Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on July 20, 2024, 10:41:22 am
Title: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: crashlander on July 20, 2024, 10:41:22 am
One thing I hate about games in this time slot is that I have to wake up and work in the morning. As a teacher, I need my voice to have recovered, as I always give it a good work out at the footy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: BluePhantom on July 21, 2024, 07:22:10 pm
Last two weeks we played crape and lost. Today we played crape and just won. North lost it we didn't win it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: tex on July 21, 2024, 07:25:16 pm
Just take the win. Christ knows we needed it. Injuries a worry. Not sure we can afford to drop another game
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 21, 2024, 07:28:03 pm
Take the 4 points but it was unconvincing and our backline in particular looked unsettled. Hewett I thought was important and can't be dropped again...TDK fought on well after halftime and Curnow lifted his work rate.Umpiring was garbage and both teams suffered..
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Micky0 on July 21, 2024, 07:28:08 pm
Last two weeks we played crape and lost. Today we played crape and just won. North lost it we didn't win it.
Disagree with that - we pulled our finger out and took it on, just got enough in front then eased again. They ran out of legs but we also upped it.
Still they are near bottom Of the ladder and we’re premiership contenders? Not sure there is that much between us! Bit concerned we don’t look very convincing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: kruddler on July 21, 2024, 07:28:32 pm
Problem is, I’m not sure we can. Those last 2 losses, brisbanes resurgence and easy-ish run home has cost us dearly. We need top 2.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: laj on July 21, 2024, 07:32:24 pm
They certainly just turned up for a jog around the park. Pressure rating hit 240 for a while in the 3rd qtr then it was through the motions. The good old slump top sides have.
Those 2nd qtrs. Last 3 weeks we have conceded 7, 7 and 6 goals.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Professer E on July 21, 2024, 07:33:29 pm
Agreed EB, how Hewitt gets dropped for coaches' pets is bewildering and has cost games.
Didn't the likes of Durdin, Cunners and Fantasia contribute so much today. Get real MC.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: kruddler on July 21, 2024, 07:34:08 pm
Problem is, I’m not sure we can. Those last 2 losses, brisbanes resurgence and easy-ish run home has cost us dearly. We need top 2.
There will be more losses if we keep playing too many injured players.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: PaulP on July 21, 2024, 07:35:11 pm
Just listening to Marc Murphy on ABC. He said in his opinion one of our issues is that we get opened up through the middle, and that Hewett needs to play as a defensive mid. He seems to think our other mids either struggle with defense or are not defensively minded. Also spoke about our back 6, and said the reason why Kemp gets dropped is because of errors and brain fades in his game. He said that 90% of his game is good, but the 10% that isn't good is costly.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on July 21, 2024, 07:35:20 pm
There will be more losses if we keep playing too many injured players.
They’re AFL footballers, not children - they’re used to playing through injuries.
But yes, it’s a delicate balance.
I’d be keen to give him a rest vs WCE. Along with Walsh
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Professer E on July 21, 2024, 07:39:41 pm
Hard to rest players with so many passengers
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: tex on July 21, 2024, 07:41:15 pm
Really through Motlop played his game well
Similar stats to OF - but 3 goals. We won by 19
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 21, 2024, 07:54:11 pm
They are a bottom 3 side and we are 2nd, and Xerri nearly lead them to an upset.
All the other teams around us had percentage boosters.
That once in a lifetime rare as rocking horse sh1t event, you know when 2 or 3 KPPs get injured, for us it was nearly 2 out of 3 weeks.
The more you load them, the more likely it becomes.
We have to get players into the finals in good nick, and 2 out of 3 weeks we've put blokes back on the ground who could barely run, and put our KPFs and Monster mid to the sword bridging the gap.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LygonStreetLimbo on July 21, 2024, 08:07:59 pm
Cottrell starting to find it. Not spectacular but he was more involved. Might have been lucky to avoid a spell in the 2s after little input prev 2 weeks
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Lods on July 21, 2024, 08:11:33 pm
More negatives than positives out of that game. 17th placed side...and we struggled to put them away.
There just seems to be this attitude at the moment that we really just have to turn up. There is not a ruthlessness about our side. Applying pressure can't be a part-time occupation. It has to be full-on, intense and sustained.
You look at that performance and compare it to some of our games at the end of last year and it's chalk and cheese. It's not a case of not being capable It's an attitude thing. I think if we were facing a Sydney or Brisbane it would be a different story. We know it would be a big task and be ready. But things can go pear shaped pretty quickly with a half-assed attitude. Lazy habits can become entrenched... A couple of injuries and we're back to the pack.
The frustrating thing is that we all know the talent is there. It shouldn't be a chore to get it done. (and yes...I do know we won...and I'm happy about that aspect ;) ;D .)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 21, 2024, 08:19:52 pm
Probably is time for TDK to get a rest, he looks like an old trotter Paleface Adios who used be heavily taped up everytime he ran. Jordan Sweet has been rucking for Port and is the old fashioned non athletic ruck and a 5 day break only might break TDK if we don't give him a spell but Sweet would suit Pittonets skill set IMHO. Walsh is another who is looking banged up and needs his workload reduced or miss a game....maybe Sub if we need a lift he can come on but he doesn't have to play the whole game and keep getting hammered like he did today.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: DJC on July 21, 2024, 09:17:22 pm
He won’t be in my best players but I just want to acknowledge Ollie Hollands for his ability to get to contests and his repeat efforts.
I have wondered about his selection week after week but, like Matty Cottrell, I suspect that a lot of Ollie’s work goes unnoticed. It was more apparent this arvo. Well done young man!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LoveNavy on July 21, 2024, 09:19:23 pm
I thought NM were very good. The ladder is irrelevant this year. Although if you drop a game, it can be a slippery snake down the board.
We just did enough. No more. No less. I thought our contest and defence was poor for significant periods. Top opponents will make you pay for that.
Our young or less experienced players at times kept us in it at times. Although that's a good sign, it isn't something we can rely on. Moo, Fog, Hollands x 2 (some of Ollie's best alongside a few clangers) Motlop, Carroll & Mowies all played their role. Cottrell is finding some form too. It's great that Binns had a ripper in the 2's.
George. Saad, Newy, Crippa toiled away. TDK, H, and Charlie had big moments but lacked consistency. No doubt having about 6 players revolving through the rooms didn't help.
In all, we're far from settled. Yet managed to do enough against a talented young side.
Rest, recover, and hope we have no injuries. We don't need more games with an unsettled side.
Go Blues
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: pinot on July 21, 2024, 09:27:34 pm
Felt we played a little choppy and messy due to positional changes. Hewett just has to play every week. Not sure on Cerra in the backline he needs to be in the guts. Walshy down on form a little and would like to him him play forward a little more to regain touch.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LordLucifer on July 21, 2024, 09:29:32 pm
No-one can be happy about that game, we nearly coughed it up too. Thing is, serious premiership contenders don't struggle to put away the cellar-dwellers but we do.
Spectators & passengers, there was not one player out there tonight who can honestly say they gave four quarters.
What happened to that ferocious attack on the contest we had a month ago that enabled us to totally throttle teams ??
Seriously scratching my head now and fear that we will drop some more games in the run to the finals with this lackadaisical approach.
- Port have a sniff of finals now and may be a tougher prospect than earlier in the year - even though they savaged by injuries the Pies are due for a bounce back and may be unpredictable - Hawthorn are playing out of their clacks and are starting to blow teams away - the Eagles should be an comfortable win but there is no room for complacency - Saints are sh1t but you never know which of their personas will turn up on the day
The thing that really annoys me is that we dropped games against the Giants & Dogs that we were expected to win and had we gone acoording to the plan, we would be equal top now.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: crashlander on July 21, 2024, 10:00:47 pm
Not having the extra tall hurt us today, especially with Tom de Koning well below his best. When he lifted in the third, we looked unbeatable. In the 4th, he was thrashed and we struggled to get a clearance. With H on and off and Tom the same, it allowed Comben to go forward and kick 3 goals. We had no other talls to go with him. Charlie is so far off his game that it isn't funny and he still kicked 4 goals. He should have had 8! He is dropping marks badly at the moment. Our midfield struggles to run guys down: lack of leg speed in the middle. This needs addressing, soonest. I think we should have played Cincotta on Sheezel or LDU today; they wouldn't have a quarter of the effect.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 21, 2024, 10:07:01 pm
Not having the extra tall hurt us today, especially with Tom de Koning well below his best. When he lifted in the third, we looked unbeatable. In the 4th, he was thrashed and we struggled to get a clearance. With H on and off and Tom the same, it allowed Comben to go forward and kick 3 goals. We had no other talls to go with him. Charlie is so far off his game that it isn't funny and he still kicked 4 goals. He should have had 8! He is dropping marks badly at the moment. Our midfield struggles to run guys down: lack of leg speed in the middle. This needs addressing, soonest. I think we should have played Cincotta on Sheezel or LDU today; they wouldn't have a quarter of the effect.
Didnt learn much from last time with Sheezel who had 30 plus possies, thats the annoying bit, another 35 today.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Thryleon on July 21, 2024, 10:18:35 pm
Can we get Lewis Young in the team now please?
Yeah he can be scared of his own shadow at times, but with confidence that changes. He was capable with weitering out of the side, and when weiters returned, against gws we played them both and he was fine.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: crashlander on July 21, 2024, 10:27:43 pm
Yeah he can be scared of his own shadow at times, but with confidence that changes. He was capable with weitering out of the side, and when weiters returned, against gws we played them both and he was fine.
Sam Durdin wasn't embarrassing: he did his job, mainly on Teakle, but he wasn't the long term answer. The number of times he got his hands to the ball only to not complete the mark was frustrating. Young has to be in the frame, but he certainly isn't setting the world on fire in the 2's. Do we promote Kemp on his game? It was certainly a good one. But who did he play against? Has he learnt from his blunders? Do we play him up forward if H doesn't come up?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: crashlander on July 21, 2024, 10:28:51 pm
Didnt learn much from last time with Sheezel who had 30 plus possies, thats the annoying bit, another 35 today.
Sheezel was helped by Xerri's dominance. When Tom got up in the 3rd quarter, North couldn't buy a clearance, but Sheezel got them down his throat for most of the game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Professer E on July 21, 2024, 10:54:04 pm
6-7 goals to Norf via rubbish decisions or non-decisions today didn't help
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 21, 2024, 11:12:59 pm
Win ls a win but that was less than convincing against a team thats won 2 games. Dont want to comment, just move on as nothing can be gained from that game. Need Gov back ASAP. A lazy performance overall.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 21, 2024, 11:24:36 pm
Just listening to Marc Murphy on ABC. He said in his opinion one of our issues is that we get opened up through the middle, and that Hewett needs to play as a defensive mid. He seems to think our other mids either struggle with defense or are not defensively minded. Also spoke about our back 6, and said the reason why Kemp gets dropped is because of errors and brain fades in his game. He said that 90% of his game is good, but the 10% that isn't good is costly.
Murphy talking about being a defensive mid lol.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LordLucifer on July 21, 2024, 11:32:18 pm
Sam Durdin wasn't embarrassing: he did his job, mainly on Teakle, but he wasn't the long term answer. The number of times he got his hands to the ball only to not complete the mark was frustrating. Young has to be in the frame, but he certainly isn't setting the world on fire in the 2's. Do we promote Kemp on his game? It was certainly a good one. But who did he play against? Has he learnt from his blunders? Do we play him up forward if H doesn't come up?
Sorry, completely disagree, Durdin should never play in the senior team ever again, he had no idea where the ball was nor his opponent, it was embarrassing.
If Weitering goes down we are finished, the dearth of quality key defenders at the club is so serious now that it must be the number 1 priority to be addressed in the upcoming off-season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: DJC on July 22, 2024, 12:14:56 am
Sam Durdin wasn't embarrassing: he did his job, mainly on Teakle, but he wasn't the long term answer. The number of times he got his hands to the ball only to not complete the mark was frustrating. Young has to be in the frame, but he certainly isn't setting the world on fire in the 2's. Do we promote Kemp on his game? It was certainly a good one. But who did he play against? Has he learnt from his blunders? Do we play him up forward if H doesn't come up?
Yes, Durdin was OK for his first game in quite a while. He was a bit rusty but his ball use is good and he kept his opponents quiet. We missed Kemp's spoiling and intercepts but not the errors that have crept into his game. He probably did enough in the Magoos to earn a recall but I don't know what aspects of his game Vossy wants improved. If Kemp does come back, it shouldn't be at Durdin's expense.
North tried to exploit our lack of height in defence with Larkey, Teakle and Comben starting forward and Xerri adding more height but our defence stood up well. Charlie's intervention was timely and capped off a pretty good game - nine marks, four goals and three intercepts.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: RiverRat on July 22, 2024, 01:13:36 am
Just listening to Marc Murphy on ABC. He said in his opinion one of our issues is that we get opened up through the middle, and that Hewett needs to play as a defensive mid. He seems to think our other mids either struggle with defense or are not defensively minded.
Spot on - he also plays the short game better than most by making position for the short pass and then kicking it well to advantage - several of his kicks into the forward line showed exceptional touch.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: RiverRat on July 22, 2024, 01:15:54 am
Yet, if not for a bit of luck one way or the other, they would have done us like a dinner!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: tonyo on July 22, 2024, 09:20:17 am
We have a nasty habit of struggling in games we should win easily. I think the club psychologists need to go to work on that. We are very quick to go into 'cruise' mode, and let teams bang on 4-5 in a rush and get momentum (like the 2nd quarter yesterday).
Someone needs to find the collective ruthless nerve and give it a good kick.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Baggers on July 22, 2024, 10:19:41 am
The Kangabies are a much better side than many give them credit for. And we had to put our pressure rating through the roof (3rd qtr) to get over them and even then, they wouldn't go away. In the final qtr, to keep our lead was a bloody good effort considering the revolving door of injured blokes coming on and off the ground.
Failed experiments: Dropping Hewett ::) Cincotta on Zuhaar (why the fck would you sacrifice someone so quick over the grass to the last line of defence ::)) ...and probably dropping Kemp. Good to see: Cottrell regaining touch, Cerra finally stepping up later in the game, Motlop back, Charles kicking well for goal, H's ruck work and work up the ground. Don't get: Weiters criticism, Tall Durds criticism. Bottom line: There's a fleas chin (cleaned that up) between 2nd and 7th on the ladder. With the exception of the Weagles, any and every other side outside the 8 is capable of knocking off a top 8 side. We are very much, still, a work in progress. Expect: Pitto in this week, along with Kemp and perhaps Binns. Outs: Injured blokes.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: DJC on July 22, 2024, 10:51:56 am
The Kangabies are a much better side than many give them credit for. And we had to put our pressure rating through the roof (3rd qtr) to get over them and even then, they wouldn't go away. In the final qtr, to keep our lead was a bloody good effort considering the revolving door of injured blokes coming on and off the ground.
Failed experiments: Dropping Hewett ::) Cincotta on Zuhaar (why the fck would you sacrifice someone so quick over the grass to the last line of defence ::)) ...and probably dropping Kemp. Good to see: Cottrell regaining touch, Cerra finally stepping up later in the game, Motlop back, Charles kicking well for goal, H's ruck work and work up the ground. Don't get: Weiters criticism, Tall Durds criticism. Bottom line: There's a fleas chin (cleaned that up) between 2nd and 7th on the ladder. With the exception of the Weagles, any and every other side outside the 8 is capable of knocking off a top 8 side. We are very much, still, a work in progress. Expect: Pitto in this week, along with Kemp and perhaps Binns. Outs: Injured blokes.
North have been playing some pretty good footy and Wet Toast have wins over the Dockers and Dees. Take any team lightly at your peril.
We had a cobbled together defence with Kemp, Boyd and Marchbank out and Durdin the only replacement. That meant Cincotta going back to full time defender, Cerra and Kennedy playing in defence and 186cm Newman playing on 203cm Teakle.
With the procession of our players heading to the rooms for running repairs, our defence was under significant pressure and I thought they held up very well … but I was relieved when Charlie made his appearance in the backline. Weitering was a bulwark and tall Durdin was solid.
Owies should have cemented his place in the 22 and young Motlop has laid the foundations for his spot. Small forwards have to make the most of limited opportunities and Motlop does that in spades. Small Durdin and Fantasia don’t at present.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 22, 2024, 10:59:47 am
I think we'd kill for an LDU type at the moment, heavy body, agile, hard at the contest, we have that, but he is loaded with outside pace compared to our Mids, and how good is Wardlaw?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: pinot on July 22, 2024, 12:26:09 pm
Norf are a good team. Need Gov in the backline though. Intercept game in the back half was largely non existent.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Blue Moon on July 22, 2024, 12:48:42 pm
Three weeks in a row we have had to face a team that have come off a bad loss and were ready to play. Bulldogs and the Giants are good teams and while we didn't beat them we had our opportunities. North had been given a free ride with draft picks, something we weren't gifted, and they have some very good players. Big Durdin was injured early but was able to play out the game well. TDK was injured but when he got on top we were able to find another gear. Cerra and Kennedy spent time down back. I don't mind Kennedy in the backline and besides one soft free kick he shut down his opponent. I am a bit more doubtful about Cerra but he did take a number of intercept marks. I like it when our small forwards kick goals. Fogarty has started to get a few and Cincotta looks dangerous while Owies is having a good season. I wouldn't mind finding a spot for Martin. Walsh, Acres and TDK looked sore and I wouldn't mind bringing in Pittonett, Kemp or McGovern, and Binns for them. There is an awful lot of Carlton rethoric out there at the moment. A team like Brisbane gets a free pass by beating Sydney when they are playing well, Sydney is off the boil, playing at home, Sydney lose three players and after leading by five goals, fall across the line. You want to be playing your best football in September and not in July.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Shakin77 on July 22, 2024, 01:24:07 pm
No-one can be happy about that game, we nearly coughed it up too. Thing is, serious premiership contenders don't struggle to put away the cellar-dwellers but we do.
Just out of interest. Who are the premiership contenders?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 22, 2024, 01:28:53 pm
Just out of interest. Who are the premiership contenders?
Anyone who makes the finals.
I think we match up OK against most of the current Top 8, SOS put it well when he described the difference between building a list to be competitive and building a list to win a flag.
But every list has it strengths and weakness, physically, tactically, for example our list is stronger for certain venues that suit our team tactics. Is a list that wins at Marvel the same as a list that wins at the MCG?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: pew2 on July 22, 2024, 03:02:17 pm
doesn't matter who our opponent is our system game plan is no good ,until we get rid of LONG BOMBS in our style of play the other teams just set up for it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 22, 2024, 03:09:20 pm
I think we'd kill for an LDU type at the moment, heavy body, agile, hard at the contest, we have that, but he is loaded with outside pace compared to our Mids, and how good is Wardlaw?
Was impressed with Curtis and the Archer kid too...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: kruddler on July 22, 2024, 04:43:26 pm
He won’t be in my best players but I just want to acknowledge Ollie Hollands for his ability to get to contests and his repeat efforts.
I have wondered about his selection week after week but, like Matty Cottrell, I suspect that a lot of Ollie’s work goes unnoticed. It was more apparent this arvo. Well done young man!
I've been one to stick up for him and praising him for his 'unnoticed effort' each week.
I stood up for him when people were calling for his eviction from the side in favour of a 2nd ruck. (You may have been one of them). Now without wanting to go down that path, you can clearly see what he offers and how that is a benefit over another tall, specifically a ruck.
We need pressure players. Ollie is a pressure player. People forget, he is only in his 2nd year. Not many other blokes are going better than him that were taken around (or after) his pick, #11, in the draft.
Someone like Carroll has been on the list longer and shown us less. Somehow because he has played less games, he gets more chances....even though he has been around longer. Similarly Cottrell who has been around longer than both...but offers very little more than Ollie does at the moment. Even though a lot of his stuff goes unnoticed, he hasn't got back to his pre-injury form yet, far from it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 22, 2024, 05:22:22 pm
I've been one to stick up for him and praising him for his 'unnoticed effort' each week.
I stood up for him when people were calling for his eviction from the side in favour of a 2nd ruck. (You may have been one of them). Now without wanting to go down that path, you can clearly see what he offers and how that is a benefit over another tall, specifically a ruck.
We need pressure players. Ollie is a pressure player. People forget, he is only in his 2nd year. Not many other blokes are going better than him that were taken around (or after) his pick, #11, in the draft.
Someone like Carroll has been on the list longer and shown us less. Somehow because he has played less games, he gets more chances....even though he has been around longer. Similarly Cottrell who has been around longer than both...but offers very little more than Ollie does at the moment. Even though a lot of his stuff goes unnoticed, he hasn't got back to his pre-injury form yet, far from it.
I don't think anyone questions Ollie's endeavour and ability to get to contests to effect timely spoils. His work rate is... well... first rate.
However, and yes, he's still learning, he still makes critical disposal errors, especially handing the aggott back to the opposition. One error against the Kangabies cost us momentum and very likely a shot on goal - a simple short kick to a team mate fell short and was marked by the opposition. Another where he tried to mark the ball with hands only, failing to commit his body. And due to his slight body, he's easily knocked out of contests. Does that mean we drop him? Of course not. But it does say he has important skills to work on... and he aint Robinson Crusoe in that regard.
Nutshell: great work ethic and defensive efforts. Disposal skills, still a concern. We all love Ollie and his huge ticker, but that doesn't mean we can't be objective, even critical, of his shortcomings.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 23, 2024, 08:19:57 am
However, and yes, he's still learning, he still makes critical disposal errors, especially handing the aggott back to the opposition.
Nutshell: great work ethic and defensive efforts. Disposal skills, still a concern. We all love Ollie and his huge ticker, but that doesn't mean we can't be objective, even critical, of his shortcomings.
He's just a kid, he'll be fine given time, fans can be too impatient.
After last weekend I fear he will now have another pre-season to get stuff right before we are a serious challenger.
We really need the MC to step up now, they no longer have a choice, it's all on them.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Lods on July 23, 2024, 08:46:57 am
You know this is probably the central point of all the structural and positional debates we have on here, whether it’s ruck or small forward.
A team is made up of three different types of players. Each is important. Good teams have a nice balance of both.
There is the ‘role players and pressure bringers’- These are guys whose contribution often goes unnoticed. They are also the most criticised because the average supporter doesn’t always understand their job, and the role they play because they’re not bothering the basic statsmen too much with disposals, goals etc.
Then there is the ‘impact’ player- These are the flashy guys the fans love. The high possession winners, the prolific markers and goal scorers. They often escape criticism because in a five -minute burst they can turn a game.
The third one is the rarity. The player who combines pressure, plays a role and impacts a game in a noticeable way… and they’re usually the most valuable players. They can change a game in a minute but also sacrifice and perform another role when required. I can only think of a couple of players in our side who fit that role.
So, in terms of team selection, it will always be the role player/pressure bringer who is most likely to be called into question when the final pieces are put into a side. Unless that pressure is elite it’s the easiest aspect to replace, because ‘impact’ is a natural extra ability or talent.
Ollie Hollands is in his second year. He’s 20 years old. This time next year he’ll likely be a 50 gamer with many more to come. He’ll develop extra strings to his bow as he matures. The best aspects of his game at the moment will only get better. But at the moment he wouldn’t be one of the first players picked, and as such there may be times when he is on the fringe of selection if we have a nearly full list to pick from.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: madbluboy on July 23, 2024, 09:06:04 am
I think we match up OK against most of the current Top 8, SOS put it well when he described the difference between building a list to be competitive and building a list to win a flag.
But every list has it strengths and weakness, physically, tactically, for example our list is stronger for certain venues that suit our team tactics. Is a list that wins at Marvel the same as a list that wins at the MCG?
We can't drop anymore games. If we drop any games Brisbane will take 2nd spot and the path to the premiership becomes really difficult.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 23, 2024, 11:12:18 am
We can't drop anymore games. If we drop any games Brisbane will take 2nd spot and the path to the premiership becomes really difficult.
Have the AFL now change the rules / terms / contracts for 2024 finals, can they not play both games out of Melbourne in the 1st week of finals leaving the MCG vacant?
I know the AFL want those contracts changed, but I'm not sure they are in place for 2024, and if those conditions remain and it's Swans, Lions 1 and 2 it'll be 1 that gets the home state final not 2. So I think 1st, 2nd or 3rd remains OK.
Finally, for the AFL the decision still remains discretionary, I doubt they would take Carlton away from the MCG week one, it would cost tens of millions of dollars.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: madbluboy on July 23, 2024, 11:17:28 am
That changed years ago.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: BluePhantom on July 23, 2024, 11:27:31 am
There was an exception during COVID, but as far as I can tell the terms returned to normal for last season, I can't find any info about the 2024.
I'm sure a change does eventually kick in, but I thought it's a few years from now.
The actually original agreement with the MCC was in place with an expiry date of 2035, but I believe the MCC made concessions to bring that forward so that they could alter schedules around the World Cup Cricket. I think AFL tried to leverage WA to get a better MCC deal, you might recall the noise from Basil earlier this season, but I also read it looked like the MCC agreement might actually be extended, since then nothing official as far as I know.
Even so, it remains discretionary under AFL powers.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: madbluboy on July 23, 2024, 11:54:21 am
No it changed. The MCG is only guaranteed the Grand Final which is locked in for another 30+ years.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: DJC on July 23, 2024, 12:25:05 pm
The contract requires ten finals (excluding Grand Finals) to be played at the MCG every five years. It's entirely possible for there to be no games at the MCG for at least two of the finals weekends.
The higher we finish, the better chance we have.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 23, 2024, 01:22:41 pm
The contract requires ten finals (excluding Grand Finals) to be played at the MCG every five years. It's entirely possible for there to be no games at the MCG for at least two of the finals weekends.
The higher we finish, the better chance we have.
So from last year?
For reference there were 5 in total excluding the GF last year, despite four interstate teams making the finals in 2023, 3 in the 1st week, one Semi and one Prelim, the only away game week 1 was Brisbane because they finished 2nd and the Filth were top, and obviously Brisbane got the Prelim finishing above us.
After week 1, there are only four possible games excluding the GF, two semis and two prelims.
As the ladder currently stands, with five interstate teams currently in the 8, the options to fill The G are slim. You would expect the Swans to get one home final, and probably one out of Port, GWS or Freo subject to final positions. I think it's highly unlikely they send Carlton interstate if we finish anywhere in the top 3, and even less likely they give CheatsFC a home final for finishing below GWS, Port or Freo, especially so if the Filth fail to make the grade.
I realise it's not impossible, but it remains discretionary to the AFL decision makers, the AFL will want to fill The G.
This must be a nightmare scenario for the AFL executive, could you imagine both CheatsFC and Carlton sent packing in week 1, they might as well move the finals interstate then because The G would be a relative graveyard!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Thryleon on July 23, 2024, 01:28:59 pm
For reference there were 5 in total excluding the GF last year, despite four instate teams making the finals, 3 in the 1st week, one Semi and one Prelim, the only away game week 1 was Brisbane because they finished 2nd and the Filth were top, and obviously Brisbane got the Prelim finishing above us.
After week 1, there are only four possible games excluding the GF, two semis and two prelims.
As the ladder currently stands, you would expect the Swans to get one home final, and probably one out of Port, GWS or Freo subject to final positions. I think it's highly unlikely they send Carlton interstate if we finish anywhere in the top 3, and even less likely they give CheatsFC a home final for finishing below GWS, Port or Freo, especially so if the Filth fail to make the grade.
I realise it's not impossible, but it remains discretionary to the AFL decision makers, the AFL will want to fill The G.
lp
It's as simple as. The 1st team will play home vs the 4th team. The 2nd team will play home vs the 3rd team.
The same is true of 5th vs 8th and 6th vs 7th.
You can put hypotheticals around it, but if the season was called and we 3rd instead of 2nd, the G will host Geelongs game vs Port and that's that.
The 8 isn't set but I can only see essendon or Port falling out in favour of the doggies, hawthorn or Melbourne at this stage which generally means it won't be us at the G if we don't finish top 2.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 23, 2024, 01:35:14 pm
It's as simple as. The 1st team will play home vs the 4th team. The 2nd team will play home vs the 3rd team.
The same is true of 5th vs 8th and 6th vs 7th.
That's what we expect, we get that the Home State advantage goes to higher finishing teams.
But the AFL has always stated it always reserves the right to schedule finals where it sees fit, there are no guarantees, and if we end up with five interstate teams in the Top 8, I suspect you'll see an exception this year given the right circumstances.
I can't recall the full spread of ticket pricing for finals last year, I wonder what the average might be, I suspect an average in the $100+ range for finals given the lower cost tickets are limited in total. I know for the GF the basic 2023 ticket was $185.
The Gabba holds 42K, SCG 48K, but the MCG is 100K, and likely a sell out for either Carlton or CheatsFC. The AFL would be shooting itself in the foot if it shipped Carlton and / or CheatsFC interstate.
I'm betting the AFL likes the money, and you'll get some spin on why a team doesn't get a home final. I don't think that assertion is outlandish or a surprise to anyone. AFL is a business, we've seen before when the sport gets in the way of business the sport loses.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: kruddler on July 23, 2024, 01:50:10 pm
That's what we expect, we get that the Home State advantage goes to higher finishing teams.
But the AFL has always stated it always reserves the right to schedule finals where it sees fit, there are no guarantees, and if we end up with five interstate teams in the Top 8, I suspect you'll see an exception this year given the right circumstances.
You've asked the same question 5 different ways. The answer has been the same each time.
Home team will get the home final.
Yes, 'discretionary' powers exist so that if something burns down, or covid happens etc it can move things. But 999 times out of 1000, it is the way it is and thats that.
Number of interstate teams making finals means nothing.
The AFL opted to extend the GF agreement with the MCC which sacrificed the requirement to have games there each week of the finals.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: DJC on July 23, 2024, 03:13:52 pm
It's as simple as. The 1st team will play home vs the 4th team. The 2nd team will play home vs the 3rd team.
The same is true of 5th vs 8th and 6th vs 7th.
You can put hypotheticals around it, but if the season was called and we 3rd instead of 2nd, the G will host Geelongs game vs Port and that's that.
The 8 isn't set but I can only see essendon or Port falling out in favour of the doggies, hawthorn or Melbourne at this stage which generally means it won't be us at the G if we don't finish top 2.
That's the bottom line Thry.
If there are four Victorian teams at 1, 2, 5 and 6, we get four games at the MCG. If, for whatever reason, games have to be played on the same day, it can be MCG and Docklands, or Kardinia Park if Geelong is one of those teams. If interstate teams finish at 1, 2, 5 and 6, there'll be no game in Melbourne in the first week of the finals, unless there's an issue with venue availability. The AFL has finals contracts with the major interstate stadiums so if the Suns were entitled to a home final, it would be at the Gabba rather than Carrara. Similarly, GWS would play at the SCG rather than Homebush.
The only time the AFL could exercise "discretion" with "home games" is if the ten games in five seasons requirement wasn't going to be met - and that's a rolling five years. I suspect that the AFL and MCC would negotiate a compromise rather that robbing an interstate team of their home final. As there were five MCG finals in 2023, the AFL only has to have another five finals there by 2027.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Lods on July 23, 2024, 03:27:54 pm
Could you imagine the outcry if we finished third and Brisbane finished 2nd and the AFL said we'll play it at the MCG.
The Brisbane club and fans would be up in arms. But so would every other team in contention. We need to finish in the top 2 And with 2 games and a huge percentage between us and the Swans...that kinda narrows it down to one spot in particular. No 2 If we don't finish second, chances are we'll be travelling somewhere not close.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Mantis on July 24, 2024, 02:07:06 am
Could you imagine the outcry if we finished third and Brisbane finished 2nd and the AFL said we'll play it at the MCG.
The Brisbane club and fans would be up in arms. But so would every other team in contention. We need to finish in the top 2 And with 2 games and a huge percentage between us and the Swans...that kinda narrows it down to one spot in particular. No 2 If we don't finish second, chances are we'll be travelling somewhere not close.
This is exactly why our remaining games are so critical even though we have so many injuries to cover. With GWS, Freo, Brisbane, and Port breathing down our necks, we don’t want any finals games in their home territory. We saw what happened last year when we had to travel to Brisbane for the preliminary final. That didn’t end well at all. We need to be careful of Hawthorn. They have found some real form. Some real belief and confidence. I hope we beat Port with a real short break. Not enough rest time after the encounter against North Melbourne. We can only hope as anything is possible this end of the season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: Professer E on July 24, 2024, 07:15:03 am
Some flog from Geelong I think it was was snipping about "too much whinging" (although it seems legit when Dangerflog does it) but apparently we've made a phonecall to galactic headquarters about the treatment players like TdK received on Sunday without receiving any frees.
A few us have noted over the years that our crew receive extra "treatment" from certain sides, yet we have so rarely pushed back. In the past a well-placed knee into Mr Xerri's short ribs on the return encounter might encourage him to play in play in a more sportsmanlike manner. Because it's the law of the jungle once you cross that line, especially in finals.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: madbluboy on July 24, 2024, 07:46:31 am
Teams that play on a Sunday night should never play on a Friday night.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: LP on July 24, 2024, 08:15:22 am
A few us have noted over the years that our crew receive extra "treatment" from certain sides, yet we have so rarely pushed back. In the past a well-placed knee into Mr Xerri's short ribs on the return encounter might encourage him to play in play in a more sportsmanlike manner. Because it's the law of the jungle once you cross that line, especially in finals.
Yep, sometimes wearing a penalty is the only way to avoid the pain.
Nobody said AFL had to be fair, some teams and coaches dine out on that fact.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: DJC on July 24, 2024, 10:09:19 am
Some flog from Geelong I think it was was snipping about "too much whinging" (although it seems legit when Dangerflog does it) but apparently we've made a phonecall to galactic headquarters about the treatment players like TdK received on Sunday without receiving any frees.
A few us have noted over the years that our crew receive extra "treatment" from certain sides, yet we have so rarely pushed back. In the past a well-placed knee into Mr Xerri's short ribs on the return encounter might encourage him to play in play in a more sportsmanlike manner. Because it's the law of the jungle once you cross that line, especially in finals.
I believe that the Swans got stuck into Xerri in round 18 and he was unsettled.
We should play Pitto and De Koning next time and give them a licence to be unsociable.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 19 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs North Melbourne
Post by: crashlander on July 24, 2024, 04:13:57 pm