Carlton Supporters Club

Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on June 08, 2025, 04:54:43 pm

Title: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: crashlander on June 08, 2025, 04:54:43 pm
Ready for tonight.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 08, 2025, 10:10:10 pm
There's plenty of negative posters who will bring the thread down, but before they do let me list some positives from tonight.

1. HOK. Big skull looked like he deserved to be out there. Play him next week. Need to get games into him now, especially if TDK leaves.

2. Cincotta came back and played like we all remember he can. Hopefully he can stay fit from now, we are a better side with him in it.

3. Williams came back and kicked a couple and brings a bit of class (and experience) to our forwards. Need to keep him fit as well.

4. 4 points. Thats what we needed to get. Thats what we got. Anything else is noise.

5. Got Eagles and North in the coming weeks. Lets get these baby steps up to a full on sprint in the next few weeks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 08, 2025, 10:12:36 pm
Gutsed it out
Watch on Cerra but hopefully no other injuries
Some issues seem to remain regarding letting sides back in.
Good debut by O'Keefe
Good effort from Motlop
A run of winnable games coming up ;)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 08, 2025, 10:18:54 pm
A gutsy effort to win, but fork me dead that was a loss dressed as a win.  We could and should have put it away earlier (and really it should have been a percentage booster).

Tdk is not 100%.  He twisted his knee at one point.  He would be silly not to take the money, I reckon he's going to be a player that could be anything but his body won't let him.

Motlop played a much better game but still frustrates at times. 

A few too many vfl battlers playing but cincotta will be in the side rest of the year and has been sorely missed.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 08, 2025, 10:22:49 pm
Too many passengers and poor performers. Midfield was terrible after qtr time IMO. Disposal by Cerra, Acres, Doc and at times Walsh was second rate (again). That should have been a 10 goal win. We are still no good. Motlop was a shining light.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 08, 2025, 10:26:53 pm
TDK the difference, good effort to hang on and our mids I thought lifted in the last quarter. Take the 4 points but I'm not sure anything changed my opinion of where we are at, good to see Okeefe play his part and Motlop did some important stuff at the right time and I thought Acres was better than he has been in recent weeks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: shawny on June 08, 2025, 10:29:13 pm
We are a mid tier team and tonight proved that.

Scrapped a win against a fellow mid tier team far from full strength.

Any win against the enemy is nice BUT there is a gulf between us and a top 4 team which still leaves me disappointed on where i thought we may be. 

we we likely get the easy kills in the next few weeks get all the fans hopes up but yhis list of footballers is not going to cut it against the very best teams when the whips are cracking and thats a fact
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 08, 2025, 10:29:46 pm
Positives.

Motlop's best game for the club, both in attack and defence, I'll have him close to our BoG despite the late miss because he looked like he cared.

Ollie H getting better, good overhead and 1st class attack on the footy and the ball carrier.

Hewett must be borderline leadership for 2026.

I realise Goldstein is ageing, but it's good to see TDK do what he should be doing to these old blokes, hopefully Nankervis is next on his hit list. Don't bother wrestling with them, just get jumping and running.

Solid debut from HOK, has something.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 08, 2025, 10:34:55 pm
Positives.

Motlop's best game for the club, both in attack and defence, I'll have him close to our BoG despite the late miss.

Ollie H getting better, good overhead and 1st class attack on the footy and the ball carrier.

Hewett must be borderline leadership for 2026.

I realise Goldstein is ageing, but it's good to see TDK do what he should be doing to these old blokes, hopefully Nankervis is next on his hit list. Don't bother wrestling with them, just get jumping and running.

Solid debut from HOK, has something.
A ruckman worth remotely near the purported $1.7M would have have made an absolute mess of Goldy and forced him into retirement tonight. I dont think TDK took him to the cleaners.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 08, 2025, 10:36:52 pm
We are a mid tier team and tonight proved that.

Scrapped a win against a fellow mid tier team far from full strength.

Any win against the enemy is nice BUT there is a gulf between us and a top 4 team which still leaves me disappointed on where i thought we may be. 

we we likely get the easy kills in the next few weeks get all the fans hopes up but yhis list of footballers is not going to cut it against the very best teams when the whips are cracking and thats a fact
Tend to agree, and I'm not pencilling any games in as a win just yet but a win vs Essendon is better than a loss and we can enjoy this week and look forward to WC which should be another victory .Like to see Ben Campo or Flynn Young play next week too, I think new young players
give you a lift at times and invigorate the team and next week is good game to blood another player.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 08, 2025, 10:38:49 pm
Feeling really despondent after that game.

We were nearly 40 points up and then through our own stupid errors and crap Skills we let them back in to nearly win the game.

The umpiring is a lottery and they kill some enjoyment of the game. What is HTB one way is not the ohher; how Ollies errant Kick Off the side of this boot going INTO our f50 Is deemed deliberate is just baffling, a momentum and enjoyment killer.

I don’t feel much joint energy in this team at all; funnily enough this is the most crapty I’ve felt after a ‘win’ for a long time.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 08, 2025, 10:42:16 pm
For mine, silvagni was our most important player on the night.  Gave caddy an absolute bath.  When he had 2 metre peter for company stitched him up too.

They ended with Gresham playing defensive forward on him and that was the move that made Nick Haynes the more prominent interceptor and that almost swung the match in their favour.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LoveNavy on June 08, 2025, 10:59:03 pm
Positives - 4pts, George, Motlop, HOK, Acres coming good

Negatives - seen nothing resembling improvement and time is ticking
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: RiverRat on June 08, 2025, 11:56:20 pm
Positives - 4pts, George, Motlop, HOK, Acres coming good


Another positive was that using McG as a forward meant that he was relieved of the usual (heart in mouth) kick-in duties
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Milhanna13 on June 09, 2025, 12:37:52 am
Definition of a crap win…(and some of the comms said it)

Mots looked good,  but was still “almost”, could’ve had half a dozen goals, almost

I can’t work doc out.  At times looked so good in defence.  Missing piece with newy out. But t other times looked fumbly and a liability

King was dominant at times, but then we got killed in the middle at times, which he must be blamed for
 
Walshy brilliant for 2 quarters, but zero for the other 2

Jsos now one of our most important players

We miss H.  Yes HOK was great, but he had 5 contested marks and 5 touches.   He will be great, but we need experienced H who can influence outside of a 1 on 1 grab

Fwd line looks better with Zac in it

Cinc so important

We will,win the next 2, but until we learn to keep that first q of footy going for 4qs, there is no point making finals
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: crashlander on June 09, 2025, 12:39:02 am
My comments in colour, interspersed.
There's plenty of negative posters who will bring the thread down, but before they do let me list some positives from tonight. Alas, most of us do fall to that from time to time. It is what we get for following a club that has disappointed us for so long. I always had faith in us when I was growing up. It is much harder to these days.

1. HOK. Big skull looked like he deserved to be out there. Play him next week. Need to get games into him now, especially if TDK leaves. Skull didn't fare that well in the ruck, but he took half a dozen clutch marks. I was really pleased by that. His kicking needs work, but even that is improving. A Big Plus from me!

2. Cincotta came back and played like we all remember he can. Hopefully he can stay fit from now, we are a better side with him in it. Cincotta was terribly fumbly tonight, and had only 3 possessions, but he kept Merrett ineffective. He will get better, but he is a long way off the pace at the moment. But as long as he does his job, he should remain.[/color

3. Williams came back and kicked a couple and brings a bit of class (and experience) to our forwards. Need to keep him fit as well. Williams was our best small forward tonight, even though Motlop got as many goals. Williams' disposal in the forward line is really important. 15 disposals first back and 2 goals was a good contribution.

4. 4 points. That's what we needed to get. That's what we got. Anything else is noise. Yes, we desperately needed a win, and we did it against the team higher than us on the ladder.

5. Got Eagles and North in the coming weeks. Lets get these baby steps up to a full on sprint in the next few weeks. Yes, we need to win these two games and win them well to gain some confidence and work on our system. We were unbeatable in the 1st quarter, poor in the 3th and good enough but for our finishing in the last. Lots of work to do yet.
Other important positives:
[1] Silvagni has become important to our defence. it is so much better with him there. He was a bit fumbly as well, but he concentrated well on his opponent and didn't let him into the game.
On the other hand, Jacob Weitering is still struggling. He moved slowly and didn't get to contests that he usually did. Thankfully, he saw out the game and, hopefully, will be better for the run.

[2] Sam Walsh's best game for a while. Still, he isn't even close to back to his best. He make some crucial errors by foot (like his last shot at goal) and still tried to do too much, but a lot more worked for him tonight. He did some very important things. Considering that he didn't have a pre-season, where guys usually get fit, he is a solid contributor. Hopefully, his back can be managed for the rest of his career.

[3] McGovern played forward for most of the game (except the last quarter), which helped him. He didn't make so many clangers (he leads the AFL in them). But he could, and did, go back when required.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Milhanna13 on June 09, 2025, 12:45:14 am
For mine, silvagni was our most important player on the night.  Gave caddy an absolute bath.  When he had 2 metre peter for company stitched him up too.

They ended with Gresham playing defensive forward on him and that was the move that made Nick Haynes the more prominent interceptor and that almost swung the match in their favour.



Caddy is a joke .   Cheats loving media pumping him up.    And that fraud that had 3 kicks, and 2 of them that were flukes off the ground,,being pumped up,by the commentators, can F off.   Just wait for tmrws comms about the brave young 4cheats midfield that nearly won the game.  Scott will start quoting number of games played etc.  they will lose their next 4 and start talking about how young they are
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Shakin77 on June 09, 2025, 12:45:43 am
Serious credit to Jack Silvagni.   As a medium forward/back up ruck I thought he was just a battler.   Not quite tall enough.   Not quite quick enough.   Who would have thought a bloke with the surname Silvagni would thrive in defense.    He was huge tonight and has had a great season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: townsendcalling on June 09, 2025, 12:49:27 am
We are a bit rudderless at the moment with a lack of leadership from Cripps, Weitering and Curnow......what could / should we read into that??
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: crashlander on June 09, 2025, 01:07:13 am
We are a bit rudderless at the moment with a lack of leadership from Cripps, Weitering and Curnow......what could / should we read into that??
Not one of those three is anywhere near close to normal fitness at the moment. They will survive the year, hopefully, and work towards being right for 2025. But it does hurt us that our usual champs are not showing the way as they can do.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: tonyo on June 09, 2025, 07:27:51 am
We invent new ways every week to do dumb things.

There needs to be some serious remedial classes on hitting targets by hand and foot - we are our own worst enemy.  The round-the-back game plan doesn't help either - it is only ever one mis-kick away from a slingshot goal to the opposition.

I think O'Keefe showed more than enough to be persisted with.  His long shot at goal in the last quarter didn't miss by much, and he does seem to have good hands.

The two key players for me were Silvagni and Hollands.  

Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 09, 2025, 07:28:12 am
We are a bit rudderless at the moment with a lack of leadership from Cripps, Weitering and Curnow......what could / should we read into that??
Weiter has had a couple of bad games but I dont know about lack of leadership from him. Hard to tell with him, Im sure he directs traffic out on the ground. Cripps does leans more on his actions and I think for the most part he was soundly beaten last night. He moved himself out of the middle in the third try and spark something up fwd. Voss said the move was instigated by Crippa so that's leadership in itself I guess. To me, he who shall not be criticised is not a leaders asshole, plain and simple.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 09, 2025, 07:29:34 am
We invent new ways every week to do dumb things.

There needs to be some serious remedial classes on hitting targets by hand and foot - we are our own worst enemy.  The round-the-back game plan doesn't help either - it is only ever one mis-kick away from a slingshot goal to the opposition.

I think O'Keefe showed more than enough to be persisted with.  His long shot at goal in the last quarter didn't miss by much, and he does seem to have good hands.

The two key players for me were Silvagni and Hollands. 


Its between the ears, first qtr was how we should play, Cheats upped the pressure and we folded like a deck of cards losing the next three qtrs to fall over the line.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 09, 2025, 09:28:22 am
I'm assuming Carroll had some injury.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: madbluboy on June 09, 2025, 09:29:49 am
I assume Cripps has an injury?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 09, 2025, 09:42:35 am
We are a bit rudderless at the moment with a lack of leadership from Cripps, Weitering and Curnow......what could / should we read into that??
Not one of those three is anywhere near close to normal fitness at the moment. They will survive the year, hopefully, and work towards being right for 2025. But it does hurt us that our usual champs are not showing the way as they can do.

You could probably throw in McKay as well.
These guys have been good campaigners but the reality is that they're also aging players.
Injury on injury will take it's toll as they get older.
Cripps especially plays a physical game and the other three have shouldered the burden of a lot of attention from opposition.

There's a chance that all may squeeze a year or two of 'best' form in the years ahead.
(Cripps has come back from the "battered and briused" to play great football before.)
There's less a chance that all these players will all do it at the same time.

More likely there will be a gradual decline in performance, not always noticeable, as the years pass.
So really we're looking at an ever decreasing window of opportunity for these guys to achieve ultimate success.

I thought last night's game would answer a few questions as to where the season would go.
But it really didn't.
There were some positive signs from a few players- O'Keefe, Motlop, a half of Walsh
But there was also the loss of a substantial lead that seems to have become a feature of our performance.
I did think the effort was there, especially in the last where we held up fairly well.
It's doubtful if we could have sustained that against some of the better sides.

The next couple of games should be wins.
If they are, and they're good wins it may be the confidence boost we need.
It may be three or four weeks before the real tests come.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 09, 2025, 10:03:04 am
My partner was annoyed at me last night saying I was too negative about the game and a win is a win. But I cant help but see the reality. We are not a finals contender. We absolutely dropped our bundle when the going got a little tough, we nearly did lose to Essendon.  You can spin it however you like but the reality is we are not a cohesive team, the skill errors we make happen time and again and the around the back does not work because we go too slow and/or don’t hit a target.

Whether that’s coaching or players I feel changes need to happen. We are not ruthless when we should be, we don’t seem to be tough.

I don’t know, the game again had my heart in my mouth in the last when we absolutely obliterated them in the first. Frankly it’s not that enjoyable to watch them play atm, which sucks.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 09, 2025, 10:05:07 am
Not one of those three is anywhere near close to normal fitness at the moment. They will survive the year, hopefully, and work towards being right for 2025. But it does hurt us that our usual champs are not showing the way as they can do.
The next couple of games should be wins.
If they are, and they're good wins it may be the confidence boost we need.
It may be three or four weeks before the real tests come.

North have some good tough players with Clarko coaching them, it will not surprise me to lose to them
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: dodge on June 09, 2025, 10:28:36 am
It seems we also get comfortable with a lead and take the foot off.  Essendon were horrible in the first qtr and bound to improve.

Didn't think we were in danger of losing,  but got a lot closer than it should have.  A couple of moments in the last - White & another player had space at our 50 - White's kick was smothered - goal to Essendon. Motlop an easy shot to go 23 up (I think) misses - goal to Essendon. Just a couple of moments where composure and knowing the importance of execution at that point were missing. Plenty of other egs they're just 2 when it mattered - although game shouldn't have got to that point.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: madbluboy on June 09, 2025, 10:28:39 am
Hird blames Cerra's poor technique for getting polaxed.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: madbluboy on June 09, 2025, 10:29:57 am
I don't think we're taking the foot off, we are getting run over every week. It's a fitness issue.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: tonyo on June 09, 2025, 10:49:58 am
I don't think we're taking the foot off, we are getting run over every week. It's a fitness issue.
I don't think we run out of gas so much - it's just that we have very little speed in the first place, and once teams get a running game going against us, we have almost no counter-punch.

I get so mad watching our forwards guarding grass and letting opposition defenders have unpressured disposal and room to run.  Our forward half pressure is almost non-existent, and we invite running teams to have a crack at us.  

Get up in their grills and challenge them to kick better when someone's actually turning the screw on them, instead of pointing fingers and pretending you can cover 3 guys that you are 20 metres away from.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 09, 2025, 10:52:27 am

The next couple of games should be wins.
If they are, and they're good wins it may be the confidence boost we need.
It may be three or four weeks before the real tests come.

North have some good tough players with Clarko coaching them, it will not surprise me to lose to them
Agree, everyone thinks Nth is a walkover but I think it's going to be difficult. They have a decent ruckman and unlike Essendon less of an injury list and I'd expect a physical game.
Port will be even harder on their home deck, and our interstate form is horrible.
Hopefully they get some injuries to their star mids and we can sneak a win but I'm not confident.



Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 09, 2025, 10:52:46 am
Hird blames Cerra's poor technique for getting polaxed.
media spin trying to prevent a suspension. 

The reality is Durham had no eyes for the ball and ironed out cerra and I found myself thinking our guys would never do that, and then wondered if that's why we get run over the way we do when the pressure goes up.

I agree that our players aren't fit enough.  They look gassed well and truly by the end of the game.

I think we are seeing the product of repeated injuries over time vs a competition who seem to have a core of players who dont suffer lengthy setbacks with injury like ours seem to.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 09, 2025, 10:55:37 am
Hird blames Cerra's poor technique for getting polaxed.
media spin trying to prevent a suspension. 

The reality is Durham had no eyes for the ball and ironed out cerra and I found myself thinking our guys would never do that, and then wondered if that's why we get run over the way we do when the pressure goes up.

I agree that our players aren't fit enough.  They look gassed well and truly by the end of the game.

I think we are seeing the product of repeated injuries over time vs a competition who seem to have a core of players who dont suffer lengthy setbacks with injury like ours seem to.
Durham lined Cerra up and had plenty of time to adjust his technique to prevent injury. Cerra looked stunned to me and I'm not sure what our medicos were thinking leaving him on the ground initially.
2 weeks for Durham imo.
Voss called it out as a black and white decision and said you can't do that stuff anymore.B. Scott said he never saw it and wouldn't comment...think he knows his man is getting a holiday.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 09, 2025, 11:02:12 am
I don't think we're taking the foot off, we are getting run over every week. It's a fitness issue.
I don't think we run out of gas so much - it's just that we have very little speed in the first place, and once teams get a running game going against us, we have almost no counter-punch.

I get so mad watching our forwards guarding grass and letting opposition defenders have unpressured disposal and room to run.  Our forward half pressure is almost non-existent, and we invite running teams to have a crack at us. 

Get up in their grills and challenge them to kick better when someone's actually turning the screw on them, instead of pointing fingers and pretending you can cover 3 guys that you are 20 metres away from.
see when I watch us, i see us too quick to leave a man to pressure the ball carrier.  Thing is players tend to leave one spare over the top and take themselves out of the contest doing so, and ive never really understood why you would do this as you extract yourself from the equation too easily.  Sure that's easier to say from the stands, and I'm not sure what they see at ground level to play like this.

In soccer it depends on where the ball is but to coin a basketball term you dont instigate a full court press with one player.  You set the defensive line, and then position in shape and move up to apply pressure together.  The pitch in soccer is about space.  Afl doesn't operate the same as longer kicking can unlock space and there is more room to play through a press by inviting the pressure and a give and go handball.  Still I wonder if that isnt the idea.  You minimise space and one thing you do is let the defense have the ball in their backline.  You defend at about the half way line because that means you can compress the space more efficiently by only having to defend 2/3 of the ground and dont start pressing up until about the edge of the centre square into he opposition half.   Defenders generally use it poorly anyway with safer ball movement unless they're elite. 

At afl level you can get cut up from anywhere though.   I get the idea that your specific criticism arrives froma. Man on Man style game rather than more modern nuance.


Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 09, 2025, 11:14:42 am
Much needed win. Not especially convincing, but the 4 points don’t discriminate. I thought the boys dug deep and were at least determined to fight it out to the death. We lead the entire match.

Some off the cuff thoughts :

- umpiring was appalling. And this is coming from someone who mostly gives them the BOD
- to the Charlie haters, sorry, but I’m not with you. He is a jet, who is probably injured, and undoubtedly out of form. Also not convinced that he and McKay play better when the other is missing.
- Ollie Hollands is emerging as a very good player. Elite gut running. Disposal and decision making on the improve.
- Cripps quiet by his standards. Walsh still scratchy. Cerra and Hewett continuing their good form. 
- Orazio played a minor role. Nothing too terrible, nothing too amazing. Contrary to popular opinion, in my best 22.
- Thought Saad was okay.
- De Koning very good match.
- Jack Silvagni is a star in defence, despite the uncharacteristic OOF.
- Nick Haynes has been an astute pick up by Austin. Does mostly good things, mixed in with the odd wonky moment.
- I want to know what happened to the real Blake Acres. This AI generated current version must surely be an imposter. What happened to the 2023 Blake ? The big, strong one who effortlessly broke tackles, kicked great goals, took goal saving marks right on the goal line etc ? Where has he gone ?
- Motlop good game, maybe his best.
- Zac Williams is out best small forward.
- Good debut by Hudson O’Keefe.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Baggers on June 09, 2025, 11:24:23 am
We won. That's good, regardless of the opposition.

However... there's how we won... impressive in some respects, but same old, same old in other respects. When the opposition brings heat or something different, we still take too long to adjust and assert. Or, perhaps more importantly, fail to bring our best, with persistence, consistently - above the shoulders. Especially after half time.

Glad to see us apply better system going forward, now to apply that for four quarters, with authority and confidence. Also glad to see us throw the aggott around more, making the ground bigger... and, again, now to apply that for four quarters, with authority and confidence.

Rapt to see HOK do well. He's a ripper. Pleasing to see Mots step up, and to see him around the goals... where he should be. Pleasing to see Cinc take care of Merrett, his defensive excellence has been sorely missed. Interesting that when Walsh and Cripps go off the boil (2nd and 3rd qtrs), so does the whole side!! Williams is a huge upgrade on Durdin (reckon Durdin just might be a potential lockdown small defender on dangerous oppo small forwards... can tackle and get over the grass quickly).

Bottom line? We're still a good ordinary side until we show otherwise - by beating top 8 sides.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: cookie2 on June 09, 2025, 11:32:46 am
Agree with those who question our lack of fitness. Last night it was quite obvious we started to run out of gas about halfway through the 2Q. We then became more susceptible to pressure and started making a lot more mistakes. Gutsy win in the end, by the skin of our teeth.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 09, 2025, 11:34:17 am
see when I watch us, i see us too quick to leave a man to pressure the ball carrier.  Thing is players tend to leave one spare over the top and take themselves out of the contest doing so, and ive never really understood why you would do this as you extract yourself from the equation too easily.  Sure that's easier to say from the stands, and I'm not sure what they see at ground level to play like this.

I understand this observation, but i disagree.

Last night was actually a perfect example of that.
How did we get out to the lead? By doing exactly this.

Keep pressuring the ball carrier to make a forced handball to the +1, do that enough times and eventually they will stuff one up and turn it over.

How many times last night did the commentators say they gave 1 too many handballs. That is why. Pressure, pressure, pressure.

Bombers folded under pressure early.

Some better teams make be better equiped to deal with the pressure and hurt us more, but we'll cross that bridge...
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 09, 2025, 11:37:44 am
media spin trying to prevent a suspension. 

The reality is Durham had no eyes for the ball and ironed out cerra and I found myself thinking our guys would never do that, and then wondered if that's why we get run over the way we do when the pressure goes up.

I agree that our players aren't fit enough.  They look gassed well and truly by the end of the game.

I think we are seeing the product of repeated injuries over time vs a competition who seem to have a core of players who dont suffer lengthy setbacks with injury like ours seem to.
Durham lined Cerra up and had plenty of time to adjust his technique to prevent injury. Cerra looked stunned to me and I'm not sure what our medicos were thinking leaving him on the ground initially.
2 weeks for Durham imo.
Voss called it out as a black and white decision and said you can't do that stuff anymore.B. Scott said he never saw it and wouldn't comment...think he knows his man is getting a holiday.

Hird clearly has some bias in this instance.

That being said, back in Hirds day, he is spot on.

Its a problem with the modern game that people lead with their head. You need to protect yourself at all times.
"Never put your head where your butt will fit" is a Danny Frawley saying that is no longer apt in the modern game.

In the modern game, Cerra didn't do anything wrong. It will be a cut and dry suspension and we are 1 game closer to someone suffering a spinal injury due to the modern game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 09, 2025, 11:48:40 am
Bottom line? We're still a good ordinary side until we show otherwise - by beating top 8 sides.

That's where I'm really struggling at the moment.
I don't know where we stand.
We lose to a Richmond, but we beat a Geelong
You watch the first quarter last night and we play football that would trouble most sides.
You watch the rest of the game and we struggle to beat a side missing many of their starting 22, but even with then they would probably be average at best.

There's a part of me that wants to know the real Carlton, warts and all, rather than these hot/cold efforts.
Even if that means disappointment for the rest of this season.
At least it will give us an opportuntity to try a few things that may be on hold at the moment because we're not totally out of it.


Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Baggers on June 09, 2025, 11:49:21 am
Agree with those who question our lack of fitness. Last night it was quite obvious we started to run out of gas about halfway through the 2Q. We then became more susceptible to pressure and started making a lot more mistakes. Gutsy win in the end, by the skin of our teeth.

I just think we lose focus, Fluffy One, once the opposition brings heat and/or something different... And that can look like fitness. If our fitness was not up to scratch, we'd have folded in the last qtr but were able to find more intensity especially from our mids.

Losing focus brings the opposition into the game. Such a brittle edge in the modern game... drop 3% and you're in the shizen. Plus I think we're 'bedding down' a much needed extra dimension to our game - better/more composed inside 50 entries, and making the ground bigger.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: shawny on June 09, 2025, 11:55:23 am
Has jack solved our second key tall defender. abe nice if he was another 5cm taller but what he doesnt have in height he makes up in guts and determination to win or half every contest he is in.

Have a lot of respect for how he goes about it and deserves a decent increase on his contract and to not have to wait till the trade period. Show some loyalty and get it done now.

TDK is going to leave a massive hole. Adds a point of difference in a one paced midfield and not sure we get the points last night if you swapped Pit in for TDK

Charlie needs a royal boot up the ar5e. Has all the natural ability any tall forward has and more yet lops around with half ar5ed chases whenever the marking contest is over. Not worth hes pay packet, over rated and needs to look at how players like Mihocek, Cameron, Hogan go about it. they are team players our guy runs his own race and then laughs when he misses. He would be first for me on the trade trade but they wont do it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 09, 2025, 11:57:05 am
That's where I'm really struggling at the moment.
I don't know where we stand.
We lose to a Richmond, but we beat a Geelong
You watch the first quarter last night and we play football that would trouble most sides.
You watch the rest of the game and we struggle to beat a side missing many of their starting 22, but even with then they would probably be average at best.

There's a part of me that wants to know the real Carlton, warts and all, rather than these hot/cold efforts.
Even if that means disappointment for the rest of this season.
At least it will give us an opportunity to try a few things that may be on hold at the moment because we're not totally out of it.

I think what you see is the real Carlton. We are a 50% side. In a general sense, two good quarters, then two shaky quarters, half our game is in good order, the other half is a work in progress. If you take the midpoint between 1st and 18th, you get 9th, which IMO is about right, and that finishing position may well be the best we can hope for this season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 09, 2025, 12:09:19 pm
agree ^ re Jack. He’s got great footy IQ too which can’t be taught. He takes on every contest at full - absolutely should be high up in the leadership
Group.

Separately is Elijah just not playing, with no return date given? Understand he has mental health issues just missed if he’ll be off for x time or it’s just indefinite. Really miss him in the team.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 09, 2025, 12:10:44 pm
That's where I'm really struggling at the moment.
I don't know where we stand.
We lose to a Richmond, but we beat a Geelong
You watch the first quarter last night and we play football that would trouble most sides.
You watch the rest of the game and we struggle to beat a side missing many of their starting 22, but even with then they would probably be average at best.

There's a part of me that wants to know the real Carlton, warts and all, rather than these hot/cold efforts.
Even if that means disappointment for the rest of this season.
At least it will give us an opportunity to try a few things that may be on hold at the moment because we're not totally out of it.

I think what you see is the real Carlton. We are a 50% side. In a general sense, two good quarters, then two shaky quarters, half our game is in good order, the other half is a work in progress. If you take the midpoint between 1st and 18th, you get 9th, which IMO is about right, and that finishing position may well be the best we can hope for this season.


That may be the right assessment...for the present.
We'll see how it plays out.
But 9th is a step backwards...on a season where we were decimated by injury.

On a positive note Sportsbet have brought us in to $51.00 from $67.00 yesterday to win the flag.
They're telling us there' still a chance.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 09, 2025, 12:21:13 pm

On a positive note Sportsbet have brought us in to $51.00 from $67.00 yesterday to win the flag.
They're telling us there' still a chance.
lol
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 09, 2025, 12:28:28 pm
Credit to Motlop, I thought he played his best game and maybe that bit of time in the midfield has sharpened his skills and awareness.
Fantasia looked rusty but I'd keep him in the team for next week and see if he can improve.
Williams does the easy joe the goose stuff ok but is unreliable when he has to commit to the contest. Dropped an easy mark expecting to get contact from behind but had no one around him and it's
not the first time he has taken his eyes off the ball and he needs to  fix that area of his game because in big games/finals that's going to cost us.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 09, 2025, 12:36:05 pm
Agree re Jesse, I’m watching the replay now.  He worked his arse off all game.

Acres gets everywhere but his disposal lets him down at times.

We missed some very very gettable goals in the 2nd which put pressure on us.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 09, 2025, 12:36:24 pm
Credit to Motlop, I thought he played his best game and maybe that bit of time in the midfield has sharpened his skills and awareness.
Fantasia looked rusty but I'd keep him in the team for next week and see if he can improve.
Agreed, clearly Motlop's best game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 09, 2025, 12:37:48 pm
see when I watch us, i see us too quick to leave a man to pressure the ball carrier.  Thing is players tend to leave one spare over the top and take themselves out of the contest doing so, and ive never really understood why you would do this as you extract yourself from the equation too easily.  Sure that's easier to say from the stands, and I'm not sure what they see at ground level to play like this.

I understand this observation, but i disagree.

Last night was actually a perfect example of that.
How did we get out to the lead? By doing exactly this.

Keep pressuring the ball carrier to make a forced handball to the +1, do that enough times and eventually they will stuff one up and turn it over.

How many times last night did the commentators say they gave 1 too many handballs. That is why. Pressure, pressure, pressure.

Bombers folded under pressure early.

Some better teams make be better equiped to deal with the pressure and hurt us more, but we'll cross that bridge...
there's probably a time and a place for both, but to me it looks like spending energy tickets and leaving a man free closer to goal.

I'll put my hand up and say I never played afl footy and its easy to say from the stands, but given the way the game is played last thing I thought you'd want is leaving a man to pressure a man, unless you get a call from someone else saying go, I got your man. 

That's a different code.  Thing is, we aren't explicitly talking in one area of the park.  Forwards putting on pressure comes in a variety of flavours.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: cookie2 on June 09, 2025, 12:45:21 pm
Agree with those who question our lack of fitness. Last night it was quite obvious we started to run out of gas about halfway through the 2Q. We then became more susceptible to pressure and started making a lot more mistakes. Gutsy win in the end, by the skin of our teeth.

I just think we lose focus, Fluffy One, once the opposition brings heat and/or something different... And that can look like fitness. If our fitness was not up to scratch, we'd have folded in the last qtr but were able to find more intensity especially from our mids.

Losing focus brings the opposition into the game. Such a brittle edge in the modern game... drop 3% and you're in the shizen. Plus I think we're 'bedding down' a much needed extra dimension to our game - better/more composed inside 50 entries, and making the ground bigger.

Agree we lose focus Baggers but I think fatigue can be a big factor in that.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 09, 2025, 12:48:51 pm
I think what you see is the real Carlton. We are a 50% side. In a general sense, two good quarters, then two shaky quarters, half our game is in good order, the other half is a work in progress. If you take the midpoint between 1st and 18th, you get 9th, which IMO is about right, and that finishing position may well be the best we can hope for this season.
I take a different approach regarding this, because I see our best the equal of any, but like you say it's often only for 1/2 a game.

It's doesn't take much more of a shift beyond 50/50 to make a huge difference. We seem to lack the reliability to put the brakes on teams when things aren't going our way. But make that 50/50 into a 60/40 and all of a sudden you're pushing the Top 4.

Easy to write, but I concede AFL is a game won or lost inside a variation of just a few percent.

One thing that came out of yesterday, the absence of BigH and the position of HOK and McGovern in F50 made us less predictable, less formulaic. It didn't clearly make us all that better, just harder to read for the opposition, to me it's a big tell about where our strengths and weakness lie. When BigH returns it should be a lesson for our MC, to not overdo the Charlie / BigH mixture. Of course naysayers and pessimists will be on the "trade them away" bandwagon, but that's not the solution either, the solution is always that having too much of a good thing is bad, we must keep a balance.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 09, 2025, 01:01:10 pm
I take a different approach regarding this, because I see our best the equal of any, but like you say it's often only for 1/2 a game.

It's doesn't take much more of a shift beyond 50/50 to make a huge difference. We seem to lack the reliability to put the brakes on teams when things aren't going our way. But make that 50/50 into a 60/40 and all of a sudden you're pushing the Top 4.

Easy to write, but I concede AFL is a game won or lost inside a variation of just a few percent.
................................................

With all the equalization measures in place, plus the reality of the number of teams vs quantity of available talent etc., I certainly believe that it's a game won or lost in the margins. It's an arms race with small opportunities to get a bit of an advantage. I don't think there is really that much difference between 1st and 18th. And whilst it's a rather crude expression, if you lose a game by 8 goals, averaged out that's basically 2 stuff ups per quarter. You could do everything else right, but those short term lapses are very costly against the better teams.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 09, 2025, 01:24:08 pm
The other big variable in modern football is in my opinion caused by too many umpires, last night we saw prime examples of how it hurts a team and the game, especially when the Deliberate OOB hit pandemic levels with a couple of the umpires last night.

I realise some teams and players work in the margins of the rules, but that had nothing to do with last nights variability. Players kicking while being slung by a tackler to dispose of the ball is not and never was DOOB, if they don't make an attempt they are penalised, if they make an attempt they are penalised, it's a circus.

The irony is that a sling tackle in that style would have resulted in a penalty going the other way last season, the AFL is hurting the game in this respect.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 09, 2025, 01:45:46 pm


I understand this observation, but i disagree.

Last night was actually a perfect example of that.
How did we get out to the lead? By doing exactly this.

Keep pressuring the ball carrier to make a forced handball to the +1, do that enough times and eventually they will stuff one up and turn it over.

How many times last night did the commentators say they gave 1 too many handballs. That is why. Pressure, pressure, pressure.

Bombers folded under pressure early.

Some better teams make be better equiped to deal with the pressure and hurt us more, but we'll cross that bridge...
there's probably a time and a place for both, but to me it looks like spending energy tickets and leaving a man free closer to goal.

AFL footballers are well drilled in this aspect. IMO they are doing the right thing.

If a player is streaming forward with nobody able to pressure him and there is a just a 1 on 1 ahead (or 2 on 2 etc), like you desribe then if you 'stay with your man' that man deliberately runs away from the ball carrier, taking you along with it, giving more space to the ball carrier. Eventually you either let the ball carrier walk in to an open goal or you leave your man to pressure him.....usually leaving a 'joe the goose' over the top.
Instead of postponing that inevitability, leave your man the instant you think you can pressure the ball carrier, knowing your teammates behind you will help cover you. The hope being, as i described earlier, you are able to put enough pressure on them at some point to force an error.
A player is more likely to make an error giving off a pressure handball/kick then they are running in space free of an opponent.

Sometimes it looks bad for us, if the opposition do it right, but in reality, there isn't many better options available.
We are doing the right thing.

Clearly, the trick is to not get hurt with an overlap / +1.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 09, 2025, 02:08:16 pm
The difference between us, Essendon, Saints etc and other midpack teams vs the better teams is the brand quality, we never kick a lot of easy goals. The effort can be there but we struggle to put the score on the board with poor efficiency. We probably kicked a few easier goals than the Bombers and that was probably the difference. Just watching our game last night after watching the Pies vs the Hawks from last week as an example and its a different standard.
At one stage last night both teams wasted time kicking the ball to each other from half back line to half back line with repeated silly turnovers and poor execution of skills, wasnt lack of effort in winning the ball but both teams play a midpack team standard gamestyle because the skill level and decision making isnt consistent or high quality enough.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: laj on June 09, 2025, 02:40:23 pm
Obviously experts think we are better than where we sit (probably right). Where else would 13th beating 10th be called unimpressive, yet they were probably right.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 09, 2025, 02:42:08 pm
I don't think we're taking the foot off, we are getting run over every week. It's a fitness issue.
Cerra said they took the foot off the pedal and responded after getting an earful from Vossy. They are piss weak mentally, every last one of them.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 09, 2025, 02:57:10 pm
Agree with those who question our lack of fitness. Last night it was quite obvious we started to run out of gas about halfway through the 2Q. We then became more susceptible to pressure and started making a lot more mistakes. Gutsy win in the end, by the skin of our teeth.
But we got rid of the the problem, Russell (appararent the worst HP guy ever and the cause of all our problems). How is it possible? Our players dont like it tough, that's the problem. I said it last night, our midfield isn't tough enough for long enough and it almost cost us the game. Another 2 or 4 minutes and we would have lost. Talk of toughing out a win is rubbish IMO.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 09, 2025, 03:01:50 pm
At one stage last night both teams wasted time kicking the ball to each other from half back line to half back line with repeated silly turnovers and poor execution of skills, wasnt lack of effort in winning the ball but both teams play a midpack team standard gamestyle because the skill level and decision making isnt consistent or high quality enough.

It's funny you mention that....
Exactly the same thing happened in the VFL at one stage yesterday.
I remember because I meant to comment on it at the time.
I just summarised it as an 'awful scrappy game'
It's probably a club wide thing for both sides. :D  :D
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 09, 2025, 03:18:44 pm
Agree with those who question our lack of fitness. Last night it was quite obvious we started to run out of gas about halfway through the 2Q. We then became more susceptible to pressure and started making a lot more mistakes. Gutsy win in the end, by the skin of our teeth.
But we got rid of the the problem, Russell (appararent the worst HP guy ever and the cause of all our problems). How is it possible? Our players dont like it tough, that's the problem. I said it last night, our midfield isn't tough enough for long enough and it almost cost us the game. Another 2 or 4 minutes and we would have lost. Talk of toughing out a win is rubbish IMO.
Tend to agree, we tend to rely on those usual suspects like Cripps and Hewett to keep carrying the load and dont get the next wave coming through to take on part of that load, Motlop was the exception who was one who put together a full game.
Is it fitness, lack of effort or do slow players just look really slow when they get tired?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 09, 2025, 03:28:14 pm
Obviously experts think we are better than where we sit (probably right). Where else would 13th beating 10th be called unimpressive, yet they were probably right.

We probably suffer a bit from 'expectations" and being a bit of a "names on paper" side.
Our team last night featured
-a dual Brownlow medallist
-a dual Coleman medallist
-and seven All-Australians (albeit not at...or past their best)

(If Harry had played, as selected, we would have had another Coleman and another AA player)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 09, 2025, 03:37:56 pm
At one stage last night both teams wasted time kicking the ball to each other from half back line to half back line with repeated silly turnovers and poor execution of skills, wasnt lack of effort in winning the ball but both teams play a midpack team standard gamestyle because the skill level and decision making isnt consistent or high quality enough.

It's funny you mention that....
Exactly the same thing happened in the VFL at one stage yesterday.
I remember because I meant to comment on it at the time.
I just summarised it as an 'awful scrappy game'
It's probably a club wide thing for both sides. :D  :D

Nothing funny about it all Lods, its central to our issues it drives me to despair. A good mate mine tells me AdNauseam, we have some of the dumbest players in the comp, I try and defend them but I think he's right.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 09, 2025, 04:33:03 pm
Durham offered a two match ban.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 09, 2025, 06:25:52 pm
Fun fact, we scored 78 points this week, hardly a commanding attacking performance.
Only 2 teams scored more than us this round
Sydney with 80
Hawks with 81.

Gotta be the lowest scoring round for a LONG time.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 09, 2025, 06:29:13 pm
Rightly so.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: pertz on June 09, 2025, 08:07:33 pm
Obviously experts think we are better than where we sit (probably right). Where else would 13th beating 10th be called unimpressive, yet they were probably right.

We probably suffer a bit from 'expectations" and being a bit of a "names on paper" side.
Our team last night featured
-a dual Brownlow medallist
-a dual Coleman medallist
-and seven All-Australians (albeit not at...or past their best)

(If Harry had played, as selected, we would have had another Coleman and another AA player)
Good observation Lods.
At the moment, the form of the "name players" is not matching the reputation or expectations.
Like others, I believe we are a middle of the road team, nothing more nothing less.
We're not solid and reliable like the Filth, or skilful like Brisvegas, or quick like the Dawks.
We play contested footy well and generally (apart from bursts like the first quarter) move the ball from contest to contest and try and score. It's usually grinding, hard work and due to our poor skills and turnovers , we score maybe 30-40% of the time we go inside 50.
We're one paced, so often get torched on turnovers and we have a forward line that usually can't keep the ball locked in when it hits the deck (often).
This list is miles off a premiership list.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 09, 2025, 10:25:20 pm

P1ss weak!

Only luck saved Cerra from a terrible injury and all players know that’s not acceptable.

If Cerra had suffered a concussion, Durham would have got 4 weeks.  Rather than an outcome focused approach, the MRO/Tribunal should be looking at potential to cause serious injury.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 06:44:30 am
P1ss weak!

Only luck saved Cerra from a terrible injury and all players know that’s not acceptable.

If Cerra had suffered a concussion, Durham would have got 4 weeks.  Rather than an outcome focused approach, the MRO/Tribunal should be looking at potential to cause serious injury.

I also thought it was a little lenient.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 10, 2025, 07:09:51 am
I think more outrage needs to be focussed on how someone like Stewart gets off rather than the length of Durham's ban.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 10, 2025, 07:18:01 am
I think more outrage needs to be focussed on how someone like Stewart gets off rather than the length of Durham's ban.
A poster on BF who is Noah Anderson's cousin though the bump was not worthy of a suspension. Just saying.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 10, 2025, 07:45:22 am
Anderson could have ended up with a ruptured kidney or even his spleen damaged, it's unacceptable when Stewart had failed to attack the footy.

I'm not against bumps and shepherds, but that have to be acts focussed on the footy not the player.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 10, 2025, 08:03:48 am
I've come up with one positive in season 2025.

We seem to be having more even performances across the team where we aren't relying on someone in blistering form to get in winning positions. 

This can only be a good thing.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: blueray on June 10, 2025, 08:59:49 am
This was our worst win that I can remember in a while. A half strength Essendon team, winning comfortably only to be embarrassed in the end. Any other team would have beaten us easily.
Essendon won 3 quarters of football. Enough said. Need to sack the forwards coach as the ball comes out of there way to easily. There's just no cohesion there at all.
We need to trade two players that would have enough value to get something decent come in. I don't care who that is but tough calls need to be made on players. Head coach is usually the first one that goes at Carlton but I think we should start with players that just are not improving and are offering little at this stage. Every other team does it but we are always afraid to pull the trigger.
So sick of this. I have seen 4 premiership in my time so you would think I have seen more good than bad but when I count the years, I have seen way more bad years than good. Go figure!
Enough is enough.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Micky0 on June 10, 2025, 09:02:14 am
Who do you think should be traded out Blueray?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 10, 2025, 09:25:16 am
Anderson could have ended up with a ruptured kidney or even his spleen damaged, it's unacceptable when Stewart had failed to attack the footy.

I'm not against bumps and shepherds, but that have to be acts focussed on the footy not the player.
No contact was made to the head whatsoever, it was shoulder to shoulder. Anderson's head makes contact with the ground as a result. If we are sanctioning that may as well put bibs with position names on the players.
Lets take away any hatred for Geelong and/or their players and have a look at the incident without bias.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LordLucifer on June 10, 2025, 09:51:16 am
Nothing funny about it all Lods, its central to our issues it drives me to despair. A good mate mine tells me AdNauseam, we have some of the dumbest players in the comp, I try and defend them but I think he's right.

Not only are our players dumb, but they are lazy & conditional too.

I saw two glaring examples of this on Sunday night.

White had the ball on the far side of the ground, ran around in a circular manner and tried to kick across the body but it got smothered by a Bombres player. The ballwas on the ground with the opposition about to pick it up and instead of knowing he'd made a huge blunder and tried to rectify it by running over an tackling or applying pressure, he just jogged on the spot and let them clear the ball easily instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

The ball spilled over the back of a marking contest just in front of the goalsquare, an Essendon player was paddling the ball around near to the point line, even though Curnow had just had his marking attempt spoilt, he also jogged on the spot and allowed the Essendon player to clear the ball without any pressure or challenge instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

Both of these incidents were utterly sh1tful and tell me everything I need to know about our players.

Can you imagine the Pies players doing the same thing ?? I highly doubt it !!

Thing is, you can't teach that, the player either has the depserate will to win in his belly or he doesn't, we have too many who don't and it's why the opposition teams know we are always gettable. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 10, 2025, 10:25:39 am
Nothing funny about it all Lods, its central to our issues it drives me to despair. A good mate mine tells me AdNauseam, we have some of the dumbest players in the comp, I try and defend them but I think he's right.

Not only are our players dumb, but they are lazy & conditional too.

I saw two glaring examples of this on Sunday night.

White had the ball on the far side of the ground, ran around in a circular manner and tried to kick across the body but it got smothered by a Bombres player. The ballwas on the ground with the opposition about to pick it up and instead of knowing he'd made a huge blunder and tried to rectify it by running over an tackling or applying pressure, he just jogged on the spot and let them clear the ball easily instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

The ball spilled over the back of a marking contest just in front of the goalsquare, an Essendon player was paddling the ball around near to the point line, even though Curnow had just had his marking attempt spoilt, he also jogged on the spot and allowed the Essendon player to clear the ball without any pressure or challenge instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

Both of these incidents were utterly sh1tful and tell me everything I need to know about our players.

Can you imagine the Pies players doing the same thing ?? I highly doubt it !!

Thing is, you can't teach that, the player either has the depserate will to win in his belly or he doesn't, we have too many who don't and it's why the opposition teams know we are always gettable.

Players know when they can impact contests and are drilled to take the safest option if they can’t.  Gout Gout would have struggled to have an impact in both of those incidents.

An impossible chase may look good to fans but it won’t win games of footy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 10:38:04 am
Players know when they can impact contests and are drilled to take the safest option if they can’t.  Gout Gout would have struggled to have an impact in both of those incidents.

An impossible chase may look good to fans but it won’t win games of footy.

I generally agree. Leaving aside the obvious issue of not having insider knowledge of several key areas regarding the players, believing that Curnow or any other player is a slack ar$e with a highlight reel and no 2nd efforts, essentially condemns a raft of senor coaches, assistant coaches, team mates, and the like to charges of gross incompetence of professional malfeasance.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LordLucifer on June 10, 2025, 10:41:13 am
Players know when they can impact contests and are drilled to take the safest option if they can’t.  Gout Gout would have struggled to have an impact in both of those incidents.

An impossible chase may look good to fans but it won’t win games of footy.

No, nada, zilch ........... not buying that cop-out excuse, our players are lazy and it shows.

Just letting the opposition do what they like when they like is a defeatist atitude especially when the ball was well within a reasonable space for them to challenge.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LordLucifer on June 10, 2025, 10:42:28 am
I generally agree. Leaving aside the obvious issue of not having insider knowledge of several key areas regarding the players, believing that Curnow or any other player is a slack ar$e with a highlight reel and no 2nd efforts, essentially condemns a raft of senor coaches, assistant coaches, team mates, and the like to charges of gross incompetence of professional malfeasance.

Curnow is a serial offender in this area, as soon as the bal lhits the deck he stops and lets the opposition defenders cler it without any fear of being accosted.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 10, 2025, 10:48:58 am
I don't recall the incidents so I won't comment on them but just generally....

I have to believe Curnow is carrying an injury or two.
I'm guessing his value is considered greater to the team than playing someone else.
There will be times when his lack of second effort or chase will be a liability.
I suppose it's considered his other work makes up for it.

On the pressure side of things...
While a chase may be futile, sometimes continuing it while making no real progress can create a 'perceived pressure' that makes the opposition rush their disposal
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 10:54:08 am
Curnow is a serial offender in this area, as soon as the ball hits the deck he stops and lets the opposition defenders clear it without any fear of being accosted.

Let's just assume for the minute that this is true (I very much doubt it, but anyway...). How do you think this plays out behind the scenes ? Do you think that Bolton, Teague, Voss and the assistants are clueless and haven't noticed, or do you think they know and just put up with it, for whatever reason ? Do you think Weitering, Walsh and others are similarly clueless, or do you think they also know and just tolerate it ? Do you think these coaches are prepared to risk humiliation, sackings, future employment prospects etc rather than confront Curnow for these alleged shortcomings ?

I am very much of the opinion that our eyes see exactly what our minds want them to see, and that what you "see" in respect of Curnow is simply a confirmation of your biases and intuitions, which you have built up over decades and which you appear determined to protect. I doubt anything I say will change that.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: blueray on June 10, 2025, 10:54:58 am
Who do you think should be traded out Blueray?
Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: laj on June 10, 2025, 11:02:16 am
If it helps any, we are on top of the half time ladder. We are 10-2 with a percentage of 130%. Obviously, the AFL make games too long...haha.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 10, 2025, 11:03:09 am
Curnow is a serial offender in this area, as soon as the ball hits the deck he stops and lets the opposition defenders clear it without any fear of being accosted.

Let's just assume for the minute that this is true (I very much doubt it, but anyway...). How do you think this plays out behind the scenes ? Do you think that Bolton, Teague, Voss and the assistants are clueless and haven't noticed, or do you think they know and just put up with it, for whatever reason ? Do you think Weitering, Walsh and others are similarly clueless, or do you think they also know and just tolerate it ? Do you think these coaches are prepared to risk humiliation, sackings, future employment prospects etc rather than confront Curnow for these alleged shortcomings ?

I am very much of the opinion that our eyes see exactly what our minds want them to see, and that what you "see" in respect of Curnow is simply a confirmation of your biases and intuitions, which you have built up over decades and which you appear determined to protect. I doubt anything I say will change that.


The problem is Paul that it's not a single perception regarding Curnow.
It's something that's mentioned across multiple forums by multiple posters.
They can't all be feeding off the one source.
If the initial contest is lost his response is often not there.

My opinion is he must be limited by injury.
If someone can produce vision of repeated second and third efforts it may change my thinking.
He seems to have trouble bending over.
He's fine in a straight line and leading to the contest.
He seems to have no trouble wheeling on shots to goal.
But it's the effort after the initial contest that seems to be lacking.
When he has to fight for the ground ball, tackle or chase.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 11:09:05 am
The problem is Paul that it's not a single perception regarding Curnow.
It's something that's mentioned across multiple forums by multiple posters.
They can't all be feeding off the one source.
If the initial contest is lost his response is often not there.

My opinion is he must be limited by injury.
If someone can produce vision of repeated second and third efforts it may change my thinking.
He seems to have trouble bending over.
He's fine in a straight line and leading to the contest.
He seems to have no trouble wheeling on shots to goal.
But it's the effort after the initial contest that seems to be lacking.

There are demographics with different social identities, different biases etc within all supporter groups, indeed within all of society. The fact that 20 people make this observation, or 20,000 does not make it true. It means that those supporters have a particular lens or lenses through which they view the world. They have a shared group identity that comes from learned behaviors and values. They are not independent observers, free from the influence of other members of the in group.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 11:11:23 am
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: laj on June 10, 2025, 11:20:22 am
Who do you think should be traded out Blueray?
Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LordLucifer on June 10, 2025, 11:22:24 am
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.

I couldn't give two sh1ts about what the players at other clubs do though Paul, it's what OUR players do that completely infuriates me.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 11:35:10 am
I couldn't give two sh1ts about what the players at other clubs do though Paul, it's what OUR players do that completely infuriates me.

That's fine, and that's your choice. The point is the comparative approach is educational and also gives you a datum, a reference by which you can judge our players at least relatively. If many players do it, then perhaps there's a reason(s) ?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: shawny on June 10, 2025, 11:41:20 am
I generally agree. Leaving aside the obvious issue of not having insider knowledge of several key areas regarding the players, believing that Curnow or any other player is a slack ar$e with a highlight reel and no 2nd efforts, essentially condemns a raft of senor coaches, assistant coaches, team mates, and the like to charges of gross incompetence of professional malfeasance.

Curnow is a serial offender in this area, as soon as the bal lhits the deck he stops and lets the opposition defenders cler it without any fear of being accosted.


Yep agree. He is a very talented footballer but he is lazy and at times quite selfish. When was the last time you have see him really running hard to pressure an opponent? Perceived pressure is a big part of defensive forward tactics and imagine what opponents would feel when the heat is on and if you knew Curnow was bearing down on you with purpose - even if he's unlikely to make the tackle it adds pressure and invariably causes mistakes that can result on shots on goal. The very best sides do this instinctively as they train and work hard without the ball - we don't value this obviously and Charlie sets and example as he refuses to do it and the bloke is in the leadership group!

Sadly the club tied a big part of their marketing to him and it makes trading him almost impossible.

Teams that win flags all buy in 110%, they all play there role. Pies are the best at it. Old mate Charlie wouldn't know what hit him if he played under fly at the pies.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 11:56:57 am
....................................

Sadly the club tied a big part of their marketing to him and it makes trading him almost impossible........................

In other words, the football department's hands are tied by the marketing department, and this is all done (presumably) with the approval of the higher ups ? So Charlie is a protected species ? If that's true, then I suggest we de register the club, and compete in the lower leagues instead, because we have no business being in the AFL.  I have a soft spot for institutions of higher learning, so I suggest we merge with the University Blues.

I would suggest this is unlikely to be true, and what are perceived as truths within the discourse conducted here is unlikely to be true at the club level.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: blueray on June 10, 2025, 11:58:06 am

Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
So you're happy with Curnow's input? With Harry's? With Walsh?
I am not and they all have currency right now to get very good stock back with immediate effect. Any later and we're stuck with them.
I was with my 17 year old son at the game. In the last quarter 5 mins to go and Curnow has a shot to ice the game. I said to him "The great players kick this goal, let's see if he's a great player". Sure enough he misses badly and game is still on a knife's edge. We can get rid of players that aren't great and Curnow, McKay and Walsh are not great players. They are very good with potential to be great but they have had enough time to be great and unfortunately they will not hit that mark.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 10, 2025, 12:20:15 pm
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.
Firstly, a lot of fans make these comments based on watching the broadcast, but the depth perception is poor and particularly in either distant pocket players may appear a couple of metres apart on the broadcast, but easily have 5m or 10m of separation on the field.

Secondly, some KPP players will be told to leave the chasing to the Medium / Smalls, especially if we think their opposition KPP is susceptible to blowing up aerobically. You don't waste your KPPs legs if you think they have their opponent covered on a 2nd or 3rd effort.

Use it where it is most effective. Charlie is pretty good across the board in any type of contest, it's why he is rarely left one out these days. By kicking to him too predictably we aren't drawing those secondary defenders away from the contest, we need to do more to force them off the double team by being more diverse with our choices of target. Instead we are predictable, they are thinking "They are going to Charlie', we are thinking "We are going to Charlie", it's more predictable than 1AW standing on Carlisle's head, the only person who didn't see that coming was Carlisle!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 12:35:11 pm
Firstly, a lot of fans make these comments based on watching the broadcast, but the depth perception is poor and particularly in either distant pocket players may appear a couple of meters apart on the broadcast, but easily have 5m or 10m of separation on the field.

Secondly, some KPP players will be told to leave the chasing to the Medium / Smalls, especially if we think their opposition KPP is susceptible to blowing up aerobically. You don't waste your KPPs legs if you think they have their opponent covered on a 2nd or 3rd effort...............

This is more in keeping with my thoughts. On a spectrum of plausibility, it's more plausible that Charlie is playing to instruction, and that the team is better off with him in than out, and that his KPI's are set realistically, based on injury, pre season, role within the team etc. I think it's far less likely that he is holding the club to ransom because of marketing etc.

We should offer to do a straight swap of Mr Perfect Mihochek with Charlie. I can guarantee you, we won't even have time to set our stopwatches before McRae has Brodie's bags all packed and his locker cleared.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 01:13:32 pm
Coaches votes :

10 Tom De Koning (CARL)
7 Sam Walsh (CARL)
5 Jack Silvagni (CARL)
5 Nic Martin (ESS)
2 George Hewett (CARL)
1 Xavier Duursma (ESS)
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Baggers on June 10, 2025, 02:49:38 pm
Firstly, a lot of fans make these comments based on watching the broadcast, but the depth perception is poor and particularly in either distant pocket players may appear a couple of meters apart on the broadcast, but easily have 5m or 10m of separation on the field.

Secondly, some KPP players will be told to leave the chasing to the Medium / Smalls, especially if we think their opposition KPP is susceptible to blowing up aerobically. You don't waste your KPPs legs if you think they have their opponent covered on a 2nd or 3rd effort...............

This is more in keeping with my thoughts. On a spectrum of plausibility, it's more plausible that Charlie is playing to instruction, and that the team is better off with him in than out, and that his KPI's are set realistically, based on injury, pre season, role within the team etc. I think it's far less likely that he is holding the club to ransom because of marketing etc.

We should offer to do a straight swap of Mr Perfect Mihochek with Charlie. I can guarantee you, we won't even have time to set our stopwatches before McRae has Brodie's bags all packed and his locker cleared.


Absobloodylutely! Talk of trading H and Charles is silly.

If there are criticisms of H and Charles not kicking big bags of goals, perhaps we should look further up the field - delivery into F50!

In the 1st qtr against cheats.com.au when our forward line was 'lively' and delivery good, Charles was dangerous, very dangerous. Then when the opposition raised the pressure, and our collective sphincters tightened, supply became erratic... again.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 10, 2025, 03:46:04 pm

Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
Dean did well in the Carnival game on the weekend and Ison was handy helping set up some goals, Id be taking those two as F/S and NGA picks but would probably bypass on Gresham and Clarke.
Ison is a bit of a hothead in terms of temperament but is more of a readymade in terms of size and would probably fall outside our usual choir boy recruiting boundaries but I think thats a good thing as we need some spicy players. Both Dean and Ison need to clean up their kicking, its not a strength of either and a bit of a pity given we are not a great overall by foot across the list.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: laj on June 10, 2025, 04:04:48 pm
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
So you're happy with Curnow's input? With Harry's? With Walsh?
I am not and they all have currency right now to get very good stock back with immediate effect. Any later and we're stuck with them.
I was with my 17 year old son at the game. In the last quarter 5 mins to go and Curnow has a shot to ice the game. I said to him "The great players kick this goal, let's see if he's a great player". Sure enough he misses badly and game is still on a knife's edge. We can get rid of players that aren't great and Curnow, McKay and Walsh are not great players. They are very good with potential to be great but they have had enough time to be great and unfortunately they will not hit that mark.
Have been their whole careers. Harry's work in the 2nd ruck this year around the ground has been terrific even if not hitting the scoreboard. Match winner against Geelong. Charlie missed his pre-season, still on target for 50+ while Walsh also missed a chunk of pre-season and still not 100%. Form is temporary, class is permanent. I'm not soft enough of mind to throw the baby out with the bathwater at the first sign of panic and a slight drop in champion player's form. Those sides above I mentioned didn't and reaped the rewards.                           

Maybe for the forwards issues are the worst delivery imaginable going into the F50.  Notice how much better they perform earlier in games when the ball comes in more easily. Hence we are on top of the half time ladder, 10-2, 130%, a significant, telling stat. Says to maybe blame elsewhere with what happens after half time. It's not just the gun forwards, it's up the ground. Hard enough for the like of Charlie when he is fit, let alone half fit.                              
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: blueray on June 10, 2025, 04:46:43 pm

So you're happy with Curnow's input? With Harry's? With Walsh?
I am not and they all have currency right now to get very good stock back with immediate effect. Any later and we're stuck with them.
I was with my 17 year old son at the game. In the last quarter 5 mins to go and Curnow has a shot to ice the game. I said to him "The great players kick this goal, let's see if he's a great player". Sure enough he misses badly and game is still on a knife's edge. We can get rid of players that aren't great and Curnow, McKay and Walsh are not great players. They are very good with potential to be great but they have had enough time to be great and unfortunately they will not hit that mark.
Have been their whole careers. Harry's work in the 2nd ruck this year around the ground has been terrific even if not hitting the scoreboard. Match winner against Geelong. Charlie missed his pre-season, still on target for 50+ while Walsh also missed a chunk of pre-season and still not 100%. Form is temporary, class is permanent. I'm not soft enough of mind to throw the baby out with the bathwater at the first sign of panic and a slight drop in champion player's form. Those sides above I mentioned didn't and reaped the rewards.                           

Maybe for the forwards issues are the worst delivery imaginable going into the F50.  Notice how much better they perform earlier in games when the ball comes in more easily. Hence we are on top of the half time ladder, 10-2, 130%, a significant, telling stat. Says to maybe blame elsewhere with what happens after half time. It's not just the gun forwards, it's up the ground. Hard enough for the like of Charlie when he is fit, let alone half fit.                              
All i was saying is we need two players out with currency (as above). One is likely Walsh who has gone backwards and two would be Harry or Curnow but Carlton won't. They'll just let TDK go for peanuts and have another ordinary year. Curnow has no dog in him. He is supremely talented but just does not do enough. Our entries can be poor but i see the leads from our forwards live each week. No wonder the entries are as bad as they are. Hard work beats talent. Just look at Collingwood
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 05:08:07 pm
For those interested, here is a comparison between Charlie and The Hardest Working Man In Show Business™ :

https://www.afl.com.au/stats/compare?category=Key+Stats&seasonId=73&roundId=-1&roundNumber=0&sortColumn=dreamTeamPoints&sortDirection=descending&positions=All&teams=All&benchmarking=false&dataType=totals&playerOneId=CD_I996731&playerTwoId=CD_I291849


Just to be clear, I have nothing against Mihochek. He's a good player and has given the Pies good service. In the defense sub category above, they are basically even. In all other sub categories, Charlie is ahead.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: laj on June 10, 2025, 05:28:10 pm
Have been their whole careers. Harry's work in the 2nd ruck this year around the ground has been terrific even if not hitting the scoreboard. Match winner against Geelong. Charlie missed his pre-season, still on target for 50+ while Walsh also missed a chunk of pre-season and still not 100%. Form is temporary, class is permanent. I'm not soft enough of mind to throw the baby out with the bathwater at the first sign of panic and a slight drop in champion player's form. Those sides above I mentioned didn't and reaped the rewards.                           

Maybe for the forwards issues are the worst delivery imaginable going into the F50.  Notice how much better they perform earlier in games when the ball comes in more easily. Hence we are on top of the half time ladder, 10-2, 130%, a significant, telling stat. Says to maybe blame elsewhere with what happens after half time. It's not just the gun forwards, it's up the ground. Hard enough for the like of Charlie when he is fit, let alone half fit.                              
All i was saying is we need two players out with currency (as above). One is likely Walsh who has gone backwards and two would be Harry or Curnow but Carlton won't. They'll just let TDK go for peanuts and have another ordinary year. Curnow has no dog in him. He is supremely talented but just does not do enough. Our entries can be poor but i see the leads from our forwards live each week. No wonder the entries are as bad as they are. Hard work beats talent. Just look at Collingwood
I'm not a panic merchant with knee reactions. You're not getting rid of your best players to get them. Charlie has 2 Coleman's, would have been a 3rd last year without the ankle injury and still will kick 50+ this year even without a pre-season. Start giving away your best players and you find yourself going no-where. In the end one has to score to win. Just pure panic.   Like I said, we lead the half time ladder comfortably, so we can play. Things go ok then and we score. Scores are often in the 50s or close to it. What happens in the 2nd half then didn't happen in 2023 and up to round 19 2024 until injuries killed us? Basically the same side. Possibly the game plan? Attitude of the team as a whole? Play the wrong side?

TDK will get us top 8 compo as it stands. We could use that or even split it. Plus Harry Dean and the NGA prospect Ison.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 10, 2025, 05:42:36 pm
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.

I couldn't give two sh1ts about what the players at other clubs do though Paul, it's what OUR players do that completely infuriates me.

....and if every team has players that do the same thing, whether it infuriates you or not, its makes your point moot.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Blue Moon on June 10, 2025, 05:46:42 pm
Watched the replay, nothing much has changed. Only kicked 4 goals from mid way through the second quarter. Missing goals, not reaching the goal line, poor skills though less than last time I watched, poor decision making going forward, players getting in one another way when going for the ball, not sure what each other will do. Thought they kept up their contested effort and didn't drop their heads. Still not playing the match out. After TDK kicked his goal the players switched off again. Didn't come out ready to play after half time. Acres goal should have sparked an onslaught, Williams goal should have been a start of an avalanche, but we decided to shut up shop. Allowed them to get back I the game.  Never give a sucker an even break. In 1979 Carlton went to sleep and allowed North to win the game.  In 1981 we slowed down and allowed Essendon to win the game,  we learnt our lesson and won Premierships, we don't seem to learn our lessons.
Well done How. Well done match committee for bringing young guys through.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 10, 2025, 05:50:29 pm
Nothing funny about it all Lods, its central to our issues it drives me to despair. A good mate mine tells me AdNauseam, we have some of the dumbest players in the comp, I try and defend them but I think he's right.

Not only are our players dumb, but they are lazy & conditional too.

I saw two glaring examples of this on Sunday night.

White had the ball on the far side of the ground, ran around in a circular manner and tried to kick across the body but it got smothered by a Bombres player. The ballwas on the ground with the opposition about to pick it up and instead of knowing he'd made a huge blunder and tried to rectify it by running over an tackling or applying pressure, he just jogged on the spot and let them clear the ball easily instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

The ball spilled over the back of a marking contest just in front of the goalsquare, an Essendon player was paddling the ball around near to the point line, even though Curnow had just had his marking attempt spoilt, he also jogged on the spot and allowed the Essendon player to clear the ball without any pressure or challenge instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

Both of these incidents were utterly sh1tful and tell me everything I need to know about our players.

Can you imagine the Pies players doing the same thing ?? I highly doubt it !!

Thing is, you can't teach that, the player either has the depserate will to win in his belly or he doesn't, we have too many who don't and it's why the opposition teams know we are always gettable. 
Saw both of those, not a good look.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 10, 2025, 05:59:22 pm
Players know when they can impact contests and are drilled to take the safest option if they can’t.  Gout Gout would have struggled to have an impact in both of those incidents.

An impossible chase may look good to fans but it won’t win games of footy.

No, nada, zilch ........... not buying that cop-out excuse, our players are lazy and it shows.

Just letting the opposition do what they like when they like is a defeatist atitude especially when the ball was well within a reasonable space for them to challenge.

Ill put my hand up and say I have been critical of Curnow for being lazy and conditional. I have thought this for a very long time and many people (media, footy forums) are now saying the same thing. I mentioned a while back how I have heard many Carlton supporters at the footy say the same thing. He is the golden child who can do no wrong, Mr Popular amongst his team mates and the fans. A dual Coleman Medalist to boot so there is no doubting his talent., Without any knowledge what so I ever I'll guess and say his coaches do not dare be critical of him or offer some honest feedback under any circumstance. For me he is by far the most frustrating player on a list. Perhaps he is just following instructions.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 10, 2025, 06:03:31 pm


Not only are our players dumb, but they are lazy & conditional too.

I saw two glaring examples of this on Sunday night.

White had the ball on the far side of the ground, ran around in a circular manner and tried to kick across the body but it got smothered by a Bombres player. The ballwas on the ground with the opposition about to pick it up and instead of knowing he'd made a huge blunder and tried to rectify it by running over an tackling or applying pressure, he just jogged on the spot and let them clear the ball easily instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

The ball spilled over the back of a marking contest just in front of the goalsquare, an Essendon player was paddling the ball around near to the point line, even though Curnow had just had his marking attempt spoilt, he also jogged on the spot and allowed the Essendon player to clear the ball without any pressure or challenge instead of running in and tackling or bumping.

Both of these incidents were utterly sh1tful and tell me everything I need to know about our players.

Can you imagine the Pies players doing the same thing ?? I highly doubt it !!

Thing is, you can't teach that, the player either has the depserate will to win in his belly or he doesn't, we have too many who don't and it's why the opposition teams know we are always gettable. 
Saw both of those, not a good look.
Worse was Williams dropped mark with no pressure and not for the first time he has fumbled thinking he was going to take some contact, dont see what everyone else sees in him...800k plus for that effort each year isnt good enough if we want to be a top level team.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 10, 2025, 06:10:42 pm
Saw both of those, not a good look.
Worse was Williams dropped mark with no pressure and not for the first time he has fumbled thinking he was going to take some contact, dont see what everyone else sees in him...800k plus for that effort each year isnt good enough if we want to be a top level team.
One could go on and on picking out poor execution from players who simply shouldn't. Its futile.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 10, 2025, 06:16:24 pm
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.

The fact of the matter is that players cannot give 100% effort for the entire game.  A gut-running effort from Ollie Hollands takes its toll and he has to have a spell on the bench or take an easier option next time he's in the play.

Charlie was on the ground for 92% of the game on Sunday.  Only Weitering was on the ground for longer. 

Charlie has to conserve his energy and he has to choose when it's worth putting in that extra effort or focusing on preparing for the next opportunity.  If Charlie expends energy in a futile chase he will be unable to get up the ground to provide a marking target or lead for the ball inside 50.

If the "observations" of some spectators had merit, Charlie wouldn't be in the team.  If he did make the second, third and fourth efforts that some spectators think he should, he would be on the bench for 40-50% of the game, and we don't have the luxury of another gun key forward on the pine and ready to give Charlie a breather.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 10, 2025, 06:20:25 pm

Worse was Williams dropped mark with no pressure and not for the first time he has fumbled thinking he was going to take some contact, dont see what everyone else sees in him...800k plus for that effort each year isnt good enough if we want to be a top level team.
One could go on and on picking out poor execution from players who simply shouldn't. Its futile.
Serial offenders on big money need calling out, you wouldnt see Jamie Elliott doing that stuff and if we want to go places we have to move on from players who are inconsistent with effort and Im being kind describing it in those terms.
The commentators called it out also and I hope Voss had a word with him, kicking easy goals out the back is something I can get Durdin to do on half the money and you know at least he will contest properly.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 10, 2025, 06:27:25 pm
Saw both of those, not a good look.
Worse was Williams dropped mark with no pressure and not for the first time he has fumbled thinking he was going to take some contact, dont see what everyone else sees in him...800k plus for that effort each year isnt good enough if we want to be a top level team.

I don't think Williams was expecting contact at all.  He simply got under a ball that wasn't directed as well as it could have been.  Not difficult under lights and deep in the pocket.

What I saw from Zac on Sunday was footy smarts and a lively performance that produced two goals, two goal assists, eight score involvements, two marks inside 50, three clearances and 336 metres gained.  That's not a bad return from a small/medium forward under any circumstances.  Fly would have loved a similar performance from Jamie Elliott.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 06:28:24 pm
The fact of the matter is that players cannot give 100% effort for the entire game.  A gut-running effort from Ollie Hollands takes it's toll and he has to have a spell on the bench or take an easier option next time he's in the play.

Charlie was on the ground for 92% of the game on Sunday.  Only Weitering was on the ground for longer. 

Charlie has to conserve his energy and he has to choose when it's worth putting in that extra effort or focusing on preparing for the next opportunity.  If Charlie expends energy in a futile chase he will be unable to get up the ground to provide a marking target or lead for the ball inside 50.

If the "observations" of some spectators had merit, Charlie wouldn't be in the team.  If he did make the second, third and fourth efforts that some spectators think he should, he would be on the bench for 40-50% of the game, and we don't have the luxury of another gun key forward on the pine and ready to give Charlie a breather.

I would have to agree. These short moments get frozen in time, and become a dogma that gets played on repeat. Everything else is ignored. So when someone with this mindset watches the footy, it doesn't matter that Charlie kicks a few goals. It doesn't  matter that he runs several kms in one game. It doesn't matter that he spends 90+% TOG. It doesn't matter that he takes great contested marks. The only thing that matters is that he "appears", on a small number of occasions, to not give the effort some supporters deem to be the minimum required, despite not really knowing the background instructions, game plan etc. And such supporters have trained themselves, over years, to go looking for this.

 If you are going to Photoshop out of the picture everything that compromises your cherished dogmas and beliefs, you have, IMO, a serious flaw in your thought process. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 10, 2025, 06:35:46 pm
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.

The fact of the matter is that players cannot give 100% effort for the entire game.  A gut-running effort from Ollie Hollands takes it's toll and he has to have a spell on the bench or take an easier option next time he's in the play.

Charlie was on the ground for 92% of the game on Sunday.  Only Weitering was on the ground for longer. 

Charlie has to conserve his energy and he has to choose when it's worth putting in that extra effort or focusing on preparing for the next opportunity.  If Charlie expends energy in a futile chase he will be unable to get up the ground to provide a marking target or lead for the ball inside 50.

If the "observations" of some spectators had merit, Charlie wouldn't be in the team.  If he did make the second, third and fourth efforts that some spectators think he should, he would be on the bench for 40-50% of the game, and we don't have the luxury of another gun key forward on the pine and ready to give Charlie a breather.

Yep.

Some people say our contested game plan is unsustainable, leads to our fallouts in the second half and our extensive injury list.
Other people complain that some players (and its not limited to Curnow) don't run around like headless chooks 100% of the time chasing tail they will never catch.

Reality is somewhere in the middle.

Protect players who can make a difference.
Use fringe players to cause havoc on the chase.

On a side note, how good is it that we have all these 'passengers' but are still getting wins.
Previously, unless Cripps or Charlie or Harry dominated, we couldn't win. Now we had 'poor' games from 2 of them, and the 3rd was replaced by a debutant.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 10, 2025, 06:36:23 pm
The fact of the matter is that players cannot give 100% effort for the entire game.  A gut-running effort from Ollie Hollands takes it's toll and he has to have a spell on the bench or take an easier option next time he's in the play.

Charlie was on the ground for 92% of the game on Sunday.  Only Weitering was on the ground for longer. 

Charlie has to conserve his energy and he has to choose when it's worth putting in that extra effort or focusing on preparing for the next opportunity.  If Charlie expends energy in a futile chase he will be unable to get up the ground to provide a marking target or lead for the ball inside 50.

If the "observations" of some spectators had merit, Charlie wouldn't be in the team.  If he did make the second, third and fourth efforts that some spectators think he should, he would be on the bench for 40-50% of the game, and we don't have the luxury of another gun key forward on the pine and ready to give Charlie a breather.

I would have to agree. These short moments get frozen in time, and become a dogma that gets played on repeat. Everything else is ignored. So when someone with this mindset watches the footy, it doesn't matter that Charlie kicks a few goals. It doesn't  matter that he runs several kms in one game. It doesn't matter that he spends 90+% TOG. It doesn't matter that he takes great contested marks. The only thing that matters is that he "appears", on a small number of occasions, to not give the effort some supporters deem to be the minimum required, despite not really knowing the background instructions, game plan etc. And such supporters have trained themselves, over years, to go looking for this.

 If you are going to Photoshop out of the picture everything that compromises your cherished dogmas and beliefs, you have, IMO, a serious flaw in your thought process.
Confirmation bias.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 06:38:43 pm

I think so.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 10, 2025, 06:47:59 pm
Things are never as bad as they seem.

We could play every game the same way, and reverse two results.  1 vs the Tigers where we hang on for a narrow win, and the other vs the bulldogs and most of the criticism we are hearing right now dissipates.

We'd also be sitting out of thr 8 on percentage alone.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 10, 2025, 06:49:25 pm

Worse was Williams dropped mark with no pressure and not for the first time he has fumbled thinking he was going to take some contact, dont see what everyone else sees in him...800k plus for that effort each year isnt good enough if we want to be a top level team.

I don't think Williams was expecting contact at all.  He simply got under a ball that wasn't directed as well as it could have been.  Not difficult under lights and deep in the pocket.

What I saw from Zac on Sunday was footy smarts and a lively performance that produced two goals, two goal assists, eight score involvements, two marks inside 50, three clearances and 336 metres gained.  That's not a bad return from a small/medium forward under any circumstances.  Fly would have loved a similar performance from Jamie Elliott.
That would be a poor game from Jamie Elliott and his opponent would be credited with having him well held. One is a class act who will be All Australian and the other is an inconsistent serial offender when it comes to poor contesting and we need better from a senior player especially when younger players like Matt Carroll are putting their bodies on the line in marking contests and committing to the cause.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 10, 2025, 08:02:33 pm
Any thoughts I have on Curnows second efforts are based on the fact I don't think he's  a 100%.

But even partially fit he is more value in the team than out of it.

Two things can be true at once.

Have a look at our small forwards and almost to a man their supposed strength is forward pressure. So if Charlie is lacking in defensive efforts at the moment  there are players there to take up the slack. It hasn't been working to optimum. McKay missing throws extra  pressure on Curnow as Harry's designated minder can be used elsewhere. But add a bit of flair with players like Williams and a more involved Motlop and it can look a whole lot better.

Curnow is not the complete player, but he's still miles away the best forward we have.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 10, 2025, 08:27:57 pm


I don't think Williams was expecting contact at all.  He simply got under a ball that wasn't directed as well as it could have been.  Not difficult under lights and deep in the pocket.

What I saw from Zac on Sunday was footy smarts and a lively performance that produced two goals, two goal assists, eight score involvements, two marks inside 50, three clearances and 336 metres gained.  That's not a bad return from a small/medium forward under any circumstances.  Fly would have loved a similar performance from Jamie Elliott.
That would be a poor game from Jamie Elliott and his opponent would be credited with having him well held. One is a class act who will be All Australian and the other is an inconsistent serial offender when it comes to poor contesting and we need better from a senior player especially when younger players like Matt Carroll are putting their bodies on the line in marking contests and committing to the cause.

Well then, if that was a poor game by Jamie Elliott’s standards, he had an absolute shocker against Melbourne and should be dropped 🙄

Whichever way you spin it, Zac’s first game back in a restructured, almost makeshift forward line was top class and his clearance work and line breaking was a bonus.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 10, 2025, 09:06:33 pm
Elliott and Williams are both good players whose careers have been stuffed by injury. For that reason alone, they've both had underwhelming careers. If Elliott does make AA, it's taken 14 years, so it's not like he's been knocking it out of the park.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 11, 2025, 07:24:13 am
When he's been in the squad I think Williams has been OK for us, too many fans let his lack of durability cloud their judgement on football issues, but in reality when he's on the park he's generally doing OK. We can't make that claim for some others.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: blueray on June 11, 2025, 08:35:03 am

All i was saying is we need two players out with currency (as above). One is likely Walsh who has gone backwards and two would be Harry or Curnow but Carlton won't. They'll just let TDK go for peanuts and have another ordinary year. Curnow has no dog in him. He is supremely talented but just does not do enough. Our entries can be poor but i see the leads from our forwards live each week. No wonder the entries are as bad as they are. Hard work beats talent. Just look at Collingwood
I'm not a panic merchant with knee reactions. You're not getting rid of your best players to get them. Charlie has 2 Coleman's, would have been a 3rd last year without the ankle injury and still will kick 50+ this year even without a pre-season. Start giving away your best players and you find yourself going no-where. In the end one has to score to win. Just pure panic.   Like I said, we lead the half time ladder comfortably, so we can play. Things go ok then and we score. Scores are often in the 50s or close to it. What happens in the 2nd half then didn't happen in 2023 and up to round 19 2024 until injuries killed us? Basically the same side. Possibly the game plan? Attitude of the team as a whole? Play the wrong side?

TDK will get us top 8 compo as it stands. We could use that or even split it. Plus Harry Dean and the NGA prospect Ison.
Buddy left Hawthorn, Grundy left Collingwood, Cameron left Giants and all did well. I can argue GWS could have won 2023 and 2024 premierships if not for brain farts. Our two forwards have hit their peak and are shot in my opinion but they still carry a lot of currency to bring in some hungry talent that can make a difference. TDK will leave so this will rule out the club saying goodbye to Harry and Charlie. Walsh is the obvious choice to dangle but the club just won't make those tough calls. I was knee jerk when Ratten was coach. That has long passed and I am just done with excuses year after year.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 11, 2025, 10:22:13 am
When he's been in the squad I think Williams has been OK for us, too many fans let his lack of durability cloud their judgement on football issues, but in reality when he's on the park he's generally doing OK. We can't make that claim for some others.

I think that Zac has been more than OK this season.  As a forward, he provides a point of difference with his ability to break the lines, find space, and make good use of the pill. His occasional work as a midfielder is far more productive than when he was tried as a full time mid.  And then there’s his ability to do a role in defence if necessary.

Yes, his lack of durability is an issue but I don’t get the focus on his pay packet, which seems to be growing steadily.  Clubs pay overs for free agents.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 11, 2025, 10:40:39 am
When he's been in the squad I think Williams has been OK for us, too many fans let his lack of durability cloud their judgement on football issues, but in reality when he's on the park he's generally doing OK. We can't make that claim for some others.

I think that Zac has been more than OK this season.  As a forward, he provides a point of difference with his ability to break the lines, find space, and make good use of the pill. His occasional work as a midfielder is far more productive than when he was tried as a full time mid.  And then there’s his ability to do a role in defence if necessary.

Yes, his lack of durability is an issue but I don’t get the focus on his pay packet, which seems to be growing steadily.  Clubs pay overs for free agents.
There is overs and then there is way overs and he is in the latter category.
Seems like a nice bloke and good clubman but as far as providing value for money he hasn't imo, but it's not all his fault. We stupidly recruited him as a midfielder which he isn't and with Achilles issues. Durability aside he also has a history of not being reliable in contesting when called upon to put the body on the line and along with McGovern and the now departed Martin have been busts in terms of free agents who we have acquired on decent money.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: PaulP on June 11, 2025, 11:03:33 am
I think that Zac has been more than OK this season.  As a forward, he provides a point of difference with his ability to break the lines, find space, and make good use of the pill. His occasional work as a midfielder is far more productive than when he was tried as a full time mid.  And then there’s his ability to do a role in defence if necessary.

Yes, his lack of durability is an issue but I don’t get the focus on his pay packet, which seems to be growing steadily.  Clubs pay overs for free agents.

What with his injuries plus the club stuffing him around with position (defense, mid, forward) I don't think we've seen the best of Zac. It's a shame, because he's a good player and could've given us a lot more than he has. Hopefully the last part of his time with us, however long that may be, will see him produce consistent high quality performances, which IMO he certainly can.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: cookie2 on June 11, 2025, 03:35:44 pm
When he plays I don’t really have an issue with Zac but I do have an issue with his lack of availability.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 11, 2025, 04:50:00 pm
If nothing else Williams has some X-factor, we haven't may of that type and it always amuses me when hear of fans wanting to trade away the ones we've got for a chance in the draft.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 11, 2025, 05:17:39 pm
If you want to see why Zac Williams frustrates:

https://afltables.com/afl/stats/players/Z/Zac_Williams.html

For a player that has been in the system as long as he has, his time on ground percentage is absolutely woeful.  Out of 8 matches this season, he has been subbed off in the first half at least twice, and leaving those two out averages 55% time on ground out of the rest.

Its pretty grim reading for a high profile, high paid recruit.  Reliability didnt come with the contract, but time on ground averages dont lie.


I like to give players the benefit of the doubt. 

By contrast here are Jesse's stats: https://afltables.com/afl/stats/players/J/Jesse_Motlop.html

The time on ground column speaks volumes beteween them  Jesse stays on for 3/4 of the game or there abouts, Williams has only gotten there on a few occasions.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Lods on June 11, 2025, 05:56:59 pm
As much as he frustrates me with his lack of availability WIlliams possess a football nous and skills that are a point of difference.
He's unique in our side.

That's what's so bloody annoying.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 12, 2025, 09:46:13 am
I think that we may be overly cautious with Zac and get him off if he cops a knock or feels a twinge that wouldn’t bother other players.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: LP on June 12, 2025, 10:26:03 am
Fans want to rage after a loss, and focus on players who have repeat soft tissue injuries, but the type of injury matters and in Williams' case he has suffered soft tissue injuries but mixed in there are some collision related injuries as well.

We can't complain about our players not being in the right place at the right time, then complain about them getting injured in the fray when they are caught in the bottom of a pack or under a contest. We need SFs who are in the hot zone winning the footy, and Williams does get in the right places in the hot zone at the right time.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 12, 2025, 10:31:59 am
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Gointocarlton on June 12, 2025, 11:08:45 am
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.

Agree, the question is, how long can we carry it? How long did we carry Martin, Cunningham and Marchbank for SFA output? Its not about their ability, its about durability and we have been poor at managing it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 12, 2025, 02:28:13 pm
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.

There will always be some player that breaks down more than an other, its statistically certain.
On the same scale, the opposite is true.
For every Jimmy Stynes, there is a Luke Livingston.

Can a club predict who does what and when. No.
Do they have some kind of idea? Potentially.

Look at Charlie, missed years of footy, then barely missed since.
Similar with Doc.

Cripps broke his leg early, has barely missed since.

There is no magical crystal ball you can look into that will guarantee you one way or another. As a club, you take a punt and back yourself in. I'm sure Zac isn't deliberately getting injured.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 12, 2025, 02:52:25 pm
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.

There will always be some player that breaks down more than an other, its statistically certain.
On the same scale, the opposite is true.
For every Jimmy Stynes, there is a Luke Livingston.

Can a club predict who does what and when. No.
Do they have some kind of idea? Potentially.

Look at Charlie, missed years of footy, then barely missed since.
Similar with Doc.

Cripps broke his leg early, has barely missed since.

There is no magical crystal ball you can look into that will guarantee you one way or another. As a club, you take a punt and back yourself in. I'm sure Zac isn't deliberately getting injured.

I know.  I understand why people are frustrated about it though.  Nick Stevens was the same.  Juddy wasnt. 

You win some you lose some, but the impact of that happening is the point.  It causes angst, robs you of a solid performer who can impact games, and means they are on there to impact games less, or arent able to when you need them.

Sounds like a certain ruckman that is garnering more attention, except we have already paid the price here.

Im not even saying he should go, but when we talk list management and moving players on, these candidates sit in possibly tradeable for the right price, and more of a priority to move on ALA marchbank.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 12, 2025, 03:07:26 pm


There will always be some player that breaks down more than an other, its statistically certain.
On the same scale, the opposite is true.
For every Jimmy Stynes, there is a Luke Livingston.

Can a club predict who does what and when. No.
Do they have some kind of idea? Potentially.

Look at Charlie, missed years of footy, then barely missed since.
Similar with Doc.

Cripps broke his leg early, has barely missed since.

There is no magical crystal ball you can look into that will guarantee you one way or another. As a club, you take a punt and back yourself in. I'm sure Zac isn't deliberately getting injured.

I know.  I understand why people are frustrated about it though.  Nick Stevens was the same.  Juddy wasnt. 

You win some you lose some, but the impact of that happening is the point.  It causes angst, robs you of a solid performer who can impact games, and means they are on there to impact games less, or arent able to when you need them.

Sounds like a certain ruckman that is garnering more attention, except we have already paid the price here.

Im not even saying he should go, but when we talk list management and moving players on, these candidates sit in possibly tradeable for the right price, and more of a priority to move on ALA marchbank.

Nick Stevens broke his neck and still played a few games before he found out. So its not like he was soft - like people would often suggest.
Juddy started with OP and dodgy shoulders and ended up with a knee, so he was far from bullet proof either.

We cut so many 'injury prone players' last year...possibly too many because it hurt our depth.
I think we've been pretty lucky with some of the kids who have stepped up this year and done ok.
Hands up anyone who thought Matt Carroll would get a game. He's had 7 i think.
Will white? Up to game 9!
HOK, HOF, Lucas
Lord taken the next step as well.

I'm not sure what Williams is on, but its not going to be as much as people expect.
Even if it is (which it isn't) if you stack his numbers up against any other small forward on our list (and we have 27 of them) he outperforms them all in terms of output. Even using simply goals, he is 1/2 goal clear on most if not all others.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Thryleon on June 12, 2025, 03:56:34 pm
Never said soft, and dont wish to portray that.  You take the AFL field and you arent soft.  You either gut run, or crack in, but no one is soft.  Its the let down factor Im talking about.

Thats the danger of the marquee player.  They become a point of issue when you arent going well.  Hence why everyone is having heart murmurs over Charlies form this season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 12, 2025, 04:34:17 pm
Never said soft, and dont wish to portray that.  You take the AFL field and you arent soft.  You either gut run, or crack in, but no one is soft.  Its the let down factor Im talking about.

Thats the danger of the marquee player.  They become a point of issue when you arent going well.  Hence why everyone is having heart murmurs over Charlies form this season.

That wasn't directed at you specifically, but majority of people were freely throwing that around in regards to Stevens back in the day.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 12, 2025, 04:48:10 pm


I know.  I understand why people are frustrated about it though.  Nick Stevens was the same.  Juddy wasnt. 

You win some you lose some, but the impact of that happening is the point.  It causes angst, robs you of a solid performer who can impact games, and means they are on there to impact games less, or arent able to when you need them.

Sounds like a certain ruckman that is garnering more attention, except we have already paid the price here.

Im not even saying he should go, but when we talk list management and moving players on, these candidates sit in possibly tradeable for the right price, and more of a priority to move on ALA marchbank.

Nick Stevens broke his neck and still played a few games before he found out. So its not like he was soft - like people would often suggest.
Juddy started with OP and dodgy shoulders and ended up with a knee, so he was far from bullet proof either.

We cut so many 'injury prone players' last year...possibly too many because it hurt our depth.
I think we've been pretty lucky with some of the kids who have stepped up this year and done ok.
Hands up anyone who thought Matt Carroll would get a game. He's had 7 i think.
Will white? Up to game 9!
HOK, HOF, Lucas
Lord taken the next step as well.

I'm not sure what Williams is on, but its not going to be as much as people expect.
Even if it is (which it isn't) if you stack his numbers up against any other small forward on our list (and we have 27 of them) he outperforms them all in terms of output. Even using simply goals, he is 1/2 goal clear on most if not all others.
Williams might be ahead of our other small forwards but he is a mile of the better ones in the top teams ...if you tried to trade him we would be lucky if we got a bite and even then the return would be minimal imho.
I agree no player is soft who takes the field given every game now is a physical no holds barred contest fest but he is inconsistent in his attack on the ball and that makes him a liability imho and if I could get an upgrade on him I would.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 12, 2025, 04:56:50 pm


Nick Stevens broke his neck and still played a few games before he found out. So its not like he was soft - like people would often suggest.
Juddy started with OP and dodgy shoulders and ended up with a knee, so he was far from bullet proof either.

We cut so many 'injury prone players' last year...possibly too many because it hurt our depth.
I think we've been pretty lucky with some of the kids who have stepped up this year and done ok.
Hands up anyone who thought Matt Carroll would get a game. He's had 7 i think.
Will white? Up to game 9!
HOK, HOF, Lucas
Lord taken the next step as well.

I'm not sure what Williams is on, but its not going to be as much as people expect.
Even if it is (which it isn't) if you stack his numbers up against any other small forward on our list (and we have 27 of them) he outperforms them all in terms of output. Even using simply goals, he is 1/2 goal clear on most if not all others.
Williams might be ahead of our other small forwards but he is a mile of the better ones in the top teams ...if you tried to trade him we would be lucky if we got a bite and even then the return would be minimal imho.
I agree no player is soft who takes the field given every game now is a physical no holds barred contest fest but he is inconsistent in his attack on the ball and that makes him a liability imho and if I could get an upgrade on him I would.

No one will trade for him because of his history and the fact he is 31. He might not be as good as other clubs equivalents, but so what, he's still the best performed bloke we've got, so maybe forget about his age, his pay packet, his previous injury history and give the bloke some credit for what he is doing on the footy field.

This is not directed at anyone specifically, but the footballing world as a whole.
Everyone is quick to sink the boots in, nobody will give him any kudos though.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 12, 2025, 06:05:47 pm
Williams has been subbed off twice this year with 10% and 20% game time respectively.  His time on the ground for his other six games is quite respectable with 2 X 65%, 73%, 79%, 81% and 82%.  Of course, he missed games after his Round 7 injury and we can't really afford to have a player of his calibre out of the side.

What Williams has over most other small/medium forwards is his versatility.  He is effective when he goes into the midfield and his ability to run and carry is better than most.  When Cowan was injured against Collingwood, Zac was switched into defence and played a very good game.  Zac gives our forward line a different dimension and he gives Vossy a player who can take on different roles as required.  That in itself is a big positive.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: Professer E on June 12, 2025, 06:06:50 pm
I'll bite.
Williams has value as a chaos ball half forward opportunist.  He's close to the only one on the list that can make goals out of nothing. So, in that respect he gets a game.
But he wasn't recruited to play that role and must be considered an expensive FA bust.
Do not expect him to play meaningful minutes on ball, or in defence, because it will end in tears or frustration.
Get out the tape of Williams playing in defence on the last (wet) game versus the pies, his "contesting", or more correctly lack thereof, was embarassing.  I'm surprised Voss didn't walk on to the ground and drag him off by the collar. 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 12, 2025, 06:19:50 pm

Williams might be ahead of our other small forwards but he is a mile of the better ones in the top teams ...if you tried to trade him we would be lucky if we got a bite and even then the return would be minimal imho.
I agree no player is soft who takes the field given every game now is a physical no holds barred contest fest but he is inconsistent in his attack on the ball and that makes him a liability imho and if I could get an upgrade on him I would.

No one will trade for him because of his history and the fact he is 31. He might not be as good as other clubs equivalents, but so what, he's still the best performed bloke we've got, so maybe forget about his age, his pay packet, his previous injury history and give the bloke some credit for what he is doing on the footy field.

This is not directed at anyone specifically, but the footballing world as a whole.
Everyone is quick to sink the boots in, nobody will give him any kudos though.
Fair enough, I probably have my biases and non negotiables that I expect from every player and can be rigid in my views and its not personal because of Zac Williams paypacket, injury woes etc....Sam Docherty who everyone loves including me for his fight and grit both on and off the field has been an offender in poor attack on the ball this season at times and I gave him a spray when he didnt meet the standards needed to win the game as i will any other players who fall short.
 
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: kruddler on June 12, 2025, 06:32:40 pm
I'll bite.
Williams has value as a chaos ball half forward opportunist.  He's close to the only one on the list that can make goals out of nothing. So, in that respect he gets a game.
But he wasn't recruited to play that role and must be considered an expensive FA bust.
Do not expect him to play meaningful minutes on ball, or in defence, because it will end in tears or frustration.
Get out the tape of Williams playing in defence on the last (wet) game versus the pies, his "contesting", or more correctly lack thereof, was embarassing.  I'm surprised Voss didn't walk on to the ground and drag him off by the collar.

Silvagni wasn't recruited to play key back. - Is he a bust?
McGovern was a forward, now a back, now a forward again?? - Is he a bust??

Thats a weird way to evaluate success/failures.

Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: DJC on June 12, 2025, 06:38:01 pm
I'll just leave this here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DuSYqT0ugj4
Title: Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on June 12, 2025, 06:43:03 pm
I'll bite.
Williams has value as a chaos ball half forward opportunist.  He's close to the only one on the list that can make goals out of nothing. So, in that respect he gets a game.
But he wasn't recruited to play that role and must be considered an expensive FA bust.
Do not expect him to play meaningful minutes on ball, or in defence, because it will end in tears or frustration.
Get out the tape of Williams playing in defence on the last (wet) game versus the pies, his "contesting", or more correctly lack thereof, was embarassing.  I'm surprised Voss didn't walk on to the ground and drag him off by the collar.

Silvagni wasn't recruited to play key back. - Is he a bust?
McGovern was a forward, now a back, now a forward again?? - Is he a bust??

Thats a weird way to evaluate success/failures.


McGovern and Williams were both taken on long term deals on decent money...Jack was a late pick who wasnt that highly rated at U18 level but had the right surname.
I wont speak for others but my expectation would be that McGovern and Williams would deliver consistent decent footy in the positions they were recruited to play and become cornerstone players.
The expectations with Jack would have been if he makes it as a player in any position it would be a bonus similar to his brother Ben when taken.