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Topic: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon (Read 11175 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #90
Who do you think should be traded out Blueray?
Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #91
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.

I couldn't give two sh1ts about what the players at other clubs do though Paul, it's what OUR players do that completely infuriates me.
"The Other Teams Can Rot In Hell"

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #92
I couldn't give two sh1ts about what the players at other clubs do though Paul, it's what OUR players do that completely infuriates me.

That's fine, and that's your choice. The point is the comparative approach is educational and also gives you a datum, a reference by which you can judge our players at least relatively. If many players do it, then perhaps there's a reason(s) ?

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #93
I generally agree. Leaving aside the obvious issue of not having insider knowledge of several key areas regarding the players, believing that Curnow or any other player is a slack ar$e with a highlight reel and no 2nd efforts, essentially condemns a raft of senor coaches, assistant coaches, team mates, and the like to charges of gross incompetence of professional malfeasance.

Curnow is a serial offender in this area, as soon as the bal lhits the deck he stops and lets the opposition defenders cler it without any fear of being accosted.


Yep agree. He is a very talented footballer but he is lazy and at times quite selfish. When was the last time you have see him really running hard to pressure an opponent? Perceived pressure is a big part of defensive forward tactics and imagine what opponents would feel when the heat is on and if you knew Curnow was bearing down on you with purpose - even if he's unlikely to make the tackle it adds pressure and invariably causes mistakes that can result on shots on goal. The very best sides do this instinctively as they train and work hard without the ball - we don't value this obviously and Charlie sets and example as he refuses to do it and the bloke is in the leadership group!

Sadly the club tied a big part of their marketing to him and it makes trading him almost impossible.

Teams that win flags all buy in 110%, they all play there role. Pies are the best at it. Old mate Charlie wouldn't know what hit him if he played under fly at the pies.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #94
....................................

Sadly the club tied a big part of their marketing to him and it makes trading him almost impossible........................

In other words, the football department's hands are tied by the marketing department, and this is all done (presumably) with the approval of the higher ups ? So Charlie is a protected species ? If that's true, then I suggest we de register the club, and compete in the lower leagues instead, because we have no business being in the AFL.  I have a soft spot for institutions of higher learning, so I suggest we merge with the University Blues.

I would suggest this is unlikely to be true, and what are perceived as truths within the discourse conducted here is unlikely to be true at the club level.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #95

Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
So you're happy with Curnow's input? With Harry's? With Walsh?
I am not and they all have currency right now to get very good stock back with immediate effect. Any later and we're stuck with them.
I was with my 17 year old son at the game. In the last quarter 5 mins to go and Curnow has a shot to ice the game. I said to him "The great players kick this goal, let's see if he's a great player". Sure enough he misses badly and game is still on a knife's edge. We can get rid of players that aren't great and Curnow, McKay and Walsh are not great players. They are very good with potential to be great but they have had enough time to be great and unfortunately they will not hit that mark.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #96
And I should also add that I see plenty of players, from all teams, who could be construed to be jogging or not giving 2nd efforts.
Firstly, a lot of fans make these comments based on watching the broadcast, but the depth perception is poor and particularly in either distant pocket players may appear a couple of metres apart on the broadcast, but easily have 5m or 10m of separation on the field.

Secondly, some KPP players will be told to leave the chasing to the Medium / Smalls, especially if we think their opposition KPP is susceptible to blowing up aerobically. You don't waste your KPPs legs if you think they have their opponent covered on a 2nd or 3rd effort.

Use it where it is most effective. Charlie is pretty good across the board in any type of contest, it's why he is rarely left one out these days. By kicking to him too predictably we aren't drawing those secondary defenders away from the contest, we need to do more to force them off the double team by being more diverse with our choices of target. Instead we are predictable, they are thinking "They are going to Charlie', we are thinking "We are going to Charlie", it's more predictable than 1AW standing on Carlisle's head, the only person who didn't see that coming was Carlisle!
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #97
Firstly, a lot of fans make these comments based on watching the broadcast, but the depth perception is poor and particularly in either distant pocket players may appear a couple of meters apart on the broadcast, but easily have 5m or 10m of separation on the field.

Secondly, some KPP players will be told to leave the chasing to the Medium / Smalls, especially if we think their opposition KPP is susceptible to blowing up aerobically. You don't waste your KPPs legs if you think they have their opponent covered on a 2nd or 3rd effort...............

This is more in keeping with my thoughts. On a spectrum of plausibility, it's more plausible that Charlie is playing to instruction, and that the team is better off with him in than out, and that his KPI's are set realistically, based on injury, pre season, role within the team etc. I think it's far less likely that he is holding the club to ransom because of marketing etc.

We should offer to do a straight swap of Mr Perfect Mihochek with Charlie. I can guarantee you, we won't even have time to set our stopwatches before McRae has Brodie's bags all packed and his locker cleared.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #98
Coaches votes :

10 Tom De Koning (CARL)
7 Sam Walsh (CARL)
5 Jack Silvagni (CARL)
5 Nic Martin (ESS)
2 George Hewett (CARL)
1 Xavier Duursma (ESS)

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #99
Firstly, a lot of fans make these comments based on watching the broadcast, but the depth perception is poor and particularly in either distant pocket players may appear a couple of meters apart on the broadcast, but easily have 5m or 10m of separation on the field.

Secondly, some KPP players will be told to leave the chasing to the Medium / Smalls, especially if we think their opposition KPP is susceptible to blowing up aerobically. You don't waste your KPPs legs if you think they have their opponent covered on a 2nd or 3rd effort...............

This is more in keeping with my thoughts. On a spectrum of plausibility, it's more plausible that Charlie is playing to instruction, and that the team is better off with him in than out, and that his KPI's are set realistically, based on injury, pre season, role within the team etc. I think it's far less likely that he is holding the club to ransom because of marketing etc.

We should offer to do a straight swap of Mr Perfect Mihochek with Charlie. I can guarantee you, we won't even have time to set our stopwatches before McRae has Brodie's bags all packed and his locker cleared.


Absobloodylutely! Talk of trading H and Charles is silly.

If there are criticisms of H and Charles not kicking big bags of goals, perhaps we should look further up the field - delivery into F50!

In the 1st qtr against cheats.com.au when our forward line was 'lively' and delivery good, Charles was dangerous, very dangerous. Then when the opposition raised the pressure, and our collective sphincters tightened, supply became erratic... again.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #100

Without being controversial, we need to think about two of either Walsh, Curnow, McKay and TDK (likely FA). No one else will have the currency needed to instantly improve the team. We're in desperate need for a speedy midfielder and I have been saying this in years yet they have not addressed this deficiency. That is unforgivable in my opinion.
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
Dean did well in the Carnival game on the weekend and Ison was handy helping set up some goals, Id be taking those two as F/S and NGA picks but would probably bypass on Gresham and Clarke.
Ison is a bit of a hothead in terms of temperament but is more of a readymade in terms of size and would probably fall outside our usual choir boy recruiting boundaries but I think thats a good thing as we need some spicy players. Both Dean and Ison need to clean up their kicking, its not a strength of either and a bit of a pity given we are not a great overall by foot across the list.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #101
TDK will  probably leave.  That's it. Puts us back in the first round. We'll land a very good F/S with Harry Dean too. No point hitting the panic button. Geelong didn't in 2006, Richmond didn't in 2016, and were 37 years without a flag, virtually like us now in every way, and the Pies in 2017. A few structrual tweaks for a bit more run and we'll be ok. Then comes down to our attitude.
So you're happy with Curnow's input? With Harry's? With Walsh?
I am not and they all have currency right now to get very good stock back with immediate effect. Any later and we're stuck with them.
I was with my 17 year old son at the game. In the last quarter 5 mins to go and Curnow has a shot to ice the game. I said to him "The great players kick this goal, let's see if he's a great player". Sure enough he misses badly and game is still on a knife's edge. We can get rid of players that aren't great and Curnow, McKay and Walsh are not great players. They are very good with potential to be great but they have had enough time to be great and unfortunately they will not hit that mark.
Have been their whole careers. Harry's work in the 2nd ruck this year around the ground has been terrific even if not hitting the scoreboard. Match winner against Geelong. Charlie missed his pre-season, still on target for 50+ while Walsh also missed a chunk of pre-season and still not 100%. Form is temporary, class is permanent. I'm not soft enough of mind to throw the baby out with the bathwater at the first sign of panic and a slight drop in champion player's form. Those sides above I mentioned didn't and reaped the rewards.                           

Maybe for the forwards issues are the worst delivery imaginable going into the F50.  Notice how much better they perform earlier in games when the ball comes in more easily. Hence we are on top of the half time ladder, 10-2, 130%, a significant, telling stat. Says to maybe blame elsewhere with what happens after half time. It's not just the gun forwards, it's up the ground. Hard enough for the like of Charlie when he is fit, let alone half fit.                              

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #102

So you're happy with Curnow's input? With Harry's? With Walsh?
I am not and they all have currency right now to get very good stock back with immediate effect. Any later and we're stuck with them.
I was with my 17 year old son at the game. In the last quarter 5 mins to go and Curnow has a shot to ice the game. I said to him "The great players kick this goal, let's see if he's a great player". Sure enough he misses badly and game is still on a knife's edge. We can get rid of players that aren't great and Curnow, McKay and Walsh are not great players. They are very good with potential to be great but they have had enough time to be great and unfortunately they will not hit that mark.
Have been their whole careers. Harry's work in the 2nd ruck this year around the ground has been terrific even if not hitting the scoreboard. Match winner against Geelong. Charlie missed his pre-season, still on target for 50+ while Walsh also missed a chunk of pre-season and still not 100%. Form is temporary, class is permanent. I'm not soft enough of mind to throw the baby out with the bathwater at the first sign of panic and a slight drop in champion player's form. Those sides above I mentioned didn't and reaped the rewards.                           

Maybe for the forwards issues are the worst delivery imaginable going into the F50.  Notice how much better they perform earlier in games when the ball comes in more easily. Hence we are on top of the half time ladder, 10-2, 130%, a significant, telling stat. Says to maybe blame elsewhere with what happens after half time. It's not just the gun forwards, it's up the ground. Hard enough for the like of Charlie when he is fit, let alone half fit.                              
All i was saying is we need two players out with currency (as above). One is likely Walsh who has gone backwards and two would be Harry or Curnow but Carlton won't. They'll just let TDK go for peanuts and have another ordinary year. Curnow has no dog in him. He is supremely talented but just does not do enough. Our entries can be poor but i see the leads from our forwards live each week. No wonder the entries are as bad as they are. Hard work beats talent. Just look at Collingwood

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #103
For those interested, here is a comparison between Charlie and The Hardest Working Man In Show Business™ :

https://www.afl.com.au/stats/compare?category=Key+Stats&seasonId=73&roundId=-1&roundNumber=0&sortColumn=dreamTeamPoints&sortDirection=descending&positions=All&teams=All&benchmarking=false&dataType=totals&playerOneId=CD_I996731&playerTwoId=CD_I291849


Just to be clear, I have nothing against Mihochek. He's a good player and has given the Pies good service. In the defense sub category above, they are basically even. In all other sub categories, Charlie is ahead.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #104
Have been their whole careers. Harry's work in the 2nd ruck this year around the ground has been terrific even if not hitting the scoreboard. Match winner against Geelong. Charlie missed his pre-season, still on target for 50+ while Walsh also missed a chunk of pre-season and still not 100%. Form is temporary, class is permanent. I'm not soft enough of mind to throw the baby out with the bathwater at the first sign of panic and a slight drop in champion player's form. Those sides above I mentioned didn't and reaped the rewards.                           

Maybe for the forwards issues are the worst delivery imaginable going into the F50.  Notice how much better they perform earlier in games when the ball comes in more easily. Hence we are on top of the half time ladder, 10-2, 130%, a significant, telling stat. Says to maybe blame elsewhere with what happens after half time. It's not just the gun forwards, it's up the ground. Hard enough for the like of Charlie when he is fit, let alone half fit.                              
All i was saying is we need two players out with currency (as above). One is likely Walsh who has gone backwards and two would be Harry or Curnow but Carlton won't. They'll just let TDK go for peanuts and have another ordinary year. Curnow has no dog in him. He is supremely talented but just does not do enough. Our entries can be poor but i see the leads from our forwards live each week. No wonder the entries are as bad as they are. Hard work beats talent. Just look at Collingwood
I'm not a panic merchant with knee reactions. You're not getting rid of your best players to get them. Charlie has 2 Coleman's, would have been a 3rd last year without the ankle injury and still will kick 50+ this year even without a pre-season. Start giving away your best players and you find yourself going no-where. In the end one has to score to win. Just pure panic.   Like I said, we lead the half time ladder comfortably, so we can play. Things go ok then and we score. Scores are often in the 50s or close to it. What happens in the 2nd half then didn't happen in 2023 and up to round 19 2024 until injuries killed us? Basically the same side. Possibly the game plan? Attitude of the team as a whole? Play the wrong side?

TDK will get us top 8 compo as it stands. We could use that or even split it. Plus Harry Dean and the NGA prospect Ison.