Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

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Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2310 – November 04, 2020, 12:56:29 pm

Chill. The media has been in an uncomfortable position. On the one hand they condemn Trump for foreshadowing a declaration of victory on election night: they stress that every vote must be counted and this may take days. But then they analyse early vote tallies as if they’re critical

Just tune out for a few hours until the vote tallies approach completion.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2311 – November 04, 2020, 01:09:59 pm

Exit polls are quite accurate, but I appreciate the reporting of them might not be so reliable!

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2312 – November 04, 2020, 01:38:42 pm

Trump looks to have Florida.
Texas is even with 64% of votes counted.
Ohio is even with 69% of votes counted.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2313 – November 04, 2020, 01:44:34 pm

It's funny, the source chosen determines the figures that get reported.

I've been watching both sides, they are equally biased in reporting, so I suspect the knife edge remains.

The consensus seems to be Trumps / Biden chances are equally good, but the Democrats have gained a bigger control over the house.

Re: Trumpled (Alternative Leading)

Reply #2314 – November 04, 2020, 01:49:13 pm

Beware that those percentages of total votes are just estimates whereas in Australia they’re totally accurate. As voting isn’t compulsory, the analysts estimate how many will turn out. It’s unlikely they’ll get those estimates correct.

But I’m assuming Florida goes to Trump. There were rumblings about Latino voters not turning out for Biden as Democrats would have hoped. But the Latino voters aren’t a homogenous bloc. Cuban Americans tend to be very conservative, for instance. On the other hand, Biden may well perform much better with white voters and seniors in the Rust Belt.