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1
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Lods -
Quote from: kruddler – on
Youve said it, ive said it. Percentage is a better predictor of how well you are going rather than wins/losses and ladder position.

You can ignore it all you like and hope we can find clubs to beat up on to inflate our %, but ill give you the hot tip, i think we've already played 2 teams that are vying for the positions held by north and west coast last year.....and i think north and west coast have very much improved, especially relative to us.

I agree with you it's a better predictor of performance....but not after two or three rounds when big margins can skew the percentages.
I've had a bit of a look at some ladders and it actually doesn't take too long for things to settle down, probably around round 8-10, and the top team's percentages come back around the 120-130 mark.
What you still get there though is some wide variations, with teams with percentages under 100% in the top eight, and teams with 100+outside the 8.

By round 24 your top 8 will nearly always be over 100%
2
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
Last post by kruddler -
Quote from: DJC – on
Quote from: kruddler – on


Does the government count as 'Australians'?
They are in charge of prisons.
Are people in prison free?
Are people in prison forced into labour with repercussions if they do not?

Prisoners are incarcerated under our judicial system and they're not owned by the government.  Prisoners are paid between $30 and $70 for a 30 hour week.  Advocates maintain that's "slave labour" but with their board, lodging, education and training costing around $3,000 a week, it's not a bad deal.

Even if they are put there illegally in a lot of cases?

Thats not a bad deal??

Next thing youll tell me is that was all instituted by the superior race.
3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by kruddler -
Youve said it, ive said it. Percentage is a better predictor of how well you are going rather than wins/losses and ladder position.

You can ignore it all you like and hope we can find clubs to beat up on to inflate our %, but ill give you the hot tip, i think we've already played 2 teams that are vying for the positions held by north and west coast last year.....and i think north and west coast have very much improved, especially relative to us.
4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Lods -
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: Lods – on


No, it means nothing at this stage of the year.

And is definitely not comparable to previous years

Different rules
Different opposition

We win a couple of games by 40-50 points at this tme of the year and you shoot past the 100%
Do that at the end of the year with bigger point totals and it doesn't cause the same fluctuations.

Watch Gold Coast's percentage drop, even if they keep winning.

I understand how % works Lods.

After what round does it suddenly start to matter? We can reconvene then if you'd like. I'm interested to see what your next excuse will be. I must say the head in the sand defence was not what i was expecting this time around, so next time will also be a surprise.

Do you understand it?
We often see teams with percentages of well over 150% in the early rounds of a season....often greater.
We rarely see teams with those figures at the end of the season.
A team could win by 100 points in the first game and lose the next four by close margins and still have a percentage over 100%

Picking a point where it evens out is not an exact science.

Our percentage last year after 4 games was 81.2%
Our percentage last year after 5 games was 103.6%
That's the effect of a 70 point winover West Coast.
A 20+% point rise

A 70 point win in round 22 would only move the dial around 4-5%
5
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: General Discussions
Last post by DJC -
Quote from: kruddler – on
Quote from: DJC – on


It's not semantics, it's fact.  Australians have never owned other people,

Does the government count as 'Australians'?
They are in charge of prisons.
Are people in prison free?
Are people in prison forced into labour with repercussions if they do not?

Prisoners are incarcerated under our judicial system and they're not owned by the government.  Prisoners are paid between $30 and $70 for a 30 hour week.  Advocates maintain that's "slave labour" but with their board, lodging, education and training costing around $3,000 a week, it's not a bad deal.
6
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by kruddler -
Quote from: Lods – on
Quote from: kruddler – on


No....its not meaningless. It very much has meaning and is displaying our form accurately.
Form is fleeting (we hope) and % can and will change throughout the year.

However, nobody in their right mind would say Gold Coast are struggling.
Nor would they say we are flying.
So again, certainly not meaningless.

No, it means nothing at this stage of the year.

And is definitely not comparable to previous years

Different rules
Different opposition

We win a couple of games by 40-50 points at this tme of the year and you shoot past the 100%
Do that at the end of the year with bigger point totals and it doesn't cause the same fluctuations.

Watch Gold Coast's percentage drop, even if they keep winning.

I understand how % works Lods.

After what round does it suddenly start to matter? We can reconvene then if you'd like. I'm interested to see what your next excuse will be. I must say the head in the sand defence was not what i was expecting this time around, so next time will also be a surprise.