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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Lods -
I do think it's different
Would you say someone like Matthew Watson was elite at u/18 level.
Good mark excellent long kick.
He was a man-child and had probably jumped ahead of his peers at that level.
He was an All Australian at that level...but it didn't translate to senior football and he became a much maligned player.
For some it works in reverse. They struggle to make an impact as a youngster just scraping onto a list but blossom once they get the opportunity and proper training and guidance.
I can't comment too much on Watson specifically as i didn't watch his u18 stuff.
He certainly was a man child though.
He was AA u18 chb iirc, but that doesn't say much because Paul Bower shared that same honour in his individual draft year.
Theres always outliers for every example which I've happily admitted. That's also part of statistics. But the more data you get the clearer it all becomes, even if there are outliers.
We'll agree to disagree.
Statistically it's harder for a late draft pick to succeed
But we shouldn't be influenced by where they were picked, but by what they produce...and at 18-19 few have reached their full poential.
I coached athletes of all ages for around 30 years across a range of disciplines
The 18-19 year old was either not in the same league as the same athlete at 22-23...or life commitments had taken over and athletics took a back seat as Uni and work took over..,and the athlete is lost.
I just can't see it being any different for footballers...either the best is yet to come, or they will get cut before they reach their full potential.
Life will then take over from football because it becomes difficult to juggle work and football when you lose the benefits in terms of training and coaching... and importantly financially.
I suspect that once cut it becomes very difficult to find your way back on a senior list...but some do.