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It aint over till its over - How the Blues can make the finals

From the HS

It won’t be easy, and they’ll need a bit of help along the way, but this how they can do it.

First things first, the Blues must win their last three games.

That’s a non-negotiable.

Their quest starts with a Round 16 meeting with Sydney, where they need to win by 30 points and hope the Giants beat the Crows by 29 points or less.

ROUND 16 SCENARIO – THE KEY GAMES
Geelong d Essendon

West Coast d Western Bulldogs

Fremantle d Melbourne

GWS Giants d Adelaide BY 29 POINTS OR LESS

Carlton d Sydney BY 30 POINTS

In Round 17, the Blues need a timely percentage boost.

They will get their chance when they face bottom-placed Adelaide.

The Blues have been struggling with their scoring power, but they must put the foot down against the Crows and hope the topsy-turvy Demons get over the Giants.

ROUND 17
Port Adelaide d Essendon

Melbourne d GWS Giants BY 10 POINTS

Carlton d Adelaide BY 40 POINTS

Hawthorn d Western Bulldogs

Under our scenario, it all comes down to the final round.

The Blues will face their toughest test up against the fancied Brisbane Lions in what will take a herculean effort

If they do it, and if other results fall into place, they’ll scrape into eighth.

ROUND 18
Carlton d Brisbane

Essendon d Melbourne

St Kilda d GWS Giants BY AT LEAST 7 POINTS

HOW THE LADDER WILL LOOK UNDER THIS SCENARIO
1. Port Adelaide

2. West Coast

3. Richmond

4. Geelong

5. Brisbane Lions

6. St Kilda

7. Collingwood

8. Carlton
2017 - 16th
2018 - Wooden Spoon
2019 - 16th
2020 - dare to dream?
2021 - Pi$$ or get off the pot

Re: It aint over till its over - How the Blues can make the finals

Reply #1
Technically we can still make the 8 winning only 2 matches.

We'll need GWS to lose to all 3, including Adelaide.....but only just lose to Melbourne.
We'll need the Dees to get done by 5 goals against Freo and Bombers.
We'll need to beat Crows and Swans by 5 goals and only just lose to Lions.

Further manipulation can see us in 7th, with Pies out of the 8. If we beat the lions.

Of course, Adelaide will not beat GWS and we won't beat the lions which means all of the above is useless.


Re: It aint over till its over - How the Blues can make the finals

Reply #3
Amazing.  Gws lose to Adelaide, we eek out a win against Sydney when we needed percentage.  We'll just have to thump adelaide and the lions then....
Come on you Blue FLAGGERS!!

"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: It aint over till its over - How the Blues can make the finals

Reply #4
Not any more. I'll lock this one. Losing to Adelaide was one last insult we couldn't handle.
Live Long and Prosper!

Re: It aint over till its over - How the Blues can make the finals

Reply #5
Not any more. I'll lock this one. Losing to Adelaide was one last insult we couldn't handle.
There is still a chance.

It requires quite a few 10-goal wins in our favour.

Chance of making finals....
0.01%