Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 11:03:04 pm
Title: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 11:03:04 pm
Sunday arvo at the g comes an unlikely blockbuster with spot in the 8 up for grabs.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 03, 2024, 11:07:12 pm
Reckon it will be ugly either way......Hawks either run us ragged like they did to Collingwood or we overpower their kids and Charlie and Harry kick a bundle each. Lose to Hawthorn and its over and time for the cracked, sacked and backed list to appear...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on August 03, 2024, 11:07:42 pm
Another game we ‘should’ comfortably win yet they seem to have leap frogged us which is a mystery in itself as we should be years ahead of this mob. Ive lost all faith and see us only make up number even if we scrap in so lost a lot of interest in this year as I cant see this list being mentally or skilled enough to go all the way so ive checked out this year.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pinot on August 03, 2024, 11:11:42 pm
Best team on paper is not going to work - need to shake some things up. We are playing mediocre despite the facts - we are not scoring from turn over nor stoppages and losing contested footy.
We go conservative then at risk of finishing 10s at the end of the round
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 03, 2024, 11:41:44 pm
Reckon it will be ugly either way......Hawks either run us ragged like they did to Collingwood or we overpower their kids and Charlie and Harry kick a bundle each. Lose to Hawthorn and its over and time for the cracked, sacked and backed list to appear...
Thats if Charlie is playing.
If not, who do we choose???
Cupboard is pretty bare.
I reckon we try and go small with Kennedy/Martin as our FF.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Mantis on August 03, 2024, 11:57:44 pm
Loss by 2 goals against the Hawks on the rise. Even if they struggle against GWS and lose this week. It will drive them to win at any cost on the rebound and kills our chance of finals. If they win against GWS it will be even worse. They will be sky high with confidence and teach our squad how to play football. I have no confidence in our next contest. We peaked at the wrong time of the season. Way too early.
Title: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on August 04, 2024, 12:12:53 am
Hawthorn will have to go in as favourites, after another failure by us. It is really frustrating to see us sink to such depths. But, if we can't kick straight, how can we win? For all the rubbish football we've played in the last months or so, and we have produced some rubbish, had we kicked straight, we'd have won all but one of those, and against teams at the top of their game. But, can we execute? No. We fumble and muck around and take too long and kick it so poorly to our forwards that it is a miracle that they kick as many goals as we do. Nor do we seem to learn from our errors in the previous game. It will take a real turnaround to win this one. And I don't like the chances of that happening.
No Cerra and no Cottrell. Maybe others as well. A very poor time to be hit with crucial injuries. But we covered them early in the year.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 12:15:54 am
Too slow crash.... https://www.carltonsc.com/index.php?topic=6948.0;topicseen
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on August 04, 2024, 12:26:33 am
I tried to merge the threads and failed. Will someone else please merge these.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 04, 2024, 09:02:14 am
We are much better than this, have an extra day break and whilst the Hawks have been good freo and gws down in tassie is their only really solid wins in the last couple of months.
Beating Brisbane at marvel when they did wasn't a good win.
Brisbane hadn't started rolling yet.
I'm not so pessimistic about this match but I'm starting to think our flag chance is slipping away and I can only blame the MC for flirting with form, selecting unfit players and then causing a roll on.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: tonyo on August 04, 2024, 09:26:49 am
We are much better than this, have an extra day break and whilst the Hawks have been good freo and gws down in tassie is their only really solid wins in the last couple of months.
Beating Brisbane at marvel when they did wasn't a good win.
Brisbane hadn't started rolling yet.
I'm not so pessimistic about this match but I'm starting to think our flag chance is slipping away and I can only blame the MC for flirting with form, selecting unfit players and then causing a roll on.
MC screwed up so bad when they left Hewitt out for two weeks while playing Cottrell and Cerra who were both underdone (and are both now cooked).
And now we get to the pointy end of the year without blooding any new talent and the cupboard is looking bare.
Having said that, I don't think any team in the 8 is all that convincing at the moment. Someone could easily come from the clouds and win it. We are far from done in 2024.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 09:51:14 am
Good old MC stabbing us from within, awesome job fellas. Stick ya hand out for a rise champs
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 10:15:48 am
Meek is close to AA ruck with a very hard unit at his feet....he'll flog Pitto and Cripps will have his hands full with three blokes hanging off him. Game will be won and lost right there.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on August 04, 2024, 10:33:59 am
Maybe try Cowan across half forward as a quicker marking option to keep Jiath and Sicily occupied
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 11:22:49 am
By my count we have 11 on the injury list. (Silvagni, Docherty, TDK, Williams, Cuningham, Cerra, Cottrell, S. Durdin, C. Durdin, O'keefe, M.Carroll) There are 7 on our list who are yet to debut/not ready to debut (Lemmey, Wilson, Lord, Akuei, Moir, Mirkov, Monahan)
There is also another 4 with question marks over them (Acres, Charlie, McGovern, Marchbank) Lets assume none of them play for this exercise.
That means we have 23 players left to choose from. From those who did not play in the 1's this week we are left with additions of.... Cowan, Fantasia, J. Carroll, Young and Binns.
Doesn't leave us with a lot of chess pieces to play with if our 4 don't get up (noting Marchbank wasn't in the team, but appeared to get injured in the 2's.)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on August 04, 2024, 11:27:53 am
Meek is close to AA ruck with a very hard unit at his feet....he'll flog Pitto and Cripps will have his hands full with three blokes hanging off him. Game will be won and lost right there.
Yep pit was a non event last night. And while i hate blaming injuries losing TDK probably means year is done.
He is another midfielder and as we are so one paced in there he is faster then the opposition ruck so he tends to balance us up better. Pit is a trier decent if he gets he's hands to it in a ruck contest but after that we play one man short.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 11:35:11 am
Yep pit was a non event last night. And while i hate blaming injuries losing TDK probably means year is done.
He is another midfielder and as we are so one paced in there he is faster then the opposition ruck so he tends to balance us up better. Pit is a trier decent if he gets he's hands to it in a ruck contest but after that we play one man short.
Excuses excuses excuses.
Or doesn't that work if you are the one giving them?
Pittonet is no the reason we lost last night. TDK played against Giants and dogs and we had the same results there.
There are 22 blokes who are underperforming as one right now.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on August 04, 2024, 06:56:12 pm
Well, Hawthorn gave up a big lead at 3/4 time, so they are beatable. But will we show up?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 04, 2024, 08:17:46 pm
Another L I reckon.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 04, 2024, 08:21:33 pm
I got it wrong with the Pies game expecting us to rise to the occasion so Im not brave enough to call this one, Im just hoping the Hawks think its over for them as far as finals go and take the foot off the gas and we can take advantage even though we look like losing a few players. I wouldnt be playing half fit players this week and if Charlie in particular is borderline I would rest him and play someone like Kennedy at FF and alter the game plan to suit.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 08:24:23 pm
I got it wrong with the Pies game expecting us to rise to the occasion so Im not brave enough to call this one, Im just hoping the Hawks think its over for them as far as finals go and take the foot off the gas and we can take advantage even though we look like losing a few players. I wouldnt be playing half fit players this week and if Charlie in particular is borderline I would rest him and play someone like Kennedy at FF and alter the game plan to suit.
One thing going for us, i hope, is that there will be a huge crowd there and we are used to playing in front of huge crowds. Not sure the hawks can say the same and it may get the better of them.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 04, 2024, 08:43:48 pm
One thing going for us, i hope, is that there will be a huge crowd there and we are used to playing in front of huge crowds. Not sure the hawks can say the same and it may get the better of them.
The loss they had today might have knocked a few of their younger players about and as you say the finals type atmosphere the game will have with a big crowd might affect a few of their younger players. Mitchell has done a great job with them and rebuilds often take time so they have come a long way and its hard not to be impressed with their energy and spirit and we need to break that early and bring the last quarter form vs the Pies into the game from the first bounce and hit them hard which is how Voss played his footy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 04, 2024, 08:46:44 pm
They beat Richmond in front of 92,000.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 08:47:37 pm
One thing going for us, i hope, is that there will be a huge crowd there and we are used to playing in front of huge crowds. Not sure the hawks can say the same and it may get the better of them.
Did you see Ginnivans carry on against the Pies? The kid loves the big games and he’s got a few mates in that team that loved it too.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 04, 2024, 09:19:10 pm
Did you see Ginnivans carry on against the Pies? The kid loves the big games and he’s got a few mates in that team that loved it too.
Ginnivan is a different case. He came from that and loves the big stage, especially against his old mates.
I dunno, i've been to some big games (crowd wise) and i've been to some big games (carlton games) and we are a different breed. Might be the european blood that we seem to have a monopoly on in the AFL. Just goes up a notch on other crowds.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on August 05, 2024, 09:10:54 am
Yep pit was a non event last night. And while i hate blaming injuries losing TDK probably means year is done.
He is another midfielder and as we are so one paced in there he is faster then the opposition ruck so he tends to balance us up better. Pit is a trier decent if he gets he's hands to it in a ruck contest but after that we play one man short.
I think seeing Pitto as a non-event on Saturday is too harsh. And believing no TDK no CFC is also, IMHO, an over statement.
Pitto did his best and provided important contests. No, not dominant and his around the ground influence needs to improve - taking marks especially, but in packs his strong tall body often sees him get first hands to the aggott and does get it to ground. Yes, we miss TDKs mobility and around the ground influence, but he aint out there at present so we need to adapt. Pitto will be important against the Dawks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 05, 2024, 09:35:26 am
Too often, the narrative surrounding Carlton focuses on individuals needing to lift.
The famous five always get a run: Patrick Cripps, Sam Walsh, Charlie Curnow, Harry McKay and Jacob Weitering.
Then it’s Mitch McGovern, Adam Saad, Nic Newman, Adam Cerra, Jack Martin or Tom De Koning.
It’s fun, but it’s garbage.
The only way Carlton will return to serious contention is having players who are disciplined enough to stick to a system when the moment demands.
Because their turnover game is good enough to take them further if they do.
Amid all the drama at the MCG during Scott Pendlebury’s 400th match, it was an ongoing flaw in their system that cost the Blues again.
And we are not talking about McGovern’s wayward last kick for goal.
They failed to defend a defensive-50 stoppage when it mattered.
In the opening minutes of the final quarter, Adam Saad let Jamie Elliott loose to receive a Pendlebury handball and snap a goal from a defensive stoppage to make the margin a match-winning (albeit tight) 32 points.
The Blues went into the match having given up 10 goals more than any team from a defensive stoppage and ranked 18th for points from clearances in the previous four rounds, having given away 52 points.
It was the second time this season a defensive-50 stoppage had cost them against Collingwood. But they haven’t fixed it. And they are running out of time to do so.
They can be braver with their ball movement, too.
Fix those two issues and they have the talent – even with their injuries – to win the premiership.
Weitering and Newman do switch angles, but they often take too long to do so (unless they are trailing in the last quarter), limiting the prospect that overlap run will follow and a free target will be easier to find inside 50.
That pair are not natural risk-takers, and without McGovern taking intercept marks and with Saad’s willingness to run subdued, their forward line is more crowded than the Monash Freeway by the time the ball arrives.
That’s not helping Curnow – who is yet to fire in a final – nor McKay’s cause, particularly when they target the tall pair 60.1 per cent of the time (Curnow 33.2 and McKay 27.7) inside forward 50.
That’s because the Blues don’t have a small forward of the class of Collingwood’s Bobby Hill or Geelong’s Tyson Stengle, who kicked four goals each in the past two grand finals.
Martin has an x-factor. Although V/Line is more reliable than the talented Martin, given his injury history, the Blues need to think carefully before disposing him at the end of this contract.
Zac Williams is injured too, as is De Koning, who was missed against Collingwood when Darcy Cameron dominated Marc Pittonet. Adam Cerra has another hamstring injury. Matt Owies, Lachie Fogarty and Jesse Motlop try hard but don’t create chaos.
Cripps and Walsh can’t do any more to lead a midfield stacked with players who don’t often hit leading forwards on the chest and lack genuine leg speed. So, adherence to the defensive system and the bravery to implement their offensive system is more important than ever for the Blues because the difference between them winning and losing is so marginal.
The combined losing margin of 43 points in the four losses they have endured in their past five games tell us that.
They are closer to success than McGovern’s kick. But the final step is akin to the Hillary Step on Mount Everest. It will take courage and discipline to make it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: laj on August 05, 2024, 12:34:16 pm
Ok, win this week we win the rest and finish top 4, even higher given sides above us play each other. Of course we have to win this week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 05, 2024, 03:03:40 pm
Too often, the narrative surrounding Carlton focuses on individuals needing to lift.
The famous five always get a run: Patrick Cripps, Sam Walsh, Charlie Curnow, Harry McKay and Jacob Weitering.
Then it’s Mitch McGovern, Adam Saad, Nic Newman, Adam Cerra, Jack Martin or Tom De Koning.
It’s fun, but it’s garbage.
The only way Carlton will return to serious contention is having players who are disciplined enough to stick to a system when the moment demands.
Because their turnover game is good enough to take them further if they do.
Amid all the drama at the MCG during Scott Pendlebury’s 400th match, it was an ongoing flaw in their system that cost the Blues again.
And we are not talking about McGovern’s wayward last kick for goal.
They failed to defend a defensive-50 stoppage when it mattered.
In the opening minutes of the final quarter, Adam Saad let Jamie Elliott loose to receive a Pendlebury handball and snap a goal from a defensive stoppage to make the margin a match-winning (albeit tight) 32 points.
The Blues went into the match having given up 10 goals more than any team from a defensive stoppage and ranked 18th for points from clearances in the previous four rounds, having given away 52 points.
It was the second time this season a defensive-50 stoppage had cost them against Collingwood. But they haven’t fixed it. And they are running out of time to do so.
Aaron Hamill? We want answers.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 03:36:26 pm
Early odds show us and hawks at 1.90 each.
Not sure what we have to do to be the underdogs, but appears non-carlton people have more faith in carlton than actual carlton supporters.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pew2 on August 05, 2024, 03:56:48 pm
for us to win this game we need to hit up our forwards and fwds need to apply pressure TACKLE this is were the game is won. If we go the usual blind long F......k.n bomb they will just spoil and counter attack with quick ball movement open hawks forward line easy goals. Do u think our coaches learned after dogs/port games how to prevent this from happening?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: tonyo on August 05, 2024, 04:48:17 pm
Any word on Charlie's ankle?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 05, 2024, 04:50:22 pm
for us to win this game we need to hit up our forwards and fwds need to apply pressure TACKLE this is were the game is won. If we go the usual blind long F......k.n bomb they will just spoil and counter attack with quick ball movement open hawks forward line easy goals. Do u think our coaches learned after dogs/port games how to prevent this from happening?
I think they will be too daring and quick for us. They are still a sniff to play finals and teams at the minute seem to relish playing, and heaping misery on, us. Season well and truly on the line, lets see what happens but I have zero confidence in our mob at the minute. We seem to fail at every challenge.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: BluePhantom on August 06, 2024, 07:13:16 am
Another coach we have who has never tasted success. Should only choose coaches who know what it is like to win a flag.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on August 06, 2024, 08:41:35 am
Well, this Sunday is our first final.
Will we gel and find form like we did mid last year? Or will we fade away like we did at the end of 2022? Didn't it take a strong honesty session, players only, that brought about a dramatic shift in mindset and cohesion last year?
Concerned that Vossy declared minimal changes, wanting to consolidate a team for the remainder of the year. But what if that side has only delivered 1 win in many weeks? And doesn't that tell the players that their place in the side is safe? If you keep doing what you've always done, why wouldn't you get what you've always gotten?
Although it was only a minute or so of the Rottingwood post match address, this little black duck wasn't impressed with what he heard. Far from it. Seemed all sunshine and rainbows; seemed to be an effort to buoy and motivate a deflated group. As I mentioned it was only a soundbite... but it was very unconvincing, though very nice.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: cookie2 on August 06, 2024, 02:32:40 pm
Another come from behind loss?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Micky0 on August 06, 2024, 05:57:43 pm
Cottrell Fractured shoulder, season finished.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 06, 2024, 06:24:45 pm
How Acres isn't even listed on the injury list amzes me. Tough as nails that bloke. Looked more gone than Cottrell did.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on August 06, 2024, 08:12:09 pm
Game will be won/lost in the midfield and having a back up ruckman in Pit going against Meek is a major advantage for them. Pit got thrashed against Cameron last week and i think Meek will prove to be even harder. Their mid's bat deep and run hard and those sorts of mixes really trouble our midfield group. Not having Cottrell further compounds the issue of lack of outside run. On top of this their small dangerous forwards will trouble us as most smalls do.
Unless it buckets down on Sunday we are going to be up against it and likely finals hopes over come Sunday night.
HTF does it look like this bottom 4 team at the start of 2024 overtaken us.
Unbelievable!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pinot on August 06, 2024, 08:40:56 pm
So likely Cotts and Cez out - Zac and Bot in.
Kennedy goes sub then I give up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on August 06, 2024, 08:46:29 pm
Fair enough. I'd be considering Cowan, who was emergency last weekend. Carroll did OK, but his opponent was BOG.
Agree i prefer to keep getting games into Cowan. I see a long future for this kid.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Blue Moon on August 07, 2024, 05:05:56 pm
I would think that Williams and Kennedy will go into the starting 22, with Carroll the likely sub.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on August 07, 2024, 08:43:20 pm
Nic Newman's 100th game as a Blue. Hopefully we can rise to the occasion. We don't have a good record in milestone matches in recent years. Back in the day, we NEVER lost a milestone game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 07, 2024, 08:46:50 pm
Nic Newman's 100th game as a Blue. Hopefully we can rise to the occasion. We don't have a good record in milestone matches in recent years. Back in the day, we NEVER lost a milestone game.
There is going to be 50 Carlton legends forming a guard of honour before the match. Time for us to stand up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 07, 2024, 09:32:36 pm
Another game we ‘should’ comfortably win yet they seem to have leap frogged us which is a mystery in itself as we should be years ahead of this mob.
not sure they have gone past us. they are playing well, but they are also playing breakneck, surge forward at all costs, attack-attack-attack footy. not sure its a recipe for long term success
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: WASurfer on August 08, 2024, 03:38:11 pm
Given their small forwards, I can see Cowan coming into the side as a lock down defender on one of them. Saad, Newman and Boyd tend to be more rebounding/running defenders.....Cowan might get the gig on Ginnivan.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on August 08, 2024, 03:51:00 pm
I read an article a few weeks ago where Ginnivan stated he has a certain license to roam, and that Mitchell does not play a rigid system like McRae. Ginnivan IMO is emerging as a legitimate footballer, after being essentially a circus sideshow act at the Pies. I think Cowan would be in for a tough day if he had that match up.
Given they have small forwards Moore, Ginnivan and Bruest I reckon Boyd might start, Kennedy for me as sub unless Williams doesnt play.
Yeah, i get that, but i think we need Kennedy as a 'tall' option. Boyd hasn't done anything wrong, but Cowan comes straight into the side, and we also have Cincotta there as well, so the MC is telling us something IMO.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Blue Moon on August 08, 2024, 06:53:02 pm
The players we have selected this week are all we have left. Eight players who I consider should be part of the selection discussion are out through injury and only a couple are likely to be back this season. I believe we have a very good list and the fact we are able to put a half decent team on the park is testament to this. We should win this week but we should have won over the past five weeks. Need to turn up and play four quarters.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 08, 2024, 06:53:54 pm
Yeah, i get that, but i think we need Kennedy as a 'tall' option. Boyd hasn't done anything wrong, but Cowan comes straight into the side, and we also have Cincotta there as well, so the MC is telling us something IMO.
Im not a fan of Kennedy as sub and want him in the 22 every week but the coaching staff dont seem to agree and thats the reason I think he might get the job again especially given the Hawks are very quick.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 08, 2024, 06:54:56 pm
Im not a fan of Kennedy as sub and want him in the 22 every week but the coaching staff dont seem to agree and thats the reason I think he might get the job again especially give the Hawks are very quick.
I agree with you. Thats why i've got him in the side. If they don't pick him, i don't want him as the sub.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on August 08, 2024, 07:03:11 pm
Perhaps the thinking with Kennedy as sub is that he is the best utility player we have available ? Perhaps the club also wants him in the starting 22, but with our current situation, compromises need to be made.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 08, 2024, 07:06:54 pm
They didn't like playing Kennedy, Hewett and Cerra at the same time. No longer a problem.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 08, 2024, 07:09:53 pm
Perhaps the thinking with Kennedy as sub is that he is the best utility player we have available ? Perhaps the club also wants him in the starting 22, but with our current situation, compromises need to be made.
The problem i have is that he is too slow. So if we are getting done for speed, and he is the sub, he doesn't really help us. If he is in the 22 and its partly as a tall, then its ok. If we want to get more speed, we can sub him out. If we want to sub out a tall, then he can cover there somewhat, and we get that increase in speed.
No team has ever had too much speed. Plenty of sides have never had enough.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 08, 2024, 07:12:06 pm
For mine Williams is a better sub.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pertz on August 08, 2024, 08:02:50 pm
Agree. I like Kennedy but need a pacy sub, especially against the Hawks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 08, 2024, 10:00:38 pm
Think we have to play to our strengths not try and defend their's so much, we are relying on our bigger stronger mids and KP Forwards to win the day rather than trying to keep up or outpace the Hawks which is futile imho. They ran Collingwood ragged and the Pies are quicker than we are so I wouldnt be going away from our usual gamestyle and we need to be physical early and show them who is boss.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: DJC on August 08, 2024, 10:14:07 pm
Think we have to play to our strengths not try and defend their's so much, we are relying on our bigger stronger mids and KP Forwards to win the day rather than trying to keep up or outpace the Hawks which is futile imho. They ran Collingwood ragged and the Pies are quicker than we are so I wouldnt be going away from our usual gamestyle and we need to be physical early and show them who is boss.
I think that’s the key EB. Trying to counter their strengths won’t get the job done. Exploiting their weaknesses will.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: BluePhantom on August 09, 2024, 07:13:45 am
Carlton are going through the repechage to get to the finals. :(
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 09, 2024, 07:48:46 am
They have similar issues to us. They concede a lot when it gets inside their 50. They are good at stopping the ball getting inside their 50 though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Shakin77 on August 09, 2024, 12:08:16 pm
Perhaps the thinking with Kennedy as sub is that he is the best utility player we have available ? Perhaps the club also wants him in the starting 22, but with our current situation, compromises need to be made.
The thinking with Kennedy or Hewett as the sub is that our midfield is too slow and part of us having the worst defense in the comp is our midfield doesn't spread, work hard enough and get back to help out the defensive 6 who cop most of the blame. Acres and O.Hollands work hard as defensive wingers. Macrae, Daniels and Sanders and best 22 on ability, but they don't fit the defensive systems so Bramble, Poulter and Baker play. It's the reason why Jarrod Lyons, Will Brodie don't get a game also. You can't carry too many inside mids in the current game
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Adelaideblue on August 09, 2024, 12:39:41 pm
If we manage to survive well into the finals race, injuries to key players is always likely. Therefore during the season we need to keep blooding/trying out at AFL level those players who are performing to a "reasonable" level in VFL games. (IM humble O) eg. a fortnight ago we could have played Harry Lemmy at CHF instead of backman/ruckman Young in that position. Yes big Harry L. hasn't been knocking the door down with his performances, but appears to at least have some of the skill set. Who knows how he will go at AFL until we give him a try. Imagine how we would go in a final if we had both Charlie and Harry M. out injured? A bit late then perhaps to give a replacement their first game.
On the same theme, this week could be time to give young Binns his first full game. As others have pointed out, selections lately by CFC seem to go to the more experienced "name" players, often rushed back in, who are soon re-injured.
cheers Ab
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pertz on August 09, 2024, 01:07:28 pm
I think that’s the key EB. Trying to counter their strengths won’t get the job done. Exploiting their weaknesses will.
Agree with this, however we need a plan B if things aren't working and need to move a few magnets around. Eg EH or Motlop to the midfield. CC needs to get on his bike and move around more. Quick and aggressive ball movement, eyes lowered going forward. Pressure high all game is a given.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 09, 2024, 02:17:46 pm
If we manage to survive well into the finals race, injuries to keep players is always likely. Therefore during the season we need to keep blooding/trying out at AFL level those players who are performing to a "reasonable" level in VFL games. (IM humble O) eg. a fortnight ago we could have played Harry Lemmy at CHF instead of backman/ruckman Young in that position. Yes big Harry L. hasn't been knocking the door down with his performances, but appears to at least have some of the skill set. Who knows how he will go at AFL until we give him a try. Imagine how we would go in a final if we had both Charlie and Harry M. out injured? A bit late to then perhaps to give a replacement their first game.
On the same theme, this week could be time to give young Binns his first full game. As others have pointed out, selections lately by CFC seem to go to the more experienced "name" players, often rushed back in, who are soon re-injured.
cheers Ab
I would have played Lemmey earlier and tried to do a Sam DeKoning and get him up to speed quickly and see what he has to offer. This going back to Young, dropping Kemp and vice a versa is getting us nowhere and its time to change that cycle, having a 200cm player who can potentially play both ends is a game changer and the kid himself is just meandering around in the twos playing cameo's and we need an intervention in our defensive end and we saw what happened when Geelong played S Dekoning and persisted with him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on August 09, 2024, 02:23:29 pm
I would have played Lemmey earlier and tried to do a Sam DeKoning and get him up to speed quickly and see what he has to offer. This going back to Young, dropping Kemp and vice a versa is getting us nowhere and its time to change that cycle, having a 200cm player who can potentially play both ends is a game changer and the kid himself is just meandering around in the twos playing cameo's and we need an intervention in our defensive end and we saw what happened when Geelong played S Dekoning and persisted with him.
Worth a shot, but time is running out for experimentation.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 09, 2024, 02:36:02 pm
Worth a shot, but time is running out for experimentation.
Tend to agree its too late and I dont see our MC being as experimental as their Geelong counterparts, Lemmey has been patchy but in the time I saw him down back in the VFL he showed something and we need to be a bit more open to having a gamble with kids. Binns is probably in the same boat....
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pinot on August 09, 2024, 04:16:53 pm
Maybe two years for youngsters like Lemmey and Binns - and Moir and Billy Wilson and Okeefe though this one is a four year+ prospect is part of the clubs development program
TDK started getting more games in 2022 after five years in the system. Expect too much from these youngsters especially the tall blokes. Lemmey needs a taste soon though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on August 09, 2024, 04:42:58 pm
Rumours getting stronger Curnow won't play
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 09, 2024, 04:56:21 pm
Shouldn't have played last week. Probably the week before ....and the week before that??
We persist with playing people into the ground. Why we are playing Acres i don't understand. Bloke is tough as nails, but surely a week off will do him the world of good. Watch him this week and he will cop a big hit to his shoulder at some stage and stay down for longer than is normal.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 09, 2024, 08:09:13 pm
Shouldn't have played last week. Probably the week before ....and the week before that??
We persist with playing people into the ground. Why we are playing Acres i don't understand. Bloke is tough as nails, but surely a week off will do him the world of good. Watch him this week and he will cop a big hit to his shoulder at some stage and stay down for longer than is normal.
Agreed. We would be in much better shape if all of those guys with niggles were coming back in now fully recovered.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 09, 2024, 08:13:20 pm
Not named as an emergency so it has to be Young if Charlie can’t play.
If that does happen, I’d prefer to see Young in defence and McGovern as a forward.
Hawks run with Chol as a KP Forward but vary their lineups and often run with 5 smaller types and use Bruest as a FF. Id be inclined to play Kennedy at FF if Curnow is out and leave McGovern down back with Kemp and Weitering, I reckon Young might have trouble finding a suitable opponent down back unless Gunston, Dear and Chol all play at once but that isnt very often the times I have seen the Hawks play as Gunston and Dear swap in the same position.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 10, 2024, 06:05:37 am
It is possible, but I hope not. Our defence does a lot better with McGovern out there.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: BluePhantom on August 10, 2024, 08:05:08 pm
Curnow needs to play more team orientated now that he has lost the streak and behind on the Coleman. He is NO Kouta but with a bit of effort and actually have a series of 2nd efforts he could do Kouta's shoelaces up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 11, 2024, 10:44:15 am
Curnow needs to play more team orientated now that he has lost the streak and behind on the Coleman. He is NO Kouta but with a bit of effort and actually have a series of 2nd efforts he could do Kouta's shoelaces up.
Curnow needs to just play.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on August 11, 2024, 11:19:39 am
I just cant get over how this bottom 4 team is fav to beat us when we are playing for a finals spot in a year we all hoped we could have a chance in winning it.
A loss today (which is what I'm expecting to be honest) is so disappointing for all the long suffering blue fans. We have been so bad for so long and i would love us to make a statement today to prove they are not in our class but i cant see it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on August 11, 2024, 11:59:03 am
Curnow is out on the ground doing warm ups. He is playing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: WASurfer on August 11, 2024, 12:10:04 pm
Good news on Charlie then.....needs a big game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on August 11, 2024, 12:27:25 pm
Jiath a late out and Cincotta our sub
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on August 11, 2024, 12:31:17 pm
Thought Cincotta would be a good match up for Newcombe who is under-rated IMO.
Got Boyd and cowan on to play on the small forwards.
Probably a good chance to see if we can allow Cincotta to play a bit freer if we need him too.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 11, 2024, 01:03:11 pm
Dunno, dont like on the pomp and ceremony before all our games (ie fancy jumpers, past players guard of honour). We tend to fark these games up (still burnt by the last game at PP). Hope we buck that trend.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 11, 2024, 01:04:14 pm
Cj out is a great help to us. His run off half back is massive.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LoveNavy on August 11, 2024, 01:05:22 pm
No matter who plays where on whom, we need 18 players getting it done for 4q
Go Blues (😬)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 11, 2024, 02:05:33 pm
Boyd is done, fogarty ironically taken out by Martin who himself has a hamstring. This is just absolutely demoralising
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 11, 2024, 02:06:47 pm
The blue face is out. That means we do stuff all for 2 quarters.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 11, 2024, 02:13:48 pm
Weitering. Stop trying to do it all yourself and start holding the backline in position.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on August 11, 2024, 02:16:47 pm
I just cant get over how this bottom 4 team is fav to beat us when we are playing for a finals spot in a year we all hoped we could have a chance in winning it.
A loss today (which is what I'm expecting to be honest) is so disappointing for all the long suffering blue fans. We have been so bad for so long and i would love us to make a statement today to prove they are not in our class but i cant see it.
🤣
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 11, 2024, 04:12:43 pm
He has no choice, we are being slaughtered up the ground, if he stays in D50 they'll get a hundred shots inside 50m.
nope. He's leaving his man to chase someone who's already clear. That's leaving a certain uncontested mark to put pressure on a contest he had a stuff all chance of winning because he doesn't trust his teamates. He's the reason we can't use any of the other talls. Too busy finger pointing rather than leading.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on August 11, 2024, 04:31:08 pm
nope. He's leaving his man to chase someone who's already clear. That's leaving a certain uncontested mark to put pressure on a contest he had a stuff all chance of winning because he doesn't trust his teamates. He's the reason we can't use any of the other talls. Too busy finger pointing rather than leading.
Nah, you are focussing on effect and not the cause, the effect you are seeing is a D50 that can't stop 100% of entries, it's unrealistic to expect it.
The cause is when blokes give the hot potato or grub a 15m kick to someone surrounded by 2 or 3 opponents and then don't chase when it is inevitably turned over, that's game over.
The cause happens repeatedly, and the D50 can't stop them all, there are just too many repeats of the same old same old.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on August 11, 2024, 04:33:12 pm
Weitering is too selfish, not a team player. Darcy Moore is so much better than him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on August 11, 2024, 04:38:21 pm
Nah, you are focussing on effect and not the cause, the effect you are seeing is a D50 that can't stop 100% of entries, it's unrealistic to expect it.
The cause is when blokes give the hot potato or grub a 15m kick to someone surrounded by 2 or 3 opponents and then don't chase when it is inevitably turned over, that's game over.
The cause happens repeatedly, and the D50 can't stop them all, there are just too many repeats of the same old same old.
No, that's called getting sucked in.
I was a defender in soccer. I led the backline. I was sitting behind the goals. He takes off from a 2 on 1 against leaving two players because he isn't communicating with his mates, because he doesn't trust them. Young was the problem. Mcgovern is the problem. Newman is the problem. Kemp is the problem. At one point he was up the ground near the halfway line leaving chol with Kemp in the second quarter. Players are sacrificing their position to take weiters up the ground leaving Kemp one out undersized. It's been happening since the giants game.
You're welcome to disagree but I know what I'm seeing and it's a player pulling his own defense out of shape because he's too worried about too much and not delegating.
You can thank the AFL for the hot potato. Since that rule interpretation mid year we have lost our one wood.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on August 11, 2024, 04:40:17 pm
MacGovern has been a problem for a long time.
Delivered very little. Given very little back. Taken a lot of coin. Always injured or seemingly playing with a injury. If we had an options I'd show this pest the door.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 22 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on August 11, 2024, 04:46:34 pm
You can thank the AFL for the hot potato. Since that rule interpretation mid year we have lost our one wood.
Those poor disposals I refer to involve zero physical contact, it's got nothing to do with the rule change.
Most clubs at the pointy end of the ladder have 2 , 3 or even 4 KPDs at the top and of the intercept marks count, Weitering is our only player in the top 30, Kemp is at 33 and McGovern is at 53!
Think about that in context of our squad and it's strengths, you know our big bodied team, how can it be a team with our size barely rates on IMs outside of Weitering, and the only bloke making intercepts you want to pot!
There is a reason Owies stood out today, because what he tried to do you just don't see from our blokes!