Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Reply #693 –
You can usually tell where this will land, based on how the parties behave.
Labor are bumbling and fumbling their way to the election. Have they stuffed up too much to bring this back? Arguably. Thing is, public sentiment is a bit fickle. Labor voters are labor voters. Pensioners, and public sector employees. The kids at school and uni are also more likely to lean their way these days (perhaps its always been that way). Have things deteriorated for these groups enough to say that people have had a gutful? Probably not. Its probably a generational thing where one party gains ascendancy and the other loses it. Support for them goes with it, just depends where we are at as a whole. Some see Labors recent economic policies as good. Some see them as scoring an own goal. To me, it spells tax grab, to others distribution or redistribution of wealth. Personally, once something comes in, it really goes, so the genie is out of that bottle. No putting it back in. It all smells like a the government are attempting to claw back a lot of money spent, and then pointing the finger at the public for inflation is not helping their cause. Most people I know are spending on needs not wants and rising costs everywhere is crippling everyone from what I can see.
The liberals. The only real viable alternative. They are currently on the attack, making sure everyone knows Labor's shortcomings. There are enough there to be able to do this successfully. Thing is, they often forget they need to offer solutions, not just point to problems. I'm not seeing enough language to suggest that they truly doing anything that is revolutionary, even though they talk a big game, I cant tell you what they will change, and that they will make a difference. Sentiment might be enough to get them in, it will be a somewhat phyrric victory with one stint in office, if they don't really come to the party with anything though and the geo political climate is one that seems like we are in for years of disruption. They might win this fight and lose the next one because there is currently nowhere to go in the geo political economic climate and us being at the mercy of foreign interests. They would do well if they suggest we become more self reliant, but sadly, we all know its too costly to do this as our labor force and regulations are too expensive to compete with foreign interests. The costs of being an advanced economy that looks after its workforce. That wont change.
The others.
The Greens are labor lite. Their votes generally end up preferences to labor, and this area is where a lot of the social norms are pulling towards regarding LGBTQ, Green energy, sentiment, et al. If people have had enough of them as a whole, you will get that silent shift. Thing is, people already at the greens, will likely shift to labor, and im forecasting that due to rising costs, and most of it on the usual green energy etc, they will swing from greens to labor if anything and still preference greens secondary, as thats a more natural progression. We may have seen this last election actually already.
The independents. Guns for hire. They purport to be a disruptor, but they are silently on board with one or the other, and a vote for them is all about the preference vote, and ensuring that the government cant do much more harm as they have to win over more seats to perform change. Its a vote for the status quo more than anything.
One nation. Any votes they win preference liberal. Them growing means the libs are more likely to get closer to winning over labor. Thing is, they are also likely to steal votes from Liberal. Not sure they are a truly viable alternative, but Pauline appears to be doing enough to get herself a government pension which IMHO is all the politicians are interested in.
Given the average person doesn't actually get one on means testing, Im assuming that they are all pigs feeding at the trough and not much more.
The disillusioned masses. Donkey votes default to the party in power, and im not throwing money away by not voting which would be my only way to send a message about what I think of the political parties of today. I wonder if a donkey vote sends a message. Does anyone even contemplate this?
All adds up to more of Labor really. Probably a split room, with no clear majority and more of the status quo. C'est la vie. Thats where I see things going if anyone cares. No doubt someone will try fight me on this, but I forecast a few things in our future.
1. GST will go to 15% sometime in the next 3 to 5 years.
2. More tax grabbing in the short term from the everyday person and all of us feeling poorer.
We might see world war 3, or the people going into commmunes to live. Who knows for sure.
Topic: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments (Read 374735 times)
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