Carlton Supporters Club

Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on August 03, 2024, 04:47:52 pm

Title: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: crashlander on August 03, 2024, 04:47:52 pm
Start without me: I'm at the game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: BluePhantom on August 03, 2024, 09:52:02 pm
Are we still in the 8?

Must be time for a new coach!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: cookie2 on August 03, 2024, 10:22:23 pm
We didn’t deserve to win but “Feck!!!”. Why didn’t we unshackle ourselves earlier?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 03, 2024, 10:24:40 pm
Thought we had many good individual players but didnt combine as a team all that well when we had opportunities and Collingwood always hurt you on the way back even when they dont have the majority control of the play.
Hopefully if Pendlebury plays 500 we are not involved....
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 10:26:50 pm
Cerra out early.
Cottrell out soon after.
Acres playing hurt.
Charlie getting hurt.
Newman playing hurt.

Couldn't find the big sticks all game.

Getting flogged for 3/4s

Still had a chance to beat the premiers and should've won if not for govs terrible effort.

Cest la vie
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 10:27:40 pm
Are we still in the 8?

Must be time for a new coach!

We are in.

Game vs Hawks next week is for a spot in the 8 though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: northernblue on August 03, 2024, 10:28:20 pm
Cerra out early.
Cottrell out soon after.
Acres playing hurt.
Charlie getting hurt.
Newman playing hurt.

Couldn't find the big sticks all game.

Getting flogged for 3/4s

Still had a chance to beat the premiers and should've won if not for govs terrible effort.

Cest la vie

But, but, but, we are Carlton, we should win by 10 goals every week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 03, 2024, 10:31:56 pm
Hawks will flog us and should start favourites.  On the bright side gives us the chance to pick a few kids, and omit a few of the crocks and wounded because we've nothing left to lose.  I'd expect the Hawks to try to work us over physically, they (especially their coach) still think we're soft.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 03, 2024, 10:32:42 pm
As gallant and gutsy as that last q fightback was, it feels IMO like it's papering over a few cracks, and I'm really referring to the last few weeks, not just tonight's game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 10:33:45 pm
Pendles 400, injuries etc excuses excuses excuses  and while Collinwood win premierships we make excuses.
Maybe not creative and brave enough at the selection table is my main concern...if a player doesnt deserve a game then they should not play AFL football. I am guessing many will be happy with that fightback - but thats where we are as a club honourable losses not going away in a hurry - leadership and attitude Joel Selwood/Stephen Kernahan/John Nicholls style should have won us that match from the second quarter.
Presser from Voss will be fascinating.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LoveNavy on August 03, 2024, 10:35:25 pm
We are in.

Game vs Hawks next week is for a spot in the 8 though.

All too familiar.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 10:35:32 pm
Miss the eight then some players need to be put up for trade.

Kennedy as emergency while in good form was ridiculous
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: northernblue on August 03, 2024, 10:36:15 pm
Pendles 400, injuries etc excuses excuses excuses  and while Collinwood win premierships we make excuses.
Maybe not creative and brave enough at the selection table is my main concern...if a player doesnt deserve a game then they should not play AFL football. I am guessing many will be happy with that fightback - but thats where we are as a club honourable losses not going away in a hurry - leadership and attitude Joel Selwood/Stephen Kernahan/John Nicholls style should have won us that match from the second quarter.
Presser from Voss will be fascinating.

🤣
So, tell us of the bold strategic selections you would have made for tonight’s game ?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Shakin77 on August 03, 2024, 10:36:20 pm
Four weeks ago with the Giants on the ropes top 2 was on the cards.   Now we battle to make the eight.

Tonight we win most key indicators but still get spilt up and are easy to score against.   Played a side tonight that has a better system.   Bit of work to be done both on and off the field.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Baggers on August 03, 2024, 10:37:14 pm
Cerra out early.
Cottrell out soon after.
Acres playing hurt.
Charlie getting hurt.
Newman playing hurt.

Couldn't find the big sticks all game.

Getting flogged for 3/4s

Still had a chance to beat the premiers and should've won if not for govs terrible effort.

Cest la vie

So it's all Gov's fault!!! Give it a rest. Should never have been so far behind to begin with. Top 4 sides do not rely on one good qtr of footy to win games (when the opponent is tiring).

Time to face facts. No better feedback than your position on the ladder at this time of the year... we're 7th, and could fall lower before the w/e is over. Rose-coloured glasses - off.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: northernblue on August 03, 2024, 10:37:33 pm
Where’s LP ?
Did he upset a mod ?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 03, 2024, 10:37:39 pm
Before the game i predicted with my mates cerra would do a hammy on a cold night at the G.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 10:37:42 pm
🤣
So, tell us of the bold strategic selections you would have made for tonight’s game ?

I dont get paid $900k to lose games of football on selection table next question?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 03, 2024, 10:38:39 pm
Hawthorn smashedcollingwood. We're gone
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: northernblue on August 03, 2024, 10:39:13 pm
I dont get paid $900k to lose games of football on selection table next question?

But you’ve got the answers, right… ?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: northernblue on August 03, 2024, 10:39:50 pm
Before the game i predicted with my mates cerra would do a hammy on a cold night at the G.

You’re amazing 💞
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 10:40:32 pm
But you’ve got the answers, right… ?

I dont get paid $900k to find answers - what was put up there today did not work and not worth $900k.. next question?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 10:41:49 pm
Four weeks ago with the Giants on the ropes top 2 was on the cards.   Now we battle to make the eight.

Tonight we win most key indictors but still get spilt up and are easy to score against.   Played a side tonight that has a better system.   Bit of work to be done both on and off the field.

Yep.

Firstly, another key defender will make a big difference to covering our biggest weakness.
Off-season must focus on this area.

Secondly, we need to look to the coaches box. Vossy and Co seem to lack some match day nous and are very limited in their bag of tricks.
Not suggesting we sack vossy, just get some more/better help. I think our ability to come back from nowhere has helped cover some potential issues there.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 03, 2024, 10:43:36 pm
Heartbreakers yet again.

Thought we’d turned the corner but we haven’t and are still just happy for Cripps to do the hard yards - a La Judd before him.

How many times did the ball fall loose and there were spectators standing around watching it? So sick of  players refusing to put their body in but happy to watch their captain do it time and again.

We did not use H or Charlie well today at all - do the coaches know how to screwing change a thing if things are not going our way? Doesn’t seem like it.  

And are we all ok with these reoccurring injuries that seem to just stifle us continuously? It’s a bloody joke.

Yes yes we had cerra go early (who played crap last week) and then Cottrell (who also played crap last week).

Over it - so gutted for this season! We were number 2 and had ample opportunity for top spot and capitulated and now just have had a putrid month and there won’t be change in that direction with our new/old injuries 🙄


Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Shakin77 on August 03, 2024, 10:44:38 pm
Hawthorn smashedcollingwood. We're gone

The Pies last 6 weeks
North +1
Gold Coast - 21
Essendon -12
Geelong -20
Hawthorn -66
Richmond +26

This a bad loss.   Even before injuries we were well down and getting outplayed.  
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 03, 2024, 10:46:20 pm

You are a wanker always have been.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 10:47:04 pm
The Pies last 6 weeks
North +1
Gold Coast - 21
Essendon -12
Geelong -20
Hawthorn -66
Richmond +26

This a bad loss.   Even before injuries we were well down and getting outplayed.  

Thats right - no matter how one wants to paint it we got outplayed. Lost contested possessions I dont think we scored a goal from turn over. Charlie is with the fairies but a bad day in the office this time of year is not a bad thing providing we make the finals and I seriously doubt it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: northernblue on August 03, 2024, 10:47:32 pm
So touching mate 😘
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 03, 2024, 10:47:50 pm
Kruddler called it in the preseason. We need s second key defender.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 03, 2024, 10:48:05 pm
And once again we give the opposition a week of more media with Pendlebury winning his 400th with a kick after the siren to lose it - what a win! What a fitting tribute to the king of the AFL isn’t he a champion

Etc etc etc

Instead of foot on throat annihilation  of them!

Until we get that, we’re no real threat!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 10:49:06 pm
Kruddler called it in the preseason. We need s second key defender.

Thanks.

I think I called it a few years ago but I keep highlighting it until someone does something about it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 03, 2024, 10:50:14 pm
We won most of the key stats, had way more ball, won the stoppages even though we got smashed in the hitout stats, even had more frees . A lot of our players had great stats and on paper it looks great but its clear a lot of those stats are meaningless possessions that go nowhere apart from the stat sheet and show up as only around 7 more forward entries with a poor efficiency rate down forward but our efficiency rate around the ground was better than Collingwood probably because we play keepings off well. A lot of our best ball winners dont do enough with the ball imo and we are not getting the forward entries we should or the quality.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 03, 2024, 10:51:23 pm
We've been irrelevant for almost 30 years, the butt of every joke.  A continuous rebuild that never gets anywhere, while clubs like Hawks are down for all of two minutes.

Joke of a club, treats its fans with contempt by serving up sh1t like the last 6 weeks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 10:51:51 pm
Not trying to suggest we are not in bad form right now, just offering some perspective.

Swans are 1-5 from their past 6 games.
Their only win was against North.

People wanted to hand them the cup and move onto next year 6 weeks ago.
6 weeks from now, who knows what will change in the AFL landscape.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: shawny on August 03, 2024, 10:55:03 pm
Cerra out early.
Cottrell out soon after.
Acres playing hurt.
Charlie getting hurt.
Newman playing hurt.

Couldn't find the big sticks all game.

Getting flogged for 3/4s

Still had a chance to beat the premiers and should've won if not for govs terrible effort.

Cest la vie

Excuses excuses excuses. If you look for them you will find heaps. The bottom teams can find them after every lose yet they are still a bottom team. We find excuses as though its an easy fix to change it but that is far from the truth.

The reality is we fail every single time it really matters and hence why we are a mid table team folks.

We have several that look like A graders against all but the top tier teams and that sort of list will not take you all the way.

Midfield is too slow lack a decent second tall defender and our twin talls dont perform on the very biggest stage.

Yep you can keep looking for positives but the facts are we are only a mid tier team yet show glimpses during the year which just ends in giving us long suffering supporters fake hope.

We fail time and time again when it matters and again will have stressful weeks now to even try and make finals let alone finish top 4. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 03, 2024, 10:56:31 pm
Pretenders until we prove otherwise
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: tex on August 03, 2024, 10:57:18 pm
At the game, devastated.

Pies do the basics right. We don’t. Dunno how many times we didn’t have basic front and centres.

Mentally we’re not all there, especially against this mob.

We only came back because De Goey was injured - it was obvious to see at the ground.

Kinda glad Curnows streak is over, now he can play freely without it hanging over his head.

This year has promised so much, and yet may nearly deliver so little.

Gov probs should’ve given the kick to Martin after the siren if he’d hurt his head.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 11:01:34 pm
With Cotts and Cez out injured Voss has no choice but to be creative because whatever he has been trying tactically has not been working past two months. This is where pennies are earned - lets see how creative and good our senior coach is. He is a damn good senior coach but a great one? Time will tell...

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 03, 2024, 11:11:05 pm
With Cotts and Cez out injured Voss has no choice but to be creative because whatever he has been trying tactically has not been working past two months. This is where pennies are earned - lets see how creative and good our senior coach is. He is a damn good senior coach but a great one? Time will tell...


Tactically I think the jury is out on Voss and Im fed up with the Hewett, Kennedy merry go round as well......why was Kennedy sub?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 03, 2024, 11:23:42 pm
Tactically I think the jury is out on Voss and Im fed up with the Hewett, Kennedy merry go round as well......why was Kennedy sub?
Agree - why is this the only change they seem to make.

Maddening.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 03, 2024, 11:26:37 pm
Why don’t we Shepard ever? Such a basic skill and we rarely do it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 03, 2024, 11:27:34 pm
Agree - why is this the only change they seem to make.

Maddening.
Micky...Seems to be this idea they are similar and slow so they cant play in the same team together, however I think we perform better when they do and they are part of our one wood midfield team that helps us over power other midfields.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: tex on August 03, 2024, 11:31:17 pm
Another comment - Cripps was superhuman in the last. Can literally see him grow another foot.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 11:31:35 pm
The composition isnt working.
Need to shift some things to make it work.
Maybe swap Charlie and Harry and Harry plays deeper in forward line..
Maybe just stick with hewett, kennedy and cripps in the middle with walsh and acres coming in with from the wings.
Motlop and Elijah are developing nicely ---- Motlop and Elijah sat on bench last 10 minutes while trying to win the game... they are forwards... I mean, what?
I don't know but this isnt working and have enough talent and cattle to make it work
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pertz on August 03, 2024, 11:34:36 pm
Pendles 400, injuries etc excuses excuses excuses  and while Collinwood win premierships we make excuses.
Maybe not creative and brave enough at the selection table is my main concern...if a player doesnt deserve a game then they should not play AFL football. I am guessing many will be happy with that fightback - but thats where we are as a club honourable losses not going away in a hurry - leadership and attitude Joel Selwood/Stephen Kernahan/John Nicholls style should have won us that match from the second quarter.
Presser from Voss will be fascinating.
Well said Pinot. We lack leadership and a hard edge  15 minutes of good football when the game is almost shot is not good enough.
The Hawks will tear us a new one next week with their pace and toughness.
Sayonara 2024..
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LoveNavy on August 03, 2024, 11:37:18 pm
The Pies last 6 weeks
North +1
Gold Coast - 21
Essendon -12
Geelong -20
Hawthorn -66
Richmond +26

This a bad loss.   Even before injuries we were well down and getting outplayed.  

Couldn't agree more.

As I said since WB game. We were on the board until we landed on the snakes head. Then down we slide. It's just a matter of how far.

Anyone can see we're a push over. Can't sustain the tough stuff and the injury management is an absolute disgrace. To add salt to the wound, our 2s are having a diabolical year. Our draftees are injured or stagnant. Don't get me started about leadership. Can't see us digging out of the shi%

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pertz on August 03, 2024, 11:37:25 pm
Why don’t we Shepard ever? Such a basic skill and we rarely do it.
Totally agree. We turn 2 on one's into an equal contest time and again because we don't shephard
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: rocky on August 03, 2024, 11:40:03 pm
We are really struggling at the moment. Not sure why, but I'm ever hopeful that our form will turn around just in time for the finals. If we make it!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Mantis on August 03, 2024, 11:43:48 pm

Sad comment yet true at this point in time. When you lose 4 of your last 5 and only beat the team sitting near last, it is safe to say something is wrong and close to season over. We will lose to the Hawks next by the way we are playing. You cannot pencil that game in as a win. Top 4 finish and a double chance is looking unlikely.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 03, 2024, 11:54:53 pm
You're not going to win too many games when motlop, Harry and Charlie miss very gettable set shots.

Going mcgovern late, is a soft target.  There were plenty of opportunities to win it, but rather than blame our boys, the softest free kick to mason Cox in history was the difference on the day. 

Not sure Newman had much of him and he fell backwards under his own weight. 

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 12:19:49 am
You're not going to win too many games when motlop, Harry and Charlie miss very gettable set shots.

Going mcgovern late, is a soft target.  There were plenty of opportunities to win it, but rather than blame our boys, the softest free kick to mason Cox in history was the difference on the day. 

Not sure Newman had much of him and he fell backwards under his own weight.

I've been in Newmans position before and given away a free kick for the same thing.

The bloke who got a free kick for it against me was actually an old school mate.
We talked about it afterwards.

He essentially falls backwards into me, deliberately, and instinct makes you try and catch them. They keep pushing back into you and your instinct is to hold them otherwise they will fall into you and your legs, potentially causing injury.

Its smart play if you get a free kick out of it.

Next time someone tries that, you simply side step them and let them fall and they look like a goose.
It should only work once.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: laj on August 04, 2024, 01:23:18 am
We started rushing players back who had missed a chunk of the season  and we lost our run. Some were ok to bring back but Cerra and Cottrell were 2 too many.  There's a difference in the side that smashed Geelong and now. Even Walsh missed his pre season and a chunk of the season. Was great for a while but now it's caught up. Went conservative at selection with half fit tried and true rather than playing fit players. Could well cost a season
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 04, 2024, 07:25:27 am
Wonder if Casa Curnow is available mid week ?

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 07:52:45 am
We started rushing players back who had missed a chunk of the season  and we lost our run. Some were ok to bring back but Cerra and Cottrell were 2 too many.  There's a difference in the side that smashed Geelong and now. Even Walsh missed his pre season and a chunk of the season. Was great for a while but now it's caught up. Went conservative at selection with half fit tried and true rather than playing fit players. Could well cost a season

Ironically that was Walsh's best game in a while. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 08:18:46 am
We've run out of fit troops.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Lods on August 04, 2024, 08:41:57 am
It's a bit gloom and doom  in here at the moment.
That's OK we all take different things from games.

A loss like that hurts.
It's against one of the two clubs we especially hate to lose against.
The funny thing is that the results of games between Carlton and Collingwood are never predictable, no matter what the ladder position.
And in this wacky season it's particularly so.
The form of clubs varies from month to month.
If you did a ladder just over the last six weeks it would be on its head compared to the ladder six weeks prior.
No game is guaranteed.
And picking a Premier this far out, or even the finals make up, is nothing more than a guess, because the ladder and form will likely turn on its head again.

Collingwood were a basket case a couple of weeks ago.
If they're still a basket case, then that reflects poorly on us.
But they are essentially still a premiership team, so what if they have clicked.
We were beaten by a couple of goals last week by a side who demolished the ladder leader last night.
Good luck trying to work any form line through some of the results.

Some folks are more disappointed than others.
There's an old saying that "the level of disappointment reflects the level of expectations."
It's very true about football.

So last night we were very poor in many aspects.
Players down, players injured, inaccuracy, lack of pressure.
Some of our better players had their poorest games for the year.
I'd hazard a guess that Curnow's 'rolled' ankle may be an ongoing stability issue that he's been carrying for some weeks.
Not much to get excited about.

Do we take solace in the last quarter effort?
If we condemn the bad, we can't overlook the good.
Turnarounds from bad form often manifest themselves in a good last quarter effort that follows into subsequent games.
It reminds players of the level of pressure and belief that are required.
Whether we take that lesson into the next few games will very much determine our fate.

As Voss said last night...it is now "urgent" and if we're good enough then "urgent" is a challenge we will rise to meet.





Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: stevie-poo on August 04, 2024, 08:52:01 am
Piss weak.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 08:57:10 am
It's a bit gloom and doom  in here at the moment.
That's OK we all take different things from games.

A loss like that hurts.
It's against one of the two clubs we especially hate to lose against.
The funny thing is that the results of games between Carlton and Collingwood are never predictable, no matter what the ladder position.
And in this wacky season it's particularly so.
The form of clubs varies from month to month.
If you did a ladder just over the last six weeks it would be on its head compared to the ladder six weeks prior.
No game is guaranteed.
And picking a Premier this far out, or even the finals make up, is nothing more than a guess, because the ladder and form will likely turn on its head again.

Collingwood were a basket case a couple of weeks ago.
If they're still a basket case, then that reflects poorly on us.
But they are essentially still a premiership team, so what if they have clicked.
We were beaten by a couple of goals last week by a side who demolished the ladder leader last night.
Good luck trying to work any form line through some of the results.

Some folks are more disappointed than others.
There's an old saying that "the level of disappointment reflects the level of expectations."
It's very true about football.

So last night we were very poor in many aspects.
Players down, players injured, inaccuracy, lack of pressure.
Some of our better players had their poorest games for the year.
I'd hazard a guess that Curnow's 'rolled' ankle may be an ongoing stability issue that he's been carrying for some weeks.
Not much to get excited about.

Do we take solace in the last quarter effort?
If we condemn the bad, we can't overlook the good.
Turnarounds from bad form often manifest themselves in a good last quarter effort that follows into subsequent games.
It reminds players of the level of pressure and belief that are required.
Whether we take that lesson into the next few games will very much determine our fate.

As Voss said last night...it is now "urgent" and if we're good enough then "urgent" is a challenge we will rise to meet.







My major take away is that we kicked ourselves out of the game.  The problem I have with it is not for the first time and it wasn't about anything other than execution in front of goals.  I recall 4 maybe 5 very gettable set shots where the form fluctuation remains the same but the result is different.

We won't lose again all season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 09:24:04 am
Lods,

Almost thirty years of mediocrity.  Almost every club has won a flag in that period, except us.  And we've been so bad we made West Coast look good.

And we loose every single important game - milestones, rivalry games... Any game that actually matters for something.

So many of us long-termers have had enough of the slogans,  lies and bulldust.  Respect for Pendles blah blah blah....how about respecting US the fans by turning up and having a fair dinkum go, not the bulldust we've seen this year....flog Geelong and then win one quarter in six weeks?  Really!?!  How about WINNING something?

It was the coaches that always wore the blame, maybe its the players, but this club has serious issues from top to bottom.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 09:31:39 am
My major take away is that we kicked ourselves out of the game.  The problem I have with it is not for the first time and it wasn't about anything other than execution in front of goals.  I recall 4 maybe 5 very gettable set shots where the form fluctuation remains the same but the result is different.

We won't lose again all season.

The killer for me was Motlop.

"14-1 from set shots in VFL and AFL combined"
*missed from 15m out directly in front*

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 09:33:32 am
Another player who has the knack of being on the ground all day and being invisible.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Blue Moon on August 04, 2024, 09:35:13 am
I can't watch it, I can't listen to it and I can't follow it on the internet. I know when push comes to shove, Carlton will lose. We lose because we don't want to win. We have a Club culture of heroic failure. It doesn't matter who the players are, who the coaches are, who the CEO or President is, it doesn't matter who is on the Committee or who is running the Football Department, Carlton will lose and when they are certain of losing they will have a go and get close and when they just fail they will talk about would'ves, could'ves and should'ves. Two seasons ago we just miss out on the finals because of a couple of heart break losses, then last season we are so out of it and then turn it around and make the Preliminary Final, this year we get to the point where we are facing our destiny and we turn it up. They love the supporters loving them but they don't love us back.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 04, 2024, 09:35:57 am
From the second half that I did see, I thought Kemp played very well.  Acres got a lot of it, crippa, George, Walsh were good.

One thing I noticed as well as the lack of shepherding for each other was also the not make space for each other, not running hard for each other - the amount of times out kick in took an eternity was because no one was making a lead.

The aggression and will in the last quarter needs to be maintained thru an entire game, not just when we’re trying to stay in it.  Of course McG isn’t to blame but Fck me what a horrible kick.

I saw a Collingwood supporting friend yday before the game who said we’ll smash them - I said we are more likely to lose than smash them. Of course they also weren’t going to let their 400 gamer down (Altho McG almost stopped that party!)

The loss of TDK has been a killer and agree players are getting rushed back from injuries and we’ve said it before but seriously does any other club have the continuing injury horrors like we do!? 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 04, 2024, 09:38:50 am
Another player who has the knack of being on the ground all day and being invisible.
I listened to the 2’d quarter on the radio and they talked of Collingwood players getting into Jesse and getting very physical - I didn’t hear of any Carlton player coming in to help - that was on the radio so maybe not 100% accurate but maybe he was rattled after it?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 09:40:19 am
I listened to the 2’d quarter on the radio and they talked of Collingwood players getting into Jesse and getting very physical - I didn’t hear of any Carlton player coming in to help - that was on the radio so maybe not 100% accurate but maybe he was rattled after it?
him and mcreery were getting into each other.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 09:40:35 am
Bingo....it's dawned on me too....TdK is our most important player.

Waited 8 years for him to show up, finally plays dominant series of games then some chopper takes him out.

This is what irks me - we're too nice and get bullied for it. During that game someone should have buried a knee into that chopper and sent a message, f with us and you'll get it back.  But no, we just quietly take it and take...the path set for us by the AFL after the salary scandal.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: cookie2 on August 04, 2024, 09:58:38 am
We showed plenty of fight in the last primarily inspired by Crippa but it was a fight to get out of a scrape we should not have put ourselves in. Anyway, brutal assessment, this is not our year. We need to reassess, fix the gaps in our list and get super strong for 2025. The window is closing and new younger teams are emerging!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 10:11:15 am
We showed plenty of fight in the last primarily inspired by Crippa but it was a fight to get out of a scrape we should not have put ourselves in. Anyway, brutal assessment, this is not our year. We need to reassess, fix the gaps in our list and get super strong for 2025. The window is closing and new younger teams are emerging!
It wasn't our year last year until it nearly was.

We had a worse form slump last year, but for a supporter base that is steeped in history and loves to relive it, we seem to forget what happened a mere 12 months ago.

Don't lose hope yet.

It can turn quickly.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 10:14:35 am
I listened to the 2’d quarter on the radio and they talked of Collingwood players getting into Jesse and getting very physical - I didn’t hear of any Carlton player coming in to help - that was on the radio so maybe not 100% accurate but maybe he was rattled after it?

Motlop gets in peoples faces plenty. Threw out a few don't argues and goes in hard at the contest.
If we could get Fantasia to do the same, he might be in the side.

Some people may have missed some of the things Motlop did, partially because the commentators (on TV at least, probably same for radio) can't tell the difference between him and Martin.
At least 3 times they called the wrong name in reference to those 2.  ::)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 04, 2024, 10:33:05 am
I'm not exactly sure where the issues lie. I'm not sure if it's the undeniable reality that all teams have up and down periods, injuries, fatigue, selection etc. I don't think it's about this or that position. It's not IMO about small forwards, or rucks, or key defenders. Too many of our players just seem in poor form.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 04, 2024, 10:33:29 am
Motlop gets in peoples faces plenty. Through out a few don't argues and goes in hard at the contest.
If we could get Fantasia to do the same, he might be in the side.

Some people may have missed some of the things Motlop did, partially because the commentators (on TV at least, probably same for radio) can't tell the difference between him and Martin.
At least 3 times they called the wrong name in reference to those 2.  ::)
This is pretty atrocious.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Lods on August 04, 2024, 10:35:15 am
Lods,

Almost thirty years of mediocrity.  Almost every club has won a flag in that period, except us.  And we've been so bad we made West Coast look good.

And we loose every single important game - milestones, rivalry games... Any game that actually matters for something.

So many of us long-termers have had enough of the slogans,  lies and bulldust.  Respect for Pendles blah blah blah....how about respecting US the fans by turning up and having a fair dinkum go, not the bulldust we've seen this year....flog Geelong and then win one quarter in six weeks?  Really!?!  How about WINNING something?

It was the coaches that always wore the blame, maybe its the players, but this club has serious issues from top to bottom.

Yes Prof
I've shared your pain over the last 30 years.
The problem we face is that, like it or not....this is the group!
If they don't succeed we're back to another period of rebuilding the side because there are few developing in the VFL that have a chance of reaching the heights of the Cripps, McKay, Curnow and Weitering.

We'd need a new spine.
So this is it.
It's a window of about 4-5 years.

The talent on the list is good enough.
The consistency of playing together is all over the shop.
And we lack one vital missing piece in the form of a tall (talented) defender to help out Weitering and those surrounding him. Players like Kemp and McGovern would be freed up of responsibillities in certain areas and be more effective.
We're not getting that extra tall this year....and developing our own will take a big chunk out of our window time.
We need to look elsewhere, at other clubs.

Folks are upset and angry this morning because of how we lost and who we lost against.
If McGovern had kicked that goal there may still have been criticism of certain players but the vibe in here would be vastly different and the criticism much reduced.

But Kruddler is right, in terms of this year, it can turn quickly.
We took that downturn soon enough.
With a bit of luck, the upturn can be just as significant.
Consider that 4-5 weeks ago we were sitting second on the ladder a game and a half clear of third.
Was there the same negativity then.
It's transient, hopeully this slump is the same.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 04, 2024, 10:36:05 am
I listened to the 2’d quarter on the radio and they talked of Collingwood players getting into Jesse and getting very physical - I didn’t hear of any Carlton player coming in to help - that was on the radio so maybe not 100% accurate but maybe he was rattled after it?

We're a nice team, unfortunately nice teams don't win many premierships.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on August 04, 2024, 11:03:03 am
Pies do the basics right. We don’t. Dunno how many times we didn’t have basic front and centres.

Basically this. Two pieces of play stood out for me. In the 3rd q after 2 consecutive goals , Walshy streaming forward out of the centre again, kicks the ball to the WRONG (boundary) side of can’t-remember-who. C’wood player marks and the momentum was lost. I think they got a goal from the rebound. Ball needed to be a couple of metres to the right.

Much has been said about his disposal into the F50 so I guess this was another stat in that  dept.

Second example - same quarter, after struggling to clear out of the backline, pass is to Cincotta who elects to go for the chest mark rather than extend the arms. Ball is spoiled and, again, they get a goal from the turnover.

Seemingly minor incidents in isolation but, as Tex said, in such close games, it’s often the basics.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 11:06:49 am
That's my fear Lods, we've put the best part of ten years into developing a core of Cripps Walsh Chuck Harry Weeters and TdK, now we look like pissing it away before looking at rebuild number #587.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on August 04, 2024, 11:10:12 am
We're a nice team, unfortunately nice teams don't win many premierships.

Can’t believe how we put up with McCreery bullying us.

And that free to Cox and the beautiful rugby throw through for a rushed behind. Ugh.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 04, 2024, 11:27:05 am
I don't really have an opinion on whether we are nice, too nice, or not nice enough, or how this compares to other current teams, but if true, then Voss is the best man for the job. With his level of ferocity, competitiveness, and white line fever, if he can't rectify this, nobody can.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on August 04, 2024, 11:27:46 am
I'm not exactly sure where the issues lie. I'm not sure if it's the undeniable reality that all teams have up and down periods, injuries, fatigue, selection etc. I don't think it's about this or that position. It's not IMO about small forwards, or rucks, or key defenders. Too many of our players just seem in poor form.

Yeah, we can speculate all we like but none of us ‘outsiders’ can possibly know where the issue lies or even if there is an issue (other than not good enough).

It’s perplexing as hell though. We were/are so close.

I’m wondering if Voss falls into that category of being such a champion player that he just expects others to execute perfectly every time, rather than getting them to focus on one specific task or skill set which benefits the team while sacrificing their personal gain.

McCrae wasn’t exactly a superstar but his players lock into a system and ‘connected’ more seamlessly than we did for most of the night.

For instance, why didn’t anyone stick like glue to Bobby Hill all night? The guy won a premiership off his own bat last year yet was paid little respect for most of the game.

Bringing Cox in was a no brainer given the absence of TDK. Cameron took 6 marks and Pittonet zero. Although, to be fair, I thought Pittonet’s last quarter was enormous and was instrumental in our comeback.

Another positive was Crippa probably picked up votes again.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 04, 2024, 11:36:20 am
Yeah, we can speculate all we like but none of us ‘outsiders’ can possibly know where the issue lies or even if there is an issue (other than not good enough).

It’s perplexing as hell though. We were/are so close.

I’m wondering if Voss falls into that category of being such a champion player that he just expects others to execute perfectly every time, rather than getting them to focus on one specific task or skill set which benefits the team while sacrificing their personal gain.

McCrae wasn’t exactly a superstar but his players lock into a system and ‘connected’ more seamlessly than we did for most of the night.

For instance, why didn’t anyone stick like glue to Bobby Hill all night? The guy won a premiership off his own bat last year yet was paid little respect for most of the game.

Bringing Cox in was a no brainer given the absence of TDK. Cameron took 6 marks and Pittonet zero. Although, to be fair, I thought Pittonet’s last quarter was enormous and was instrumental in our comeback.

Another positive was Crippa probably picked up votes again.

I think the fluctuations in form and W/L are inevitable. I'm not sure it's related to structure or effort. We've both won and lost games with Weitering as the sole KPD, with 1 or 2 rucks, with essentially the same collection of small forwards. There's something outside of those things IMO, but I've got no idea what it is. Voss seemed somewhat pleased with the game last  night, as least in comparison to the last few. I just hope we win the last couple of games. Time really is running out.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: laj on August 04, 2024, 11:59:36 am
The same pattern for 5 weeks, playing one random brilliant qtr, This week it was the last.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Baggers on August 04, 2024, 12:00:35 pm
With a calmer, cooler head I just watched the game again.

1. At seasons beginning we declared that we want to be more consistent in games and week to week. To this stage, we've not delivered on this. And at this end of the season there are too many worrying signs similar to 2022.

2. To last night's game. Not enough reward for effort early not only cost us confidence and scoreboard pressure, but it kept the Dagpies in the game.

3. Rottingwood were smarter at crucial moments in the second and third quarter. They parked themselves in front of H and Charles in packs realising our boys will tap it down to their feet. So they had many spoilers in the packs and plenty at the feet of the packs.

4. To individualize. Ollie was good but needs to pin arms in tackles, too often grabs opponents around the waist leaving their arms free. Too many of our blokes try to take chest marks (Charles!) rather than stick the claws out... Cinc was also guilty of this, and others. Jordan Boyd, too many panicky kick and hopes.

5. Game plan. When we focus on defence, we seem to put too much pressure on ourselves and paradoxically invite the opposition into the game by slowing the game too much - this seems too one-dimensional ...resulting in fumbles and safe decisions. However, when we take the game on (attacking game plan) we look so much more dangerous and create all manner of unexpected opportunities - confusing the opposition and giving our talent more opportunities to show their wares. Time to trust our attacking/speed on the aggott/game more?

6. We never dropped our bundle... though when being too defensive we fail/limit (to) give ourselves the opportunity to keep the scoreboard ticking over (scoreboard pressure). Contrary to what I may have indicated earlier, we are not soft above the shoulders and perhaps growing our mental toughness further would be to show more trust in ourselves and team mates?

7. Noteworthy individual endeavours and efforts: Weiters, Gov, Kempy, Saady, Blacres, Elijah (recruit of the year), Crippa, Hewey, Walsh, Newey (that free kick against Newey to Cox was garbage), Chugga & Jack Martin.

8. Future. Hopefully we learn some very important things from that game: efficiency in front of goal, don't get mired in a defensive mindset, when we take the game on we see our best. Huge understatement to say we're at a critical point in our season. But we are still masters of our destiny.

I remain optimistic. We have the goods, but will we deliver.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 04, 2024, 12:06:17 pm
There are two things I wanted to see in this game - defending stoppages better and locking the ball in forward 50 because it was a lost cause last week and leaked too many goals and not tackling inside forward 50 enough. Did better here - leaders stepping up late in the last was too late... they had to identify it earlier and it had to be in the 2nd qtr. Chasing the game 32 pts down in the last was too much.. got close but a game that we should not have lost.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 12:11:15 pm
Not sure if its been mentioned or not, but i wouldn't be surprised if McGovern misses next week with concussion.

He copped a knee/shin to the back of the head, you can see the collingwood bloke holding his leg in pain.
He took a long time to take his shot and spent a lot of time rubbing and shaking his head.
Obviously, his kick was terrible.

Reminded me of when Robbie Warnock did similarly against Geelong many years ago after getting punched in the head. IIRC he missed everything too, or at least barely got a point. He was talked about as being soft on the night. Ended up spending the night in hospital.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 04, 2024, 12:14:31 pm
If we took him off for concussion (like we got in trouble for not doing) and let Harry take it could you imagine the outcry?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: cookie2 on August 04, 2024, 12:20:07 pm
Baggers, I especially like point 5 in your analysis. Very noticeable to me but you said it better.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 12:21:05 pm
If we took him off for concussion (like we got in trouble for not doing) and let Harry take it could you imagine the outcry?

There was ample time for the AFL to look at the footage and call out to the field umpire to sort it out.
They will be in as much trouble as us for not acting.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 04, 2024, 02:17:07 pm
We mess around with the ball too much and have a bad case of the early Trent Cotchins, had way more useless possessions that went nowhere and the Pies plan is just to rebound the footy quickly when we turn it over with us having no numbers behind the ball and getting caught out. They do it every game we play them and they never seem to control the play as much as us but know we will over use the ball and cough it up for easy goals.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LoveNavy on August 04, 2024, 04:01:36 pm
The same pattern for 5 weeks, playing one random brilliant qtr, This week it was the last.

Thus, the slippery slide from 2nd as contenders, to 8th as pretenders. A whisker from a Fail.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 04, 2024, 04:04:51 pm
Couldnt watch this one as we were in the road. Thought we lose and we did. Cant have two Coalman medalists in your side kicking 1 goal between them. We dont deserve to play finals the way we are travelling. Cant beat an egg, if we lose the remaining games there will be hell to pay.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LoveNavy on August 04, 2024, 04:31:05 pm
We had 8 points on the board q1. Nuff said.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 05:34:41 pm
We had 8 points on the board q1. Nuff said.
3.11 at half time
8.4 after half time
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 05:59:07 pm
I mentioned in game that our forward entries were poor and we were not kicking well to our forwards.

Looking a little bit deeper at that.
Overall, we won inside 50's - 58 - 51
Overall, we had more scoring shots (inc rushed) - 26 - 24

I broke down inside 50's per quarter.
I broke down scores per quarter
I broke down scoring shots per inside per quarter.

Carlton
Q# - G.B. - I50's - scoring / inside 50.
Q1 - 1.8 - 16 - 44%
Q2 - 2.3 -  9 - 56%
Q3 - 3.3 -  9 - 67%
Q4 - 5.1 - 24 - 25%
Tot -11.15 - 58 - 45%

Collingwood
Q# - G.B. - I50's - scoring / inside 50.
Q1 - 2.2 - 11 - 36%
Q2 - 4.4 - 15 - 53%
Q3 - 5.3 - 17 - 47%
Q4 - 1.3 -  8 - 50%
Tot -12.12 - 51 - 47%

What is shows is that we were actually very good at hitting the scoreboard for most of the game based on the amount of inside 50's we were getting.
Very efficient for 3/4's.
Also very inaccurate too.
However, despite dominating the last quarter with the most inside 50's and the most goals (for us) during that time. We REALLY struggled to convert it on the scoreboard.
To be on a par with the other 3/4's, (and collingwood) we should've had an extra 6 scoring shots in the last based on those inside 50's. Probably 5 more considering the last one didn't count (thanks gov).
If we did get the average conversion from inside 50's, thats the game, even if we missed them all!

Of course, this 4th quarter struggle to hit the scoreboard happened to coincide with Charlie being off the ground for 10 minutes.

Of course, we were also very inaccurate in front of goal early and could've put it beyond doubt well before the last quarter, but thats just another layer of the same slice of cake.

That is....
Our forwardline is not functioning correctly and we need to be smarter with our entries
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 06:27:26 pm
I mentioned in game that our forward entries were poor and we were not kicking well to our forwards.

Looking a little bit deeper at that.
Overall, we won inside 50's - 58 - 51
Overall, we had more scoring shots (inc rushed) - 26 - 24

I broke down inside 50's per quarter.
I broke down scores per quarter
I broke down scoring shots per inside per quarter.

Carlton
Q# - G.B. - I50's - scoring / inside 50.
Q1 - 1.8 - 16 - 44%
Q2 - 2.3 -  9 - 56%
Q3 - 3.3 -  9 - 67%
Q4 - 5.1 - 24 - 25%
Tot -11.15 - 58 - 45%

Collingwood
Q# - G.B. - I50's - scoring / inside 50.
Q1 - 2.2 - 11 - 36%
Q2 - 4.4 - 15 - 53%
Q3 - 5.3 - 17 - 47%
Q4 - 1.3 -  8 - 50%
Tot -12.12 - 51 - 47%

What is shows is that we were actually very good at hitting the scoreboard for most of the game based on the amount of inside 50's we were getting.
Very efficient for 3/4's.
Also very inaccurate too.
However, despite dominating the last quarter with the most inside 50's and the most goals (for us) during that time. We REALLY struggled to convert it on the scoreboard.
To be on a par with the other 3/4's, (and collingwood) we should've had an extra 6 scoring shots in the last based on those inside 50's. Probably 5 more considering the last one didn't count (thanks gov).
If we did get the average conversion from inside 50's, thats the game, even if we missed them all!

Of course, this 4th quarter struggle to hit the scoreboard happened to coincide with Charlie being off the ground for 10 minutes.

Of course, we were also very inaccurate in front of goal early and could've put it beyond doubt well before the last quarter, but thats just another layer of the same slice of cake.

That is....
Our forwardline is not functioning correctly and we need to be smarter with our entries
here ends the statistical lesson.

By my count we scored better and more efficiently from shots taken in the final quarter. 

Earlier we were wasteful when you said we were efficient.  Particularly for proper set shots inside 50.

Stats lie.  My eyes don't. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 06:34:16 pm
here ends the statistical lesson.

By my count we scored better and more efficiently from shots taken in the final quarter. 

Earlier we were wasteful when you said we were efficient.  Particularly for proper set shots inside 50.

Stats lie.  My eyes don't.
....and opinions are not wrong?

Some peoples opinions have changed from last night on a rewatch of the game. I suggest you do the same.

I already said that we were inaccurate in front of goal.

There is a difference between being accurate and being efficient.

Last quarter we were accurate.
1st quarter we were not.

Last quarter we were not efficient.
1st quarter we were.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 06:47:44 pm
....and opinions are not wrong?

Some peoples opinions have changed from last night on a rewatch of the game. I suggest you do the same.

I already said that we were inaccurate in front of goal.

There is a difference between being accurate and being efficient.

Last quarter we were accurate.
1st quarter we were not.

Last quarter we were not efficient.
1st quarter we were.

No this is a classic case of using stats to show efficiency from inside 50 entries.  That is conversion to scoring correct?

Yet, I'm talking about something different (but more important).  Taking your actual chances when you create them and get a mark in front or even on a slight angle, and im not talking about stuff like cripps 55 metre effort from the boundary, or Charlie trying to kick it from 60 at the mcc members stand.  I'm talking about Jessie 30 out directly in front.  Harry on a slight angle 45 metres out, hollands, 40 metres out, owies not making the distance from 45 directly in front. 

We needed the repeat entries to create the scoring opportunities and were forcing it in to keep it in and score.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 07:05:55 pm
No this is a classic case of using stats to show efficiency from inside 50 entries.  That is conversion to scoring correct?

Yet, I'm talking about something different (but more important).  Taking your actual chances when you create them and get a mark in front or even on a slight angle, and im not talking about stuff like cripps 55 metre effort from the boundary, or Charlie trying to kick it from 60 at the mcc members stand.  I'm talking about Jessie 30 out directly in front.  Harry on a slight angle 45 metres out, hollands, 40 metres out, owies not making the distance from 45 directly in front. 

We needed the repeat entries to create the scoring opportunities and were forcing it in to keep it in and score.

So your issues with my stats, are not with my stats, they are that you think there are other issues. Which i've never said there weren't.

What i'm showing you stats wise, is simply data. Its up to you/us to interpret it and ask why and what does it mean.

Part of the problem of not turning shots into scores can be as simple as putting it in the wrong spots or giving it to the wrong people......or simply kicking it directly to the opposition.

There is no point getting an inside 50 if its to a bloke on the boundary, 45m out who won't make the distance.
There is no point getting an inside 50 if its to a 3 on 1 and the opposition clear it straight after.
There is no point getting an inside 50 if its directly to the opposition.

If you want to make the most of your opportunities, then get better opportunities.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Macca37 on August 04, 2024, 07:27:52 pm
Without Zac Williams flair, unpredictability and goal kicking ability our forward line is showing itself to be mediocre at best and will continue to be that way until he returns.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: 31Tommys_barber on August 04, 2024, 07:54:31 pm
The cream has risen and we have curdled ☹️
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: blueboys_1 on August 04, 2024, 07:58:48 pm
I've been in Newmans position before and given away a free kick for the same thing.

The bloke who got a free kick for it against me was actually an old school mate.
We talked about it afterwards.

He essentially falls backwards into me, deliberately, and instinct makes you try and catch them. They keep pushing back into you and your instinct is to hold them otherwise they will fall into you and your legs, potentially causing injury.

Its smart play if you get a free kick out of it.

Next time someone tries that, you simply side step them and let them fall and they look like a goose.
It should only work once.

Will this work if your opponent is 211cm and has 30 cm on you?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: blueboys_1 on August 04, 2024, 08:18:41 pm
Not sure if its been mentioned or not, but i wouldn't be surprised if McGovern misses next week with concussion.

He copped a knee/shin to the back of the head, you can see the collingwood bloke holding his leg in pain.
He took a long time to take his shot and spent a lot of time rubbing and shaking his head.
Obviously, his kick was terrible.

Reminded me of when Robbie Warnock did similarly against Geelong many years ago after getting punched in the head. IIRC he missed everything too, or at least barely got a point. He was talked about as being soft on the night. Ended up spending the night in hospital.

That's what I thought as well. Could of played dazed and given the kick to someone else. Maybe he wanted to be the hero and kick the winning goal as he did for Adelaide a few years ago. Not sure who the kick could of gone to but it may of been a lot closer to scoring than the howler that it was.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 08:23:23 pm
That's what I thought as well. Could of played dazed and given the kick to someone else. Maybe he wanted to be the hero and kick the winning goal as he did for Adelaide a few years ago. Not sure who the kick could of gone to but it may of been a lot closer to scoring than the howler that it was.

Honestly, Gov is probably the best option to take the kick.
Not sure if you've ever watched him in warm ups but he casually launches 70m torpedos without breaking a sweat.
He kicked 60m drop punts for fun.

He never looked confident and never looked 'there' to me.
I can't recall who else was around, but someone else said Harry, and for some reason i think Martin may have been there as well.

I guess we'll know more during the week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 04, 2024, 08:34:21 pm
Watched the McGovern kick after the siren, FMD could not have kicked it any worse if he tried.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 04, 2024, 08:34:47 pm
My mate reckons it was Martin. He could have kicked it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 04, 2024, 08:35:14 pm
Watched the McGovern kick after the siren, FMD could not have kicked it any worse if he tried.

Kernahan 93 lol.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 08:46:47 pm
So your issues with my stats, are not with my stats, they are that you think there are other issues. Which i've never said there weren't.

What i'm showing you stats wise, is simply data. Its up to you/us to interpret it and ask why and what does it mean.

Part of the problem of not turning shots into scores can be as simple as putting it in the wrong spots or giving it to the wrong people......or simply kicking it directly to the opposition.

There is no point getting an inside 50 if its to a bloke on the boundary, 45m out who won't make the distance.
There is no point getting an inside 50 if its to a 3 on 1 and the opposition clear it straight after.
There is no point getting an inside 50 if its directly to the opposition.

If you want to make the most of your opportunities, then get better opportunities.
your stats are fine their value is bogus.

Those repeat efforts build pressure to create the opportunities you do score from.

Being better at it is one facet, but the value of converting good opportunities outweighs whatever your stats were trying to convey.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 04, 2024, 08:48:44 pm
Watched the McGovern kick after the siren, FMD could not have kicked it any worse if he tried.
Should never be in a position where you need that last kick scenario so Im not dirty on McGovern...the Cox free kick was more of an issue for me and why Newman was opposed to him and having the wrong type of player on Cox influenced that outcome where the umpires assumed rather than were sure of the facts.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 08:51:02 pm
your stats are fine their value is bogus.

Those repeat efforts build pressure to create the opportunities you do score from.

Being better at it is one facet, but the value of converting good opportunities outweighs whatever your stats were trying to convey.

So....repeat entries create pressure and help us score....sure.....even though we scored more when we didn't need repeat entries.

Not sure what you think you are trying to say, but i'd back the stats over whatever you are trying to spin.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 09:20:08 pm
So....repeat entries create pressure and help us score....sure.....even though we scored more when we didn't need repeat entries.

Not sure what you think you are trying to say, but i'd back the stats over whatever you are trying to spin.
who's spinning?

We kicked 5 goals 1 in quarter 4.

We kicked 1 goal 8 in quarter one.

But we were more efficient in the first because our 9 scoring shots came without the domination?  Is that what you're saying?  Don't know how valuable that is, but I can distinctly recall looking at 3.11 at half time and stating we should be 6 goals 8.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 09:25:21 pm
who's spinning?

We kicked 5 goals 1 in quarter 4.

We kicked 1 goal 8 in quarter one.

But we were more efficient in the first because our 9 scoring shots came without the domination?  Is that what you're saying?  Don't know how valuable that is, but I can distinctly recall looking at 3.11 at half time and stating we should be 6 goals 8.

We had the ball inside 50 an extra 8 times in the 4th quarter and hit the scoreboard 3 times less than the 1st.
We were more accurate with our shots on goal as we converted them. But we were not efficient with our inside 50 entries.
Had we have been more efficient, we should've generated an extra 6 shots than we did that quarter. Even if we were inaccurate with those shots, we still win.

We need to work out why our inside 50's didn't result in more shots on goals. Not simply be happy that we kicked straighter as that papers over the cracks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 05, 2024, 06:43:21 am
Scoring is not the problem.

We are the highest scoring team in the league.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 05, 2024, 06:52:30 am
Scoring is not the problem.

We are the highest scoring team in the league.

Yes, it's like a Teague / Ratten profile. 1st in points for, 14th in points against (i.e 5th worst in the league). That's stark. Not sure where the leak is occuring, or if there's multiple leaks in different parts of the ground.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 05, 2024, 07:11:08 am
Yes, it's like a Teague / Ratten profile. 1st in points for, 14th in points against (i.e 5th worst in the league). That's stark. Not sure where the leak is occuring, or if there's multiple leaks in different parts of the ground.


We are worst in the league at conceding goals from defensive 50 stoppages.
Think we are 2nd worst from conceding goals from clearances.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 05, 2024, 07:28:31 am
We had the ball inside 50 an extra 8 times in the 4th quarter and hit the scoreboard 3 times less than the 1st.
We were more accurate with our shots on goal as we converted them. But we were not efficient with our inside 50 entries.
Had we have been more efficient, we should've generated an extra 6 shots than we did that quarter. Even if we were inaccurate with those shots, we still win.

We need to work out why our inside 50's didn't result in more shots on goals. Not simply be happy that we kicked straighter as that papers over the cracks.
It's called an opposition defence that was committed to preventing us scoring and had already setup a winning position.

The variance in start and finish was more about what Collingwood weren't doing (attacking through the corridor at speed) and keeping their numbers behind the ball. 

That left less space to explot which resulted in us having to try force stoppages which Collingwood were happy with as it takes time off the clock and allows you to clog space.

The game is very simple. Earlier on, we failed to score as effectively because we weren't changing our angles with our forward entries and that caused us grief but we were able to generate score because Collingwood were giving us room to attack whilst they attacked themselves.

Collingwood are a tactically more well drilled side than us.  That is an MC failing. Remember when Bolton was sacked, teague simplified the game plan?

All I've seen us do is revert to a game plan tailored around good players, rather than a system based game plan.  Our systems don't stand up, and fall down.  All anyone says is we are missing key cattle personnel.   That's because the system doesn't stand up without the stars.  Most teams struggle without their a team as they're better at executing the system.  We struggle without our a team because our system is still being built. 

Partly because we don't have a 400 game, dual premiership brownlow medalist leading the way.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 08:04:10 am
Charlie in D50, or Harry in the Ruck and D50, is a win for the opposition not a win for us.

It's pointless fans complaining that we had 1 goal between them, when they are in range of goals.

We took a clear A-Grade strength, and turned it into a B-Grade weakness.

All those "terrific 1st Qtr I50s", barely crossed the 50m line, it's a lie of statistics, our entries were shallow and wide and largely ineffective.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: blueboys_1 on August 05, 2024, 08:29:26 am

oh yeah. Was there and can still see the kick.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Lods on August 05, 2024, 08:56:51 am
Our defenders aren't mostly 'defensive' defenders.
They're 'attacking' defenders.
That's their strength.
One of our best defensive players is following the best opposition midfielder around most of the time (and doing a good job of it).

But attacking defence comes with risks, as the players back themselves.
Any mistake can be costly.
It's out of kilter but it's probably the best we can do given our list.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Blue Moon on August 05, 2024, 09:05:38 am
That must be the worst post siren shot on goal by a Carlton player since Kernahan missed against Essendon at the MCG in 1993. He was 45 metres out on a slight angle and the ball finished 30 metres from the centre of the goal.
Watching the game I believe that is our best forward line. Martin, Motlop and E.Hollands provide class, Owies and Fogarty the blue collar grunt and the twin towers in Curnow and McKay give us direction.
I think the backline is the preferred option of the Club at the moment, with Young as an option to replace Kemp though he was okay against Collingwood. So Weitering, McGovern, Saad, Boyd, Newman, Cincotta Kemp, though maybe Young is how I would go.
I also think losing Cerra and to a lesser extent Cottrell will be good for the midfield. It hasn't functioned since they brought these guys in without going through the Reserves. Hewitt had got so on top of Daicos that Pendlebury didn't want Daicos anywhere near the stoppages. I think Cerra has disrupted the midfield balance, even though he is a classy player, the Walsh Cripps Batman and Routine hasn't functioned since Cerra came back. At least in the last quarter Walsh was getting near the ball though his disposal was still poor. This may be related to his back issues. Obviously with TDK out, the midfield is Pittonett, Cripps,  Walsh,  Kennedy, Hewitt, Acres and O.Hollands and either Carroll or Binns. I would go with Binns because he is a wingman and Voss likes playing with three wings. I would like to point out that while Pittonett was killed for three quarters his last quarter was one of the reasons we got back into the game.
If Williams is fit I would make him the Sub.
Except for Mihocek being out, that was probably Collingwood's best side and they were certainly up and about. Even though we were one player down in the second half, it wasn't until we didn't think we could win that we relaxed and just started playing football and the game turned around. We still dropped marks, fumbled the ball, missed our targets, missed shots on goal, and made poor decisions with the ball in hand, but we were all over them and we should have won in the end.
Five weeks ago we were second and thinking flags, now we are eigth and we are wondering whether we will make the eight. As I have said our problems are our mindset and the team's culture. Things that are both easy and hard to fix.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: cookie2 on August 05, 2024, 09:15:23 am
Our game plan seems to be one of trying to win games in one qtr and of holding the fort for the other three. We’re not good enough to successfully execute that plan at the moment.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Milhanna13 on August 05, 2024, 10:51:25 am
Bad kicking is bad football.   We outplayed them in the first Q, but had nothing to show for it.  Outplayed them in the last Q, and capitalsied on it.   They outplayed us in Q2 and 3 and hit the scoreboard

It is still a big worry how easily we get openned up, when the oppo slingshot against us.  Just waltze thru the middle, with 3 or 4 players running, against 1 of ours.  Esp (as someone earlier said), when its someone dynamic like Degoey.  None of our mids have that explosion like him.    Although the Hawks lost, they did a lot of this v GWS, and we need to somehow stop it, or we could get scored against heavily.   commentators kept menitoning pies scoring 3 or 4 goals from kick ins.  this should NOT happen. they made us work so hard to get it out from a kick in, and we let them run it thru the corridor

We dont look dangerous entering f50 - even when we have a break, and a numbers advantage.  we just dont score easily, its always tough work.

other teams have worked out that centre clearances are our strenght, and they are stopping it (sometimes borderline illegally with cameron just grabbing pitto at each bounce, and crippa and walsh being faceguarded),  but it is working.  even allowing the pies to walk away with easy possessions, when the clearance didnt go our way

still like to lay some blame on umpiring (cox with 4 touches, 2 being bsht frees and one being that "mark"....   charlie didnt play well, but wasnt helped by being blocked and held off the ball, every time a chance to fly occurred.....)  and some lucky (for them) and unlucky (for us) bounces...........
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 05, 2024, 11:11:49 am
Speaking if tactics, keep your eye on the bench.  I've seen the blue smilie face go up at our bench, and all that seems to lead to is static play, long kicking down the line to a contest and somehow conceding goals.  I'm sure that's not the idea behind it, but it always seems to be shown in quarters 2 and 3, and correlates with our worst footy.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: 31Tommys_barber on August 05, 2024, 12:19:27 pm
Maybe it’s time for Charlie to become Kouta like and not a stay at home full forward.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 05, 2024, 12:32:36 pm
Bad kicking is bad football.   We outplayed them in the first Q, but had nothing to show for it.  Outplayed them in the last Q, and capitalsied on it.   They outplayed us in Q2 and 3 and hit the scoreboard

It is still a big worry how easily we get openned up, when the oppo slingshot against us.  Just waltze thru the middle, with 3 or 4 players running, against 1 of ours.  Esp (as someone earlier said), when its someone dynamic like Degoey.  None of our mids have that explosion like him.    Although the Hawks lost, they did a lot of this v GWS, and we need to somehow stop it, or we could get scored against heavily.   commentators kept menitoning pies scoring 3 or 4 goals from kick ins.  this should NOT happen. they made us work so hard to get it out from a kick in, and we let them run it thru the corridor

We dont look dangerous entering f50 - even when we have a break, and a numbers advantage.  we just dont score easily, its always tough work.

other teams have worked out that centre clearances are our strenght, and they are stopping it (sometimes borderline illegally with cameron just grabbing pitto at each bounce, and crippa and walsh being faceguarded),  but it is working.  even allowing the pies to walk away with easy possessions, when the clearance didnt go our way

still like to lay some blame on umpiring (cox with 4 touches, 2 being bsht frees and one being that "mark"....   charlie didnt play well, but wasnt helped by being blocked and held off the ball, every time a chance to fly occurred.....)  and some lucky (for them) and unlucky (for us) bounces...........
Opposition are quicker so usually on the slingshot rebound we have little hope of catching them and are relying on a poor entry or Weitering performing a miracle and having to beat 2-3 players.
We mess around with the ball with our forward entries and over possess too much wasting time because we dont have the runners and get caught on the turnover, its rare for us to lose the stoppage stats and to have less possessions than our opponents but we dont get the rewards with poor kicking for goal or one handpass or kick too many in the chain and then turn it over.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pinot on August 05, 2024, 12:40:24 pm
Maybe it’s time for Charlie to become Kouta like and not a stay at home full forward.

+1.

Been saying that - swap Harry, Charlie and Martin around,

Harry goes deeper...Martin closer to goal and Charlie in Martin's high half forward role.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 05, 2024, 01:11:21 pm
+1.

Been saying that - swap Harry, Charlie and Martin around,

Harry goes deeper...Martin closer to goal and Charlie in Martin's high half forward role.
Charlie has been leading goalkicker twice, other teams will love seeing him away from goal.....a few losses doesnt mean we have to change the spine of the team and mess with what has been working.
Charlie has got a bit casual/careless and needs to get back to doing better with second efforts and traditional FF craft, if we need him wandering down back to take a mark then there is something wrong imo. Our defense will never be as good as other teams without a decent CHB and a few more defenders who actually defend so we need to kick more goals which means Charlie and Harry leading the way.
Martin is a cameo player, against certain teams moving him to FF might be a good shock move but having him as a regular target at FF will only lead to more injuries having to play on bigger stronger units and more bodies to contend with. I prefer him sneaking around the periphery and being the player who gets out the back or leads up when our main forwards are covered and is that third unassuming target teams forget about.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 01:47:54 pm
We've tinkered too much with what we had that was good and broken it, without fixing what was fundamentally wrong.

You don't weaken one area of your game to make another area strong, trying to do that is a losing strategy, it has been since Sun Tzu was a boy. The winning strategy is to either look at what your opponents strengths are and make them weaker, or make your own weakness stronger, but never by weakening yourself in the process.

We've been weakening our strengths to try and patch various weaknesses, it's a dead end stat driven nightmare.

We have a monster F50, quite possibly the best in the AFL, a monster A-Grade loaded Midfield, and two genuine A-Grade ruck options, and we've burnt all 3 areas of our strengths trying to patch a defensive and ball use weakness.

We win(or at least were winning) plenty of stoppage footy in our D50, in fact we win plenty of stoppage footy across the whole field, but we turn it over with largely un-forced disposal errors either by execution or decisions.

Leave the F50 strong, leave the Mids strong, leave the Ruck strong, stop the basic errors and we win.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Baggers on August 05, 2024, 01:49:37 pm
We must stop putting the aggott on Charlie's head... nine times out of ten the fifty defenders have plenty of time to come at him and spoil.

Charlie looks most threatening when he moves about, a lot; when he has the chance to run onto the aggott... not standing still waiting for spoiling fists to arrive. And that's what I believe is all he has to do... move about a lot more and prevent the opposition from getting multiple bodies in to spoil him... also gives him the chance to use his sublime skills to impact the forward line in multiple areas linking up with others, which potentially helps to bring smaller forwards into the game as well. Not rocket science.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 01:55:54 pm
Some people will give Saad votes, but he had a Barry Crocker, I wouldn't guess but I suspect a significant percentage of Saad's own possessions were fixing his feck ups. He'll get credit for that and he'll get votes, but it burns opportunities, by the time he's fixed things the opposition are set and we can't score.

In recent weeks he has defended well, but his ball use has become Boweresque, the fans need to lay off the Whoosh as it's gone to his head.

Players 5m away from the nearest opponent(or anybody) dropping chest marks, sure they clean it up but the wasted seconds are terminal.

Blokes in unhindered clear space tripping over the footy, nobody in the vicinity, pick the fecking thing up before anything else!

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 02:54:22 pm
Charlie in D50, or Harry in the Ruck and D50, is a win for the opposition not a win for us.

It's pointless fans complaining that we had 1 goal between them, when they are in range of goals.

We took a clear A-Grade strength, and turned it into a B-Grade weakness.

All those "terrific 1st Qtr I50s", barely crossed the 50m line, it's a lie of statistics, our entries were shallow and wide and largely ineffective.

Don't let the facts get in the way of a good story.
Charlie got 100% of his possessions in our forward half.
Harry got 77% of his in the the forward half as well.

As for the 1st quarter inside 50's....shallow, wide or otherwise, we managed to turn them into scores. So not sure what your beef is with statistics. Your argument works against you.....but as Tom Jones will tell you "Thats not unusual..."
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 02:59:28 pm
Don't let the facts get in the way of a good story.
Charlie got 100% of his possessions in our forward half.
Harry got 77% of his in the the forward half as well.
Forward half at the MCG can be +80m from goal at the spine, +100m if you are out at the boundary.

@Thryleon has already explained to you, as have I on many occasions, why there is nothing wrong with the numbers. It's how they are interpreted and the meaning being applied to them by various people that can be completely bogus! ;)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Lods on August 05, 2024, 03:07:14 pm
Curnow is one of our longest and most accurate kicks.
He doesn't need to be within 30-40 metres of the goal...especially if it's being lobbed on his head.
Our small forwards don't take a lot of advantage of balls spilled in front of goals.


Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 03:16:06 pm
Curnow is one of our longest and most accurate kicks.
Accuracy and outcomes won't improve with distance and angle.

If either Charlie or Harry are "Home Alone" while the other roams D50 or rucks they are against 2 or 3 permanent defenders, it's pointless fans complaining they aren't kicking bags of goals because the root cause is obvious.

Expecting them to maintain high levels of accuracy out beyond 50m and in many cases from the boundary is ridiculous.

If you want them to mark the high ball closer to goal you have to generate one on one contests, you don't get that by leaving them alone against 2 or 3. 

If you want them to mark on the lead inside F50 you have to create space, you do that by having a 2nd genuine marking option drawing defenders and creating space, not by having the other genuine marking options watching on from 80m away!

If you went to Steven May and Jake Lever before a game against us, and said we will make sure that one of Charlie or Harry are 80m away every time the ball heads into our zone, they'd say, "Thank-you very much kind Sir for all your assistance!"

We have two genuine Coleman Medallists, and we are basically ruling a line through one or the other pretty much every other F50 entry, it's sheer stupidity.

We are doing this to ourselves!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 03:20:50 pm
Forward half at the MCG can be +80m from goal at the spine, +100m if you are out at the boundary.

@Thryleon has already explained to you, as have I on many occasions, why there is nothing wrong with the numbers. It's how they are interpreted and the meaning being applied to them by various people that can be completely bogus! ;)
Yeah, i've seen your explanations. I wouldn't be reminding everyone of them, i'm happy to repost them and all their inaccuracies if you wish. Not surprisngly you 'ostriched it' as usual.

As for where they got the ball, look at the AFL app, its there for all to see. Given you regularly want your key forwards leading up to the wing to provide a target coming out of defense, the fact its 100% and 77% inside forward half is remarkable. I'd expect that to be a lot less on a given day, especially since Harry was rucking as well.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 05, 2024, 03:26:23 pm
Coaches' votes :

9 Patrick Cripps (CARL)
6 Scott Pendlebury (COLL)
5 Nick Daicos (COLL)
3 George Hewett (CARL)
3 Darcy Cameron (COLL)
2 Jeremy Howe (COLL)
1 Darcy Moore (COLL)
1 Jacob Weitering (CARL)

In a way, I'm super happy for Cripps. He deserves all the awards and success he gets. In another way, I really wish we had others taking votes off him. We had a great patch where we had contributions across the board. We now seem to have gone back to "No Cripps, Walsh, Weitering etc, no Carlton."
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 03:28:14 pm
Don't let the facts get in the way of a good story.
Charlie got 100% of his possessions in our forward half.
Harry got 77% of his in the the forward half as well.
the fact its 100% and 77% inside F50 is remarkable. I'd expect that to be a lot less on a given day, especially since Harry was rucking as well.
Thanks for that.

Saves me going back to older posts to highlight your behaviour, you delivered this in just the space of 5 messages, and you do it all the time, making little tweaks to your "Facts" while asserting everybody else is posting crap!

I'll just keep quoting your messages for eternity and highlighting your "Facts" until people wake up to your gaslighting behaviour!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 03:30:06 pm
Thanks for that.

Saves me going back to older posts to highlight your behaviour, you delivered this in just the space of 5 messages, and you do it all the time, making little tweaks to your "Facts" while asserting everybody else is posting crap!

You've never made an error?
(You don't need to answer that, we know the answer)

If thats your big 'gotcha' moment, i feel sorry for you.

Again, don't make me bring up your 'facts' - ostrich.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: LP on August 05, 2024, 03:34:54 pm
You've never made an error?
(You don't need to answer that, we know the answer)

If thats your big 'gotcha' moment, i feel sorry for you.

Again, don't make me bring up your 'facts' - ostrich.
I forgive mistakes, I also admit them, but it's not a mistake with you as it happens too often.

You go to war over lies that you post, and then when things get tough you start making personal slurs.

I'll give you the last say, because it's the only way you shut up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: pew2 on August 05, 2024, 03:46:01 pm
once again how many years have been saying until we get rid OF THE long bomb IN OUR GAME NOTHING WILL CHANGE. AGAINST PORT KICK TO THE wings only to comeback so against ferals same scenario i blame coaching staff for not trying something new.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 03:54:36 pm
I forgive mistakes, I also admit them, but it's not a mistake with you as it happens too often.

You go to war over lies that you post, and then when things get tough you start making personal slurs.
Did i not just admit it and fixed the error. Its a typing error, (forward 50 instead of forward half, as i wrote immediately before which you highlighted. It is not a statistical one.
Your errors are mathematical ones. You even went as far to suggest i seek some assistance in working them out.
Suprirse surprise you were wrong. Did you admit it? No, you ostriched it as always.
Don't recall....
https://www.carltonsc.com/index.php?topic=6929.msg419803#msg419803
So you were saying....
I forgive mistakes, I also admit them
I see no evidence of either.

Don't bother about responding. I don't care.
Just stop making stuff up. Stop trying to play the man and nit pick innocent errors and focus on the actual points being made.
You are one step away from 'they're their there' point scoring tactics.  ::)
You never stick to the debate on hand and always go off on a tangent to 'cover your mistakes'.
For the record, i'm not the only one who notices you go missing when you are incorrect.
Others have called you out on it too.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Milhanna13 on August 05, 2024, 05:04:31 pm
Some people will give Saad votes, but he had a Barry Crocker, I wouldn't guess but I suspect a significant percentage of Saad's own possessions were fixing his feck ups. He'll get credit for that and he'll get votes, but it burns opportunities, by the time he's fixed things the opposition are set and we can't score.

In recent weeks he has defended well, but his ball use has become Boweresque, the fans need to lay off the Whoosh as it's gone to his head.

Players 5m away from the nearest opponent(or anybody) dropping chest marks, sure they clean it up but the wasted seconds are terminal.

Blokes in unhindered clear space tripping over the footy, nobody in the vicinity, pick the fecking thing up before anything else!



was thinking, during the game, that saad doesnt get off the chain like he used to.  isnt taking on defenders and isnt trying to pierce the oppo with his kicks.   on the other side, yes, he was uncharacteristically sloppy

the number of fumbles and dropped easy marks, esp in defense, really stood out.  maybe just one of those nights.  it is catching once it starts.  it both cost goals to them,  as well as putting a halt to a scoring chain for us
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 05:17:04 pm
was thinking, during the game, that saad doesnt get off the chain like he used to.  isnt taking on defenders and isnt trying to pierce the oppo with his kicks.   on the other side, yes, he was uncharacteristically sloppy

the number of fumbles and dropped easy marks, esp in defense, really stood out.  maybe just one of those nights.  it is catching once it starts.  it both cost goals to them,  as well as putting a halt to a scoring chain for us

Saad is playing injured.

Every week he stays down for longer than he should and is under duress.
Not sure the nature of it, other than 'leg', but he is far from 100% IMO.
I'm surprised he is as effective as he has been considering his legs are his weapon.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Lods on August 05, 2024, 05:24:03 pm
Saad is playing injured.

Every week he stays down for longer than he should and is under duress.
Not sure the nature of it, other than 'leg', but he is far from 100% IMO.
I'm surprised he is as effective as he has been considering his legs are his weapon.

Rolled his ankle a few weeks  back....Playing injured?...I suspect he's not Robinson Crusoe.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 05:29:02 pm
Rolled his ankle a few weeks  back....Playing injured?...I suspect he's not Robinson Crusoe.

Far from it.

I suggested a few weeks back that we rest these player rather than trying to push through.

Now here we are a few weeks later, with more injuries than we can deal with, still carrying the injured players and fighting for our lives to make the finals.
Idiocy!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: tex on August 05, 2024, 05:54:54 pm
Curnow is one of our longest and most accurate kicks.
He doesn't need to be within 30-40 metres of the goal...especially if it's being lobbed on his head.
Our small forwards don't take a lot of advantage of balls spilled in front of goals.



Saw some stats that he drops into the 30% or less when he’s more than 40m from goal
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: BlackRooster on August 05, 2024, 07:24:37 pm
Can someone / anyone answer the following:
1) we cant our forwards take pack marks?????
2) Why cant our backs stop forwards taking pack marks??
3) why do we continually kick the ball to a pack in the forward line.
4) why dont our forwards lead
5) why dont our small forwards crumb

why, why why and one more thing why


The above confusion and frustrate me so (swear word) much.

AND (take a breath) gutted watching that gane, trying to win in 10 mins of footy. Spare me.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 05, 2024, 07:27:06 pm
We have scored more than every other side in the competition.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Lods on August 05, 2024, 07:55:21 pm
Saw some stats that he drops into the 30% or less when he’s more than 40m from goal

That surprises me.
Because he's pretty good with those long range swings on goal.
His field kicking to targets when he's well out from goal is good too.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 05, 2024, 08:04:20 pm
Happy to see Cripps coaches votes - one small positive from the game.

Really hoping he gets another Brownlow this year 🤞🏼
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 08:05:39 pm
That surprises me.
Because he's pretty good with those long range swings on goal.
His field kicking to targets when he's well out from goal is good too.

For whatever reason, his pinpoint passes that travel 60m are easy. His 50m shots at goal are difficult.
If he just pictured a bloke in the stand wearing a carlton jumper behind the goal, instead of the goals, we'd be laughing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 08:08:01 pm
Can someone / anyone answer the following:
1) we cant our forwards take pack marks?????
2) Why cant our backs stop forwards taking pack marks??
3) why do we continually kick the ball to a pack in the forward line.
4) why dont our forwards lead
5) why dont our small forwards crumb

why, why why and one more thing why


The above confusion and frustrate me so (swear word) much.

AND (take a breath) gutted watching that gane, trying to win in 10 mins of footy. Spare me.

#1 is answered by #3.
#2 is because the opposition dont do #3
#4 because of #3
#5 partly because the opposition are better at it, knowing #3.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Micky0 on August 05, 2024, 08:08:10 pm
I know H and Charlie get smashed continuously when going for mark but I’ve noticed with both of them they seem to be easy to push over Or out wrestle. Neither seems like that big brute Forward.  Whilst of course there are advantages to being more agile to move easier and faster, a bit more being able to stick solid on the spot or in the least make it very difficult for someone to push you aside.
 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 08:45:16 pm
I know H and Charlie get smashed continuously when going for mark but I’ve noticed with both of them they seem to be easy to push over Or out wrestle. Neither seems like that big brute Forward.  Whilst of course there are advantages to being more agile to move easier and faster, a bit more being able to stick solid on the spot or in the least make it very difficult for someone to push you aside.

Need Harry to learn from Weitering on how to body opponents.
He is good on the lead and good jumping. Terrible at wrestling. Weitering is the king of wrestling, maybe not quite SOS like, but he'd be next in line.

Charlie is better on the wrestle, but still can be moved too easily.

Our entries I50 need to be better. Walsh and Kennedy are in the top 10 for worst kicks inside 50 in the AFL....and no other team has 2 entries in the top 10, and those 2 have plenty of inside 50's between them.

Kick to our forwards advantage more often and results will come with those 2.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: BlackRooster on August 06, 2024, 07:13:30 pm
#1 is answered by #3.
#2 is because the opposition dont do #3
#4 because of #3
#5 partly because the opposition are better at it, knowing #3.

That all makes sense :)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: kruddler on August 06, 2024, 09:42:44 pm
Coaches' votes :

9 Patrick Cripps (CARL)
6 Scott Pendlebury (COLL)
5 Nick Daicos (COLL)
3 George Hewett (CARL)
3 Darcy Cameron (COLL)
2 Jeremy Howe (COLL)
1 Darcy Moore (COLL)
1 Jacob Weitering (CARL)

In a way, I'm super happy for Cripps. He deserves all the awards and success he gets. In another way, I really wish we had others taking votes off him. We had a great patch where we had contributions across the board. We now seem to have gone back to "No Cripps, Walsh, Weitering etc, no Carlton."

Just on this, have a look at the votes and you can see who got what and it shows up a rather big anomoly.
1 - Weitering
1 -  Moore
2 - Howe
3 - Cameron
3 - Hewett
6 - (4+2) - Pendelbury
9 - (5+4) - Cripps
5 - (5+0) - Daicos

One of the coaches voted Daicos bog.
One of the coaches said Daicos wasn't even top 5.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: Thryleon on August 06, 2024, 10:05:10 pm
On the stats sheet they weren't worlds apart. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: madbluboy on August 09, 2024, 07:00:55 pm
Carlton conceded 31 points from kick-ins and defensive 50 stoppages against Collingwood. The league average is 12. Their ability to defend the stoppage game is the worst in the competition.

“As a coach, they’re fixable – kick-in goals and defensive 50 stoppages… they should be the easiest thing to tidy up,” Lyon continued.

The Blues rank 17th in the competition for points against from clearance and dead last for points against from defensive 50 stoppages.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 21 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Post by: PaulP on August 09, 2024, 07:18:47 pm
Carlton conceded 31 points from kick-ins and defensive 50 stoppages against Collingwood. The league average is 12. Their ability to defend the stoppage game is the worst in the competition.

“As a coach, they’re fixable – kick-in goals and defensive 50 stoppages… they should be the easiest thing to tidy up,” Lyon continued.

The Blues rank 17th in the competition for points against from clearance and dead last for points against from defensive 50 stoppages.

The various stakeholders in this issue must put their heads together to sort this. Midfield and forward line coaches, Voss, the mids and back 6, development coaches. I've no idea whether this is personnel or system. I'd also be curious to know if this is a recent problem - I've not heard it discussed apart from the last 2/3 weeks.

This is the article :

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/teams/carlton-blues/afl-2024-carlton-blues-v-hawthorn-hawks-preview-charlie-curnow-defensive-issues-mini-final-analysis-latest-news/news-story/3cbf209e2f9d188b8b15048077e6eb2a