Princes Park => Robert Heatley Stand => Topic started by: crashlander on July 23, 2025, 09:10:43 pm
Title: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on July 23, 2025, 09:10:43 pm
God, I hope this is the last Thursday night game!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on July 24, 2025, 10:14:05 pm
I don't think we've won a Thursday night all year! We certainly start terribly on Thursday nights, as we did again. But why couldn't we bring the same intensity that we showed in the last 3 quarters in the 1st?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: northernblue on July 24, 2025, 10:14:38 pm
Sadly, before the game I would have taken a 24point loss
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: frostydog on July 24, 2025, 10:15:30 pm
Kade Simpson chairing off Doc. What a great moment.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on July 24, 2025, 10:19:25 pm
Looking at the stats doesn't help much. [1] Hawthorn had 6 of the top 7 possession getters. Only George Hewett, with 25, made the grade. Cripps only managed 18. [2] Harry O'Farrell managed 19 possessions, with 13 marks! That is a big game for a young tall! [3] We lost the ruck, and hence their mids had first access. Not what we want. But what can we do to win the rucks?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on July 24, 2025, 10:23:27 pm
We got a lot of frees, but we should have got a lot more. I didn't even see the whole game and I saw so many marks that weren't paid to us and frees that weren't either. As for 50 m penalties, any number of Hawks could stand as close as they liked without being penalized. Amazing!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on July 24, 2025, 10:40:27 pm
To still have no structure no game plan no system in moving the ball on transition kicking in from a behind or finding a forward its absolutely staggering. I thought of all nights we would have a red hot go tonight but still we come out flat and were not able to motivate ourself. Pretty disgusting when you think about it and its an indictment on the players and coaches.
Moving forward, Im confident Wright is the man for this as unless you want to keep looking back to 2023, the majority of this list are consistant faikures and even the ones that could compete no longer have it and major changes are needed to alter our trajectory.
No one should be off limits if the right offers come along and i look forward to a very different list next year and coached by someone that is capable of mixing it with the likes of McCrae, Scott, Mitchell etc.
Hopefully we can rebuild this time a tad quicker.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: dodge on July 24, 2025, 10:41:14 pm
Looks like we have three teams - forwards, mids and backs and then three teams within them. These teams seem to have never worked with each other or have a semblance of constructive footy - we know that we will bomb it straight to opposition out of defence and going into the 50.
Congratulations Doc on an inspirational career, and Weiters as well another solid+ game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 24, 2025, 10:41:24 pm
Not a great standard game, thought we battled on and competed ok in the clearances etc but fell down where we couldnt show any efficiency in our forward half. Hawthorn were not impressive imo and they profited from our turnovers and i cant see them worrying the better teams in the finals.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LordLucifer on July 24, 2025, 10:53:46 pm
The margin flattered us in the end, they got out to a handy lead early and kept us at arms length for the rest of match.
A number of our players were unsighted in the first quarter, some of them didn't even touch the aggot, just not up to AFL standard and never will.
O'Farrell keeps impressing me even though he is do light in the body, we've got one there !!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on July 24, 2025, 10:54:37 pm
We just don't get enough from our horde of ground level forwards. It's like playing a few men short. Still don't know why some of them are playing, they don't apply enough pressure on the defenders (Hawks half backs had a picnic), they aren't smart enough to create enough scoring opportunities and they don't get to dangerous places frequently enough. None of them have tricks, elite pace or create any real fear in defenders...they're all slow, lack football IQ, and very slow to react. There's a lot of ball watching. If we want to improve, rectifying this component of the side is a must.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 24, 2025, 10:56:59 pm
We just don't get enough from our horde of ground level forwards. It's like playing a few men short. Still don't know why some of them are playing, they don't apply enough pressure on the defenders (Hawks half backs had a picnic), they aren't smart enough to create enough scoring opportunities and they don't get to dangerous places frequently enough. None of them have tricks, elite pace or create any real fear in defenders...they're all slow, lack football IQ, and very slow to react. There's a lot of ball watching. If we want to improve, rectifying this component of the side is a must.
We also need to stop tolerating rubbish performances from players week after week. E.g Saad, Acres, Curnow for weeks, De Koning.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on July 24, 2025, 11:14:34 pm
I'm hearing you - I said last week that Saad isn't an automatic selection anymore and selecting Acres this week was a joke. The one I don't get is Motlop. I've never seen a bloke so "around the play" yet he rarely actually influences the play in an effective manner - never quite gets there, just misses the spoil or the tackle. The occassional deft knock on or goal isn't enough for his game time. What he'd get, his usual 7 possessions? The infrequent cameos ain't cutting it.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 24, 2025, 11:19:29 pm
Id give the MC a pass for selection this week. Some of them were "last game with doc" selections.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on July 24, 2025, 11:23:13 pm
Sorry, I'm not interested in playing nice anymore. Nice sides are loser sides. What happened to ruthless?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 24, 2025, 11:36:17 pm
I don't think Hawthorn were that special. You could argue the game was over at quarter time, but that type of performance wont take them too far in finals against good sides.
We were awful in the first and average for the rest of the game, but it wasn't a blow-out. A good side would have kept the knee on the throat, considering ladder positions could be significantly influenced by percentage at the end of the year.
We're a bit in limbo at the moment. There remains a fair bit of uncertainty around the list for next year. I don't think we should dwell too much on individual performances or match results. We had a good number of our players sitting in the stands watching tonight. The side that takes the field Round 1 2026 may be a significantly different side to this one, so keep trying the younger players. They'll have a few up and down performances as they adjust and learn.
If there are any issues with or between players hopefully they're sorted in the next month or two. The commentators seemed keen to make a point of the lack of backing up of players or celebration of a good performance. They were right to an extent but I think they overplayed it a fair bit as well.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: tonyo on July 24, 2025, 11:37:03 pm
The forwards don't lead because the kicks coming in are next to useless. So, they stand around with one hand in the air like the Statue of Liberty, and moving about as fast as a statue as well.
I lost count of the number of times a Hawthorn defender took an intercept mark almost unopposed.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pinot on July 25, 2025, 12:57:10 am
Another display of garbage game plan and wasting the list.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: BluePhantom on July 25, 2025, 06:51:38 am
It was a sign of the side's dysfunction and disorganisation in every aspect of its performance.
Sounds like a team being coached by the 3 line coaches all with different agendas, each just looking after themselves.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 25, 2025, 07:04:58 am
I don't think Hawthorn were that special. You could argue the game was over at quarter time, but that type of performance wont take them too far in finals against good sides.
We were awful in the first and average for the rest of the game, but it wasn't a blow-out. A good side would have kept the knee on the throat, considering ladder positions could be significantly influenced by percentage at the end of the year.
We're a bit in limbo at the moment. There remains a fair bit of uncertainty around the list for next year. I don't think we should dwell too much on individual performances or match results. We had a good number of our players sitting in the stands watching tonight. The side that takes the field Round 1 2026 may be a significantly different side to this one, so keep trying the younger players. They'll have a few up and down performances as they adjust and learn.
If there are any issues with or between players hopefully they're sorted in the next month or two. The commentators seemed keen to make a point of the lack of backing up of players or celebration of a good performance. They were right to an extent but I think they overplayed it a fair bit as well.
We made Haw look like Millionaires in that first qtr and part of the second. I wish teams gave us those kinds of leg ropes. Anyone who tells me players are having a go is absolutely kidding themselves. An inspirational, heart and soul player retires, a leader and colossus of your club reaches 200 games, your coach is coaching for his life and you dish up that tripe? Disgusting.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on July 25, 2025, 07:52:52 am
Nothing is being said in the media about the Dawks tackling technique, in rugby it's banned, they have a small list that is using martial arts type throwing techniques to counter the fact they are smaller and lighter. A judo type throw, which is technically a trip and throw.
Too many of the Dawks are doing this for it to be an accident, it must be coached.
If it's legal let everybody do it, but I think it's a bad look for the game and it risks doing serious harm which is why it is banned in rugby. In the outcome it's not all that much different to the sling tackle, but by keeping the opponent in close the action is not so obvious.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on July 25, 2025, 08:25:41 am
Fancy letting Docherty get pushed around in his last game.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 25, 2025, 08:26:02 am
I don't think Hawthorn were that special. You could argue the game was over at quarter time, but that type of performance wont take them too far in finals against good sides.
We were awful in the first and average for the rest of the game, but it wasn't a blow-out. A good side would have kept the knee on the throat, considering ladder positions could be significantly influenced by percentage at the end of the year.
We're a bit in limbo at the moment. There remains a fair bit of uncertainty around the list for next year. I don't think we should dwell too much on individual performances or match results. We had a good number of our players sitting in the stands watching tonight. The side that takes the field Round 1 2026 may be a significantly different side to this one, so keep trying the younger players. They'll have a few up and down performances as they adjust and learn.
If there are any issues with or between players hopefully they're sorted in the next month or two. The commentators seemed keen to make a point of the lack of backing up of players or celebration of a good performance. They were right to an extent but I think they overplayed it a fair bit as well.
We made Haw look like Millionaires in that first qtr and part of the second. I wish teams gave us those kinds of leg ropes. Anyone who tells me players are having a go is absolutely kidding themselves. An inspirational, heart and soul player retires, a leader and colossus of your club reaches 200 games, your coach is coaching for his life and you dish up that tripe? Disgusting.
Saad is one player who looks like he has given it away, his efforts on Watson early were terrible and he can't really mind a man anymore and play with any defensive intent. Hawthorn fed off our errors rather than creating any great plays imo and we look devoid of soul with just a few players playing for pride.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Professer E on July 25, 2025, 08:31:02 am
Yep, he has utterly stunk this year and has given up on defending. Play off a wing or twos. A senior player showing zero leadership.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: cookie2 on July 25, 2025, 08:50:59 am
Nothing is being said in the media about the Dawks tackling technique, in rugby it's banned, they have a small list that is using martial arts type throwing techniques to counter the fact they are smaller and lighter. A judo type throw, which is technically a trip and throw.
Too many of the Dawks are doing this for it to be an accident, it must be coached.
If it's legal let everybody do it, but I think it's a bad look for the game and it risks doing serious harm which is why it is banned in rugby. In the outcome it's not all that much different to the sling tackle, but by keeping the opponent in close the action is not so obvious.
That tackle on Weiters (including the sling to the ground)🤬
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: bratblue on July 25, 2025, 09:37:09 am
Then we let them walk through our pathetic arms out tackles
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on July 25, 2025, 09:48:36 am
Then we let them walk through our pathetic arms out tackles
Shameful, one passage of play where they kicked a goal there were 4 broken tackles (if you want to call them that) in a row. They need to hire an expert tackling coach.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on July 25, 2025, 09:52:54 am
Fancy letting Docherty get pushed around in his last game.
Yep i saw Newcombe do that and thought they still have the Clarkson mongrel about them. Not even Cripps did anything.
We are so weak mentally and physically its embarrassing.
All week we heard all the Doc talk Cripps crying, Weiters 200 and the ball is bounced and the opposition are 10 times hungrier then us and it as game over at QT.
Says it all really and why major cleanout on all levels is the only option. Sick of the same sh1te year after year.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LordLucifer on July 25, 2025, 09:57:28 am
I've been on Saad's case for some time now and after last night, I'm stamping his papers for good, he is a massive liability in defence and has to go.
I think when he is good he is very good, but typically it is only when he has the game on his terms which is happening less and less.
Saad and all our list should have made use of their "off-side" a priority, they haven't and now they are paying the price for predictability.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on July 25, 2025, 10:24:16 am
You wouldn't need to be a genius to know that Mitchell would have had his troops wired to hit us hard in the first to crush the Doc/Weiters emotion. We didn't seem prepared for that, and, just for something different... Wilted. Wilted under intense speed and pressure, again. The next three quarters were better, but it would have been difficult to be worse. Gee we lack passion, grit and spirit resulting in lame tackling efforts from some who should know better. In fact it was the kids who displayed ferocious tackle commitment.
The only place Motlop is useful is deep in attack. Up the field, he's busy, works hard and achieves very little. Zero footy IQ/awareness (except around goal). His partners in crime, Durdin and Fogarty, for small forwards, remain deficient in creativity. I thought Will W regained some of his spark, and he can actually create goals.
How do we not learn from the past that going into games top heavy doesn't work! Once Cooper L entered the game, we looked better.
How do we not learn that Saad is not a lockdown defender. His strength is run and carry. I know it seems bizarre but why wouldn't we play him to his strengths?
How come most know that Acres is now a liability, yet the MC selects him?
How come our senior coach (liked his post game media) admits we were too slow, conservative and went down the line too often... after almost four years at the helm?
Glad Charles silenced the gossipers.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Macca37 on July 25, 2025, 10:48:20 am
We keep going down the line because too many of our players know they have average foot skills at best and lack the confidence to try to pinpoint a pass.
There were quite a number of occasions last night where a player coming out of defence with the ball would hesitate, fail to take the option of passing to a player presenting for a pass, and take the soft option of kicking down the line.
This slowed down the game and made it so easy for defenders to cover our forwards.
I am sure that many here remember the way Hawthorn, year after year at Marvel with players such as Isaac Smith , Bruest, etc, used excellent kicking to rip us apart.
Clearly we learned nothing from those defeats.
It doesn't matter whether we have plans from A to Z if we do not have players with the necessary skills to carry them out.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 25, 2025, 10:55:51 am
Something else I noted last night, at times, we were trying to get out of defense, and Charlie was all the way in the forward line, when the ball was in half back, and the seperation between lines was way too large.
I dont think Charlie is the issue there, as he is trying to make the ground bigger, but he was too far to be a get out kick down the line, and inboard, there werent any options on as the rest were stuck trying to rebound out of defense.
Looking from up high, that was easy to see, but it results in a long low percentage kick to a 2 on 1, that needs to be 60 metres, and most players just arent going to hit that distance accurately enough for it to be anything but a dead ball.
Positioning is an issue, but not a design problem there, someone has not run somewhere at all.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on July 25, 2025, 10:59:01 am
We keep going down the line because too many of our players know they have average foot skills at best and lack the confidence to try to pinpoint a pass.
There were quite a number of occasions last night where a player coming out of defence with the ball would hesitate, fail to take the option of passing to a player presenting for a pass, and take the soft option of kicking down the line.
This has been obvious to me for some time now, it's a failing of our Sport Psychologists not the coaching staff, we aren't able to eliminate doubt but we are clearly manifesting it!
Maybe it doesn't help having so many of our blokes studying sports psychology, they might have learned just enough to shoot themselves in the foot Dunning-Kruger style!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on July 25, 2025, 11:13:24 am
Mitchell has drilled into his squad to be like himself, use both sides proficiently, so much so you don't even notice it when they do.
It's something Mitchell taught himself to do to offset his lack of pace, he knows others can learn it too if they are prepared to work at it, he did you can't argue with him about it!
When I was in my 40s I realised that the more dependant I became on computers for work the greater the risk was work would become difficult if I lost a limb. This was trigger by an temporary injury to my dominant side, so I started using the mouse in my other hand, and also note taking. At first my writing looked like pre-school scribble and I couldn't point to a screen without assistance. It took about 3 months to become proficient, I could now use left or right handed hardware and take legible notes with either hand. A couple of years down the track I have people make statements like, "I didn't know you were left handed", I'm not! And I don't have to swap around mouse buttons or any bullsh1t like that, I just use it as is freely swapping left or right.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 25, 2025, 11:47:57 am
Only because he was caught out and was told to. He and his management aren't very clever at all.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Adelaideblue on July 25, 2025, 12:10:04 pm
Can't understand why we have not been playing Jordan Boyd. Regularly among our best in the VFL team. Competitive, combative, can pass the ball to forwards. Would be playing him on the wing (where he played his first AFL game) instead of Acres, or playing him back pocket with Matt Carroll on the wing.
Ab
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 25, 2025, 12:24:16 pm
On a positive note we do have some "Emerald Sprouts" in our under 21 contingent. The thing with young'uns is they have to develop consistency. That often takes a year or three. You won't see it every game. You won't necessarily see it every quarter of a game. It might be two players 'shining' one week, a different two another week. Until they've spent some years playing together and develop that 'team' understanding we may not see the best of them.
It wasn't so long ago I was a bit apprehensive about the future and thought we were putting too much emphasis on the present and not planning for the years AC (after Cripps)... and the Four Horsemen of the 2015 draft. That seems to have changed quite a bit. We're not looking too bad when these kids get a few years and games under their belt.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: bratblue on July 25, 2025, 01:01:04 pm
On a positive note we do have some "Emerald Sprouts" in our under 21 contingent. The thing with young'uns is they have to develop consistency. That often takes a year or three. You won't see it every game. You won't necessarily see it every quarter of a game. It might be two players 'shining' one week, a different two another week. Until they've spent some years playing together and develop that 'team' understanding we may not see the best of them.
It wasn't so long ago I was a bit apprehensive about the future and thought we were putting too much emphasis on the present and not planning for the years AC (after Cripps)... and the Four Horsemen of the 2015 draft. That seems to have changed quite a bit. We're not looking too bad when these kids get a few years and games under their belt.
Does that mean that Austin gets a pass?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on July 25, 2025, 01:52:40 pm
A pass for what?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 25, 2025, 02:00:41 pm
Fancy letting Docherty get pushed around in his last game.
Yep i saw Newcombe do that and thought they still have the Clarkson mongrel about them. Not even Cripps did anything.
We are so weak mentally and physically its embarrassing.
All week we heard all the Doc talk Cripps crying, Weiters 200 and the ball is bounced and the opposition are 10 times hungrier then us and it as game over at QT.
Says it all really and why major cleanout on all levels is the only option. Sick of the same sh1te year after year.
We need to recruit a couple of Brayden Maynard types who can carry the fight back to the opposition and who enjoy having a bit of white line fever. You cant have a team consisting of all nice Von Trapp kids, it just leads to intimidation and bullying from other teams and a lack of respect. Players like Newcombe can push and shove our blokes because they know nothing is coming back the other way and your kids, smaller players dont ever feel comfortable. Our lack of physical support for players is embarrassing and not what good Carlton teams would tolerate.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on July 25, 2025, 02:28:51 pm
On a positive note we do have some "Emerald Sprouts" in our under 21 contingent. The thing with young'uns is they have to develop consistency. That often takes a year or three. You won't see it every game. You won't necessarily see it every quarter of a game. It might be two players 'shining' one week, a different two another week. Until they've spent some years playing together and develop that 'team' understanding we may not see the best of them.
It wasn't so long ago I was a bit apprehensive about the future and thought we were putting too much emphasis on the present and not planning for the years AC (after Cripps)... and the Four Horsemen of the 2015 draft. That seems to have changed quite a bit. We're not looking too bad when these kids get a few years and games under their belt.
I'm very wary of a few things when evaluating our kids.
1. Its their first year and that usually gets them more freedom - eg Hollands dominated his 1st year, went missing a bit in his second. Is it sustainable or is simply because opposition players don't know what to expect from then yet and can't plan for them. Sample size not big enough.
2. Is there room to grow. Will White, Matt Carroll, Cooper Lord, Corey Durdin, Flynn Young etc. They are all, somewhat, performing a role that you could consider AFL worthy.....mostly. However, how much better can they get? What exactly are they good at? What are they elite at? Lord and Carroll look like they belong the most, but i'm still not sold on them long term. At or above expectations now. Will they take another step? Can they??
3. Similar to #2, but with different players. HOK, HOF and Moir. They all need to put on a bit more size to compete at the level long term. IMO, they all have some attributes that make them elite though. HOKs speed/agility for his size is rare. HOFs marking is elite. Moir clearly has x-factor. Can they keep this up long term with a bit more size and can they do that while carrying niggles like every other AFL footballer who plays each week?
There are promising signs, absolutely, but its a far cry from having a bunch of AA talent in the works.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 25, 2025, 02:57:10 pm
On a positive note we do have some "Emerald Sprouts" in our under 21 contingent. The thing with young'uns is they have to develop consistency. That often takes a year or three. You won't see it every game. You won't necessarily see it every quarter of a game. It might be two players 'shining' one week, a different two another week. Until they've spent some years playing together and develop that 'team' understanding we may not see the best of them.
It wasn't so long ago I was a bit apprehensive about the future and thought we were putting too much emphasis on the present and not planning for the years AC (after Cripps)... and the Four Horsemen of the 2015 draft. That seems to have changed quite a bit. We're not looking too bad when these kids get a few years and games under their belt.
I'm very wary of a few things when evaluating our kids.
1. Its their first year and that usually gets them more freedom - eg Hollands dominated his 1st year, went missing a bit in his second. Is it sustainable or is simply because opposition players don't know what to expect from then yet and can't plan for them. Sample size not big enough.
2. Is there room to grow. Will White, Matt Carroll, Cooper Lord, Corey Durdin, Flynn Young etc. They are all, somewhat, performing a role that you could consider AFL worthy.....mostly. However, how much better can they get? What exactly are they good at? What are they elite at? Lord and Carroll look like they belong the most, but i'm still not sold on them long term. At or above expectations now. Will they take another step? Can they??
3. Similar to #2, but with different players. HOK, HOF and Moir. They all need to put on a bit more size to compete at the level long term. IMO, they all have some attributes that make them elite though. HOKs speed/agility for his size is rare. HOFs marking is elite. Moir clearly has x-factor. Can they keep this up long term with a bit more size and can they do that while carrying niggles like every other AFL footballer who plays each week?
There are promising signs, absolutely, but its a far cry from having a bunch of AA talent in the works.
They may not all make it. But it's probably likely that given their age, they all have a bit of improvement ahead of them, and will benefit from time together.
I think when we're looking to do a bit of a cull the focus should now be on the older group rather than the young contingent.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on July 25, 2025, 03:06:34 pm
I can't see how Austin survives unless Lloyd gets the blame for his list management decisions.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 25, 2025, 03:29:06 pm
I think the general consenus is that Austin is on shaky ground. But it may be the club take a wider view, and see the current position as something of a transitional period Our strength (such as it is) has been based around a senior group...in recent times we've seen a move to a more youthful side in our recruiting. It may be we're just at the moment at a point where we're bottoming out, more a trough than rock bottom, as these two distinct groups combine.
We're seeing an end to players that are injured more often than not. We'll see off one or two of the older players. Now if we did one of those best 22's at the moment I suspect it would have changed from the one we did pre-season. Put our best 22 out there (and we saw a glimpse of some of them in the stands last night) and we suddenly look a lot better. Give these youngsters who are getting a taste now, and place them into the mix and we have some depth. A bit of smart recruiting for a few positions of specific need and we wouldn't be in as bad a shape as we think. ....and Austin maybe doesn't look so bad. I reckon it's probably 50/50 on him staying.
A decision on Austin will come sooner rather than later as we'll need our recruiting people in place for the trade period.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pew2 on July 25, 2025, 03:37:57 pm
as predicted long bombs into f50 and away goes hawks Trouble is not last night game but the last 2 F>>K>N years thats why it is so disappointing Voss and Co have failed
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 25, 2025, 03:40:54 pm
as predicted long bombs into f50 and away goes hawks Trouble is not last night game but the last 2 F>>K>N years thats why it is so disappointing Voss and Co have failed
I lost count of the amount of times the hawks players got away with two hands in the back in these circumstances.
We were kicking long to contests too much but Tom barras in particular got away with it.
Meanwhile other end, Hawks got two freebies in this regard.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pertz on July 25, 2025, 03:54:14 pm
Only because he was caught out and was told to. He and his management aren't very clever at all.
100% correct
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pertz on July 25, 2025, 04:00:38 pm
We were beat up by a professional, ruthless, skilled and well drilled team in the first quarter. The rest of the game didn't matter to me. We have a long, long way to go
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on July 25, 2025, 04:49:07 pm
I'm very wary of a few things when evaluating our kids.
1. Its their first year and that usually gets them more freedom - eg Hollands dominated his 1st year, went missing a bit in his second. Is it sustainable or is simply because opposition players don't know what to expect from then yet and can't plan for them. Sample size not big enough.
2. Is there room to grow. Will White, Matt Carroll, Cooper Lord, Corey Durdin, Flynn Young etc. They are all, somewhat, performing a role that you could consider AFL worthy.....mostly. However, how much better can they get? What exactly are they good at? What are they elite at? Lord and Carroll look like they belong the most, but i'm still not sold on them long term. At or above expectations now. Will they take another step? Can they??
3. Similar to #2, but with different players. HOK, HOF and Moir. They all need to put on a bit more size to compete at the level long term. IMO, they all have some attributes that make them elite though. HOKs speed/agility for his size is rare. HOFs marking is elite. Moir clearly has x-factor. Can they keep this up long term with a bit more size and can they do that while carrying niggles like every other AFL footballer who plays each week?
There are promising signs, absolutely, but its a far cry from having a bunch of AA talent in the works.
They may not all make it. But it's probably likely that given their age, they all have a bit of improvement ahead of them, and will benefit from time together.
I think when we're looking to do a bit of a cull the focus should now be on the older group rather than the young contingent.
I don't think they will all make it. I don't think they will all make it......past this off-season! I expect some to be cut, its almost a requirement that some be cut with our extended rookie list, unless we upgrade a few.
I did an age breakdown of our list in another thread, but there is some issues with ditching the older folk.
IMO, The 30+ blokes deserve to go on, largely. The late 20's 'spine' is where we need to cash in a bit. The mid 20's is the area that we can least afford to lose players from, but thats exactly where TDK and Walsh sit....and not much else. The early 20's is pretty good for senior listed players and a couple rookies thrown in for good measure. The youngest players are largely exempt from such discussions as they are under contract.
Its the 'top up' players who are the ones with the biggest question marks, some of which we discussed earlier. Youngest and early 20's....but close to their 'ceiling' and not really worth persisting with IMO.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 25, 2025, 10:18:47 pm
The Dawks embraced, wholeheartedly, the role of villains to spoil our party. They came to win. We came to celebrate two champs.
Seen that movie before under Clarko.
Yep. Watching the Midgets and Fluffy Ducks game last night, we saw real toughness and hardness. Kinda amplifies just how nice we are. We're the pin-up club for 'sociable' footy. I still find it so difficult to understand how such a tough and uncompromising player -- Voss -- can preside over such an agreeable playing culture.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Micky0 on July 26, 2025, 09:52:31 am
Yep. Watching the Midgets and Fluffy Ducks game last night, we saw real toughness and hardness. Kinda amplifies just how nice we are. We're the pin-up club for 'sociable' footy. I still find it so difficult to understand how such a tough and uncompromising player -- Voss -- can preside over such an agreeable playing culture.
We were just watching a clip of Greene elbowing someone on the ground and getting away with it and said there’s no one in our team that does that type of thing - oh except Boyd! Who they won’t play!
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 26, 2025, 10:08:19 am
We don't know what Voss says behind closed doors, but if he's not fussing about niggle and faux tough stuff, it's probably because it has little to do with winning, unlike say kicking straight, or hand balling straight, or sticking tackles etc. Fix those issues, and it gives you a spring in your step and extra bravado.
Voss is in his 4th year. If it bothered him that much, he would've recruited accordingly.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: northernblue on July 26, 2025, 10:49:18 am
Yep. Watching the Midgets and Fluffy Ducks game last night, we saw real toughness and hardness. Kinda amplifies just how nice we are. We're the pin-up club for 'sociable' footy. I still find it so difficult to understand how such a tough and uncompromising player -- Voss -- can preside over such an agreeable playing culture.
We were just watching a clip of Greene elbowing someone on the ground and getting away with it and said there’s no one in our team that does that type of thing - oh except Boyd! Who they won’t play!
McGovern and Newman can and do but like Pauly says there’s a few other priority’s…
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 26, 2025, 11:31:36 am
Its interesting how much Jordan boyds reputation has grown simply by not playing.
He is very much like matt Carroll but a bit shorter. Might have a touch more leg speed, but nothing express.
He wasn't Fraser Brown either he just defends better than most of our other loose defenders.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Micky0 on July 26, 2025, 11:48:01 am
Absolutely agree there are a lot of other issues that need focus beforw worrying too much about the guys that will niggle etc.
Sure Boyd might have some deficiencies but he has SOMETHING imo That you can’t pinpoint - Cowan has the same something but obvs has more of what they need.
Not saying Boyd is the answer to our woes at all but just see him as someone that could be very beneficial for us - he has a spring in his step, a confidence about himself.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Micky0 on July 26, 2025, 11:49:22 am
We were just watching a clip of Greene elbowing someone on the ground and getting away with it and said there’s no one in our team that does that type of thing - oh except Boyd! Who they won’t play!
McGovern and Newman can and do but like Pauly says there’s a few other priority’s…
MCG also is unreliable in other aspects of his game. I liked him but I just don’t feel confident at all when he has the ball.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 26, 2025, 11:51:00 am
Voss was never dirty as a player just hard at the contest and the man. The Scott bros, Martin Pike, Mal Michael, Jono Brown took care of the intimidation and protection business.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Micky0 on July 26, 2025, 11:54:22 am
The Dawks embraced, wholeheartedly, the role of villains to spoil our party. They came to win. We came to celebrate two champs.
Seen that movie before under Clarko.
I will never forget that game when Buddy and Fev were both going for their 100 goals and Clarko threw everyone on Fev to ensure he didn’t get it. Absolute prick. He was a ruthless operator and tbh Im not sure Mitchell is as much of a prick because Clarko would’ve drummed into his boys to bury us completely in this game but imo they took their foot off the gas and did just what they needed to.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 26, 2025, 12:32:48 pm
Voss was never dirty as a player just hard at the contest and the man. The Scott bros, Martin Pike, Mal Michael Jono Brown took care of the intimidation and protection business.
That group was as brutal and ruthless a playing group as I have ever seen. Intimidation factor was off the charts, they had you beat before you even ran out. Best midfield group I have seen also led by Voss Power Black Lappin Aker McRae Ashcroft and cameos by some more than adequate support staff. That midfield hurt by kicking goals also.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 26, 2025, 01:32:48 pm
We were just watching a clip of Greene elbowing someone on the ground and getting away with it and said there’s no one in our team that does that type of thing - oh except Boyd! Who they won’t play!
Micky, you may note with some interest this act has caught the attention of the MRO :
Voss was never dirty as a player just hard at the contest and the man. The Scott bros, Martin Pike, Mal Michael Jono Brown took care of the intimidation and protection business.
That group was as brutal and ruthless a playing group as I have ever seen. Intimidation factor was off the charts, they had you beat before you even ran out. Best midfield group I have seen also led by Voss Power Black Lappin Aker McRae Ashcroft and cameos by some more than adequate support staff. That midfield hurt by kicking goals also.
Agree....nearly won four premierships in a row and it was brutality with a high level of skill which is probably the best football I have seen from any team ever on such a consistent basis. Voss was probably one of the best captains I have seen as well and led from the front, it must be hard for him trying to understand why players he coaches cant be at the level he was in terms of consistency and will to win at all costs.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 26, 2025, 04:08:15 pm
Agree....nearly won four premierships in a row and it was brutality with a high level of skill which is probably the best football I have seen from any team ever on such a consistent basis. Voss was probably one of the best captains I have seen as well and led from the front, it must be hard for him trying to understand why players he coaches cant be at the level he was in terms of consistency and will to win at all costs.
Yep. They learnt how to win and never looked back, we have learnt how to lose over the decades and that's now the norm.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LoveNavy on July 26, 2025, 05:18:11 pm
The Dawks embraced, wholeheartedly, the role of villains to spoil our party. They came to win. We came to celebrate two champs.
We come to celebrate a lot of things. Maximising the privileged position an AFL club has to educate the public is valuable. No doubt. I personally would like to see on field physical/mental endeavours mastered.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on July 26, 2025, 05:42:06 pm
Yep. Watching the Midgets and Fluffy Ducks game last night, we saw real toughness and hardness. Kinda amplifies just how nice we are. We're the pin-up club for 'sociable' footy. I still find it so difficult to understand how such a tough and uncompromising player -- Voss -- can preside over such an agreeable playing culture.
We were just watching a clip of Greene elbowing someone on the ground and getting away with it and said there’s no one in our team that does that type of thing - oh except Boyd! Who they won’t play!
I saw that and didn't like it.
I should clarify my point about toughness, hardness and being uncompromising. It doesn't mean thuggery or sniping. In our side I'm talking about Newman, Walsh, Hewett... And more recently, Cowan, Carroll and O Hollands. These blokes attack the aggot and man with 100% commitment.
Look at the tackle laid by Will W that ended up with him getting a free kick and goal. He did this while others just kind of ran with the Dawks ball carrier. That's what I mean by toughness, it's commitment, total commitment in every contest. Blokes like this seek the hard contest, and often their tackles stick, their disposals, spoils and other actions are full of intent. And frequently this leads to reward, which leads to confidence, which paradoxically leads to better skill execution (though Ollie still needs to work on that!!!).
As a player, Vossy personified all of that. Too many of his present day chargers, do not. You can be tough... and respectful and play within the rules. But nice doesn't work for warriors, not if they want to win.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LoveNavy on July 26, 2025, 05:47:12 pm
Yep. Watching the Midgets and Fluffy Ducks game last night, we saw real toughness and hardness. Kinda amplifies just how nice we are. We're the pin-up club for 'sociable' footy. I still find it so difficult to understand how such a tough and uncompromising player -- Voss -- can preside over such an agreeable playing culture.
Many have repeatedly said something's not right above the shoulders 😵💫
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 26, 2025, 05:58:26 pm
On a positive note we do have some "Emerald Sprouts" in our under 21 contingent. The thing with young'uns is they have to develop consistency. That often takes a year or three. You won't see it every game. You won't necessarily see it every quarter of a game. It might be two players 'shining' one week, a different two another week. Until they've spent some years playing together and develop that 'team' understanding we may not see the best of them.
It wasn't so long ago I was a bit apprehensive about the future and thought we were putting too much emphasis on the present and not planning for the years AC (after Cripps)... and the Four Horsemen of the 2015 draft. That seems to have changed quite a bit. We're not looking too bad when these kids get a few years and games under their belt.
Does that mean that Austin gets a pass?
No, he should be sacked, its not even about the listed players skills, execution abilities etc its about the lack of respect we have from other clubs and the endless nice boy players we have ended up with on the list. Its not about winning contests or being brave hunting the ball its about the lack of spirit and fight as soon as other teams crank up the physical stuff we go to water. We just dont have any players who can or will fight for the club and fly the flag....thats first base for any team imo that you go out there and win lose or draw you stick together and defend your mates and the club at all cost. We have this soft image where we play nice and expect other teams to follow suit, they all know we can be got at even the rebuild kiddie teams bully us.Essendon are the same and its a culture we share with them and both clubs when they were at their best in the glory years were feared for how they went about it each week. Its all has to change and its starts with our recruiting where we need to change our thinking about not only what skills a player brings but also getting players with strong character who wont be bullied or intimidated. It was just so embarrassing and sad watching Sam Docherty targeted by those muppets at Hawthorn.....
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 26, 2025, 07:00:42 pm
No, he should be sacked, its not even about the listed players skills, execution abilities etc its about the lack of respect we have from other clubs and the endless nice boy players we have ended up with on the list. Its not about winning contests or being brave hunting the ball its about the lack of spirit and fight as soon as other teams crank up the physical stuff we go to water. We just dont have any players who can or will fight for the club and fly the flag....thats first base for any team imo that you go out there and win lose or draw you stick together and defend your mates and the club at all cost. We have this soft image where we play nice and expect other teams to follow suit, they all know we can be got at even the rebuild kiddie teams bully us.Essendon are the same and its a culture we share with them and both clubs when they were at their best in the glory years were feared for how they went about it each week. Its all has to change and its starts with our recruiting where we need to change our thinking about not only what skills a player brings but also getting players with strong character who wont be bullied or intimidated. It was just so embarrassing and sad watching Sam Docherty targeted by those muppets at Hawthorn.....
x2 Would love to have seen what Toby Greene would have done to the Haw players when they targetted Doc if TG played for us. I would kill for a couple like him, I'd even tolerate the fines and suspensions, I'd call it the Carlton Culture Tax.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 26, 2025, 07:28:42 pm
IMO, no amount of stray elbows to opponents' heads and no amount of flying the flag is going to put us back on the winners list. As time passes I become more convinced that we are dealing with head space / off field issues. I don't think it's to do with recruiting. Effectively the same group of players were winning consistently over a 12 months period, playing skillful, tough, accountable football. 12 months out of a 4 year tenure is 25%, and 25% of any sample space is nether insignificant nor a statistical aberration. I wish I knew what was up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 26, 2025, 08:37:15 pm
IMO, no amount of stray elbows to opponents' heads and no amount of flying the flag is going to put us back on the winners list. As time passes I become more convinced that we are dealing with head space / off field issues. I don't think it's to do with recruiting. Effectively the same group of players were winning consistently over a 12 months period, playing skillful, tough, accountable football. 12 months out of a 4 year tenure is 25%, and 25% of any sample space is nether insignificant nor a statistical aberration. I wish I knew what was up.
I think it's the things we don't know that are the major concern. There's a lot going on with individuals in terms of injury, mental health issues and a fair bit of uncertainty over who will and won't be in a Carlton jumper in 2026. Add to that the uncertainty regarding Coaching and football department positions, and it's hard to see how it can be a positive, constructive environment to build football success. But to what extent all those things are playing into performance at the moment is impossible to determine from afar.
It may be the best way to cope is not to get too invested in players and personnel in the next month or two, and just let it play out. By the end of September we'll have a bit better idea of what the club will look like in 2026.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 26, 2025, 08:42:41 pm
No, he should be sacked, its not even about the listed players skills, execution abilities etc its about the lack of respect we have from other clubs and the endless nice boy players we have ended up with on the list. Its not about winning contests or being brave hunting the ball its about the lack of spirit and fight as soon as other teams crank up the physical stuff we go to water. We just dont have any players who can or will fight for the club and fly the flag....thats first base for any team imo that you go out there and win lose or draw you stick together and defend your mates and the club at all cost. We have this soft image where we play nice and expect other teams to follow suit, they all know we can be got at even the rebuild kiddie teams bully us.Essendon are the same and its a culture we share with them and both clubs when they were at their best in the glory years were feared for how they went about it each week. Its all has to change and its starts with our recruiting where we need to change our thinking about not only what skills a player brings but also getting players with strong character who wont be bullied or intimidated. It was just so embarrassing and sad watching Sam Docherty targeted by those muppets at Hawthorn.....
x2 Would love to have seen what Toby Greene would have done to the Haw players when they targetted Doc if TG played for us. I would kill for a couple like him, I'd even tolerate the fines and suspensions, I'd call it the Carlton Culture Tax.
Im a fan of Maynard for this reason, even as a kid he had that willingness to mix it with opposition players who messed with him or his teammates and Id like to recruit a similar player. Toby is great but too valuable to be suspended for silly stuff like with Heeney. The game has changed and the younger coaches are all wanting that transition game with a touch of niggle and intimidation, Mitchell signalled they were going to be the villains and we seemed oblivious to what they had planned. Watched the Suns give it to Brisbane too with Ben Long instigating push and shove stuff and upsetting Brisbane, typical Hardwick methodology from his Richmond days. What happened 12-24 months ago is ancient history and the game is going in a different direction while we live in denial and a back to the future approach.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 26, 2025, 09:02:35 pm
I think it's the things we don't know that are the major concern. There's a lot going on with individuals in terms of injury, mental health issues and a fair bit of uncertainty over who will and won't be in a Carlton jumper in 2026. Add to that the uncertainty regarding Coaching and football department positions, and it's hard to see how it can be a positive, constructive environment to build football success. But to what extent all those things are playing into performance at the moment is impossible to determine from afar.
It may be the best way to cope is not to get too invested in players and personnel in the next month or two, and just let it play out. By the end of September we'll have a bit better idea of what the club will look like in 2026.
I have also wondered whether issues going back several years are affecting the senior players, and whether they've been allowed to fester and are finally catching up. Perhaps issues with Teague or other coaches, different camps wrt Voss etc.
If we believe what is written, Cripps and others accepted unders to keep the gang together, resisted overtures from more successful clubs etc., and now we see at least one if not more players leaving for more money. That may have an affect. I also wonder about the failed rebuild. The idea was in one way similar to the Maoist revolution, in the sense that you would need to suffer in the present in order to have a better future. That was basically the rebuild. Cripps, Weitering etc put up with thrashings, high list turnover etc in the belief that we were doing things right, and this was going to lead to future success. That clearly has not eventuated, and our senior players watch as other teams go past them. And to top it off, they have to deal with s h i t stirring media, and a bunch of illiterate yobbos who yell abuse, and accuse them of being lazy, over paid etc. Any lack of passion and enthusiasm on the players' part is understandable IMO, and they may well be wondering why they even bothered.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 26, 2025, 10:26:17 pm
x2 Would love to have seen what Toby Greene would have done to the Haw players when they targetted Doc if TG played for us. I would kill for a couple like him, I'd even tolerate the fines and suspensions, I'd call it the Carlton Culture Tax.
Im a fan of Maynard for this reason, even as a kid he had that willingness to mix it with opposition players who messed with him or his teammates and Id like to recruit a similar player. Toby is great but too valuable to be suspended for silly stuff like with Heeney. The game has changed and the younger coaches are all wanting that transition game with a touch of niggle and intimidation, Mitchell signalled they were going to be the villains and we seemed oblivious to what they had planned. Watched the Suns give it to Brisbane too with Ben Long instigating push and shove stuff and upsetting Brisbane, typical Hardwick methodology from his Richmond days. What happened 12-24 months ago is ancient history and the game is going in a different direction while we live in denial and a back to the future approach.
We are meek to a man, end of story.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: crashlander on July 27, 2025, 02:06:01 pm
My takes on the game: [1] Fitness: We are not fit enough! You have a look at the way the Hawthorn players run, you see that we can’t keep up. They’re willing to run and run and present, which we don’t. We don’t appear able to do so. As a result, we really need to work on this. I don’t know if you can put all the blame on Innes, but you notice the significant drop off this season. This needs to be addressed ASAP! This needs to be the first thing we address, because, if we're not not fit enough, it doesn't matter how good our game plan is; we won't be able to make it work.
[2] Tackling: Granted that we’re not as fit as we need to be, but our tackling really needs work. Too many opposition players break tackles, which lead to goals. This has really been noticeable in the worst of our losses, and was really obvious on Thursday night. Not only that, but we also don’t hurt players enough when we tackle. Other teams aim to hurt their opponents, we don’t. We really need to address this.
[3] Athleticism: We generally lack that. Look at Hawthorn and a lot of then can run and jump over us. I didn’t like that. It has been clear for some time that we don’t have X-factor. Harry O’Farrell and Ashton Moir are improvements in this area, but we really need more. Speed; we need considerably more of it. We need it to be strength, not a weakness.
[4] Game Plan: I don’t think our game plan is as bad as it is made out to be. We have some real positives, especially when it comes to the contested ball that would be useful in finals. We do get Inside 50’s. That doesn’t mean that our game plan cannot be improved. We need to have a much bigger outside game if we’re going to compete. We also don’t work hard enough; you see the way the Hawthorn players run off, we don’t do that. You see the way teams like Hawthorn and, especially, Collingwood set up in the middle, you see where our game needs to improve.
[5] Disposal: One of the reasons our disposal is so ordinary is that we run out of gas far too quickly. That we can work on, as the fitter you are, the more likely you will be able to dispose of the ball under pressure. However, we do have a number of guys who are not that great when it comes to disposal. We need to replace them with guys who can kick well, but we won’t be able to in one foul swoop. We can draft some good kids, but we also need to attract guys with better disposal.
[6] Decision Making: Our decision making is not that great, and it is something that a lot of players have issues with. Some of this is coaching, like Cripps doing too much because there isn’t anyone he can get the ball to, or Charlie wheeling and going almost every time. These things can be fixed. Other things need a lot more work. Again, if we were fitter, we could do what we need to do better, but we need to get our dumber players thinking the right way more often.
Our personnel: [1] Nick Haynes: I know Nick was brought in to give leadership for our younger players, but injuries have forced him to be a permanent feature in our line-up. He intercepts really well and has been a major positive since that first round disaster. But he is physically weak. He gets out-bodied too easily and his tackles often get broken. I am glad to have had him, but …
[2] Marc Pittonet: I admire Pitto, as he always gives his heart and soul, but he is a very limited player who probably won’t be the bull ruck we need to get a premiership. He was really strong and effective before his knee injury, but he has never recovered that strength afterward. He doesn’t take a lot of marks, but he often spoils higher ranked rucks. What we need is the sort of strong man who gets the ball to the mids first.
[3] Lachie Fogarty: Lachie is one of those guys whose talent is probably not up to it. But he has worked hard on his game and has been an effective negative forward. But he doesn’t get enough ball, he doesn’t hurt you when he gets it and he doesn’t have the speed or athleticism to improve significantly. I’d be moving him on.
There are others, but I'll do that later.
I also want to address our spirit, which has been sadly lacking this year, but I'll address this separately.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: cookie2 on July 27, 2025, 02:47:23 pm
Thanks Crash, looking forward to your future musings.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 27, 2025, 03:51:30 pm
Its almost like the more unfit you are, the harder it is to perform optimally, and the worse decisions you make.
Every single part of the game is based on fitness. Even belief. You know when you arent 100%.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 27, 2025, 04:05:23 pm
Its almost like the more unfit you are, the harder it is to perform optimally, and the worse decisions you make.
Every single part of the game is based on fitness. Even belief. You know when you arent 100%.
We lack pace and kicking skills...the players we have on the list dont have whats required for the modern transition game. We beat Melbourne who play the same way as us with the same type of players, it was two outdated teams playing a horrible brand to watch. I agree and get we are carrying players who are injured, sore or who want to leave and have zero interest etc but that more amplifies a problem we already have imho.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 27, 2025, 04:35:10 pm
I just don't know... I kind of wonder what we'd look like with close to our best side on the field, and a settled situation off field. A lot of issues in a team sport come back to the cohesion and structure factors.
When players are missing or not working as a team it means others have to step up and take an extra burden. Freed from that extra burden we'd look a lot better as individuals, and consequently as a team. We've fallen a away now to a position where many players are playing the 'individual' game thinking more about their own futures than team futures. Confidence is gone. Funnily enough it's probably the younger players who are most resistant to those things, especially those contracted for another year or two. They are often quite willing to 'buy in' and play a role, thinking more of the present knowing that they still have a few years.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Slowhand on July 27, 2025, 04:40:54 pm
My takes on the game: [1] Fitness: We are not fit enough! You have a look at the way the Hawthorn players run, you see that we can’t keep up. They’re willing to run and run and present, which we don’t. We don’t appear able to do so. As a result, we really need to work on this. I don’t know if you can put all the blame on Innes, but you notice the significant drop off this season. This needs to be addressed ASAP! This needs to be the first thing we address, because, if we're not not fit enough, it doesn't matter how good our game plan is; we won't be able to make it work.
[2] Tackling: Granted that we’re not as fit as we need to be, but our tackling really needs work. Too many opposition players break tackles, which lead to goals. This has really been noticeable in the worst of our losses, and was really obvious on Thursday night. Not only that, but we also don’t hurt players enough when we tackle. Other teams aim to hurt their opponents, we don’t. We really need to address this.
[3] Athleticism: We generally lack that. Look at Hawthorn and a lot of then can run and jump over us. I didn’t like that. It has been clear for some time that we don’t have X-factor. Harry O’Farrell and Ashton Moir are improvements in this area, but we really need more. Speed; we need considerably more of it. We need it to be strength, not a weakness.
[4] Game Plan: I don’t think our game plan is as bad as it is made out to be. We have some real positives, especially when it comes to the contested ball that would be useful in finals. We do get Inside 50’s. That doesn’t mean that our game plan cannot be improved. We need to have a much bigger outside game if we’re going to compete. We also don’t work hard enough; you see the way the Hawthorn players run off, we don’t do that. You see the way teams like Hawthorn and, especially, Collingwood set up in the middle, you see where our game needs to improve.
[5] Disposal: One of the reasons our disposal is so ordinary is that we run out of gas far too quickly. That we can work on, as the fitter you are, the more likely you will be able to dispose of the ball under pressure. However, we do have a number of guys who are not that great when it comes to disposal. We need to replace them with guys who can kick well, but we won’t be able to in one foul swoop. We can draft some good kids, but we also need to attract guys with better disposal.
[6] Decision Making: Our decision making is not that great, and it is something that a lot of players have issues with. Some of this is coaching, like Cripps doing too much because there isn’t anyone he can get the ball to, or Charlie wheeling and going almost every time. These things can be fixed. Other things need a lot more work. Again, if we were fitter, we could do what we need to do better, but we need to get our dumber players thinking the right way more often.
Our personnel: [1] Nick Haynes: I know Nick was brought in to give leadership for our younger players, but injuries have forced him to be a permanent feature in our line-up. He intercepts really well and has been a major positive since that first round disaster. But he is physically weak. He gets out-bodied too easily and his tackles often get broken. I am glad to have had him, but …
[2] Marc Pittonet: I admire Pitto, as he always gives his heart and soul, but he is a very limited player who probably won’t be the bull ruck we need to get a premiership. He was really strong and effective before his knee injury, but he has never recovered that strength afterward. He doesn’t take a lot of marks, but he often spoils higher ranked rucks. What we need is the sort of strong man who gets the ball to the mids first.
[3] Lachie Fogarty: Lachie is one of those guys whose talent is probably not up to it. But he has worked hard on his game and has been an effective negative forward. But he doesn’t get enough ball, he doesn’t hurt you when he gets it and he doesn’t have the speed or athleticism to improve significantly. I’d be moving him on.
There are others, but I'll do that later.
I also want to address our spirit, which has been sadly lacking this year, but I'll address this separately.
Absolutely spot on Crash. I cannot believe how bad we fade when the gut running starts and the opposition raises the pressure.
I'm hoping that there will be some significant changes coming in few weeks. I'm hoping Vossy will be there next year but we are Carlton. Football Department, including all assistant coaches need serious changes.
I used to blame our cursed Injury luck wherever we lost. Then you think back to the first game when we had our so called A side in. The rest is history. As many have said before it take luck with injuries to get to finals. We just need some normal luck...
I don't think our list is that bad and we just need to clean up the Sideburns and get rid of the nasal hair Pace, pace and durability would be my go to. Kemp, Newman, Cotrell and SOS are improvements.. We have too much nasal hair and I'll leave it up to the expert's to decide where to cut.
I honestly believe we can turn this around pretty quickly and we aren't that bad. Fark, how did we beat the pussys....
For 65 years I have bled blue and lm fortunate that I can still remember the last couple of flags. I love this Forum and the passion, knowledge and insight that makes it special.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 27, 2025, 05:20:02 pm
Its almost like the more unfit you are, the harder it is to perform optimally, and the worse decisions you make.
Every single part of the game is based on fitness. Even belief. You know when you arent 100%.
We lack pace and kicking skills...the players we have on the list dont have whats required for the modern transition game. We beat Melbourne who play the same way as us with the same type of players, it was two outdated teams playing a horrible brand to watch. I agree and get we are carrying players who are injured, sore or who want to leave and have zero interest etc but that more amplifies a problem we already have imho.
Its funny though, they've been fine in first quarters/halves. Either our opposition are asleep or we are under done. We've kicked almost 50 points by quarter time on multiple occasions. Either we're spending our petrol tickets too early, or we just lack 4 quarter efforts. Tired bodies, tired minds, tired efforts, tired execution.
Im not sure if it isnt just a giant feedback loop, and then the confidence has also suffered. Of late weve been better late with poorer starts. It cant be a coincidence.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: tonyo on July 27, 2025, 07:28:07 pm
We lack pace and kicking skills...the players we have on the list dont have whats required for the modern transition game. We beat Melbourne who play the same way as us with the same type of players, it was two outdated teams playing a horrible brand to watch. I agree and get we are carrying players who are injured, sore or who want to leave and have zero interest etc but that more amplifies a problem we already have imho.
Its funny though, they've been fine in first quarters/halves. Either our opposition are asleep or we are under done. We've kicked almost 50 points by quarter time on multiple occasions. Either we're spending our petrol tickets too early, or we just lack 4 quarter efforts. Tired bodies, tired minds, tired efforts, tired execution.
Im not sure if it isnt just a giant feedback loop, and then the confidence has also suffered. Of late weve been better late with poorer starts. It cant be a coincidence.
I don't think it's fitness - our game style is so stodgy, there will always be times when it looks like we are run off our feet.
Our stock standard play seems to be a dump kick to the wing - it's no wonder we struggle to go forward with any precision. And when we do inevitably miss a kick or a handpass due to poor skill levels, and the other mob get it, it's off to the races. That's when we look slow and tired. Good oppositions know they just have to bide their time, turn the screw, and a Carlton turnover is never far away.
Until we catch up to the rest of the competition and find some line-breaking half backs, we will never get any pace into our game, and we will be chasing tails all day.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 27, 2025, 07:48:19 pm
I disagree. I think the impact of having opponents who can crucify you on the turnover is making us be less bold attacking, and thats due to not being able to run up and down all day.
Its the what came first the chicken or the egg.
You guys keep saying the egg is the problem, no its the chicken is, but ultimately its a situation where you cant really point to any one thing and say its that, because our execution at times is so poor that you cant pin it on any one thing. We dont just defend, we kick it too high to our forwards giving them no chance. We arent two way running hard enough because they cant get back quickly when they run forward, so they play cautious and dont run as hard.
It's not a function of being a crab. We've been pretty good at times and against pretty much every opponent at times. Thats the issue its very patchy and the takeaway is always to the negative as that's why you dont win, but its ignoring some of the good stuff and thankless running. We've missed some genuine A grade talent over the course of the year and the rest have been well below their best. Collingwood didnt make finals last year because they were having a bit of a mare and they only really had Darcy Moore off his best, and Elliot missed 7 games.
Premiers to no finals and look at them go now. Why are Sydney struggling so much this year? Is it because they missed gulden for most of the year, parley under done too? Take two components away from any team and they struggle. We lost from last year 3 players that were humming along and doing well, partly by choice partly by dumb luck and also lost form from a key contingent. Mid year next year we will know whats what about us, but IMHO if the game plan isnt working its not by design its by sloppy execution and personnel not really performing to close to their best.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on July 28, 2025, 08:49:55 am
Mid year next year we will know whats what about us, but IMHO if the game plan isnt working its not by design its by sloppy execution and personnel not really performing to close to their best.
The last time our group looked dangerous in all aspects of the game was the second half of 2023... After the players meeting (Camp Curnow), minus coaches, the players obviously took ownership over their destiny themselves and rapid change was achieved. Same players, same skills, some important blokes missing but a very different result for the remainder of the season. The players bought into 'their' game plan.
Sloppy execution to moi is a symptom. And what our sloppy execution is a symptom of is for all those in the footy department to ascertain. Inadequate development? Players not buying in to game plan? Injuries to key personnel? Perplexing MC selections? Square pegs/round holes? Other factors like embarrassing Prez shenanigans, key personnel not committing (TDK) and/or other disruptions behind closed doors that we're not aware of? Probably a mix of all these things.
From the cheap seats, it seems to this little black duck that our dreadful results of the past year are symptomatic of a poorly run football department, in toto.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 28, 2025, 09:23:08 am
Mid year next year we will know whats what about us, but IMHO if the game plan isnt working its not by design its by sloppy execution and personnel not really performing to close to their best.
The last time our group looked dangerous in all aspects of the game was the second half of 2023... After the players meeting (Camp Curnow), minus coaches, the players obviously took ownership over their destiny themselves and rapid change was achieved. Same players, same skills, some important blokes missing but a very different result for the remainder of the season. The players bought into 'their' game plan.
Sloppy execution to moi is a symptom. And what our sloppy execution is a symptom of is for all those in the footy department to ascertain. Inadequate development? Players not buying in to game plan? Injuries to key personnel? Perplexing MC selections? Square pegs/round holes? Other factors like embarrassing Prez shenanigans, key personnel not committing (TDK) and/or other disruptions behind closed doors that we're not aware of? Probably a mix of all these things.
From the cheap seats, it seems to this little black duck that our dreadful results of the past year are symptomatic of a poorly run football department, in toto.
You didnt rate our wins in round 16 and 17 2024? What about having scored 8.2 by quarter time in round 18 vs GWS? The problem vs GWS was copping 14 goals in 2 quarters of footy, but we looked good for that patch.
It wasnt that long ago in football terms. I think a few people are being too down on our season and forget how good we were until the latter part of 2024.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 28, 2025, 09:24:31 am
Yep. I think we have multiple views of where we're going wrong, and it may be just that... Not one area, but multiple areas all coming together in a 'perfect storm'. Which makes the 'fixing' much harder.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: madbluboy on July 28, 2025, 09:29:01 am
2023 we recovered because we had senior depth.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 28, 2025, 09:29:59 am
The last time our group looked dangerous in all aspects of the game was the second half of 2023... After the players meeting (Camp Curnow), minus coaches, the players obviously took ownership over their destiny themselves and rapid change was achieved. Same players, same skills, some important blokes missing but a very different result for the remainder of the season. The players bought into 'their' game plan.
Sloppy execution to moi is a symptom. And what our sloppy execution is a symptom of is for all those in the footy department to ascertain. Inadequate development? Players not buying in to game plan? Injuries to key personnel? Perplexing MC selections? Square pegs/round holes? Other factors like embarrassing Prez shenanigans, key personnel not committing (TDK) and/or other disruptions behind closed doors that we're not aware of? Probably a mix of all these things.
From the cheap seats, it seems to this little black duck that our dreadful results of the past year are symptomatic of a poorly run football department, in toto.
You didnt rate our wins in round 16 and 17 2024? What about having scored 8.2 by quarter time in round 18 vs GWS? The problem vs GWS was copping 14 goals in 2 quarters of footy, but we looked good for that patch.
It wasnt that long ago in football terms. I think a few people are being too down on our season and forget how good we were until the latter part of 2024.
That's very true. It was only a year ago we were flag favourites according to some pundits. That kind of goes against the idea that we don't play a modern or sustainable style.
In fact the high pressure, contest type of football is one that would probably stand up under finals pressure. The multiple tackles and pressure on the ball and player will cause what we regard as elite opposition skills to disappear. For a number of reasons we're just not capable of applying that at present,
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 28, 2025, 10:06:04 am
That's very true. It was only a year ago we were flag favourites according to some pundits. That kind of goes against the idea that we don't play a modern or sustainable style.
In fact the high pressure, contest type of football is one that would probably stand up under finals pressure. The multiple tackles and pressure on the ball and player will cause what we regard as elite opposition skills to disappear. For a number of reasons we're just not capable of applying that at present,
If I'm being completely honest? I see SFA difference between the way all teams "play", to my eye the ones that are cleaner with the footy and are a bit quicker across the ground are contenders to win the flag. Maybe my eye isnt sophisticated enough to decipher nitty gritty tactics employed but CB set up and clearances all look the same, switching from side to side get a different look at entries seem the same, kick outs seem the same, corridor use when its an option seems the same. It all boiles down to how clean and clever you are with the footy by hand and foot, how you take opportunities in front of goal and how well you tackle (how poorly we do this was evident on Thurs night).
Just on tackling, I mentioned how undervalued and underrated it is at our club, I was listening to Corn and Kingy this morning and they were talking about the Crows and their tackling. There was a grab from Nicks' presser and he said how its been "years of work put in". Corn went on to say how he has heard of numbers coming out of their gym work (ie weight they lift) and its off the charts. Its any wonder they tackle so hard, they break tackles well and bully teams around the ground.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 28, 2025, 10:08:18 am
I generally agree GTC.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Lods on July 28, 2025, 10:17:34 am
If I'm being completely honest? I see SFA difference between the way all teams "play", to my eye the ones that are cleaner with the footy and are a bit quicker across the ground are contenders to win the flag.
I think the way teams play is very much determined by how they are "allowed" to play. by the opposition.
If you're hard at it and up in their face those skills and run suddenly don't seem so elite.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: cookie2 on July 28, 2025, 12:13:00 pm
If players think that every time they possess the ball will be a potentially painful experience then confidence will be undermined.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 28, 2025, 12:29:39 pm
Yep. I think we have multiple views of where we're going wrong, and it may be just that... Not one area, but multiple areas all coming together in a 'perfect storm'. Which makes the 'fixing' much harder.
This is why im so against scorching the earth or even cutting loose the senior blokes for draft capital.
We are so close to achieving something and most of our guys need help, not to be replaced.
This is pendlebury circa 2018 vs pendlebury circa 2021. What would we have done to him in 2021? Retired him probably.
Docherty has pulled the pin on his own steam, and seems to be at peace with the decision, but I doubt he was the type to go searching elsewhere at this stage of his career. Given where he has come back from, I wonder how much the decision was his, or taken out of his hands. Irrespective, I want to be fair to the bloke and have compared him with another Collingwood player at a similar age.
Steele is a gun. Hasnt had anywhere near as many issues as Docherty either, but I wonder would Docherty have gone on or not? (should he is a different question, but Im placing this here to challenge the ideas that people have).
Granted, in Docherty's case he is going out after having squeezed every ounce out of his body that he can, and his set backs have been considerable, but why are our guys all broken and busted beyond repair, but these guys keep on keeping on for another 3 years? Why do we have to trade everyone for draft capital? Why? It doesnt make sense to me. Its some pre conceived idea that everyone must be finished by 32, and everyone must be traded because they wont play in our next flag (or something like that). Blokes like Robert Harvey, Boomer Harvey play for 20 years without really playing finals, let alone experience success. If they have value to you, they have value to you. Thats not to say that Docherty shouldnt retire, but given where society is, players should be playing a lot longer than they used to be. They recover better, they dont get hit as hard, the lists are a bit larger than they used to be, they interchange. Might take some better management, and better capability to spread the load, but im just sitting here thinking to myself, if we go through drastic change, all we are going to do is shut the window on ourselves and wonder what might have been.
Given how starved of achievement we have been, and the "trade to go young" approach we have used historically I dont see the merit in it. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.
Look at Gunston at Hawthorn. Breust. These guys are in their mid 30's too. Still going. Sure, they have worked their list over and have a bit more youth coming through, but their average age is a lot older, they just seem to be in better condition, and also have more leg speed, where we are coughing and spluttering. We might not ever get the guys we have fit, but build the bottom layer, and keep the top layer in as good condition as possible. Its a feature in every team. Taylor Walker at Adelaide. Danger at Geelong. 34 going on 35 year olds. Dont just trade them cause they are 28 and we are impatient. There is more to be had out of players these days if we are serious about high performance.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: shawny on July 28, 2025, 12:54:00 pm
Our list is generally consists of contested hard working types that possess below average foot speed, below average skills in particular by foot and mentally weak as well it has to be said.
Its a list that can beat the odd good team but wont ever have the necessary qualities to go deep into a season beating the better teams in big pressure moments. Yes we scrapped in winning 2 finals in 2023 but look at the opposition on those days the luck we had in the dying seconds. That year was the worst thing that could have happened to this group. We would have been hammered by pies if we beat loins in the PF. Haven't got close since.
Add in a coaching group that is not up to latest trends and tactics and that's why we sit 5 games and percentage out of the 8 with still 4 matches to go.
We need an influx of players who are quick and can hit targets consistently. The top 4 teams have plenty of them i don't think we have 1 and losing Jack who is not our worst by foot and TDK who is quick is going to compound the issue.
Staggering to think there are those who still believe minor changes will get us storming back up into contention. Wright would have seen enough and i expect major changes in the trade period.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 28, 2025, 12:56:04 pm
I generally agree Thry. I'm against weakening the list based on a problematic premise, i.e player x won't be part of our next flag. The future is impossible to know. Our next flag might be in 2026, it may not be for another 50 years. We need the best players playing for as long as possible, to give us the best chance of winning as many games as possible. Not much to it more than that IMO.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: pinot on July 28, 2025, 01:01:07 pm
We need an Elijah Hollands replacement. Someone that can pick a pass FWD/MID.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 28, 2025, 01:28:27 pm
That's very true. It was only a year ago we were flag favourites according to some pundits. That kind of goes against the idea that we don't play a modern or sustainable style.
In fact the high pressure, contest type of football is one that would probably stand up under finals pressure. The multiple tackles and pressure on the ball and player will cause what we regard as elite opposition skills to disappear. For a number of reasons we're just not capable of applying that at present,
If I'm being completely honest? I see SFA difference between the way all teams "play", to my eye the ones that are cleaner with the footy and are a bit quicker across the ground are contenders to win the flag. Maybe my eye isnt sophisticated enough to decipher nitty gritty tactics employed but CB set up and clearances all look the same, switching from side to side get a different look at entries seem the same, kick outs seem the same, corridor use when its an option seems the same. It all boiles down to how clean and clever you are with the footy by hand and foot, how you take opportunities in front of goal and how well you tackle (how poorly we do this was evident on Thurs night).
Just on tackling, I mentioned how undervalued and underrated it is at our club, I was listening to Corn and Kingy this morning and they were talking about the Crows and their tackling. There was a grab from Nicks' presser and he said how its been "years of work put in". Corn went on to say how he has heard of numbers coming out of their gym work (ie weight they lift) and its off the charts. Its any wonder they tackle so hard, they break tackles well and bully teams around the ground.
Watch how the Crows play and how we play, we are a mile off their skill level and ability to move the ball, they have recruited well pre season unlike us by bringing in Peatling, Cumming and Neil Bullen all of whom were senior ready, mobile and skillful . Their tackling is just a byproduct of having better players with a deeper list thats balanced with a blend of youth and experience imho.. They have some of the leagues best kids and have flown under the radar with low profile players like Michelanny, Worrall and Curtain who are that skillful, tall and mobile good kicking type who are able to play multiple positions and have the size to over power smaller players like we have on the list. Im going to disagree on game style.....Voss is still coaching how he did at Brisbane, the comparisons are so similar and he hasnt evolved into the modern era. I have posted this before but its just so obvious he hasnt progressed with his senior coaching and is too rigid with with how he wants us to play. https://www.lions.com.au/news/774029/voss-game-plan-will-take-time
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 28, 2025, 02:56:48 pm
Watch how the Crows play and how we play, we are a mile off their skill level and ability to move the ball, they have recruited well pre season unlike us by bringing in Peatling, Cumming and Neil Bullen all of whom were senior ready, mobile and skillful . Their tackling is just a byproduct of having better players with a deeper list thats balanced with a blend of youth and experience imho.. They have some of the leagues best kids and have flown under the radar with low profile players like Michelanny, Worrall and Curtain who are that skillful, tall and mobile good kicking type who are able to play multiple positions and have the size to over power smaller players like we have on the list. Im going to disagree on game style.....Voss is still coaching how he did at Brisbane, the comparisons are so similar and he hasnt evolved into the modern era. I have posted this before but its just so obvious he hasnt progressed with his senior coaching and is too rigid with with how he wants us to play. https://www.lions.com.au/news/774029/voss-game-plan-will-take-time
Agree on Adelaide. they certainly have a good mix of talent and experience. Respectfully, I'm not sure I get the relevance of the article and how we play today. No matter how you slice it, too many of our players butcher the footy too often and thats the main problem I see. Whether its playing this so called modern footy (one day someone will explain it to me) or any other type of footy, if youre forever giving it back to the other mob, missing regulation shots on goal and letting the oppo walk straight through you, you arent gonna win many games of footy IMO. Now I don't know whether we need a massive change in playing personnel or spending the majority of the pre season learning how to kick, handball, mark and tackle, thats for the powers that be to figure out. What I know for certain is that our players will eventually "turn" on the next coach, whoever that may be, if a few years when things get too hard (just like that have with every coach we've had in recent history).
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: cookie2 on July 28, 2025, 04:50:19 pm
Agree we are struggling to execute the basic skills of the game. Hard to speculate on why that might be but it's unlikely that our players have been selected for and AFL list without once upon a time being capable of doing that. What is it about our club that causes these skills to desert our players?? Before we can worry too much about tactics or game-plan surely we need to fix our skills execution? Or are these issues intertwined?
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 28, 2025, 05:10:23 pm
According to Daniel Hoyne via the Kane Cornes/David King show on SEN 75% of the modern game is about ball movement so if you dont have the wheels and cant execute well by foot you cant compete. Add that to only being able to score from clearance in the main means we are just too limited. King said "we have to get where the game is at now"......which is what I and a few others have been saying all season.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Thryleon on July 28, 2025, 05:14:42 pm
According to Daniel Hoyne via the Kane Cornes/David King show on SEN 75% of the modern game is about ball movement so if you dont have the wheels and cant execute well by foot you cant compete. Add that to only being able to score from clearance in the main means we are just too limited. King said "we have to get where the game is at now"......which is what I and a few others have been saying all season.
Thats fine, but what if we get to where the game isnt? Will that be better? Worse? Or same?
The AFL is one rule tweak away from being an inside contested game again, or perhaps talent dilution will cause it. I can see it now. Sorter games, reduced interchange, bigger lists, all of a sudden, how well you move the ball is irrelevant, just as we start playing the modern game.
Perhaps we need to stick to winning the contest, and add a bit of crisper ball movement.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: PaulP on July 28, 2025, 05:31:04 pm
This article is from the 27th May 2025, and he looks at ladder position at R11. if you run the exercise over the last 10 years, one of the teams sitting top 6 for ball movement goes on to win the flag. So apparently, this modern game is at least 10 years old. Boy, Vossy really has been asleep at the wheel. 10 years, and he still hasn't figured it out lol.
It feels a bit thin IMO. It may come as shock that teams that win a flag tend to be pretty good across all facets.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Baggers on July 28, 2025, 05:32:15 pm
The last time our group looked dangerous in all aspects of the game was the second half of 2023... After the players meeting (Camp Curnow), minus coaches, the players obviously took ownership over their destiny themselves and rapid change was achieved. Same players, same skills, some important blokes missing but a very different result for the remainder of the season. The players bought into 'their' game plan.
Sloppy execution to moi is a symptom. And what our sloppy execution is a symptom of is for all those in the footy department to ascertain. Inadequate development? Players not buying in to game plan? Injuries to key personnel? Perplexing MC selections? Square pegs/round holes? Other factors like embarrassing Prez shenanigans, key personnel not committing (TDK) and/or other disruptions behind closed doors that we're not aware of? Probably a mix of all these things.
From the cheap seats, it seems to this little black duck that our dreadful results of the past year are symptomatic of a poorly run football department, in toto.
You didnt rate our wins in round 16 and 17 2024? What about having scored 8.2 by quarter time in round 18 vs GWS? The problem vs GWS was copping 14 goals in 2 quarters of footy, but we looked good for that patch.
It wasnt that long ago in football terms. I think a few people are being too down on our season and forget how good we were until the latter part of 2024.
Rating highly our isolated good efforts is kinda sad, 3 Leos. Yes, very good games and qtrs- in isolation. That's our domain, our brand - inconsistent, spasmodic good stuff. But mostly, just above average, or worse.
I'll go a step further than what I mentioned previously. I believe our football department has underachieved for quite some time and may very well be the core problem at the club.
And if you take the isolated games and quarters you mentioned, the burning question must be, "How come these very good performances cannot and are not, sustained?"
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 28, 2025, 05:38:37 pm
According to Daniel Hoyne via the Kane Cornes/David King show on SEN 75% of the modern game is about ball movement so if you dont have the wheels and cant execute well by foot you cant compete. Add that to only being able to score from clearance in the main means we are just too limited. King said "we have to get where the game is at now"......which is what I and a few others have been saying all season.
Thats fine, but what if we get to where the game isnt? Will that be better? Worse? Or same?
The AFL is one rule tweak away from being an inside contested game again, or perhaps talent dilution will cause it. I can see it now. Sorter games, reduced interchange, bigger lists, all of a sudden, how well you move the ball is irrelevant, just as we start playing the modern game.
Perhaps we need to stick to winning the contest, and add a bit of crisper ball movement.
Id respectfully suggest we have arrived earlier than most" to where the game isnt" and have become lost trying to find where the game is.. The AFL want a nice elegant entertaining game to watch for the TV and sponsors, not the ugly brand we play imho...its all about NWM and Nic Daicos playing pretty football for four quarters and less about bang and crash mids with busted bloodied bodies and rugby scrums. Id also suggest the AFL wont be featuring us, Essendon or Melbourne on many prime time games in the future until all start winning and playing some nice to watch football.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 28, 2025, 06:51:52 pm
Agree we are struggling to execute the basic skills of the game. Hard to speculate on why that might be but it's unlikely that our players have been selected for and AFL list without once upon a time being capable of doing that. What is it about our club that causes these skills to desert our players?? Before we can worry too much about tactics or game-plan surely we need to fix our skills execution? Or are these issues intertwined?
Cookie Ill maintain that our drafting/recruitment of players has neglected getting players with the basic skillset. It's always been "We need to get help for Cripps" so we spend mega bucks on Cerra, here we are. Or "we need a run and carry half back' and we spend mega bucks on Saad and Williams, one cant defend to save himself, the other cant get on the park. Or we need a small forward and we get blokes like Evans, White, Young. Some of those are kids but they lack polish. Then there is senior established players who cant hit the side of a barn. But above all that, if feel like we lack soul and mongrel. I dont mean thuggery type mongrel, just hard ass in your face footballers who both individually and collectively want that ball more than the oppo and will fight tooth and nail for it. This attitude starts at the top and rubs off on the kids. Like "bloods culture" at Sydney for example whereby when you turn up day one, it's made abundantly clear what's expected of you and what the standards are, they are non negotiable. Our club comes across as one that's fun and everyone enjoys each others company, but many are afraid of hard work and going above and beyond for the jumper. Thats what it seems like to me at least.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 28, 2025, 06:53:35 pm
According to Daniel Hoyne via the Kane Cornes/David King show on SEN 75% of the modern game is about ball movement so if you dont have the wheels and cant execute well by foot you cant compete. Add that to only being able to score from clearance in the main means we are just too limited. King said "we have to get where the game is at now"......which is what I and a few others have been saying all season.
"if you dont have the wheels and cant execute well by foot you cant compete" is what I have been banging on about.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: BlackRooster on July 28, 2025, 07:05:24 pm
We got a lot of frees, but we should have got a lot more. I didn't even see the whole game and I saw so many marks that weren't paid to us and frees that weren't either. As for 50 m penalties, any number of Hawks could stand as close as they liked without being penalized. Amazing!
Just on the umpires and the free's how does a player with a bloody nose and blood on his arm is allowed to stay on the ground. How? yes the player is a Hawthorn player
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 28, 2025, 07:08:30 pm
We got a lot of frees, but we should have got a lot more. I didn't even see the whole game and I saw so many marks that weren't paid to us and frees that weren't either. As for 50 m penalties, any number of Hawks could stand as close as they liked without being penalized. Amazing!
Just on the umpires and the free's how does a player with a bloody nose and blood on his arm is allowed to stay on the ground. How? yes the player is a Hawthorn player
They have certainly relaxed the blood rule. That was a joke the other night.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: kruddler on July 28, 2025, 08:13:11 pm
We got a lot of frees, but we should have got a lot more. I didn't even see the whole game and I saw so many marks that weren't paid to us and frees that weren't either. As for 50 m penalties, any number of Hawks could stand as close as they liked without being penalized. Amazing!
Just on the umpires and the free's how does a player with a bloody nose and blood on his arm is allowed to stay on the ground. How? yes the player is a Hawthorn player
The rule is not if a player has blood. It is if the blood is flowing. The fact he was wiping it away every 10 seconds suggested to me it was still flowing and the umps screwed up.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 28, 2025, 09:32:22 pm
Just showed my favourite piece of vision on FC from the Haw game (4 broken tackles and a goal) and they panned to Vossy on the box saying "Oh come on, come on". Damning for the players involved.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 28, 2025, 10:47:22 pm
Just showed my favourite piece of vision on FC from the Haw game (4 broken tackles and a goal) and they panned to Vossy on the box saying "Oh come on, come on". Damning for the players involved.
The lack of effort was pathetic, Acres, Saad and Weitering looked like they couldnt be bothered turning up much less playing. You cant coach that and Id have dragged them all, I watched some vision from Fox Footy where Acres called for the ball from a kick in then when under pressure just kicked it along the line where we had one player and the Hawks had about five, the amount of times we just kick the ball without thought and send it to the opposition gift wrapped shows how little the players care or are thinking about the team and its all about the individual.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: LP on July 29, 2025, 07:56:08 am
..................., the amount of times we just kick the ball without thought and send it to the opposition gift wrapped shows how little the players care or are thinking about the team and its all about the individual.
In my experience, this happens in a footy club when the whiteants around the club are getting into the the ear of players.
It starts off with the wrong type of people being allowed too much access to the playing group, it raises doubt and breeds discontent, they have people in their ear telling them "it's not their fault", "you deserve better", "you're better than this lot", "they've let you down", the message is always it's somebody else's fault, and that is very damaging to a team dynamic.
Instead of sacrifice, you end up with survival, which is the exact opposite of what a lot of those fringe players need to survive in footy.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: ElwoodBlues1 on July 29, 2025, 08:53:42 am
..................., the amount of times we just kick the ball without thought and send it to the opposition gift wrapped shows how little the players care or are thinking about the team and its all about the individual.
In my experience, this happens in a footy club when the whiteants around the club are getting into the the ear of players.
It starts off with the wrong type of people being allowed too much access to the playing group, it raises doubt and breeds discontent, they have people in their ear telling them "it's not their fault", "you deserve better", "you're better than this lot", "they've let you down", the message is always it's somebody else's fault, and that is very damaging to a team dynamic.
Instead of sacrifice, you end up with survival, which is the exact opposite of what a lot of those fringe players need to survive in footy.
Your leadership group , footy manager have to be on top of that stuff and reassuring players.
Title: Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn
Post by: Gointocarlton on July 29, 2025, 10:04:30 am
Just showed my favourite piece of vision on FC from the Haw game (4 broken tackles and a goal) and they panned to Vossy on the box saying "Oh come on, come on". Damning for the players involved.
The lack of effort was pathetic, Acres, Saad and Weitering looked like they couldnt be bothered turning up much less playing. You cant coach that and Id have dragged them all, I watched some vision from Fox Footy where Acres called for the ball from a kick in then when under pressure just kicked it along the line where we had one player and the Hawks had about five, the amount of times we just kick the ball without thought and send it to the opposition gift wrapped shows how little the players care or are thinking about the team and its all about the individual.
If the coach had to drag players for their bad decisions etc, we would have many on the ground. But youre 100% correct. Which raises another point that is a bug bear of mine, this whole bench nonsense of managed minutes has to stop. When you look at Melbourne's disaster and who was on the bench at the wrong time proved costly. Comes down to conditioning and players ability to endure.