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Re: General Discussions

Reply #2070
Several hours after this incident there was a call to Radio 693 from a woman who said that she lived a street or 2 away.

She said that water had been running from the top of the hill for several weeks, the volume similar to that from a fire hose.  In addition, she said that council had been advised of the problem on a number of occasions.
Think you will find there may have been an issue with a drain at the top of the hill that has been compromised, the council and South East water are going to try and blame each other I presume if that story is true.

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2071
Think you will find there may have been an issue with a drain at the top of the hill that has been compromised, the council and South East water are going to try and blame each other I presume if that story is true.
It won't be a council issue if it's damaged infrastructure like mains water, that's a state issue. The council have the right to approve or veto the route and also have to pay the bill but they can't touch the hardware, furthermore even if the council veto more often than not now the state clear the way via VCAT. As more gets revealed it sounds like the council had already declared the area unsafe and had moved people out, but the authorities responsible for the repair had dragged their feet on the fix.

This is the problem with the current setup in Victoria, Spring St is controlling the laws and budget, then when things go bad it blames the councils or sub-contractors. Roads are a prime example, they blame the pot holes and mowing on councils, but councils can't touch state roads which are the bulk of the problem, the responsibility is 100% state level and always has been.

The truth seems to be Spring St "takes over" to get it's hand on the cash but is incapable of managing the state to such a fine grained level so it's going to pot, then when it turns bad it's got the media bluffed into thinking it's all a local council "mismanagement or corruption" issue.

Add to that, the budget is designed on politically motivated rubbish, some regions get 6x the budget allocation of others and it seems to follow voting.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2072
The first geotechnical “assessment” has appeared and it’s from a bloke with considerable experience of landslides in the area.

He says that the escarpment is unstable and landslides will be triggered by rain events, tree removal or poor drainage.  He also said that many of the houses have inadequate foundations for a landslip prone area.

I often watch the BOM rain radar to marvel at how many rain bands pass to our north and south and I have noticed that the other peninsula has copped a hammering over the last few months.

It's still the Gulf of Mexico, Don Old!

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2073
To my untrained eye it looked like there is an underground stream running down the escarpment that the house was built on?
Reality always wins in the end.

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2074
The first geotechnical “assessment” has appeared and it’s from a bloke with considerable experience of landslides in the area.

He says that the escarpment is unstable and landslides will be triggered by rain events, tree removal or poor drainage.  He also said that many of the houses have inadequate foundations for a landslip prone area.

I often watch the BOM rain radar to marvel at how many rain bands pass to our north and south and I have noticed that the other peninsula has copped a hammering over the last few months.


Funny you mention that, I was in North Portsea (aka Rosebud) and Macrae on Sunday for lunch when the storm passed through. It was nowhere near as bad as it was in Melbourne.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2075
Funny you mention that, I was in North Portsea (aka Rosebud) and Macrae on Sunday for lunch when the storm passed through. It was nowhere near as bad as it was in Melbourne.

McCrae gets around 800mm each year while our average is 650mm.  We only got 470mm in 2024 so it's as dry as here ... and the latest rainband just slid by to our south.  It doesn't seem that the other peninsula will get rain either so probably no more landslides this week despite the warnings in the media.
It's still the Gulf of Mexico, Don Old!

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2076
He also said that many of the houses have inadequate foundations for a landslip prone area.
Yep, that is why I discussed the drilled foundations, not sure when the new rules came in but it's a regular sight now on new builds.

Of course, the problem is rules only apply to people who follow them, so they don't stop cowboys. A huge problem is VCAT as it currently operates is an enabler, it's basically allowing people with sufficient wealth to write their own rules and councils are powerless.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2077
Yep, that is why I discussed the drilled foundations, not sure when the new rules came in but it's a regular sight now on new builds.

Of course, the problem is rules only apply to people who follow them, so they don't stop cowboys. A huge problem is VCAT as it currently operates is an enabler, it's basically allowing people with sufficient wealth to write their own rules and councils are powerless.

I doubt whether screw piles or any other deep foundations would help in that situation LP.

The recent landslide that caused the house to be vacated involved 30 tonnes of the escarpment sliding downhill and onto the building.  The next one involved even more sediment and buildings and, even if you could drill into the underlying granite, it would take incredibly strong and expensive foundations to withstand that.

While the house at 3 Penny Lane is only 25 years old, almost all of the neighbouring homes are much older and many are rentals and/or holiday homes.  They were built well before VCAT and when we had proper building inspectors but probably not so much concern for the stability of landforms and the impact of extreme weather events.  It is likely that they were designed and constructed with far more thought given to views of the Bay than to the precarious nature of the landform on which they are located.

I don't have geotechnical expertise but I have done fieldwork in that area and know a little about the geology and geomorphology.  I suspect that landslides will continue to be an issue and that stabilising the entire escarpment is the only long term solution.  Of course, that may not be physically or financially possible.
It's still the Gulf of Mexico, Don Old!

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2078
He also said that many of the houses have inadequate foundations for a landslip prone area.
Yep, that is why I discussed the drilled foundations, not sure when the new rules came in but it's a regular sight now on new builds.

Of course, the problem is rules only apply to people who follow them, so they don't stop cowboys. A huge problem is VCAT as it currently operates is an enabler, it's basically allowing people with sufficient wealth to write their own rules and councils are powerless.

You can't build a house nowadays without jumping through a million hoops.

Surveyors need to tick off foundations, slab, frame and final.
If they've ticked off something that is sub-standard, their career is on the line.

Cowboys are a thing of the past for the most part.

As mentioned before, some things are simply not feasible to protect against.
Given what was happening 'up-stream', the blame should fall fairly and squarely on them. Be that the owner, the trades or the council that failed to act to negate the problem in time.

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2079
We all just discussed and established that the problem was a land slip that basically demolished a house below, the evidence shows the house impacted by the land slip collapsed a further 10m or so stopping short of another house immediately below it, these are hard facts not speculation.

Yet today, days after it had already correctly reported a land slip, The Hun posts the following,
Quote
Residents living above a luxury home that plunged 50m down cliffs in McCrae believe an underground stream contributed to the chaotic landslide, ..............

If that house had collapsed 50m down the hill in would be on the beach side of Point Nepean Road along with the houses in front of it!

People wonder why I'm cynical regarding modern media! :o

I suppose if confronted The Hun would claim semantics, unintentional, mistake, mistyped, ..................... in the meantime they profit from the clickbait.

It's interesting to read a whole host of individuals and entities pre-emptively establishing no fault / no blame on this issue, but if I was a home owner up the hill I'd be making sure all my plumbing and drainage was up to code, although it's a bit late to call the plumber now!
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2080
Residents speculating about an "underground stream" were quoted on the day of the landslide.  While that may have been newsworthy then, better informed explanations are available now.

When you think about it, there was a massive three story building perched on the side of an escarpment of unconsolidated sand and conglomerate overlying granite.  Much of the area has impermeable surfaces - driveways, courtyards, buildings - and stormwater has to go somewhere.  Then there's the small matter of an additional 30 tonnes of sediment piling up against the house.

What could possibly go wrong?
It's still the Gulf of Mexico, Don Old!

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2081
Before the slip a "shortcut staircase" had been built down the hillside into the corner of Penny Lane, it was where the dirt fountain now exists.

It may be that some authorities are to blame, but I don't think the blame will be as black and white as some want to make out, or are at least desperately trying to assert.

I feel sorry for the home owners, particularly the few who were not renting them out as AirBnB investment properties.

A lot of the properties down that way are largely unaffordable to locals, snapped up by inner city dwellers heading south for the pandemic, then rather than selling when they moved back, they renovated and turned the properties into short stay rentals, I have read on more than one occasion many people on the peninsula complaining about that behaviour, driving up house prices, and worse still small business owners reporting the evaporation of a huge chunk of local trade. The very boutique businesses, traders and activities that make that location popular are being killed by the heavily seasonal short stay tourism practises. I suspect given the announcement of the new tax, it won't be long before further legislation arrives.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2082
Before the slip a "shortcut staircase" had been built down the hillside into the corner of Penny Lane, it was where the dirt fountain now exists.

It may be that some authorities are to blame, but I don't think the blame will be as black and white as some want to make out, or are at least desperately trying to assert.

I feel sorry for the home owners, particularly the few who were not renting them out as AirBnB investment properties.

A lot of the properties down that way are largely unaffordable to locals, snapped up by inner city dwellers heading south for the pandemic, then rather than selling when they moved back, they renovated and turned the properties into short stay rentals, I have read on more than one occasion many people on the peninsula complaining about that behaviour, driving up house prices, and worse still small business owners reporting the evaporation of a huge chunk of local trade. The very boutique businesses, traders and activities that make that location popular are being killed by the heavily seasonal short stay tourism practises. I suspect given the announcement of the new tax, it won't be long before further legislation arrives.
Not true.  There has been a massive sell off recently, as land tac, vacancy tax etc have led to peninsula houses being sold off. 

The place has always been sleepy, and retirement/holiday folks.  The cost of hiring a place for the summer has sky-rocketed due to lack of supply of holiday rentals.

"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2083
This simpleton, when looking for a home to live, steers clear of places on cliffs, and places, close to and south of, forrests. Not to mention many places built in the last 25 or so years.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2084
This simpleton, when looking for a home to live, steers clear of places on cliffs, and places, close to and south of, forrests. Not to mention many places built in the last 25 or so years.
I have a place just up the road in North Portsea (aka Rosebud) and every time we drive passed the Macrae houses on that cliff face, we always comment "how the f - - k do you get up there" and "how the hell did they build them". Like you Baggers, I prefer terra flatus and well clear of bushfirustreeus. In fact, one of the house has an elevator of some sort that runs up the cliff.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership