Re: AFL Finals 2024 Carlton vs Brisbane in Brisbane
Reply #281 –
Part of what Hoyne said:
When you combine your pressure and the opposition's pressure, no one plays in higher pressure matches than what Carleton do this year. So you assume that holds you in good stead for a final series. So 180 is the AFL average for pressure.
They've only done under 180 in a game this year three times. So three out of their 23 matches under 180, which is a significant achievement. Why this number is important. Brisbane have only received a pressure of over 180 on them ten times for the year.
They've got a win rate of 40% when teams apply a pressure rating of over 180. So you would assume Carlton are going to do that this week, given that they have done it 20 out of 23 times this year. You do that, you give yourself the best chance of being in Brisbane.
Pressure wins
Geel 203
NM, Rich 200
WC 198
PA 197
Melb 194
Rich 185
Freo 184
Bris GC 183
Ess 181
NM 179
GWS 172
Just Bring It