Carlton Supporters Club

Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on August 10, 2024, 03:16:56 pm

Title: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: crashlander on August 10, 2024, 03:16:56 pm
We need to really win this one by a lot.
Title: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: crashlander on August 11, 2024, 07:20:00 pm
I can't see us winning this one: not enough fit players and no confidence in those that remain. Losing five players from today's disaster won't help either. Martin, Curnow, Fogarty, Boyd, Saad, Williams - according Channel 7.
[1] Lord has to come in; he had 30 possessions in the 2's. He may not be ready, but he is fit. He can take Sam Walsh's spot: play Walsh on the wing, if we play him at all. He hasn't been fit for weeks.
[2] Wilson comes in on a HBF, to replace Saad.
[3] Binns probably comes in, even though his form hasn't been that great of late. He can replace Fog.
[4] I guess Lewis Young comes and McGovern goes forward to replace Curnow. A come down, but the only other choice is Lemmey, who isn't ready yet.
After that, I'm struggling.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: crashlander on August 11, 2024, 07:21:39 pm
I had only done a thread for this game. If someone could merge them, please. I don't seem to be doing right when I try.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: kruddler on August 11, 2024, 07:24:44 pm
I can't see us winning this one: not enough fit players and no confidence in those that remain. Losing five players from today's disaster won't help either. Martin, Curnow, Fogarty, Boyd, Saad, Williams - according Channel 7.
[1] Lord has to come in; he had 30 possessions in the 2's. He may not be ready, but he is fit. He can take Sam Walsh's spot: play Walsh on the wing, if we play him at all. He hasn't been fit for weeks.
[2] Wilson comes in on a HBF, to replace Saad.
[3] Binns probably comes in, even though his form hasn't been that great of late. He can replace Fog.
[4] I guess Lewis Young comes and McGovern goes forward to replace Curnow. A come down, but the only other choice is Lemmey, who isn't ready yet.
After that, I'm struggling.

Cincotta and Kennedy also have dodgy ankles/lower legs. They were limping around for longer than you would like today.
McGovern was listed as 'out' on the AFL app today during the match (like Charlie) but managed to come back on. Not sure what his issue is, but he's not right.
Acres is still not right either.
I'm not sure Pittonet is 100% as he is slow, even for him.

Latter two will probably play as we can't afford to not play them.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: madbluboy on August 11, 2024, 07:30:01 pm
I sat behind our bench, half our team were hurt at some stage.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: Professer E on August 11, 2024, 07:35:00 pm
That's frighteningly bad management
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: kruddler on August 11, 2024, 07:46:41 pm
FB: Docherty - S. Durdin - Boyd
HB:   Saad   - Marchbank - McGovern
C:   Cottrell -    Cerra -   Cuningham
HF: Fogarty - Silvagni - Martin
FF: C. Durdin - Curnow - Williams
R: De Koning - Kennedy - Cincotta
Int: Fantasia - M. Carroll - O'Keefe - Acres

In orange are players i noticed with injuries today that are NOT listed as officially injured yet.
All other players are on the injury list, or were listed as injured at the end of the game today.

Thats a full team of 22.....and there may be more as i'm not up to date with our VFL team and potential injuries from that.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast
Post by: Professer E on August 11, 2024, 08:58:09 pm
Add Walsh, he's clearly impeded
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 11, 2024, 09:16:10 pm
Season ended today, put the cue in the rack and get ready for next year.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 11, 2024, 10:28:39 pm
Out:   Curnow, Boyd, Saad, Martin, Fogsrty
In:  Lemmy, Binns, Lord, C Durdin, Carroll

Newman  Weitering   Kemp
Cincotta   McGovern  Cowan                                 O Hollands         Cripps      Acres
Owes         McKay      E Hollands
Motlop      Lemmy     Kennedy
Pittonet     Walsh      Lord
Hewett      Carroll   Binns    Williams
Durdiin
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 11, 2024, 10:43:41 pm
Durdin couldn't handle a beach ball ATM.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 11, 2024, 11:12:06 pm
Durdin couldn't handle a beach ball ATM.

There you go...   out Durdin  in Fantasia!!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 11, 2024, 11:34:14 pm
Only fit, uninjured players need apply ;)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 12, 2024, 12:38:06 am
We can't even omit anyone because the cupboard is bare
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Mantis on August 12, 2024, 01:50:58 am
Season ended today, put the cue in the rack and get ready for next year.

Looks like that at the moment. Play some kids. Give them a crack.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 12, 2024, 03:09:28 am

[/quote]
FB: Docherty - S. Durdin - Boyd
HB:   Saad   - Marchbank - McGovern
C:   Cottrell -    Cerra -   Cuningham
HF: Fogarty - Silvagni - Martin
FF: C. Durdin - Curnow - Williams
R: De Koning - Kennedy - Cincotta
Int: Fantasia - M. Carroll - O'Keefe - Acres

In orange are players i noticed with injuries today that are NOT listed as officially injured yet.
All other players are on the injury list, or were listed as injured at the end of the game today.

Thats a full team of 22.....and there may be more as i'm not up to date with our VFL team and potential injuries from that.
That really makes horrifying reading.

So glad Russell is going. He can screw right off.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 12, 2024, 08:54:37 am
Still not convinced that the Terrier can be held responsible for all our injuries.

Of K's list above...

Bad luck, which can happen to any club: Docherty, Silvagni, small Durds, Fogarty, Curnow, TDK, Cottrell, M Carroll.
Glassmen: Marchbank, Cuningham, Williams, Martin, Fantasia.
Normal in-season injuries: The rest.

There wouldn't be a club at this stage of the season that wouldn't be 'nursing' injured players/blokes playing injured.

The game against the Weagles this Sunday, through necessity, will provide an opportunity to give a few lads from the Magoos a chance to experience senior footy... Binns, Billy Wilson and perhaps even Moir.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 12, 2024, 08:58:05 am
Saad and Cerra are now full fledged members of the injury club. Saad is getting to that age now but Cerra is concerning.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 12, 2024, 01:00:43 pm
Oh Calamity ::)

Harry in doubt (see injury thread)


Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 12, 2024, 01:20:34 pm
Still not convinced that the Terrier can be held responsible for all our injuries.

Of K's list above...

Bad luck, which can happen to any club: Docherty, Silvagni, small Durds, Fogarty, Curnow, TDK, Cottrell, M Carroll.
Glassmen: Marchbank, Cuningham, Williams, Martin, Fantasia.
Normal in-season injuries: The rest.

There wouldn't be a club at this stage of the season that wouldn't be 'nursing' injured players/blokes playing injured.

The game against the Weagles this Sunday, through necessity, will provide an opportunity to give a few lads from the Magoos a chance to experience senior footy... Binns, Billy Wilson and perhaps even Moir.
While he can't be blamed for reco and collision injuries he can with the soft tissue ones. He can be blamed given this has been a constant for 6 years. Leave that in no doubt. Derailed a flag shot. I'm getting the feeling we have been playing with more injuries that has been mentioned publicly IMO at least.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 12, 2024, 01:37:00 pm
I'm getting the feeling we have been playing with more injuries that has been mentioned publicly IMO at least.

Yep
There's no doubt about that...there was a lot of speculation for weeks that Curnow has been playing injured.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 12, 2024, 02:48:11 pm
Still not convinced that the Terrier can be held responsible for all our injuries.

x 2
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 12, 2024, 02:59:59 pm
Still not convinced there isn't a problem in the S&C area
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Adelaideblue on August 12, 2024, 03:14:58 pm
Thinking of this season (!!)  and how to win the next two games.

Yes tough gig with all those injuries.  Do we still have a rookie spot available?
If we are to be without Charlie and Harry M. ..... "could" really roll the dice and bring in McMahon. 
McMahon & Harry L, might be a better option than playing Young and some other up forward.

Very interesting to see how our coaches handle selecting a competitive team for next week's game
Ab
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 12, 2024, 03:20:40 pm
Durdin couldn't handle a beach ball ATM.
C. Durdin is part of the rat pack injury list group, a beach ball would probably injure him and put him out for 6 weeks...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 12, 2024, 03:30:23 pm
While he can't be bpamed for reco and collision injuries he can with the soft tissue ones. He can be blamed given thishas been a constant for 6 years. Leave that in no doubt. Derailed a flag shot. I'm getting the feeling we have been playing with more injuries that has been mentioned publicly IMO at least.

I get it, this joining the dots caper offers up plenty of scenarios. But we don't have all the dots. I assume the Terrier reports to the Head of Football, Brad Lloyd. Who knows what Lloyd does with the Terrier's recommendations.

And then we start 2nd guessing when certain players just don't 'look right'... could be anything, as well as carrying an injury. Anything could be going on... just look at the odd MC selections recently - Kennedy and Hewett doing the sub rounds springs to mind, along with Young replacing H, those few performing well in the Magoos not getting a look in... and so it goes. Any wonder we start jumping at shadows!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 12, 2024, 03:32:09 pm
C. Durdin is part of the rat pack injury list group, a beach ball would probably injure him and put him out for 6 weeks...
Still don't know why he got a contract extension, couldn't be based on his form/body of work :o
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 12, 2024, 03:45:51 pm
Still don't know why he got a contract extension, couldn't be based on his form/body of work :o
Agree....the contracts we have been writing have reduced our ability to get more creative with the list.
C.Durdin is an ok player when the team are playing well and can chip in here and there and can be carried but he doesnt get enough ball even for a small forward and is another who cant get on the park and stay there for any length of time.
You look at Ginnivan and he has helped propel the Hawks up the ladder and has increased his output both as a forward and been able to work up the ground and assist the midfielders. This is the modern forward pocket and we need better numbers from ours and unfortunately we need to make changes and get some better equipped small forwards to help Charlie and Harry.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: WASurfer on August 12, 2024, 03:51:52 pm
While finals are still mathematically possible, a team like the Hawks deserves that spot way more than we do...simple as that. With 6 players likely to be missing from last weekend, there's not much left to choose from so lets have a look at Moir, Lemmey, Binns, Wilson, Carroll.....even Mirkov. He couldn't be any worse than Pittonet's been in the last month.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 12, 2024, 03:59:24 pm
For me... the expectation for a strength and conditioning person is to determine why these injuries are occurring and tailoring programs for the prevention of/ and recovery from them.
There's not a lot you can do about impact injuries.
Recurring soft tissue injuries and poor recovery leading to repeat injuries is another issue.

So it then goes to the specifics of his departure.

If he was pushed, the club was obvioulsy not happy with his work.
If he's walked away frustrated that his recommendations aren't being followed that's a different story...one we may never know.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LordLucifer on August 12, 2024, 04:51:46 pm
Looks like they are going to have to elevate Lemmey to the seniors with both McKay & Curnow out now.

May as well chuck in a couple of the other young guys too and see who cuts it in the big league, we have nothing lose now. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 12, 2024, 05:26:48 pm
For me... the expectation for a strength and conditioning person is to determine why these injuries are occurring and tailoring programs for the prevention of/ and recovery from them.
There's not a lot you can do about impact injuries.
Recurring soft tissue injuries and poor recovery leading to repeat injuries is another issue.

So it then goes to the specifics of his departure.

If he was pushed, the club was obvioulsy not happy with his work.
If he's walked away frustrated that his recommendations aren't being followed that's a different story...one we may never know.

Just doesn't make sense that a bloke heading high performance at 3 clubs, and does brilliantly, suddenly loses all his skills at club 4. It just aint logical. Is Cookie getting it wrong at PP after doing so well at other places? Nuh.

This also has a sniff of coaches about it. Seems that as soon as it comes to on-field stuff things just start going pear shaped. Time for a top-line Head of Football? Someone smarter, more disciplined with some fire in the guts?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 12, 2024, 05:27:54 pm
Supporters who are calling for Vossy's head have got it all wrong, IMHO. We should be getting in behind him. Is he putting too much faith in some around him, including some players? My only hope is that behind closed doors Vossy is breathing fire at those letting him down. I know it's a balancing act... berate or coddle? Times have changed. But this is still a very physical, gladiatorial sport and there are times to breathe fire.

We'll have a depleted side this Sunday. Reality. Our forward line will very likely look very different (please, please no Young up forward. Down back to help Weiters? Yes. And give Weiters more license to roam and exert his authority and leadership down back. Give Kemp a gig up forward).
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 12, 2024, 05:36:24 pm
Supporters who are calling for Vossy's head have got it all wrong, IMHO. We should be getting in behind him. Is he putting too much faith in some around him, including some players? My only hope is that behind closed doors Vossy is breathing fire at those letting him down. I know it's a balancing act... berate or coddle? Times have changed. But this is still a very physical, gladiatorial sport and there are times to breathe fire.

We'll have a depleted side this Sunday. Reality. Our forward line will very likely look very different (please, please no Young up forward. Down back to help Weiters? Yes. And give Weiters more license to roam and exert his authority and leadership down back. Give Kemp a gig up forward).
Injuries and poor player effort have let Voss down recently and while Id like to see him become a bit more daring with his moves its not his fault we have capitulated at seasons end again and the last thing we need is another sacked coach saga.
This is a list management issue along with some doubts over the S&C crew but Im more inclined to be pointing the finger at the former..
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 12, 2024, 06:06:38 pm
Vossy is not perfect, but he is good enough and should not even be part of the discussion.

If you want to blame Russell, you might have a case.

However, why is nobody mentioning the club doctors? Surely they are the one who gives them a tick of approval for us to play and/or continue playing these 'injured' players.

I've been saying it for weeks. We should be resting players who are not right. We should've been resting them when we were in 2nd. Aonyne who had a niggle. Rest them and get them right for finals time.
But no.

Now we are here, with no one fit enough.

I suspect we've rushed back Williams, so expect him to be injured this week as a result.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 12, 2024, 06:21:03 pm
Still not convinced there isn't a problem in the S&C area
Completely. Can only keep getting injured repeated for so long before it takes its  toll. This is how many years now this has happened and we have crashed and burned with 5 weeks to go. Can't be another issue given we were 2nd 6 weeks ago. We've gone from crushing sides in last qtrs to barely being able to go for a qtr. One guess of the root of the problem. As a coach myself I can attest. Same in any sport.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 12, 2024, 07:01:00 pm
While finals are still mathematically possible, a team like the Hawks deserves that spot way more than we do...simple as that. With 6 players likely to be missing from last weekend, there's not much left to choose from so lets have a look at Moir, Lemmey, Binns, Wilson, Carroll.....even Mirkov. He couldn't be any worse than Pittonet's been in the last month.
Why do the Hawks deserve it more?  We are equal on points and had a much harder run than they have.

Don't let the last 6 games cloud your thinking.  They coughed up an 11 point lead in the last 30 seconds away to port 10 weeks ago when we put them to the sword.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 12, 2024, 07:04:51 pm
Hawks play the bottom two teams. We're not catching them even if we do win our last 2 games which I doubt we will.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 12, 2024, 07:06:43 pm
Hawks play the bottom two teams. We're not catching them even if we do win our last 2 games which I doubt we will.
freo can still fall out.  They lose one game we win two and we are in.  They play gws away and Port at home.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 12, 2024, 10:25:22 pm
No TDK no Carlton.

He is the lyncjpin in the score from turn over game due to his flexibility and forcing opponents to find other routes as he is a good mark and good at ground ball gets. Hudson Okeefe is an excellent prospect and put him in front of Mirkov and Pitto.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 13, 2024, 08:27:21 am
Injuries and poor player effort have let Voss down recently and while Id like to see him become a bit more daring with his moves its not his fault we have capitulated at seasons end again and the last thing we need is another sacked coach saga.
This is a list management issue along with some doubts over the S&C crew but Im more inclined to be pointing the finger at the former..

Absolutely.

Vossy addressed this in his impressive post game media conference... that before he arrived we were inconsistent and we still are - in game, week to week, month to month and year to year. An ingrained cultural issue? I see that as an inability to sustain, regardless of what the opposition is dishing up, and that's about mental discipline/toughness and trust in your team mates which builds cohesion/predictability. But it's real hard to develop these things when we have so many on our list whose bodies cannot even be trusted to stand up to the rigors of our game.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 13, 2024, 08:50:43 am
freo can still fall out.  They lose one game we win two and we are in.  They play gws away and Port at home.

I expect Freo to lose to the Giants, think West Coast will finish us off this week though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 13, 2024, 09:26:58 am
Just doesn't make sense that a bloke heading high performance at 3 clubs, and does brilliantly, suddenly loses all his skills at club 4. It just aint logical. Is Cookie getting it wrong at PP after doing so well at other places? Nuh.

This also has a sniff of coaches about it. Seems that as soon as it comes to on-field stuff things just start going pear shaped. Time for a top-line Head of Football? Someone smarter, more disciplined with some fire in the guts?

6 years of massive injuries is enough to give us a fair idea.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 13, 2024, 09:31:36 am
If we could somehow get into the 8 it would be a nice experience for the kids to play a final, even if they get thumped. Can only help. A refresh of a side can do wonders for a couple of games, especially against sides with nothing to play for.

You never know.. Be a big step up for a few.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: cookie2 on August 13, 2024, 10:16:58 am
6 years of massive injuries is enough to give us a fair idea.
Maybe it has something to do with how we evaluate players before we recruit them? What criteria are used re player durability ? It’s very hard to make a silk purse out of a sow’s ear so to speak.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 13, 2024, 10:25:38 am
If we could somehow get into the 8 it would be a nice experience for the kids to play a final, even if they get thumped. Can only help. A refresh of a side can do wonders for a couple of games, especially against sides with nothing to play for.

You never know.. Be a big step up for a few.
was thinking about this scenario and have arrived at a horrific result thought process wise. 

Why wouldn't you play kids?

Draftee contracts usually have a match bonus payment condition attached. 

So why aren't we playing kids?  The cap is close to being overloaded.

We might be playing broken senior players because of out salary cap composition. 

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 13, 2024, 10:46:33 am
6 years of massive injuries is enough to give us a fair idea.

How would you suggest we manage the injuries better? We gave Cerra and Saad 6 weeks to get over their hammy's. Do we give them 10 weeks? At some point they become a liability . They have to be able to play, we're not a rehab centre.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 13, 2024, 01:11:21 pm
Maybe it has something to do with how we evaluate players before we recruit them? What criteria are used re player durability ? It’s very hard to make a silk purse out of a sow’s ear so to speak.

The injury list over the years has been way too big for that. Even injury prone players mostly get back on the park long term if looked after well. Any injury prone player here had no hope.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 13, 2024, 01:17:54 pm
The injury list over the years has been way too big for that. Even injury prone players mostly get back on the park long term if looked after well. Any injury prone player here had no hope.
What are you talking about, Cerra came to us already with a history of soft tissue injury, and played 40 games in his first two seasons?

This is his first real injury interrupted season at Carlton, it can happen to anybody!

I'd assert our heavy duty inside football game style, makes soft tissue more likely, you just can't keep bashing a bruising quads and hammies, getting corkies, etc., etc., and not eventually have something tear!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 13, 2024, 01:18:25 pm
How would you suggest we manage the injuries better? We gave Cerra and Saad 6 weeks to get over their hammy's. Do we give them 10 weeks? At some point they become a liability . They have to be able to play, we're not a rehab centre.
That comes down to how you prepare  them after they recover. Knowing how to manage loads until they are strong enough to handle it. Making sure the tendons are functioning as well as the muscle as they improve at different rates. They work i  unison. as do ligaments, if there's tendon weakness the muscle will struggle. I've been there as a coach.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 13, 2024, 01:22:10 pm
What are you talking about, Cerra came to us already with a history of soft tissue injury, and played 40 games in his first two seasons?

This is his first real injury interrupted season at Carlton, it can happen to anybody!

Only as only prone as the person training you. Some might be more than others but most, if looked after, while eventually have prolonged playing continuity  Very few are that injury prone that this still keeps happens year after year after year,  6 years now  Thats more than injury prone spin.meaning soft tissue. Believe you me, I understand these things better than you ever will, it's my background.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 13, 2024, 02:44:35 pm
How would you suggest we manage the injuries better? We gave Cerra and Saad 6 weeks to get over their hammy's. Do we give them 10 weeks? At some point they become a liability . They have to be able to play, we're not a rehab centre.
probably bringing them back into the seniors way too early which means they exert themselves when half done and then stuff it up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 04:25:48 pm
was thinking about this scenario and have arrived at a horrific result thought process wise. 

Why wouldn't you play kids?

Draftee contracts usually have a match bonus payment condition attached. 

So why aren't we playing kids?  The cap is close to being overloaded.

We might be playing broken senior players because of out salary cap composition.

Salary caps are not that tight and don't work that way.

Any club worth their salt will aim for match payments for 23 players over 24 rounds (or whatever we actually play) and put that aside for every season. Whats left is what you play players from as in their base and above base payments.

You go a step further and allocate a certain part to any of the following you implement as a club (each club does it differently)
- Top (3, 5 or) 10 B+F finishers bonus
- Matches played threshold bonuses (kids get 10 - 15 - 20 bonuses IIRC, same for others potentially if you wish)
- individual KPI targets (eg # goals or goal assists etc)
- AFL award bonuses (AA, brownlow, coleman, 22U22 teams etc)

You set aside whatever 'bonuses' you want to pay. You add that to what you set aside with your match payments.
Then you pay players from whats left.

If you make finals, the AFL allows gives you the extra $'s required to pay players for their time.
If you win the GF there is an extra million to allocate IIRC as well.

In short, there is no financial incentive to NOT play the kids.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 05:13:14 pm
Put your money on the Eagles.

VFL side is playing this week.....

Harry McKay (quad)
- Scans have confirmed he sustained quad injury on Sunday
- Availability: 1-2 weeks

Jack Martin (hamstring)
- Scans have confirmed a minor hamstring strain
- Availability: 1-2 weeks

Adam Saad (hamstring)
- Scans have confirmed a minor hamstring strain
- Availability: 1-2 weeks

Charlie Curnow (ankle)
- Experienced a sprained ankle on Sunday
- Availability: 1-2 weeks

Lachie Fogarty (collarbone)
- Experienced a fractured collarbone on Sunday
- Will miss the remainder of the 2024 season

Jordan Boyd (adductor)
- Experienced a significant adductor injury during the game on Sunday
- Will miss at least the remainder of the home and away season

Caleb Marchbank (concussion)
- Availability: 1-2 weeks

Orazio Fantasia (calf)
- Availability: Test
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 05:14:27 pm
At least we have Fantasia!  ::)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Shakin77 on August 13, 2024, 05:29:07 pm
There goes the Forward line.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 13, 2024, 05:32:27 pm
Newman   Weitering   Young
Cincotta    McGovern   Cowan
O Hollands  Cripps   Acres
E Hollands   Kemp    Kennedy
Owies          Lemmy    Motlop
Pitonett     Walsh    Lord

Hewett, Wilson, Carroll, Binns  

Sub Williams

That's the best I can do!!!   (With all the '1 - 2 weekers',  we're going to have a bloody strong team come the first week of the finals!!!! :) )
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 13, 2024, 05:33:05 pm
We'll win!
They'll have no idea how to handle the high expectations. ;)  :D
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 05:33:37 pm

We'll be left with (an injured) Kennedy to carry the flag.
Fantasia will take up some grass.
Hope Motlop eats his weeties this week. Could be asked to do a bit.

Put Young back.

Put Weitering forward.

Its the only way we'll have half a chance.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 13, 2024, 05:42:29 pm
My side (not much choice) with all 6 of Curnow McKay Saad Boyd Fogarty Martin confirmed out
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 13, 2024, 05:52:49 pm
I keep thinking where do we have an excess of players - and that's the midfield.?

B: Newman  Weitering  Cowan
HB: Kemp  McGovern Cincotta
C: Hollands   Hewett  Acres
HF: Williams   Lemmey   Carroll
F: Owies    Kennedy   Motlop
R: Pittonet  Cripps  Walsh
I: Young Binns Wilson Lord
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 13, 2024, 05:54:41 pm
My side (not much choice) with all 6 of Curnow McKay Saad Boyd Fogarty Martin confirmed out

When you look at it it's actually not a bad side we can cobble together.
It's well off our best but...
There's plenty of senior experience there, and the young ones have a golden opportunity to show their wares.
Some players just need that opportunity.
The question will be are100% fit players going to match the impact of the 75% fit players who have been taking the field in recent games.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 13, 2024, 06:20:11 pm
I keep thinking where do we have an excess of players - and that's the midfield.?

B: Newman  Weitering  Cowan
HB: Kemp  McGovern Cincotta
C: Hollands   Hewett  Acres
HF: Williams   Lemmey   Carroll
F: Owies    Kennedy   Motlop
R: Pittonet  Cripps  Walsh
I: Young Binns Wilson Lord


I think you are one Holland short.......
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 13, 2024, 06:24:05 pm
Id have Hewett or Cincotta tagging Harley the wonder dog and be prepared to use Cripps more forward this game for two reasons , we will probably need more goals from our mids plus he will be heavily tagged by Yeo who has been in decent form and if he plays forward that will also take Yeo out of the play if he follows him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 06:29:56 pm
When you look at it it's actually not a bad side we can cobble together.
It's well off our best but...
There's plenty of senior experience there, and the young ones have a golden opportunity to show their wares.
Some players just need that opportunity.
The question will be are100% fit players going to match the impact of the 75% fit players who have been taking the field in recent games.

If we were to be 100% accurate, i'd take 6 of that side out of there.
Cincotta, McGovern, Kennedy, Acres, Walsh and Weitering are definitely not 100%.
I suspect Cripps, Pittonet and Hewett are carrying niggles as well.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Blue Moon on August 13, 2024, 07:22:32 pm
My team, and it is Tuesday so we have plenty of time to lose a few more players, is:
Kemp Weitering Cowan
Newman Young Cincotta
O.Hollands E.Hollands Acres
Motlop McGovern Owies
Lemmey Cripps Durdin
Pittonett Kennedy Hewitt
Carroll Williams Binns Walsh
With Lord Wilson Moir Mirkov as emergencies
I am not sure Fantasia will be right which leaves Akuei and Monahan to fly the flag in the VFL.
I like the idea of Cripps playing permanently forward. I would like him to play like a midfielder and run his opponent into the ground.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 13, 2024, 07:38:46 pm
When you look at it it's actually not a bad side we can cobble together.
It's well off our best but...
There's plenty of senior experience there, and the young ones have a golden opportunity to show their wares.
Some players just need that opportunity.
The question will be are100% fit players going to match the impact of the 75% fit players who have been taking the field in recent games.
How about this side
FB Boyd Marchbank M Carroll
HB Saad S Durdin Docherty
C Martin Cerra ??
HF Cunningham McKay Fogarty
FF Fantasia Curnow Silvagni
R De Koning Cottrell ??
Int O'Keefe ?? ?? ??
Nearly a better side than we will put out this week vs WC.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LoveNavy on August 13, 2024, 07:47:50 pm
Injured in the past 2 weeks: 4 fwds, 1 mid, 1 winger, and 2 hbs.

If we lacked connection and communication last week, as Weiters suggests, it's a mountain too high to rectify that with mass changes. Not to mention having players across every line that have never played together.

We've got mine and Buckley's.
WC by 40 (open to being wrong)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 13, 2024, 08:17:26 pm
How about this side
FB Boyd Marchbank M Carroll
HB Saad S Durdin Docherty
C Martin Cerra ??
HF Cunningham McKay Fogarty
FF Fantasia Curnow Silvagni
R De Koning Cottrell ??
Int O'Keefe ?? ?? ??
Nearly a better side than we will put out this week vs WC.

Kruddler did one of these in another thread and added the blokes we suspect are playing injured.
It's even more dramatic.

Actually it was this thread....

FB: Docherty - S. Durdin - Boyd
HB:   Saad   - Marchbank - McGovern
C:   Cottrell -    Cerra -   Cuningham
HF: Fogarty - Silvagni - Martin
FF: C. Durdin - Curnow - Williams
R: De Koning - Kennedy - Cincotta
Int: Fantasia - M. Carroll - O'Keefe - Acres

and that was before we knew the McKay injury....and I'd whack Walsh in there as well.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 13, 2024, 08:39:38 pm
My team, and it is Tuesday so we have plenty of time to lose a few more players, is:
Kemp Weitering Cowan
Newman Young Cincotta
O.Hollands E.Hollands Acres
Motlop McGovern Owies
Lemmey Cripps Durdin
Pittonett Kennedy Hewitt
Carroll Williams Binns Walsh
With Lord Wilson Moir Mirkov as emergencies
I am not sure Fantasia will be right which leaves Akuei and Monahan to fly the flag in the VFL.
I like the idea of Cripps playing permanently forward. I would like him to play like a midfielder and run his opponent into the ground.
Reckon Lord will play after that outstanding effort last week.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 09:27:37 pm
Here's your updated one Lods....

FB: Docherty - S. Durdin - Boyd
HB:   Saad   - Marchbank - McGovern
C:   Cottrell -    Cerra -   Cuningham
HF: Fogarty - Curnow - Martin
FF: C. Durdin - McKay - Williams
R: De Koning - Kennedy - Walsh
Int: Silvagni - Cincotta - Acres - Fantasia

If we manage to add in....
Cripps and Weitering thats just about our best 22 gone, or playing on one leg.


In fact, here was my best 22 from part 1 of 2024 pre-season
FB - Newman - Weitering - Docherty
HB - McGovern - Kemp - Saad
C  -    Acres  -  Cripps  -  Walsh
HF - Silvagni - Curnow - Martin
FF - Fantasia - McKay - Motlop
R - DeKoning - Hewitt - Cerra
Int - Cottrell - Cincotta - Cuningham - Williams

Only 7 of my best 22 are considered fit at the moment.   :o  ::)
....and that doesn't include Boyd who made his way into it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 13, 2024, 10:11:12 pm
Its making a mockery out of connection and cohesion. Player availability has been worse in the AFL since Round Zero.

Missed the opening game without Weitering, Silvagni, Walsh, E Hoillands, Martin, Cunningham, Marchbank etc etc  and then Doc got injured and never recovered since Round 1.

Its an opportunity missed as more than good enough to have won it this year but we are cursed...and needs to be uncursed so best available can build connection and cohesion.

Young players coming in will have good senior heads around them.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 13, 2024, 10:13:26 pm
Salary caps are not that tight and don't work that way.

Any club worth their salt will aim for match payments for 23 players over 24 rounds (or whatever we actually play) and put that aside for every season. Whats left is what you play players from as in their base and above base payments.

You go a step further and allocate a certain part to any of the following you implement as a club (each club does it differently)
- Top (3, 5 or) 10 B+F finishers bonus
- Matches played threshold bonuses (kids get 10 - 15 - 20 bonuses IIRC, same for others potentially if you wish)
- individual KPI targets (eg # goals or goal assists etc)
- AFL award bonuses (AA, brownlow, coleman, 22U22 teams etc)

You set aside whatever 'bonuses' you want to pay. You add that to what you set aside with your match payments.
Then you pay players from whats left.

If you make finals, the AFL allows gives you the extra $'s required to pay players for their time.
If you win the GF there is an extra million to allocate IIRC as well.

In short, there is no financial incentive to NOT play the kids.

You need to fact check.

I've read the eba.  Players on base contracts usually qualify for match payments.

This is included in the cap, and depending on factors can see match payments worth as much as 5000 a match which can vary based on where a player was taken in the draft.

Now we play Ollie hollands a first rounder and lachie cowan a second rounder.

Between them in 2024 they have played 34 matches.  Hypotheticals state if they are on base contracts we pay 5000 per match, we have blown out our payments by a conservative 150k.  Not much as you stated, but depending on whom else is on base contracts you might have jack Carroll, jaxon binns, and jesse motlop earning match payments over and above their base contract.  Jordan boyd might be another and this can escalate quickly and cost a total of over 200k over a season.  Not earth shattering in a 14 million dollar cap, but it could cause some headaches in a situation where you are paying above the cap after banking in previous years if you've cooked your salary structure and were banking on making finals to get your extra million.



Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 13, 2024, 10:29:53 pm
You need to fact check.

I've read the eba.  Players on base contracts usually qualify for match payments.

This is included in the cap, and depending on factors can see match payments worth as much as 5000 a match which can vary based on where a player was taken in the draft.

Now we play Ollie hollands a first rounder and lachie cowan a second rounder.

Between them in 2024 they have played 34 matches.  Hypotheticals state if they are on base contracts we pay 5000 per match, we have blown out our payments by a conservative 150k.  Not much as you stated, but depending on whom else is on base contracts you might have jack Carroll, jaxon binns, and jesse motlop earning match payments over and above their base contract.  Jordan boyd might be another and this can escalate quickly and cost a total of over 200k over a season.  Not earth shattering in a 14 million dollar cap, but it could cause some headaches in a situation where you are paying above the cap after banking in previous years if you've cooked your salary structure and were banking on making finals to get your extra million.

I've read the CBAs.

You are not understanding what i wrote.

ASSUME you are paying match payments for all 23 players that are playing.
ASSUME you are paying match payments for all 23 players, for every round.
Call it 5k each.

5k x 23 (players) x 22 (matches) = 2.53mil.

Your TPP for 2024 is $15,788,222
So, deduct 1 from the other and you have 13.26mil remaining.

Use that 13.26mil as your starting point to make player payments.

Now, in case you missed this part earlier as well, use that 13.26mil as a starting point and deduct any expected bonuses to be made.
Lets say 1.26mil of bonuses. (excessive, but it doesn't matter for this example.

You are left with 12mil.

Use that to work out your base contracts for all players.
Works out to average of 273k per player (44 players)

Now for kids, they have an agreed base to start with, so use that.
They also get match payments as part of their contract....so thats where they will earn more (BUT we already factored that in before)
For seniors, obviously they want more. So give them more.

At the end of the day, everyones base payments are covered.
Everyones bonuses are covered.
All the kids on match payments are covered.
What you have 'left over' is the 'match payments' that were not divied out to the senior players as they don't receive them. So whatever is left over in this, you spread amongst the senior players.

So if you started with 2.53mil of match payments allowed and your 15 kids on match payments clocked up 1mil, the remaining 1.53 mil you give back to the senior players on a sliding scale. Cripps gets a higher % than Fantasia.
OR
If you are lucky enough, you keep that and bank it for next year and spend it on recruiting players or signing bonuses etc.
or
You use that money to front load players to bank money the following year. eg, pay cripps 100k of 2025 money, in 2024. etc.


What you are saying is you max out the cap and have no room for unexpected match payments to kids. Which is not the way you do things.
Work backwards from worst case so that can't happen.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 13, 2024, 10:58:21 pm
I've read the CBAs.

You are not understanding what i wrote.

ASSUME you are paying match payments for all 23 players that are playing.
ASSUME you are paying match payments for all 23 players, for every round.
Call it 5k each.

5k x 23 (players) x 22 (matches) = 2.53mil.

Your TPP for 2024 is $15,788,222
So, deduct 1 from the other and you have 13.26mil remaining.

Use that 13.26mil as your starting point to make player payments.

Now, in case you missed this part earlier as well, use that 13.26mil as a starting point and deduct any expected bonuses to be made.
Lets say 1.26mil of bonuses. (excessive, but it doesn't matter for this example.

You are left with 12mil.

Use that to work out your base contracts for all players.
Works out to average of 273k per player (44 players)

Now for kids, they have an agreed base to start with, so use that.
They also get match payments as part of their contract....so thats where they will earn more (BUT we already factored that in before)
For seniors, obviously they want more. So give them more.

At the end of the day, everyones base payments are covered.
Everyones bonuses are covered.
All the kids on match payments are covered.
What you have 'left over' is the 'match payments' that were not divied out to the senior players as they don't receive them. So whatever is left over in this, you spread amongst the senior players.

So if you started with 2.53mil of match payments allowed and your 15 kids on match payments clocked up 1mil, the remaining 1.53 mil you give back to the senior players on a sliding scale. Cripps gets a higher % than Fantasia.
OR
If you are lucky enough, you keep that and bank it for next year and spend it on recruiting players or signing bonuses etc.
or
You use that money to front load players to bank money the following year. eg, pay cripps 100k of 2025 money, in 2024. etc.


What you are saying is you max out the cap and have no room for unexpected match payments to kids. Which is not the way you do things.
Work backwards from worst case so that can't happen.

I read what you wrote.

You're assuming what the club should be doing but it doesn't mean that's what's happening, particularly if we're trying to balance the books.

Not all players will be on bonuses so your example doesn't quite fit.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 14, 2024, 12:27:03 am
Can we play the Campo twins early.....haha.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 14, 2024, 01:38:16 pm
I read what you wrote.

You're assuming what the club should be doing but it doesn't mean that's what's happening, particularly if we're trying to balance the books.

Not all players will be on bonuses so your example doesn't quite fit.

I never said all players were on bonuses. I never said any players were on bonuses.
The only bonuses that are written in stone is 1st and 2nd year games played bonuses.

Some clubs don't pay bonuses at all.

Whatever we do, plan for worst case scenario. Simple.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 14, 2024, 01:43:02 pm
https://www.carltonfc.com.au/news/1628061/lord-to-debut-against-eagles
Cooper Lord to debut.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 14, 2024, 01:49:21 pm
https://www.carltonfc.com.au/video/1628060/debutant-lord-gets-the-news?videoId=1628060&modal=true&type=video&publishFrom=1723604100001
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 14, 2024, 01:57:10 pm
Lord in this week, I guess they have to justify the mid season selection. McMahon would have been handier this week.
In any case, go well son.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 14, 2024, 02:09:08 pm
May the lord have mercy on us all...  except our opponents!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 14, 2024, 02:09:43 pm
Meanwhile only one debutant....  would have thought we'd have news on lemmey at least.  Suggests that we are bringing in young and not much else.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 14, 2024, 02:11:28 pm
Meanwhile only one debutant....  would have thought we'd have news on lemmey at least.  Suggests that we are bringing in young and not much else.

So far.

There's still time.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 14, 2024, 03:07:43 pm
Meanwhile only one debutant....  would have thought we'd have news on lemmey at least.  Suggests that we are bringing in young and not much else.
There has to be more. It will be a utter miracle to win with 6 changes (up to half of which will be debutants)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 14, 2024, 03:16:29 pm
Apparently young Cooper is going to alternate between CHF and FF as well as giving Pitto a spell in the ruck.

Seriously though, good luck to the young man.  He has really had a crack since we picked him up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pew2 on August 14, 2024, 03:22:21 pm
maybe with all these injuries we might find a gem ,this could be our ray of sunshine
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Micky0 on August 14, 2024, 03:25:36 pm
maybe with all these injuries we might find a gem ,this could be our ray of sunshine
I hope so!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 14, 2024, 03:41:46 pm
Meanwhile only one debutant....  would have thought we'd have news on lemmey at least.  Suggests that we are bringing in young and not much else.

So, I wonder if our starting 23 for this Sunday's game is:
Cowan
Motlop
O Hollands
Williams
Kennedy
Cripps
McGovern
Acres
Fantasia
Carroll
Kemp
Walsh
E Hollands
Weitering
Newman
Binns
Pitto
Hewett
Young
Lord
Cincotta
Owies
Small Durds
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Shakin77 on August 14, 2024, 03:53:36 pm
Meanwhile only one debutant....  would have thought we'd have news on lemmey at least.  Suggests that we are bringing in young and not much else.

Against the grain, but I wouldn't bring in Lemmey.   He really hasn't shown enough and first game against someone like J.McGovern he could just be a liability.

Go small with Mitch McGovern up forward and Young down back.   Young can play on a man and Kemp can play the McGovern role.    A combo of M.Kennedy and Cripps as a 2nd forward.

Boyd > Cincotta back.    C.Lord in.
Fogarty > Durdin.
Curnow > Young in.    McGovern forward
Saad > Binns in.  
McKay > Carroll
Martin > Fantasia

Forward line of
E.Holland, McGovern, Z.Williams
Motlop, Kennedy/Cripps, Owies

Z.Williams can go back, but I doubt he has the fitness to play half back.   Durdin or Fantasia forward.
If we go small it might make life difficult for McGovern and co
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 14, 2024, 04:07:10 pm
Against the grain, but I wouldn't bring in Lemmey.   He really hasn't shown enough and first game against someone like J.McGovern he could just be a liability.

Go small with Mitch McGovern up forward and Young down back.   Young can play on a man and Kemp can play the McGovern role.    A combo of M.Kennedy and Cripps as a 2nd forward.

Boyd > Cincotta back.    C.Lord in.
Fogarty > Durdin.
Curnow > Young in.    McGovern forward
Saad > Binns in.  
McKay > Carroll
Martin > Fantasia

Forward line of
E.Holland, McGovern, Z.Williams
Motlop, Kennedy/Cripps, Owies

Z.Williams can go back, but I doubt he has the fitness to play half back.   Durdin or Fantasia forward.
If we go small it might make life difficult for McGovern and co

Yep.

Hewett and Lord rotating?
Toss up for moi between Kemp and McGovern going forward. Agree Young must go back.
Cincotta has the speed to keep with their quickest smaller forward.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 14, 2024, 04:41:13 pm
Yep.

Hewett and Lord rotating?
Toss up for moi between Kemp and McGovern going forward. Agree Young must go back.
Cincotta has the speed to keep with their quickest smaller forward.
I have Lemmey in. While not fully ready his last 6 weeks have been pretty good. He is hitting the scoreboard.

What I would do is have both Gov and Kemp in the key forward roles and let Lemmey 2nd ruck so he gets a run around the paddock rather than stay home all the time.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 14, 2024, 05:24:09 pm
Maybe I'm an incurable romantic, stubborn optimist or just plain nuts, but I find myself quietly confident we can win the next two games, and make finals. There was just something in the endeavour and effort of our boys that just didn't lie down over the past couple of depressing months. I wonder if my locked room at the psych ward will have a window with a scenic view?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 14, 2024, 05:31:43 pm
Maybe I'm an incurable romantic, stubborn optimist or just plain nuts, but I find myself quietly confident we can win the next two games, and make finals. There was just something in the endeavour and effort of our boys that just didn't lie down over the past couple of depressing months. I wonder if my locked room at the psych ward will have a window with a scenic view?
Scribes have us getting in on the ladder predictor apps and Freo dropping out, however they have us playing GWS at home first up and I dont see that going well...and would we be better off outside the eight draw and draft pick wise?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 14, 2024, 05:37:09 pm
Scribes have us getting in on the ladder predictor apps and Freo dropping out, however they have us playing GWS at home first up and I dont see that going well...and would we be better off outside the eight draw and draft pick wise?

Not me. If it is a chance for a bunch of kids to experience a final, thumping or not, I am all for it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Shakin77 on August 14, 2024, 05:37:58 pm
Scribes have us getting in on the ladder predictor apps and Freo dropping out, however they have us playing GWS at home first up and I dont see that going well...and would we be better off outside the eight draw and draft pick wise?

Depends on the list.    We have a lot of 1-2 week listed injuries.

If* you could get Cerra, Curnow, McKay and Saad back then I reckon you have a crack.   Pushing the preverbal up hill, but why not?    They will have the pre-season to recover and it's only a pick one up in a deep draft.

Reckon the Ross and the Saints will stich us up in our current form however.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 14, 2024, 05:40:01 pm
Maybe I'm an incurable romantic, stubborn optimist or just plain nuts, but I find myself quietly confident we can win the next two games, and make finals. There was just something in the endeavour and effort of our boys that just didn't lie down over the past couple of depressing months. I wonder if my locked room at the psych ward will have a window with a scenic view?
Bar last week, we were never beaten off and kept coming. We were a Mitch McGovern away from entrenching ourselves.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 14, 2024, 05:41:22 pm
Depends on the list.    We have a lot of 1-2 week listed injuries.

If* you could get Cerra, Curnow, McKay and Saad back then I reckon you have a crack.   Pushing the preverbal up hill, but why not?    They will have the pre-season to recover and it's only a pick one up in a deep draft.

Reckon the Ross and the Saints will stich us up in our current form however.
Those 1-2 weeks are minor hamstrings. No matter what they say those things are always 3 at the low end.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 14, 2024, 05:46:13 pm
Not me. If it is a chance for a bunch of kids to experience a final, thumping or not, I am all for it.
If its a competitive lineup as Shakin suggested thats ok with me too but if its a reduced lineup talent wise with a high chance of a thumping then Im not so keen...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Shakin77 on August 14, 2024, 05:51:21 pm
Those 1-2 weeks are minor hamstrings. No matter what they say those things are always 3 at the low end.

I take your word for it Iaj.   2 rounds left and bye before the finals might still make it tight.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 14, 2024, 06:41:46 pm
Those 1-2 weeks are minor hamstrings. No matter what they say those things are always 3 at the low end.

Yep. 100% right.

No hamstring has ever been 1-2 weeks.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 14, 2024, 06:43:17 pm
Depends.

A hamstring can be 1 to 2 weeks on a player that hasn't done one before and it's a low grade one.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 14, 2024, 06:47:14 pm
I have Lemmey in. While not fully ready his last 6 weeks have been pretty good. He is hitting the scoreboard.

What I would do is have both Gov and Kemp in the key forward roles and let Lemmey 2nd ruck so he gets a run around the paddock rather than stay home all the time.

Personally i'd put Weitering forward, at least for part of the game. Nobody will be able to push him off the ball and he'll read the ball better than anyone else.

We have Gov (hopefully he's fit) and Kemp to do their usual role and we can have Young to play Weitering role, which he seems to be able to do better than any other defenders role.

We need to be able to score and we are just about missing our complete first choice forwardline, so why not add a joker into the mix with Weitering?

If we lose, it doesn't matter if its 1 point or 100.

Without kicking a score though, we have no hope.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: crashlander on August 14, 2024, 10:25:36 pm
Cooper Lord is a definite in. The lad deserves a spot. Only, where do we play him? He's another inside mid.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 14, 2024, 10:33:59 pm
Depends.

A hamstring can be 1 to 2 weeks on a player that hasn't done one before and it's a low grade one.


Haven't seen one yet. Unless it's referred never see then under 3. Those that have tried 2 weeks have invariably dine them again.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 15, 2024, 06:59:51 am
Haven't seen one yet. Unless it's referred never see then under 3. Those that have tried 2 weeks have invariably dine them again.

Brent guerra.

I vividly recall seeing him standing in water down at st kilda beach waist high with a jacket and scarf on.

Admittedly it was grand final prep, and that's a risk worth taking but anyone who go injured on the weekend has 4 weeks to get right before we need them to play provided, we have enough fit bodies in our next two weeks.

How ironic the one bloke I came up with quickly was a guy trained by Russell.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: northernblue on August 15, 2024, 07:22:41 am
Against the grain, but I wouldn't bring in Lemmey.   He really hasn't shown enough and first game against someone like J.McGovern he could just be a liability.

Go small with Mitch McGovern up forward and Young down back.   Young can play on a man and Kemp can play the McGovern role.    A combo of M.Kennedy and Cripps as a 2nd forward.

Boyd > Cincotta back.    C.Lord in.
Fogarty > Durdin.
Curnow > Young in.    McGovern forward
Saad > Binns in.  
McKay > Carroll
Martin > Fantasia

Forward line of
E.Holland, McGovern, Z.Williams
Motlop, Kennedy/Cripps, Owies

Z.Williams can go back, but I doubt he has the fitness to play half back.   Durdin or Fantasia forward.
If we go small it might make life difficult for McGovern and co

I’m a bit both ways on Lemmey, if he’s not “ready” for a break glass game now, will he ever be ?
Whoever we play forward MUST have the ball delivered to their advantage and leads must be honored, to not only give ourselves a chance to win but to not destroy the confidence of someone like Lemmey.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: bobby on August 15, 2024, 07:45:53 am
While finals are still mathematically possible, a team like the Hawks deserves that spot way more than we do...simple as that. With 6 players likely to be missing from last weekend, there's not much left to choose from so lets have a look at Moir, Lemmey, Binns, Wilson, Carroll.....even Mirkov. He couldn't be any worse than Pittonet's been in the last month.

Big agree on Mirkov. We need to know how he goes. He'll get lots of hit outs purely on his size, and he'll be hitting out to ball users who are significantly better players. They'll make him look better. Sure it will be hard for him, but we have to find out how he goes. Pittonet's (I am a fan btw - big heart) feet barely leave the ground. Mirkov is so tall that the opposition ruckman will be more worried about stopping him than doing anything good themselves. That could mean the oppositions clearance ball strategy is compromised at least. If we were already done and dusted Mirkov in would be a better idea probably, but big guys need time and need to start somewhere. Harry Madden took a while to get going.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 15, 2024, 07:50:15 am
Personally i'd put Weitering forward, at least for part of the game. Nobody will be able to push him off the ball and he'll read the ball better than anyone else.

We have Gov (hopefully he's fit) and Kemp to do their usual role and we can have Young to play Weitering role, which he seems to be able to do better than any other defenders role.

We need to be able to score and we are just about missing our complete first choice forwardline, so why not add a joker into the mix with Weitering?

If we lose, it doesn't matter if its 1 point or 100.

Without kicking a score though, we have no hope.

One thing we have to our advantage going into this game is that the West Coast brains trust will have absolutely no idea how we will line up.

The more unpredictable we can make it the better.

Weitering forward is an out of the box move...but it just might come off.
It's just a perception but with the chops and changes down back Weitering's 'generalship' just seems to not be as effective as it has been.
With the added pressure the defence has been under he's probably needed to keep his focus on his own opponent rather than directing others.

There's an elephant in the room too that we're probably bit reluctant to address.
There were rumours circulating last year about an apparent 'rift' with Young and Weitering.
Not a personal thing, but more a professional, confidence thing.
We have no idea of the strength of those rumours but it's been interesting with all our defensive woes that they haven't played a lot together in defence in the last twelve months.
When they have played in the same team Young has often been bought in as much as a backup ruck rather than a pure defender.
The explanation may be as Kruddler suggests that they are similar types of defensive players (key forward opponents), albeit Weitering is a couple of levels above.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: cookie2 on August 15, 2024, 01:29:08 pm
I’ve noticed that Weiters has become quite tetchy with some teammates at times during the past few matches. This shows that probably some in the defence have been making bad mistakes, although this has been pretty obvious anyway. Moving him away from defence could make us even more vulnerable. We need to focus more on how to move the ball effectively into our F50 and keeping it there, without exposing our defence imo.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 15, 2024, 02:01:01 pm
Allen, Waterman and Darling are no mugs and without Weitering we would have our hands full down back especially with Allen imho. I'd play Lemmey and Kennedy in the key forward spots and rotate Cripps with Kennedy at FF and  wouldn't be shy to give Cripps extended time there.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 15, 2024, 02:59:34 pm
I’ve noticed that Weiters has become quite tetchy with some teammates at times during the past few matches. This shows that probably some in the defence have been making bad mistakes, although this has been pretty obvious anyway. Moving him away from defence could make us even more vulnerable. We need to focus more on how to move the ball effectively into our F50 and keeping it there, without exposing our defence imo.

The communication in the backline hasn't really been all 'Beer and Skittles" in recent times.
Dirty looks and sprays have been evident.
McGovern wasn't happy with Kemp the other day.

It seems they're not on the same page and that many of the mistakes are probably things that have gone against game strategy.

I also wouldn't discount the fact that all those corkies have left Weitering a little below his best, and struggling a bit with holding it all together.
He may be a little frustrated with his own body and that's reflecting on to team-mates.

Now you would think the worst thing we could do would be to move him. But with him not there it's quite possible the others might feel a little less pressure from his scrutiny and in fact rise to the challenge.

All speculation...I'm happy to let the coaches with a closer understanding of the dynamics to sort it out
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 03:26:00 pm
Allen, Waterman and Darling are no mugs and without Weitering we would have our hands full down back especially with Allen imho. I'd play Lemmey and Kennedy in the key forward spots and rotate Cripps with Kennedy at FF and  wouldn't be shy to give Cripps extended time there.

Its all relative though.

Yes, they have some good forwards, and we have some decent backs.

They have some decent backs and we have no forwards.

Even if we 'break even' in our defence. We will lose the forward battle.
Relying on a guy who hasn't played a game, and a guy who is a midfielder first and foremost (i am a fan of him playing forward BTW).....and is carrying an ankle injury......is NOT a winning strategy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 15, 2024, 03:38:52 pm
The communication in the backline hasn't really been all 'Beer and Skittles" in recent times.
Dirty looks and sprays have been evident.
McGovern wasn't happy with Kemp the other day.

It seems they're not on the same page and that many of the mistakes are probably things that have gone against game strategy.

I also wouldn't discount the fact that all those corkies have left Weitering a little below his best, and struggling a bit with holding it all together.
He may be a little frustrated with his own body and that's reflecting on to team-mates.

Now you would think the worst thing we could do would be to move him. But with him not there it's quite possible the others might feel a little less pressure from his scrutiny and in fact rise to the challenge.

All speculation...I'm happy to let the coaches with a closer understanding of the dynamics to sort it out

Imho we need weiters doing more traffic directing and less doing.

On the weekend he was trying to be everywhere man rather than holding it all together.  Less act, more lead.

Our leaders unfortunately only do.

Our team will change when people in our team lead who are content to sacrifice their game for the good of the team.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 15, 2024, 03:41:11 pm
Imho we need weiters doing more traffic directing and less doing.

On the weekend he was trying to be everywhere man rather than holding it all together.  Less act, more lead..........................................

One reason why Nick Haynes is a better speculative pick up than a kid or VFL player.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 15, 2024, 04:23:34 pm
Its all relative though.

Yes, they have some good forwards, and we have some decent backs.

They have some decent backs and we have no forwards.

Even if we 'break even' in our defence. We will lose the forward battle.
Relying on a guy who hasn't played a game, and a guy who is a midfielder first and foremost (i am a fan of him playing forward BTW).....and is carrying an ankle injury......is NOT a winning strategy.
Not sure our backs are that decent, its a mess back there and not so much due to injuries.
I agree relying on newbies and players playing out of position isnt much of a strategy but we dont have a lot to work with and a few innovative moves is about all we have to surprise WC with.
Im also relying on WC not being great themselves, if we were playing a decent team we would be hammered this week.
It appears Don Pyke will be the new WC coach or maybe Hinkley in a surprise so Im hoping Schofield has checked out and isnt too bothered about strategies or over thinking how to stretch us..
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 04:26:24 pm
Not sure our backs are that decent, its a mess back there and not so much due to injuries.
I agree relying on newbies and players playing out of position isnt much of a strategy but we dont have a lot to work with and a few innovative moves is about all we have to surprise WC with.
Im also relying on WC not being great themselves, if we were playing a decent team we would be hammered this week.
It appears Don Pyke will be the new WC coach or maybe Hinkley in a surprise so Im hoping Schofield has checked out and isnt too bothered about strategies or over thinking how to stretch us..

I think we've been favourites of all the games we've lost in our slump.

We were probably favourites for at least a few rounds before that.

So its highly likely that we've been favourites for each of the last 10 weeks.....or more.

......except this week when the eagles are favourites......the EAGLES!

How far have we fallen.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 15, 2024, 04:55:00 pm
Clubs been in a rough patch lately and not many positives but Elijah Hollands has been a positive and after a rocky start given his off field activities at GC coming to light he has shown thats all in the past and has played some good footy and has a handy set of skills being able to play midfield and half forward. I thought this was a good interview with him, he spoke well and appreciated the support of the playing group and supporters in a uplifting way.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UdmXMF2r20g
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 15, 2024, 05:55:12 pm
As long as he keeps his nose clean! ;)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 15, 2024, 06:20:00 pm
Ch7 showed the Squad heading off to Perth, it consists of every man with two legs, two arms and a pulse.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 15, 2024, 06:23:51 pm
In : Binns, Young, Lord, J Carroll, C Durdin, Lemmey, WIlson, Moir, Akuei

Phewy.

Out : Saad, McKay, Curnow, Martin,, Fogarty, Boyd
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 15, 2024, 06:26:56 pm
Selected back 6 too top heavy

Kemp   Weitering  Newman
Cowan  McGovern   Young

Expect a Kemp or Young (I hope not!) move up forward.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 15, 2024, 06:29:11 pm
Interchange???

Wilson, Lord, , Lemmey, Carroll   Sub  Cincotta    

The need for speed!!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 15, 2024, 06:29:19 pm
In : Binns, Young, Lord, J Carroll, C Durdin, Lemmey, WIlson, Moir, Akuei

Phewy.

Out : Saad, McKay, Curnow, Martin,, Fogarty, Boyd
Thats everyone available bar Mirkov and Monahan
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 15, 2024, 06:30:37 pm
Thats everyone available bar Mirkov and Monahan

Yep. If only Voss, Hansen, Hamill and Luke Power could strap on the boots.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 15, 2024, 06:30:42 pm
Interchange???

Wilson, Lord, , Lemmey, Carroll   Sub  Cincotta    

The need for speed!!

Cincotta is the quickest you've got there, in fact he's one of the quickest at the club!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 15, 2024, 06:35:53 pm
I cannot believe we are in the position that I dont think we can beat West Coast. You just cant make this crap up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 15, 2024, 06:38:28 pm
I cannot believe we are in the position that I dont think we can beat West Coast. You just cant make this crap up.

It's a real possibility. We are fielding a VFL side, and our VFL team is 3rd last on the ladder. We may sneak a win, but there's not much in the lead up to give much hope.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:38:59 pm
Selected back 6 too top heavy

Kemp   Weitering  Newman
Cowan  McGovern   Young

Expect a Kemp or Young (I hope not!) move up forward.

My guess is Kemp and Gov will both be the forward key roles Lemmey will be 2nd ruck IMO. Would worry about Thursday line ups.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:40:05 pm
Yep. If only Voss, Hansen, Hamill and Luke Power could strap on the boots.
Fev and Eddie said they were good to go when tweeting each other....haha
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:41:41 pm
It's a real possibility. We are fielding a VFL side, and our VFL team is 3rd last on the ladder. We may sneak a win, but there's not much in the lead up to give much hope.
3rd last because our ring-ins are no good. Once we got something closer to a fuller VFL side we started winning.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 15, 2024, 06:41:58 pm
I'll take a stab at the interchange bench/sub... as fruitless as it will probably be!

Int: Alex Cincotta, Cooper Lord, Ashton Moir, Jack Carroll. Sub:  Corey Durdin

Emerg: Billy Wilson, Harry Lemmey, Domanic Akuei.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:45:32 pm
Thats everyone available bar Mirkov and Monahan
I reckon the 5 will be Lord, Binns, Cincotta, Lemmey and Carroll. Lemmey as 2nd ruck. Decent form recently.

The only good thing we get to watch stress free expecting nothing. I reckon, with the youth we have in, we'll lift 300% and win just on adrenaline. The key will be keeping that going another week against St.Kilda. Once you can do it, hard twice.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 15, 2024, 06:47:08 pm
I reckon the 5 will be Lord, Binns, Cincotta, Lemmey and Carroll. Lemmey as 2nd ruck. Decent form recently.

Who's the 6th?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:48:25 pm
Nice if they allow us 24. We need it...lol.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:50:46 pm
Of we can somehow make finals we will get a few back week 1 given the bye. Those hammys will need 3 weeks, not the 1-2 the club is telling us.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 15, 2024, 06:51:03 pm
Good experienced heads on every line - Go Blues.

I am expecting we will lose - but never know whether youth can give the older heads something to think about as they need to go the extra yard to set an example and cover for their young mates.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 06:53:06 pm
Good experienced heads on every line - Go Blues.

I am expecting we will lose - but never know whether youth can give the older heads something to think about as they need to go the extra yard to set an example and cover for their young mates.

Tipping us this week as we will be pumped. Next week though...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 15, 2024, 07:01:58 pm
Of we can somehow make finals we will get a few back week 1 given the bye. Those hammys will need 3 weeks, not the 1-2 the club is telling us.

Anyone that says the F word in the next 2 days should get a ban.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 07:03:30 pm
Anyone that says the F word in the next 2 days should get a ban.
There's plenty of F words, after seeing that side, but not the one you are talking about.

Our CHF and FF are 189 and 190cm midfielders.

Yeah, lets draft a few more mids this off-season!!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: BluePhantom on August 15, 2024, 07:06:12 pm
Next man up, next man up, next man up, next, next, next...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 15, 2024, 07:07:14 pm
I want to see Billy, he will really light us up I reckon. First time he breaks away just watch morale lift.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 07:10:01 pm
There is guarnteed to be at least 1 more debutant this week besides Lord.

From the extended bench, 3 will miss out. Yet there is 4 (+Lord) who have yet to debut IIRC

Akuei
Lemmey
Wilson
Moir
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pertz on August 15, 2024, 07:10:42 pm
If we win with this side it will be a minor miracle.
But miracles do happen.
And yes, it will be good to watch without the stress.
If the MC had any sense and aggots, we would have played some of these kids a long time ago.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 15, 2024, 07:11:37 pm
Given the Cooper lord debut announcement video doing the rounds, you'd have to think we will go with young, durdin, carroll, binns, lord and one of moir or Wilson as the sub. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 15, 2024, 07:13:06 pm
I reckon more are going to pull out...not convinced about Walsh or Williams for starters, maybe MaG
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 15, 2024, 07:19:08 pm
I want to see Billy, he will really light us up I reckon. First time he breaks away just watch morale lift.


Prof, I don't see what others see in Billy and will be interested to see how he goes if he does play.
For me Lemmey is the one who I hope plays and can show something because talls are so hard to find and turn into good senior players.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 15, 2024, 07:26:41 pm
Cincotta was injured as well. Looked like Pittonet stepped on his ankle while he was on the ground.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 07:26:59 pm
We are about too with a pair of F/s twins.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 07:28:26 pm
I reckon more are going to pull out...not convinced about Walsh or Williams for starters, maybe MaG
Hope not. Too many more and we won't have 23 to go.

Has a side literally run out of players before? Excluding the drug cheating Don's of course.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 15, 2024, 07:28:32 pm
Some of his in close work in the u18s was very slick, he's a little different to the rest of our midfield crew.  Personally I'd play him as a small defender because we're still very light on in that area.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 15, 2024, 07:30:27 pm
Anyone that says the F word in the next 2 days should get a ban.
Be adventurous...haha.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 15, 2024, 07:31:59 pm

Happy to positive this week. One week at a time.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 07:32:42 pm
Cincotta was injured as well. Looked like Pittonet stepped on his ankle while he was on the ground.

Cincotta ankle
Kennedy ankle
McGovern shoulder
Acres shoulder
Walsh back
Weitering quad

I suspect we also have
Cripps
Pittonet
...who are both labouring (more so than usual) who are far from 100% fit as well.

Corey Durdin coming in isn't fully fit
and
i can't help but think Williams has an injury as well.....maybe i'm just conditioned to think he is injured, as he usually is.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 15, 2024, 07:36:13 pm
Geelong beat us with their entire starting midfield missing first week of ? 94?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 15, 2024, 07:38:31 pm
Geelong beat us with their entire starting midfield missing first week of ? 94?

No Couch, no Bairstow, no Hocking !!! We've won!!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 07:40:36 pm
No Couch, no Bairstow, no Hocking !!! We've won!!

Straight sets with the loss to the Dees as well.

Its heartbreaking disappointment like that which is required to generate the hunger that can produce what the 95 side did.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 15, 2024, 07:41:21 pm
Still some reasonable players running around on Blue, it won't be the picnic Harley might think it is.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 15, 2024, 07:42:46 pm
Quite sure this line up is younger that Wet Toast.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 15, 2024, 07:53:05 pm
Against my better judgment, I’d like to see our Gov play on their Gov.

Our Gov could then trot out the classic “My dad made love to your mum!” line.

Like Prof, I’d like to see Billy Wilson get a run.  He attacks the aggott and has a decent crack.

Like EB, I’d like to see Lemmey line up as a key forward.  He was probably pencilled in for a debut next season but it’s a perfect opportunity to see what he’s got.

While we’re at it, I’d throw Ashton Moir into the mix too.  He played probably his best game last week and a debut ahead of time wouldn’t hurt - perhaps as the sub.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 08:46:16 pm
Quite sure this line up is younger that Wet Toast.
Yep. Across the board.

Average ages....

Starting 18
Eagles - 26.8
Blues - 25.7

Extended bench

Eagles - 22.1
Blues - 21.5

Total extended squad (26 players)

Eagles - 25.3
Blues - 24.4
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 15, 2024, 08:57:46 pm
Some of his in close work in the u18s was very slick, he's a little different to the rest of our midfield crew.  Personally I'd play him as a small defender because we're still very light on in that area.
Ok, maybe I havent worked out where his best position is and as a small defender he might be able to find a role, I wouldnt be sticking him on Liam Ryan though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LordLucifer on August 15, 2024, 09:31:42 pm
Lord in this week, I guess they have to justify the mid season selection. McMahon would have been handier this week.
In any case, go well son.

Pleased to be making my debut this weekend.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 09:32:51 pm
Pleased to be making my debut this weekend.

Geez, i knew we were desperate for fit bodies, but didn't think we were THAT desperate!  >:D  :P
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LordLucifer on August 15, 2024, 09:33:27 pm
If they are taking Lemmey all the way over to the other side of the country then they just have to play him. At 201cm, the Eagles have no-one of that height to manage him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 15, 2024, 09:43:31 pm
If they are taking Lemmey all the way over to the other side of the country then they just have to play him. At 201cm, the Eagles have no-one of that height to manage him.

Lemmey regularly rucks in the VFL and I dare say that he would more effective at giving Pitto a chop out than Young, Cripps and Kennedy.  He can clunk a mark and his kicking for goal is good.  If nothing else, Lemmey would demand a competent key defender and he could bring the ball to ground more often than not.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 15, 2024, 09:45:17 pm
All I ask is that the team that runs out on Sunday "SHOWS SOME FARKEN FIGHT FFS!!!!".
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 15, 2024, 09:47:14 pm
Youthful enthusiasm is a wonderful thing and is probably good for two weeks...... this week and then in front of a home crowd. Bank those 2 wins, take the bye and then bring the cavalry back for the first week of the finals with at least 5 key players well rested and ready to go against an opposition who have not had as much rest as we have, are pretty banged up across the ground and have not had enough time to iron out their niggles. Too simplistic?? We live in hope!!!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 15, 2024, 10:05:15 pm
I think we can win, WC are not that good and Im hoping we show some fight and pride as GTC suggested and Im sure Cripps, Walsh, Weitering and other senior players can lead the kids to a win and redeem some respect after last weeks debacle.
The players owe Voss after last weeks feeble display and another loss wont be tolerated by long suffering fans Im sure.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 15, 2024, 10:49:54 pm
Lemmey regularly rucks in the VFL and I dare say that he would more effective at giving Pitto a chop out than Young, Cripps and Kennedy.  He can clunk a mark and his kicking for goal is good.  If nothing else, Lemmey would demand a competent key defender and he could bring the ball to ground more often than not.

That's a very glowing reference for a bloke I've only seen lowlights from.

Maybe the snippets ive tuned in to see have been anomalies, but I've seen nothing to excite me about him thus far.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 15, 2024, 11:01:32 pm
That's a very glowing reference for a bloke I've only seen lowlights from.

Maybe the snippets ive tuned in to see have been anomalies, but I've seen nothing to excite me about him thus far.

Lemmey shadows Harry at training and he works against Weiters et al at training.  His running patterns are good and he is a good mark.  His kicking for goal is generally very good. 

He can play in defence and he’s a competent ruckman.

I’d say that he’s still a work in progress, but he’s a much better chance of having an impact as a key forward than Hollands, E, Kennedy, McGovern, Kemp or Young.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: shawny on August 15, 2024, 11:03:21 pm
I think we can win, WC are not that good and Im hoping we show some fight and pride as GTC suggested and Im sure Cripps, Walsh, Weitering and other senior players can lead the kids to a win and redeem some respect after last weeks debacle.
The players owe Voss after last weeks feeble display and another loss wont be tolerated by long suffering fans Im sure.

I wish i had your belief EB. We have only beaten north in the last 6-7 weeks and even that win was a struggle and we are now well below full strength.
On current form i would be worried if we fielded our best team let along the one we have available this week.

Hoping im wrong but without being bias i think this week will be a comfortable WC win and will be the end of our year.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 16, 2024, 01:42:53 am
We have alot of smalls in the forward line this week and absolute necessity to have a 201cm key forward around his feet. He may not take a grab and kick a goal but is good enough to provide a contest and thats all you can ask.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 16, 2024, 07:15:56 am
They are taking the p!55 with the line up as named all be it a squad. Kennedy at FF, Elijah at CHF! If its anything like that at the first bounce we have put the cue in the rack and are positioning ourselves for draft picks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 16, 2024, 07:24:01 am
They are taking the p!55 with the line up as named all be it a squad. Kennedy at FF, Elijah at CHF! If its anything like that at the first bounce we have put the cue in the rack and are positioning ourselves for draft picks.

Good luck if your'e a West Coast strategist trying to work out who will line up where. ;)
Keep them guessing. :D
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 07:43:55 am
Good luck if your'e a West Coast strategist trying to work out who will line up where. ;)
Keep them guessing. :D

Can't find a genuine key forward to keep the taller defenders honest?
Don't play one!

I know we have young and potentially lemmey who will fill that role but it always bothers me that teams always try to stick to the traditional setup.

100 years ago it seemed like a good idea so let's just copy that. Big chf. Big ff.

Why not run with 6 smalls? What have we got to lose?

Revolutionise the game. Just don't bomb it long
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: deepbluesee on August 16, 2024, 07:45:35 am
Can't find a genuine key forward to keep the taller defenders honest?
Don't play one!

I know we have young and potentially lemmey who will fill that role but it always bothers me that teams always try to stick to the traditional setup.

100 years ago it seemed like a good idea so let's just copy that. Big chf. Big ff.

Why not run with 6 smalls? What have we got to lose?

Revolutionise the game. Just don't bomb it long

Weather forecast is for very wet, could aid us (hopefully)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 16, 2024, 07:50:32 am
Can't find a genuine key forward to keep the taller defenders honest?
Don't play one!

I know we have young and potentially lemmey who will fill that role but it always bothers me that teams always try to stick to the traditional setup.

100 years ago it seemed like a good idea so let's just copy that. Big chf. Big ff.

Why not run with 6 smalls? What have we got to lose?

Revolutionise the game. Just don't bomb it long

I'd agree but lowering our eyes isn't really a strength of our team.

Nor is our forward pressure.

May as well play a glacial full forward than try use run.  It's not a strength of ours and with the make up of our team this week, you'd be better off with Akuei if nothing else.

At least he's athletic and has leg speed.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 16, 2024, 07:55:30 am
Weather forecast is for very wet, could aid us (hopefully)

Rugby game the night before...ground could be a bit messy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 16, 2024, 08:05:07 am
The Weagles will probably attempt to emulate the Dawks by putting speed on the aggott, with lots of overlap handballs; they'll attempt to run, run, run and exhaust us.

I've heard our coaching and players talk ad nauseam about having more of a focus on our game than that of our opponent, which Teague also exalted. That's rubbish and ignores the first rule of combat - know your enemy, especially his strengths.

I hope the coaches instill a confidence in the group that takes the field on Sunday and a 'hunting' mindset. Enormous tackle pressure is needed; hunting in packs. Then bold, take the game on offense. If our heads are right, we'll get the points.

And FFS, realise that there is no H or Charles, so NO long bombs into the forward line... eyes lowered, many hard leading options provided by the forwards. Please, please forwards when the ball is in dispute in our half - lock it in there; make the game played in our forward half.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 16, 2024, 08:09:38 am
I'd agree but lowering our eyes isn't really a strength of our team.

Nor is our forward pressure.

May as well play a glacial full forward than try use run.  It's not a strength of ours
It's not the team we've built, it's stupid trying to make bulldozers into F1.

I think our vision is fine, but we've b0rked up so many disposals we now have lost confidence, we aren't talking about threading the needle, we have blokes who can't hit a wide open 200cm team-mate from 20m, so we go the long pointless kick to nobody in particular to earn a Dangflog style DE% type stat. Then when the opposition spoil and clear the ball we blame the forwards for a turnover.

Our problem has never been winning clearances, forcing turnovers or making intercepts, were up there with most other clubs if not better than them, our problem is 100% the inability to hit targets consistently. Fans look at stats and think our DE=66% is OK, but that is 2 handballs and a turnover.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LordLucifer on August 16, 2024, 09:21:49 am
"lowered their eyes" ........... I freakin' hate that phrase.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 16, 2024, 09:32:18 am
"lowered their eyes" ........... I freakin' hate that phrase.
I hate "he marked the ball at its highest point". How is that possible when the balls highest point is that the top of its arc before it begins to drop?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: cookie2 on August 16, 2024, 10:04:06 am
"lowered their eyes" ........... I freakin' hate that phrase.
I roll my eyes when I hear that 😁
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: stevie-poo on August 16, 2024, 10:40:24 am
My phone as already started smoking with abusive texts.

The vultures are circling.

L I F T  B A B Y  B A G G E R S ! ! ! !

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Slowhand on August 16, 2024, 10:50:50 am
No 43 to make his debut. Good luck kid....

Dont know about everyone else but Im wrapped to see as couple of shoots playing  O0  O0
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 16, 2024, 11:02:55 am
No 43 to make his debut. Good luck kid....

Dont know about everyone else but Im wrapped to see as couple of shoots playing  O0  O0
We have nothing to lose and everything to gain as we will get to see what these kids have and where they are at.
Some handy players have worn that 43, do it proud son.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 16, 2024, 11:43:58 am
"lowered their eyes" ........... I freakin' hate that phrase.

Maybe you're taking that expression too literally. I believe it simply means to actually use your eyes before launching the aggott into the forward line (rather than kick and hope, or put it on top of the heads of the talls).
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 12:00:14 pm
"lowered their eyes" ........... I freakin' hate that phrase.

What does it actually mean?

I would have thought that every players' eyes are on roughly the same plane  ::)

If it means looking for a passing opportunity, then why not say that?  It's just another meaningless phrase that has crept into the commentators' repertoire.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 16, 2024, 12:08:35 pm
I thought it meant that rather than kick long to the goal square or constantly looking for the KP forward, that you instead go for shorter passes closer to you, usually for the smaller forwards ?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 16, 2024, 12:12:24 pm
I hate "he marked the ball at its highest point".
It the highest point of his jump, not the highest point of the ball trajectory.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: dodge on August 16, 2024, 12:16:39 pm
Took me a long time to work that out!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 16, 2024, 12:17:24 pm
Lemmey shadows Harry at training and he works against Weiters et al at training.  His running patterns are good and he is a good mark.  His kicking for goal is generally very good. 

He can play in defence and he’s a competent ruckman.

I’d say that he’s still a work in progress, but he’s a much better chance of having an impact as a key forward than Hollands, E, Kennedy, McGovern, Kemp or Young.
Yes he is a WIP, his biggest shortcoming at the moment is aerobic capacity, and when he fatigues his competitiveness drops away the same as anybody who is fatigued. But that's common for young KPPs, Harry was the same early, Lemmey is just a kid we need patience. Young would have him covered in this regard.

A key AFL KPF craft is repeat efforts, lead after lead after lead with often the last one being rewarded.

Running the KPFs around the ground is a tactic used by opponents to take repeat efforts out of a KPF's legs, we do it to our own when we have them up the field or in D50 filling B or C-Grade roles, they aren't midfielders. If we ask that of Lemmey he'll blow up before 1/4-time!

If running deep does no harm, why aren't McGovern, Kemp or Weiters in the F50 goal square attempting and taking the odd contested mark? It's because it's impossible to be at both ends in a timely manner, and still be fresh enough to compete strongly.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: deepbluesee on August 16, 2024, 12:17:44 pm
It the highest point of his jump, not the highest point of the ball trajectory.
And I will add that way too many Mark Of The Year contenders have gone to someone who took a chest mark speccy that could have been marked without the big leap and just by putting the arms up (easier said than done of course). I would like an analysis/estimation done of the highest marks taken - that is the ball caught at the highest point. Think Jezza on a ruckman's shoulders with his arms up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 16, 2024, 12:26:43 pm
And I will add that way too many Mark Of The Year contenders have gone to someone who took a chest mark speccy that could have been marked without the big leap and just by putting the arms up (easier said than done of course). I would like an analysis/estimation done of the highest marks taken - that is the ball caught at the highest point. Think Jezza on a ruckman's shoulders with his arms up.
There was a ground level photo of a Dawk who got launched taking a mark with arms straight up, it's luck in that the timing has to be perfect to steal vertical momentum off opponents. But the player was standing on the shoulders of another player who was also about half a body length above the flat footed ruck. That puts the marking hands 3m to 4m above the ruckmen head so 5m or 6m off the ground.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pew2 on August 16, 2024, 01:00:35 pm
60 mm of rain according to harford ,that might help us
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 16, 2024, 01:36:00 pm
My phone as already started smoking with abusive texts.

The vultures are circling.

L I F T  B A B Y  B A G G E R S ! ! ! !


Text back with GAGF :)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 01:56:18 pm
I think we can win, WC are not that good and Im hoping we show some fight and pride as GTC suggested and Im sure Cripps, Walsh, Weitering and other senior players can lead the kids to a win and redeem some respect after last weeks debacle.
The players owe Voss after last weeks feeble display and another loss wont be tolerated by long suffering fans Im sure.

I like your optimism and logic EB. 

A win over the Eagles with our injury-depleted team would be a pretty good indicator of development.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 16, 2024, 01:59:23 pm
It the highest point of his jump, not the highest point of the ball trajectory.
So they should say "he marked the ball at his highest point".
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 02:21:52 pm
What does it actually mean?

I would have thought that every players' eyes are on roughly the same plane  ::)

If it means looking for a passing opportunity, then why not say that?  It's just another meaningless phrase that has crept into the commentators' repertoire.

Its take the shorter, smarter option when its available and not just bomb long and hope.

I've always known it since i was a kid as my dad used to say it, but never known its origin.

I just assumed it had as much to do with looking at the old magnetic whiteboard. Instead of kicking it over the HF line deep into the goals, lower your eyes and see whats in front of you.

In reality, i think its more simple than that. When a player is looking to kick deep, they seem to tilt their head back so their eyes are higher and it gives them more of an ability to see longer.
Lowering them looks at whats in front of you more, rather than over them.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 02:24:27 pm
So they should say "he marked the ball at his highest point".

He marked it at its highest point.....that is physically possible.

That is, the highest point he can reach while jumping at it, rather than waiting for the ball to come down to you you went up and got it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 03:12:58 pm
Its take the shorter, smarter option when its available and not just bomb long and hope.

I've always known it since i was a kid as my dad used to say it, but never known its origin.

I just assumed it had as much to do with looking at the old magnetic whiteboard. Instead of kicking it over the HF line deep into the goals, lower your eyes and see whats in front of you.

In reality, i think its more simple than that. When a player is looking to kick deep, they seem to tilt their head back so their eyes are higher and it gives them more of an ability to see longer.
Lowering them looks at whats in front of you more, rather than over them.

You'd only need to tilt your head back if you were intending to pass to someone in the upper levels.

There might be the odd occasion when a player "doesn't see" a teammate in a good position to mark a pass or receive a a handpass but in 99.9% of cases, the bloke with the ball will have seen every teammate and opponent in at least a 180 degree arc in front of him.  The critical factor is whether the player's brain can evaluate the options and choose the most appropriate in the context of the player's ability to execute the kick, the target's ability to get to the ball's path, the location and ability of defenders, and the chances of a shot at goal or a long bomb succeeding.

Rather the "lower the eyes", it's "choose the right option". 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 03:22:22 pm
You'd only need to tilt your head back if you were intending to pass to someone in the upper levels.

There might be the odd occasion when a player "doesn't see" a teammate in a good position to mark a pass or receive a a handpass but in 99.9% of cases, the bloke with the ball will have seen every teammate and opponent in at least a 180 degree arc in front of him.  The critical factor is whether the player's brain can evaluate the options and choose the most appropriate in the context of the player's ability to execute the kick, the target's ability to get to the ball's path, the location and ability of defenders, and the chances of a shot at goal or a long bomb succeeding.

Rather the "lower the eyes", it's "choose the right option".

I understand what you are saying, but its something that just kinda happens.

Next time you are watching a game of football, take note of it, people do it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 16, 2024, 03:32:56 pm
What does it actually mean?

I would have thought that every players' eyes are on roughly the same plane  ::)

If it means looking for a passing opportunity, then why not say that?  It's just another meaningless phrase that has crept into the commentators' repertoire.
The original context is a call by the coaches for players not to be fixated on the goal posts.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Lods on August 16, 2024, 04:33:22 pm
When I used to kick high I actually looked down...tried to get under the 'ball'.
Otherwise it was straight ahead to see which way Jezza was leading.
Often I'd just ignore him and bang the paper stuffed stocking through the garage doors. :D  :D
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 16, 2024, 04:39:35 pm
What does it actually mean?

I would have thought that every players' eyes are on roughly the same plane  ::)

If it means looking for a passing opportunity, then why not say that?  It's just another meaningless phrase that has crept into the commentators' repertoire.

I don't get the fuss. It's just another footy cliche. It's often used in response to a side that when moving into the forward line and doing the usual thing of kicking long to a tall to no or little avail, rather 'lower your eyes' to assess better/other/shorter options. Don't waste the kick.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 16, 2024, 04:57:54 pm
Rapt to see Moir get a gig. X factor.

In the circumstances I thought Vossy' media conference was good. What are you going to do and think in the situation we find ourselves? Bleat, moan and whinge about injuries -- players who aint there -- or do you search for the pony under all that horse sh*t?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 05:11:34 pm
Emergencies: Lemmey, Akuei, Wilson.

Everyone else is in.

Thats gotta be a slap in the face for Lemmey.

Rather go with no key forwards than him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: cookie2 on August 16, 2024, 05:15:49 pm
I like your optimism and logic EB. 

A win over the Eagles with our injury-depleted team would be a pretty good indicator of development.

Call me crazy but I’m tipping us this week. 🤪
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Gointocarlton on August 16, 2024, 05:40:54 pm
Call me crazy but I’m tipping us this week. 🤪

Technically our reserves side would have beat them if we were talking 6 weeks ago. The Weagles are junk, they sacked their coach FFS. Yet because of the spectacular slide we have managed, they are odds on with the bookies and we (me at least) are calling it season over. I guess we will know a fair bit more about our list come Sunday night. Dumb as dog crap leaving out Lemmey if you ask me thought.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 16, 2024, 05:51:19 pm
Emergencies: Lemmey, Akuei, Wilson.

Everyone else is in.

Thats gotta be a slap in the face for Lemmey.

Rather go with no key forwards than him.

I dont get it leaving Lemmey out, this was a chance to see where he is at and his form hasnt been terrible.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 06:09:05 pm
I dont get it leaving Lemmey out, this was a chance to see where he is at and his form hasnt been terrible.

We would also be playing a similar gamestyle with Lemmey in the CHF/second ruck role that his mentor plays.

I can't see us going with a small forward line so it could be Young in the CHF/second ruck role or one of McGovern or Kemp as a marking target with Young playing in defence and taking a turn in the ruck.

I think it's a missed opportunity, both in getting a game into Lemmey and in giving us a fighting chance. 

Their Gov will be licking his lips at the prospect of playing on Kennedy and/or E Hollands.  He could set a new record for intercept marks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 06:14:01 pm
I don't get the fuss. It's just another footy cliche. It's often used in response to a side that when moving into the forward line and doing the usual thing of kicking long to a tall to no or little avail, rather 'lower your eyes' to assess better/other/shorter options. Don't waste the kick.

Why not simply say "look at the options" or "pick the best option"? 

It's a bit like "shot on goal"; you don't shoot on something, you shoot at it.  A terrible Croweater phrase that has crept into commentary language.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 06:18:07 pm
I dont get it leaving Lemmey out, this was a chance to see where he is at and his form hasnt been terrible.

Perfect chance to give Lemmey a taste.
I would've left out C. Durdin personally.  We know what we're going to get from him, he is young enough to not take it too personally.

Even though i think he's odds on to be delisted, i would've liked to have seen Akeui get a gig as well because what have we got to lose.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: 31Tommys_barber on August 16, 2024, 06:27:03 pm
I also can see us winning. Currently living in Perth looking after grandkids Eagles are as cocky as they come when they are favourites it’s dominating over here about winning 3 in a row helping “ Flagmantle “ blah blah blah
I see the big boys up front being out as a chance to freshen us up to playing a different style going into the forward 50 because lately bombing it long hasn’t been working.
We have become predictable and lazy.
Yeah I’d like them there but they are not. We still have a solid backline in. Our on ballers  are still top 8 quality. We just have to rejig our forward entries. I can see why there not ready for Lemmey to be given a chance too much likely hood of bombing to a big kid expecting Harry or Charlie and this is rolling the dice for finals not being in the bottom 4 and playing the kids to see where there at.
Any team in the 8 can go all the way this year. Injuries are messing with us but with two rounds to go if we can make it and a weeks rest before the finals, get a few soldiers back and you never know.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 16, 2024, 06:28:27 pm
Amazed, actually got the 5 interchange and 3 emergencies right! Do I win a rubber ducky? I thought small Durds would be the sub but looks like it could be Cinc.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 16, 2024, 07:04:02 pm
We would also be playing a similar gamestyle with Lemmey in the CHF/second ruck role that his mentor plays.

I can't see us going with a small forward line so it could be Young in the CHF/second ruck role or one of McGovern or Kemp as a marking target with Young playing in defence and taking a turn in the ruck.

I think it's a missed opportunity, both in getting a game into Lemmey and in giving us a fighting chance. 

Their Gov will be licking his lips at the prospect of playing on Kennedy and/or E Hollands.  He could set a new record for intercept marks.
Was thinking same, senior Gov will have a picnic with us bombing the ball to our smalls. Lemmey just needed to make a contest with his 200cm frame and give other players around him some opportunities in a Mason Cox type of way.
He provides a ruck alternative and I thought he did well at CHB in the VFL, baffling to me how Moir got a game ahead of him.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Sexybronco on August 16, 2024, 07:34:49 pm
Was thinking same, senior Gov will have a picnic with us bombing the ball to our smalls. Lemmey just needed to make a contest with his 200cm frame and give other players around him some opportunities in a Mason Cox type of way.
He provides a ruck alternative and I thought he did well at CHB in the VFL, baffling to me how Moir got a game ahead of him.
Forecast may have a bit to do with his non selection, they’ll have a look at the state of ground after the rugby match and rain on Saturday and decide on whether his a late chance. Not ideal to debut at 200cm if the the conditions are dead against you.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 07:43:38 pm
Forecast may have a bit to do with his non selection, they’ll have a look at the state of ground after the rugby match and rain on Saturday and decide on whether his a late chance. Not ideal to debut at 200cm if the the conditions are dead against you.

That’s a good point but I don’t think the conditions will worry their Gov.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 16, 2024, 07:45:18 pm
Lemmey is a bit glacial but he would make sense particularly if pittonet is iffy.

Probably akuei has the more diverse skillset more suited to giving a go.  Given he is almost gone you'd think playing him would make sense. He can play forward back or ruck but has no idea.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 07:52:06 pm
Lemmey is a bit glacial but he would make sense particularly if pittonet is iffy.

Probably akuei has the more diverse skillset more suited to giving a go.  Given he is almost gone you'd think playing him would make sense. He can play forward back or ruck but has no idea.

Not quite a glowing endorsement Thry 😁
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 16, 2024, 08:03:01 pm
Small Durdin is a long, long way off it based on VFL form, staggered how he got a gig over Cinch and others.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 16, 2024, 09:22:52 pm
Not quite a glowing endorsement Thry 😁
I know but he's the sort of awkward athletic type that can do anything but from what I've seen of him you can't give him a role, he's the most certain delisting I've seen in years.

What he does bring is athleticism though and maybe he might be more useful if we need to swing the magnets around.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 16, 2024, 09:40:53 pm
I know but he's the sort of awkward athletic type that can do anything but from what I've seen of him you can't give him a role, he's the most certain delisting I've seen in years.

What he does bring is athleticism though and maybe he might be more useful if we need to swing the magnets around.

I think he just lacks ability to read the game.  Athleticism doesn’t mean much if you’re never where the ball is.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: laj on August 16, 2024, 09:46:00 pm
Small Durdin is a long, long way off it based on VFL form, staggered how he got a gig over Cinch and others.
I'd rather we actually played a tall forward. Durdin's regular 5 touches will do nothing
 
Once you had picked Moir there was no need for Durdin. I'm sure our MC has no idea. Couldn't pick a side if their life depended on it. Surprised the idiots didn't  pick someome who was injured. Why not play Lemmey, who has decent form in the VFL. He might just get the 5 or 6 touches too but he'll get a goal or two for his trouble as least, and relief ruck.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 10:01:57 pm
I'd rather we actually played a tall forward. Durdin's regular 5 touches will do nothing
 
Once you had picked Moir there was no need for Durdin. I'm sure our MC has no idea. Couldn't pick a side if their life depended on it. Surprised the idiots didn't  pick someome who was injured. Why not play Lemmey, who has decent form in the VFL. He might just get the 5 or 6 touches too but he'll get a goal or two for his trouble as least, and relief ruck.

I reckon there is at least 5 injured players that are playing.

I'm not sure if Durdin is even 100% fit, but he offers us the least IMO.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 16, 2024, 10:33:40 pm
We are scraping the bottom.  Durdin might just have the most afl goals out of our forwards bar owies this week.

He's actually capable.  The problem is he has had stuff all continuity.  At least he's quick.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 16, 2024, 10:50:40 pm
We are scraping the bottom.  Durdin might just have the most afl goals out of our forwards bar owies this week.

He's actually capable.  The problem is he has had stuff all continuity.  At least he's quick.

From our forward 6 as lined up (+ Durdin)

Player - '24 gls - '24gms - Car. gls - Car. gms
Owies - 29.13 - 21 - 85.53 - 70
E. Hollands - 16.6 - 19 - 24.12 - 33
Kennedy - 14.8 - 21 - 55.37 - 115
Williams - 14.6 - 17 - 46.34 - 153
Durdin - 6.4 - 11 - 33.22 - 45
O. Hollands - 5.4 - 20 - 7.8 - 39
Motlop - 4.2 - 4 - 40.15 - 37

Durdin has actually been VERY poor this year and if we're honest, not great over his career to date.
Owies, Kennedy, Williams, E.Hollands and Motlop are giving us more goals/game than Durdin is and with the exception of Owies and recently Motlop, none of the others are permanent forwards. Durdin is only better than O.Hollands in goals/games, and he plays HB/Wing so thats to be expected.

How he got a 2 year deal earlier on this year i don't understand.....especially since Owies remains unsigned.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 17, 2024, 09:49:59 am
Need to cover Allen, Darling and Waterman as their 3 talls...... they can all play a bit!!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Shakin77 on August 17, 2024, 12:37:17 pm
Durdin was drafted as a mid/forward and it's a position we have really struggled with.     I thought he showed signs in 2023 and 2024 was his year to play that half forward role and pitch hit in the middle.   Go from that 9-10 disposal player to 14-16.   He has had a few CBA's but his year has really been a bust.    
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 17, 2024, 01:23:46 pm
Need to cover Allen, Darling and Waterman as their 3 talls...... they can all play a bit!!
I'd add Liam Ryan to that list too not a tall, but a goalkicking threat, if we cant win the stoppages/Clearances and they get decent supply then its going to be a long trip home.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: cookie2 on August 17, 2024, 01:34:28 pm
I'd add Liam Ryan to that list too not a tall, but a goalkicking threat, if we cant win the stoppages/Clearances and they get decent supply then its going to be a long trip home.
Agree. We really need to be up and about and hopefully we won't have players playing with injuries.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 17, 2024, 01:55:23 pm
I'd add Liam Ryan to that list too not a tall,
I'm pegging Liam adds a few victims to our injury list, usually "accidental impact" by hip or shoulder to ribs and head, he'll break some of the lightweights in half, or perhaps he'll target someone like Cripps with a "late spoil!"
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 17, 2024, 02:17:49 pm
Then we run through the ####, I'm sick of being treated as road kill and bullied by faux tough guys.  It started and finished this year against North.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: DJC on August 17, 2024, 02:30:53 pm
Durdin was drafted as a mid/forward and it's a position we have really struggled with.     I thought he showed signs in 2023 and 2024 was his year to play that half forward role and pitch hit in the middle.   Go from that 9-10 disposal player to 14-16.   He has had a few CBA's but his year has really been a bust.

Durdin’s best footy was when he was able to apply manic defensive pressure.  He hasn’t been able to reproduce that and his game has dropped off.  We miss the pressure he put on opposition defenders.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 17, 2024, 03:31:45 pm
Durdin has been injured.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 17, 2024, 03:34:58 pm

Still been involved in 11 games (albeit some as the sub or subbed off), but look at Motlop, 4 goals in 4 games.......and they are games we've been terrible in, not the dominant side that Durdin played in.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 17, 2024, 03:42:48 pm
Still been involved in 11 games (albeit some as the sub or subbed off), but look at Motlop, 4 goals in 4 games.......and they are games we've been terrible in, not the dominant side that Durdin played in.

Zero goals in 2 weeks if that's your measure.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 17, 2024, 03:46:14 pm
Zero goals in 2 weeks if that's your measure.

Pick a category and compare the 2.
The end.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: crashlander on August 17, 2024, 04:00:45 pm
B:  [17] Brodie Kemp  [23] Jacob Weitering  [2] Lachlan Cowan
HB:  [33] Lewis Young  [11] Mitch McGovern  [24] Nic Newman
C:  [25] Jaxon Binns  [9] Patrick Cripps  [13] Blake Acres
HF:  [4] Oliver Hollands  [20] Elijah Hollands  [6] Zac Williams
F: [44] Matthew Owies  [7] Matthew Kennedy  [3] Jesse Motlop
R: [27] Marc Pittonet  [18] Sam Walsh  [29] George Hewett
Int:  [43] Ashton Moir  [36] Cooper Lord  [16] Jack Carroll  [19] Corey Durdin  [39] Alex Cincotta

Em:  [31] Harry Lemmey  [35] Billy Wilson  [41] Domanic Akuei

Lemmey and Wilson were named in the 2's, but I doubt either will play, especially with injury clouds over the heads of so many who are named.
I look at that team and I wonder where the goals are coming from. Even in the wet, you have to have someone to kick the goals. We have a lot of mids, and not much else.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: rocky on August 17, 2024, 04:05:14 pm
If it's wet then that could be to our advantage given the height of our forward line. Just don't kick it long onto their heads. I'd rather they adopt a chaos ball along the ground and let the little blokes crumb. Have to try something out of the box.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Shakin77 on August 17, 2024, 04:49:18 pm
Still been involved in 11 games (albeit some as the sub or subbed off), but look at Motlop, 4 goals in 4 games.......and they are games we've been terrible in, not the dominant side that Durdin played in.

He has been the sub 4 times.

Issue with our small forwards is they just don't get enough of it.   Motlop 8-10 times a game.  Owies 8-9.   Durdin 5-7.   Fantasia 7-8.

Either by design or by ability they all have no impact offensively.    Owies to his credit is an accurate shot at goal and makes the most of his opportunities.    Unlike the rest of our forward line. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Baggers on August 17, 2024, 06:10:05 pm
He has been the sub 4 times.

Issue with our small forwards is they just don't get enough of it.   Motlop 8-10 times a game.  Owies 8-9.   Durdin 5-7.   Fantasia 7-8.

Either by design or by ability they all have no impact offensively.    Owies to his credit is an accurate shot at goal and makes the most of his opportunities.    Unlike the rest of our forward line. 

Not so sure it's the fault of the small forwards. Our entire front half offense seems to be to 'kick it to Charlie, kick it to H,' and opposition side know that and set up accordingly and defend accordingly. Our small forwards try to get to the feet of H and Charlie, but, again, opposition defenses put plenty of time into being at the feet of H and Charlie to negate or shark it from our small forwards.

Vossy made that same error at BrisVegas... everything was about Jono B and Fev.

Tomorrow we get a look at our side with a smaller forward line and how the blokes up field respond to that. High kicks into our forward line will be picked up nicely by the Weagles defense. Will be intriguing to see our offensive strategy tomorrow arvo.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 17, 2024, 06:46:13 pm
Pick a category and compare the 2.
The end.

Both have had disappointing years.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 17, 2024, 07:08:35 pm
I suppose we could ask, are they unlucky to play in poor results, or are they the cause of poor results.

But no matter the answer they aren't performing to AFL standards.

Other than Owies, are any of the other potential SFs regularly playing at AFL standard, the answer seems to be no!

Obviously, we aren't discussing Williams or E Hollands in this category, most would see them as utilities. In some way those two seemingly more effective in F50 crumbing roles is another damning observation about of SFs.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 17, 2024, 07:15:01 pm
At the start of this round, we were first in points for. If we apply the logic of "if it ain't broke.....", then our forward structure and personnel appear to be working well. I understand the arms race that is professional sport, and a large part of continuous improvement is also continuous finding fault. But if time and resources are limited (as they most surely are), then we need to focus on defending, whether it's stoppage / D50 / clearance, which is really killing us.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: LP on August 17, 2024, 07:25:38 pm
At the start of this round, we were first in points for. If we apply the logic of "if it ain't broke.....", then our forward structure and personnel appear to be working well.
I'd argue that in the context of our poor ball use entering F50, we should be even further ahead for points for.

We have two Coleman Medallists in F50, only Geelong have that at this time, yet as you point out we've scored heavier than Geelong.

We have a Midfield that is typically dominant, feeding two Coleman medallists, with centre clearance dominance.

Much like Brad Scott described CheatsFC as underperforming in context of clearance dominance, so have we despite being strong in points for, it's easy to see our positive points for result and become complacent.

Now the numbers in isolation are relatively small differences, but when you consider how many close results we've lost, 5 or 6 under two goals, a dozen or two extra scores from centre clearances could make a huge difference. Put a couple of decent ball users on the end of Cripps, Walsh, Cerra, Hewett, etc., etc.. and we could be sitting pretty.

Finally, for me it's not just how many are effective F50 entries, it's the how and where, given such dominance a lot of our successful entries are wide and shallow, it just shouldn't be the case. Some of the poor results get masked by Charlie's accuracy at long range.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: kruddler on August 17, 2024, 08:52:11 pm

One because hes been injured.
One because hes been crap
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 17, 2024, 08:53:09 pm
People moan about our smalls but Charlie is capable of roving to himself and snapping quickly.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Thryleon on August 17, 2024, 08:54:44 pm
One because hes been injured.
One because hes been crap
neither have been fit.

Durdin works harder defensively than motlop.  He might kick more if he was lazier and reserved his efforts for see ball get ball kick goal but let's not let that get in the way.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on August 17, 2024, 09:00:27 pm
Durdins problem is he can't get the ball enough during a game, a couple of extra tackles doesn't make up for the lack of possessions. We need a small forward like Ginnivan who can work up the ground and get his 15 possies and help the midfielders deliver the ball forward.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: madbluboy on August 17, 2024, 09:33:59 pm
One because hes been injured.
One because hes been crap

Both injured, both struggled.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: pinot on August 17, 2024, 10:25:55 pm
Corey Durdin is no where near productive enough for AFL football
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: townsendcalling on August 18, 2024, 03:50:53 pm
If it's a wet track, what out for Williams, he seems to revel in those confitions.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Professer E on August 18, 2024, 04:04:01 pm
I dunno why the cokers are walking around with the head wobbles, still a few decent players running around for the blues, suspect Cripps might take the nasty pills today too.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: Micky0 on August 18, 2024, 04:36:20 pm
Anyone else quietly a little terrified about what might happen today 😣
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: PaulP on August 18, 2024, 04:37:45 pm
Anyone else quietly a little terrified about what might happen today 😣

A little.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 23 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs West Coast in Perth
Post by: dodge on August 18, 2024, 04:38:17 pm
Not terrified, resigned to what's about happen. WC comfortably.