Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on July 06, 2024, 02:20:26 pm
Title: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: crashlander on July 06, 2024, 02:20:26 pm
Weather in Sydney hasn't been great.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: tex on July 06, 2024, 10:21:29 pm
No panic stations Had that pencilled in as a loss and we still finish second. Fortunately no significant injuries (pending JW corkie)
Hopefully back on winners board next week without bulldogs and McNaughton.
Been saying it all year, Orasio offers nothing at all. No speed. No possessions. No tackles. No body contact. No goals (1 today tho).
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: crashlander on July 06, 2024, 10:23:55 pm
Disappointing. But we came back well. At least there are a few guys putting their hands up (at last) in the 2's.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: northernblue on July 06, 2024, 10:25:45 pm
Disappointed at the lack of a crowd. Particularly disappointed at the lack of Carlton crowd, we should have sold that place out.
As Paul noted in the in game thread, it’s not the end of the world and there are lessons we can take from it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 06, 2024, 10:27:07 pm
We had Injuries to key players. They had none.
They couldn't miss at goal.
We only played 1.5 quarters.
It was on their home deck. They were favoured to win the flag over us at the start of the year.
We've come off one of the hardest runs of anyone all year.
We played 1 short until owies came on.
.....and we still only lost by 2 goals.
An important lesson.
We will be better for it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: crashlander on July 06, 2024, 10:29:12 pm
Cottrell should have come back via the VFL. 7 possessions was not enough. Fantasia - well, there was always last week. I didn't expect a repeat. Owies - why? He is our 3rd best goalkicker! Kennedy: 21 possessions and 2 goals wasn't that bad. Ollie Hollands had 17 possessions, one of his best for the year. Elijah only had 16.
They did their homework. Getting on top of Cripps removed our drive and the other guys didn't step up. At least Toby Greene did nothing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 06, 2024, 10:38:19 pm
They did their homework. Getting on top of Cripps removed our drive and the other guys didn't step up. At least Toby Greene did nothing.
Cripps 33 touches, 11 clearances and 2 goals....and they got on top of him....it's funny, but you're right. Greene 33 touches 6 clearances and a goal....and he did nothing.....it's funny because you are also right.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: shawny on July 06, 2024, 10:39:17 pm
Thought when they got their hand on the ball and controlled the play their leg speed was too much for us and we couldnt get near them. Walsh being closely checked means our main run is gone and Voss needs a plan for when this happens as 100% in finals this is going to be the case. Surely Motlop comes in for that No14.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 06, 2024, 10:39:32 pm
Cripps 33 touches, 11 clearances and 2 goals....and they got on top of him....it's funny, but you're right. Greene 33 touches 6 clearances and a goal....and he did nothing.....it's funny because you are also right.
It was Tom Green with 33, not Toby.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LordLucifer on July 06, 2024, 10:40:08 pm
Weak as piss Carlton !!
After dominating the first and setting up a match-winning 39-point lead, their big egos got in the way for the rest of the game until the absolute death when they tried to pinch it.
Zac Williams, hang your head in shame, that play on from a mark just inside the F50 (near to 3/4 time) was simply unacceptable and it directly cost us a goal on the turnover.
And you Charlie Curnow, how dare you masquerade as a league footballer when your second efforts are either non-existent or more importantly, simply lazy. It's all well & good to demand silver service delivery but unless you respect the extremely hard work your team-mates upfield put in to get it to you by fighting hard to keep in our F50, then you are a passenger and a fraud !!
I could see Tom De Koning trailing Briggs at CHB and then he let him run all the way down to near full forward and take an uncontested mark, thankfully he missed his shot at goal. However, that was absolutely pathetic defence especially when at the last moment, whilst still jogging forward, De Koning pointed further downfield expecting a smaller team-mate to man up on Briggs. Effing not good enough Tom, you too can hang your head in shame.
Tonight's effort is why I am not convinced we are the premiership threat many people have been saying we are. Far to often we have tried to lairise with dinky kicks and lookaway handballs etc and they have worked, tonight they didn't and look what happened, they made us pay.
The Giants mids were desperate and quelled our midfield drive which in turn, gave them first use far to often, they thoughly deserved their win - hats off !!
If this doesn't set off an alarm bell at Princes Park then I don't know what will.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: crashlander on July 06, 2024, 10:41:45 pm
Toby Greene: 12 possessions for 2 goals. Better than Charlie, but not why we lost.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 10:42:45 pm
That was a weird game. Started and finished well, nothing in the middle.
Reminded me of some the of the games we played in 1982, which, well happened for interesting reasons. Knew people in the club then. Not in this day and age though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 10:44:36 pm
After dominating the first and setting up a match-winning 39-point lead, their big egos got in the way for the rest of the game until the absolute death when they tried to pinch it.
Zac Williams, hang your head in shame, that play on from a mark just inside the F50 (near to 3/4 time) was simply unacceptable and it directly cost us a goal on the turnover.
And you Charlie Curnow, how dare you masquerade as a league footballer when your second efforts are either non-existent or more importantly, simply lazy. It's all well & good to demand silver service delivery but unless you respect the extremely hard work your team-mates upfield put in to get it to you by fighting hard to keep in our F50, then you are a passenger and a fraud !!
I could see Tom De Koning trailing Briggs at CHB and then he let him run all the way down to near full forward and take an uncontested mark, thankfully he missed his shot at goal. However, that was absolutely pathetic defence especially when at the last moment, whilst still jogging forward, De Koning pointed further downfield expecting a smaller team-mate to man up on Briggs. Effing not good enough Tom, you too can hang your head in shame.
Tonight's effort is why I am not convinced we are the premiership threat many people have been saying we are. Far to often we have tried to lairise with dinky kicks and lookaway handballs etc and they have worked, tonight they didn't and look what happened, they made us pay.
The Giants mids were desperate and quelled our midfield drive which in turn, gave them first use far to often, they thoughly deserved their win - hats off !!
If this doesn't set off an alarm bell at Princes Park then I don't know what will.
Seen us play much worse than that and win a flag. Weren't going to win every game. No side does hence no-one has ever gone through undefeated, Comes down to next week and how we rebound.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: pinot on July 06, 2024, 10:45:10 pm
Some of our key players were rubbish today
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LygonStreetLimbo on July 06, 2024, 10:51:18 pm
They curtailed Walsh’s influence. That was huge for them. They looked pretty good, didn’t they!… why have they been so mediocre this year?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LordLucifer on July 06, 2024, 10:53:00 pm
Where was the desperation, where was the pressure on the ball carrier and more importantly, where was the man on man defence ??
Good teams don't lose when they get to over 6-goals up, they also don't get to be 6-goals down after that either.
We have been terrific for most of the season but tonight's half-hearted effort should not be tolerated or get sugarcoated over, this was as limp as I've seen for some years.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Baggers on July 06, 2024, 11:01:04 pm
Well that's exactly what you get when you get ahead of yourselves and egos reign supreme. Inflated egos, once challenged, fold... and equates to poor work rate = someone else will do it. Heard a few tones of arrogance in Weiters words coupla weeks back when interviewed by Whately. Not good from a leader.
About fourteen goals to two in the middle of the game. Pathetic. Embarrassing. Once hunted, we sh*t the bed.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LoveNavy on July 06, 2024, 11:02:08 pm
I'm not surprised by the result at all. Giants were due to find form sooner or later. Bummer that it wasn't later.
They have a man mountain ruckman and a side stacked with talent, youth, and lighting speed.
We've come off a hard yet successful run. That probably showed a bit with our flat patches. Most pleasingly, we showed perseverance. Despite being so convincingly beaten across the ground.
Probably an inevitable loss. There is lots to learn from the game, including how we pace ourselves across a long season. Our early long injury list likely taking it's toll as it messes with selection, rotation, and added burden on the fit players.
Sometimes it's the little things that tip the balance. Like the travel, travel disruptions, and selection changes. FWIW I would have Cotters return via 2's, but I'm not in the know. Credit to Giants. They have some super youngsters on the rise (some of whom would look superb in navy 😉)
Rest and recover. Ready for the next challenge. Avoid complacency. Stay present and strike hard when the opportunity arises.
Go Blues
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Thryleon on July 06, 2024, 11:05:17 pm
I want to point something out.
Last time we played gws we had Lewis Young, and pittonet in, carroll was the sub, durdin was in as was hewett.
Cerra, cincotta, saad and gov were all out.
We had a lot of players well down on their output which is why this happened and it wasn't all bad news.
It's just not good enough to look down the stats sheet and see so many of our key players so down on output. Maybe we attempted to slide the magnets around to lessen our single points of failure but we may have highlighted them instead.
Next week needs to be a big improvement. I think we might want to rethink the risk reward of this one ruck vs two ruck business. It isn't a zero sum equation where one ruck vs two definitely means less run, depends on what we do with the rest but it is a lot more limiting when we can't change up rucks or change match ups down back.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 06, 2024, 11:06:40 pm
Briggs 40 hitouts to TDK 19.....TDK 11 Clearances to Briggs 10....given TDK's role in making us a winning team thats a win for GWS. Cripps with 33 possies did his job, problem was Tom Green had 33 for GWS so it evens out again when we needed a clear win but the other GWS mids had better games than ours ie Ward, Cogs, Daniels all having around 30 possies. Hewett would have been handy on Ward. Walsh with 22 possies after being tagged was a win for GWS also... Tackles inside 50....GWS 26- Carlton 4.......so not much pressure from our blokes to create goals or prevent them running the ball out. Centre Clearances were equal and Stoppages just in our favour but given this is our one wood territory I reckon GWS would take those stats and call it a win for them.. They won the contested possessions by 17 and thumped us in the uncontested possessions... Our average marks per game is around 90 we had 57, they average around 90 too and had 92... Overall just outworked, out run and our key players were either held to breaking even or beaten, probably did well to keep the game to a 2 goal loss...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 11:09:41 pm
Briggs 40 hitouts to TDK 19.....TDK 11 Clearances to Briggs 10....given TDK's role in making us a winning team thats a win for GWS. Cripps with 33 possies did his job, problem was Tom Green had 33 for GWS so it evens again when we needed a clear win Walsh with 22 possies afetr being tagged was a win for GWS also... Tackles inside 50....GWS 26- Carlton 4.......so not much pressure from our blokes to create goals or prevent them running the ball out. Centre Clearances were equal and Stoppages just in our favour but given this is our one wood territory I reckon GWS would take those stats and call it a win for them.. They won the contested possessions by 17 and thumped us in the uncontested possessions... Our average marks per game is around 90 we had 57, they average around 90 too and had 92... Overall just outworked, out run and our key players were either held or beaten, probably did well to keep the game to a 2 goal loss...
We didn't turn up to play hard footy tonight. We took the bruise-free option. Looked good when it was on our terms but had no willingness to work when it wasn't. Suppose there's a reason no side goes through undefeated. They all chuck in crap ones. Swans even managed to lose to Richmond this year.
When we lost in 1995 we lost worse than that.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: pinot on July 06, 2024, 11:12:41 pm
Clearances were even. Its the lack of pressure in the coal face and around the contest. In terms of "contest and pressure" we were third rate today I rerckon North would have beaten us and need to make a statement next week.
All our three vice captains played garbage or hardly played..... Weits, Walsh and Curnow were super garbage imo - we won\t see that twice in a row.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 11:14:16 pm
Last time we played gws we had Lewis Young, and pittonet in, carroll was the sub, durdin was in as was hewett.
Cerra, cincotta, saad and gov were all out.
We had a lot of players well down on their output which is why this happened and it wasn't all bad news.
It's just not good enough to look down the stats sheet and see so many of our key players so down on output. Maybe we attempted to slide the magnets around to lessen our single points of failure but we may have highlighted them instead.
Next week needs to be a big improvement. I think we might want to rethink the risk reward of this one ruck vs two ruck business. It isn't a zero sum equation where one ruck vs two definitely means less run, depends on what we do with the rest but it is a lot more limiting when we can't change up rucks or change match ups down back.
Rucks didn't matter. Work rate did. TDK's strength is playing like an extra mid, not so much in the tap dept. We usually pinch the other side's clearances anyway. Just didn't turn up to play any form of hard football. That is our strength. If we played them again next week we'd kicked their arse,
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 06, 2024, 11:14:46 pm
We didn't turn up to play hard footy tonight. We took the bruise-free option. Looked good when it was on our terms but had no willingness to work when it wasn't. Suppose there's a reason no side goes through undefeated. They all chuck in crap ones. Swans even managed to lose to Richmond this year.
When we lost in 1995 we lost worse than that.
I remember the losses...Swans and Saints...ugly from memory. Our main task is to finish top two and avoid the Swans at the SCG in the early finals.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: pertz on July 06, 2024, 11:15:03 pm
Well that's exactly what you get when you get ahead of yourselves and egos reign supreme. Inflated egos, once challenged, fold... and equates to poor work rate = someone else will do it. Heard a few tones of arrogance in Weiters words coupla weeks back when interviewed by Whately. Not good from a leader.
About fourteen goals to two in the middle of the game. Pathetic. Embarrassing. Once hunted, we sh*t the bed.
This is what worries me. When the Giants cranked up the pressure and were running in waves, there was no resistance. Panic set in and we crumbled. Great sides don't do this. I just wish it meant as much to all players as it does to Crippa. When he kicked that goal against the tide in the 3rd quarter he was angry and vocal trying to fire up the team. He takes it personally. We need more to have his passion and drive.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: pinot on July 06, 2024, 11:19:17 pm
Maybe the team is not tuned to play top end footy if its not in front of 80k.. its possible...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 11:21:28 pm
Well that's exactly what you get when you get ahead of yourselves and egos reign supreme. Inflated egos, once challenged, fold... and equates to poor work rate = someone else will do it. Heard a few tones of arrogance in Weiters words coupla weeks back when interviewed by Whately. Not good from a leader.
About fourteen goals to two in the middle of the game. Pathetic. Embarrassing. Once hunted, we sh*t the bed.
Weird game. Outscored 14 to 3 in the middle then outscored them 13 to 4 in the first and 4th qtrs. and some chance, although a bit unlikely, to pinch it late. We had no interest in playing a hard, tough game of footy tonight. Still, just a 2 goal loss. There's stuff all behind us so that loss may have been a wake up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 11:24:44 pm
This is what worries me. When the Giants cranked up the pressure and were running in waves, there was no resistance. Panic set in and we crumbled. Great sides don't do this. I just wish it meant as much to all players as it does to Crippa. When he kicked that goal against the tide in the 3rd quarter he was angry and vocal trying to fire up the team. He takes it personally. We need more to have his passion and drive.
Like I said before we have had worse losses than that in premiership years. Not at all worried. Just gave us a clue what we need to do in the future and what we can't get away with. Key is not to repeat it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 06, 2024, 11:26:56 pm
And, of course, the silver lining. A Carlton loss tonight very likely chucks the Pies out of the 8.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 07, 2024, 12:34:17 am
The game was a higher scoring replica of Friday night's game. Pies smacking them in the first qtr, getting smacked in the middle qtrs playing with no pressure whatsoever, then coming home in the last for the same 2 goal margin.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 07, 2024, 01:49:26 am
Havent watched, just saw the odd score update., too busy sunning it in Sardegna. Way I see it , we got a good start, fell asleep, looked like getting spanked, lost by a couple. Meh, we played a contender on their dung heap. Shoulda won but didn't, competition is more even than people think. Last I saw we are still 2nd, onto next week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 02:16:08 am
Fans want to assert a KPP on the bench costs us run and costs us wins, but today with 3 lame or semi-lame KPPs on the field we nearly ran over GWS. That's hard evidence that proves we typically have enough run to carry the spare KPP on the bench to cover injuries.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Mantis on July 07, 2024, 02:38:47 am
A poor loss that should have been a win for us should remind us that there are no easy wins. So far up in the early game and then almost come close to a complete flogging. We better learn from this game. We better learn really quick. Very disappointed with the end result.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 07:41:44 am
Fans want to assert a KPP on the bench costs us run and costs us wins, but today with 3 lame or semi-lame KPPs on the field we nearly ran over GWS. That's hard evidence that proves we typically have enough run to carry the spare KPP on the bench to cover injuries.
This is about the 4th time you've posted this BS.
Tell me how having Pittonet solved our key defender issues?
You can't.
Let it go.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on July 07, 2024, 07:51:30 am
For my own sanity, I have to pretend last night never really happened.
One thing I can’t forget (or forgive) is, NOT A SINGLE COMMENT from the Ch 7 team when Toby punched Cincotta. Yet let’s scrutinize Walshy head butting the ground over and over and speculate whether he was milking it, but Toby punching someone with a clenched fist to the guts (in full view of umpire) when they weren’t expecting it? Never happened.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 07, 2024, 08:03:17 am
Toby will cop a fine for that. Should cop a week. >:(
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 07, 2024, 08:04:56 am
I sometimes think it's better to wait until the next day before posting. With emotions high the analysis usually turns to defending or attacking pet theories or a criticism of fringe players, while ignoring the poor performance of the star players.
There are multiple reasons why we lost. We can give them a goal for the home ground advantage. Carlton supporters (surprisingly, because there are many in Sydney) didn't turn up. Contrast that with the 80,000 crowds they've been playing in front of...and it must have been a strange atmosphere. When we started our move in the last quarter we didn't have that crowd support egging it on. But that a minor factor. That's the thing though. The small factors are the ones that add up.
I always feel uncomfortable when we get out to a huge lead early in a game. I'd much rather see us kick 8 in the third quarter than 8 in the first. It was very similar to the Brisbane prelim game last year. Is it a complacency that sets in, and a feeling that this is going to be an easy night? It’s probably something they are warned against but if players subconsciously think that it’s going to be a 'walk in the park' you’d better be prepared for a momentum change.
“Injuries are no excuse” is a football cliché. It’s not true. Don’t believe it. Injuries are probably the most valid excuse for a team’s performance that there can be. It’s cost us multiple coaches. Weitering’s injury had a massive impact on our structure and although he played on, he was clearly not right for much of the game. There were a couple of rolled ankles in our game against Richmond. Those players played but were they 100%? Other injuries at times through the game (DeKoning, McGovern) were also no doubt limiting.
Team selections are being questioned. Hewett should have played and would have been handy. Owies gave us something when he came on fresh, and should probably have also started. Cottrell may have been better coming back through the VFL. The old two-ruck chest-nut has reared its head. We played two last time we played this mob and won. We played one this time and lost. Pittonet is in good form and played well in the VFL. But who would he have replaced.
The decision making was terrible at times with passes to players in a contested or worse position or turning back into trouble and losing the ball. The Williams one was a shocker but there were a few earlier in the game.
Curnow is a concern. I’m still not convinced he isn’t playing injured, because his second efforts are poor. No doubt he is attracting plenty of attention from opposition sides, but his contribution seems to be getting less as the weeks go by. If he’s not injured maybe a change of role for a week or two may benefit him.
Which brings us to coaching. Voss was clearly at a loss to combat the GWS surge. He basically had no answer. Perhaps his options were limited given a number of injuries we weren’t fully aware of, but that’s one of those hidden factors we’ll never know.
The biggest problem for me though was the pressure. When we are ‘on’ it is intense. You don’t need a stat to show it. It’s obvious in the number of players in tackles, the corralling, the forcing of rushed play resulting in turnovers. At times during the second and third quarter GWS was like a knife through butter. It was better in the final quarter but there was still a ‘half-heartedness’ up until it looked like we were a slim chance.
To sum it all up there were multiple reasons contributing to this loss. If you learn from your mistakes the Match Review should be a pretty full-on learning exercise this week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: BluePhantom on July 07, 2024, 08:07:17 am
I hate waking up to a loss. Hang on, I'm a Carlton supporter, so you'd think I'd be use to it ::) Didn't see the game Was Owies sub? WTF? Hewett should be one of our first picked each week. Cottrell? What were they thinking?
The MC took it too easy and the players are reading too much of their own press. We are good but need to play our system and still respect other teams.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Professer E on July 07, 2024, 08:19:45 am
The one ruck model is ok until that bloke is hurt or otherwise ineffective, moreso when there is no viable relief option.
Bewildering MC decisions badly hamstrung us.
One paced and slow midfield and another decent tall defender are things Austin needs to address.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: PaulP on July 07, 2024, 08:28:52 am
Unusual to see two teams score over 100 points given the conditions. The skill level was quite high all things considered, including kicking for goal.
Good to see Harry McKay continuing his kicking accuracy. Charlie had a down night by his standards, but still manages to hit the scoreboard and his kicking into F50 is close to the best in the league IMO. De Koning had his work cut out against an underrated ruckman. Good to see Matt Kennedy moving freely, and I believe there were no injuries resulting from the game. Voss thinks Weitering was just managing a corked thigh.. He also spoke about how the defenders were left exposed by lack of delay on the ball further up the ground. He was very concerned about conceding 70 points from stoppage. GWS was bound to put in a backs-to-the-wall performance sooner or later.
I hope Orazio doesn't end up like Jason Castagna, hounded out of the game by ill informed commentary on social media.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on July 07, 2024, 08:47:58 am
Hindsight and all that, and not wanting to fuel the raging debate that seems ongoing but … Pittonet would have given us the luxury of throwing TDK down back. He’s quick to cover ground and a good spoiler. His height, flexibility, and agility might have put Hogan “off”. Plus, he’s at his best when he ‘halves’ or negates the hit outs and then pounces on the ball at his feet. Not so good against stronger rucks who hold him out then thump the ball metres out of range where even he (TDK) can’t follow up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LoveNavy on July 07, 2024, 08:50:16 am
For my own sanity, I have to pretend last night never really happened.
One thing I can’t forget (or forgive) is, NOT A SINGLE COMMENT from the Ch 7 team when Toby punched Cincotta. Yet let’s scrutinize Walshy head butting the ground over and over and speculate whether he was milking it, but Toby punching someone with a clenched fist to the guts (in full view of umpire) when they weren’t expecting it? Never happened.
I know it's not an easy skill to learn but Carlton supporters must learn to mute the tv commentary. If they're viewing the game with friends, they change tact. That's when singing in your head should be applied, hard and constant. In the warm up, it helps to have that annoying song on repeat in your headphones. Then, execute as soon as BS starts. We know what we've got to go after. Let's review hard, train that, and get ready for next week 😉
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 07, 2024, 08:52:03 am
We got ahead of ourselves. Players, coaches, even fans. I was looking at paying over 5k for 2 grand final tickets during the week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Blue Moon on July 07, 2024, 08:54:44 am
The side has two weaknesses. We lack genuine blistering pace. We have introduced more pace into the team recently which has coincided with our improved results but we don't have a lot of line breaking run. Our second weakness is the lack of height in our backline and when the team is losing the contested possession aspect of the game, as what happened last night, and the ball comes into the back line fast and long, and a big forward starts taking marks, we will be in trouble, especially if Weitering is struggling with injury. Our lack of genuine pace means when we don't have the ball and the opposition is implementing their skills and not turning the ball over through skill errors, we struggle to win the ball back. I thought the players looked comfortable at quarter time which probably led to their lack of intensity around the contest during the next two quarters. While I thought some of our systems broke down during the second and third quarters I don't think we totally folded like we have in the past. It was good we fought the game out.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: PaulP on July 07, 2024, 08:59:46 am
Interesting to hear Adam Kingsley say that in his opinion, Acres and Ollie Hollands are the best wingmen in the AFL.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 09:03:37 am
I don't think he is playing his best football either. However his 'bad' games he still puts in and does the team things.
And trying to replace him with a ruck because his stats are down is ludicrous.
Yeah, not saying he should be replaced with a ruck.
Where we can we need to be refreshing players against clubs like north, WCE, etc over coming weeks. Also keeps players on their toes with competition for spots
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 07, 2024, 09:43:20 am
It took Acres a decade to become the player he is now. Ollie is doing okay for a second year player.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Baggers on July 07, 2024, 09:59:24 am
Not the end of the world, however...
Last night looked a little too familiar. It's a mental discipline/toughness issue we've seen before against good sides who hunt us hard with vigour. A 70pt turnaround in the 2nd and 3rd is soft, even pathetic.
Above the shoulders... again. Our surrender made the Giants appear much better than they are, and they couldn't keep it up hence us getting some late goals. For a top 4 aspirant to wilt like that is deserving of serious questions. I doubt excuses and "Oh well, everyone has a down night," won't wash with Vossy.
Got ahead of ourselves? You bet. And a few leaders need to ask themselves about their egos (not Crippa).
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 07, 2024, 10:01:03 am
10 of our starting 22 were more than 30% down on their average rankings. The Giants only had 2.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 07, 2024, 10:02:09 am
Only 1 of our players was 30% above their average. TDK!!!
The Giants had 8.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Baggers on July 07, 2024, 10:12:43 am
Tbh I don’t think Ollie has been really impactful for a while. He’s “OK” but could do with a rest and dominating VFL for a couple of weeks.
He’s not that quick, easily outmuscled. Puts in 110% tho
When commenting on Ollie there's a bit of Bambi syndrome! We cut him slack because his effort and attitude are so darn terrific. However, you're right. He does not hurt the opposition enough with possessions and tackling. Last night his metres gained were modest, especially compared to Acres. I still believe our best two wingers are Acres and Cotterell. Ollie needs strength conditioning. In the brutal physicality of finals, he'd be a worry.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Professer E on July 07, 2024, 10:17:50 am
When your game is based around clearance dominance, once that breaks down you're in trouble.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 07, 2024, 10:27:42 am
When your game is based around clearance dominance, once that breaks down you're in trouble.
Yep we have to dominate not just break even, they stacked their team with runners hoping to get lucky at the clearances. They were also missing their version of Weitering in Sam Taylor who probably would have played on Harry and kept him to a more reasonable game too..
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 10:31:53 am
Yeah, not saying he should be replaced with a ruck.
Where we can we need to be refreshing players against clubs like north, WCE, etc over coming weeks. Also keeps players on their toes with competition for spots
You might not be saying that, but there are a couple others who definitely are.
First step is to piss off Fantasia. "Oh but he's been playing the cottrell role" well now we have cottrell so there is no excuse.
Kennedy made a miraculous recovery from having his leg amputating by a ruckman last week, but we should've rested him (unless Hewett is more injured) and we should swap that next week. Get everyone right for finals.
Swap TDK and Pittonet next week and let TDKs ankle recover.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 07, 2024, 10:32:10 am
Young Ollie is a good player. Every chance he'll be a 200 gamer for us. He's a player of the future.
He has a terrific attitude, he's a great gut runner. He's also lightly framed and has a fair bit of development ahead of him. He is suffering a bit from second year blues and is probably not playing as well consistently as he did last year, although I didn't think he was too bad last night compared to others.
He is not one of the top 2 wingmen in the AFL....yet! And yep., I'll put my hand up...if we were picking the team to play GWS before last night I would have picked Pittonet ahead of Ollie.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: tex on July 07, 2024, 10:37:31 am
It’s just a case of second year blues for Ollie. A lot of players go through it.
I firmly believe he’ll be a 200 gamer for us too. But, let’s set his development and growth up for that - he don’t need him peaking now.
Admit that playing seniors 100% of the time for a 19yo is just flogging him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Thryleon on July 07, 2024, 10:55:28 am
Tell me how having Pittonet solved our key defender issues?
You can't.
Let it go.
It doesn't solve them, but our options change.
Weitering doesn't need Lewis Young in the side but he provides us more flexibility if weiters goes down, as the others couldn't stop Hogan yesterday and he's not the biggest forward going around he's just capable.
Last night Charlie gave us the least of our big men. Swinging him back during the run on may have turned his form around, and having pittonet allows us to swing tom forward and put Charlie behind the ball.
Stop those 2, 7 goal quarters at least.
Pittonet can park in defense too. Hogan was the one that worried us, and I counted at least 2 goal line goals that he would have probably touched through but instead we were relying on lighter more easily shifted bodies.
All of it are fair points, but last night we could have played pittonet or Lewis Young instead of orazio, cotters, cincotta, and we likely lose little run out of it. Maybe not both, but I think we need to consider that a bit.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Thryleon on July 07, 2024, 11:01:59 am
Second quarter we shifted the A team out of the middle. I noticed one centre bounce where Fogarty, and the second stringers attended. This helps gws catch fire and get a run on. You'd think 8 goals up we can do this safely, but i noted during gws run on cripps was not attending centre bounces in the second quarter until it tightened up. I think we were reacting to a few things going on at once.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 11:03:16 am
Tell me how having Pittonet solved our key defender issues?
If we'd had Pitto as a ruck or some KPP on the bench like Young it's fairly obvious you can reshuffle and share the load.
Whether that is one ruck floating into D50 zone, as Pitto is first class at doing, or having a spare tall to help out the limping Weiters and McGovern doesn't really matter, at least you have a chance of not giving Hogan a free run. Some options, and you can extract players who are hobbling around the field without surrendering momentum 100%.
Sure, we run over them in the last, proving we have plenty of run even when a a bunch of our tall types can barely cover a bath mat. But by that stage it's all too late, and I doubt anybody would assert it's viable for 4 qtrs.
It's not that hard to understand for the open minded.
I should ask, what is your plan in a GF if the very same happens again, ........ leave early?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 11:06:20 am
Second quarter we shifted the A team out of the middle. I noticed one centre bounce where Fogarty, and the second stringers attended. This helps gws catch fire and get a run on. You'd think 8 goals up we can do this safely, but i noted during gws run on cripps was not attending centre bounces in the second quarter until it tightened up. I think we were reacting to a few things going on at once.
Fogarty took plenty of centre bounces. Not sure thats a long term solution but its a thing.
Personally i'd prefer to see Fantasia out and swapped with someone like Cuningham or Motlop as they would be more effective up forward and through the middle.
Of course we still have Hewett hanging around as well.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 11:11:13 am
If we'd had Pitto as a ruck or some KPP on the bench like Young it's fairly obvious you can reshuffle and share the load.
Whether that is one ruck floating into D50 zone, as Pitto is first class at doing, or having a spare tall to help out the limping Weiters and McGovern doesn't really matter, at least you have a chance of not giving Hogan a free run. Some options, and you can extract players who are hobbling around the field without surrendering momentum 100%.
Sure, we run over them in the last, proving we have plenty of run even when a a bunch of our tall types can barely cover a bath mat. But by that stage it's all too late.
It's not that hard to understand for the open minded.
I should ask what is your plan for the GF if the very same happens again?
Like clockwork.
I knew you'd parrot the answer Thry came up with. Its taken you over 12 hours to answer that question and you manage to do it minutse after thry. lol.
I suppose you failed to notice that TDK was actually 'helping out' down back and was largely useless in the KPD role. I almost made a comment mid-match saying TDK doesn't share his brothers defensive capabilities. He can't hold his ground as well in marking contests, nor read it as well in the air.
Oh we ran over them in the last.....sure.....we couldn't run over them enough though could we. We fell short in case you fail to remember. Fixing that by removing run from the side to play a ruck out of position?? Glad you're not coach.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: northernblue on July 07, 2024, 11:38:41 am
Second quarter we shifted the A team out of the middle. I noticed one centre bounce where Fogarty, and the second stringers attended. This helps gws catch fire and get a run on. You'd think 8 goals up we can do this safely, but i noted during gws run on cripps was not attending centre bounces in the second quarter until it tightened up. I think we were reacting to a few things going on at once.
I actually thought Cripps was off the ground ? I thought he was getting treatment for his shoulder ?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 11:41:03 am
I suppose you failed to notice that TDK was actually 'helping out' down back and was largely useless in the KPD role
So ignoring all your usual slights, you're going to assert sending TDK back out there on a jabbed up ankle he can barely stand on, barely mobile and unable to jump, is a valid test of his KPD capability.
That's as bad if not worse than claiming TDK against a "no ruck Handbagger squad" is proof solo rucks work, not that anybody would be brazen enough to make that claim!
Even with @Thryleon and myself posting the same basic response, the obvious and rather rudimentary response, you failed to answer either with anything more than smoke and mirrors, as usual!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 11:43:40 am
So ignoring all your usual slights, you're going to assert sending TDK back out there on a jabbed up ankle he can barely stand on, barely mobile and unable to jump, is a valid test of his KPD capability.
That's as bad if not worse than claiming TDK against a "no ruck Handbagger squad" is proof solo rucks work, not that anybody would be brazen enough to make that claim!
Even with @Thryleon and myself posting the same basic response, the obvious response, you failed to answer either with anything more than smoke and mirrors, as usual!
So TDK couldn't play back because he was sore. So you are holding out hope for Pittonet to stop Hogan? TDK isn't a defender. Pittonet isn't a defender. No amount of planning could have stopped the onslaught that occured when we lost Weitering.
.....except if we had maybe chosen some more KPD's at the draft table over the past i dunno, 7 years! Who thought of that??
Oh 1 ruck vs cats is not valid because cats were crap. (Keep in mind my comments are for our team, not anybody elses) 0 rucks vs freo last year is also not valid because.....it hurts people arguments too much?
BTW, how many key defenders do we have in the side? Some people say 3. You say you need more.
Funny, i don't recall all of these 'obvious' calls coming in the lead up to the match. Only during.
Maybe offer some pearls of wisdom before this happens rather than halfway through the game if they are so obvious in the future. Weren't very obvious is the first quarter were they.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 12:00:16 pm
Doesn't matter what 'what if' game you wanna play, There is no perfect answer.
It wasn't a what if, it actually happened.
You own posts expose the hypocrisy of your position, we all know our depth is weakest in KPP options. Like when just yesterday you question why we didn't go for Ben McKay, not that he'd be much use if he wasn't in the 22 on the day. (https://www.carltonsc.com/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=6910.0;attach=1499)
Yep their gut running to be at both ends of the ground all the time.defies logic.
....but people want pittonet to replace Ollie 🙄
You're crying wolf like the boy with his finger in the dyke!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 12:05:14 pm
On the KPP issue, we need a capable spare on the bench, or at least an option that allows us to re-organise the talls structure should a key KPP go down.
Swapping of a like for like in or out of the 22 is not a useful option, it gives us no security if we still have no spare.
We have all the run we need, yesterday's game proved that, it was the 2nd and 3rd quarter when we we dominated due to the failing health of our KPPs that cost us that game.
When we take BigH out of F50 to ruck, it robs Charlie of opportunity because he gets double teamed. It wasn't until the last Qtr when just before we got on a roll GWS took Aleer off the ground, that Charlie was able to become more of an influence.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 12:17:19 pm
You own posts expose the hypocrisy of your position, we all know our depth is weakest in KPP options. Like when just yesterday you question why we didn't go for Ben McKay, not that he'd be much use if he wasn't in the 22 on the day. (https://www.carltonsc.com/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=6910.0;attach=1499)You're crying wolf like the boy with his finger in the dyke!
OK, lets explain 7 years of comments and 1 post for all the slow kids out there. (Psst.....thats you ;) )
We do NOT have a capable KPD behind Weitering. This has been an ongoing discussion for years. We have shoehorned players into that position with Kemp, McGovern and Marchbank. Young is KPD size, but is devoid of all confidence.
So since we continue to ignore this via trade and via draft because "Their simply isn't any KP talent available" and someone like Ben McKay pops up and we do absolutely nothing about it, then that is mismanagement. I called people out on it, as did others.
So if and when your #1 guy goes down in a match, you don't need to shoehorn a 2nd ruck to cover him, you have a capable #2 to step up into that role and not ask too much from a 'KPD' who many think should be a winger or midfielder. "Who says that?"
Must admit haven't seen him play this season, the HBF game I refer to might have been 2019 or 2020.
Wing makes sense because I recall him having good run, but turned like the Titanic, suited to positions that he can keep the ball in front of him.
Would he play HBF/Wing for us and release Kemp into the midfield rotations?
...and that took all of 30 seconds to find. I'm sure there is plenty more i can find as well. Thank you for proving my point for me. We don't have a genuine 2nd KPD, we have shoehorned players into that role.
What is it that you were saying about a single point of failure?? Weitering has been and always will be that single point until we can find someone who can genuinly perform on the gun players.
So how about we deal with reality and stop trying to play the 'what if' game AFTER the fact.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: pertz on July 07, 2024, 12:22:42 pm
Again, can we get a separate topic thread for the ruck debate - getting really tiresome.
This is not about ruck @pertz, it's about the structure of our bench and how we can provide backup for KPPs including rucks and our thin KPD stocks. Most of us, actually nearly all of us, have already posted that we accept one or two rucks as per the MC strategy.
@Kruddler wants to make is specifically about Pitto because he can't let go of his earlier claims, and he largely ignores response like mine own or @Thryleon and then re-introduces Pitto. Even making absurd connections between selection and blokes like Ollie Hollands, Fogarty or Owies, like if Pitto comes in we lose them all instantly into the universal void!
Kruddler will never stop, he's so conflicted he can't let it go, even when posting his own contradictions.
But that doesn't mean we can afford to leave the KPP issue, as it stands it's our greatest weakness.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 12:37:07 pm
So how about we deal with reality and stop trying to play the 'what if' game AFTER the fact.
You'll post any sort of deflecting rubbish rather than answer the basic question;
What do we do if this again happens to one of our solo KPPs on GF day, the single point failure we deliberately take into games actually happens, just surrender?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 12:51:23 pm
This is not about ruck @pertz, it's about the structure of our bench and how we can provide backup for KPPs including rucks and our thin KPD stocks.
@Kruddler wants to make is specifically about Pitto because he can't let go of his earlier claims, and he largely ignores response like mine own or @Thryleon and then re-introduces Pitto. Even making absurd connections between selection and blokes like Ollie Hollands, Fogarty or Owies, like if Pitto comes in we lose them all instantly into the universal void!
Kruddler will never stop, he's so conflicted he can't let it go, even when posting his own contradictions.
But that doesn't mean we can afford to leave the KPP issue, as it stands it's our greatest weakness.
@pertz Apologies, but this needs to be sorted out.
LP posts that he doesn't want to use the likes of Harry (or Charlie) or Cripps or Kennedy or risk any KPPs in the ruck because they are more likely to get injured. LP posts that we need to have another KPP on the bench in case we do get an injury to one. LP says he is NOT specifically talking about a ruck as KP cover, but he does state that he doesn't want KPPs to be in the ruck. If you don't have KPPs in the ruck then all that is left is other rucks. LP insists that he is NOT talking about Pittonet though. LP instead wants some kind of mystery player we don't have on our list to do that role.
LP doesn't post anything about this in the pre-game, or in the in-game thread when we are dominating. Instead he makes himself out to be some oracle when we get injuries in the game.
I agree, its all about team balance. My barrow that i've been pushing is that we do not need a 2nd ruck (for team balance). However, we do need a #2 KPD. That would allow Kemp and McGovern to play 'smaller' and IF an injury to a KPP crops up in the game, they are there to 'step up' and temporarily fill that role.
Anyone can fill in for a ruck on any given day should you get an injury. We've proven it can work when we've played zero rucks twice and won both. Obviously there have been games where our ruck has played part of a game before being injured too. You do not need a ruck as cover for a ruck.
So.....LP.....who (with the OBVIOUS BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT) should we have played this game?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 12:56:10 pm
So.....LP.....who (with the OBVIOUS BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT) should we have played this game?
If we didn't play Pitto to allow a reshuffle, we could have played Young.
Because LP would rather see a viable KPP backup on the bench, who might get smashed in the 2nd ruck role, rather than risking our Coleman or Brownlow medallists for 3-1/2 qtrs of blunt grunt work. At least Young if not in the ruck allows a reshuffle when Weiters got injured.
Even as poor as Young can be, if he was the one chosen he'd still be useful in the ruck or KPD roles, and have more influence and impact than Fantasia at pretty much any location on the field.
Of course if you want to leverage AFL capable strengths, you can go with Pitto and restructure the rest, and Pitto for Fantasia wouldn't be a loss based on yesterday.
But yesterday, no options, we had no choice but to send our 1st choice ruck and only KPD back onto the field for 3 qtrs of ineffective injury carrying pain and suffering simply because of an MC decision. That won't work in a GF.
Making futuristic statements like, we need to draft one later this year, doesn't solve our KPP issue this season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 01:07:07 pm
For all this debate, in my opinion we may as well go with our strengths.
We have a strong but slowish midfield, we have two AFL quality 1st ruck options, we might as well do our best to leverage the ruck resource to give our slower superstar Mids 1st use of the footy.
Given 1st use of the footy our Mids can look fast, with quick decisions and skilful ball use, in this regard 1st use patches over a lot of issues diminishing the deficits.
Not having 1st use amplifies the deficits.
How that is managed is up to the coach and the MC, but it's crazy to leave our team deliberately in a shortfall when we have the resource available.
We have an excess of AFL capable; - KPFs - Mids - Rucks
We don't have an excess of AFL capable KPDs, we need this addressed, in someway this season.
If we can't win a game with our potential ruck and midfield dominance, given our elite F50 KPF resource, it's not our ruck and midfield that is the problem!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 01:10:31 pm
If we didn't play Pitto to allow a reshuffle, we could have played Young.
Because LP would rather see a viable KPP backup on the bench, who might get smashed in the 2nd ruck role, rather than risking our Coleman or Brownlow medallists for 3-1/2 qtrs of blunt grunt work. At least Young if not in the ruck allows a reshuffle when Weiters got injured.
Even as poor as Young can be, if he was the one chosen he'd still be useful in the ruck or KPD roles, and have more influence and impact than Fantasia at pretty much any location on the field.
Of course if you want to leverage AFL capable strengths, you can go with Pitto and restructure the rest, and Pitto for Fantasia wouldn't be a loss based on yesterday.
But yesterday, no options, we had no choice but to send our 1st choice ruck and only KPD back onto the field for 3 qtrs of pain and suffering simply because of MC decisions. That won't work in a GF.
Ahh....Young will fix all our problems.
How many times have you called for his inclusion this year?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 01:12:52 pm
How many times have you called for his inclusion this year?
None at all probably, as I think there is a better option, but Young would still be better than what we went with yesterday.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 07, 2024, 01:13:11 pm
Re Ruck posts...there is a special ruck thread for this discussion. Do a copy and paste and move this discussion into that thread. After an unexpected loss folks can get a little heated. This is a forum for discussion and debate but we can't demand folks respond to posts, or the timing of those responses. That's up to the individual. It's a place for discussion and not for lectures. Carry on.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 01:18:13 pm
but it's crazy to leave our team deliberately in a shortfall when we have the resource available.
Agree, so why not add more, faster runners to go with our elite stronger mids. Not make it worse by including 2 rucks. Which only benefits us the 20% of the time our first ruck isn't rucking.
We don't have an excess of AFL capable KPDs, we need this addressed, in someway this season.
If we can't win a game with our potential ruck and midfield dominance, given our elite F50 KPF resource, it's not our ruck and midfield that is the problem!
We don't need it addressed this season, we need it addressed every off-season, which is what i've been saying and why Ben McKay non-event is a huge issue.
Every year we buy what the list management players are selling us. "Nothing available". Well thats gone on for 7 years now and that is simply not possible so time to see through the BS (which i and others have) and actually solve the problem!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 01:19:00 pm
This is a forum for discussion and debate but we can't demand folks respond to posts, or the timing of those responses.
@Lods don't give the timing stuff oxygen, @Thryleon and myself were probably typing at the same time, the initial comments were just a cheap rock throwing deflection tactic.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 01:19:33 pm
We don't need it addressed this season, we need it addressed every off-season, which is what i've been saying and why Ben McKay non-event is a huge issue.
Who goes out of yesterday's 22 for Ben McKay, without diminishing your precious bench time for Mids?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 01:20:20 pm
Move cottrell to cover Fantasia. Move Cincotta to cover Cottrell. Move Kemp/McGovern to cover Cincotta.
Tada.
It's not different from our currently available option, it has the same affect on the bench time you are so precious about.
You can't have your cake and eat it.
Further, moving Cincotta as well as one of McGovern/Kemp out of D50 for McKay reduces our run and carry of the back line, all your shuffles are faster, more agile and quite possibly more aerobic than Ben McKay. You rob Peter to pay Paul, and do nothing to address the Midfield issue if the KPP that goes down is our one and only viable ruck. Thank god you aren't our coach.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 01:27:16 pm
@Lods don't give the timing stuff oxygen, @Thryleon and myself were probably typing at the same time, the initial comments were just a cheap rock throwing deflection tactic.
Its all there for all to see. You chose to ignore the comments multiple times during the game from multiple people but kept posting the same thing.
There was at least 3 people asking you to qualify your comments. You couldn't.
In hindsight, you've come up with Young. In hindsight.
You've been found out trying to change history to suit your arguments.....and you attack me as deflection. The use of Ben McKay proves you don't understand the debate.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 07, 2024, 01:27:45 pm
If we had Ben McKay, Kemp and Cowan would be fighting for the same spot.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 01:28:33 pm
It's not different from our currently available option, it has the same affect on the bench time you are so precious about.
You can't have your cake and eat it.
Further, moving Cincotta and one of McGovern/Kemp out of D50 for McKay reduces our run and carry of the back line, all your shuffles are fast and more aerobic than Ben McKay.
Does it affect our mid rotations? No.
Does it affect our goal scoring ability? No.
Does it increase our ability to defend and cover injuries? Yes.
Where is the issue?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 01:31:05 pm
Cowan plays on smalls Kemp (and McGovern) plays (or should) on mediums. .....but could give us another swing option.
It changes the balance of D50, we have less cover for smalls, move Kemp and McGovern out of D50 and you lose one of our key intercept players. You can't have all of them up the ground intercepting, someone has to stay home, and in the absence of injury it won't be two KPDs spend 100% of time on ground, one of them will have to get up the ground, and we'd start from a base of less defensive run and carry.
That would force the Mids to run deeper both ways, that's burning their saved bench time, again you can't have your cake and eat it.
The more KPDs that stay on the ground longer, the more they also have to run and cover ground, you force the blokes with the least aerobic capacity, speed and agility to do more of what they are weakest at!
So maybe Newman, Saad and Boyd can get up the round, until there is the inevitable skill error and turnover, at which time the Titanics are left guarding a Jet Ski.
The total game and bench time doesn't change, it's not an infinite resource.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 01:44:36 pm
Offering solutions without consequence is meaningless.
I fully admit my occasional solution comes at a cost, it costs some reduced seconds of bench time to a handful of the 22 spread over 4-qtrs of footy, but otherwise it further boosts our strengths possibly negating the impact of our weakness.
The very best defence, might simply minimising how many times you actually have to defend.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 07, 2024, 02:00:19 pm
Defense wasnt the issue, the ball went down there too quickly and without any pressure, they stacked their team with runners and we couldnt get the ball in the 2nd and 3rd quarters as they were hitting every pass , spreading well, and were too pacy for our slower onballers who looked like treacle. Cripps, Walsh and TDK have to win their positions well for us to control and win games and they didnt.......same thing happened vs the Swans. Thats the Blueprint to beat us and it wont happen often but there are those teams like the Swans and GWS on their own home decks who have the equipment and gamestyle to trouble us.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 02:05:55 pm
It changes the balance of D50, we have less cover for smalls, move Kemp and McGovern out of D50 and you lose one of our key intercept players. You can't have all of them up the ground intercepting, someone has to stay home, and in the absence of injury it won't be two KPDs spend 100% of time on ground, one of them will have to get up the ground, and we'd start from a base of less defensive run and carry.
That would force the Mids to run deeper both ways, that's burning their saved bench time, again you can't have your cake and eat it.
The more KPDs that stay on the ground longer, the more they also have to run and cover ground, you force the blokes with the least aerobic capacity, speed and agility to do more of what they are weakest at!
So maybe Newman, Saad and Boyd can get up the round, until there is the inevitable skill error and turnover, at which time the Titanics are left guarding a Jet Ski.
The total game and bench time doesn't change, it's not an infinite resource.
2 things. 1. KPPs get no rest most games....for any team.
2. You say my idea of having Ben McKay can't work. But your idea of having Young can.
Do you even know what you are arguing at the moment? You just keep shovelling dirt not realising you are digging yourself deeper.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 02:06:31 pm
Defense wasnt the issue, the ball went down there too quickly and without any pressure, they stacked their team with runners and we couldnt get the ball in the 2nd and 3rd quarters as they were hitting every pass , spreading well and were too pacy for our slower onballers who looked like treacle. Cripps, Walsh and TDK have to win their positions well for us to control and win games and they didnt.......same thing happened vs the Swans. Thats the Blueprint to beat us and it wont happen often but there are those teams like the Swans and GWS on their own home decks who have the equipment and gamestyle to trouble us.
Agreed, I don't think our D50 has been the issue (excluding losing Weiters which will hurt no matter who we hold as sub), if we can't do anything else we just have to maximise our chances of midfield dominance and then do our very best not to waste the footy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 02:09:04 pm
Do you even know what you are arguing at the moment? You just keep shovelling dirt not realising you are digging yourself deeper.
My proposal is referentially self-consistent, I'm not contradicting my own case like your posts.
You can't have your cake and eat it, you can't have more players on the ground providing less run and still have maximum run and carry from the Mids no matter what you do with bench time. It's obvious, less run at either end of the ground has to be covered, and as @ElwoodBlues1 points out, like many others on this forum, run and carry is our weakness.
Your solution comes at the very cost you have spent weeks maximally arguing against.
My proposal comes at a cost, bench time for Mids will be reduced, I argue that will have minimal impact, in much the same way that the injuries to TDK, Weiters and McGovern yesterday which reduced on field run and consumed extra bench time didn't stop us finishing strongly. But the advantage I think is in the flexibility it brings, the option to reshuffle and offer cover for unexpected circumstances at both either end of the ground.
As much as I hate the thought of Young in the ruck, he's still an option that brings flexibility, unlike yesterday's only solution to wrap and strap the broken so as to wheel them back out there!
From a season long perspective that loss wasn't the worst thing that could have happen from wheeling out the limping, but on GF day, if we get there, there won't be next week!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 02:12:28 pm
My proposal is referentially self-consistent, I'm not contradicting my own case like your posts.
You can't have your cake and eat it, you can't have more players on the ground providing less run and still have maximum run and carry no matter what you do with bench time. It's obvious.
Your solution comes at the very cost you have spent weeks maximally arguing against.
My proposal comes at a cost, bench time for Mids will be reduced, but the flexibility it brings is the option to reshuffle and offer cover for unexpected circumstances at both ends of the ground.
You can when you are carrying someone every week in Fantasia.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Thryleon on July 07, 2024, 02:16:31 pm
Fogarty took plenty of centre bounces. Not sure thats a long term solution but its a thing.
Personally i'd prefer to see Fantasia out and swapped with someone like Cuningham or Motlop as they would be more effective up forward and through the middle.
Of course we still have Hewett hanging around as well.
Yep I think we agree that we stuffed up selection.
Hewett is better than a few we carried yesterday.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 07, 2024, 02:23:03 pm
Ben McKay or L.Young probably would have played on Riccardi...Weitering had to play on Hogan imo not Kemp but with the speed of entry and lack of pressure even Weitering would have been struggling to stop Hogan who was leading well and kicking straight. Toby Greene wasnt a real factor either and Boyd did a good job restricting him to two goals so Imho our problems began and ended in the middle of the ground. We didnt have one winner in the middle imo, Cripps broke even but the rest were well beaten or restricted from their usual output. Cerra and Cottrell looked off the pace and need more tough minutes of game time... Hewett and Owies non selections in the 22 was a feckup and as per every season we usually give the opposition in some games a head start by strange MC selections...that stuff drives me crazy and reeks of a cocky over confident approach especially when we have some players fresh back from injury like Cerra and Cottrell. Cant whinge about Weitering either as they had Taylor out, it does show though we probably need at least one taller type on the bench who can play a few positions and give us cover and flexibility but thats not a one trick only ruckman who would have only made us slower. Another issue for me is the lack of innovation at times shown by Voss who has coached well this season but I would have shuffled the team more looking to break the grip GWS had on the game in the second quarter.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 02:30:07 pm
You can when you are carrying someone every week in Fantasia.
Yesterday, BigH was red hot in the opening term, then TDK rolls his ankle and our red hot KPF is moved up the ground and out of F50 simply because we went into the game without a viable plan B. That's not a viable option, it's not a plan, taking our only functional KPF and sending them out of goal range is insanity.
Some want to point at Jackson replacing Darcy in yesterday's Freo game, but Jackson for Darcy's was the back up plan not the starting solution. Jackson gets to do what he did for 1/2 a game because Darcy had shouldered the early load. we can have a similar scenario, we have a very similar Midfield and we have a far stronger F50.
What's harder to find, a functional KPF or a competitive ruck?
The game was then over for the next 2-1/2 qtrs, what happened in the last was all too late and too little, partly triggered by GWS' own moves.
The same will likely happen on GF Day if we suffer a similar circumstance. Sure it's rare, but so are GF appearances.
What we did in the last quarter yesterday isn't sustainable, it comes at a huge cost and it will impact us in the coming weeks, that impact will also come on top of any potential injuries from putting legless blokes back on the field.
Next week, TDK, Weiters and maybe McGovern could be our new Rnd 17 Kennedy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: cookie2 on July 07, 2024, 02:32:47 pm
Defense wasnt the issue, the ball went down there too quickly and without any pressure, they stacked their team with runners and we couldnt get the ball in the 2nd and 3rd quarters as they were hitting every pass , spreading well, and were too pacy for our slower onballers who looked like treacle. Cripps, Walsh and TDK have to win their positions well for us to control and win games and they didnt.......same thing happened vs the Swans. Thats the Blueprint to beat us and it wont happen often but there are those teams like the Swans and GWS on their own home decks who have the equipment and gamestyle to trouble us.
100% I thought TDK got monstered by their ruckman
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 02:42:05 pm
Yesterday, BigH was red hot in the opening term, then TDK rolls his ankle and our red hot KPF is moved up the ground and out of F50 simply because we went into the game without a viable plan B. That's not a viable option, it's not a plan, taking our only functional KPF and sending them out of goal range is insanity.
What's harder to find, a functional KPF or a competitive ruck?
The game was then over for the next 2-1/2 qtrs, what happened in the last was all too late and too little, partly triggered by GWS' own moves.
The same will likely happen on GF Day if we suffer a similar circumstance. Sure it's rare, but so are GF appearances.
What we did in the last quarter yesterday isn't sustainable, it comes at a huge cost and it will impact us in the coming weeks, that impact will also come on top of any potential injuries from putting legless blokes back on the field.
Next week, TDK, Weiters and maybe McGovern are our new Kennedy.
Don't let the facts get in the way of a good story. We'd kicked 1 goal before TDK got injured.
1. Harry was rucking in parts of the first quarter when he was on fire.
2. Where did TDK injure himself? In defense helping out.
Best we not hurt out KPPs by rucking them, they might get hurt. Maybe we shouldnt expect our rucks to act like KPPs, they might get hurt!
Maybe what happened yesterday is unavoidable and extenuating circumstances.
Trying to be prepared for the 2% chance of covering for an injured ruck, might mean you don't win enough games to make the GF because you are playing sub-standard players like Young to cover in such instances.
How about we play to our strengths. Use our super athletic CHF giant to help out in the ruck. Use our super strong and tall midfield to help out in the ruck.
Young plays last night, i dont think we win that game. There was no other options to play.
Midfield was sub-par, but that was not because of our ruck efforts. It was because we played Kennedy despite having his leg amputated the week before in a nasty ruck clash and dropped Hewett.....and because we keep persisting with Fantasia at the expense of Owies (this week) and Cuningham, Motlop, Martin (when fit).
Cottrell.....maybe came in too soon to be effective as well. He has missed A LOT of football.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 02:43:40 pm
In fairness to TDK, it was after he injured himself, you could see he couldn't put any pressure on his foot and wasn't able to jump or was told not to risk jumping, we will never know.
Before that he dominated, in fact he and BigH were dominating early.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 07, 2024, 02:44:55 pm
TDK got some clearances and was handy around the ground but Briggs made sure he didnt dominate like we need him to and won the hitouts easily. I think TDK will appreciate playing on English this week from the WB who is less of the push and shove type ruck and more the athletic type similar to himself. Briggs does a lot of pushing often before the ball is in the contest and reminds me of Nankervis, neither can jump like our man but like to make contact early and then stand their ground and use their strength. I wouldnt be rushing to pick Pittonet this week either just based on that game....
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 02:51:39 pm
In fairness to TDK, it was after he injured himself, you could see he couldn't put any pressure on his foot and wasn't able to jump or was told not to risk jumping, we will never know.
Before that he dominated, in fact he and BigH were dominating early.
He got injured in the first 5 minutes. Look at what i just posted showing him on the bench with the time showing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 02:52:13 pm
TDK got some clearances and was handy around the ground but Briggs made sure he didnt dominate like we need him to and won the hitouts easily. I think TDK will appreciate playing on English this week from the WB who is less of the push and shove type ruck and more the athletic type similar to himself. Briggs does a lot of pushing often before the ball is in the contest and reminds me of Nankervis, neither can jump like our man but like to make contact early and then stand their ground and use their strength. I wouldnt be rushing to pick Pittonet this week either just based on that game....
English got concussed, so won't be him.
I'd rest TDK and let Pitto have his way.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 02:55:38 pm
He got injured in the first 5 minutes. Look at what i just posted showing him on the bench with the time showing.
TDK was all over Briggs before he rolled his ankle, BigH was anchored in F50, and when TDK went off we rucked Cripps which isn't desirable or sustainable.
You want Cripps bench time maximised to keep him fresh, then you think he should be wrestling opposition rucks while he is on the ground in a midfield rotation, it's truly bizarre.
The reason the MC played the game out with TDK and Weiters on one leg, is because the Plan B option isn't viable.
BigH kicks his 2nd and immediately goes into the ruck, robbing us of the F50 dominance, and delivers GWS a fast break clearance for their 1st goal.
We lost yesterday.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: cookie2 on July 07, 2024, 02:56:26 pm
TDK got some clearances and was handy around the ground but Briggs made sure he didnt dominate like we need him to and won the hitouts easily. I think TDK will appreciate playing on English this week from the WB who is less of the push and shove type ruck and more the athletic type similar to himself. Briggs does a lot of pushing often before the ball is in the contest and reminds me of Nankervis, neither can jump like our man but like to make contact early and then stand their ground and use their strength. I wouldnt be rushing to pick Pittonet this week either just based on that game....
Just wondering if TDK will come up fit though?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 07, 2024, 02:58:37 pm
If Charlie was actually competitive with his opponent we would have won.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 07, 2024, 03:00:19 pm
If Charlie was actually competitive with his opponent we would have won.
Charlie as a dual Coleman gets a lot of focus, leaving him as a one out against multiple defenders doesn't make life easier.
Fans aren't giving the benefit of the twin towers enough credit, lose one either through injury or tactics more than halves their impact. Together they are more than the sum of the individuals, we hurt ourselves when we move BigH into the ruck.
Keep them in combination for the bulk of the game, and then later in the game one or the other maybe both can shine.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: cookie2 on July 07, 2024, 03:02:40 pm
If Charlie was actually competitive with his opponent we would have won.
Some truth in that. I thought Charlie was poor. Too often trying to finesse possession rather than going in hard and second efforts virtually non existent. A very disappointing performance with one eye maybe too focused on a possible medal or maintaining his personal record?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 07, 2024, 03:14:59 pm
Ok...might be Lobb and Darcy jr rucking, that would suit us. Wasnt Naughton who was concussed? or both?
Yes, McNaughton and O'Donnell, they are likely to be without Jones and Weightman as well. But O'Donnell being injured on top of Jones out leaves them light on for KPDs, it's expected Lobb will go back again.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Macca37 on July 07, 2024, 03:41:34 pm
Our backline has lacked flexibility since we lost Jones and Young has failed to take over his role.
Opposition teams KPFs are getting bulkier and taller and when we have the combination of our midfield having an off day and Weitering playing below par because of injury our defence weaknesses are exposed.
Unfortunately the VFL cupboard is empty and we look likely to be going into the finals hoping that we can avoid injuries, otherwise we are in for a lot of pain.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 07, 2024, 04:43:12 pm
Not a bad thing. If we won being utterly lazy for 2 qtrs. we'd only go and do it again. This loss will sharpen them mentally. Normally when our foot goes off the throat we explode again with a run of goals when sides get within a kick, or reset at 3/4 time smash the opposition unmercifully. Last time we played GWS we were 20 down mid 3rd qtr, then we raised the pressure rating to a record 240 and kicked 6 goals in 10 min. Couldn't switch back on last night until we were 6 goals down. That would be less likely to occur as we got to the very pointy end but it's not a bad thing to get a big lesson like that round 17.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 07, 2024, 04:43:50 pm
Our backline has lacked flexibility since we lost Jones and Young has failed to take over his role.
Opposition teams KPFs are getting bulkier and taller and when we have the combination of our midfield having an off day and Weitering playing below par because of injury our defence weaknesses are exposed.
Unfortunately the VFL cupboard is empty and we look likely to be going into the finals hoping that we can avoid injuries, otherwise we are in for a lot of pain.
We should of put Charlie down back.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 04:55:57 pm
He was doing it at the start and middle of the year.....for some reason he isn't doing it now.
I think Lods said he might be injured, and for his sake, i hope he is because that was his worst game for the year....and his lack of efforts in chasing were at an all time high IMO.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: bratblue on July 07, 2024, 05:06:27 pm
I had a feeling last week and now this week that Charlie is playing with an injury that is affecting his athleticism. He's hasn't been getting any seperation from his opponent nor has he been able to get off the ground like he usually does.
I'm surprised he wasn't pushed down back during the second term. The player that we're missing most is Silvagni unfortunately.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 07, 2024, 05:23:53 pm
He was doing it at the start and middle of the year.....for some reason he isn't doing it now.
I think Lods said he might be injured, and for his sake, i hope he is because that was his worst game for the year....and his lack of efforts in chasing were at an all time high IMO.
We must've been yelling at the TV at the same time...haha.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LordLucifer on July 07, 2024, 05:57:42 pm
To really put the icining on the cake, the Saints just rolled the Swans, had we have won last nite we would have been just one game off top spot. >:D
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 07, 2024, 05:58:48 pm
He was doing it at the start and middle of the year.....for some reason he isn't doing it now.
I think Lods said he might be injured, and for his sake, i hope he is because that was his worst game for the year....and his lack of efforts in chasing were at an all time high IMO.
It's hard to know for sure. As well as the lack of chase, it seems to me he has trouble bending down. He does it in a pinch, but there's a real hesitancy in some of his movements that haven't been there in the past.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Blue Moon on July 07, 2024, 06:56:46 pm
One highlight of the weekend is Collingwood is out of the eight and Richmond is last. Silver linings.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 07, 2024, 07:09:15 pm
Fun fact.
The last 11 grand final winners come from 7 teams and only 1 of them is in the 8 right now. (Tigers, Pies, Cats, Dees, Dogs, Eagles and Hawks)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LoveNavy on July 07, 2024, 07:23:56 pm
I'm tipping with all the stats you have that you are related to Bruce McAveney...lol.
I just have a good memory for such things.
I see a pattern and I look into it. Eg... tigers are last and they won 3 flags recently. Pies are outside the 8 and they won last year. Hawks won a few but are outside....etc.
Just like stats i pull from games. I use my eyes first and then check it against the stats. Eyes are always first though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 07, 2024, 11:07:57 pm
Does the Toby Greene “studs up” rule apply to all players or just Toby?
I think the problem there was the boot ended up in someone's face, not their back. We had a discussion about it on Saturday watching at a friend's place and we couldn't agree. Many wanted it to be a free kick because you can't put studs up like that and I said I don't think that's the rule. Would have been comfortable chalking it off as a free kick but I can't differentiate a knee from a foot in that circumstance.
That's my problem with the in the back rule for what it's worth. It's not about hands on the back, it's about unfairly pushing an opponent under the ball drop.
Probably shouldn't have been paid at the time but thats a problem the umpiring and MRO creates when we focus too hard on outcome driven policy and not enough on action driven policy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 08, 2024, 08:21:05 am
Much of the rules made by the AFL are asymmetrical because it's driven by the media commentary, if a lowly defender did that to a power forward blokes like BT and Darcy would go berserk about it, the forward has to have a chance, you can't do that, it's illegal, but when it's a forward launching to they laud it as a great mark, terrific use of the body, he allowed to hold his ground, etc., etc..
You've heard it a thousand times before.
The question becomes, is that what the public want to see? If the AFL think the commentary is aligned to the public expectation, they'll make sure it happens.
Most fans though find the variability frustrating, we just want the rules the same for everybody, we don't want to see the superstar discounts.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 08, 2024, 08:24:27 am
I noticed Darcy Moore put his knee away on Friday night.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 08, 2024, 08:27:46 am
Weitering doesn't need Lewis Young in the side but he provides us more flexibility if weiters goes down, as the others couldn't stop Hogan yesterday and he's not the biggest forward going around he's just capable.
All of it are fair points, but last night we could have played pittonet or Lewis Young instead of orazio, cotters, cincotta, and we likely lose little run out of it. Maybe not both, but I think we need to consider that a bit.
Fair points.
Perhaps we should consider playing Lewis Young as the substitute to provide (break the glass in case of emergency) back-up in case we lose Weitering or TDK during the game. Both were injured at various stages against GWS and our team balance was poor bad they were.
Anyone notice the similarity to the Swans game early in the season; both night games with slippery balls. We dominated both games early then Weiters was injured and we fell in a hole.
Questionable value in having a small forward as substitute.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: PaulP on July 08, 2024, 10:59:57 am
There's going to be a gamble and risk / reward trade offs with most selections outside the first 10/12 players picked, the ones who are essentially automatic ins. Owies brings energy and spark and pace, and it's not unreasonable to think that on a wet track when legs are tiring (after a tough several weeks), that an injection of those qualities is wrong. I can only guess, but I suspect the MC thought we had enough scoring power without him in the 22, and with the benefit of hindsight, that would appear to be right. 104 points is an excellent score in the conditions, and will win you plenty of games of footy in 2024.
There's more than 1 right answer.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 08, 2024, 11:14:57 am
I think he's a good guy and would be mortified at the injuries he has caused.
Yes, I agree, I wasn't implying he's dastardly character, just that the media screaming about raised knees in contests is loud at the moment.
fwiw; I doubt the AFL will be stupid enough to ban lifting the knee in marking contests, for the reasons @Lods has pointed out you'd basically put an end to the bulk of speccies.
btw; For me the more dangerous act is the Hogan style kick out, if that gets a player low enough in the back it is basically setting somebody up to be tunnelled falling flat on their back from a height. The knee in the marking contest usually forces the opponent to tip forwards.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: DJC on July 08, 2024, 12:44:09 pm
I think he's a good guy and would be mortified at the injuries he has caused.
Absolutely!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: DJC on July 08, 2024, 12:51:59 pm
Hindsight is handy but I would have had Pitto, Hewett and Owies in the 22 for Cotters, O Hollands and Fantasia.
Briggs needs a bullocking opponent crashing into him to reduce his influence and the absence of De Koning and the hobbling Weiters wouldn't have been so critical.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 08, 2024, 12:58:11 pm
Hindsight is handy but I would have had Pitto, Hewett and Owies in the 22 for Cotters, O Hollands and Fantasia.
Briggs needs a bullocking opponent crashing into him to reduce his influence and the absence of De Koning and the hobbling Weiters wouldn't have been so critical.
For me it's not so much about whether Weiters and TDK were effective after being injured, I think they did OK given the circumstance, but you could see even when we got the run on mid way through the 1st Qtr that GWS was gathering momentum, they just wasted opportunities and we made the most of them.
After TDK and Weiters worked their way back into the game, it was from a starting point too far back, I thought the signs were better late in the 3rd, but GWS were running down hill and we were trying to slam on the brakes.
Don't give the opposition a millimetre, not even for a split second, if you do then you will eventually regret it. Given our history of close games in recent seasons we should know this better than most.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: DJC on July 08, 2024, 02:31:10 pm
For me it's not so much about whether Weiters and TDK were effective after being injured, I think they did OK given the circumstance, but you could see even when we got the run on mid way through the 1st Qtr that GWS was gathering momentum, they just wasted opportunities and we made the most of them.
After TDK and Weiters worked their way back into the game, it was from a starting point too far back, I thought the signs were better late in the 3rd, but GWS were running down hill and we were trying to slam on the brakes.
Don't give the opposition a millimetre, not even for a split second, if you do then you will eventually regret it. Given our history of close games in recent seasons we should know this better than most.
Weiters was obviously restricted in his movements and was reduced to just a very good defender. However, he normally plays the entire game and was reduced to only 87% game time. In addition, McGovern was off receiving treatment for a significant period. We can cover McGovern but struggle to cover Weiters if he's off the ground or a touch off his game.
De Koning was fine when he came back after having his ankle strapped and bleeding stopped and he wasn't off the ground for much longer than his usual spells. However, the timing was awkward and gave GWS a sniff.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 08, 2024, 02:34:49 pm
Weitering wasn't even playing on Hogan at the start, not sure how they thought Kemp could handle him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 08, 2024, 02:38:15 pm
Weitering wasn't even playing on Hogan at the start, not sure how they thought Kemp could handle him.
Better to try it now, and know, then to try it for the first time in a final.
I suggested similar in the in-game thread. Are we at the stage where we start holding things back so we have something up our sleeve for finals. That is a perfect example.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Baggers on July 08, 2024, 03:44:03 pm
On reflection and in (the always clever) hindsight.
Cottrell coming in after a long lay off. Underdone. Passenger. Owies as the sub. Wrong. Loss of an effective small forward with flair and attitude. Dropping Hewett. Wrong. Loss of dependable hard-nut. Cincotta starting outside the centre bounce... terrible decision in light of Coniglio doing much of his damage at the centre bounce. (Was the MC also imbibing bath water?)
Understand we have a team balance thing, but that needs be a bit more flexible and imaginative. In light of Weiters carrying a corkie, why not throw him to FF and Charles down back (to get him into the game, FFS). Why not throw Ollie into a lockdown defensive role and move Boyd up into the action? Why not put Cincotta in the middle on Coniglio or Green and Walsh outside the square - give Walshies minder something to think about. The attitude that saw Williams go forward and Cincotta as a run-with shouldn't be the end of creativity.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 08, 2024, 03:47:48 pm
On reflection and in (the always clever) hindsight.
Cottrell coming in after a long lay off. Underdone. Passenger. Owies as the sub. Wrong. Loss of an effective small forward with flair and attitude. Dropping Hewett. Wrong. Loss of dependable hard-nut. Cincotta starting outside the centre bounce... terrible decision in light of Coniglio doing much of his damage at the centre bounce. (Was the MC also imbibing bath water?)
Understand we have a team balance thing, but that needs be a bit more flexible and imaginative. In light of Weiters carrying a corkie, why not throw him to FF and Charles down back (to get him into the game, FFS). Why not throw Ollie into a lockdown defensive role and move Boyd up into the action? Why not put Cincotta in the middle on Coniglio or Green and Walsh outside the square - give Walshies minder something to think about. The attitude that saw Williams go forward and Cincotta as a run-with shouldn't be the end of creativity.
A few of us have mentioned the same thing in a more specific way.
But..... Can anyone remember a single move Voss made for the night?
Was ANYONE tried in a different position?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Baggers on July 08, 2024, 04:28:27 pm
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 08, 2024, 05:16:23 pm
The Weitering situation would probably have been a challenge. It would have been uncertain as to the the timing of his return, if at all. Corkies are like that...sometimes minutes, other times the match. Weitering would arguably be the centrepoint of our total structure, certainly the backline.
The coach would be faced with a decision once he went off... Do I change up the structure dramatically, perhaps weakening a strong area, or do I wait and see if Weitering's absence is only short term. On those type of decisions can sometimes hang the result of a game
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 08, 2024, 05:35:33 pm
Voss had to do something about the control GWS had in the midfield, we couldnt get the ball in the 2nd and 3rd quarter and when we did they took it off us and blitzed us with their pace. You either put a player like Charlie down back to limit the damage or you go to the source to try and alter the midfield battle. Hogan was a good player but imho it was Briggs and Bedford who did the damage by limiting TDK and Walsh........a couple of times now we have seen Walsh tagged out of games and Id be doing a McRae and moving Walsh to a half back flank like Collingwood do with Nick Daicos to get him involved and would have introduced Owies earlier for Fantasia or O. Hollands and thrown him in the middle to give us a different look and apply some pressure.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: crashlander on July 08, 2024, 08:23:38 pm
A few of us have mentioned the same thing in a more specific way.
But..... Can anyone remember a single move Voss made for the night?
Was ANYONE tried in a different position?
Do coaches make significant positional moves these days … apart from Mitchell moving Hardwick into defence and losing to Port?
Our last quarter showed that we had the structure right. It was more a case of players not contributing, perhaps because they were over confident after the first quarter, than a lack of positional moves.
If there’s any criticism of our coaching group, it should be focused on the messaging provided at quarter and half time.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 08, 2024, 10:22:26 pm
Do coaches make significant positional moves these days … apart from Mitchell moving Hardwick into defence and losing to Port?
Our last quarter showed that we had the structure right. It was more a case of players not contributing, perhaps because they were over confident after the first quarter, than a lack of positional moves.
If there’s any criticism of our coaching group, it should be focused on the messaging provided at quarter and half time.
There was a 75 point turnaround or something like that. I get that coaches rarely.make.moves nowadays but f*** me, surely you try something before it gets to that stage! To not do so is just sadistic.
For the life of me.i can't work out why Charlie didn't swing into defence. He's saved the day a few times doing that. Vossy has said he has a license to do it as he sees fit. WTF were we waiting for?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 08, 2024, 10:27:22 pm
Id disagree that coaches rarely make moves....McRae makes a lot and thats why Collingwood have a lot of comebacks and close games.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 08, 2024, 10:44:34 pm
For the life of me.i can't work out why Charlie didn't swing into defence. He's saved the day a few times doing that. Vossy has said he has a license to do it as he sees fit. WTF were we waiting for?
Charlie has a full 3rd of the ground in which he can roam and still stay within goal range, it's enough.
Sending Charlie Curnow to the other end of the ground out of range of goal is a win for the opposition.
Moves are of any value if they are stupid.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 08, 2024, 10:51:58 pm
There was a 75 point turnaround or something like that. I get that coaches rarely.make.moves nowadays but f*** me, surely you try something before it gets to that stage! To not do so is just sadistic.
For the life of me.i can't work out why Charlie didn't swing into defence. He's saved the day a few times doing that. Vossy has said he has a license to do it as he sees fit. WTF were we waiting for?
Moving the magnets wouldn’t have changed anything. A flea in the ear or boot up the butt might have worked.
GWS probably fell into the same trap in the last quarter. It was attitude and application that made the difference, not positional changes.
Think back to the Geelong game. Scott moved Stewart into the forward line to replace the injured Hawkins … for five minutes before moving him back to defence.
Games are won and lost in the preparation, scenario planning, team selection and attitude. The latter two elements cost us the game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 09, 2024, 06:35:29 am
A few of us have mentioned the same thing in a more specific way.
But..... Can anyone remember a single move Voss made for the night?
Was ANYONE tried in a different position?
I think the drink bottle was full of their own bath water from the MC down.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 09, 2024, 08:31:09 am
Of our last 5 wins the foot went off the throat too often. We weren't great again GC, left percentage out there, great against Port, lazy often against Essendon, getting a left, foot off the throat, exploding in the first 15 minutes of the last qtr when they got within 15pts, then taking the foot off the throat again. Brilliant against Geelong, lazy against Richmond until challenged, then exploded, then got a lead, foot off the throat yet again against GWS and this time couldn't explode paying the price. We seem to rip sides apart as we feel like it but caught out last week. Once too often.
On the bright side means we are far from peaked.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 09, 2024, 09:37:18 am
The injury sub is supposed to be just that, to cover injury. The whole supersub coming ont he last quarter and turning games is fantasy, it has hardly happened.
Considering we can cover every player but Weitering and our one ruck, the sub should be Young.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LordLucifer on July 09, 2024, 09:41:42 am
We cannot expect Cripps & Walsh to get 40 possies every game so the players on the next level down need to pick up the slack when they don't.
In fact maybe don't wait for them to not fire, how about just going for it every week anyway ??
Hewett was missed badly too.
And FFS, never ever ever ever ever ever play Fantasia in a senior game again - he's kaput and always has been !!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 09, 2024, 11:05:36 am
The injury sub is supposed to be just that, to cover injury. The whole supersub coming ont he last quarter and turning games is fantasy, it has hardly happened.
Considering we can cover every player but Weitering and our one ruck, the sub should be Young.
We agree something has to be tweaked, so many questions;
Do we retain the status quo and rob the F50 of Charlie or Harry if a KPD or ruck goes down?
Do we carry a KPP Sub that might be a weak option for both KPD and ruck?
Do we start with a strong KPP option on the bench and use a Utility Sub that can provide later run if needed?
There are no easy answers.
I'm very reticent to make regular use of Charlie in D50, if we start doing that too regularly the opposition will learn the triggers to make the even happen synthetically. We need that tactic to remain largely unplanned so as to remain somewhat in control.
If not the Sub, is Young a viable choice for the bench?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: DJC on July 09, 2024, 11:16:19 am
The injury sub is supposed to be just that, to cover injury. The whole supersub coming ont he last quarter and turning games is fantasy, it has hardly happened.
Considering we can cover every player but Weitering and our one ruck, the sub should be Young.
Vossy said that we are using the sub to spread the workload. The problem with that is when an injury means the sub is activated in the first quarter. I guess that’s the risk you’d have to take with Young as the sub. Our other defenders are versatile enough to cover other roles and Young could play at either end or in the ruck.
I have noticed other teams using a KPP as sub.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Professer E on July 09, 2024, 12:22:39 pm
I hear what Voss is saying but week after week it's a very same same bench (Kennedy + Hewitt = one paced = doesn't exactly change it up speed wise) with four smalls and no height. A taller utility type would give us more cover but I don't see that player on the list. We can't cover taller players with the way we set up the bench.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Thryleon on July 09, 2024, 01:06:44 pm
Bollocks to not moving Charlie back too. We could have put him behind the ball to help intercept when we copped 14 goals in two quarters scoring only 2 ourselves. It's arguable that he could have prevented the easy marks Hogan ended up with in presence alone whilst weitering was off the ground getting treatment in the second. Yes the mids were allowing it in too easily, but this tactic could have been used sliding the magnets around even as shock value. You don't need to win the ball out of the centre or score yourself. You just have to stop the opposition momentum when they are hot. We didn't even try.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 09, 2024, 01:18:28 pm
We didn't need anyone behind the ball in the last, and we ran over GWS despite them subbing off Aleer for another running type.
The problem wasn't in our D50, and moving Charlie would have weakened one of our strengths while doing little to boost our defence.
When Charlie floats back in games, our intent isn't to score, it's to defend a lead. If we move Charlie back sometime in the 2nd-Qtr, we are moving forward with a greatly diminished scoring potential.
If it was to be a shootout, we had to start scoring, we did but it was a Qtr too late!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 09, 2024, 01:23:03 pm
Charlie has gone back numerous times when we have been behind and under seige.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: LP on July 09, 2024, 01:33:04 pm
Charlie has gone back numerous times when we have been behind and under seige.
Really, how does that happen under the 6-6-6 rule?
I'd assert in general play he has the opportunity to float back, but when an opponent is scoring from fast breaks or rebound it hasn't happened, because of the reset.
Further, if we moved him back while we were behind, that is to start in D50, we've just robbed Peter to pay Paul. That would be almost as bad as taking the bloke who just kicked your first couple of goals and sending him off the field or up the field to ruck! :o
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 09, 2024, 01:37:14 pm
The 6-6-6 rule lasts for 3 seconds. Did you know scoring from centre clearances is actually lower now than it was before the rule came in?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: pew2 on July 09, 2024, 01:43:48 pm
don't worry about charlie ,but as a defender how kemp plays from behind or doesn't jump in the air with hogan .So at half time wat were our defense coaches doing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 09, 2024, 02:45:58 pm
We didn't need anyone behind the ball in the last, and we ran over GWS despite them subbing off Aleer for another running type.
The problem wasn't in our D50, and moving Charlie would have weakened one of our strengths while doing little to boost our defence.
When Charlie floats back in games, our intent isn't to score, it's to defend a lead. If we move Charlie back sometime in the 2nd-Qtr, we are moving forward with a greatly diminished scoring potential.
If it was to be a shootout, we had to start scoring, we did but it was a Qtr too late!
But when you are giving away a lead at 100mph, your key defender is injured then send him back. Wasn't as if he was having a great day up forward. There was no strength happening forward. He might have stopped a few of those Hogan goals though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 09, 2024, 02:50:15 pm
To really put the icining on the cake, the Saints just rolled the Swans, had we have won last nite we would have been just one game off top spot. >:D
Sometimes there's losses you need to have. I feel we were starting to really get ahead of ourselves, just cruising then turning on the afterburners and blowing sides away whhne they got close as we almost felt like it. That complacency caught up with us and is hopefully knocked out of us.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: laj on July 09, 2024, 02:53:42 pm
TDK got some clearances and was handy around the ground but Briggs made sure he didnt dominate like we need him to and won the hitouts easily. I think TDK will appreciate playing on English this week from the WB who is less of the push and shove type ruck and more the athletic type similar to himself. Briggs does a lot of pushing often before the ball is in the contest and reminds me of Nankervis, neither can jump like our man but like to make contact early and then stand their ground and use their strength. I wouldnt be rushing to pick Pittonet this week either just based on that game....
The other option is to do what Hawthorn did with ruckman Max Bailey in 2013. Play him for 2 1/2 qtrs. then sub him off and let Hale do it after that with a pinch hitter. Reasonable plan unless someone gets injured earlier.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 09, 2024, 03:45:24 pm
Really, how does that happen under the 6-6-6 rule?
I'd assert in general play he has the opportunity to float back, but when an opponent is scoring from fast breaks or rebound it hasn't happened, because of the reset.
Further, if we moved him back while we were behind, that is to start in D50, we've just robbed Peter to pay Paul. That would be almost as bad as taking the bloke who just kicked your first couple of goals and sending him off the field or up the field to ruck! :o
The injury sub is supposed to be just that, to cover injury. The whole supersub coming ont he last quarter and turning games is fantasy, it has hardly happened.
Considering we can cover every player but Weitering and our one ruck, the sub should be Young.
Suddenly people start to see the value in having Silvagni in your team. He can basically cover any position we need if we get desperate.
But yes, the idea of the sub is to cover injury.
Looking at how many talls vs how many smalls we have, the chance of an injury coming to a small is higher than in injury coming to a tall. Its the same logic i used when i said at the start that you should NEVER put a ruck as your sub. Other people disagreed. Early on some clubs tried it, but everyone eventually got on the same page as me and realised its pointless. With the chance of an injury occuring to a ruck is 1 in 22, the likelyhood of that ruck sub helping you is very small. Yes, on the odd game it can make a big difference. But in every other game it will end up hurting you. So play the odds. Pick a small as a sub.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: PaulP on July 09, 2024, 05:11:29 pm
Reading over in the Ruck Debate thread and elsewhere, I guess I have a different take on the game. I think GWS played the first quarter displaying the indifferent form of their last several weeks, then something happened at q time, and they played out of their skins for the next 2. I doubt any team would've stopped them in that time period. Whilst it's absolutely possible, personally I didn't notice any arrogance, slackness, cockiness, bath water, Kool Aid or anything else. GWS' numbers were up in several categories, and ours were down. They laid 26 tackles I50, which is an absurd number.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 09, 2024, 05:14:17 pm
Reading over in the Ruck Debate thread and elsewhere, I guess I have a different take on the game. I think GWS played the first quarter displaying the indifferent form of their last several weeks, then something happened at q time, and they played out of their skins for the next 2. I doubt any team would've stopped them in that time period. Whilst it's absolutely possible, personally I didn't notice any arrogance, slackness, cockiness, bath water, Kool Aid or anything else. GWS' numbers were up in several categories, and ours were down. They laid 26 tackles I50, which is an absurd number.
I think part of the imbibing happened at the MC meeting. That filtered down to the playing group somewhat, albeit subconsciously.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: PaulP on July 09, 2024, 05:28:46 pm
I think part of the imbibing happened at the MC meeting. That filtered down to the playing group somewhat, albeit subconsciously.
To my way of thinking, if this were the case, I would expect the first q to be the opposite of what it was - us asleep at the wheel, and GWS in the ascendancy. Instead we started like a house on fire.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: northernblue on July 09, 2024, 05:36:51 pm
As far as Charlie heading or being sent down back to stem the flow, I’m not sure if he was able, Ol mate on fb has been saying all week that Charlie’s been managing an ankle for the last couple of weeks. If true it may explain why he stayed forward and the lack of 2nd efforts.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: kruddler on July 09, 2024, 05:38:34 pm
As far as Charlie heading or being sent down back to stem the flow, I’m not sure if he was able, Ol mate on fb has been saying all week that Charlie’s been managing an ankle for the last couple of weeks. If true it may explain why he stayed forward and the lack of 2nd efforts.
Yep, its been suggested by a few that he isn't right.....and i've seen nothing to prove otherwise.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: Lods on July 09, 2024, 05:53:22 pm
Reading over in the Ruck Debate thread and elsewhere, I guess I have a different take on the game. I think GWS played the first quarter displaying the indifferent form of their last several weeks, then something happened at q time, and they played out of their skins for the next 2. I doubt any team would've stopped them in that time period. Whilst it's absolutely possible, personally I didn't notice any arrogance, slackness, cockiness, bath water, Kool Aid or anything else. GWS' numbers were up in several categories, and ours were down. They laid 26 tackles I50, which is an absurd number.
We'll see in the coming week what the real GWS looks like. Here's my take. We gave them a football lesson in the first quarter. We went into the quarter time break with some players thinking this will be a 'walk in the park.' You don't think that consciously...and it's something a coach would warn against But it's there. I remember feeling quite comfortable myself at quarter time...but there is always that little man in the head warning against complacency. Because nothing in this game is ever as predictable as it seems.
So into the second quarter, a couple of goals, a couple of injuries and there was a momentum switch. Good teams can wrestle those back quickly, for others it's like trying to turn around the 'Titanic' That's especially so when you consider you're a superior side and it will just happen. You have to make it happen.
So into half-time and we'd be thinking "OK, Third quarter coming up. Here is where we make our move." But a few things go wrong early in that third quarter and things start to get a bit frantic. We're still not attacking the contest with our usual intensity, a few players are down or well held, and it's being left to too few. We also know some of our key movers are playing under injury duress. There is still this feeling it will just happen, and though we try to make an effort, it's a half hearted one. It's not the effort that's needed.
Into the last and suddenly there is a realisation that it's not just going to happen...and in fact we're so far behind the best we can do is make a bit of an effort to get the scores closer. We go harder, they play to prevent the comeback and as a result we end up within a couple of goals at the end.
Are they the better side? On the day they are... for two quarters and a bit (enough to get the win)...not so much for the other part of the game.
'Even' games are looked at when there's only a goal or two between sides for the entire game. That was about as 'uneven' a game as there can be...so it's hard to draw a lot of conclusions as to the relative strengths of either side (other than I don't like to be in front early in a game. :D )
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 09, 2024, 06:43:32 pm
As far as Charlie heading or being sent down back to stem the flow, I’m not sure if he was able, Ol mate on fb has been saying all week that Charlie’s been managing an ankle for the last couple of weeks. If true it may explain why he stayed forward and the lack of 2nd efforts.
Charlie was fumbling a lot of marks and you have to give credit to Buckley who is one of the better key defenders in the game. He has kicked 16 goals in 10 games against GWS and only five of those games have been wins so apart from the team finding the Giants hard work so has Charlie...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: madbluboy on July 09, 2024, 06:44:38 pm
Charlie got flogged by a first gamer the week prior.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 09, 2024, 06:58:43 pm
Yep 7 possies and 3 marks vs the KP defender combo of those well known tyros in Miller and newbie Blight wasnt exactly Charlies finest effort for the season. Ok he might be sore or carrying an ankle etc but so are a lot of players at this time of the season and I just think Charlie has had a few cruisy weeks where he hasnt needed to operate in top gear and needs a good game this week where he gets a bit more ball even if he doesnt kick a big bag. Dogs are down to their second string KP defenders this week with Jones and ODonnell out and with Lobb probably going to Harry its going to be Keath coming back after injury or Ryan Gardiner as a likely opponent for Charlie both he and Harry should be able to dine out.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 17 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs GWS
Post by: WASurfer on July 09, 2024, 09:48:34 pm
Charlie was well beaten by a relative newcomer against Richmond as well but managed to kick 2 goals....one very late in the game from just about the only contested mark he took. Last month or so he hasn't been holding his marks despite getting into position. If Jones is unavailable this week, he needs a lift....and would likely mean the Dogs might put Darcy back.