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Topic: Trumpled (Alternative Leading) (Read 2605313 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #4995
So the war is won according to Trump
but.....

Quote
"We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks," he said.

"We are going to hit them back to the Stone Age where they belong.

 ::)  ::)  ::)

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #4996
So the war is won according to Trump
but.....

Quote
"We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks," he said.

"We are going to hit them back to the Stone Age where they belong.

 ::)  ::)  ::)
Trump has the answers  and said we can buy his Oil or take care of our own destiny by sending our military to the Strait of Hormuz to sort out the Iranians???

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #4997
I asked chat gpt about this.

Effectively this is the stalemate both sides want, now they'll both declare "victory and back away leaving spot fires in Israel, Lebanon and what not to continue bubbling away and the world will return to normal with lots of economic damage.


Quote
🎯 So what’s the most likely outcome?
✅ Most likely: Controlled de-escalation (70–80%)
A messy, unofficial path to stopping:
Continued strikes for a short period (days–weeks)
Backchannel diplomacy ramps up (via Oman, Qatar, etc.)
Gradual reduction in intensity
Each side declares “victory” domestically
End state:
Iran weakened but intact
No regime change
Ongoing proxy tensions
Sanctions + hostility continue
👉 Basically: “war ends, conflict doesn’t”
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #4998
Also chat summarised this too:

Constraints shaping the outcome
This is the key part most people miss—what each side can’t do:
US / Israel limits
No appetite for:
Long occupation
Heavy ground war
Need to avoid:
Massive civilian casualties blowback
Dragging in Russia/China
Iran’s limits
Cannot:
Win a conventional war
Sustain direct conflict long-term
Must avoid:
Regime collapse
Internal uprising
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson