it could be season over for him, which is a shame.

Moir is the bloke with the talent to replicate what Hayward does.....but he's also the bloke most likely to go missing.

Wonder if Fraser can sprinkle some magic dust in his weetbix this week??
In the interview he said by the end of the game it felt fine.
Because the needle had kicked in by then.

Probably didn't feel it at all.

Lets see how he wakes up tomorrow.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by kruddler -
Quote from: laj – on
Quote from: kruddler – on


Needs to be a 20 goal margin (average 10 goal each way) for that % to be overcome.
is it that much for 4%? Suppose that can be case this time of the year. I know you'd have done that maths so thinking you're right.

Sorry i think i was looking at an 'unupdated' ladder.

Combined margin would be closer to 80 points
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by laj -
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: DJC – on
I’m concerned that Wilbur may have suffered a syndesmosis injury or an equally serious lower leg fracture from his heavy landing.  If so, it will create an opportunity for Ison, Moir or Hollands but we’ll miss Wilbur.

Let’s hope he’s OK 🤞


Yep, called it at the time, i thought he broke (fractured) his ankle or something equally serious.
I think it could be season over for him, which is a shame.

Moir is the bloke with the talent to replicate what Hayward does.....but he's also the bloke most likely to go missing.

Wonder if Fraser can sprinkle some magic dust in his weetbix this week??
In the interview he said by the end of the game it felt fine.
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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 23 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel
Last post by laj -
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: laj – on
There's also a some smaller chance we go to the Gabba. Lions loss to the Pies, wins by Hawthorn over the Eagles and Geelong over Richmond, near certain, and a decent size win by Adelaide over GWS might make up the 4% deficit between the Crows and the Lions.

Needs to be a 20 goal margin (average 10 goal each way) for that % to be overcome.
is it that much for 4%? Suppose that can be case this time of the year. I know you'd have done that maths so thinking you're right.