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Poll

Where will we finish?

1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
13-15
16-18

Voting closes: March 05, 2026, 09:53:57 am

Topic: Where will Carlton finish? (Read 1717 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #75 –
Quote from: Lods – on
It's interesting looking at the poll
We've had the "Chicken little" predictions and some "pie in the sky" predictions over the off-season, but inthe end mostly we're settling into expecting a ladder position that is either a few spots up or a few spots down from 2025

And those sort of fluctuations will almost solely be determined by luck and injury.

Its also a little about the ranges highlighted. Many a person, myself including, are over a couple ranges.

Its all guesswork anyway so hardly the end of thw world, but one thing i should add is that doesnt take into accoubt the carlton bias. You coukd almost shift down half a step/a full step of each vote to take that into account.

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #76 –
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: Lods – on
It's interesting looking at the poll
We've had the "Chicken little" predictions and some "pie in the sky" predictions over the off-season, but inthe end mostly we're settling into expecting a ladder position that is either a few spots up or a few spots down from 2025

And those sort of fluctuations will almost solely be determined by luck and injury.

Its also a little about the ranges highlighted. Many a person, myself including, are over a couple ranges.

Its all guesswork anyway so hardly the end of thw world, but one thing i should add is that doesnt take into accoubt the carlton bias. You coukd almost shift down half a step/a full step of each vote to take that into account.

Bias will impact everyone's predictions  ;)  :D
If you've convinced yourself and argued for a good or bad season you'll tend to gravitate and give weight to a range that fits your forecast.

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #77 –
Quote from: Lods – on
Quote from: kruddler – on


Its also a little about the ranges highlighted. Many a person, myself including, are over a couple ranges.

Its all guesswork anyway so hardly the end of thw world, but one thing i should add is that doesnt take into accoubt the carlton bias. You coukd almost shift down half a step/a full step of each vote to take that into account.

Bias will impact everyone's predictions  ;)  :D
If you've convinced yourself and argued for a good or bad season you'll tend to gravitate and give weight to a range that fits your forecast.

Individually, perhaps, as a group, no. It will all average it as favourable towards the club you support, for all 18 teams.

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #78 –
Sorry im a fence sitter.  My range is, wheels fall off as low as 14th.  Things go swimmingly premiership from 2nd to 4th.  Things go average, and results not going our way, probably around 8th. 
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson
 

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #79 –
Quote from: Thryleon – on
Sorry im a fence sitter.  My range is, wheels fall off as low as 14th.  Things go swimmingly premiership from 2nd to 4th.  Things go average, and results not going our way, probably around 8th.
So anywhere other than bottom 4. lol

Re: Where will Carlton finish?

Reply #80 –
Quote from: Thryleon – on
Sorry im a fence sitter.  My range is, wheels fall off as low as 14th.  Things go swimmingly premiership from 2nd to 4th.  Things go average, and results not going our way, probably around 8th. 

I think if the wheels do fall off the cellar is the limit.
I also think 8th should have every member reaching for their fly… 😎
Let’s go BIG !