Re: AFL Rd 5 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Adelaide
Reply #46 –
Ive given it a bit of thought, and the same issues we complain about are still there.
Im going to comment on this from a what can our boys control perspective, rather than a what happened perspective.
Our inability to hit a target is very much a problem. I think we would previously have kicked to a down the line contest, hoping to force it out of bounds, or into a contested situation which would help us relieve pressure down back. The new out of bounds interpretation hurts us more than others here, because of our composition down back. Our back 6 is not a running back 6. there is no rebound, or speed or run being provided from it, so this is why our kicks are often forced down the line. The only alternative to it we have is to kick to the corridor, but we dont hit targets either. Carroll provides it of the ones that played last night, but you are not going to get much rebound or run from Haynes, Young, Derkson, Cowan (who does get up more, but has a defensive bone, and is often minding a dangerous forward), Newman gives a little bit of drive, but he isnt a rory laird, or millera type either. Florent seems to go better on a wing. Keep him forward of the ball, was a contributer to our early run of form.
For a team that relies on contest, our ability to compete at times is absolutely abhorrent. The constant going to ground drives me spare. Derkson cost us a goal doing it (although in fairness to him, he somehow ended up on Rachelle and then he was in all sorts).
Harry goes to ground far too easily and im not sure why he isnt instructed to either push off and gain separation, or fly into packs. He has had the biggest fall from his 2021 form. Im not sure what changed with him, maybe its all the head knocks and he has gone conservative? Not sure, but he is a big friendly giant, and needs to throw his weight around more.
Our entries into forward 50 were a real contrast last night. Adelaide were able to hit targets, and find players out in space, and kick it to advantage. We tend to kick to dangerous spots, and then contest around those spots instead. Until we tidy that up, we wont achieve a lot. In the wet, that tactic will work, as it causes a bit of chaos and contest and thats it.
We are not a high scoring team, and as soon as Adelaide got to 12 goals, I knew our day was done, because we just dont have it in us to kick 15 goals. Its not new, we have struggled to kick a big score for a while, and it wasnt that long ago that we posted a 100point score for the first time in years. This will continue with our current avenues to goal. Ainsworth and Mcgovern are our most dangerous forwards, the rest are conditional on things going their way.
The rain absolutely helped us out here. It nullified the Crows polish, and dragged them down to our level, as well as stopped them chopping off a lot of our forward forays and turn the game into more of a wet weather slog. Ultimately the lack of nous and smarts in our team, is the part that really kills me, when we just do stupid stuff, like try play on quick, when we are in go slow territory, and then miss the next kick. We were setup to press again at one point last night, and instead of mark kicking to change the angle, at some point we did stupid handball backwards to Jordan Boyd, and the next kick fell short of his target, which resulted in a against the tide goal to the Crows. Boyds execution was a problem, but why play on in the corridor with a backwards handball? What did I say last week about banning a handball in the defensive 1/3 of the ground when we are setup forward of the ball? You could have torped it 50 metres into our forward line with a rainmaker and been more effective.
A good read and really thoughtful, 3 Leos. And it would be difficult and contrary to disagree with anything you wrote.
One of my favourite words in the English language is... 'and.'
I agree with what you wrote. And...
I saw what we're trying to do. I like it.
Some observations: There was a little more creativity and risk. Yes, Derks gave up a goal when he left his opponent, but he was attempting to help out his mate and take a handball to take the game on.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, when we hunt we look much better. We lost the hunt with our early 2nd qtr experiment of Crippa on the bench and Walshy up forward. Exposed a weakness, a gaping hole in our midfield mix.
Yes, the conditions suited us in the 2nd half. Haynsey -- who did better than his VFL form suggested -- admitted it helped him when the game became a slog-fest in the 2nd half rain. Helped a few of our slower lads, also.
We were cruelled by a few blatantly wrong umpiring decisions. Couple of throws from the Croweaters were decisive... for them and against us. And those handballs over the head are throws, throws, which both sides got away with.
The between the arcs, 'slingshot' frees are a debacle. They confuse players and umpires and stopping the game to review the last touch defeats the fkng purpose!
When the heat came in the 2nd half, a more recent cue for us to capitulate - we didn't. The fight and spirit was excellent.
Ainsworth stood up at valuable times: a really good inclusion.
Kemp aint a forward, he just doesn't think like a forward. Midfield? Defence?
I thought H was good and don't get the criticism. He attacked the contest and often did his job, but he must work on taking one grab marks.
What has happened to Boyd? He seems to have lost confidence and is being too careful.
Some other positives: Derks. The Byrner... this kid is rarely beaten in a contest, and has 2nd, 3rd, 4th efforts to burn (sorry). Bounces from contest to contest like a champ. Thank the gods for Newman, Carroll and Pitto.
Concerns: Cerra confuses me. He gets plenty of the aggot but seems to fail to do so with any authority or impact.
HOK. This was a mistake selecting him. His form was reflective of his VFL form... all at sea. Should have been F Young or Billy Wilson.
Florent does so much that is good, plenty... but his disposal lets him down. Work on it, fella.
With valuable returns next week, I reckon we're in with a really good chance. Dean will likely replace Derks but I think Derks should be tried up forward and Kemp given a stint in the Magoos and experimented with as a midfield. Weiters for Young? Be an interesting Wednesday at the selection table.
All-in-all, I think we're (slowly) heading in the right direction.