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Messages - dodge

3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
It seems we also get comfortable with a lead and take the foot off.  Essendon were horrible in the first qtr and bound to improve.

Didn't think we were in danger of losing,  but got a lot closer than it should have.  A couple of moments in the last - White & another player had space at our 50 - White's kick was smothered - goal to Essendon. Motlop an easy shot to go 23 up (I think) misses - goal to Essendon. Just a couple of moments where composure and knowing the importance of execution at that point were missing. Plenty of other egs they're just 2 when it mattered - although game shouldn't have got to that point.

4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon
Quote from: DJC – on
Quote from: dodge – on
We have a group going tonight general admin. Do we need to allow extra time to get into the ground with security checks? TIA

I was waved straight through at Darklands last game - didn't even have the metal detector waved over me  ::)

I imagine it will depend on whether there's a steady flow or a mass arrival.

Took about 38 seconds...
8
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Election 2025 (Poll added)
Thanks Lods.  Distraction dealt with.  Now if you could do my sons footy and my tennis, that would be great!

Mine have a couple of oddities, particularly where a lib and nat ran in the same seat.

Interesting that in SA there were cousins that ran against each other.
9
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Election 2025 (Poll added)
Quote from: Lods – on
Had it been first past the post in this election the results would have been pretty much the same as it has actually turned out.
Labor would still have an absolute majority but a couple fewer seats.
Libs would have a few more.
Greens would have one and the independents (Teals Katter etc) around 7 or 8.

Not a lot of difference but a much simpler and more quickly declared poll

Thanks Lods - I should be working, but these trigger me, so I need to have a look... :))

In Vic, if it was first past the post, there would be 5 less ALP seats and 1 less Independent.  These are replaced by first past the post - 5 LNP and 1 Greens.  Give me a couple of days, and I am sure that I will need a distraction/procrastination tool to look at the other states!  There was only one seat in Vic where first past the post got >50% of the vote.
10
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Election 2025 (Poll added)
First past the post doesn't get a majority representation:

eg:
34% vote LNP
33% vote Labor
33% vote other

LNP gets in, yet 66% of the people don't want them.  Yes, it would change the way people vote (esp 33% other), but then there is little prospect of changing the 2 party system that we currently have.

Your example of preference voting is, as you pointed out also the benefit of preference voting in that you have ultimately got your preference, but you have told them that they have a lot of room to improve!  The difference it makes is dependent on the politicians - not a lot of talent, so little difference.
11
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Election 2025 (Poll added)
AEC reckons about 5 weeks from the election for Calwell. With a 4 way count and 14 candidates, it's complicated. Also with scrutineers looking at everything vote, takes a lot of time.

Apparently with more people preferencing the majors, rather than voting directly for them this will happen more often.
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 9 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs St. Kilda
Clogging up the game suited us. With the injuries, we weren't trying to play the manic game style that tires us out.

While there was a lot of pressure on us towards the end, there was heaps on the Saints and they didn't handle it as well.  That team effort needs to be present consistently.

If only Motlop was a one touch player...Binns did well.
13
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Election 2025 (Poll added)
There wasn't a genuine alternative to vote for. Two policies for 12 month cost relief - petrol & $1200 tax rebate. Didn't have a coherent plan for nuclear power. Housing plan - deduction for some interest for first home buyers, but not sure how they are going to be able to afford a mortgage in the first place. No cohesion (wfh?, 41k gov jobs to go).  They are now finger pointing at everything except themselves.

The LNP problem now will be selecting a new leadership. Talent pool is very low with most senior options having big question marks. Wolahan did speak very well - he'll be a loss.

Tough road ahead for LNP. I suppose we'll see for the country!
14
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Election 2025 (Poll added)
Voting shenanigans have always existed, but as everything, seems to be getting more exaggerated.  Particularly with so many early votes - fewer polling stations and more idle volunteers.

I take a HTV from everyone, don't engage and vote however I decide and ignore the HTV.
15
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 7 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Geelong
Against WC, they were able to start moving the ball with a bit of confidence, but (by reports) still quite sloppy.  Against North, they were a lot more ruthless and used the confidence from the WC win.  Yesterday, they built again.

It was a great performance with so many doing well - and many team oriented acts for the entirety of the game.

The first few games we spent more petrol tickets early due to our inefficiency.  We seemed to be much better yesterday.

What I hated was the Foxtel commentators reminding us that we 'only' beat North & WC - with a very strong implication we were going to get run over.

Free kick count apparently was 12-2 to us in the 2nd half.  Cats kicked a lot OOF - apart from re-watching, is there a way to find out how many?