Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on September 06, 2024, 09:56:11 pm
Title: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: crashlander on September 06, 2024, 09:56:11 pm
We haven't won an interstate final yet.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tex on September 07, 2024, 07:40:01 pm
Neale on fire early. Good call MC.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 07, 2024, 07:41:43 pm
Pittonet getting slaughtered in the air
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: shawny on September 07, 2024, 07:42:47 pm
Time to sub dopey pit for tdk
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 07, 2024, 07:47:26 pm
Terrible start
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 07:49:55 pm
Saad exposed for having no right foot.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 08:12:17 pm
The players brought back from a long break have been poor and/or apprehensive, the forwards are getting outmarked with ease and there is not one Carlton player prepared to chase or tackle.
If you are going to get beaten, at least go down swinging, this is marshmallow territory !!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 07, 2024, 08:14:53 pm
They're all getting slaughtered in the air. We have no air support.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: BluePhantom on September 07, 2024, 08:18:31 pm
Always kicking to McKay, always 2 on 1
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: BluePhantom on September 07, 2024, 08:25:31 pm
Who the f$ck thought TDK as sub was a good idea?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: BluePhantom on September 07, 2024, 08:26:31 pm
Fu$k this club, we are putrid
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 08:26:55 pm
Kennedy subbed out of the match 8mins into the second quarter, why the feck was he selected in the first place then ??
Our selection team must have thought they were life members of Mensa with their "forward thinking" but they have come off looking like entitled twats with no friggen idea !!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 07, 2024, 08:27:15 pm
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: BluePhantom on September 07, 2024, 08:30:39 pm
I hear Hinkley is available.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: BluePhantom on September 07, 2024, 08:31:47 pm
Well, then why is he playing then.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pinot on September 07, 2024, 08:33:16 pm
Why is Kennedy subbed and not Pitto?
We are getting slaughtered around the ball - especially ground balls.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 08:34:20 pm
If supporters think we have the players to challenge for a flag then they are sadly deluded and need to take the navy-blue goggles off.
Our coaching staff are a rabble, the match committee and their prowess is beyond inept and the palyers just don't have the heart and 'fire in the belly' to be a serious threat.
Blow the place up or merge with the Gold Coast, this is the most embarrassing episode I've ever seen and I have been following this club for over 60-years.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 08:39:07 pm
This is the POST game thread
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 08:54:39 pm
The decision to not play Cincotta, Lord & Moir was extremely telling tonight.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 08:54:57 pm
I'll refrain from giving the full ten barrels right now but there cannot be any glossing over any of this performance tonite and the lead-up to it.
In fact this has been an extremely embarrassing & lacklustre second half of the season and there is no acceptable reason why it happened
There has to be a serious review of our coaches, match committee & playing list now because it beggars belief how we have gone from raging flag favourites to winning only two more matches for the season and they were against the two bottom teams.
We only fell into a finals spot because Freo crapped their dacks, we didn't earnt it and we played like that tonite.
There is so much more to write but I am far too livid, gutted & embarrassed by what this club has given us this season, enough's enough, we have been bypassed by the Hawks already.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 07, 2024, 10:22:02 pm
The next step in our evolution is to be able to play more than half a season of winning footy. Whether the issues are psychological, physical, fitness, injury etc. I don't know. Voss is acutely aware that inconsistency is killing us.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 07, 2024, 10:24:50 pm
The next step in our evolution is to be able to play more than half a season of winning footy. Whether the issues are psychological, physical, fitness, injury etc. I don't know. Voss is acutely aware that inconsistency is killing us.
We won plenty of footy in the first half, and turned it over, mostly from clear disposals.
The Lions must have scored more than half their goals from Carlton players giving them direct possession of the footy from a clear disposal, blind Freddy can see it happening, and it's been that way for more than half of this season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 10:25:31 pm
The next step in our evolution is to be able to play more than half a season of winning footy. Whether the issues are psychological, physical, fitness, injury etc. I don't know. Voss is acutely aware that inconsistency is killing us.
The evolution is to add depth to our talls (and others) so we dont feel the need to play them when they shouldnt be played and run them into the ground and ruin our season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: cookie2 on September 07, 2024, 10:28:33 pm
Disgraceful overall performance. Time for much introspection and reflection. A lot of work needed to prepare for next year. I’ve just about had enough, at least for the time being.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Micky0 on September 07, 2024, 10:29:52 pm
Zorko just asked if he was surprised Cincotta wasn’t played and he laughed. They expected a run with and we didn’t bother.
Seriously MC WTF did Cincotta do wrong to be DROPPED for this game, after being superb all season?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 07, 2024, 10:30:48 pm
Embarrassing effort and clearly we had players who were unfit and should never have played and we should have kept some of the kids in the team who had earned their spots. A MC blunder and was a gamble we were never going to win and our fitness through the season has to be questioned and how we got to this position as does our list management which left us short of talls in key areas which cost us games and forced us into an elimination final interstate after being in second place. Brisbane were not amazing even early we were just terrible and thats inexcusable in a cut throat final. No point dwelling on it though and we need to hit trade week hard and clear the deadwood and at least have a list of fitter player for next season for the coach to work with. Id be moving on a few more players than just the obvious injury prone crew as well...
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 07, 2024, 10:31:38 pm
Zorko just asked if he was surprised Cincotta wasn’t played and he laughed. They expected a run with and we didn’t bother.
Seriously MC WTF did Cincotta do wrong to be DROPPED for this game, after being superb all season?
He was made for Lachie Neale.....just another game we lost at the MC table.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 10:32:11 pm
This season has been the most disappointing, more than in the crap years, as we were so well positioned to win the whole thing and it just exploded in our faces due to Russell and Voss/MC. Essentially, utter mismanagement in those areas. They should be ashamed and embarrassed.
Voss/MC and Russell can go and well and truly get @#$##!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: crashlander on September 07, 2024, 10:32:29 pm
I hate losing, especially to Brisbane, but I can be happy for the last half: we stood up when other teams this weekend (Port and Bulldogs) just gave up. If we hadn't been blown away in the first half ... :-[ :-[ >:(
We really stuffed up with our selections. The Match Committee have some serious work to do. Picking half-fit players is just not smart, no matter how desperate we were. We also have some players who need to take a good, hard look at themselves, some coaches who need some tactical brilliance (we don't have much) and a lot of work on our skills and fitness. The last weeks of this season have been a disaster.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: JonDorotich on September 07, 2024, 10:32:53 pm
So much to do
Game plan is predictable and easy to counter We lack pace everywhere We lack athletes, with many of our starting side having no visible muscle tone We lack a mobile key tall back Small forwards are laughable
I won’t go into naming each player that isn’t up to it as it’s plain for everybody to see.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 07, 2024, 10:36:17 pm
Goaless 1st qtr, too many passengers (Durdin, Motlop, Kemp, Williams, Acres for 2 qtrs, TDK sub. EOS
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 07, 2024, 10:38:15 pm
The Sub had nothing to do with the 1st half, that debate is a smokescreen.
We were much better when we had both rucks on the ground.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 10:39:07 pm
Embarrassing effort and clearly we had players who were unfit and should never have played and we should have kept some of the kids in the team who had earned their spots. A MC blunder and was a gamble we were never going to win and our fitness through the season has to be questioned and how we got to this position as does our list management which left us short of talls in key areas which cost us games and forced us into an elimination final interstate after being in second place.
Its hardly surprising.
Majority of us were in agreement that the MC stuffed up with the teams were first announced. A sentiment I and others repeated when TDK was named sub.
You can't win a game at the selection table, but you can lose them.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 07, 2024, 10:39:46 pm
Goaless 1st qtr, too many passengers (Durdin, Motlop, Kemp, Williams, Acres for 2 qtrs, TDK sub. EOS
MC and coaching fail...too many unfit players and too many changes. We looked a mess all night and the end scoreboard flattered us, and the sad aspect is Brisbane are not that good.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 10:40:47 pm
The Sub had nothing to do with the 1st half, that debate is a smokescreen.
We were much better when we had both rucks on the ground.
We were. But thats because before that we had Kemp as a key forward. Therein lies the problem.
Had we started with TDK forward, with Harry, its a different game. Swap Pitto and TDK ruck/forward and its a different game. Even Pitto contributed in front of goals late.
You NEVER pick a ruck as a sub.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 10:42:00 pm
The Sub, whoever is in the Sub seat, has no bearing on what happened in the first half for us tonight, and they have no bearing on the result before they get on the ground.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 10:43:19 pm
Disgraceful overall performance. Time for much introspection and reflection. A lot of work needed to prepare for next year. I’ve just about had enough, at least for the time being.
Im with you cookie. Its so hard to fail year after year after year when we have endured the longest rebuild known to mankind. We should have been contesting for the flag this year there is no stand out team it would have been a great year to strike but again when it matters we fall short. Sure injuries late in the year made it harder but serious teams dont drop the games we did when injuries werent an issue.
And to see teams like geelong and hawthorn still alive just makes it that much harder to accept.
Need some big gutsy changes if we are going to go further next year. The current list (injuries or not) wont take us deep into finals so be interesting to see what the club does to change things in the off season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 07, 2024, 10:44:08 pm
If the MC has something to explain, it's playing blokes who weren't fit, and persisting with blokes who have hardly touched it all season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 10:44:59 pm
The Sub, whoever is in the Sub seat, has no bearing on what happened in the first half for us tonight, and they have no bearing on the result before they get on the ground.
Still don't pick a ruck as a sub. Pick someone who can come on fresh that has some run. Like the damage Campbell did to GWS today when he come on.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 10:45:17 pm
Still don't pick a ruck as a sub. Pick someone who can come on fresh that has some run. Like the damage Campbell did to GWS today when he come on.
Focussing on the Sub is a distraction, it's completely missing the point of what went wrong for the first 50 minutes.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 07, 2024, 10:49:13 pm
Some "experts" on here want to make the Sub about the rucks, they are sh1t talkers, they signalled this intent even before the first ball was bounced.
In that regard with TDK on the bench we basically went with the "experts" preferred option, one ruck and an extra Mids to run and link up, and had our arse handed to us to the tune of almost 10 goals!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 10:49:22 pm
The Sub, whoever is in the Sub seat, has no bearing on what happened in the first half for us tonight, and they have no bearing on the result before they get on the ground.
The sub had no bearing on what happened.
But the player who was the sub, should never be the sub. He was needed as a 2nd forward / ruck. The TEAM needed a 2nd forward / ruck.
Now either TDK was ready to play or he wasn't.
If he is ready, he plays in the 22. if he isn't ready, he is not in the 23. He does not play as the 23rd player.
If you wanted to swap TDK and Kemp, that i can accept a bit better, still not ideal, but its better. If you wanted to swap TDK and Kennedy, that is a bit better again, still not ideal, but offers plenty of versatility.
TDK as sub (or Pittonet) or any other ruck doesn't work. Especially when you haven't got 2 key forwards on the ground.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 07, 2024, 10:50:11 pm
Im with you cookie. Its so hard to fail year after year after year when we have endured the longest rebuild known to mankind. We should have been contesting for the flag this year there is no stand out team it would have been a great year to strike but again when it matters we fall short. Sure injuries late in the year made it harder but serious teams dont drop the games we did when injuries werent an issue.
And to see teams like geelong and hawthorn still alive just makes it that much harder to accept.
Need some big gutsy changes if we are going to go further next year. The current list (injuries or not) wont take us deep into finals so be interesting to see what the club does to change things in the off season.
The concern is too if we run with the same list we are probably going to be passed by a couple of other teams who will improve like Hawthorn have and we could be battling to make the eight.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 10:52:35 pm
Some "experts" on here want to make the Sub about the rucks, they are sh1t talkers, they signalled this intent even before the first ball was bounced.
In that regard with TDK on the bench we basically went with the "experts" preferred option, one ruck and an extra Mids to run and link up, and had our arse handed to us to the tune of almost 10 goals!
There is only 1 crap talker on here.
Every man and his dog is in agreement.
TDK and Pitto both needed to play because Charlie didn't. I said as much, as did plenty of other '1-ruckers' when the side was picked.
You are a fan of dunning-kruger. Look in the mirror and you'll see the picture next to the explanation.
You are so far off the mark its embarrassing. YOUR focus on the ruck is the issue here.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 10:53:52 pm
Something else that has been on my mind ........
Who here considers an elimination final a "handicap event" ??
Because that's how our players approached it .............. if you have forgotten what the scoreline was late in the second quarter, it was 60-0 ............ yes, that's right, we gave the Lions a 10-goal headstart ...................... and it went on for so long that it appeared that our players weren't even affected or angry by that situation .......... it was a goodam cut-throat final FFS, where was the discipline, the fight & the will-to-win when the game was still there to be won.
60-0
60-0
60-0
And those guys get paid exorbitant amounts of money too !!
Some papers were stamped tonight, there will be casualities, or there should be.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 10:54:02 pm
Who here considers an elimination final a "handicap event" ??
Because that's how our players approached it .............. if you have forgotten what the scoreline was late in the second quarter, it was 60-0 ............ yes, that's right, we gave the Lions a 10-goal headstart ...................... and it went on for so long that it appeared that our players weren't even affected or angry by that situation .......... it was a goodam cut-throat final FFS, where was the discipline, the fight & the will-to-win when the game was still there to be won.
60-0
60-0
60-0
And those guys get paid exorbitant amounts of money too !!
Some papers were stamped tonight, there will be causalities, or there should be.
It had already become a handicap event at team selection.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Micky0 on September 07, 2024, 10:55:33 pm
The concern is too if we run with the same list we are probably going to be passed by a couple of other teams who will improve like Hawthorn have and we could be battling to make the eight.
Yep.
I fear we have missed our opportunity for a Cripps premiership 😔
Not all players can do all things - but for a start, clear out the injured players. Enough.
And sorry but clear out players that cannot be trusted / I’m talking McG, Williams, Pittonent, even Cerra and maybe Acres.
Ye some of the best might win you a game. But consistently do not provide enough.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: shawny on September 07, 2024, 10:58:38 pm
He was made for Lachie Neale.....just another game we lost at the MC table.
EB do you really think our list is that good that we flip a 60-0 start by changing one or 2 selections. I wish i agreed but we have more issues then MC selections imo. We fans seem to think our problems would be solved by a smarter coach better selection's etc however maybe the list has more holes then we think. We don't have the overall talent to challenge the best teams when it matters. We fail year in year out mate. We just aren't good enough for long enough.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 07, 2024, 10:59:27 pm
It had already become a handicap event at team selection.
I wholeheartedly agree with you but you cannot just play like a limp lettuce for near on a half and gift the opposition a 10-goal headstart, it was a ludicrous scenario all-round.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: spf on September 07, 2024, 11:00:12 pm
I fear Hawthorn have gone past us this year. We will know for certain whether they have had a blessed run, or they have genuinely jumped a level in the first half of 2025, but they look so much better than Carlton.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Micky0 on September 07, 2024, 11:00:22 pm
^ acres, cerra - they’re such good players when they play well but when they don’t - and when acres does crap kicks it just kills us. Newman at times too just wasn’t reliable! Senior players need to be reliable! Not flashy but just do not kick it directly time and again to our disadvantage.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 11:02:21 pm
EB do you really think our list is that good that we flip a 60-0 start by changing one or 2 selections. I wish i agreed but we have more issues then MC selections imo. We fans seem to think our problems would be solved by a smarter coach better selection's etc however maybe the list has more holes then we think. We don't have the overall talent to challenge the best teams when it matters. We fail year in year out mate. We just aren't good enough for long enough.
We didn't need to flip the 60-0 start. Just limit it to 30-0.
But we handicaped ourselves with the team we picked. TBH, i think its a minor miracle there was no injuries, but even that withstanding, we handicapped ourselves with a couple selections that would've made SOME difference. How much will never be known.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 07, 2024, 11:02:46 pm
There is that but it is still a mind boggling decision.
Don't let these imbeciles drag you into a stupid debate.
For the first quarter we hardly had the ball forward of centre, and at one stage it was 15 / 20 Lion's I50s to just 4 for us. It wouldn't matter if we had Charlie, Harry, Carey, Lockett and Dunstall inside F50!
As for blaming the 1st 50 minutes on the Sub selection as a ruck, it's stupidity, the Sub could have been Judd, Dusty, Ablett, any fecker anybody likes, they had no bearing on the first 50 or so minutes of the game. And it made no difference if the Sub was a ruck, rover, utility, fullback or tagger.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 11:04:25 pm
^ acres, cerra - they’re such good players when they play well but when they don’t - and when acres does crap kicks it just kills us. Newman at times too just wasn’t reliable! Senior players need to be reliable! Not flashy but just do not kick it directly time and again to our disadvantage.
Acres was fine. He has been playing with a dodgy shoulder for most of his career at carlton. He reinjured it about 6 weeks ago. He hurt it again in Q1 or Q2. Yet he keeps putting his body on the line, gut running the length of the ground and being our goal keeper.
Yes, his kicking can be average, but he's improved that this year. I think he suffers from 'jelly legs' from all the running he does.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 07, 2024, 11:06:26 pm
Don't let these imbeciles drag you into a stupid debate.
For the first quarter we hardly had the ball forward of centre, and at one stage it was 15 / 20 Lion's I50s to just 4 for us. It wouldn't matter if we had Charlie, Harry, Carey, Lockett and Dunstall inside F50!
As for blaming the 1st 50 minutes on the Sub selection, it's stupidity, the Sub could have been Judd, Dusty, Ablett, any fecker anybody likes, they had no bearing on the first 50 or so minutes of the game. And it made no difference if the Sub was a ruck, rover, utility, fullback or tagger.
This is what.....the 4th time you've said as much now.
Nobody is blaming the first 50 minutes on the sub decision.
The 2 are seperate debates.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pinot on September 07, 2024, 11:12:42 pm
We got smashed in the clearances fiorst half no surprise when TDK came on gave us some leverage. It is the players it is the mix of players It is the consistency to build cohesion between the players.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 07, 2024, 11:16:28 pm
I thought after Thurs night I wouldnt see a worse finals showing, our first qtr and a bit was the worst performance I have ever seen. No pressure, no intensity, no desperation, its as disappointed as I have been watch us play. The game was done and dusted at qtr time, I could not believe what I was seeing. Gutless.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 11:21:00 pm
I fear we have missed our opportunity for a Cripps premiership 😔
Not all players can do all things - but for a start, clear out the injured players. Enough.
And sorry but clear out players that cannot be trusted / I’m talking McG, Williams, Pittonent, even Cerra and maybe Acres.
Ye some of the best might win you a game. But consistently do not provide enough.
We need just enough of a tweak to put pace, run and spread into the side. Essentially structural. We have pace but they are all in the VFL. They got let out for the 2 last games to show us something different and did well and added paced and run. Also a fitness guru that doesn't injure half the side. Those blokes you picked out aren't going anywhere. We don't have enough rucks for starters to lose Pitto, plus he is signed for 4 years. Those others are very good when fit. They are all signed too.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Micky0 on September 07, 2024, 11:21:40 pm
I thought after Thurs night I wouldnt see a worse finals showing, our first qtr and a bit was the worst performance I have ever seen. No pressure, no intensity, no desperations, its as disappointed as I have been watch us play. The game was done and dusted at qtr time, I could not believe what I was seeing.
Defeated before the first bounce.
Had we had a mixture of a few ins and the usuals in maybe we could see past the game, but I think those on the ground knew there wasn’t much left.
I don’t care for what why if or buts the reality is the conditioning fitness or any other reason the group capitulated after being second on the ladder was either extremely unlucky or extremely incompetent - not acceptable.
We need just enough of a tweak to put pace, run and spread into the side.
@laj we won plenty of footy in the 1st-half, and got clear possession, the problem isn't run.
Have a read of the post I made in the List Management (https://www.carltonsc.com/index.php?topic=6683.msg424199#msg424199) thread 5 hours before the game, then re-watch the first 40 to 50 minutes. Run had nothing to do with it, run hasn't been a big part of our problem all season, it's another smokescreen masking the real problems!
We burn the footy, when we win plenty of footy and when in the lead we burn the footy, when we are behind and fighting for possessions to get back in the game we burn the footy. It happens over and over again. We fight and win clear possession and the disposal goes to the opposition, watch the Lions by comparison, they win the footy and the first disposal goes to a target.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 07, 2024, 11:27:45 pm
Had we had a mixture of a few ins and the usuals in maybe we could see past the game, but I think those on the ground knew there wasn’t much left.
I don’t care for what why if or buts the reality is the conditioning fitness or any other reason the group capitulated after being second on the ladder was either extremely unlucky or extremely incompetent - not acceptable.
If you cant get yourself fired up for final and be ready to run through brick walls from the opening bounce, go and choose another occupation. Im being critical here but I was a little disappointed at the leadership in the first qtr. It needed someone (or two) to stand up and do something.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pertz on September 07, 2024, 11:28:03 pm
EB do you really think our list is that good that we flip a 60-0 start by changing one or 2 selections. I wish i agreed but we have more issues then MC selections imo. We fans seem to think our problems would be solved by a smarter coach better selection's etc however maybe the list has more holes then we think. We don't have the overall talent to challenge the best teams when it matters. We fail year in year out mate. We just aren't good enough for long enough.
That last sentence sums it up. Nuff said. Hawthorn has gone past us with a bunch of kids. Our team is loaded with one paced players. Many are good players , but they couldn't spread butter on their toast let alone on the ground. Until some pace and (quality) youth is injected into the team, we'll be middle of the table.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Professer E on September 07, 2024, 11:31:30 pm
Entire MC should be called in and sacked at 9 am Monday.
Don't pick injured players. Don't pick players clearly out of form.
Aaaaaaaaaaagh. ******G idiots.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 07, 2024, 11:32:16 pm
EB do you really think our list is that good that we flip a 60-0 start by changing one or 2 selections. I wish i agreed but we have more issues then MC selections imo. We fans seem to think our problems would be solved by a smarter coach better selection's etc however maybe the list has more holes then we think. We don't have the overall talent to challenge the best teams when it matters. We fail year in year out mate. We just aren't good enough for long enough.
I think we could have put up a better effort Shawny with better planning and selection, we were never going to win imho and I totally agree we need more talent but there is no use having extreme talent if your MC and coaching staff are not able to get the basics right which are a picking a fit team and having the majority of them in the right positions. I want a reset of the list and a cull of players who are not going to take us any further and we need an injection of fresh players to rebuild depth in our weak areas which we all know about.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Micky0 on September 07, 2024, 11:37:54 pm
If you cant get yourself fired up for final and be ready to run through brick walls from the opening bounce, go and choose another occupation. Im being critical here but I was a little disappointed at the leadership in the first qtr. It needed someone (or two) to stand up and do something.
They obviously felt there was fk all left to do next week and then potentially the week after!
Zero belief!
Terrible display!
Who’s the leadership group? Cripps, Walsh, Weiters, Newman.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 11:38:49 pm
@laj we won plenty of footy in the 1st-half, and got clear possession, the problem isn't run.
Have a read of the post I made in the List Management (https://www.carltonsc.com/index.php?topic=6683.msg424199#msg424199) thread 5 hours before the game, then re-watch the first 40 to 50 minutes. Run had nothing to do with it, run hasn't been a big part of our problem all season, it's another smokescreen masking the real problems!
We burn the footy, when we win plenty of footy and are in the lead we burn the footy, when we are behind and fighting for possessions to get back in the game we burn the footy. It happens over and over again. We fight and win clear possession and the disposal goes to the opposition, watch the Lions by comparison, they win the footy and the first disposal goes to a target.
Pace and run is a problem generally, not just tonight. Our biggest drawback.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 07, 2024, 11:38:51 pm
That's about the 4th or 5th time this season Neale has done the charge into high contact sh1t, and the 2nd time against us.
If players are going to be reported by him doing this, they might as well start making it worthwhile!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 07, 2024, 11:50:05 pm
EB do you really think our list is that good that we flip a 60-0 start by changing one or 2 selections. I wish i agreed but we have more issues then MC selections imo. We fans seem to think our problems would be solved by a smarter coach better selection's etc however maybe the list has more holes then we think. We don't have the overall talent to challenge the best teams when it matters. We fail year in year out mate. We just aren't good enough for long enough.
Picking fit players turns that 60-0 into something much, much better, even on a bad day. Doesn't even get to half that much. Half fit, underdone, out of form players will always be left behind when the contest is at it's hottest as we found.
As for not being good enough, when you sit 2nd, 6pts clear with 7 matches left, and last year essentially 20pts from a premiership (16 PF + 4 GF) you are more than good enough. When your fitness guru injures much of your squad, then the coach/MC keep picking half fit, out of form big names then it blows up in your face. What it has done is produce one of the great wastes of a season ever in my memory Need people hauled right over the coals for it. What we need is some pace and run added to the side, like the one's who played the last 2 weeks. Makes a difference.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 07, 2024, 11:59:58 pm
I want to make a point here.
We played from the outset like a team that didn't believe it could win.
That's not a player issue, that's an MC problem.
Don't look at other teams and how they're going. Last year they said similar about us until we ran into a real side and half our team had broken down. The variance is they're fit. Our boys are not. We played a quarter again. With Charlie in its effectively what we had done all year playing a quarter of blistering footy.
Matt Kennedy was subbed off halfway through the second quarter and did more than quite a few of our smalls. Disgraceful.
Our normally reliable defense was very poor early. Sure weight of numbers and all that, but I think it was weitering who early on made a couple of uncharacteristic errors which we never came back from.
Honourable mention to the umpires. The melee and neale getting hit was caused by the inability to see an elbow to the head by rayner who decided to go dirty on nic Newman. Umpire saw it, should have reversed the mark/free kick as it happened on the wing in front of us, but he decided to play it on. Next minute players are punching on. Idiots. Do your jobs.
They screwed us over a couple of times. With some missed holding the ball tackles, of course in our forward 50.
Also that bar area behind the goals, ditch it. Make it for fans and put the wankers somewhere else.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: crashlander on September 08, 2024, 12:29:45 am
[1] We need to address the structural problems out team has: (a) a general lack of pace. (b) lack of a tall, athletic defender. (c) Lack of pace in the midfield. (d) lack of small forwards who can keep the ball in and kick crumbing goals.
[2] Our MC needs to look at the decisions they've made. As was noted earlier, it is hard for them to win a game, but they can certainly go a long way to losing a game by making poor decisions and designing a line-up with major structural issues. We also don't demote guys who are playing poorly enough, nor are we rewarding good VFL form. We usually promote guys when they've past their form peaks.
[3] Our coaching staff has been pretty good over the last couple of years, but they don't appear to have a lot of tactical brilliance. We need to address that. We need to be able to react quicker when things go wrong. We don't tend to make many positional changes and they generally don't gel, because the players are neither prepared for them nor do they respond as they should.
[4] Our skills need a lot of work. Looking at Sydney and GWS, their skills are better than ours. They don't make the same mistakes twenty times. Their handball is on a totally different level to ours; they find guys when ours don't.
[5] Our fitness level is fine, but we need more of our players on the park more often. Hopefully the new guy can keep our injury numbers down.
[6] Intensity: the fanaticism towards the ball and the man could be seen easily in the GWS-Sydney game, especially. We need that. We've rarely played with that commitment, even at our best. We're not going to win a flag until we can show the same level of commitment and desire to get the ball at all costs.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LoveNavy on September 08, 2024, 01:35:56 am
Chiming in from Edinburgh. The disappointment and the fury are palpable from here.
I didn't expect to win with a battered list but hoped we'd make turn up. Sounds like our performance was sub-par from selection day on. Pretty sure we've developed a new disadvantage for ourselves in that respect.
Sending my condolences to all Bluebaggers.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Mantis on September 08, 2024, 02:33:30 am
Knew this one would be a loss but 60 vs 0 early in the game was looking like a humiliation. This shows why we should never had qualified to be in the top 8. A total joke of a finals campaign. Do not look at injuries as an excuse never in this game at all. Time to overhaul the playing group if we want to have a shot at a flag.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: 31Tommys_barber on September 08, 2024, 07:12:38 am
Lots of post match experts ranting on here but there’s not many of them who wouldn’t have selected the same team. We weren’t beating the Lions with the team that beat eagles or almost beat the saints. So we rolled the dice and lost. They were runners up last year playing on their home ground with few injury worries. The first quarter and a half can sometimes happen in footy lots of teams have periods where they can’t get near it and it’s not for lack of effort. The players who came back were always going to struggle with the pace of a final but so were the kids with only two or three games in them. Give em 20 and they’ll be right. This was not our year that the gods smiled on us too many injuries at the wrong time. AGAIN. Glad we are getting a fresh approach in our fitness department, what worked 10 years ago for Russell might not be what’s required now. Hindsight is always 20/20
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 08, 2024, 07:27:43 am
Post match experts? Did you read the forum before the match?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 07:37:41 am
The sun rose this morning and there are more pressing issues in the world than a game of footy. I guess you really cant win 2 of your last 8 going into finals and expect to do any damage. The positives (yes there are some) - Hewett, Young, Newman and Cowan tried their guts out for 4 qtrs, 2 or 3 others might see their careers at Carlton come to an end. - We scored something 11 of the last 16 goals, at least we fought it out and put some semblance on the scoreboard. A 28 point loss was looking more like a 100+ pt humiliation. - We won the contested footy by the end of the game.
The negatives (there we too many to mention) - The game was over at qtr time. Giving the opposition a 60-0 head start is reprehensible, I need to try and watch the 2 qtrs again. I want to know how many times we got it into our F50 but I would guess it was two tenths of SFA. First goal was at the 24 min mark of the 2nd. I thought the leadership shown by Cripps, Weiters, Walsh (ie the more senior players) and the coaches (to a lesser extent) was a extremely poor during that onslaught. - TDK the sub might have had its reasons but it was poor tactically. Even poorer was the bloke they took off, there were 3 or 4 they could have taken off before Kennedy I thought. - 42 tackes (to their 65) is unacceptable when you know you need to pressure a team to defeat them, especially in a final. - Virtually zero pressure and - Over use of handball and handballing to stationary players. - The fumbling was so evident, we need to clean that up over the summer. - I don't know or cant pin point what's happened to our side defensively from last year to this year but the difference is stark. We were so miserly last year. This year leaked like a sieve especially in the second half of the year. Other than missing Weiters early on in the year and Saad and Gov for a patches, they were all the for the most part. Something went seriously a miss in our back half.
Thats the guts of it. We need to do better.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 07:38:44 am
Lots of post match experts ranting on here but there’s not many of them who wouldn’t have selected the same team. We weren’t beating the Lions with the team that beat eagles or almost beat the saints. So we rolled the dice and lost. They were runners up last year playing on their home ground with few injury worries. The first quarter and a half can sometimes happen in footy lots of teams have periods where they can’t get near it and it’s not for lack of effort. The players who came back were always going to struggle with the pace of a final but so were the kids with only two or three games in them. Give em 20 and they’ll be right. This was not our year that the gods smiled on us too many injuries at the wrong time. AGAIN. Glad we are getting a fresh approach in our fitness department, what worked 10 years ago for Russell might not be what’s required now. Hindsight is always 20/20
Fair post Tommy.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 07:40:29 am
Lots of post match experts ranting on here but there’s not many of them who wouldn’t have selected the same team. We weren’t beating the Lions with the team that beat eagles or almost beat the saints.
Disagree.
Plenty of people called out the issues before hand and were ultimately proven right. Whether or not we had a chance of winning, who knows. But you gotta give yourself that chance.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 08, 2024, 07:43:27 am
Lots of post match experts ranting on here but there’s not many of them who wouldn’t have selected the same team. We weren’t beating the Lions with the team that beat eagles or almost beat the saints. So we rolled the dice and lost. They were runners up last year playing on their home ground with few injury worries. The first quarter and a half can sometimes happen in footy lots of teams have periods where they can’t get near it and it’s not for lack of effort. The players who came back were always going to struggle with the pace of a final but so were the kids with only two or three games in them. Give em 20 and they’ll be right. This was not our year that the gods smiled on us too many injuries at the wrong time. AGAIN. Glad we are getting a fresh approach in our fitness department, what worked 10 years ago for Russell might not be what’s required now. Hindsight is always 20/20
I generally agree, but that's fans and social media.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 07:44:26 am
I always think that after a bad loss, it’s probably better to wait until the next day before making a comment. The emotion and disappointment of the result tends to emphasise and heighten our perceptions. Reasons for the loss are usually attributed to pre-conceived ideas such as poor selections.
Sometimes in the morning things don’t seem so bad…sometimes they do! That was bad. The first half particularly. It was probably as bad as anything we dished up during the Pagan years. The result flatters us. Brisbane didn’t switch off at 60 in front, but they definitely ‘dropped off’ a fair bit, no doubt with next week in mind Our last few goals were kicked in junk time. Their inaccuracy saved us from an even more embarrassing result…and that’s an issue for them going forward.
Why did it turn out so bad?
There’s a lot of talk around the selections especially the injured. Yes, they were underdone, but they all got through the game OK. That’s a match fitness issue, rather than ‘carrying injured players’…and all would probably have been better for the run had we made it through.
Would the addition of Lord, Binns and Moir have made a difference to the 60-nil beginning? We can guess, but we can never know for sure. I personally don’t think it would have made much difference at all. These guys performed OK against a West Coast side and a “last game of the year” St Kilda. Brisbane in Brisbane in a finals game is a dramatically different opponent. But really, folks will have their own ideas on that situation and I can understand how some will feel we lost it at selection.
One player we did miss is Cincotta. At his best he would have been very useful…but his form slipped in recent weeks.
The TDK/Kennedy one was a bit strange. The thinking was obviously that we would be close at three quarter time and a fresh DeKoning may have been the difference. The situation we found ourselves in meant he had to be activated much earlier than planned. I suspect Kennedy was always in the mix to be the one subbed, given his role was the one most similar to DeKoning’s, and the fact that he’s had a pretty exhausting couple of days. Those of us guys who’ve been in the delivery room know, that while our physical contribution is limited, it does take a toll and when it’s over you’re just looking for a place to lie down. Normally you take the next day or two off work, not jump on a plane to Brisbane to play an elimination final…and even if you do front up, half your mind is back at the hospital.
One much maligned player who did OK under a bit of an avalanche was Lewis Young. There was still a bit of uncertainty at times but not our worst by a long way.
No doubt there will be a thorough review of what went wrong, but the most obvious aspect was the lack of pressure in the first half. The manic tackling and double team tackles just weren’t there. I hate the term “didn’t come ready to play” but that’s basically what it looked like. The other one was some of the interactions and glances between team-mates when something didn’t go as planned, which leads me to my final point. Some of the body language in recent weeks as things turned a bit pear shaped suggest a less than happy camp. That’s often a consequence of a struggling team. The next week or two will be interesting. It wouldn’t surprise to see a few requesting a move. Not just the ones like Martin who are already well on the way out, but a few we didn’t expect.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 08, 2024, 07:46:29 am
Most people including Zorko himself thought he was going to have to put up with Cincotta, instead he got it easy and tore us apart in the first half.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 07:51:48 am
@Lods I dont agree that the result flattered us, I think we merely fought back. It happens, we could not have possibly played any worse than the first 55 min. I would flip it and say the 60-0 start flattered them. We were truly abhorrent for that first 55 mins. As soon as we started (albeit too late) applying some pressure and playing contested footy, they started filling their shorts.
Agree wholeheartedly re Young and the Cincotta non selection, I was waiting for him to be a late change as I thought he was the one we couldnt possibly leave out. Playing Durdin, Motlop and Fantasia was a clear mistake given the lack of output from the first two in that trio in recent weeks.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 08:02:49 am
4 small forwards and cerra was who I had an issue with pre-game.
5 of our worst 10 players were from that group including the worst 2.
I also had an issue with tdk starting as sub and said he shouldve started. Tdk - 6 Pittonet - 6 Walsh - 6 Newman - 6 Weitering - 6 Acres - 7 Cripps - 8 Hewett - 8
'Post game experts' they say.
The loss is hard enough to take. But when you can highlight the issues before the game (and I'm not alone in this) it makes it all that harder to take.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 08:10:28 am
4 small forwards and cerra was who I had an issue with pre-game.
5 of our worst 10 players were from that group including the worst 2.
I also had an issue with tdk starting as sub and said he shouldve started. Tdk - 6 Pittonet - 6 Walsh - 6 Newman - 6 Weitering - 6 Acres - 7 Cripps - 8 Hewett - 8
'Post game experts' they say.
The loss is hard enough to take. But when you can highlight the issues before the game (and I'm not alone in this) it makes it all that harder to take.
So lets take out the worst -Williams, Durdin, Motlop and Ollie Hollands.
Substitute them with Lord, Moir, Binns and Cincotta.
Do we win?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 08:15:38 am
OH ran his guts out and actually won some contested footy, surrounded by largely uncompetitive team-mates, then nullified Zorko, "the experts" are rock throwing morons!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 08:16:44 am
So lets take out the worst -Williams, Durdin, Motlop and Ollie Hollands.
Substitute them with Lord, Moir, Binns and Cincotta.
Do we win?
No. But that's not what I would've done.
Keep hollands.
Choose any 2 smalls to go out. I would've chosen durdin and fantasia to miss.
Tdk starts. Moir is sub.
Cincotta comes in and cerra goes out. Your last spot goes to either lord, carroll or binns. Probably Carroll but given he is likely to be going maybe go lord instead.
60 -0, hardly went forward. Blame the small forwards. Really???
Pittonet, Cripps, Cerra and Walsh got their butts kicked in that time. That was the ball game.
I'm not blaming the small forwards, I'm blaming the mc. They are what they are and they do what they do. When you have 4 of them, it limits your options instantly to make moves. The ball didnt go forward so it meant that we had 6 players who were out of the game and couldn't change things around to get them into the game. 4 small forwards were stuck there or on the bench. Harry and Kemp had no influence either, but at least Harry could go in the ruck. Kemp could go back if required. The others.....nowhere.
As I said pregame.... Cincotta kicks as many goals as our small forwards (when played forward, even defensively) but he can be played elsewhere as well. Rotate him through the middle. Put him down back. We lacked versatility from our small forwards and it hamstrung us.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 08:30:52 am
After banishing the thought of a Pitto / TDK combo halfway through the season, "the experts" want them in stone cold as a duo functioning in perfect harmony in a final.
My suggestion to fans, find some better "experts"!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Professer E on September 08, 2024, 08:33:10 am
Another bloke we simply have to move on from is Williams. Voss won't drop this clown, who other than some kind of forward role can't play on ball and is the worst defender in the AFL. We dropped effective players to play this passenger - AGAIN.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tex on September 08, 2024, 08:39:10 am
Another bloke we simply have to move on from is Williams. Voss won't drop this clown, who other than some kind of forward role can't play on ball and is the worst defender in the AFL. We dropped effective players to play this passenger - AGAIN.
After banishing the thought of a Pitto / TDK combo halfway through the season, "the experts" want them in stone cold as a duo functioning in perfect harmony in a final.
My suggestion to fans, find some better "experts"!
We are better with just TDK. That debate is over.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 09:03:06 am
After banishing the thought of a Pitto / TDK combo halfway through the season, "the experts" want them in stone cold as a duo functioning in perfect harmony in a final.
My suggestion to fans, find some better "experts"!
You are starting to make me think you have some serious mental issues so I shouldn't go too hard on you.
This post shows you have zero idea about what you've been arguing against for years.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tonyo on September 08, 2024, 09:06:29 am
After the last 6 weeks of the season, we had little reason to believe we could win a final. In all honestly, we barely deserved to be there.
What I do know is that, as per Einstein, the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. We talk about 'rolling the dice'. all we did as go back to the same old same old, only this time more underdone.
So there has to be some significant change or the window will close even faster than it already is.
Fact is, our system just does not develop players the way it should, so our young ones coming in are not prepared for senior footy. Hence, we keep picking the same old names (even if they are carrying injuries) and wonder why yet another season has gone down the gurgler.
We need a match committee that is prepared to try something different, and a reserves structure that gets the young ones ready.
I watch the Hawthorn youngsters running around and their success stems from the fact that they were backed in by their coaching staff even when they were 0-5 at the start of the year, and they are now rolling on youthful enthusiasm. We give our young ones 1 or 2 games, then drop them.
Moir, Lord certainly deserved to be playing last night, and Cincotta being dropped was abysmal . I can think of 6 or 7 players who got a game last night who let the jumper down in a huge way.
When you lose an elimination final by the 10-minute mark of the second quarter, big changes are needed.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pinot on September 08, 2024, 09:11:59 am
As I said pregame.... Cincotta kicks as many goals as our small forwards (when played forward, even defensively) but he can be played elsewhere as well. Rotate him through the middle. Put him down back. We lacked versatility from our small forwards and it hamstrung us.
And it really is no more complicated than that. And a few of us were adamant on just that, pre game.
It's one of those occasions when stats tell a story. We failed badly on tackles and efficiency inside 50. We had the same number of inside 50s as Brisvegas. Most other stats were competitive.
Most of knew, not 'thought' or had a hunch, that Motlop and Durdin did not have good form going into the game. Similar was Fantasia. We knew that Cinc was the perfect match-up for Zorko. Who tore us a new one and launched so many attacks from defense, especially early when the game is on the line? Zorko. He played with our small forwards... the out-of-form non-hackers.
When your forward line is dysfunctional, especially early, you just don't get scoreboard pressure... and with the scoreboard not ticking over the entire side gets no reward for effort... dopamine drained. Motivation sapped.
You never take low performing players into a game, let alone a final. Conversely, you bet on blokes with good form, regardless of age, experience or reputation.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 09:30:15 am
.....Fact is, our system just does not develop players the way it should, so our young ones coming in are not prepared for senior footy. Hence, we keep picking the same old names (even if they are carrying injuries) and wonder why yet another season has gone down the gurgler.
We need a match committee that is prepared to try something different, and a reserves structure that gets the young ones ready.
I watch the Hawthorn youngsters running around and their success stems from the fact that they were backed in by their coaching staff even when they were 0-5 at the start of the year, and they are now rolling on youthful enthusiasm. We give our young ones 1 or 2 games, then drop them.
Moir, Lord certainly deserved to be playing last night, and Cincotta being dropped was abysmal . I can think of 6 or 7 players who got a game last night who let the jumper down in a huge way.
When you lose an elimination final by the 10-minute mark of the second quarter, big changes are needed.
Maybe our mistake wasn't so much not playing some of these youngsters last night....but not giving them more game time through the year. The Hawthorn youngsters have been given lots of opportunities through the season...often against tougher opposition than Lord (albeit only half a year) , Moir and Binns have experienced.
The Hawthorn mob are growing together and are ready to take on the challenge of finals.
Binns should really have a lot more than 3 games (one as sub) already. Others like Lemmey should have at least been blooded.
The kids settled OK in the final couple of H&A games but finals are different. We'll never know how they would have gone now, but it was probably as big a risk as playing underdone players...and the result may not have been much different.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 08, 2024, 09:47:05 am
Maybe our mistake wasn't so much not playing some of these youngsters last night....but not giving them more game time through the year. The Hawthorn youngsters have been given lots of opportunities through the season...often against tougher opposition than Lord (albeit only half a year) , Moir and Binns have experienced.
The Hawthorn mob are growing together and are ready to take on the challenge of finals.
Binns should really have a lot more than 3 games (one as sub) already. Others like Lemmey should have at least been blooded.
The kids settled OK in the final couple of H&A games but finals are different. We'll never know how they would have gone now, but it was probably as big a risk as playing underdone players...and the result may not have been much different.
No greater risk than taking out of form players into any game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Blue Moon on September 08, 2024, 09:51:03 am
Was somewhere where I couldn't watch the game. Checking the scores gave me little incentive to find some place where I could. Watched the last twenty minutes where Carlton took off every time they had the ball and I was left wondering why we don't do this all the time. Cincotta and TDK should have been in the starting twenty-two, Durdin and Fantasia should not have. Voss needs to change his coaching philosophy. He needs to believe in the talent and he needs to unleash the talent and stop picking names and unbalanced sides.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tonyo on September 08, 2024, 09:54:26 am
No greater risk than taking out of form players into any game.
Indeed, and then the youngsters gain some invaluable experience for the years ahead, instead of gifting a finals game to hacks who may not even be at the club next year.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: shawny on September 08, 2024, 09:58:59 am
Choose any 2 smalls to go out. I would've chosen durdin and fantasia to miss.
Tdk starts. Moir is sub.
Cincotta comes in and cerra goes out. Your last spot goes to either lord, carroll or binns. Probably Carroll but given he is likely to be going maybe go lord instead.
Do you really believe those changes would have made the difference in what was a smacking before our opposition clearly took the foot off our throat with nothing to gain. Its possible those changes see us lose by even more with the kids being scarred by a 15- 20 goal loss? Just because we will never know doesn't imply they are correct selections. The club needed to risk all to have any chance and when that fails of course you can argue what if they did this or that but the reality is we entered the finals in poor health and regardless who we picked as sub or at MC in this game we were cooked before the ball was bounced.
We need to be very active in the offseason and make a few ballsy decisions to improve on this year
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 08, 2024, 10:12:50 am
CARLTON was meant to be going all in when it made six changes for Saturday night's elimination final, but the decision to pull back at the last moment and select Tom De Koning as the substitute ultimately cost them a winning hand.
The Blues were embarrassed in the first half of Saturday night's elimination final, conceding the first nine goals of the game and falling 60-points behind before they had even registered a score.
It shaped as the type of September loss that could scar a group, and De Koning was sitting on the bench waiting for his chance to make an impact until he was told to warm up early in the second quarter.
Injected into the game 11 minutes in, the 25-year-old was the reason Carlton was able to launch a mini-comeback either side of half-time, with the Blues kicking five unanswered goals and winning the second half by 20 points.
Through a quarter-and-a-half on the ground, De Koning had 10 influential possessions (seven contested) and was an immediately more effective and attacking option in the ruck. He had as many clearances as any teammate at the last change and was a crucial aerial presence down the line.
Ultimately, the Blues had to try something. Their 2-6 run to close the home-and-away season meant rolling into September in the same shape would have delivered the same results. The Blues were bold and rolled the dice. They should have gone all in when it came to De Koning.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 10:16:57 am
No greater risk than taking out of form players into any game.
Yep, it's about the same risk. And once you make a decision it's set in stone, and you live and die on the result. If you lose, the "I told you so"s will come for you. That's the chance you take.
But no-one really knows what 'might' have happened had we gone another way. It's just a guess.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on September 08, 2024, 10:35:05 am
Maybe our mistake wasn't so much not playing some of these youngsters last night....but not giving them more game time through the year. … The kids settled OK in the final couple of H&A games but finals are different. We'll never know how they would have gone now, but it was probably as big a risk as playing underdone players...and the result may not have been much different.
YES! Absolutely this. More game time during the year - the few games they played showed they were eager and hungry. Exactly the qualities that were missing last night.
Can’t imagine the result would have been any worse but how valuable would such experience be going forward?
Completely disillusioned with the MC’s lack of imagination.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 10:38:41 am
Do you really believe those changes would have made the difference in what was a smacking before our opposition clearly took the foot off our throat with nothing to gain. Its possible those changes see us lose by even more with the kids being scarred by a 15- 20 goal loss? Just because we will never know doesn't imply they are correct selections. The club needed to risk all to have any chance and when that fails of course you can argue what if they did this or that but the reality is we entered the finals in poor health and regardless who we picked as sub or at MC in this game we were cooked before the ball was bounced.
We need to be very active in the offseason and make a few ballsy decisions to improve on this year
Would have made quite a difference win or lose. Some pace and run from blokes 100% fit would not have seen a 60 to nil start. We had blokes underdone and half fit that, for that reason, couldn't get into the game when it was hot. Fit blokes make a big difference. You have been following footy long enough to know that, surely.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 10:45:11 am
Not if we start with the pissweak intensity we started with last night.
And that's the main reason we were in the pickle we were in. Lack of intensity, lack of pressure, playing as individuals rather than a team (see some of the blame game stuff that was going on). When we straightened those things up we looked a lot better.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 10:46:30 am
Would have made quite a difference win or lose. Some pace and run from blokes 100% fit would not have seen a 60 to nil start. We had blokes underdone and half fit that, for that reason, couldn't get into the game when it was hot. Fit blokes make a big difference. You have been following footy long enough to know that, surely.
Wouldn't have made one iota of difference who was out there when your leaders dish up the tripe they did in the first 55 mins. You trying to tell me Bins and Lord would have made a difference in that, turn it up mate. That rubbish had zero to do with fitness, is was just piss poor attitude and a lack of ruthlessness. The starting of TDK on the bench was a disaster.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 08, 2024, 10:47:54 am
Not if we start with the pissweak intensity we started with last night.
A few different blokes might have a different intensity, win or lose. At least they'd be fit enough to compete when the game was hot. Would not have been a 60-0 start.
There's a few on here who defended the team selection and still trying too. Hate to say it, it was a huge error. Hawthorn showed what youngsters can do in a final.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 10:49:08 am
A few different blokes might have a different intensity, win or lose. At least they'd be fit enough to compete when the game was hot. Would not have been a 60-0 start.
There's a few on here who defended the team selection and still trying too. Hate to say it, it was a huge error. Hawthorn showed what youngsters can do in a final.
Hawthorn have had form, we have not.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 08, 2024, 11:16:27 am
So lets take out the worst -Williams, Durdin, Motlop and Ollie Hollands.
Substitute them with Lord, Moir, Binns and Cincotta.
Do we win?
Maybe not all of them, and put binns in for durdin, cincotta for motlop and we swing the magnets differently.
A bigger change might have been tdk for dochert imho who whilst not rated poorly his first half was as bad as I've seen from him. The pace and pressure too hot, his disposals all over the place.
Would it have changed the result? Difficult to determine. I'd like to get some angry pills into some of our boys. They seem to play without them and I think we could use some.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 08, 2024, 11:23:55 am
Maybe our mistake wasn't so much not playing some of these youngsters last night....but not giving them more game time through the year. The Hawthorn youngsters have been given lots of opportunities through the season...often against tougher opposition than Lord (albeit only half a year) , Moir and Binns have experienced.
The Hawthorn mob are growing together and are ready to take on the challenge of finals.
Binns should really have a lot more than 3 games (one as sub) already. Others like Lemmey should have at least been blooded.
The kids settled OK in the final couple of H&A games but finals are different. We'll never know how they would have gone now, but it was probably as big a risk as playing underdone players...and the result may not have been much different.
Yep. I think I may have written it here a few times, but when it became obvious some of the senior players weren't performing our inability to put faith in any of the kids cost us dearly. That being said not many of them showed the requisite form to demand selection which was another problem.
Ultimately we ran out of fit bodies. The season fell away as much by list management decisions last year as it did this year. Sure dow and fisher needed to go to play seniors but they would have made a much bigger difference across the season than any of the kids and might have been easier to take into a final like yesterday.
What TV wouldn't have shown was how challenging the conditions were. There were breezes that popped up at times through the games that were very strong and much like gusts. It's why the goal kicking was a variable. The ball would move 10 metres if it kicked up and the kick was a bit of a floater.
We had 24 inside fifties on the scoreboard in the first half last night to return 2.1.
The smalls played their putrid part. Durdin and motlop gave us doughnuts. Orazio works a but differently to the others. He isn't a small forward solely and you can see him organising things and getting people to take up different spots. When the game is hot like that some smarter choices need to be made. Walsh was on the boundary line in the latter stages of the match. I think it was a 5 goal margin at that stage but he ended up with the footy near the boundary and instead of wearing contact and taking it out for a stoppage tried to find a handball around his oncoming opponent and go forward. The handball went out and it was deemed insufficient intent. That's what a lack of fitness does. You don't wear the contact and make a poor call. The insufficient intent free was a mark and goal to Brisbane to make it a 40 point margin again.
That sort of thing happened alot last night. It's not pressure, it's a result of the mid year holding the ball rule change and fitness. That's the one that makes me wonder if the rule interpretation for holding the ball did as much to change our squads mindset as anything else. Wear the contact. Now it's riskier.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Macca37 on September 08, 2024, 11:27:34 am
This season, along with past seasons, just re-enforces the sad fact that, irrespective of having a full list or injury ravaged list to select from, our players do not have the mental capacity to be switched on for four quarters.
Until this is dealt with we will be stuck with our version of the "Colliwobbles".
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 11:51:19 am
Do you really believe those changes would have made the difference in what was a smacking before our opposition clearly took the foot off our throat with nothing to gain. Its possible those changes see us lose by even more with the kids being scarred by a 15- 20 goal loss? Just because we will never know doesn't imply they are correct selections. The club needed to risk all to have any chance and when that fails of course you can argue what if they did this or that but the reality is we entered the finals in poor health and regardless who we picked as sub or at MC in this game we were cooked before the ball was bounced.
We need to be very active in the offseason and make a few ballsy decisions to improve on this year
The what if game works both ways.
If every man and his dog can see it before it happens then perhaps it's worth looking into.
Whether or not is the difference e between winning and losing is irrelevant. It was an error and an error we need to analyse to ensure it doesn't happen again. Perhaps if we ignore it and make the same error next time it WILL be the difference. Let's not make the same mistake twice.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 11:51:58 am
Walsh was on the boundary line in the latter stages of the match.
You are identifying an effect not a cause.
Focus on the reason why Walsh had almost 10km up 5 min into the 3rd-Qtr, that's a whole game of running for most players, and why Zorko was top of the pops in the first half.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 08, 2024, 11:55:02 am
Focus on the reason why Walsh had almost 10km up 5 min into the 3rd-Qtr, that's a whole game of running for most players, and why Zorko was top of the pops in the first half.
No it's a decision made at one moment. Nothing more, nothing less. Wear the contact, take it out of bounds.
These are weak spots that need to be highlighted. He had minimal options and made the wrong decision. Taking it out was the better option if he was happy to wear the contact.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 11:55:59 am
If every man and his dog can see it before it happens then perhaps it's worth looking into.
The assertion people saw this coming is bullsh1t, nobody saw the once in a 50 year event coming, we were 180 seconds away from something that's never happened before in the history of VFL/AFL and nobody predicted it.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 11:58:22 am
No it's a decision made at one moment. Nothing more, nothing less. Wear the contact, take it out of bounds.
I think worrying about what happens in rolls of the dice in the last quarter is a bit of a distraction after the events of the first 50 minutes, it's identifying an effect of a horrendous start and clinging to it as a cause.
The players are not time travellers, what they did in the last didn't effect the first qtr and a half!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 08, 2024, 11:58:44 am
The assertion people saw this coming is bullsh1t, nobody saw the once in a 50 year event coming, we were 180 seconds away from something that's never happened before in the history of VFL/AFL and nobody predicted it.
I thought that we would get smashed.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 08, 2024, 12:01:53 pm
The assertion people saw this coming is bullsh1t, nobody saw the once in a 50 year event coming, we were 180 seconds away from something that's never happened before in the history of VFL/AFL and nobody predicted it.
I believe the point K is making is that most saw what the MC did was problematic. No, no-one could have predicted it would be as bad as it was in the first half... but that's not the point. The point is that we took non-hackers, as evidenced by their results over many weeks, into the game when there was an option to select in-form blokes. Very big dots and very easy to join up those dots and predict an obvious outcome.
Just one example of those dots was the omission of Cinc, and, say, giving Motlop a gig. One has been delivering, the other hasn't. That's not on Motlop, that's on the foolishness of the MC.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 12:15:27 pm
Nobody knows what would have happened if we'd selected differently. ;) :D
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 08, 2024, 12:28:40 pm
Match committee needs a shake up, someone has been putting too much faith in “established” names. Maybe we need a stronger voice to argue for boldness in selection, or will it be a cull of assistants that brings in a fresh thought process ? As head coach Voss is right to have strong beliefs in lists, selection and gameplan, but does he need to back up and listen to other voices ? We can sit here now and can all see that we should have been playing some of the kids earlier… if only we’d rested Charlie when he first injured himself he may have only missed 1-2 weeks. A big soul searching off season coming up for the coaching group and their methodologies.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 08, 2024, 12:46:51 pm
I’m in agreement with LP about the turnovers particularly in the first 1/2. We got the ball under pressure usually and bombed it… where it was picked off and controlled, as opposed to them bombing it back. We needed to get a short kick to a target in blue instead we bombed to maroon and blue ! Make no mistake, they were waiting for our bombs and were ready to offer the short lead to allow them to control the ball.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 08, 2024, 01:17:04 pm
I’m in agreement with LP about the turnovers particularly in the first 1/2. We got the ball under pressure usually and bombed it… where it was picked off and controlled, as opposed to them bombing it back. We needed to get a short kick to a target in blue instead we bombed to maroon and blue ! Make no mistake, they were waiting for our bombs and were ready to offer the short lead to allow them to control the ball.
Same old, same old NB... soon as H returned we predicted the bombing would return, and it did. Against the Weagles, we couldn't bomb and had to lower our eyes, and we did, and we scored.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: JonDorotich on September 08, 2024, 01:27:37 pm
I may have missed a comment in this thread however one player who seems to have escaped scrutiny is Elijah Hollands.
He’s been ok over the H&A rounds, however he is painfully slow across the ground and often takes too long to dispose of the ball. And, when the heat was on in the first half he was miles off the pace - I’m not convinced at all.
He’s also yet another player that just doesn’t present like an AFL footballer who has done the work in the gym - you can also add Fantasia, Oliver Hollands, Young and to a lesser extent McGovern & Newman to that list.
The new fitness bloke from the swans is going to have a laugh when he sees our crew.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: IvanAwfulbigone on September 08, 2024, 01:40:35 pm
I'd like to get some angry pills into some of our boys. They seem to play without them and I think we could use some.
Did you see when Newman handed the ball back to Rayner after the ump paid a mark, Rayner immediately forearmed him in the chest as a nice “thank you”.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: shawny on September 08, 2024, 01:49:42 pm
Re watched the game and its so evident how important a fit TDK is to us. The bloke is a freakish talent and game changer and with a strong injury free pre season who knows how impactful he will become. His agility is so rare and has very quick hands and even if he misses the tap he is a big fast moving mid after the ruck contest. Impossible to contain.
We go from looking one paced to fast when he is in the ruck and even though he was less then 100% he is a vital cog for us and was imo our biggest loss in the last section of the year.
Would love to have this guy fully fit entering a finals period.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 08, 2024, 01:53:20 pm
I may have missed a comment in this thread however one player who seems to have escaped scrutiny is Elijah Hollands.
He’s been ok over the H&A rounds, however he is painfully slow across the ground and often takes too long to dispose of the ball. And, when the heat was on in the first half he was miles off the pace - I’m not convinced at all.
He’s also yet another player that just doesn’t present like an AFL footballer who has done the work in the gym - you can also add Fantasia, Oliver Hollands, Young and to a lesser extent McGovern & Newman to that list.
The new fitness bloke from the swans is going to have a laugh when he sees our crew.
I’m not as firm as you in wanting everyone to have a Kouta build but E Hollands seems to have too many abs for mine… I was watching last night thinking that O Hollands is filling out well, he’s a young running machine who you don’t want bulking up too quickly, I’m happy with him.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 08, 2024, 02:24:19 pm
The hollands boys are 2 and 3 years into their afl careers. Yes they aren't he man yet, but give them some time. Some blokes are built differently. The cat kid from WA took multiple years to get his body to afl level amd whilst he has relished working inside the contest, lij had a decent year for a first year at a new club.
The suspension of owies killed us. Meant we had to play durdin and motlop and couldn't drop either of them.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: townsendcalling on September 08, 2024, 02:31:20 pm
How important is it to have your VFL side playing into September. There were no proper match practice opportunities to our long list of returning players, a number who would have been able to have a run during the bye.
Also, if there were doubts about TDK over 120 minutes, why not start off with him, see how far he can go, then bring Pitt on when the game has slowed done??
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 08, 2024, 02:33:27 pm
I’m not as firm as you in wanting everyone to have a Kouta build but E Hollands seems to have too many abs for mine… I was watching last night thinking that O Hollands is filling out well, he’s a young running machine who you don’t want bulking up too quickly, I’m happy with him.
Thought Ollie was poor early and a liability, he did better later in the game down back but we need him doing better to hold his place moving forward. He gives effort for sure and is a likeable kid but the wings have become a important position like they were decades ago where teams play through and we need A grade players to match up on the opposition.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pew2 on September 08, 2024, 02:34:13 pm
LACK OF PACE from our defence to our mids/ how many times have i said it our u12 game plan get ball boot ball has not changed from 23 season that is what is so disappointing from our coaching staff .,not only last night but all year nothing has changed . please sack our defensive coach long bomb from FB straight to opposition JOKE
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 08, 2024, 02:38:25 pm
How important is it to have your VFL side playing into September. There were no proper match practice opportunities to our long list of returning players, a number who would have been able to have a run during the bye.
Also, if there were doubts about TDK over 120 minutes, why not start off with him, see how far he can go, then bring Pitt on when the game has slowed done??
I'd like to think that we were looking to next week with that one. The plan would have been to keep in contact and restrict scoring and then bring tom on to swing the game not pushing him too hard so we could get him to back up next week. When we got hammered early that prompted a swing of the deck chairs on the titanic.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pinot on September 08, 2024, 02:58:30 pm
Thought Ollie was poor early and a liability, he did better later in the game down back but we need him doing better to hold his place moving forward. He gives effort for sure and is a likeable kid but the wings have become a important position like they were decades ago where teams play through and we need A grade players to match up on the opposition.
Ollie has a decent kick on him and has some toe - needs to play in back half like Max Holmes does.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 03:00:12 pm
Need him getting more than 10 possies and sticking to his man better, good trier etc but we need to win the wings well and get some run through there.
Of course, but he is still new/young.
Kade didn't get a touch in year 1. In year 2 he played another 3 games and got a total of 12 touches. In year 3 he played 15 games, but averaged just 11 touches. Year 4 he played 22 games and averaged 19.
.....and managed 300 games after that.
So don't write him off yet.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 08, 2024, 03:26:37 pm
Kade didn't get a touch in year 1. In year 2 he played another 3 games and got a total of 12 touches. In year 3 he played 15 games, but averaged just 11 touches. Year 4 he played 22 games and averaged 19.
.....and managed 300 games after that.
So don't write him off yet.
Dont get me wrong I like him and havent written him off but next season Id be trying some other options if we cant get some improvement. Campo kids might push him for a spot especially Ben imho...
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 04:13:14 pm
We're probably all a bit perplexed about the Kennedy sub-out.
Why Kennedy and not someone else? I offered the suggestion before about him being a bit exhausted from what must have been a pretty emotional couple of days with both finals and baby on the way.
But maybe it was something else. Voss was at pains in the press conference to say they had a plan for Zorko..."But we didn't execute it" Early on was Kennedy matched up on Zorko?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 08, 2024, 04:17:08 pm
Kennedy looked pretty annoyed on the bench.
Wouldn't be surprised if he looks around this off season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 08, 2024, 04:25:34 pm
I think when you have Kennedy, Cripps, Hewett, Cerra, it's a bit same same. I know Kennedy wasn't in the midfield as such, but I can see why he would one reasonable choice, although not the only one.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 08, 2024, 04:34:52 pm
Yeah it might be as simple as swapping a back up ruck/ forward for a better ruck /forward.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 08, 2024, 04:49:41 pm
We're probably all a bit perplexed about the Kennedy sub-out.
Why Kennedy and not someone else? I offered the suggestion before about him being a bit exhausted from what must have been a pretty emotional couple of days with both finals and baby on the way.
But maybe it was something else. Voss was at pains in the press conference to say they had a plan for Zorko..."But we didn't execute it" Early on was Kennedy matched up on Zorko?
I offered a suggestion that was 2 fold. 1. It was someone who was playing the same role as TDK would be playing - ruck/forward 2. He just had a kid.
But....if Vossy says its something to do with the plan for Zorko then thats the worst of the 3 options if Kennedy was 'it'.
There was an article during the week on Kennedy and how he has become a spare parts man. Champion data don't know how to pigeon hole him because his roles are so different. I can't think of the exact %'s now, but there was a period where he was a mid, a % where he was a back, a % where he was a forward and 5% where he was ruck. He said he relished the opportunities, albeit its a bit difficult week to week not knowing.
IF he was plan a for Zorko, i'm not surprised he was 5h!tty getting subbed off. Never should've been the plan.
That being said, if any player looked anything other than 5h!tty being subbed off, then they probably don't deserve a spot on the list!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: cookie2 on September 08, 2024, 05:06:07 pm
Our lack of some real small forward talent stood out for me. Nowhere near enough real F50 pressure. Our present crop are low contributors in terms of ball winning and goal kicking imo. We need better urgently.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 05:33:33 pm
Everyone predicted us to lose, no one predicted Port to get smashed.
I thought we had a more than good chance to win, I didn't think Port would lose. I also thought the Bullies to smack Haw and Sydney to be the Giants (1 out of 4). I also didn't think it would take us 56min to score our first goal.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 05:34:25 pm
Our lack of some real small forward talent stood out for me. Nowhere near enough real F50 pressure. Our present crop are low contributors in terms of ball winning and goal kicking imo. We need better urgently.
I the other finals games had small fwds doing damage, ours were a liability.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 08, 2024, 05:39:46 pm
I the other finals games had small fwds doing damage, ours were a liability.
Yep. In fact small forwards in other finals were influential. What continues to gall me, and many others, is that we knew our small forwards were in ordinary form and selected them anyway... over a few blokes who were in good form.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pinot on September 08, 2024, 05:42:03 pm
Seriously don't think Moir will be out of the side much next year
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 08, 2024, 05:46:47 pm
Yep fell into the team due to lack of numbers and didnt really earn it. Did show a bit though and the talent is there we just need to see some consistency..
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 08, 2024, 05:52:25 pm
Yep fell into the team due to lack of numbers and didnt really earn it. Did show a bit though and the talent is there we just need to see some consistency..
Don't let facts get in the way of a good story EB.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: RiverRat on September 08, 2024, 05:55:27 pm
Thought it might have been the best game from Lewis Young - or was it just that most of the rest were very poor?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pinot on September 08, 2024, 05:55:40 pm
Next game is months away - I am sure he will move up the pecking order in front of the crabs that pose as AFL small pressure forwards
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 08, 2024, 05:55:42 pm
Yep fell into the team due to lack of numbers and didnt really earn it. Did show a bit though and the talent is there we just need to see some consistency..
Yep, I was a bit disappointed with his season but he did show some improvement towards the end of the year, keep working with him.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 08, 2024, 06:00:17 pm
Thought it might have been the best game from Lewis Young - or was it just that most of the rest were very poor?
Young seems ok until he gets a physical player, then loses it. Hipwood is a sniper but not a physical player. I see Young as good enough to play VFL and be that afl backup kpd but we need a starting afl kpd.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Shakin77 on September 08, 2024, 06:38:41 pm
EB do you really think our list is that good that we flip a 60-0 start by changing one or 2 selections. I wish i agreed but we have more issues then MC selections imo. We fans seem to think our problems would be solved by a smarter coach better selection's etc however maybe the list has more holes then we think. We don't have the overall talent to challenge the best teams when it matters. We fail year in year out mate. We just aren't good enough for long enough.
With a full list and everything going right in regard to form and injury we are a chance to beat Brisbane at Brisbane. The side that lost to St.Kilda would never have stood a chance. We rolled the dice on a hail Mary but in all reality, it was never going to happen.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 08, 2024, 06:59:36 pm
Thought it might have been the best game from Lewis Young - or was it just that most of the rest were very poor?
RR...Watch the mark the young Brisbane player Morris took in the first quarter in the pack and Youngs efforts to spoil, he wasnt terrible but Id want my 200cm KP defender showing a bit more malice than he did. Id be going more with the rest were very poor or to be truthful in some cases non existent, Lachie Cowan wouldnt like the video review of that game much either..
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 08, 2024, 07:46:26 pm
With a full list and everything going right in regard to form and injury we are a chance to beat Brisbane at Brisbane. The side that lost to St.Kilda would never have stood a chance. We rolled the dice on a hail Mary but in all reality, it was never going to happen.
Need a few of the younger ones blending in with some of the seniors returning, not so much one side or the other. Only 100% fit sides are going to have the best chance of success. No sure we were winning anyway but might have prevented a 60-0 start.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 08, 2024, 07:51:03 pm
Still building. Voss said he was sub twice because he wasn't ready to play a full game. Ability is great but obviously need to work the tank. Made a great sub playing 45 minutes though but can't do that permanently.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 08, 2024, 08:34:36 pm
I think we could have put up a better effort Shawny with better planning and selection, we were never going to win imho and I totally agree we need more talent but there is no use having extreme talent if your MC and coaching staff are not able to get the basics right which are a picking a fit team and having the majority of them in the right positions. I want a reset of the list and a cull of players who are not going to take us any further and we need an injection of fresh players to rebuild depth in our weak areas which we all know about.
Yep !!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Professer E on September 08, 2024, 09:17:58 pm
Moir might have a lot of work to do to "run out a full game", but about six of his SENIOR teammates were unable to do so on Sat night, so using his fitness levels as an excuse to not pick him doesn't wash with me Vossy.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Bluesers on September 08, 2024, 09:44:09 pm
If you cant get yourself fired up for final and be ready to run through brick walls from the opening bounce, go and choose another occupation.
Why would you need to find another occupation, when you're already being paid 500-800k to continue in a profession that keeps employing you to show minimal amounts of skill and endeavour week after week. If a surgeon or a lawyer continued to regularly work from such a low skill base, he would be out of work within 6 months or less. Only CFC seems to be prepared to allow such mediocrity to continue ad infinitum. And in doing so are taking their supporter base for fools.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Bluesers on September 08, 2024, 10:05:23 pm
@Lods I dont agree that the result flattered us, I think we merely fought back. It happens, we could not have possibly played any worse than the first 55 min. I would flip it and say the 60-0 start flattered them. We were truly abhorrent for that first 55 mins. As soon as we started (albeit too late) applying some pressure and playing contested footy, they started filling their shorts.
Playing Durdin, Motlop and Fantasia was a clear mistake given the lack of output from the first two in that trio in recent weeks.
Those 3 are stocking fillers at best, and should only be in the team if injuries force them to be used. Durdin and Motlop both need to be moved on asap (together with all the other dead wood and perpetually injured on this list that should be moved on, but will get new contracts, to heap more misery on supporters for another year or two plus)
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: blueianh on September 08, 2024, 11:49:53 pm
Those 3 are stocking fillers at best, and should only be in the team if injuries force them to be used. Durdin and Motlop both need to be moved on asap (together with all the other dead wood and perpetually injured on this list that should be moved on, but will get new contracts, to heap more misery on supporters for another year or two plus)
I think a fit Durdin has promise, but Fantasia is past it (we did get him cheap though, was worth a shot) and Motlop continues to underwhelm.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 09, 2024, 06:45:28 am
Guys here is a statistic for you. The average afl career lasts 12 games.
12 games. Half a season.
We are asking players who have had significant set backs amd kids who have minimal strength and conditioning to come in a hot final and perform against a team that lost the grand final last year. You can carry a few in that category but the weight of numbers who we've been carrying week by week has grown for the last 10 weeks.
Why pick the senior guys instead of the kids? Because next week if lightning had struck and we won the elder players with match fitness would give us more than the kids (durdin or motlop would have been replaced by owies as a hypothetical).
That's why the kids didn't play. You could ruin their confidence by a baptism of fire and there was another game to experience.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 09, 2024, 07:28:27 am
Does anyone think that Voss is part of the problem?
Every one has to take some responsibility for their parts-coaches, fitness folk and players. Any underlying issues may become apparent in the next week or two with exit interviews and reviews of the season. Sometimes these are kept under wraps during a season and once it ends these bubble to the surface. We've changed the fitness section. We'll see some changes in player personnel...we might also see it in coaching positions.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 08:58:04 am
I still have hopes Motlop can emerge as a very good small forward. He shows glimpses. You can't take much notice of this season...he's had a poor preparation and didn't even get an opportunity until late in the year. But next season will tell a story. If he can get a good pre-season he'll need to step up a level. If it's injury interrupted he may join our rather large 'injury prone' contingent. That's the one that needs a severe culling. We can't keep carrying list spots for these guys, no matter how good their best is.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 09:01:11 am
Does anyone think that Voss is part of the problem?
I think we first need to figure out if in fact there is a problem that relates to personal incompetence (as opposed to simple bad luck with injuries etc.) and we then need to figure out which individual is responsible. And that's not possible for us on the outside. I know on social media everybody knows exactly what the problems are, where they lie, and how to fix them, but in the real world.....
We have tried more senior coaches than pretty much any other club in recent years. It doesn't work. And no, it's not because "we keep picking the wrong bloke."
Under Voss we have played more consistent good footy, and if nothing else, Cripps, Weitering and Walsh have IMO clearly benefited from him as coach, all going to another level under his tutelage.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 09:06:22 am
I think we first need to figure out if in fact there is a problem that relates to personal incompetence (as opposed to simple bad luck with injuries etc.) and we then need to figure out which individual is responsible. And that's not possible for us on the outside. I know on social media everybody knows exactly what the problems are, where they lie, and how to fix them, but in the real world.....
We have tried more senior coaches than pretty much any other club in recent years. It doesn't work. And no, it's not because "we keep picking the wrong bloke."
Under Voss we have played more consistent good footy, and if nothing else, Cripps, Weitering and Walsh have IMO clearly benefited from him as coach, all going to another level under his tutelage.
While I agree with that Paul, as Daisy Thomas pointed out, our arousal level was far too low at the start of the game. That’s largely a collective coaching responsibility but with Vossy bearing the lion’s share (oops!). The leadership group also has to take some of the blame.
I’m always impressed by Vossy’s calm demeanour, but perhaps he was too calm and needed to rev the boys up a tad more. He does seem to learn from his mistakes and I don’t expect to see low arousal levels again.
I don’t buy the criticism of Vossy’s game day coaching. He’s as good as the next coach and his planning and preparation is very good. Injuries, and the lack of depth those injuries exposed, screwed our season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 09:29:20 am
We won't be changing the coach in the short term. Folks are disappointed and are looking for reasons and targets to blame.
I think we forget that before the injuries really started to impact we were sitting second on the ladder having smashed Geelong.
It's right there in front of our faces...from Round 17 on. Injuries, extra burden on others, more injuries, players having to carry injuries, games missed, players returning underdone, season over.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 09, 2024, 09:32:11 am
I said before the match that the Lions are very good team, have now won 11 of their last 13.
Full strength we might have had a chance but we were far from it.
Of our ins
Harry looked ok Docherty below average Cerra looked cooked McGovern below average Zac Williams cooked TDK looked great but was sub for a reason
None of those guys would have played if it wasn't a final.
Add to that Acres has been carrying a shoulder Durdin should not have been playing considering we actually had options to replace him. That's the weird one for me.
5 of my best side were not playing, not sure if they're in Voss' but I think they would have been handy
Curnow - Champion, best forward in the AFL Owies - Best small forward Boyd - Was our designated kicker earlier this year. Fogarty - Pressure Cincotta - Pressure
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 09:34:49 am
While I agree with that Paul, as Daisy Thomas pointed out, our arousal level was far too low at the start of the game. That’s largely a collective coaching responsibility but with Vossy bearing the lion’s share (oops!). The leadership group also has to take some of the blame.
I’m always impressed by Vossy’s calm demeanour, but perhaps he was too calm and needed to rev the boys up a tad more. He does seem to learn from his mistakes and I don’t expect to see low arousal levels again.
I don’t buy the criticism of Vossy’s game day coaching. He’s as good as the next coach and his planning and preparation is very good. Injuries, and the lack of depth those injuries exposed, screwed our season.
I'm quite certain that after the 2023 Preliminary final (when we stormed out of the gate in that 1st q), Voss stated that he perhaps revved the players up a bit too much before the game. Maybe he over corrected this time around.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 09:39:49 am
Ill say there were reasons why they did what they did which we aren't privy to. They took risks that didnt come off.
Like any big business when you do that though you have to wear the incoming and admit your mistakes. It's been a wasted year due to injury etc but to rock up in a elimination final and give nothing for half a game isn't going to be tolerated that's not injury etc that's players and coaches not up for the fight and it was down right embarrassing and revisiting the dark days.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 09:56:08 am
Like any big business when you do that though you have to wear the incoming and admit your mistakes. It's been a wasted year due to injury etc but to rock up in a elimination final and give nothing for half a game isn't going to be tolerated that's not injury etc that's players and coaches not up for the fight and it was down right embarrassing and revisiting the dark days.
100%, the gamble was that if we won, the returning players had a game under their belt.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 09:59:21 am
While I agree with that Paul, as Daisy Thomas pointed out, our arousal level was far too low at the start of the game. That’s largely a collective coaching responsibility but with Vossy bearing the lion’s share (oops!). The leadership group also has to take some of the blame.
I’m always impressed by Vossy’s calm demeanour, but perhaps he was too calm and needed to rev the boys up a tad more. He does seem to learn from his mistakes and I don’t expect to see low arousal levels again.
I don’t buy the criticism of Vossy’s game day coaching. He’s as good as the next coach and his planning and preparation is very good. Injuries, and the lack of depth those injuries exposed, screwed our season.
Nathan Buckley has just slammed the tactic of playing E Hollands behind the ball early and leaving us one short down forward fuelling Zorko. Doesnt buy the injury excuse given the poor effort. The Kennedy sub fiasco, selecting unfit players etc....I like Voss the man but his tactics are questionable and he is in charge and ultimately responsible.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ratlice on September 09, 2024, 10:36:51 am
It seems to me that we have lost too many games where we are well in front and lose. Last year's final against Brisbane, Swans this year, Giants & Bulldogs. No plan B when the opposition have us worked out!!! This game we were worked out before the bounce and again had no answer!!!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 10:44:09 am
It seems to me that we have lost too many games where we are well in front and lose. Last year's final against Brisbane, Swans this year, Giants & Bulldogs. No plan B when the opposition have us worked out!!! This game we were worked out before the bounce and again had no answer!!!
I mean, that's not quite right. We won the 2nd half quite convincingly, on the back of a few things, which included adjustments and changes made by the coaches. It was of course too little too late, but there was a Plan B and it worked.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 09, 2024, 10:52:27 am
I mean, that's not quite right. We won the 2nd half quite convincingly, on the back of a few things, which included adjustments and changes made by the coaches. It was of course too little too late, but there was a Plan B and it worked.
Yes, it's very hard to enact multiple plans when so many are out, no matter what fans or media vitriol suggests, injuries are a reason.
Even so while not expecting a victory, I'm still at a loss to explain the 40-50 minutes, I'm not shocked by our poor ball use because it's what we do, but I'm absolutely horrified by our lack of F50 entries. Even roving to a hopelessly losing ruck it's fair to expect Cripps, Walsh, Hewett, Cerra, etc., etc., to deliver more than just a couple of entries.
So the weekend was our worst case scenario, we hardly had any F50 entries and we wasted pretty much all of them.
The loss isn't a surprise, how we lost is. The Lions turned our strength, one of the AFL's most dominant strengths, into a outright weakness!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Milhanna13 on September 09, 2024, 11:48:49 am
4 small forwards and cerra was who I had an issue with pre-game.
5 of our worst 10 players were from that group including the worst 2.
I also had an issue with tdk starting as sub and said he shouldve started. Tdk - 6 Pittonet - 6 Walsh - 6 Newman - 6 Weitering - 6 Acres - 7 Cripps - 8 Hewett - 8
'Post game experts' they say.
The loss is hard enough to take. But when you can highlight the issues before the game (and I'm not alone in this) it makes it all that harder to take.
Not sure who Jack Jovanovski is - but that read as though a Pies or Dons supporter wrote it. Managed to stick the boots into EVERY player and seemed to enjoy it. I know we were woeful, but FOX probably shouldnt have a work experieince kid, with a skinful, writing the player reviews
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tonyo on September 09, 2024, 12:04:48 pm
All I know is, there may be plenty of excuses, but we have to find an answer for those excuses......
Get tough and do it! FFS, if McGovern kicked the goal after the siren and we'd held on against the Saints, we would have been playing Port Adelaide in the Qualifying final.
We need to find the ruthless edge again - for me, we play too nice......
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ratlice on September 09, 2024, 12:05:12 pm
I mean, that's not quite right. We won the 2nd half quite convincingly, on the back of a few things, which included adjustments and changes made by the coaches. It was of course too little too late, but there was a Plan B and it worked.
The cue was in the rack in the 2nd half, lets be honest about it. Even Fagan said, we were nover going to win that game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 12:06:23 pm
Not sure who Jack Jovanovski is - but that read as though a Pies or Dons supporter wrote it. Managed to stick the boots into EVERY player and seemed to enjoy it. I know we were woeful, but FOX probably shouldnt have a work experieince kid, with a skinful, writing the player reviews
Yes, whoever wrote it was loving every minute. Still, he did have a point. All clubs have stinkers, including the Swans losing to Port by 112 (although some clubs produce stinkers at more regular intervals than others). I doubt anyone will ever figure out why, except that players and coaches are people, and all of us have unexplainable stinkers now and again. Most of us can get away with only a few people seeing them. In football, they are as ugly as dog's balls, and stick out just as much.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 12:07:24 pm
All I know is, there may be plenty of excuses, but we have to find an answer for those excuses......
Get tough and do it! FFS, if McGovern kicked the goal after the siren and we'd held on against the Saints, we would have been playing Port Adelaide in the Qualifying final.
We need to find the ruthless edge again -for me, we play too nice......
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 12:13:16 pm
The last couple of junk time goals yes I agree. But not before that IMO.
And can I also just add. If Fagan seriously thinks putting the cue in the rack in an EF is a good strategy, then he needs a good talking to. If you're that cocky by half time, it's little wonder they have no silverware to show for their efforts.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 12:33:38 pm
Nathan Buckley has just slammed the tactic of playing E Hollands behind the ball early and leaving us one short down forward fuelling Zorko. Doesnt buy the injury excuse given the poor effort. The Kennedy sub fiasco, selecting unfit players etc....I like Voss the man but his tactics are questionable and he is in charge and ultimately responsible.
Nafan can slam all he likes, he doesn't know the tactical reasoning for it, only the coaching team does. Again, things were done that seem/ed poor but there was logic behind them at the time, they didnt work.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 09, 2024, 01:04:03 pm
For those interested, Matthew Lloyd's comments - a little on the game, selections and list. From about the 13m mark.
Agreed with some of the SF commentary.
Don't agree with the Midfield comments, Lloyd said the mix isn't quite right, and he stated the same about the Dogs, who with us are basically one of the most dominant Midfields in the AFL competition for the bulk of this season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 01:06:11 pm
The cue was in the rack in the 2nd half, lets be honest about it. Even Fagan said, we were nover going to win that game.
Yes Fagan would say that, the reality is when we started the run of 11 goals, his team (as usual) started to panic and made mistakes. They are mentally weak and will not progress passed next week. Another fail for a very talented team.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 01:09:36 pm
Curnow - Champion, best forward in the AFL Owies - Best small forward Boyd - Was our designated kicker earlier this year. Fogarty - Pressure Cincotta - Pressure
All in Voss's best, only Cincotta was availably this week and wasnt played. That one I dont understand.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 09, 2024, 01:21:39 pm
It's interesting listening to various media today, banging on about our SFs and the Sub selection, neither of which had any bearing on the first 50 minutes of the game. It's low brow cheap click bait made for ratings, fed from the vitriol being spread by silly fans and trolls on social media.
The mainstream media are supposed to report from an expert base, not just behave as an echo chamber for nuffies!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 09, 2024, 01:45:59 pm
Don't agree with the Midfield comments, Lloyd said the mix isn't quite right, and he stated the same about the Dogs, who with us are basically one of the most dominant Midfields in the AFL competition for the bulk of this season.
Sorry, Spotted One, as many notable footy commentators noted, we're too one paced in the midfield and lack dynamic spread. Hopefully they realise that Cinc is a mid with genuine foot speed and should spend the preseason training as such. Point is, we might be very good, but we can be much better... and need to be.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 09, 2024, 01:50:17 pm
It's interesting listening to various media today, banging on about our SFs and the Sub selection, neither of which had any bearing on the first 50 minutes of the game. It's low brow cheap click bait made for ratings, fed from the vitriol being spread by silly fans and trolls on social media.
The mainstream media are supposed to report from an expert base, not just behave as an echo chamber for nuffies!
Not only are many of them right, they're actually stating the bloomin' obvious! What compounds the blatant errors is that after selection many noted the baffling ins and outs. And were proven correct... no hindsight cleverness, concerns over our SFs were voiced after selection and have been for much of the season, with the exception of Owies.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 01:59:05 pm
Sorry, Spotted One, as many notable footy commentators noted, we're too one paced in the midfield and lack dynamic spread. Hopefully they realise that Cinc is a mid with genuine foot speed and should spend the preseason training as such. Point is, we might be very good, but we can be much better... and need to be.
We are also a poor kicking midfield, Cincotta is a better kick than most of the other mids we have too, not playing him was another blunder rivalling subbing Kennedy and previously dropping Hewett/Kennedy when we needed wins in crucial games.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 02:14:22 pm
Nafan can slam all he likes, he doesn't know the tactical reasoning for it, only the coaching team does. Again, things were done that seem/ed poor but there was logic behind them at the time, they didnt work.
I think the tactical reasoning is the point and the logic questionable, as was subbing Kennedy, not playing Cincotta, dropping Hewett and Kennedy in previous games...its just mistake after mistake as was recruiting Fantasia. Prepared to cut him some slack on TDK as he obviously couldnt play a full game and in previous games has done well late in games so I could at least get the logic but the others are just fails imo and if you take unfit/underdone players into finals then the coach has to be responsible. I dont want to hear "we have to get better" every press conference either, thats on a par with I can see "green shoots" . We let Zorko and Neale run around unmanned when every blind man and his dog knows Neale has to have a proper minder and a fit one if you are to beat Brisbane...... Woeful MC and coaching performance and that includes Hansen, Hamill etc as well.........we have Cook and Sayers in their last seasons next season and when Cook goes I worry where we are heading on and off the field.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 09, 2024, 03:03:56 pm
I can answer the one about the arousal levels.
We suffered as much from a lack of belief as anything else. Brisbane could be supremely confident and played like it. They got the perfect start with a speculative shot coming off for a goal too. That kick by rayner had no business going in but it did. The ball bounced their way early a few times.
On the flipside we made a few uncharacteristic errors at our strongest parts. Very deflating when your a graders who need to fire make some errors. Weitering out on the full (wind a factor) cripps and Walsh turning it over.
The boys lacked belief and it showed. When the game slipped away from us, it was amazing to see the pressure go off the shoulders and the lift in output from some.
The weight of expectation and the dent in confidence can perhaps explain things a lot. We point back to the gws game but that game cooked our season multiple ways. Not just injury I reckon it hurt belief which is what our boys struggle with the most.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pew2 on September 09, 2024, 03:41:35 pm
we lack spread and speed in midfield and from Defence it has been our problem for years , i made a comment during the year this side needs 3 chris yarran (good one)
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Professer E on September 09, 2024, 04:28:18 pm
Saad has been pretty ordinary this year and it might be time to start grooming a replacement.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 04:46:55 pm
I'm sorry... I just cant see it. Do folks really think the addition of Binns, Lord and Moir would have made a difference to that start? We were being thrashed in the midfield. Our 'elite' midfielders were getting soundly beaten. Would our youngsters like Binns and Lord fared better than a Cripps, Walsh, Hewett Our pressure and attack on the ball and opposition players was miles off...from our better players.
The only change that would possibly have made a bit of difference was if we'd had DeKoning starting earlier. Our maligned small forwards were ineffectual because the ball didn't get down there until just before half-time
Binns, Lord and Moir were in the games against West Coast (where we just fell over the line) and St Kilda (where we just didn't) So how can it possibly be argued they'd have made a difference in a finals match against Brisbane in Brisbane. They would probably have struggled to match their efforts of the preceeding weeks and we'd have been criticised for throwing them to the wolves.
The argument was.... we had a few returning experienced players who we could mix them in with, A mix of youth and experienced returning players....as long as they're all fit, was the best selection according to popular theory.
Who? The two returnees who had most impact were McKay (9 touches) and DeKoning (deemed "not guaranteed to play an entire game".) We got seduced and excited about a few kids. It was good experience for them to play the last couple of games They look like being solid players. A bit of finals experience may have been good, but that would be the reason to pick them....not because they were ever going to make a difference.
We lost it because the injuries left too many of our players short of a gallop. And our pressure was miles off our best.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Shakin77 on September 09, 2024, 04:54:09 pm
We need to find ways to free him up. Too often someone like Ben Keays drags him to the goal line and we don't have an answer.
We need to play him on the wing, then he can drop back and play a defensive wing who becomes our quarterback coming out of defence. We could almost start him at half forward for the same logic. Much prefer Saad behind the ball as the extra rather than Elijah.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 05:22:10 pm
I'm sorry... I just cant see it. Do folks really think the addition of Binns, Lord and Moir would have made a difference to that start? We were being thrashed in the midfield. Our 'elite' midfielders were getting soundly beaten. Would our youngsters like Binns and Lord fared better than a Cripps, Walsh, Hewett Our pressure and attack on the ball and opposition players was miles off...from our better players.
The only change that would possibly have made a bit of difference was if we'd had DeKoning starting earlier. Our maligned small forwards were ineffectual because the ball didn't get down there until just before half-time
Binns, Lord and Moir were in the games against West Coast (where we just fell over the line) and St Kilda (where we just didn't) So how can it possibly be argued they'd have made a difference in a finals match against Brisbane in Brisbane. They would probably have struggled to match their efforts of the preceeding weeks and we'd have been criticised for throwing them to the wolves.
The argument was.... we had a few returning experienced players who we could mix them in with, A mix of youth and experienced returning players....as long as they're all fit, was the best selection according to popular theory.
Who? The two returnees who had most impact were McKay (9 touches) and DeKoning (deemed "not guaranteed to play an entire game".) We got seduced and excited about a few kids. It was good experience for them to play the last couple of games They look like being solid players. A bit of finals experience may have been good, but that would be the reason to pick them....not because they were ever going to make a difference.
We lost it because the injuries left too many of our players short of a gallop. And our pressure was miles off our best.
👏👏👏👏 And just on players returning from injury, look at Papley's stats, 2 goals, 4 scores assists in the last qtr, elite. If you want it enough you'll get, they (the midfield especially early) just didn't want it.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 09, 2024, 05:24:44 pm
I'm sorry... I just cant see it. Do folks really think the addition of Binns, Lord and Moir would have made a difference to that start? We were being thrashed in the midfield. Our 'elite' midfielders were getting soundly beaten. Would our youngsters like Binns and Lord fared better than a Cripps, Walsh, Hewett Our pressure and attack on the ball and opposition players was miles off...from our better players.
...
We lost it because the injuries left too many of our players short of a gallop. And our pressure was miles off our best.
Cerra was one of the issues. Short of a gallop. Underperforming. Slow. Lacks pressure. Doesn't have another position.
The issue with the small forwards is that they are small forwards. They are not midfielders resting forward. They don't play another position.
I wanted to use Cincotta as a 'small forward'. The way it allows us to mix it up and rotate someone who might not be working out of the way. eg. If Cerra was no good, or if Kennedy was no good. Push him to the goal square and bring Cincotta into the midfield rotation. You could've done the same with Binns/Lord if you wanted too. Push them up to a wing and let Ollie jump in the guts.
I don't blame the small forwards for not getting the ball. I blame the MC for picking so many of them and not allowing us to arrest the slide by mixing up our midfield.
The enthusiasm a kid (or kids) provide is another added bonus. Personally i only would've played 1 maybe 2 of the kids.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 05:27:58 pm
I'm sorry... I just cant see it. Do folks really think the addition of Binns, Lord and Moir would have made a difference to that start? We were being thrashed in the midfield. Our 'elite' midfielders were getting soundly beaten. Would our youngsters like Binns and Lord fared better than a Cripps, Walsh, Hewett Our pressure and attack on the ball and opposition players was miles off...from our better players.
The only change that would possibly have made a bit of difference was if we'd had DeKoning starting earlier. Our maligned small forwards were ineffectual because the ball didn't get down there until just before half-time
Binns, Lord and Moir were in the games against West Coast (where we just fell over the line) and St Kilda (where we just didn't) So how can it possibly be argued they'd have made a difference in a finals match against Brisbane in Brisbane. They would probably have struggled to match their efforts of the preceeding weeks and we'd have been criticised for throwing them to the wolves.
The argument was.... we had a few returning experienced players who we could mix them in with, A mix of youth and experienced returning players....as long as they're all fit, was the best selection according to popular theory.
Who? The two returnees who had most impact were McKay (9 touches) and DeKoning (deemed "not guaranteed to play an entire game".) We got seduced and excited about a few kids. It was good experience for them to play the last couple of games They look like being solid players. A bit of finals experience may have been good, but that would be the reason to pick them....not because they were ever going to make a difference.
We lost it because the injuries left too many of our players short of a gallop. And our pressure was miles off our best.
A gain in finals experience was going to be the only win from that game. We were never going to win with any lineup but finding out a bit more about our kids would have been helpful and educational. What happened picking unfit players and the ensuing weird game plans only created more doubt about our coaching and ability to be taken seriously as a contender for the future.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 09, 2024, 05:46:21 pm
Does anyone think that Voss is part of the problem?
My only issue with bringing on Vossy as coach was i was afraid he would do the same thing he did at Brisbane. That is, try for a quick fix, bring in players who perhaps he shouldn't (Fev!) and set the club back as a result.
Not quite the same standard, but bringing in Fantasia was a bit of a worry and a warning sign of perhaps the same thing. But in fairness, every coach seems to get 'one'.
However, since then he and his MC have got me stuffed with their selections. Yes, the continued inclusion of Fantasia is one that sticks out, but its not limited to that. There are plenty of players that seem to just 'play' regardless of fitness and form. Cerra stands out as an example. There are players who will be picked to play regardless of how injured and ineffective they are. Charlie playe about 5 games more than he should.....and we got ZERO return from that.
We were a game and a half clear in 2nd position with a huge injury list (and growing) and an easier draw towards the end of the season. Instead of resting players, he ran them into the ground and compounded the problem.
Our last 10 games, we won just 3. Those 3 were the teams that finished in the bottom 3 this year. IMO, that was mainly due to picking the wrong players at the wrong time.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 05:49:38 pm
Cincotta is probably one you could question. Even Zorko questioned it, :D
A month ago he would have been one of the first ones picked. There's been a few suggestions his form has dropped off a bit. I hadn't noticed. He still seemed to be getting a fair bit of the ball but his main roll has been a defensive one. He may have gone away from instructions in recent games Maybe that's what cost him a spot.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Professer E on September 09, 2024, 06:03:43 pm
Cerra was a very questionable selection Lods, short of a gallop, horribly out of form all season and single position player. Not an intelligent selection.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 06:10:07 pm
My only issue with bringing on Vossy as coach was i was afraid he would do the same thing he did at Brisbane. That is, try for a quick fix, bring in players who perhaps he shouldn't (Fev!) and set the club back as a result.
Not quite the same standard, but bringing in Fantasia was a bit of a worry and a warning sign of perhaps the same thing. But in fairness, every coach seems to get 'one'.
However, since then he and his MC have got me stuffed with their selections. Yes, the continued inclusion of Fantasia is one that sticks out, but its not limited to that. There are plenty of players that seem to just 'play' regardless of fitness and form. Cerra stands out as an example. There are players who will be picked to play regardless of how injured and ineffective they are. Charlie playe about 5 games more than he should.....and we got ZERO return from that.
We were a game and a half clear in 2nd position with a huge injury list (and growing) and an easier draw towards the end of the season. Instead of resting players, he ran them into the ground and compounded the problem.
Our last 10 games, we won just 3. Those 3 were the teams that finished in the bottom 3 this year. IMO, that was mainly due to picking the wrong players at the wrong time.
It won't happen (at least not in public) but one of the things you would like to see is coaches explaining why they make certain selections. We have a crack at journalists but the questioning of coaches at press confrences is often wishy-washy.
"Why didn't you play at least some of the youngsters?" "Why was Cincotta not picked seeing he would have been a good match-up for Zorko" "Was the plan always to sub out Kennedy"
Season is over, the answers to these type of questions aren't state secrets...but they're things fans would like to hear.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on September 09, 2024, 06:14:44 pm
Cerra was a very questionable selection Lods, short of a gallop, horribly out of form all season and single position player. Not an intelligent selection.
How many hammies has he done Prof?...ridiculous selection when we had Lord or Binns fit and ready to go...
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 06:17:22 pm
Cerra was a very questionable selection Lods, short of a gallop, horribly out of form all season and single position player. Not an intelligent selection.
...and struggled when he returned from injury last time. I suspect there was probably some discussion and experience probably won the day in a close decision over Lord.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 06:20:37 pm
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 06:41:26 pm
There's a subtle difference between being "uninjured" and "match fit" (see Docherty) ;)
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 06:53:31 pm
I think it was a "damned if you do damned if you don't" scenario. You either play seniors with experience who lack match conditioning, or kids who are not yet able to sustain 4 quarters of AFL footy, who may not be up to speed with structures and game plan etc. It's a lose-lose IMO.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: BlackRooster on September 09, 2024, 07:17:20 pm
I have not read every post but i am guessing what i am thinking or want to say has been said. I have heard this comment many times from the media (not necessary about this game) but EFFORT does not require talent and in the first half thats what alot of our players lacked effort.
I am not sure we can afford to bring a big broom to sweep out players. I just hope that the people who have our club in their hands know what they plan to do.
Do we dare say maybe 2025 for a team that plays a consistent brand of football.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: rocky on September 09, 2024, 07:43:07 pm
I'm sorry... I just cant see it. Do folks really think the addition of Binns, Lord and Moir would have made a difference to that start? We were being thrashed in the midfield. Our 'elite' midfielders were getting soundly beaten. Would our youngsters like Binns and Lord fared better than a Cripps, Walsh, Hewett Our pressure and attack on the ball and opposition players was miles off...from our better players.
The only change that would possibly have made a bit of difference was if we'd had DeKoning starting earlier. Our maligned small forwards were ineffectual because the ball didn't get down there until just before half-time
Binns, Lord and Moir were in the games against West Coast (where we just fell over the line) and St Kilda (where we just didn't) So how can it possibly be argued they'd have made a difference in a finals match against Brisbane in Brisbane. They would probably have struggled to match their efforts of the preceeding weeks and we'd have been criticised for throwing them to the wolves.
The argument was.... we had a few returning experienced players who we could mix them in with, A mix of youth and experienced returning players....as long as they're all fit, was the best selection according to popular theory.
Who? The two returnees who had most impact were McKay (9 touches) and DeKoning (deemed "not guaranteed to play an entire game".) We got seduced and excited about a few kids. It was good experience for them to play the last couple of games They look like being solid players. A bit of finals experience may have been good, but that would be the reason to pick them....not because they were ever going to make a difference.
We lost it because the injuries left too many of our players short of a gallop. And our pressure was miles off our best.
yes but in the first half we went inside fifty 24 times according to the stats. It came straight out. That's who we kicked it to and the forwards not getting busy enough.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 09, 2024, 08:09:35 pm
yes but in the first half we went inside fifty 24 times according to the stats. It came straight out. That's who we kicked it to and the forwards not getting busy enough.
Yep That's an example where stats tell only half a story. The ball went in and came straight back out. They controlled the air and delivery inside 50 was poor. On the ground it broke down around half-forward so a lot of those entries were shallow and they were able to mount attacks.
A lot of that is not due to anything other than a lack of defensive pressure in the forward line and that's why the scoreline ended up 60-0
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 09, 2024, 08:33:15 pm
16 scoring shots from 56 Inside 50's is a terrible return. Just a dirty night all round.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 08:36:51 pm
Yep That's an example where stats tell only half a story. The ball went in and came straight back out. They controlled the air and delivery inside 50 was poor. On the ground it broke down around half-forward so a lot of those entries were shallow and they were able to mount attacks.
A lot of that is not due to anything other than a lack of defensive pressure in the forward line and that's why the scoreline ended up 60-0
which is where the small forwards cop a bit of grief.
It's one thing to say it didn't get down there but it popped out way too easily and a lot of them were unsighted for too long.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 09, 2024, 08:39:34 pm
yes but in the first half we went inside fifty 24 times according to the stats. It came straight out. That's who we kicked it to and the forwards not getting busy enough.
....and potentially who was doing the kicking!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 09, 2024, 11:28:08 pm
So I watched the first half up to our first goal qtr time Bris 19 I50s to Carl 8 Bris 5.5.35 to Carl 0.0.0 at the first Carl goal by Cripps Bris 29 I50s to Carl 20 Bris 9.6.60 to Carl 1.0.6 It was hard to watch but I just wanted to know
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 10, 2024, 12:00:25 am
So I watched the first half up to our first goal qtr time Bris 19 I50s to Carl 8 Bris 5.5.35 to Carl 0.0.0 at the first Carl goal by Cripps Bris 29 I50s to Carl 20 Bris 9.6.60 to Carl 1.0.6 It was hard to watch but I just wanted to know
Inside 50's ended up even 56-56 Don't go back and torture yourself again :D but
An interesting one or two from that 60-0 time would be ... How many times in that period the ball entering our 50 was marked by a Brisbane player. How many times first contact from our inside 50 was a Brisbane player who then saw it out of the 50
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 10, 2024, 01:45:34 am
I50 is a deceptive stat, it can mean barely a step inside the arc on the boundary line or in the corridor at the top of the goalsquare.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 10, 2024, 03:44:22 am
👏👏👏👏 And just on players returning from injury, look at Papley's stats, 2 goals, 4 scores assists in the last qtr, elite. If you want it enough you'll get, they (the midfield especially early) just didn't want it.
That's one and didn't miss alot with repeat injuries.Swans weren't bringing back multiple half fit, underdone players and leaving other out of form ones in. We should have played our fittest possible side. Blokes we had weren't fit enough to get close to anything when the game was hot. Young blokes would have been able too, applied a bit of pressure rather than allowing the likes Zorko to do what he wanted. Makes a huge difference. Many not have won but would not have been 60-0 either. Would have made them work for it a little more.
Only.the fittest succeed in finals. Proven.for over 100 years.As thry say, those who don't learn from history are doomed to repeat it. 80% fit gives 20% output.
This season was just a total f up by all concerned at the top from the fitness bloke to.poor team selection.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 10, 2024, 07:05:16 am
Inside 50's ended up even 56-56 Don't go back and torture yourself again :D but
An interesting one or two from that 60-0 time would be ... How many times in that period the ball entering our 50 was marked by a Brisbane player. How many times first contact from our inside 50 was a Brisbane player who then saw it out of the 50
I made notes on everyone, Ill post tonight after work
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 10, 2024, 07:27:10 am
Inside 50 stats....
Q1. 8-16 Lions
Q2 16-12 blues
1st half 24-28 Lions
Q3 19-11 blues
Q4 13-15 lions
2nd half 32-26 blues
Total 56-56
'Shots at goal accuracy' (should be i50 conversion) 20 / 56 = 35.7% blues 33 / 56 = 58.9% lions
All stats from afl app
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tonyo on September 10, 2024, 08:06:26 am
Inside 50s mean nothing if the ball comes back out faster than it went in.......
Our biggest weakness is getting caught on the slingshot, and it happens more times than I care to remember.
The level of F50 pressure is pathetic - only Fogarty and sometimes Owies actually give anything in this area. The rest trot around and admire the opposition defenders' rebounding skills. The defensive unit must be pulling their hair out when they see that.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: northernblue on September 10, 2024, 08:34:59 am
Inside 50s mean nothing if the ball comes back out faster than it went in.......
Our biggest weakness is getting caught on the slingshot, and it happens more times than I care to remember.
The level of F50 pressure is pathetic - only Fogarty and sometimes Owies actually give anything in this area. The rest trot around and admire the opposition defenders' rebounding skills. The defensive unit must be pulling their hair out when they see that.
That’s all well and good but if you’re a forward and the ball is delivered NOT to your advantage but to your DISADVANTAGE then you are out of position and cannot impact the contest… That’s why intercept marks hurt so much
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 10, 2024, 08:42:56 am
That’s all well and good but if you’re a forward and the ball is delivered NOT to your advantage but to your DISADVANTAGE then you are out of position and cannot impact the contest… That’s why intercept marks hurt so much
I would agree with that, but watch how hard most of our forwards chase - most barely get out of a trot. No wonder the opposition can set up such great D50 rebounds - they have plenty of time and space to work out their next move.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: dodge on September 10, 2024, 09:48:50 am
Club was in a hard place. With so many out with injury in the last few weeks, and beating 16th, losing to 12th, to win they needed to take a chance on a few that were coming back and not 100% right to go. A stable balanced team with the best players available is the best scenario, which we didn't have the luxury of. Getting the balance right with what we had was tricky.
Thankfully BL took their foot off the pedal, so there was some respectability in the score. Disappointing that we were so bad in the first half, but good that we didn't lie down for the whole game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 10, 2024, 10:46:15 am
All I know is, there may be plenty of excuses, but we have to find an answer for those excuses......
Get tough and do it! FFS, if McGovern kicked the goal after the siren and we'd held on against the Saints, we would have been playing Port Adelaide in the Qualifying final.
We need to find the ruthless edge again - for me, we play too nice......
Amen to that !!
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LordLucifer on September 10, 2024, 10:48:30 am
I50 is a deceptive stat, it can mean barely a step inside the arc on the boundary line or in the corridor at the top of the goalsquare.
A lot of the Champion Data stats are flimsy at best, fluffy at worst.
When you read the definition of a particular stat, they are contrived at best and have to many variables to be a relaistic tool of value.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Blue Moon on September 10, 2024, 12:37:56 pm
Finally got through the replay. Took me three attempts. It was pretty ugly viewing. Just a few observations. 1. Cincotta should have played. We were one defender short and Cowan struggled. I think Cowan would have been better if he was the seventh defender. Another pre-season will see him improve. 2. Absolutely no run and carry in the first quarter and twenty minutes. When Carlton is struggling we go into our shells and we don't take on the game. Handball receives should be a kpi next season. 3. Not sure why everyone has been down on O.Hollands. He was serviceable in the first half and he shut down Zorko in the second. wasn't great but he was okay. 4. TDK should have started. 5. Initially I thought Cerra should not have played as I think he disrupted the midfield. However he did get better as the game went on. He needs to define role for himself. 6. William should not have played and Carrol should have been the sub. 7. Pittonet took a couple of marks and it makes him a better player. Needs to develop his marking. 8. If Carlton players are upset by the sledging and the trash talking of opposition players then don't be five goals down. If you are five goals up you won't hear a word from these clowns. 9. Hopefully with a new fitness guru we might be able to get a bit of continuity with the team. 10. Binns, Lord, Wilson, Lemmey and Moir all need to be given plenty of opportunities next year. 11. Docherty is a marvel.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 10, 2024, 05:07:12 pm
Finally got through the replay. Took me three attempts. It was pretty ugly viewing. Just a few observations. 1. Cincotta should have played. We were one defender short and Cowan struggled. I think Cowan would have been better if he was the seventh defender. Another pre-season will see him improve. 2. Absolutely no run and carry in the first quarter and twenty minutes. When Carlton is struggling we go into our shells and we don't take on the game. Handball receives should be a kpi next season. 3. Not sure why everyone has been down on O.Hollands. He was serviceable in the first half and he shut down Zorko in the second. wasn't great but he was okay. 4. TDK should have started. 5. Initially I thought Cerra should not have played as I think he disrupted the midfield. However he did get better as the game went on. He needs to define role for himself. 6. William should not have played and Carrol should have been the sub. 7. Pittonet took a couple of marks and it makes him a better player. Needs to develop his marking. 8. If Carlton players are upset by the sledging and the trash talking of opposition players then don't be five goals down. If you are five goals up you won't hear a word from these clowns. 9. Hopefully with a new fitness guru we might be able to get a bit of continuity with the team. 10. Binns, Lord, Wilson, Lemmey and Moir all need to be given plenty of opportunities next year. 11. Docherty is a marvel.
How do you arrive at one defender short? Our defensive rotation was Weitering, Young, McGovern, Cowan, Newman, Docherty and Saad and I'm sure Williams also spent time in defence. I do think that Cincotta should have played, but in place of Kennedy who had no energy and hardly got out of a jog ... but that's with the benefit of hindsight.
That goes for De Koning too. The club was concerned that he couldn't run out the game and that proved to be too conservative. He would have had a crack from the opening bounce and that could have made a difference.
Docherty is a marvel but he was as rusty as all get out and probably shouldn't have played. Again, Cincotta would have been a better bet.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 10, 2024, 05:13:53 pm
That goes for De Koning too. The club was concerned that he couldn't run out the game and that proved to be too conservative.
Not really, we don't know if they were right or wrong because, TDK only came on after 40 minutes and still only played 50% of game time in total. So after the first 40 minutes on the bench, he spent about another 20 minutes on the bench during the rest of the game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 10, 2024, 05:32:47 pm
Inside 50's ended up even 56-56 Don't go back and torture yourself again :D but
An interesting one or two from that 60-0 time would be ... How many times in that period the ball entering our 50 was marked by a Brisbane player. How many times first contact from our inside 50 was a Brisbane player who then saw it out of the 50
Here are my notes from the I50 I counted (by I50 I mean every time the ball cross the 50m line in our fwd half) Q1 I50 Pitto spilled mark Q1 I50 Kemp kick in to Big O who Int marks Q1 I50 Cripps kick in to Big O who Int marks Q1 I50 Acres kicks a grubber, TO straigh back out. First I50 in 8 min Q1 I50 Kennedy kick in, H drops the mark, Williams gathers from Cripps, snaps across the face OOB Q1 I50 Cripps kicks in, gathered and cleared by Bris def Q1 I50 Hewett kicks in, Motlop fumbles, Wiliams to H who is tackled drops ball, Bris clear Q1 I50 Acres kicks in, Andrews intercepts and 50m pen Qtr time 0.0.0 Q2 I50 Gov kicks in, Hewett gathers snaps short intercepted Q2 I50 Acres to H, drops the mark, Kemp gathers Q2 I50 Hewett I50 Walsh, H and Kennedy get in each others way, Kennedy marks gives to H who snaps ootf misses by 20m Q2 I50 Hew I50 kemp gathers snaps acrros the face ootf Q2 I50 Cowan kicks in, 35 for Bris interecpts ( H out pointed) Q2 I50 Acres from a passageof play I50, kicks over the head of Williams and goes OOB.Throw in, Pitto fumbes Bris take it away Q2 I50 Lij I50 from a stoppage, H flies drops the mark, Zorko gathers and clears to Bris player Q2 I50 Acres from a free for a trip I50, punched down to ground, Bris gathers and clears Q2 I50 From a Cent Clear, Doc gathers, kicks I50 looking for Durdin, Z\orko intercepts Q2 I50 Cerra i50 from the stoppage, Fantasia runs on, Zorko clears out Q2 I50 Cripps free kick on the wing, kicks I50, comes straight out again Q2 I50 Williams kicks i50 to 2 Bris defenders, ball spills, Durdin gathers, gives to Cripps for a goal 3m51s to go in the 2nd qtr 1.0.6
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 10, 2024, 05:38:00 pm
Inside 50s mean nothing if the ball comes back out faster than it went in.......
Our biggest weakness is getting caught on the slingshot, and it happens more times than I care to remember.
The level of F50 pressure is pathetic - only Fogarty and sometimes Owies actually give anything in this area. The rest trot around and admire the opposition defenders' rebounding skills. The defensive unit must be pulling their hair out when they see that.
I was just provided stats, not giving an opinion.
FWIW, i think it highlights a couple things i've mentioned previously.
No point playing 4 small forwards if they cannot take advantage of the ball coming inside 50. If the ball coming inside 50 is the problem, then either the small forwards are not leading correctly or the mids delivering it are the problem. Either way, the result seems to be, forget about the forwards and get in better mids, that is, bring more mids into your team. So ditch a couple small forwards, bring in players who will deliver it better or players that will give you more time to deliver.
Any way you slice it, too many small forwards and more (and better) mids is the answer and exactly what i wanted from our 23.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Blue Moon on September 10, 2024, 06:10:54 pm
How do you arrive at one defender short? Our defensive rotation was Weitering, Young, McGovern, Cowan, Newman, Docherty and Saad and I'm sure Williams also spent time in defence. I do think that Cincotta should have played, but in place of Kennedy who had no energy and hardly got out of a jog ... but that's with the benefit of hindsight.
That goes for De Koning too. The club was concerned that he couldn't run out the game and that proved to be too conservative. He would have had a crack from the opening bounce and that could have made a difference.
Docherty is a marvel but he was as rusty as all get out and probably shouldn't have played. Again, Cincotta would have been a better bet.
Docherty is a midfielder and Williams plays as a forward. They actually used O.Hollands down back
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 10, 2024, 06:18:01 pm
Not really, we don't know if they were right or wrong because, TDK only came on after 40 minutes and still only played 50% of game time in total. So after the first 40 minutes on the bench, he spent about another 20 minutes on the bench during the rest of the game.
And that's in the normal range when we play Pitto and Tom. Pitto was only on the ground for 67% over four quarters
Tom was full of beans at the end of the game and showed no signs of tiring or favouring his injuries. We were conservative with him, and that's fine, but, with hindsight, he could have played the entire game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 10, 2024, 07:02:10 pm
It wasn't funny at the time but the commentator said that Acres lowered his eyes. They must have been around his ankles ::)
Just one of those nights where everything was off. At least our recent form indicated that we were off the boil. The Doggies went into their EF looking a million bucks, and even they were made to look ordinary.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: tex on September 10, 2024, 07:38:52 pm
Off topic a bit - I’ve actually noticed this finals series that the umpires are now calling the game correctly, and in line with supporters and communities expectation. So it’s interesting that they actually do know how to call the game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 10, 2024, 07:39:56 pm
Off topic a bit - I’ve actually noticed this finals series that the umpires are now calling the game correctly, and in line with supporters and communities expectation. So it’s interesting that they actually do know how to call the game.
Apart from Harrys mark which they didn't pay.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 10, 2024, 07:44:21 pm
Line ball? Replay showed he was 100% under it without a doubt.
Memo to umps: If you are unsure, look at what the opposition player does. If they stop and stand the mark, its a mark. If they try and jump on the player, it hit the ground first.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 10, 2024, 07:53:36 pm
Line ball? Replay showed he was 100% under it without a doubt.
Memo to umps: If you are unsure, look at what the opposition player does. If they stop and stand the mark, its a mark. If they try and jump on the player, it hit the ground first.
But didn't control it enough. K, I'm with you, I agree... but I'm looking at it from the umps POV.
But, really, in the totality of it all, it's a non issue. Ultimately, it would not have mattered whether that mark was paid and he goaled. We were an embarrassment. Confused and bereft of spirit.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 10, 2024, 07:57:48 pm
But didn't control it enough. K, I'm with you, I agree... but I'm looking at it from the umps POV.
But, really, in the totality of it all, it's a non issue. Ultimately, it would not have mattered whether that mark was paid and he goaled. We were an embarrassment. Confused and bereft of spirit.
Overall it didn't matter, but it was when we had all the momentum and would've continued that. Instead it halted it.
Not sure how you can say he didn't control it. It never hit the ground. Nobody else touched it. Its a mark.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 10, 2024, 08:19:33 pm
Docherty is a midfielder and Williams plays as a forward. They actually used O.Hollands down back
Docherty played in defence for most of the game. If you start on the defensive 50 when there’s 6-6-6, you’re a defender and Docherty was one of our seven defender rotation.
Ollie was an extra behind the ball. He was nominally a forward but went back into defence after the centre bounces.
Williams played most of the game as a forward but also spent time in defence. That may just have been him helping out but it seemed to me that he was playing on a Brisbane forward.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 10, 2024, 08:27:46 pm
Off topic a bit - I’ve actually noticed this finals series that the umpires are now calling the game correctly, and in line with supporters and communities expectation. So it’s interesting that they actually do know how to call the game.
Good call - umpires have been fantastic back end of year
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 11, 2024, 07:25:08 am
Overall it didn't matter, but it was when we had all the momentum and would've continued that. Instead it halted it.
Not sure how you can say he didn't control it. It never hit the ground. Nobody else touched it. Its a mark.
To suggest that had that mark been paid we would have continued with the momentum and possibly won the game, is just too much of a stretch for me. You might be right, we'll never know. But it sure did look like Brisvegas were by far the better side.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 11, 2024, 07:31:00 am
To suggest that had that mark been paid we would have continued with the momentum and possibly won the game, is just too much of a stretch for me. You might be right, we'll never know. But it sure did look like Brisvegas were by far the better side.
I don't think I ever said we'd win the game. In fact the opposite. I said overall it probably didn't matter.....to the result. Just saying it was at an important time where we had the momentum and we lost it at that point.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: LP on September 11, 2024, 08:05:04 am
None of the umpiring has an effect of the result in such a thorough shellacking, the umpiring is generally the same for both sides.
But, it does change the spectacle for fans and viewers, which seems to be the point most media commentary is missing completely.
No doubt, that if there is even a slight differential in a close game, a close game being the point of difference, that the umpires can influence the result.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: sleeper on September 11, 2024, 12:58:15 pm
Here are my notes from the I50 I counted (by I50 I mean every time the ball cross the 50m line in our fwd half) Q1 I50 Pitto spilled mark Q1 I50 Kemp kick in to Big O who Int marks Q1 I50 Cripps kick in to Big O who Int marks Q1 I50 Acres kicks a grubber, TO straigh back out. First I50 in 8 min Q1 I50 Kennedy kick in, H drops the mark, Williams gathers from Cripps, snaps across the face OOB Q1 I50 Cripps kicks in, gathered and cleared by Bris def Q1 I50 Hewett kicks in, Motlop fumbles, Wiliams to H who is tackled drops ball, Bris clear Q1 I50 Acres kicks in, Andrews intercepts and 50m pen Qtr time 0.0.0 Q2 I50 Gov kicks in, Hewett gathers snaps short intercepted Q2 I50 Acres to H, drops the mark, Kemp gathers Q2 I50 Hewett I50 Walsh, H and Kennedy get in each others way, Kennedy marks gives to H who snaps ootf misses by 20m Q2 I50 Hew I50 kemp gathers snaps acrros the face ootf Q2 I50 Cowan kicks in, 35 for Bris interecpts ( H out pointed) Q2 I50 Acres from a passageof play I50, kicks over the head of Williams and goes OOB.Throw in, Pitto fumbes Bris take it away Q2 I50 Lij I50 from a stoppage, H flies drops the mark, Zorko gathers and clears to Bris player Q2 I50 Acres from a free for a trip I50, punched down to ground, Bris gathers and clears Q2 I50 From a Cent Clear, Doc gathers, kicks I50 looking for Durdin, Z\orko intercepts Q2 I50 Cerra i50 from the stoppage, Fantasia runs on, Zorko clears out Q2 I50 Cripps free kick on the wing, kicks I50, comes straight out again Q2 I50 Williams kicks i50 to 2 Bris defenders, ball spills, Durdin gathers, gives to Cripps for a goal 3m51s to go in the 2nd qtr 1.0.6
Interesting reading. I appreciate that the players noted are not the only ones in the area but they are the ones involved. Of the 20 I50's listed, only two of our "high pressure small forwards" are mentioned in the moments. And - they only feature once or twice each. Harry and Kempy (plus others) couldn't hold their marks or fumbled which means that the ball comes to ground on most occasions.
Where were the small forwards? Let's call it - 'missing'. And there goes the offensive pressure - turnover and goal to Brisbane!
This isn't isolated to this game. As many have bemoaned previously.
Some on this website suggest that these smalls, such as Durdin and Motlop should be cut some slack because of injury and 'lack of a pre-season'. Okay. Let's go with those excuses and cut them some slack. They are both contracted until the end of 2025? Let's see how they go next season.
Durdin shouldn't have played due to his current injury. We all seem to agree on this.
Motlop seemed to be injury free for this game and the previous ones. His going missing is more between the ears IMHO.
Fantasia must have some other roles that we are not across....who knows??
Or, we can explore the options that might present now to make list changes.
I remain highly sceptical of their current value on the list. Can and must do better.
Their EF was a very strong indicator of their current value.
Make the changes.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 11, 2024, 01:24:53 pm
I think generics of small forward roles is a problem.
If you look at how each player covers the ground it tells a different story.
Motlop for example spent 90% of his time in defensive half and 10% forward half so you can blame him for not being able to crumb, but not when he wasn't there.
Durdin by contrast spent 100% of his time forward half. So he would have struggled with the ball getting to his end of the ground same as the key forwards. In marking contests was he trying to get to the feet? Out the back? Stretching the opposition defense? None of that really. Maybe just a decoy everyone ignored.
Fantasia spent his role 40% in defensive half and 60% forward.
To me this is more an example of their individual work rate and why putting them in the same boat isn't fair.
This is according to the heat maps. So what happened?
Was motlop burning his chips defensively and not working offensively? Did motlop follow his man back too much?
Was durdin moonlighting as a full forward? Or was he stuck forward with the others (not sure where he was for our 56 forward entries but thats a different story.
Was fantasia working up and down or used as a bit of a spare parts man?
All in all our MC failed in one respect. Without owies there Kennedy should have played his role. Owies isn't quick, Kennedy is a better mark and probably our third best finisher if not fourth.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 11, 2024, 02:05:17 pm
If you look at how each player covers the ground it tells a different story.
…
This is according to the heat maps. So what happened?
Heat maps show where players had disposals, not where they were running.
In fact, 90% of Motlop’s disposals were in defence, 40% of Fantasia’s were in defence and all four of Durdin’s disposals were in the forward line. You’d have to look at the GPS data to see how much time they spent in attack and defence.
Putting that to one side, your point about them having different roles is correct. Fantasia generally has the link up role that Cottrell does so well and he had a defensive role on Zorko for some time. Motlop usually gets back in defence but Durdin rarely goes beyond the wing.
I don’t know if the distance covered stats are published anywhere but I suspect that they would show considerable variation.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: cookie2 on September 11, 2024, 02:12:15 pm
Heat maps show where players had disposals, not where they were running.
In fact, 90% of Motlop’s disposals were in defence, 40% of Fantasia’s were in defence and all four of Durdin’s disposals were in the forward line. You’d have to look at the GPS data to see how much time they spent in attack and defence.
Putting that to one side, your point about them having different roles is correct. Fantasia generally has the link up role that Cottrell does so well and he had a defensive role on Zorko for some time. Motlop usually gets back in defence but Durdin rarely goes beyond the wing.
I don’t know if the distance covered stats are published anywhere but I suspect that they would show considerable variation.
Agree. You have to know exactly what a player’s role is in order to make criticism of how well he’s performing it. Skills execution is obvious on the other hand.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 11, 2024, 02:15:26 pm
Agree. You have to know exactly what a player’s role is in order to make criticism of how well he’s performing it. Skills execution is obvious on the other hand.
For me it was Motlops fumbles that struck a cord with me.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: cookie2 on September 11, 2024, 02:19:33 pm
I'd be looking at moving on from all our small forwards bar Owies...but they are contracted and no one will trade for them..
Agreed but ironically it may be Owies that goes.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pew2 on September 11, 2024, 03:03:38 pm
like to ask 1 question , if wizard mk2 kicked 4 goals against bulldogs how would he go in our team the way ball comes into our f50,our slow ball movement ?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 11, 2024, 04:36:41 pm
Yep Reading around there are quite a few clubs interested. Personally I'd rather keep him But the club may be looking at his age compared to Motlop and Durdin and choose to move him on. I think his value might not be in a swap for a pick ...but rather bundled with a pick for a player of need.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 11, 2024, 05:42:17 pm
Yep Reading around there are quite a few clubs interested. Personally I'd rather keep him But the club may be looking at his age compared to Motlop and Durdin and choose to move him on. I think his value might not be in a swap for a pick ...but rather bundled with a pick for a player of need.
I think it’s likely to unfold that way.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 11, 2024, 07:46:45 pm
Yep Reading around there are quite a few clubs interested. Personally I'd rather keep him But the club may be looking at his age compared to Motlop and Durdin and choose to move him on. I think his value might not be in a swap for a pick ...but rather bundled with a pick for a player of need.
I like owies but he's no Eddie betts. I know once bitten twice shy, but his 2023 was actually better than his 2024. Kicked 27 goals off 18 games rather than 33 off 23.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 11, 2024, 08:07:06 pm
Still not a hope he was going to play well after that long out. I had him dropped for that reason a few weeks ago, bar the part where we ran out of players. He was struggling in the VFL quite a bit before he came back. Probably should not have come back.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 11, 2024, 08:32:47 pm
I like owies but he's no Eddie betts. I know once bitten twice shy, but his 2023 was actually better than his 2024. Kicked 27 goals off 18 games rather than 33 off 23.
Not a huge difference. Just shows he's a consistent goalkicker.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Adelaideblue on September 12, 2024, 09:23:01 pm
The number of posts to this topic shows the concern that supporters/members are feeling after last weekend. Not only at the game outcome, but the deficiencies in player selection and player management.
It is suggested a letter could be sent to the club, (say to Brian Cook Chief Executive Officer) from the Moderators seeking explanation to some of the decision made by the coaches/selectors and hopefully some acknowledgement of mistakes .
There have been lots of good points raised by various CSC members (including several by Baggers that hit the bullseye. imo). To get the ball rolling, here are a few thoughts from various member postings for someone to compose a letter.
Team Selection - Carlton v Brisbane final Selecting payers who had been out injured, had been breaking down consistently during the season or broke down when last played, Players who had performed poorly when selected for previous games. Ignoring three young players who were match fit and had performed well in the last two AFL games. Leaving out Cincotta our best shut down player.
Team selection - Season 2024 Not rewarding player form in our VFL side Failure to play young players from VFL side during the season in order they experience AFL tempo and to view their potential/development progress. Dropping consistent performers Kennedy and Hewett to VFL side Selecting players on perceived ability or past performance, not on form. (playing favourites)
VFL side - Strong seconds side/club culture often a feature of AFL premiership winning clubs. (Eg Box hill Hawks, Geelong VFL Cats, Casey Demons, etc)
Our AFL listed players more likely to be ready for move up, if playing in a strong VFL side. Carlton VFL side appears not to have the required level of support from the club to achieve.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Baggers on September 13, 2024, 07:50:35 am
Good read, City of Churches (AB).
To a person, every Bluebagger I know is at least perplexed and deeply disappointed through to still hurting and even angry. And that anger is due to most of us knowing those changes at selection last week were problematic, even silly.
Vossy attempting to justify his selections of so many suspect players having gotten through the game without injury is embarrassing. Not about that at all. Apart from TDK and perhaps H, how many of those inclusions made a strong, positive impact on the game? How could they, they were underdone and lacked match fitness and confidence.
And for Brad Lloyd to put our failure and consistent inconsistency at the feet of injury, alone, was convenient and predictable. He obviously believes members and supporters are supremely gullible. I'm betting that behind closed doors there are smarter people asking stronger questions. Well, I hope so. When accountability is avoided no meaningful change can take hold and stick.
Was The Terrier's departure the scapegoat that the failures of others needed for a collective sign of relief? 'Don't look at me, it's all his fault.'
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 13, 2024, 09:11:00 am
To a person, every Bluebagger I know is at least perplexed and deeply disappointed through to still hurting and even angry. And that anger is due to most of us knowing those changes at selection last week were problematic, even silly.
I may be the odd man out then. I'm disappointed, but not perplexed. Certainly not angry....not even hurting.
It was what it was. Once the injuries hit us our season virtually ended. Folks will say we were off before that, but we were sitting in second having crushed Geelong and were being talked up as premiership favourites. It wasn't just injuries that had players missing games, but the fact that players were forced to play with injuries and the cumulative effect of that meant the season would finish pretty much as it did.
Do folks think that if Binns, Lord, Moir and Cincotta had played we would have won. We couldn't beat St Kilda with those 4 playing and Cincotta who seemed an obvious matchup for someone like Zorko was dropped. So obviously it was considered that he had gone off the boil from the shut-down roles he'd performed in previous weeks. At best it might have made a slight difference to the start. Some might say we came back and they started to panic. There was an element of that, but we were never going to win. They eased off and then had to comeback and seal the game...which they did. Brisbane had the game won and were looking to next week. Our last three goals were junk time goals. Two to Pittonet says it all.
But if TDK had played all the game??? We were at the point where it was considered that he was a major weapon but the doubt was on the ability to see out the game. If we're going to count out players because there is a doubt over their fitness and ability to see out the game as some have argued....then surely he doesn't play at all. That wouldn't have gone well. The fact is we had no idea how long he would last, or how he would perform after a lay-off. That he did well is a credit to him, and the sooner we get him on a long term deal the better.
So... not angry. Not hurting A bit disappointed. That's all a bit of a waste of time...what's done is done Moved on already...but maybe hoping and expecting some changes around the caoching structure and football department. Looking forward to the trade and draft periods and a more settled side in 2025....because time is running out for this group, and major changes will take us back a few squares.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 13, 2024, 09:21:36 am
Our premiership campaign ended on that Sunday afternoon against Hawthorn. That was the nail.
I'm positive about our future.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 13, 2024, 09:35:43 am
I may be the odd man out then. I'm disappointed, but not perplexed. Certainly not angry....not even hurting.
It was what it was. Once the injuries hit us our season virtually ended. Folks will say we were off before that, but we were sitting in second having crushed Geelong and were being talked up as premiership favourites. It wasn't just injuries that had players missing games, but the fact that players were forced to play with injuries and the cumulative effect of that meant the season would finish pretty much as it did.
Do folks think that if Binns, Lord, Moir and Cincotta had played we would have won. We couldn't beat St Kilda with those 4 playing and Cincotta who seemed an obvious matchup for someone like Zorko was dropped. So obviously it was considered that he had gone off the boil from the shut-down roles he'd performed in previous weeks. At best it might have made a slight difference to the start. Some might say we came back and they started to panic. There was an element of that, but we were never going to win. They eased off and then had to comeback and seal the game...which they did. Brisbane had the game won and were looking to next week. Our last three goals were junk time goals. Two to Pittonet says it all.
But if TDK had played all the game??? We were at the point where it was considered that he was a major weapon but the doubt was on the ability to see out the game. If we're going to count out players because there is a doubt over their fitness and ability to see out the game as some have argued....then surely he doesn't play at all. That wouldn't have gone well. The fact is we had no idea how long he would last, or how he would perform after a lay-off. That he did well is a credit to him, and the sooner we get him on a long term deal the better.
So... not angry. Not hurting A bit disappointed. That's all a bit of a waste of time...what's done is done Moved on already...but maybe hoping and expecting some changes around the caoching structure and football department. Looking forward to the trade and draft periods and a more settled side in 2025....because time is running out for this group, and major changes will take us back a few squares.
Playing Binns, Lord, Moir and Cincotta would have made us more competitive. Blokes fit enough to actually get to contests. Not thinking we were winning at all but would have been more competitive. Might have been 30-0 instead of 60 with a few bloke's actually switched on. At least you'd feel some chance from there rather than hopeless. As for not beating the Saints, remember the Saints very comfortably beat Geelong the previous week. They had found their form. The 4 bloke's would have blended in with some coming back. It would not have been totally the previous week's side.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 13, 2024, 09:45:39 am
You’re not the odd man out Lods.
While I may disagree with some decisions Vossy, the MC or Nick Austin may make, I accept that they are informed decisions made by folk who are far more knowledgeable than me but don’t have the benefit of hindsight.
It wouldn’t have mattered which 23 players were selected or who was the sub, the result wouldn’t have changed, particularly if our arousal level wasn’t increased.
Our season was screwed by injuries but that provided opportunities and learnings that will make us stronger next season.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Gointocarlton on September 13, 2024, 10:54:48 am
While I may disagree with some decisions Vossy, the MC or Nick Austin may make, I accept that they are informed decisions made by folk who are far more knowledgeable than me but don’t have the benefit of hindsight.
It wouldn’t have mattered which 23 players were selected or who was the sub, the result wouldn’t have changed, particularly if our arousal level wasn’t increased.
Our season was screwed by injuries but that provided opportunities and learnings that will make us stronger next season.
For me there were two or three key injuries that derailed our season overall: - Doc rnd 0 - TDK rnd 19 - Charlie rnd 22 TDK especially was a massive loss given how he was playing and that dashed all hopes of a semi successful finals campaign. The 6 injuries from the Hawthorn game was IMO a 1 in a 100 year event which was also catastrophic.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: madbluboy on September 13, 2024, 11:28:02 am
Charlie did his ankle before the Giants game, rumours he stepped in a hole in the ground where the sprinklers are. In the same game TDK, Weitering and McGovern were also injured. At the same time we were getting ahead of ourselves messing with a midfield that was working.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Adelaideblue on September 13, 2024, 01:25:59 pm
Playing Binns, Lord, Moir and Cincotta would have made us more competitive. Blokes fit enough to actually get to contests. Not thinking we were winning at all but would have been more competitive. Might have been 30-0 instead of 60 with a few bloke's actually switched on. At least you'd feel some chance from there rather than hopeless.
Yes agree Laj, that is the key to me also. Playing some or all those four guys would have made us more competitive! We were anything but competitive at 0 score to 10 goals at half time.
Ab
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Thryleon on September 13, 2024, 01:40:29 pm
Charlie did his ankle before the Giants game, rumours he stepped in a hole in the ground where the sprinklers are. In the same game TDK, Weitering and McGovern were also injured. At the same time we were getting ahead of ourselves messing with a midfield that was working.
can't disagree with that.
Also dropping young when he had filled a hole and playing ok was a mistake.
That's the stuff that wrecked our season. We kept rushing players back. We get one good run out from a player returning from injury and then they gradually taper off. Sure they need match fitness but not everyone needs to come in via the afl.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: pew2 on September 13, 2024, 02:11:33 pm
people stop analysing lions game we were cooked look at the whole year wen we had a better side and lost ,it is the crap game plan u12 stuff. Recall port game we kicked 1 goal second half anyway onto recruiting and drafting hope we find the pieces
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: Lods on September 13, 2024, 02:37:15 pm
I still believe the "level of disappointment is directly related to the level of expectation"
Here's the thing... Once a result is confirmed it's the only outcome that can be analysed. It's the only outcome that matters. Speculating on other scenarios and what-ifs is just a guess.
So there were probably three main lines of thinking prior to the start of the game.
Group 1 -We had no chance whatever team we put on the park... injuries have killed us. Group 2- It would be a struggle, but if we could get a few of our better players back we weren't without a chance. Group 3- We were a good chance...if the MC selected the right players, the young and the uninjured.
So depending on each persons thinking prior to the game the result has left us with...
Group 1-Relief it's over ...on to 2025 Group 2-Disappointed but resigned. Group 3- Angry and upset.
The level of disappointment will vary according to our expectations. Some will move on quickly, others may take a bit of time.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 13, 2024, 02:46:17 pm
So depending on each persons thinking prior to the game the result has left us with...
Group 1-Relief it's over ...on to 2025 Group 2-Disappointed but resigned. Group 3- Angry and upset.
The level of disappointment will vary according to our expectations. Some will move on quickly, others may take a bit of time.
What generates the expectations and reactions is results to some degree, but the bigger generator I would argue is personality type. You can predict with a high level of accuracy how the various posters on here will react to a given situation, and that includes all of us.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 13, 2024, 02:48:51 pm
What generates the expectations and reactions is results to some degree, but the bigger generator I would argue is personality type. You can predict with a high level of accuracy how the various posters on here will react to a given situation, and that includes all of us.
I think you're both right as its a combination of the 2.
Just out of curiosity, Which group do you think i belong too? What about a random selection of others?
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: PaulP on September 13, 2024, 02:53:48 pm
You get splinters in your butt if you sit on the fence too much. :P
But that's a position. And sometimes it's the best position. ;) It's like politics...the centre is the best :D
I reckon you would be a group 3 Kruds...but I think your disappointment will fade quickly because your focus will switch to List management. I suspect you'll probably reference the result next year in pre-match threads if you think the MC have stuffed up at selection.
I was somewhere between a 1 and a 2. I thought we might have a chance if some of our better players came back and boosted the side but we didn't get them back in a match fit state. That's the other point. There's a difference between being 'fit to play' and being 'match fit'. The first one is easy to determine. The second pretty difficult. Tom is a good example. They didn't think he could last the game. As it turned out he probably could have.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: DJC on September 13, 2024, 04:01:25 pm
Playing Binns, Lord, Moir and Cincotta would have made us more competitive. Blokes fit enough to actually get to contests. Not thinking we were winning at all but would have been more competitive. Might have been 30-0 instead of 60 with a few bloke's actually switched on. At least you'd feel some chance from there rather than hopeless. As for not beating the Saints, remember the Saints very comfortably beat Geelong the previous week. They had found their form. The 4 bloke's would have blended in with some coming back. It would not have been totally the previous week's side.
Yeah, nah!
Cincotta for Kennedy maybe. Lord would have had a crack, Binns would have been brushed aside and Moir is fit enough to play a whole game.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: kruddler on September 13, 2024, 04:05:56 pm
But that's a position. And sometimes it's the best position. ;) It's like politics...the centre is the best :D
I reckon you would be a group 3 Kruds...but I think your disappointment will fade quickly because your focus will switch to List management. I suspect you'll probably reference the result next year in pre-match threads if you think the MC have stuffed up at selection.
I was somewhere between a 1 and a 2. I thought we might have a chance if some of our better players came back and boosted the side but we didn't get them back in a match fit state. That's the other point. There's a difference between being 'fit to play' and being 'match fit'. The first one is easy to determine. The second pretty difficult. Tom is a good example. They didn't think he could last the game. As it turned out he probably could have.
I was 100% a group 2.
Didn't want the year to be over (group 1) but thought anything is possibly, no matter how unlikely. I was pretty much resigned to losing (and moving onto next year) when the team was announced. But there is always that little bit of hope from this side who doesn't give up.
Title: Re: AFL 2024 Elimination Final 1 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Brisbane
Post by: laj on September 13, 2024, 05:06:55 pm
Cincotta for Kennedy maybe. Lord would have had a crack, Binns would have been brushed aside and Moir is fit enough to play a whole game.
Would have been much better than playing half fit, out of form, underdone players. Think 100 years of history has proven that time and time and time again. Those that ignore history are doomed to repeat it. Rule 101, play finals with a fit side. Results are always alot better. You've been around long enough to know that. If young blokes are in form they play and will often again play well.