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Re: Annus horribilis

Reply #90


Teams can underspend 5% of their TPP and carry it forward.  Is there any evidence that St Kilda had an underspend this season?  We’ll find out early next year.

Regardless of whether they do have savings, and whether TDK, will get an extra $200K next season, they still have to pay close to $4M to two players in 2027.  That’s more than 20% of their TPP on two players.  Even if most of their players were on the minimum, that’s going to be a challenge.

I understand how much they are paying in the future, but you need to look at the now and the past first.

We have cripps Charlie harry weiters....some might throw in McGovern, Saad, Williams and cerra.....and then you have tdk. All on huge money to varying degrees.

Do the same thing with the saints. I doubt you'll come up with half that list and even then, it's not to the same extent.
Who are they paying....Marshall? Hill??
Anyone else??

They wouldve been front loading and banking for a few years now. All planning towards this moment.

We saw it with sos while he was with us. Year on year we were throwing cash around. We never could get the players to commit though. He's solved that problem.

That's all well and good but clubs must spend at least 95% of their TPP.  If the Saints had an underspend this year. they must still have forked out at least $16.8M.  Next season's TPP is rolled in with an increase of the soft cap but it's set at $18.4M for 2027 so, split the difference and go with $18M. That goes up to $18.9M if they did have a 5% underspend.  With Nas and TDK raking in at least $3.8M, they've only got $15.1M to pay the other 40 odd players.  Take out $800K for Leek Aleer and possibly another $800K for Silvagni, and that drops their available budget to $13.5M.  That's around $350K each and Steele, Hill, King, Sinclair, Wilkie and Marshall all get considerably more than that.  Haircuts and frontloading doesn't get you from $16.8M down to $15.1M or lower and they will be pushing players out the door.

I'm not saying that they can't afford to pay players next season but it's not sustainable and they won't be able retain their young talent.
It's still the Gulf of Mexico, Don Old!

 

Re: Annus horribilis

Reply #91


I understand how much they are paying in the future, but you need to look at the now and the past first.

We have cripps Charlie harry weiters....some might throw in McGovern, Saad, Williams and cerra.....and then you have tdk. All on huge money to varying degrees.

Do the same thing with the saints. I doubt you'll come up with half that list and even then, it's not to the same extent.
Who are they paying....Marshall? Hill??
Anyone else??

They wouldve been front loading and banking for a few years now. All planning towards this moment.

We saw it with sos while he was with us. Year on year we were throwing cash around. We never could get the players to commit though. He's solved that problem.

That's all well and good but clubs must spend at least 95% of their TPP.  If the Saints had an underspend this year. they must still have forked out at least $16.8M.  Next season's TPP is rolled in with an increase of the soft cap but it's set at $18.4M for 2027 so, split the difference and go with $18M. That goes up to $18.9M if they did have a 5% underspend.  With Nas and TDK raking in at least $3.8M, they've only got $15.1M to pay the other 40 odd players.  Take out $800K for Leek Aleer and possibly another $800K for Silvagni, and that drops their available budget to $13.5M.  That's around $350K each and Steele, Hill, King, Sinclair, Wilkie and Marshall all get considerably more than that.  Haircuts and frontloading doesn't get you from $16.8M down to $15.1M or lower and they will be pushing players out the door.

I'm not saying that they can't afford to pay players next season but it's not sustainable and they won't be able retain their young talent.
By my maths, when you take away 5.45M from the TPP for TDK (1.85M), NWM (2M), SOS(0.8M) and Alir (0.8M), , it leaves an average of around 300K for the other 41 players. Enjoy the carnage Saints.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: Annus horribilis

Reply #92


That's all well and good but clubs must spend at least 95% of their TPP.  If the Saints had an underspend this year. they must still have forked out at least $16.8M.  Next season's TPP is rolled in with an increase of the soft cap but it's set at $18.4M for 2027 so, split the difference and go with $18M. That goes up to $18.9M if they did have a 5% underspend.  With Nas and TDK raking in at least $3.8M, they've only got $15.1M to pay the other 40 odd players.  Take out $800K for Leek Aleer and possibly another $800K for Silvagni, and that drops their available budget to $13.5M.  That's around $350K each and Steele, Hill, King, Sinclair, Wilkie and Marshall all get considerably more than that.  Haircuts and frontloading doesn't get you from $16.8M down to $15.1M or lower and they will be pushing players out the door.

I'm not saying that they can't afford to pay players next season but it's not sustainable and they won't be able retain their young talent.
By my maths, when you take away 5.45M from the TPP for TDK (1.85M), NWM (2M), SOS(0.8M) and Alir (0.8M), , it leaves an average of around 300K for the other 41 players. Enjoy the carnage Saints.
They will be adding Ryan and possibly McKenzie and/or Flanders.
Those players won't be joining Stkilda on 300k a year...how are they affording it ?

Re: Annus horribilis

Reply #93
They can rear end that money too.  No guarantees about who gets paid what, but you can put a line through the saints in free agency for the immediate future. 

Before lauding sos for this he only arrived at St. Kilda in january of 2023.  Given he left us in 2020, and 2023 was attributed to sos with some additions by Austin, you have to say he's current recruiting off his predecessors steam.

Not sure how much he was able to influence this, but Josh battle is their only notable departure of late. However, this was written at the time: 


Battle has signed a lucrative six-year deal at Hawthorn until the end of 2030, but is understood to have left more money on the table by rejecting St Kilda's counter-offer.

However, he was an unrestricted free agent indicating he was not in the top 25% of earners at the club. 

So ultimately once again we got stiffed by hawthorn AGAIN albeit indirectly this season.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: Annus horribilis

Reply #94


I understand how much they are paying in the future, but you need to look at the now and the past first.

We have cripps Charlie harry weiters....some might throw in McGovern, Saad, Williams and cerra.....and then you have tdk. All on huge money to varying degrees.

Do the same thing with the saints. I doubt you'll come up with half that list and even then, it's not to the same extent.
Who are they paying....Marshall? Hill??
Anyone else??

They wouldve been front loading and banking for a few years now. All planning towards this moment.

We saw it with sos while he was with us. Year on year we were throwing cash around. We never could get the players to commit though. He's solved that problem.

That's all well and good but clubs must spend at least 95% of their TPP.  If the Saints had an underspend this year. they must still have forked out at least $16.8M.  Next season's TPP is rolled in with an increase of the soft cap but it's set at $18.4M for 2027 so, split the difference and go with $18M. That goes up to $18.9M if they did have a 5% underspend.  With Nas and TDK raking in at least $3.8M, they've only got $15.1M to pay the other 40 odd players.  Take out $800K for Leek Aleer and possibly another $800K for Silvagni, and that drops their available budget to $13.5M.  That's around $350K each and Steele, Hill, King, Sinclair, Wilkie and Marshall all get considerably more than that.  Haircuts and frontloading doesn't get you from $16.8M down to $15.1M or lower and they will be pushing players out the door.

I'm not saying that they can't afford to pay players next season but it's not sustainable and they won't be able retain their young talent.

If they had 1 year to work all this out, you are correct...now let's say they were I understand the cap a year ago. They use the war chest to 'pay un advance' some players....front loading contracts.

So if you are under the salary cap, year on year, you can save more and more cash because you keep front loading contracts and paying in advance.

So yeah, what you say works for 1 year; but sos has been at it for a few years and that's how you get extra over and above the traditionally overspend allowance.