Skip to main content ↑ ↓

Poll

Where will we finish?

1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
13-15
16-18

Voting closes: March 05, 2026, 09:53:57 am

Topic: Where will Carlton finish? (Read 1655 times) previous topic - next topic
Lods and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #75 –
Quote from: Lods – on
It's interesting looking at the poll
We've had the "Chicken little" predictions and some "pie in the sky" predictions over the off-season, but inthe end mostly we're settling into expecting a ladder position that is either a few spots up or a few spots down from 2025

And those sort of fluctuations will almost solely be determined by luck and injury.

Its also a little about the ranges highlighted. Many a person, myself including, are over a couple ranges.

Its all guesswork anyway so hardly the end of thw world, but one thing i should add is that doesnt take into accoubt the carlton bias. You coukd almost shift down half a step/a full step of each vote to take that into account.
 

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #76 –
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: Lods – on
It's interesting looking at the poll
We've had the "Chicken little" predictions and some "pie in the sky" predictions over the off-season, but inthe end mostly we're settling into expecting a ladder position that is either a few spots up or a few spots down from 2025

And those sort of fluctuations will almost solely be determined by luck and injury.

Its also a little about the ranges highlighted. Many a person, myself including, are over a couple ranges.

Its all guesswork anyway so hardly the end of thw world, but one thing i should add is that doesnt take into accoubt the carlton bias. You coukd almost shift down half a step/a full step of each vote to take that into account.

Bias will impact everyone's predictions  ;)  :D
If you've convinced yourself and argued for a good or bad season you'll tend to gravitate and give weight to a range that fits your forecast.

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #77 –
Quote from: Lods – on
Quote from: kruddler – on


Its also a little about the ranges highlighted. Many a person, myself including, are over a couple ranges.

Its all guesswork anyway so hardly the end of thw world, but one thing i should add is that doesnt take into accoubt the carlton bias. You coukd almost shift down half a step/a full step of each vote to take that into account.

Bias will impact everyone's predictions  ;)  :D
If you've convinced yourself and argued for a good or bad season you'll tend to gravitate and give weight to a range that fits your forecast.

Individually, perhaps, as a group, no. It will all average it as favourable towards the club you support, for all 18 teams.