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Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #120
If our midfielders aren't accountable for the opposing midfield then who is?
2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #121
Still baffled how coaches couldnt motivate the players in the last qtr and leaders not standing up.
Pressure rating in last qtr 175 to Sydneys 210 - our pressure rating first half was hitting consistent 220s
Weak and heartless - in particular when top eight was there to be had.

I don't think our boys were weak, they gave everything but in that last quarter they were just knackered owing to our labour intensive game plan.

We're at our best in that high intensity pressure type of football.
We don't seem to be able to sustain it.
It seems we're persisting with that 'labour intensive'game plan.
Is the game plan beyond the capabilities of the personnel we have to perform it?
The issue may be that we don't have the players suited to any other type of plan.

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #122
It was suggested on Footy Furnace that Cripps and Hewett were Heeney and Warners direct opponents when both were playing in the middle, were they at fault for failing to do their job? or was Voss at fault for expecting two coalface mids with limited pace especially Cripps who as the game wears on slows to a halt to be able to keep with the Swans duo.
The other issue raised was when one of the Swans pair went forward that McGovern was the matchup but when both went forward there wasnt a proper matchup for the other one. If McGovern failed in his job by playing off his man too much as suggested why wasnt there a change and why were we under prepared for both Swans mids playing forward if what the FF crew were saying is true? Thats not directed soley at Voss either as he is relying on his line coaches to do their jobs as well.
I get players fail at their tasks and you can easily blame them but you have to have more than one plan and be able to throw the magnets around and as Bartel suggested if you cant get the individual matchups to suit you have to change the structure and involve other players ie wings, half forwards playing in closer or further up the ground etc.
Voss was pissed off at his players for failing in their tasks but I think he has to look a bit closer at his own performance and those of his line coaches...

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #123
Depends on the failures though. 

For mine this game was largely fine.  We lost our heads once silvagni went off because we were forced to shuffle the magnets.  Lewis Young went back and that means you lose dare with ball movement for safe with ball in hand.  He wasn't bad it just changed the dynamic to a shorter slower ball movement.  They lost Francis, and gambled on different matchups for curnow and Harry, and due to the aforementioned it worked.  They also went smaller which made then more mobile (which is our cryptonite).

The frustration from voss comes out of method change not copping a few goals. 

We started bombing it again and not playing the percentages.  Sydney started rolling late.  They've played well to close out games this year after starting poorly.

There aren't many teams doing it for 4 quarters these days.  We need to be a bit more measured here too.  Whilst the swans were missing a few they still had plenty that were in the grand final last year, and minus gulden and parley were they really missing much?

"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #124
It was suggested on Footy Furnace that Cripps and Hewett were Heeney and Warners direct opponents when both were playing in the middle, were they at fault for failing to do their job? or was Voss at fault for expecting two coalface mids with limited pace especially Cripps who as the game wears on slows to a halt to be able to keep with the Swans duo.
The other issue raised was when one of the Swans pair went forward that McGovern was the matchup but when both went forward there wasnt a proper matchup for the other one. If McGovern failed in his job by playing off his man too much as suggested why wasnt there a change and why were we under prepared for both Swans mids playing forward if what the FF crew were saying is true? Thats not directed soley at Voss either as he is relying on his line coaches to do their jobs as well.
I get players fail at their tasks and you can easily blame them but you have to have more than one plan and be able to throw the magnets around and as Bartel suggested if you cant get the individual matchups to suit you have to change the structure and involve other players ie wings, half forwards playing in closer or further up the ground etc.
Voss was pissed off at his players for failing in their tasks but I think he has to look a bit closer at his own performance and those of his line coaches...
Yep. Same page here. Well summarised EB1.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #125
This is a fundamental problem we have if we are not winning the stoppages, it's been that way for almost 10 years, it's not new and it's not been fixed, it's not been fixed because generally we win stoppages.

@Kruddler and myself talked about this a couple of seasons back, we got shouted down for good reason, what if the solution is trade a Cripps or a Walsh type? Of course it's an unacceptable solution, so we have to get the right fringe players if we want to keep Cripps and Walsh, but where does the currency come from?

We were unlucky this season, we made a hard decision to trade away Kennedy, another of "that type" that contributes to the problem, but the kid we picked up to work towards a fix did his ACL.

The problem for me is that we aren't getting enough easy defendable wins, and in close games that match up weakness described and discussed above only has to fail once in close games and we lose. In close games our mix have to be perfect, and the opposition only have to be lucky! like Daicos!

So we have hard fought wins, followed by hard fought loses, it's physically and mentally draining.

Rarely is it like last Friday, when we have been smashed for an extended period, and we had a very good reason for that. The Swans did the exact opposite of Ross the Boss, it's hard for us to beat with our mix, so we must win the stoppages.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #126
Depends on the failures though. 

For mine this game was largely fine.  We lost our heads once silvagni went off because we were forced to shuffle the magnets.  Lewis Young went back and that means you lose dare with ball movement for safe with ball in hand.  He wasn't bad it just changed the dynamic to a shorter slower ball movement.  They lost Francis, and gambled on different matchups for curnow and Harry, and due to the aforementioned it worked.  They also went smaller which made then more mobile (which is our cryptonite).

The frustration from voss comes out of method change not copping a few goals. 

We started bombing it again and not playing the percentages.  Sydney started rolling late.  They've played well to close out games this year after starting poorly.

There aren't many teams doing it for 4 quarters these days.  We need to be a bit more measured here too.  Whilst the swans were missing a few they still had plenty that were in the grand final last year, and minus gulden and parley were they really missing much?



Sorry, 3 Leos, this game from our perspective wasn't mainly fine. We failed badly to capitalise on forward entries in the first half and the second half failure was symptomatic of our season... indeed many seasons. Too many knowledgeable footy brains have clearly identified our labour intensive (archaic) game plan (injury risking?) and second half fade-outs for there to be 'nothing to see or worry about here.' You don't lead at half time in nine out of ten games this season thus far, to only go on to win four of them if there aint a problem or three. Reality. Something's crook in Tootgarook!

These same footy brains (former premiership players and coaches) said that you don't get beaten by what you know, and if you keep on doing what you've always done and keep getting the same results... you know the rest.

At the beginning of the season we were assured that inconsistency would be addressed. We were also assured top 4 was our goal. We were also informed our goal was to make finals and go deep into finals. We were also informed that being a 'good' side wasn't good enough, our goal was to be a very good side, making finals consistently. At this moment we're eleventh on the ladder. Them, thar the facts.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #127
Nothing wrong with what you are saying @Baggers, I'm just seeing it different for a few different factors.

1. we dont play in a vacuum.  When the opposition adjusts their game to counter ours, we have suffered a few issues preventing us from making too many changes.  i.e.  losing players before half time.  By my count, in our last two games we have lost personnell by half time, forcing an activation of the sub.  I think this is the 5th time this season its happened (zac williams accounting for this twice).  Ironically we have been closer in games where we have had to activate the sub early than in games where we have chosen to use it, which is a bigger concern IMHO, but thats another story.  In round 1, nerves to Nick Haynes probably was the difference between winning and losing.  He had as bad a game as I have seen, and Mcgovern was similar for whatever reason.  Maybe it was unfamiliarity and playing young Ollie down back too. 

2.  Players sub 40 games don't have their role nutted down perfectly and are not seasoned performers.  To quote the afl, an average of 120 games playing together is a team vying for a flag.  I don't think we have this in more than 60% of the team with the lineup we are currently trotting out, and this includes players like Durdin, Motlop, Cerra, Haynes for starters.  Some of these names have the requisite number of games, but Haynes has played 9 games with us thus far.  It doesnt help some of our more reliable players are having down years, perhaps on the back of this.

3.  The season is no where near complete yet.  We have come into this season on the back of a coughing and spluttering last season, and I think we are simply not having a good year fitness wise.  This isnt the first time for us, it happened in 2012 as well, we just couldn't get rolling.  We aren't the first team to suffer this.  Hawthorn who we all agree were a benchmark won the flag in 2008, then spent the next few years suffering with injuries to key players and missed finals completely in 2009, limped in 2010, 2011 won 18 games for the year only to stumble in the finals losing in the first week, and then making it to the prelim to lose to Collingwood by 3 points, and then went on to finish 2012 as minor premiers just to lose the grand final to Sydney before they then went on a 3 peat. Inuries played their part in preventing them doing better a few years earlier.  That and blooding a few youngsters that eventually saw them go bang.  Sure, we arent in Hawks territory now, but if 2023 where we played in a prelim was our 2008 (Hawthorn won that one ahead of schedule and were arguably better than we were in that year but the point is, they struggled for the next few years in similar circumstances coming from a similar place to where we are coming from.  We may not ever be like that hawks outfit, but the formline shouldnt be ignored.  Not many jump up there and stay up there, but plenty of flash in the pans have happened.

When it all boils down, we are a victim of our historic impatience here.  We want to be better, but for whatever reason we are not in that conversation right now, and personally I look at the sheer number of times that we have activated the sub early, and which players keep breaking down, and go, yep, hows that for just dumb luck.  You cannot beat lady luck, and we have been as luckless a footy club as I have seen over the journey and part of that is poor planning because once you start relying on luck, you will find it goes against you. 

We have talked ad nauseum about player depth and what not, but Collingwood last season are an example of what happens when the wrong players break down consistently.  They went from flag winners to not playing finals.  Sydney are the example this season.  Went from last years most consistent team of performers, barely giving players a week off and using the least amount through the year, playing in a grand final, and this season can barely string 4 quarters together. 

To me, this is what I see.  A team that can, but often cant for a variety of reasons.  A lot of the pundits talk a lot about player selection tactics, and what not.  Thing is, sports is simple.  You start having compounding issues, and you come back to the field very quickly.  Pep Guardiolas Manchester City is a team with all the resources, best coaching and what not in the world, but when you lose your marquee striker for a 3rd of the season, they went from winning a treble of trophies (no easy feat) to winning not even the league cup which is very much the bridesmaid trophy crap clubs aspire to win.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #128
At the start of the last quarter I could see, and so could the Carlton supporters around me, that the players were down mentally.

Skill levels dropped below what we had witnessed in the third quarter and we got the feeling that a number of the players had lost the belief that they could win.  Real physical effort dropped off, as did teamwork, and some players, for whatever reason, appeared to be going through the motions.

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #129
When it all boils down, we are a victim of our historic impatience here. We want to be better, but for whatever reason we are not in that conversation right now, and personally I look at the sheer number of times that we have activated the sub early, and which players keep breaking down, and go, yep, hows that for just dumb luck.  You cannot beat lady luck, and we have been as luckless a footy club as I have seen over the journey and part of that is poor planning because once you start relying on luck, you will find it goes against you. 

The bold bit is the biggest problem at Carlton.
We think that because we suffered before, we should win now.
What happened before has very little bearing on where you are now.

People who start with "30 years of this....." are thinking emotionally and not focussing on the current problem. They call for peoples heads and prolong the pain in the process.

I bring up injuries and people see red and spout "excuses....blah blah".

As you suggest, we have plenty of bad luck with injuries.

2002, 2012, 2024.....3 of those seasons had record numbers of injuries, 2 of them had a coach sacked and the 3rd had plenty of people talking about it.

Have we finally learned? Just need to get through this bump and get a bit of luck

 

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #130
Richmond went bang and rapidly went from ok at best to a three peat.  Had plenty of top end but a lot of choppers and a questionable game plan.
DrE is no more... you ok with that harmonica man?

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #131
I watched the game.

Thats all i have to say

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #132
Nothing wrong with what you are saying @Baggers, I'm just seeing it different for a few different factors.

1. we dont play in a vacuum.  When the opposition adjusts their game to counter ours, we have suffered a few issues preventing us from making too many changes.  i.e.  losing players before half time.  By my count, in our last two games we have lost personnell by half time, forcing an activation of the sub.  I think this is the 5th time this season its happened (zac williams accounting for this twice).  Ironically we have been closer in games where we have had to activate the sub early than in games where we have chosen to use it, which is a bigger concern IMHO, but thats another story.  In round 1, nerves to Nick Haynes probably was the difference between winning and losing.  He had as bad a game as I have seen, and Mcgovern was similar for whatever reason.  Maybe it was unfamiliarity and playing young Ollie down back too. 

2.  Players sub 40 games don't have their role nutted down perfectly and are not seasoned performers.  To quote the afl, an average of 120 games playing together is a team vying for a flag.  I don't think we have this in more than 60% of the team with the lineup we are currently trotting out, and this includes players like Durdin, Motlop, Cerra, Haynes for starters.  Some of these names have the requisite number of games, but Haynes has played 9 games with us thus far.  It doesnt help some of our more reliable players are having down years, perhaps on the back of this.

3.  The season is no where near complete yet.  We have come into this season on the back of a coughing and spluttering last season, and I think we are simply not having a good year fitness wise.  This isnt the first time for us, it happened in 2012 as well, we just couldn't get rolling.  We aren't the first team to suffer this.  Hawthorn who we all agree were a benchmark won the flag in 2008, then spent the next few years suffering with injuries to key players and missed finals completely in 2009, limped in 2010, 2011 won 18 games for the year only to stumble in the finals losing in the first week, and then making it to the prelim to lose to Collingwood by 3 points, and then went on to finish 2012 as minor premiers just to lose the grand final to Sydney before they then went on a 3 peat. Inuries played their part in preventing them doing better a few years earlier.  That and blooding a few youngsters that eventually saw them go bang.  Sure, we arent in Hawks territory now, but if 2023 where we played in a prelim was our 2008 (Hawthorn won that one ahead of schedule and were arguably better than we were in that year but the point is, they struggled for the next few years in similar circumstances coming from a similar place to where we are coming from.  We may not ever be like that hawks outfit, but the formline shouldnt be ignored.  Not many jump up there and stay up there, but plenty of flash in the pans have happened.

When it all boils down, we are a victim of our historic impatience here.  We want to be better, but for whatever reason we are not in that conversation right now, and personally I look at the sheer number of times that we have activated the sub early, and which players keep breaking down, and go, yep, hows that for just dumb luck.  You cannot beat lady luck, and we have been as luckless a footy club as I have seen over the journey and part of that is poor planning because once you start relying on luck, you will find it goes against you. 

We have talked ad nauseum about player depth and what not, but Collingwood last season are an example of what happens when the wrong players break down consistently.  They went from flag winners to not playing finals.  Sydney are the example this season.  Went from last years most consistent team of performers, barely giving players a week off and using the least amount through the year, playing in a grand final, and this season can barely string 4 quarters together. 

To me, this is what I see.  A team that can, but often cant for a variety of reasons.  A lot of the pundits talk a lot about player selection tactics, and what not.  Thing is, sports is simple.  You start having compounding issues, and you come back to the field very quickly.  Pep Guardiolas Manchester City is a team with all the resources, best coaching and what not in the world, but when you lose your marquee striker for a 3rd of the season, they went from winning a treble of trophies (no easy feat) to winning not even the league cup which is very much the bridesmaid trophy crap clubs aspire to win.

Great write up. Makes me start to think a little different

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #133

When it all boils down, we are a victim of our historic impatience here.  We want to be better, but for whatever reason we are not in that conversation right now, and personally I look at the sheer number of times that we have activated the sub early, and which players keep breaking down, and go, yep, hows that for just dumb luck.  You cannot beat lady luck, and we have been as luckless a footy club as I have seen over the journey and part of that is poor planning because once you start relying on luck, you will find it goes against you. 

We have talked ad nauseum about player depth and what not, but Collingwood last season are an example of what happens when the wrong players break down consistently.  They went from flag winners to not playing finals.  Sydney are the example this season.  Went from last years most consistent team of performers, barely giving players a week off and using the least amount through the year, playing in a grand final, and this season can barely string 4 quarters together. 
 

I don't see impatience, 3 Leos. I see disillusionment, failed expectations and poor decisions over two decades in all areas of the club. As you rightly point out, just differing perceptions and perspectives. Off field we seem to have righted the ship. But not yet the footy department.

Philosophically speaking, if I was to distill the difference between today's Bluebaggers and the successful Bluebagger eras (no different to today's successful clubs) I would identify the timeless attitudes and values of boldness, courage, creativity and initiative. With an over-arching demand for success... anything less than winning, is failure. (You mentioned Rottingwood, I'd throw in the Dawks and Dishlickers... they're simply trying new things and play with boldness).

Failure is not bad, provided you learn from it... face it, delve into it, don't fear it, it's trying to tell you something. It's demanding self-reflection and ruthless honesty. We've had two decades of failure and sadly seem to not be learning from these failures. We seem to have a fake (toxic?) positivity - everything is okay, we're doing well in key indicators, nothing to worry about here and, it's injuries, the umpires, Motlop, Evans, bad luck, no JSOS... etc. This has been our mantra for many years... and we can see what it gets you.

Yep, I'm on about above the shoulders stuff. There is absolutely no doubt about the ticker of every player who's represented the Navy Blue this season. They've given their all. I believe they're being let down by some around them who are unable or unwilling to embrace boldness, courage, creativity and initiative - on a micro level, we do the antithesis of these values by adopting an exhausting, traditional game plan. To use a metaphor for our game plan, it's as if we've given strong blokes shiny, sharp, tried and true tomahawks to cut down sequoias and they go flat out, and in a few forrests over, other strong blokes are using chainsaws (with apologies to environmentalists  ;) ).
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 10 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney

Reply #134
Good to see Cooper Lord earn a Rising Star nomination.