Re: Election 2016
Reply #24 –
Not really, most of Abbott's support was removed over the recent year or so. Keep in mind when Abbott potted Bishop, he lost a very large chunk of his NSW Right support.
I suspect if the Coalition go backwards they would be decimated at another election, and the independents would grow even more powerful through peoples disillusionment with the two majors.
I know several life long ALP supporters who have just voted Coalition for the first time ever. But they are not abandoning their politics, just sending a message.
The risk for the Coalition is that this result has happened in-spite of Andrews best attempts to scupper the ALP in Victoria. If another election is called to resolve the deadlock, and the CFA issue goes away, those disgruntled voters may return to the ALP and that would be a nightmare for the Coalition.
There is no convincing the voters the threat to Medicare is bogus, the track record over the last few years says otherwise, and a return to Abbott would only reinforce that belief.