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Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne
Last post by Lods -Youve said it, ive said it. Percentage is a better predictor of how well you are going rather than wins/losses and ladder position.
You can ignore it all you like and hope we can find clubs to beat up on to inflate our %, but ill give you the hot tip, i think we've already played 2 teams that are vying for the positions held by north and west coast last year.....and i think north and west coast have very much improved, especially relative to us.
I agree with you it's a better predictor of performance....but not after two or three rounds when big margins can skew the percentages.
I've had a bit of a look at some ladders and it actually doesn't take too long for things to settle down, probably around round 8-10, and the top team's percentages come back around the 120-130 mark.
What you still get there though is some wide variations, with teams with percentages under 100% in the top eight, and teams with 100+outside the 8.
By round 24 your top 8 will nearly always be over 100%