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Messages - Lods

2
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 11 2024 Post Game Postulations Carlton vs Gold Coast
I think we don't make too many changes next week.
Just go with Tom as the one ruck.

I really can see the benefits of both options.
It's why it's hard to come down in favour of just the one approach.

Horses for courses is OK, but making that judgement would take a fair bit of analysis.

The thing I need to see more of is... how either option works consistently against quality opposition.
If we'd gone with just one ruck against Sydney...how would we have fared?
Gold Coast in Melbourne wasn't quite the same level of difficulty...and that can distort comparisons.
Port in Adelaide will be a tough ask and if the one ruck works equally as well as it did yesterday that's a point in it's favour.

So, just the one next week.

3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 11 2024 Post Game Postulations Carlton vs Gold Coast
Quote from: kruddler on
Some free kick numbers.
At 3/4 time it was 4-14 (I screenshotted to a friend)
It was then 5-15, 6-16 and then we got the last 5 jn a row to 'even it up' to 11-16....and some of them were definitely not there.

I've never heard the crowd chant "bull-$h!t" so many times in a game. At least 3 times it was loud and clear and directed at the umps. There was also the 'umpire is a wanker' chant that was brought out of retirement too.
When you have 40k at the game and a coach talking about the umps you know something needs to be looked at.

Thankfully, we managed to come out of it with a win anyway.

Yep
Voss in his press conference was pretty clear.
Umpire decisions are something that he doesn't normally dwell on...at least not publicly.
For him to mention it, meant he found some of the decisions a bit baffling.
He trod a fine line, stating that it's something we need 'clarification' on because the umpires are obviously interpeting things a little different to us and the way we're instructing players.

In other words....he thought they were "bullsh**t " decisions too.
4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 11 2024 Post Game Postulations Carlton vs Gold Coast
Voss a bit unsure with some of the umpiring decisions... so is going to seek clarification. :D  :D

Kind of suggested that while he's happy with the Pitto/TDK combination and that they are developing well, TDK's efforts "have given us a lot to think about" which may suggest...."they have a lot to think about" going forward.
I don't think anything is set in stone.
5
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 11 2024 Post Game Postulations Carlton vs Gold Coast
The thing is that the rucks are just one 'variable' in a host of 'variables' that have to be considered, including players, in, players out, opposition, weather conditions even venues.

In the GWS game Tom kicked three and Pittonet gave the midfield an armchair ride.

If we look at the teams we played with two rucks, vs the teams we played with one at the start of the year...how were they all going at the time.

It's impossible to be definite.
We can have a view, but it will probably sort itself out as the season progresses.
Having both is a handy backup position if we do decide to go with just one, because odds are they won't both be available for all games.



6
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 11 2024 Post Game Postulations Carlton vs Gold Coast
Let's not get buried down in the ruck debate.

How would we have gone with one ruck against Sydney?
How would we have gone with 2 rucks today?
We actually have no idea.

Different games.
Different venues.
Different opposition.

A good win today, still lots to work on.
But good to see signs of a bit of versatility in the side.
Williams much more impactful as a forward and not really needed as a backman.
9
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 11 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Gold Coast
I asked the AI if we would win...looks like we will 95-76 :D

Quote
Based on the latest predictions and betting odds, Carlton is favored to win against Gold Coast in their upcoming AFL Round 11 match. The game is scheduled for Saturday, May 25, 2024, at Marvel Stadium. The predictive analytics model from Stats Insider gives Carlton a 76% chance of victory, with a predicted final score of 95-76 in favor of Carlton1. This prediction is based on 10,000 game simulations and takes into account each team’s average score.

Remember, while predictions can provide insights, the outcome of any sports match can never be guaranteed. It should be an exciting game to watch! 🏉
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: The Zuton factor - Pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure
Boyd's kicking when he has time is excellent.
He goes at 82% efficiency.

He gets in trouble at times when-
-He tends to rush the hack kick out, which often comes straight back.
-He takes risks, which in itself isn't a bad thing (I think we play too cautious a lot of the time, especially when we build a lead.) These risks have proved costly when he kicks to situations which aren't really advantageous.

A lot of these things improve with game time and he's still only played 26.
He has courage, and a bit of mongrel.
He's going OK and doing his job.
13
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: The Zuton factor - Pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure pressure
Quote from: madbluboy on
We miss Fogarty.

We do.
But what's also missing across the board is that defensive attack on the ball and the player in possession  that saw us with two players in  just about every tackle after the turn around last year. Fogarty was a big part of that.  Effort and pressure have slackened off.
Maybe the players subconsciously thought that once they found that intensity it would just remain without having to work for it.
They need to re-find it or the season will be gone.
14
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
Quote from: Lods on
Many found wanting tonight, but the main concerns will be Weitering....
and Walsh

I wouldn't be surprised to hear that he's hurt that back again.
There was definitely something wrong, and it wasn't just after that heavy bump near the end

Walsh says it's fine...
https://www.carltonfc.com.au/video/1556819/press-conference-sam-walsh?videoId=1556819&modal=true&type=video&publishFrom=1715999267001&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR2S692o719R2BwzJiIDTgEdp2DVZ5Z18U7XeCNjh6MtkZvFbNLbXGEPciE_aem_AU6PvI91aTIAELT32IfpR5U9jqkjWoCdkiK5HhSgqGg6qjsuwGSDY9BhEtwwI2kU6XRjRBNkFu-0eqUWsoulJ3He
15
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)
Quote from: Thryleon on
Why is Ukraine anyone else's problem?

Without being overly dramatic...Folks probably said the same thing about Czechoslovakia and Poland in the late 1930s.
Once Ukraine is 'annexed' where to next for a Russian president who seems intent on 'returning' Russian borders to something resembling the USSR

There is a pretty good reason why we should be concerned.
There's a good reason why the American response is important...because there may come a time when we need to be concerned about the strength of our own relationship with the USA.