Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Reply #3856 –
The current estimate of global COVID-19 mortality is 6 million to 10 million extra deaths over the last 12 months. Web utilities only offer rough estimates based on algorithms, so you find something like World-o-Meter reporting lower figures like 4.1 million deaths. But the effects of Sars-CoV-2 are not linear, so these estimates can be easily out by 50% to 100%, but they are close enough not to be an order of magnitude out.
In reality, it's a very hard number to find so you only ever find a wide range being reported, and usually coming from NGOs.
Interestingly, because of the wide variance in bureaucratic capabilities in different regions, some countries might not report accurate figures at all, or perhaps lag behind by 12 to 18 months.
Then there are regions that deliberately under or over-report for political purposes.
We've less deaths locally because of the actions of our health officials and political leaders, not that they can't do better, but at least most of them have done something. We are also lucky to be in a region with access to vaccines, which deliver a massive diminishing effect on the death rate.
But as I've mentioned before, the real long term worry is the effects of long COVID-19, and there should be a significant emphasis on finding therapies and treatments for people who suffer debilitating effects. Of course if a sufferer ends up with significant organ damage, there will be no therapy. The question is yet to be answered how much vaccination diminishes long COVID, not enough time has passed.
I've heard it stated that if you look up and down a typical local suburban street, there is between 1 in 10 and 1 in 20 people that for whatever reason cannot be vaccinated, I suppose those who can be vaccinated are their defenders. It's sort of like the inverse of war times, when a percentage left our shores to defend liberty for the rest of us!