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Author Topic: Goaltracker 2019  (Read 1014 times)

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Offline Professer E

  • Assistant Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #30 on: April 23, 2019, 09:21:17 PM »
 :thanks Lods, this is a thread I follow as I think it is one of the statistical measures that actually means something.
DrE is no more... you ok with that harmonica man?

Offline Amers

  • Elite Player
  • Go Blues !!
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #31 on: April 23, 2019, 09:35:11 PM »
:thanks Lods, this is a thread I follow as I think it is one of the statistical measures that actually means something.

Agree, thanks Lods!
Mens sana in corpore sano - A healthy mind in a healthy body.

Navy, it's not just a color, it's an attitude !!!

Offline Lods

  • Administrator
  • Senior Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #32 on: April 29, 2019, 11:40:37 PM »
After Round 6

2017
Goals-63  Behinds-58 
Percentage  74.8 %   (For- 436, Against- 583)

2018

Goals-57  Behinds - 54
Percentage  66.3 % (For- 396, Against- 597)

2019
(Target 2018-Goals 192- Behinds 201- For 1353)
Goals- 66 Behinds -60
Percentage 93.6% (For 456, Against 487)

Goalkickers
(Target 2018- Charlie Curnow 34-20 -224)

2017
Casboult 11
Wright 10
Silvagni 6

2018
C. Curnow 10
Wright 9
Casboult 9
Garlett 5
McKay 5
Fisher- 5

2019
McKay 11
McGovern 10
E Curnow 6
Casboult 4
Fisher 4


A couple of better goalkicking efforts and we’re now moving well ahead of last years ‘points for’.
Defence is still over 100 points better than the same time last year.
Despite the loss our percentage actually improved fractionally over last week.

We’d have to look at the total goalkicking list to the same stage but we seem to have increased our spread of goalkickers. Last year most of our goals at this stage seemed to have come from just half a dozen players.

Numerology for this week …
In 2017 our three leading goalkickers had 11, 10 and 6 respectively.
in 2019 our three leading goalkickers had 11, 10 and 6 respectively.

Offline Lods

  • Administrator
  • Senior Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #33 on: May 09, 2019, 11:14:53 PM »
After Round 7

2016

Goals 69 Behinds 73
Percentage 79.6 % (For 487, Against 612)

2017
Goals 75 Behinds 65
Percentage 80.6 % (For- 515, Against- 639)

2018
Goals-67 Behinds - 64
Percentage 64.5 % (For- 466, Against- 722)

2019

(Target 2018-Goals 192- Behinds 201- For 1353)
Goals 74 Behinds 74
Percentage 85.3% (For-518, Against 607)

Goalkickers
(Target 2018- Charlie Curnow 34-20 -224)

2017


Casboult 13
Wright 12
Weitering 6
Silvagni 6

2018

Casboult 11
Curnow 10
Wright 10
McKay 7
Garlett 5
Fisher- 5

2019
McKay 11
McGovern 10
E Curnow 7
Cripps 5

A bad loss can put a big dent in your percentage when your 'For and Against' is around the 500/600 mark. We lost over 8% last weekend. That’s still well ahead of our percentage at the same stage last season.

Our two goalkicking leaders didn’t add to their tally…it would have been extremely difficult for McGovern to advance.

It’s interesting the similarity between our 2017 and 2019 –‘Points For’ with only 3 points separating them.

Nothing much else of interest there. Our attack and defence both remain ahead of last year.

The more you look at it the poorer last season looks (particularly in defence) in comparison to the other years of the rebuild which have been pretty stable from a statistical point of view.

Numerology-Our Goals and Behind Tally for this season is the same 74.

Offline Lods

  • Administrator
  • Senior Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #34 on: May 14, 2019, 03:09:27 PM »
After Round 8

2016

Goals 83 Behinds 82- (For 580 against 703)
Percentage 82.5 %

2017
Goals 85 Behinds 71- (For 581 against 724)
Percentage 80.3 %

2018
Goals-81 Behinds - 71
Percentage 69.6 % (For- 557, Against- 800)

2019
(Target 2018-Goals 192- Behinds 201- For 1353)
Goals 87 Behinds 83
Percentage 84.9% (For 605 Against 713)


Goalkickers
(Target 2018- Charlie Curnow 34-20 -224)

2017

Casboult 13
Wright 12
Silvagni 8
Weitering 7

2018

Curnow 13
Casboult 11
Wright 10
McKay 9
Fisher- 6
Garlett 5

2019

McGovern 13
McKay 13
E Curnow 7
Cripps 6

Dropped just a fraction in percentage.

On the positive side, in the last few weeks, we’ve now moved ahead of our ‘Points For’ for the previous 3 seasons.
The Points Against which was at one stage more than 100 points better than last year has suffered a bit, with injuries disrupting the backline, and has now slipped under the 100 point mark.

Numerology-our leading goalkicker to the end of Round 8 has had 13 goals for each of the last 3 years (this year we have 2 of them though ;))
« Last Edit: May 14, 2019, 03:12:13 PM by Lods »

Offline jeza

  • Deputy-Vice Captain
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #35 on: May 14, 2019, 04:38:04 PM »
Compared to the rest of the comp we've gone from 17th last year to 13th this year (for goals scored).

Not a massive improvement - but we'll take it.

Offline DJC

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall Of Fame
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #36 on: May 14, 2019, 09:46:05 PM »
It’s good to see McGovern having scoreboard impact.  I think he is getting better with every game but the fact that he can score from limited possessions is a good sign.

It’s also a good sign that Cripps is impacting the scoreboard, we just need a couple of other mids to start scoring consistently.

I suspect that Charlie’s name will appear among our leading goal kickers in the next week or two and I’m looking forward to that  :)

This analysis makes so much more sense than the 4 from 40 tripe.
Nostalgia isn't what it used to be . . .

Online flyboy77

  • Senior Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #37 on: May 14, 2019, 10:12:12 PM »
It’s good to see McGovern having scoreboard impact.  I think he is getting better with every game but the fact that he can score from limited possessions is a good sign.

It’s also a good sign that Cripps is impacting the scoreboard, we just need a couple of other mids to start scoring consistently.

I suspect that Charlie’s name will appear among our leading goal kickers in the next week or two and I’m looking forward to that  :)

This analysis makes so much more sense than the 4 from 40 tripe.

He's quality, no question

Harry and Charlie should give the guy space - and drag defenders away....one on one Guv beats anyone (noting I said the same about Charlie last year).
GF in 2019, then 3 flags back to back!

Offline DJC

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall Of Fame
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #38 on: May 14, 2019, 10:35:53 PM »
He's quality, no question

Harry and Charlie should give the guy space - and drag defenders away....one on one Guv beats anyone (noting I said the same about Charlie last year).

Our forward line is very much a work in progress and Charlie and the Gov missing game’s didn’t help.  It’s going to click before long and Lods’ goaltracker could blow a boiler  :)
Nostalgia isn't what it used to be . . .

Offline Lods

  • Administrator
  • Senior Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #39 on: May 20, 2019, 03:30:47 PM »
After Round 9

2016

Goals 89 Behinds 92-(For 626  against 816)
Percentage 76.7 %

2017
Goals 92 Behinds 80-(For 632 against 810)
Percentage 78 %

2018
Goals-88  Behinds - 79
Percentage  63.3 % (For- 607, Against- 959)

2019
(Target 2018-Goals 192- Behinds 201- For 1353)

Goals-94   Behinds- 86
Percentage 76.4% (For-650, Against- 851)


Goalkickers

((Target 2018- Charlie Curnow 34-20 -224)

2017

Casboult 15
Wright 12
Silvagni 8
Weitering 7

2018

Curnow 13
McKay 11
Casboult 11
Wright 10
Fisher- 7

2019

McKay 16-13-109
McGovern 14-4-88
E Curnow 8
Cripps 6
J Silvagni 6

The percentage took a bit of a beating this week. Down to 76.4 from a high of 93.6 after round 6.

McKay and McGovern now tracking ahead of the top 2 from previous seasons.

We didn’t get as badly knocked about in the points ‘For and Against’ comparison this week as we might have expected. That’s because in Round 9 last year Melbourne beat us 25-9-159 to 7-8-50.

Rather amazing that over the 4 years we track there is only a 7 goal difference in our ‘Points For’ For and apart from the ‘aberration last year about the same in our ‘Points Against.’
« Last Edit: May 20, 2019, 03:32:30 PM by Lods »

Offline Jack Burton

  • AFL Player
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #40 on: May 20, 2019, 08:42:45 PM »
Begs the question, have we actually improved at all?

Offline PaulP

  • Hall Of Fame
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #41 on: May 20, 2019, 08:46:32 PM »
Begs the question, have we actually improved at all?

Getting rid of 14 or so players every off season for 3 years has a cumulative effect. It's like resetting every time.

Offline laj

  • Senior Coach
Re: Goaltracker 2019
« Reply #42 on: May 20, 2019, 09:36:21 PM »
Begs the question, have we actually improved at all?

Not under Bolton. Side is better but he' getting nothing out of them.

 

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