I've complied my votes for the Carlton players as I think they will poll in the 2020 Brownlow Medal. My algorithm factored in many things including stats, 'eye' observations, opposition team contributions and umpiring bias.
Here they are:
S Walsh 13
P Cripps 11
J Martin 7
E Curnow 7
S Dockerty 4
M Gibbons 3
Murphy 3
Mackay 2
L Casbolt 1
E Betts 1
W Setterfield 1
Weitering 1
By my calculations, we actually we polled quite a lot- 54 votes.
Notice I have Casbolt getting a vote in round 4 v Essendon! He booted 3 goals in the wet that night, had 14 touches (7 contested), 228 metres gained, took 9 grabs and pinch hit in the ruck for 6 effective tap outs. A big game indeed by the Bolt. Sportsbet has offered me 10-1 for him to poll a vote. I'm on.
Nice effort by Walsh to win it ($1.70) Sportsbet and ($1.80) on Ladbrokes to poll more than Crippa.
Your thoughts?
I'm keen to see those prediction pan out.
I think the current voting system is a mess, I expect WA or Qld players to be run-away winners because of the way umpires have been managed throughout this Mickey Mouse season.
Neale is the favourite but I think Boak might win....
Richo reckons Neale won't win - does he know anything?
Thats a worry.
I don't think we'll poll well personally.
Cripps gets all his votes early.
Walsh gets all his votes late.
Weitering gets overlooked all year.
Martin to poll a BOG or 2, then nothing.
Ed might get a BOG (from memory), but nothing else.
McKay will get a couple votes
Eddie might get 1
Pittonet might squeeze in a vote
Docherty could.
Plowman should, but won't
Jones....maybe 1.
Setters a smokey for a few.
Gibbons 1
Casboult, maybe a couple
Murphy usually catches an eye